Crypto World
Trump’s Truth Social Posts Will Hit Wall Street First, Giving a Financial Edge
Trump Media & Technology Group has launched a paid data feed called Truth API. It gives banks and trading firms faster access to Donald Trump’s market-moving Truth Social posts.
The service goes live August 1 and already has signed customers, the company said.
Why Speed On Trump’s Posts Matters
Trump’s Truth Social posts have repeatedly jolted global markets. Recent examples include his “Liberation Day” tariff announcements and trade threats against China.
On April 9, 2025, Trump said he would pause many new tariffs for 90 days. US stocks turned sharply higher within minutes of the post.
Truth API will cover the 10 most influential Truth Social accounts and archive posts back to 2022. The platform’s most-followed users include Trump himself, his sons Donald Trump Jr. and Eric Trump, and allies like Dan Bongino and Sean Hannity.
TMTG’s interim CEO, Kevin McGurn, said the feed targets firms with the most to lose from delayed information.
“We’re going to create a lot of friction for those folks that aren’t coming to us directly.”
— Kevin McGurn, Reuters
Conflict Of Interest Questions
The Donald J. Trump Revocable Trust holds roughly 41% of TMTG stock. Trump’s children oversee that trust, which manages his investments. The presidents close ties to the company, and his immense influence, puts him in a position of power to move markets with his social account.
Senator Ron Wyden, the top Democrat on the Senate Finance Committee, criticized the launch. He has also previously criticized the ‘Trump Family Greed‘ in relation to crypto profit disclosures. Wyden said of the new API that it would enrich the Trump family and “make Wall Street traders rich.”
Despite the criticism, and the apprent conflict of interest, Dynamis law firm partner Robert Frenchman said tiering access does not break federal securities law. However, he noted the practice still creates uneven odds for smaller traders.
“It certainly does not seem fair, but yes, a tech platform can tier its distribution of information without violating federal securities laws,” Frenchman said.
TMTG has accused unnamed firms of scraping Truth Social data for months. It calls that a breach of its terms of service. The company has previously batted down other Truth Social monetization rumors, including talk of a meme coin.
The launch adds to a pattern of Trump-linked market moves drawing scrutiny over who profits from information timing. Regulators have not said whether tiered access to a president’s posts raises new disclosure concerns.
The post Trump’s Truth Social Posts Will Hit Wall Street First, Giving a Financial Edge appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
1inch co-founder exits after firing claim, unveils Second Tier
1inch co-founder Anton Bukov says he has fully stepped away from the decentralized finance project’s operations after more than seven years and is now launching a new venture called Second Tier.
Summary
- Anton Bukov says 1inch fired him in November 2025 after he pushed for management changes.
- Bukov says he remains a co-founder and 50% shareholder but no longer oversees company operations.
- 1inch says Bukov stopped active involvement in December 2025 and insists its systems remain unaffected.
Bukov said the company fired him in late November 2025 after he pushed for changes to management and operations.
However, 1inch gave a different account of his recent role. The company said Bukov had not been actively involved in organizations linked to the project since December 2025. Bukov said he remains a co-founder and 50% shareholder but no longer has operational authority.
Bukov says management push ended with his firing
In a statement published on X, Bukov said feedback from users and colleagues led him to become more involved in leadership and company operations. He said he spent months working on his leadership and communication approach while trying to change how the organization operated. “In late November 2025 I was fired,” he said.
Bukov also drew a clear line between his ownership position and his current responsibilities. “I no longer take part in the company’s operations,” he said.
He added that he has no role in product architecture or security and no oversight of either area. His statement leaves him as a shareholder and co-founder without a stated day-to-day management role.
1inch says operations and infrastructure remain unaffected
1inch responded on X by saying Bukov had not been actively involved in any associated organizations since December 2025. The statement presents a different timeline for his operational departure but does not change Bukov’s claim that the company dismissed him the previous month. The company has not publicly detailed the internal discussions that preceded the split.
Meanwhile, co-founder Sergej Kunz sought to reassure users about the project’s operations. He said Bukov’s departure “is not disrupting, will not disrupt, 1inch Network’s infrastructure or systems.” Kunz remains in charge as the protocol continues developing its trading and liquidity products.
Second Tier becomes Bukov’s next project
Alongside his departure statement, Bukov announced Second Tier as his next venture. He said he is building the project with people who share the same values from the start. However, public information about its products, funding and launch schedule remains limited.
The move closes Bukov’s active operating role at a project he co-founded with Kunz in May 2019. During his time at 1inch, Bukov worked on protocol architecture and security, according to his account. The project later expanded from decentralized exchange aggregation into cross-chain trading tools and other DeFi infrastructure.
1inch continues expanding its DeFi products
As previously reported by crypto.news, 1inch partnered with Rewardy Wallet in January to provide gasless cross-chain swaps across five blockchain networks through its Swap API. The integration formed part of 1inch’s broader effort to simplify decentralized trading while keeping users in control of their assets.
More recently, the leadership split comes after renewed attention on security across 1inch-linked infrastructure. In May, TrustedVolumes lost about $5.87 million after an attacker targeted its custom RFQ swap proxy. The incident did not affect a standard 1inch user swap route.
Kunz later called for safer lending structures following separate stresses in DeFi markets. Bukov’s latest statement now makes clear that he no longer oversees 1inch product architecture or security, while the company maintains that its systems and ongoing operations remain unaffected by his departure.
Crypto World
Bybit Launches in Indonesia After NOBI Acquisition
Crypto exchange Bybit announced Thursday it has launched a locally operated platform in Indonesia after acquiring a majority stake in digital asset firm PT Enkripsi Teknologi Handal, formerly known as NOBI.
The deal saw NOBI rebranded as Bybit Indonesia. The crypto exchange said it plans to introduce its services in phases, starting with 500 cryptocurrency trading pairs.
The exchange will be led by Lawrence Samantha, who will serve as CEO and Dionisius Evan, who serves as chief operating officer, both formerly senior executives at NOBI.
“This acquisition allows us to combine Bybit’s global capabilities with an experienced local team that understands Indonesia’s market and regulatory environment,” Samantha said in a statement.
As of February 2026, Indonesia had 21.07 million registered crypto asset users, according to the Indonesia Financial Services Authority, with total crypto transaction value reaching $26.85 billion (482 trillion Indonesian rupiah) in 2025.
As of April, Indonesia had licensed 31 crypto-related entities, including two crypto exchanges, two clearing institutions, two custodians, and 25 digital asset traders, one of which is PT Enkripsi Teknologi Handal.
Crypto World
Balaji threatens Malaysia exit as Network School seeks legal deal
Balaji Srinivasan has paused further investment in Malaysia and is seeking a formal agreement with the government after authorities investigated his Network School community in Johor’s Forest City.
Summary
- Network School pauses further Malaysia investment while seeking written assurances after authorities investigate residency claims.
- Malaysian immigration checks found all 266 foreign residents held valid documents, with investigations still continuing.
- Srinivasan says a $122 million expansion remains frozen unless Malaysia provides sufficient legal certainty first.
The former Coinbase chief technology officer said he wants written assurance that the project and its participants are welcome before committing more capital.
The dispute began after social media allegations claimed that Israeli citizens were staying at the community while using second-country passports. However, Malaysia’s Immigration Department later said all 266 foreigners inspected held valid travel documents. Officials said further checks would continue if new evidence raised questions about identity, permits, or immigration rules.
Balaji seeks written deal with Malaysia
Srinivasan said he wants more than broad statements supporting technology investment. In a video posted on X and addressed to Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim, he asked for a document confirming that Network School can continue operating and investing in Malaysia with greater legal certainty.
“I’d like to have a document which says not just abstractly that tech is welcome … but rather that we’re personally welcome,” Srinivasan said.
He suggested that the arrangement could take the form of a memorandum of understanding or changes linked to a special economic zone provision.
$122 million expansion plan put on hold
Meanwhile, Srinivasan said Network School would pause further investment in Malaysia until it receives “sufficient assurance” that similar disputes will not happen again. The decision includes a planned $122 million expansion of the community, according to reporting on his statement.
He also warned that the project could move its capital elsewhere. “If not, then we will readily go somewhere else because I don’t want to be where we’re not welcome,” Srinivasan said. Still, he did not name alternative locations or give a deadline for reaching an agreement with Malaysian authorities.
Immigration checks find valid documents
The investigation followed claims shared by activist group Malaysian Protest 4 Palestine in an Instagram post, which accused Network School of hosting Israeli entrepreneurs. Malaysian authorities then reviewed the status of foreign residents at the Forest City site.
However, the Immigration Department said its initial inspection found valid documents for 266 foreigners from 40 countries. Reuters also reported that Malaysia bars entry to Israeli passport holders without special permission but has no specific law banning Israelis who enter using another country’s passport.
Therefore, the document checks did not establish the social media allegations, while officials said further investigations could continue if new information emerged.
Network School faces new test in Forest City
Srinivasan launched Network School in 2024 as a physical community for founders, technologists, and other builders. The project operates in Forest City, a large Johor development near Singapore, and forms part of his broader idea of internet-based communities building permanent physical hubs.
As crypto.news reported in June, Forest City also hosted Q-Day, a blockchain security event where Srinivasan was listed among the speakers. More recently, he was announced as a headline speaker for Bitcoin Asia 2026 in Hong Kong.
Crypto World
Trump Media Launches “Truth API” for Low-Latency Trading Access
Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG), the company behind the Truth Social platform, says it is preparing a new paid API aimed at institutional investors and trading firms. The service is designed to deliver low-latency access to posts from Truth Social’s most influential accounts, including U.S. President Donald Trump.
According to a filing made with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, TMTG expects the “Truth API” to be available to institutional customers starting Aug. 1, 2026. The company framed the product as a machine-readable, real-time feed suitable for high-frequency and algorithmic trading strategies.
Key takeaways
- TMTG plans a paid “Truth API” to provide licensed, real-time access to posts from select Truth Social accounts.
- The API is targeted at institutional customers and is positioned for low-latency use cases such as algorithmic and high-frequency trading.
- Availability is expected from Aug. 1, 2026, according to TMTG’s SEC filing.
- TMTG says the new offering is intended to reduce scraping and push data access through authorized channels.
A licensed feed for market-facing automation
TMTG’s announcement centers on an API that packages Truth Social content into a format traders and data systems can ingest quickly. The company stated that the goal is to provide “the fastest” access to posts from Truth Social’s most market-moving accounts, including Donald Trump, through a licensed channel.
In the SEC filing referenced in the report, TMTG described the API as a direct feed built for environments where timing and machine readability matter—particularly for algorithmic and high-frequency trading firms. For investors and market participants, the implication is straightforward: instead of manually monitoring posts or relying on third-party workarounds, institutions could potentially integrate Truth Social updates directly into their data and execution pipelines.
Kevin McGurn, TMTG’s interim CEO, linked the product to both market relevance and monetization. In a statement tied to the announcement, he argued that “markets already move on Truth Social posts,” and positioned the Truth API as a way to monetize what the company calls proprietary assets through a recurring revenue stream.
Why Truth Social posts are being packaged as a tradable data stream
TMTG points to the platform’s track record of influencing market attention, noting that posts attributed to Trump’s account have been cited as market-moving. The report’s examples include comments connected to the ongoing Iran-U.S. conflict, underscoring the company’s view that Truth Social can function as a real-time communications channel with immediate downstream effects.
The announcement also highlights that Truth Social includes several prominent accounts beyond the president. The report names Donald Trump Jr, Eric Trump, and FBI Director Kash Patel among other major figures on the platform. While the precise mechanics of which accounts will be included—and how frequently data updates will arrive—are not detailed in the excerpt, the company’s emphasis on “influential” accounts indicates a curated list rather than a universal firehose.
For institutional users, such curation could matter as much as latency. Many trading and analytics setups prefer structured, predictable feeds that target specific signal sources, reducing the overhead of filtering large volumes of content.
TMTG targets scraping—and shifts data access to “direct” licensing
A core theme of the announcement is enforcing terms around how Truth Social data is obtained. McGurn’s statement, as reported, contrasts the Truth API with what he described as past attempts to scrape content. He said that scraping data from Truth Social violates the platform’s terms of service.
In a quote attributed to CNN, McGurn added that the company intends to “create a lot of friction” for those who do not come to TMTG directly. That line signals that the Truth API is not only about adding a new revenue stream; it is also about changing behavior in the broader market data ecosystem.
Historically, major social platforms often face the same recurring challenge: third-party aggregators scrape content or republish it without licensing. By offering a paid, low-latency alternative, TMTG is effectively betting that many institutional workflows can be shifted away from gray-market access and toward formal licensing.
What investors should watch next
Even with the Aug. 1, 2026 target date, important questions remain for anyone tracking the Truth API’s rollout—particularly which specific accounts will be included, how the data will be structured for machine reading, and what latency and availability guarantees will look like in practice. Traders and data buyers will likely want clarity on the licensing scope and the operational details that determine whether the feed can truly fit into automated decision systems.
Crypto World
Citadel Securities bets $400M on Crypto.com at $20B valuation
Citadel Securities has invested $400 million in Crypto.com, valuing the digital asset platform at $20 billion in its first institutional funding round.
Summary
- Citadel Securities invests $400 million in Crypto.com, valuing the crypto exchange at $20 billion globally.
- The deal marks Crypto.com’s first institutional funding round in its decade-long operating history to date.
- Crypto.com plans to use funding to expand tokenized securities, derivatives, and other financial asset classes.
The deal brings together a leading U.S. market maker and one of the world’s best-known crypto exchanges. Crypto.com announced the investment on July 16.
The company said it plans to use the capital to expand across more asset classes. In particular, Crypto.com named tokenized securities and derivatives among its priorities as it builds services that connect traditional markets with digital asset infrastructure.
Citadel Securities makes $400 million Crypto.com investment
The strategic investment gives Crypto.com a $20 billion valuation. It also marks the first time the company has raised institutional funding since its founding in 2016. However, the companies did not disclose the size of the stake Citadel Securities received or other terms of the transaction.
Crypto.com CEO Kris Marszalek said the company expects digital assets to play a larger role in financial markets. He said “crypto increasingly becomes the rails for finance.”
According to the company, its existing regulatory and technology systems will support its planned expansion into additional financial products.
Funding targets tokenized securities and derivatives
Crypto.com said the funding will accelerate its move into tokenized securities, derivatives, and other asset classes. The exchange aims to build a broader financial platform that operates around the clock while offering products linked to both traditional and digital markets.
Meanwhile, institutional investment in tokenization has continued to grow. As crypto.news previously reported, Digital Asset Holdings raised $355 million in June in a round backed by Citadel Securities and other institutions. The company behind Canton Network focuses on blockchain infrastructure for tokenized assets and regulated finance.
Citadel expands its links to digital asset infrastructure
Citadel Securities already has links to several digital asset projects. The company describes itself as the No. 1 U.S. retail market maker and says it handles about 35% of U.S.-listed retail trading volume. Its direct investment in Crypto.com adds another connection to the growing market for digital asset infrastructure.
Moreover, affiliates of Citadel Securities participated in Ripple’s $500 million strategic funding round in November 2025. That transaction valued Ripple at $40 billion as the company expanded its businesses across custody, stablecoins, and prime brokerage.
Crypto.com prepares for broader financial market expansion
Citadel Securities President Jim Esposito said the combination of traditional markets and digital asset infrastructure could improve market efficiency. He added that Crypto.com had built a platform capable of supporting greater institutional participation in digital assets.
At the same time, Crypto.com has widened its focus beyond cryptocurrency trading. The company has identified prediction markets and tokenized real-world assets as areas for further development. The new capital gives it more funding to pursue that strategy as exchanges and financial companies compete to offer more products around the clock.
The deal also comes as tokenized assets attract greater attention from Wall Street. As crypto.news reported, firms including BlackRock, JPMorgan, Nasdaq, and Citadel Securities have been building infrastructure for tokenized finance. Against that backdrop, Crypto.com’s first institutional funding round supports its effort to expand beyond its core crypto exchange business.
Crypto World
Bitcoin under $64,000 after new U.S. strike on Iran and Trump’s China allegation
Bitcoin and Asian stocks fell Friday after fresh U.S. airstrikes on Iran raised geopolitical uncertainty. Additionally, President Donald Trump’s allegations that China tampered with the 2020 election hurt risk sentiment, sending the Australian dollar lower.
BTC, the leading cryptocurrency by market value, slipped to $63,600, extending Thursday’s nearly 1.4% slide from $65,000, according to CoinDesk data. As of this writing, the cryptocurrency traded just below its 50-day simple moving average, the widely-tracked gauge of near-term momentum.
Asian equity markets wilted, with Japan’s Nikkei trading nearly 3% lower at its lowest in over a month. Australia’s ASX 200 slipped by 0.5% alongside a 0.8% drop in futures tied to Nasdaq. Wall Street’s tech-heavy index fell by over 1.6% on Thursday.
Iran’s semi-official Fars news agency quoted Hormozgan Province Governorate, saying that U.S. airstrikes have hit five bridges in the southern Hormozgan province. A missile strike also hit Iran’s Chabahar maritime control tower. Surprisingly, WTI oil futures held steady at around $79 per barrel, ignoring the geopolitical stress from the fresh wave of U.S. attacks on Iran.
Crypto World
Venezuela’s USDT trading now rivals oil exports as volume hits $1.39B
Venezuela’s USDT market is handling volumes that now rival one of the country’s largest sources of foreign currency.
Summary
- Venezuela’s Binance P2P market handled 1.389 billion USDT between June 11 and July 13 alone.
- Ecoanalítica estimated the volume equaled 75% of Venezuela’s monthly oil export value during the period.
- USDT traded near 840 bolivars, around 15.5% above Venezuela’s official exchange rate in mid-July 2026.
Ecoanalítica estimated that 1.389 billion USDT changed hands on Binance’s peer-to-peer market between June 11 and July 13, equal to about 44 million USDT per day.
The research firm estimated that the volume represented about 75% of Venezuela’s monthly oil export value. However, a separate calculation using June crude exports and the average price of Merey crude places the ratio closer to 52%, showing that the comparison depends on the method and reference period used.
Binance P2P becomes a major foreign-currency channel
Ecoanalítica developed a method to estimate the size of Binance’s P2P market in Venezuela. According to the firm, the results show how the platform has moved from a small alternative market into a major channel for buying and selling dollar-linked value outside the traditional banking system.
The 1.389 billion USDT volume also equaled about 64.2% of the $2.163 billion in foreign currency supplied by the Central Bank of Venezuela during June, based on figures cited by CriptoNoticias.
The central bank increased its supply by 36% from May as it sought to reduce pressure on the bolivar. Ecoanalítica placed the comparison at 88%, although it did not publish enough detail to verify the difference.
USDT trades at a premium to Venezuela’s official dollar rate
Meanwhile, USDT traded around 840 bolivars on local P2P markets, about 15.5% above the official exchange rate of 727 bolivars per U.S. dollar on July 16. The spread remained narrower than earlier in 2026, when the difference between official and alternative rates stood near 30%.
Ecoanalítica director Alejandro Grisanti said Binance had gone “from being a marginal market to becoming one of the main channels for buying and selling foreign currency.” He also said P2P activity could slow if formal banks regain more capacity to supply foreign currency. As a result, users could shift some transactions back to traditional financial platforms.
Oil figures leave the 75% estimate open to question
Venezuela exported about 1.2 million barrels of crude per day in June, while the average price of Merey crude fell to $71.13 per barrel from $82.77 in May. Using those figures, monthly crude export value would stand near $2.56 billion, putting the reported USDT volume at roughly 52% rather than 75%.
The difference may reflect another export price, reference period, or method used by Ecoanalítica. However, Grisanti did not provide the full calculation behind the 75% figure. Therefore, the oil comparison remains an estimate, while the reported Binance P2P volume stands at 1.389 billion USDT for the period.
Stablecoins remain tied to Venezuela’s oil and dollar market
The latest figures add to a longer shift toward stablecoins in Venezuela. As crypto.news previously reported, state oil company PDVSA had been gradually moving some crude and fuel sales toward USDT as U.S. sanctions made conventional payment channels harder to use. That development connected the country’s oil trade with the same dollar-linked token now widely traded in its domestic P2P market.
More recently, as crypto.news reported in April, Tether said it had frozen more than $344 million in USDT linked to sanctions evasion and criminal networks in cooperation with U.S. authorities. The report also noted earlier concerns about PDVSA’s use of USDT. The latest P2P estimates now place stablecoin trading at a scale comparable with major official and export-related foreign-currency flows.
Crypto World
India’s biggest IPO this year rakes in bids worth $31 billion, powered by institutional frenzy
Signage for SBI Funds Management Ltd. at a news conference in Mumbai, India, on Thursday, July 9, 2026.
Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty Images
India’s biggest public market offering this year, SBI Fund Management, has garnered bids worth 2.97 trillion rupees ($30.7 billion), underscoring the liquidity available in the market ahead of the much larger issues anticipated in 2026.
SBI Fund Management, which is a joint venture between State Bank of India and Europe’s Amundi Group, was in the market to raise 97.9 billion rupees ($1 billion). Its initial public offering was oversubscribed 41.6 times, owing to an enthusiastic response from institutional investors.
The portion reserved for qualified institutional buyers was subscribed 140 times, with most of the bids coming from domestic institutional investors such as banks and insurance companies. Participation by retail investors was relatively muted, with subscriptions at 3.6 times the offer that closed on Thursday.
Institutional interest is good news for public issues of India’s largest stock bourse, the National Stock Exchange, and the country’s biggest wireless telecommunications company, Jio Platforms, expected to hit the market later this year.
Both companies are estimated to raise more than $3 billion each, according to Mumbai-based IPO intelligence firm Prime Database.
India has been the most prolific IPO market in the world over the last two years, with the highest number listings, but activity was subdued here during the first half of the year.
Rising energy prices due to the Iran war have squeezed the Indian economy, taking the sheen off its domestic consumption story. That has coincided with a global investment rally in AI stocks, an industry where India has no champions.
As a result, since the start of the year, the Indian benchmark Sensex has lost over 9.4% and has been among the worst-performing large stock markets. The broader Nifty 50 is down 7.9% so far this year. In June, after a ceasefire between Iran and the U.S., the Indian market recovered partially, and companies started announcing fundraising plans.
Stock market offerings worth $50 billion could flood the Indian markets this year, though the continuation of the Iran war remains a key risk.
Investors will be keeping a close watch on the listing of SBI Fund Management next week, as strong post IPO gains would increase appetite for new issues. SBI Funds is India’s largest asset management company and, as of March 2026, it had 29.5 trillion rupees ($395 billion) under management.
Crypto World
Crash to $30K or Jump to $100K: 3 AIs Speculate What Is More Likely for BTC in 2026
It was October 2025 when the primary cryptocurrency shot to an all-time high above $126,000. In the months that followed, however, the euphoria faded, and the bears took control. The situation only worsened at the start of the summer, when BTC dropped well below $60K, while in the past few days buyers stepped in and recovered the price to the current $64,000.
There’s a heated debate on X over whether the asset has reached its cycle bottom and is poised for a major bull run, or if the worst is yet to come. On that note, we decided to ask three of the most popular AI-powered chatbots what is more likely to happen this year: a collapse to $30,000 or a pump to $100,000.
ChatGPT’s Take
OpenAI’s platform estimated that a rise to the $100K milestone sometime in 2026 is the more likely scenario, given current price levels and the recent stabilization driven by better-than-expected US CPI data.
Recall that inflation in America dropped to 3.5%, triggering an evident upswing across the entire crypto sector. Such a reaction makes sense, since the lower figure eases the pressure on the Federal Reserve to hike rates and even raises the prospect of cuts in the months ahead – a development that typically favors riskier assets.
At the same time, ChatGPT stated that an explosion to $100,000 will not be easy, since Bitcoin remains highly dependent on geopolitical tensions, monetary policy, and institutional interest. Data show that spot BTC ETFs have been bleeding heavily over the past several months, indicating that conservative investors such as pension funds and hedge funds have reduced their exposure to the asset. In the past, institutional appetite has been crucial for Bitcoin’s performance and often aligned with its rallies.
The chatbot claimed that a plunge to $30,000 later this year is not entirely out of the question, though it is much less likely and would require a black swan event such as the potential meltdown of a crypto giant or a global recession.
In conclusion, it estimated roughly a 45% chance that BTC will climb toward $100,000 before New Year’s Eve, a 15% probability of a crash to $30,000, and a 40% likelihood that neither scenario will unfold.
“My most realistic year-end range would be approximately $70,000–$90,000, with $100,000 becoming realistic if BTC reclaims $75,000–$80,000 and ETF demand strengthens,” it added.
More in Favor
Perplexity shared ChatGPT’s theory, but said neither outcome is the most possible scenario for the remaining months of the year. It stated that the maximum “reasonable” price BTC can reach in 2026 is around $70,000-$80,000. For its part, Google’s Gemini said a jump to $100K is “mathematically and structurally” more likely than a collapse to $30K.
“For Bitcoin to fall to $30,000, it would have to trade roughly 30% below the collective cost basis of almost every investor in the market. This has only happened during brief, systemic black swan events (such as the March 2020 COVID crash),” it explained.
The post Crash to $30K or Jump to $100K: 3 AIs Speculate What Is More Likely for BTC in 2026 appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
As Nikkei Bleeds, Kioxia’s Boom-to-Bust Highlights Dangers of This AI Cycle
Japan’s Nikkei 225 sank as much as 4.4% on Friday, July 17, leading a broad Asian tech selloff. Investors dumped chip stocks tied to the artificial intelligence boom. The index fell to 63,896.48, extending losses from earlier in the week.
Chip-equipment maker Advantest and tech investor SoftBank each lost around nine percent. Taiwan’s Taiex shed four percent as TSMC retreated more than three percent, even after posting record quarterly profit. However, the big story for Japanese stocks is Kioxia
Kioxia’s Reversal
Kioxia, the memory chipmaker plunged near 16% on Friday alone. That extends a slide that has erased 44% of its value in a single month.
A rally of more than 600% since January pushed Kioxia briefly past Toyota to become Japan’s most valuable company in mid-June. It has since dropped to fourth place. The slide has wiped out roughly ¥30 trillion, or $185 billion, in market value.
Daiwa Securities chief strategist Yugo Tsuboi said the chip sector remains prone to boom-bust cycles.
“The chip sector is vulnerable to the silicon cycle, and we’ve seen this pattern many times before.”
Tsuboi pointed to rising scrutiny of Chinese memory chipmakers as one factor. He also noted signs that global memory prices may be stabilizing, which makes further earnings upgrades harder to justify.
Cracks Beneath the Rally
Other factors are adding to the pressure that Kioxia has faced in the relative short term. Last week, Bain Capital exited its entire position in the memory chipmaker. Many investors saw that as a signal that the chip cycle is peaking. Japanese retail traders also hold heavy leveraged positions, which leaves the stock exposed if selling accelerates.
Kioxia only listed in 2024. Since then, its shares became the best performer on the MSCI World Index before this month’s reversal.
Despite the collapse, analysts still forecast roughly a 118% return for Kioxia over the next 12 months. The Topix index’s October reshuffle should also draw fresh passive fund inflows into the stock.
A Warning for the Wider AI Trade
Kioxia’s reversal mirrors a broader repricing across the sector. A Wall Street gauge of chip stocks slumped more than four percent Thursday and concerns over TSMC’s AI spending overshadowed an otherwise solid earnings outlook.
Traders have grown more skeptical of the AI trade in recent months. They are rotating out of richly valued chip names and into sectors that have lagged. The episode follows a similar pattern to Japan’s broader AI selloff earlier this month.
The Nikkei has shed trillions of yen in value over three weeks.
The post As Nikkei Bleeds, Kioxia’s Boom-to-Bust Highlights Dangers of This AI Cycle appeared first on BeInCrypto.
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