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Crypto World

Two July Windows Left: The CLARITY Act’s Senate Fight and What Failure Means

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The CLARITY Act, the bill that would define whether digital assets fall under SEC or CFTC jurisdiction, has two remaining floor windows before the August recess: the weeks of July 20 and July 27.

Miss both, and Senator Lummis has warned that market structure legislation could slip to 2030 or die entirely at the end of the 119th Congress in January 2027, forcing a full restart.

That is not a political projection, it is the structural consequence of a Senate calendar that leaves roughly three weeks of productive session after September before lawmakers enter full midterm campaign mode.

One year after Washington’s Crypto Week, the scorecard is uneven. The GENIUS Act became law on July 18, 2025, establishing the first federal framework for payment stablecoins.

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An anti-CBDC provision eventually passed inside the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act, becoming law automatically on July 10, the House voted 358–32, the Senate 85–5, margins that made Trump’s refusal to sign irrelevant.

The CLARITY Act, which passed the House 294–134 on July 17, 2025, cleared the Senate Banking Committee 15–9 on May 14, 2026, and has sat on the Senate Legislative Calendar since June 1 with no floor vote scheduled.

The distinction between GENIUS and CLARITY matters here. GENIUS governed one product. CLARITY governs the entire market. It answers the classification question that determines everything downstream: whether a given digital asset falls under SEC jurisdiction as a security or CFTC jurisdiction as a commodity.

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Registration, custody, listing decisions, and disclosure posture all flow from that single determination. Without a statutory answer, the question gets resolved by whichever agency sues first, or whichever party holds the White House.

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The Vote Math Is Getting Harder

Senate leadership needs 60 votes. The Republican coalition is already fractured. Senators Josh Hawley (R-Mo.) and Rand Paul (R-Ky.) were the only two Republicans to vote against the GENIUS Act; per Galaxy Digital analyst Alex Thorn, both are expected to oppose CLARITY as well.

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Senator McConnell has missed votes due to an ongoing medical issue, and the death of Senator Lindsey Graham at 71 further narrows an already thin Republican majority. By Thorn’s calculation, leadership may need as many as nine Democratic crossovers to reach the threshold.

The CLARITY Act faces its last realistic Senate votes in July. With passage odds near 34%, here's what a failed bill means for U.S. firms.
Photo: Senator McConnell

Those crossovers are not secured. Senators Ruben Gallego (D-Ariz.) and Angela Alsobrooks (D-Md.) voted yes in committee but explicitly characterized those votes as conditional, not floor commitments.

Polymarket’s current passage odds in 2026 are approximately 34% and falling.

Discover: The Best Crypto to Diversify Your Portfolio

Clarity Act: Four Disputes, Zero Resolutions

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The first and most visible obstacle is ethics. Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) wrote to Majority Leader John Thune and Minority Leader Chuck Schumer on July 13, demanding guardrails preventing senior officials and members of Congress from profiting off the crypto industry.

The letter cited approximately $1.4 billion in crypto-related income disclosed in the president’s 2025 financial filing. Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (D-N.Y.) has made enforceable ethics language covering officials’ crypto holdings a prerequisite for her support. The merged draft from the Banking and Agriculture committees omits ethics provisions entirely.

A compromise floated by Senator Lummis would allow state attorneys general to sue exchanges that list tokens issued by public officials in violation of the act – but Senate Republicans are unlikely to advance any ethics language the White House actively opposes. For a detailed breakdown of this standoff, see the ethics dispute driving the CLARITY Act delay.

The second dispute centers on law enforcement. The National District Attorneys Association argued to Senate leadership that Section 604, the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act provision, would materially impair criminal investigations by shielding non-custodial software developers from money transmitter obligations.

Senator Ron Wyden (D-Ore.) countered that developers who never control customer funds should not be classified as money transmitters for publishing code. Senators Mark Warner (D-Va.) and Catherine Cortez Masto (D-Nev.) have tied their votes directly to law enforcement’s sign-off.

Third: banking trade groups, including the ABA and ICBA, argue the bill creates a stablecoin yield loophole allowing digital asset platforms to offer interest-equivalent rewards that circumvent the GENIUS Act’s prohibition on issuer-paid interest.

The Independent Community Bankers of America has questioned the bill’s pace entirely. Fourth, and structurally acute: the CFTC has operated with a single commissioner, and the SEC has two vacancies. Rules issued by a lone CFTC commissioner could invite legal challenge and keep jurisdictional uncertainty alive. Senator Amy Klobuchar has proposed blocking the framework from taking effect until at least four CFTC commissioners are confirmed.

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Dutch Court Declares Knaken Crypto Platform Bankrupt

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Dutch Court Declares Knaken Crypto Platform Bankrupt

Cointelegraph is committed to providing independent, high-quality journalism across the crypto, blockchain, AI, and fintech industries.

All news, reviews, and analyses are produced with full journalistic independence and integrity. For more details on our standards and processes, please read our Editorial Policy.

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What is Lighter? Robinhood’s perps DEX

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What is Lighter? Robinhood's perps DEX

Lighter is the exchange running perpetual futures inside Robinhood Wallet. It is also the clearest attempt yet to rebuild payment for order flow on a blockchain, backed by the company that made the practice famous.

Summary

  • Lighter is a decentralized perpetual futures exchange built as an Ethereum layer 2 using custom zero-knowledge circuits, founded in 2022 by Vladimir Novakovski and live on mainnet since October 2025.
  • It is the official perpetuals partner of Robinhood Chain. Eligible users trade perps inside Robinhood Wallet, with USDG as collateral and quote asset, and Robinhood and Lighter split the revenue 50/50.
  • The relationship runs deep. Robinhood Ventures joined a $68 million round in November 2025 at roughly $1.5 billion, Tenev serves as an advisor, and Novakovski mentored Tenev early in his career.
  • The business model is payment for order flow, rebuilt on-chain: zero fees for retail, with revenue coming from selling access to that order flow to sophisticated firms through premium accounts.
  • Americans cannot use it. Perps through Robinhood Wallet are unavailable to residents of the US, UK, Canada, Switzerland, UAE, and Singapore.

Most people encountering Lighter will not encounter it by name. They will open Robinhood Wallet, tap into perpetual futures, and trade. Underneath that tap is a separate company running a zero-knowledge rollup, taking half the revenue, and executing a strategy that would be familiar to anyone who followed the GameStop hearings. Lighter is not simply a venue Robinhood integrated. It is a bet that the most valuable thing in trading is not fees but order flow, and that the way to win the perpetual futures market is to give the trading away and sell what the trading reveals. That idea has a name in traditional finance, and the company whose name is synonymous with it is the one funding this.

What Lighter is

Lighter is a decentralized exchange specializing in perpetual futures, built as an Ethereum layer 2 using custom zero-knowledge circuits. It was founded in 2022 by Vladimir Novakovski, and launched its public mainnet in October 2025 after an extended beta.

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The technical pitch addresses a real tension in on-chain derivatives. Perpetual exchanges historically had to choose: sacrifice decentralization for speed, or sacrifice speed for trustlessness. Centralized venues match orders fast and ask you to trust them. Fully on-chain venues are verifiable and slow. Lighter uses zero-knowledge rollup architecture to attempt both, processing transactions off-chain for speed while posting cryptographic proofs on-chain, which produces verifiable order matching and liquidations at latency competitive with centralized exchanges.

That matters more for perps than for most products. A perpetual futures position is leveraged and margined, which means liquidation is automatic and mechanical. If you cannot verify that a liquidation was executed correctly, you are trusting the venue at the exact moment the venue has the least incentive to be honest with you. Verifiable liquidation is not a marketing feature. It is the point.

Its token is LIT. The market has valued the project in the region of $2.75 billion fully diluted, which is a valuation built on distribution rather than on current fee revenue, for reasons the rest of this article explains.

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The Robinhood relationship

The integration went live with Robinhood Chain’s mainnet on July 1, 2026, announced at the company’s The World is Flat livestream from the Old Royal Naval College in London.

The mechanics: a revamped Robinhood Wallet gives eligible users access to perpetual futures through Lighter. USDG, a dollar stablecoin, serves as both the collateral and the quote asset. Users can deposit Robinhood Chain assets into Lighter’s smart contracts as margin, and the whole experience sits inside Robinhood Wallet, so users never navigate an unfamiliar DeFi interface. When Lighter added Robinhood Chain collateral support, LIT rose roughly 15%.

Two details tell you this is a partnership and not a vendor arrangement. The revenue splits 50/50 between Robinhood and Lighter. And Lighter committed $11 million of its LIT tokens to the Robinhood community, with eligible users earning points on perp trades and double points when trading through Robinhood.

The history behind it runs further than the deal. Robinhood Ventures participated in Lighter’s $68 million funding round in November 2025, which valued the company at roughly $1.5 billion. Tenev serves as an advisor to Lighter and has publicly called it a step forward for decentralized infrastructure. And Novakovski and Tenev share a professional history stretching back over a decade, with Novakovski having mentored Tenev early in his career. Novakovski described the deal as twelve years in the making, which reads as hyperbole until you notice that Robinhood picked a perps partner run by the person who mentored its CEO.

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Lighter frames the Robinhood integration as its first Domain, a template for how the exchange plans to scale: rather than acquiring users directly, it becomes the engine underneath someone else’s front end.

The order flow model

Here is the part that makes Lighter interesting instead of merely well-connected.

Lighter offers zero fees to retail traders. That is not a promotional rate. It is the business model. The revenue comes from the other side: sophisticated firms and high-frequency traders pay for premium accounts that give them access to the venue’s order flow.

Anyone who followed the 2021 retail trading hearings will recognize this immediately. In traditional equity markets, Robinhood does not charge commissions. It routes its customers’ orders to market makers such as Citadel and Virtu, who pay for the privilege. The industry term is payment for order flow, and the economic logic is that retail orders are valuable precisely because they are uninformed. A market maker filling a retail order is unlikely to be trading against someone who knows something. Filling an order from a sophisticated fund is dangerous, because that fund may well know something the market maker does not. Uninformed flow is profitable to intermediate. Informed flow is toxic.

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Lighter reproduces that structure on-chain. Aggregate uninformed retail flow by making it free, then monetize access to it. The valuation logic follows: at a multibillion-dollar fully diluted value, the bet is not that Lighter will eventually raise fees. It is that if Lighter becomes the default engine behind Robinhood Wallet’s crypto users, the value of that order flow to market makers rises accordingly. Retail flow crossing over from stock trading is generally less sharp than crypto-native flow, which makes it more valuable to the firms buying access.

That is a genuinely coherent strategy and it is also the reason Lighter’s current fee generation looks thin against competitors running conventional models. The company is not trying to earn on volume. It is trying to own the pipe.

A worked example of the flow trade

The order flow argument is abstract until you price it, so walk the logic the way a market maker would.

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Imagine two venues, each routing $200 billion of monthly perpetual futures volume. The first is crypto-native, populated by professional traders, arbitrage desks, and funds running systematic strategies. The second is retail crossover, populated by people who mostly trade equities and take directional views on Bitcoin when it is in the news.

To a market maker, those two order books are not remotely the same asset, and the identical volume figure conceals the difference. On the professional venue, a large share of incoming orders carry information. When a systematic fund lifts your offer, there is a meaningful chance it knows something about the next few seconds that you do not, and you are now holding inventory that is about to move against you. The industry term is toxic flow, and market makers price it by widening spreads, which is the cost of being adversely selected.

On the retail venue, the incoming orders are largely uninformed in the technical sense. Not stupid, and not badly intentioned, simply not carrying private information about the immediate direction of price. A market maker filling those orders can hedge calmly and earn the spread with far less adverse selection. That flow is worth substantially more per dollar of volume, and firms will pay for access to it.

Now the business model resolves. Lighter gives retail trading away for free, because the free trading is what aggregates the valuable flow. It sells premium access to the firms that want to interact with that flow. The more retail volume it aggregates, and the less contaminated that volume is by professional activity, the more the access is worth. Robinhood’s distribution is the input: millions of retail stock traders crossing into perps are close to the ideal population for this model, which is precisely why the partnership exists and why the revenue splits evenly.

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That also explains a valuation that looks strange against current fees. At a fully diluted value in the billions, the market is not pricing Lighter’s fee revenue, which is thin by design. It is pricing the possibility that Lighter becomes the default engine behind Robinhood Wallet, at which point the flow it controls becomes considerably more valuable to the firms buying it. The bet is on distribution, not on eventually charging.

The honest counterpoint is that this model has been tested before, at scale, in equities, and it works commercially while generating a permanent argument about whether the customer is the buyer or the product. Nothing about a zero-knowledge proof settles that argument. It only proves that whatever happened, happened as described.

Where it sits in the market

Context matters here, because the perpetuals market is not empty.

Hyperliquid dominates the decentralized perpetuals category and has for some time, having built its position by serving crypto-native traders with high-performance execution. Aster competes on similar ground. Both are fighting for the same audience: sophisticated on-chain traders who care about latency, depth, and fee structure. For more context on the venue Lighter competes against, crypto.news has also examined why HYPE is different inside Hyperliquid’s buyback.

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Lighter has explicitly chosen not to fight there. Its positioning is the traditional finance bridge, and its distribution advantage is a pipeline to millions of retail stock traders that no crypto-native competitor can access. That is a defensible strategic choice: the crypto-native segment is contested and price-sensitive, while the retail crossover segment is large, uncontested, and, for the reasons above, more commercially valuable per unit of volume.

The wider context is that fees across perpetual decentralized exchanges are trending toward zero. In a market where nobody can charge, whoever captures the most valuable flow wins. Lighter is not making an unusual bet so much as making the traditional finance bet earlier than its competitors.

Robinhood has expanded the surface around it, offering commodity, ETF, and foreign exchange perpetuals with up to 10x leverage to European users, while its Earn product pays roughly 7% APY on USDG through Morpho infrastructure. USDG therefore does double duty: yield when idle, margin when deployed.

Who cannot use it

The restriction list is long and it includes the country where Robinhood has most of its customers.

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Perpetual futures through Robinhood Wallet are unavailable to residents of the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, Switzerland, the United Arab Emirates, and Singapore, along with other restricted jurisdictions.

The American exclusion is the one worth understanding, because it is the same wall that blocks Stock Tokens. Perpetual contracts occupy an unresolved zone in US financial law. The CFTC has historically treated perps as swaps, which places them under derivatives regulation that most crypto platforms are not structured to satisfy. That question is live: the CME is currently litigating against the CFTC over precisely how a perp should be classified, and the CLARITY Act would hand the agency primary authority over digital commodity spot markets while the agency itself operates with a single commissioner.

So an American Robinhood customer can hold the stock of the company that co-owns the revenue from a perps exchange they are legally barred from using. That is not an accident. It is a map of where American crypto regulation currently stands.

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The questions worth asking

Three things about this arrangement deserve more scrutiny than they have received.

Whether on-chain payment for order flow attracts the same criticism. The traditional practice drew sustained regulatory attention on the argument that free trading is not free, that customers pay through worse execution, and that the arrangement creates a conflict between a broker’s duty to its customers and its revenue from the firms buying their orders. None of those critiques become less true because the venue posts zero-knowledge proofs. Verifiable matching proves the trade executed as stated. It does not prove the trade was routed to your benefit.

Whether the relationships are disclosed clearly enough. Robinhood Ventures is an investor in Lighter. Tenev is an advisor to Lighter. Novakovski mentored Tenev. Robinhood takes half the revenue. Each of those is individually unremarkable and publicly reported. Together they describe a venue selected through a network of overlapping interests, integrated as the default option inside an app used by millions, and a retail user tapping the perps tab is unlikely to know any of it.

Whether the traffic is real. Robinhood Chain ran a 90-day gas fee subsidy from launch, which inflates transaction counts and makes comparisons with other chains unreliable during the subsidy window. Perps activity routed through the wallet during that period should be read with the same caution. The honest test arrives when the subsidy expires and the flow either persists or does not.

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None of this makes Lighter a bad product. The zero-knowledge architecture is a real answer to a real problem, and verifiable liquidation is worth having. It makes Lighter a product whose economics are worth understanding before you use it, which is a different claim and a more useful one. The trade is free. Something is still being sold.

What to watch

Three concrete signals will settle whether this integration is infrastructure or a distribution experiment.

Whether flow persists after the subsidy. Robinhood Chain ran a 90-day gas fee subsidy from launch. Perps routed through the wallet during that window are trading in artificially cheap conditions. The honest measurement of whether retail crossover users actually want perpetual futures arrives when they start paying real costs, and any volume figure quoted before then carries an asterisk.

Whether premium accounts materialize. The entire valuation thesis rests on sophisticated firms paying for access to Robinhood’s retail order flow. That is a testable claim. If market makers commit at scale, the model works and Lighter’s fully diluted value makes sense. If they do not, Lighter is a zero-fee exchange with no revenue and a large token supply, which is a considerably worse business.

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Whether the regulatory position moves. Americans are barred from perps through the wallet because perpetual contracts sit in an unresolved zone of US law, where the CFTC has historically treated them as swaps. Two things could change that: the CME’s litigation against the CFTC over how a perp is classified, and the CLARITY Act, which would hand the agency primary authority over digital commodity spot markets. If perps come onshore, Robinhood’s largest customer base becomes addressable overnight and this integration stops being a foreign product.

The last one is the real prize and it explains the patience. Building the perps rail now, with a partner run by the CEO’s mentor, in jurisdictions where it is already legal, means that on the day American rules change the distribution is already wired. Robinhood is not building for the market it has. It is building for the one it expects, which is either foresight or an expensive bet on Congress. Worth noting that the agency holding the decision, the CFTC, currently operates with a single confirmed commissioner out of five seats and has lost roughly a fifth of its staff, while simultaneously writing perps rules, asserting jurisdiction over prediction markets, and preparing to inherit crypto spot markets if the CLARITY Act passes. The timeline for American perps therefore depends less on what Robinhood or Lighter build than on whether one understaffed regulator can produce a rulebook. For a user, the practical takeaway is narrower and more useful: the product exists, it works, it is free, and the reason it is free is that something about your trading is being sold to someone. That is not a scandal. It is the deal, and it is worth knowing you are in it.

Frequently asked questions

What is Lighter?

A decentralized perpetual futures exchange built as an Ethereum layer 2 using custom zero-knowledge circuits, founded in 2022 by Vladimir Novakovski and live on mainnet since October 2025. Its architecture processes trades off-chain for speed while posting cryptographic proofs on-chain, producing verifiable order matching and liquidations at latency competitive with centralized venues. Its token is LIT.

How is Lighter connected to Robinhood?

It is the official perpetuals partner of Robinhood Chain, live since the July 1, 2026 mainnet launch. Eligible users trade perps inside Robinhood Wallet using USDG as collateral and quote asset, and the two companies split revenue 50/50. Robinhood Ventures invested in Lighter’s $68 million round in November 2025 at roughly $1.5 billion, and Vlad Tenev serves as an advisor to the company.

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Why does Lighter charge retail nothing?

Because the order flow is the product. Lighter offers zero fees to retail traders and generates revenue by selling sophisticated firms access to that flow through premium accounts. This mirrors payment for order flow in traditional equity markets, where uninformed retail orders are valuable to market makers precisely because they are unlikely to be trading on superior information.

Can Americans use Lighter through Robinhood?

No. Perpetual futures through Robinhood Wallet are unavailable to residents of the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, Switzerland, the United Arab Emirates, and Singapore, among other restricted jurisdictions. Perpetual contracts sit in an unresolved area of US law, where the CFTC has historically treated them as swaps subject to derivatives regulation.

How does Lighter differ from Hyperliquid?

Positioning. Hyperliquid dominates the decentralized perpetuals category by serving crypto-native traders with high-performance execution, and Aster competes on the same ground. Lighter has explicitly chosen not to fight there, positioning itself as a bridge to traditional finance retail through Robinhood’s distribution. Its advantage is access to millions of retail stock traders that crypto-native venues cannot reach.

What is USDG’s role?

It is both the collateral and the quote asset for perpetual futures on the Lighter integration. Users deposit USDG from Robinhood Wallet into Lighter’s smart contracts as margin. The same stablecoin also earns roughly 7% APY through Robinhood Earn’s lending product, built on Morpho infrastructure, giving it a dual purpose: yield when idle, margin when deployed.

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What is the LIT token for?

LIT is Lighter’s native token. Lighter committed $11 million of LIT to the Robinhood community as a partner incentive, with eligible users earning points on perpetual trades and double points when trading through Robinhood. LIT rose roughly 15% when Lighter added support for Robinhood Chain collateral. It is a Lighter token, not a Robinhood Chain token, which does not exist.

What are the risks?

Perpetual futures are leveraged instruments and positions can be liquidated rapidly. Beyond that, the order flow model raises the same questions that payment for order flow attracts in equities: free trading may be paid for through execution quality, and the arrangement creates a conflict between routing decisions and revenue. The overlapping relationships between Robinhood and Lighter are publicly reported but unlikely to be visible to a retail user tapping a tab. Traders should also understand reading positioning on perp venues and how collateral works across positions before using leveraged products.

Disclaimer: This article is for information and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Perpetual futures are leveraged products carrying substantial risk of loss, including losses exceeding the margin posted, and availability varies sharply by jurisdiction. Nothing here is a recommendation to trade any instrument or use any platform. Always do your own research. Information is accurate as of July 17, 2026.

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PI eyes rebound as Open Interest rises and oversold conditions deepen

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A bullish PI chart at $0.082
A bullish PI chart at $0.082

Key takeaways

  • Pi Network (PI) is showing signs of recovery after several days of consolidation and easing selling pressure.
  • Rising Open Interest suggests speculative traders are positioning for a potential rebound.
  • The upcoming Stellar Protocol v25 mainnet upgrade and improving market sentiment could support PI’s recovery.

Pi Network (PI) posted modest gains on Friday after three consecutive sessions of sideways trading, suggesting that selling pressure may be easing following a sharp correction earlier this month.

Although the token remains in a broader downtrend, increasing derivatives activity and deeply oversold technical indicators are fueling speculation that PI could be preparing for a short-term rebound.

Speculative demand begins to strengthen

Pi Network remains one of the cryptocurrency market’s most speculative community-driven assets, making its price particularly sensitive to shifts in investor sentiment.

After a steep sell-off earlier this month, optimism has started to improve as broader market risk appetite stabilizes.

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Another potential catalyst is the Stellar Protocol version 25 mainnet upgrade, scheduled for July 22, which could support sentiment across ecosystems connected to Stellar-based infrastructure.

Meanwhile, derivatives data points to growing speculative interest. According to CoinAnk, Pi Network Open Interest increased to $10.73 million on Friday from $10.44 million a day earlier. 

Open Interest has steadily recovered from $9.11 million recorded on Monday, indicating that traders are gradually returning to the market after the recent correction.

The increase suggests retail investors are beginning to position for a possible recovery, although conviction remains relatively modest.

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PI remains oversold despite stabilizing price action

From a technical perspective, Pi Network continues to trade below the key $0.0800 resistance level, leaving the broader trend bearish.

However, the token has managed to hold near the lower boundary of a falling channel, where technical support is reinforced by the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level at $0.06793.

Holding above this area could provide the foundation for a relief rally if buying momentum continues to build.

Technical indicators are beginning to show early signs that the recent decline may be losing momentum.

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The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has fallen to around 17, placing PI deep in oversold territory. While oversold readings do not guarantee a reversal, they often indicate that selling pressure has become stretched.

At the same time, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) remains below the zero line but is showing signs of weakening bearish momentum, suggesting sellers may be losing control.

If PI extends its recovery, the first resistance level is the 127.2% Fibonacci extension at $0.09613.

A stronger rebound would then face resistance near $0.110, where the upper boundary of the falling channel could limit further gains unless broader market sentiment improves.

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On the downside, the 161.8% Fibonacci extension at $0.06793 remains the most important support level.

PI/USD 4H Chart

A decisive break below that area could expose the 227.2% Fibonacci extension near $0.01463, significantly increasing downside risk.

For now, Pi Network’s deeply oversold technical setup, combined with rising Open Interest and improving market sentiment, suggests that a short-term recovery remains possible, although the broader trend will remain bearish until key resistance levels are reclaimed.

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South Korea’s stock market is officially more volatile than BTC

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South Korea’s stock market is officially more volatile than BTC

BTC is less volatile than South Korea’s stock market. Since the start of June, South Korea’s benchmark KOSPI has swung an average of 3.8% a day, more than double BTC’s 1.7%.

On Thursday alone, South Korea’s benchmark KOSPI fell 6.4% to 6,820, tripping its 37th program-trading halt of 2026, a five-minute regulatory pause to restore order to chaotic markets.

However, that crash wasn’t even its worst session of the week.

Meanwhile, BTC and crypto indices appear to be sailing calmer waters by comparison. On a 12-month basis, KOSPI’s annualized volatility has climbed to 57% against BTC’s 47% — still higher than BTC over this impressive timespan.

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One analyst remarked, “Compared to KOSPI, BTC has become a low-volatility asset. SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics showed volatility of 90% and 78% respectively, an extreme level previously observed only in thematic stocks.”

Investors have swept up SK Hynix and Samsung into the recent frenzy of AI stocks. Both companies make hardware related to the boom in AI chatbots and coding tools like Gemini, Claude, ChatGPT, Grok, and others.

Remarkably, even after its sharp decline in recent days, KOSPI remains 2026’s top-performing stock market of a major economy, still up about 60% despite shedding a quarter of its valuation since June.

Seven market-wide circuit breakers this year

The KOSPI set its record close of 9,114.55 on June 22. One day later it dropped 9.99%, one of the largest single-day declines in the index’s history.

Monday was nearly as brutal. An 8.95% plunge through the 7,000 level triggered its seventh 20-minute, market-wide circuit breaker of 2026. 

A market-wide circuit breaker halts all trading of listed stocks for 20 minutes after an 8% drop. The more common program-trading halt, also known as a sidecar, pauses only certain programmatic orders after sharp futures moves.

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By Wednesday the machinery was working in reverse. The index rebounded 6.24% to 7,284.41. Then Thursday took most of it back. 

The Bank of Korea didn’t help, raising rates 25 basis points to 2.75%, its first rate rise since January 2023.

All the while, BTC has been trading relatively calmly in the $60,000s since the start of June.

Read more: SK Hynix wipes out US debut gain in one day of trading

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Two AI stocks overtake S. Korea’s stock market

South Korea’s index has a structural problem with its arithmetic.

Two companies, Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, are worth half of the KOSPI’s market value. Moreover, exposure to these two companies is amplified by a variety of funds, derivatives, and leveraged funds.

The timing was no accident. SK Hynix joined the $1 trillion club in the same session, with the KOSPI up 95% on the year.

Hungry for leverage to amplify their gains during the upswing, investors demanded new, “2X” single-stock ETFs, which became the market’s center of gravity within weeks.

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These leveraged funds churned 212 trillion won of volume in June alone, over a quarter of the country’s ETF turnover.

Then leverage did what leverage always does: unwind. Their combined assets collapsed 41% between July 1 and July 13, from 15.9 trillion won to 9.3 trillion.

Bloomberg noted that a single Hong Kong-listed fund tied to SK Hynix grew so large that it had become the tail wagging the dog — more responsible for SK Hynix’s volatility than SK Hynix’s common stock itself.

‘Correction of a known policy error’

South Korea’s president promised at the Korea Exchange in June 2025 to “make investing in stocks a primary mode of investment on par with real estate.”

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Retail investors obliged with borrowed money. One 24-year-old who turned as little as 10 million won into 300 million on margin told Reuters, “Just as it went up explosively, it went down explosively.”

Brokers liquidated 1.12 trillion won of margin-called stock in June, the year’s highest monthly total, according to Korea Financial Investment Association data. 

A viral Bull Theory post contextualized 1.2 million “accounts” being margin-called as equivalent roughly one in 30 working age adults. However, no regulator has published account-parsing figures to know precisely how many discrete humans received margin calls.

The downturn has caused real world consequences.

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Sadly, Protos reported this week that a stock trading YouTuber was stabbed in Busan after the market crash.

Seven weeks after approving the products, and after the financial watchdog’s chief conceded the rollout was too hasty, the Financial Services Commission on Thursday halted new listings of 2X single-stock ETFs until markets stabilize.

It also tripled minimum deposits to 30 million won (about $20,300), effective August 5.

Exness strategist Inki Cho called the move “overdue” and said, “This is a correction of a known policy error.”

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BTC, meanwhile, spent the same stretch doing comparatively little. It traded near $64,000 on Thursday, roughly half below its October 2025 peak of about $126,000.

Its CME implied volatility gauge came within three points of a 12-month low last week.

Got a tip? Send us an email securely via Protos Leaks. For more informed news and investigations, follow us on XBluesky, and Google News, or subscribe to our YouTube channel.

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The Future of Autonomous Market Makers

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The Future of Autonomous Market Makers

Introduction

Autonomous Market Makers (AMMs) transformed decentralized finance (DeFi) by replacing traditional order books with smart contracts that automatically provide liquidity and execute trades. Platforms like Uniswap, Curve, Balancer, and many others proved that anyone can become a liquidity provider while enabling permissionless trading around the clock.

However, the next generation of AMMs is poised to become far more intelligent than today’s liquidity pools. Rather than simply following fixed mathematical formulas, future AMMs will leverage artificial intelligence, real-time market data, programmable liquidity, and cross-chain infrastructure to optimize trading, reduce risks, and maximize capital efficiency.

The evolution of AMMs may redefine how liquidity functions across the entire digital economy.


From Passive Liquidity to Intelligent Liquidity

Today’s AMMs generally rely on predetermined algorithms such as the constant product formula (x × y = k). While revolutionary, these systems still face several limitations:

  • Impermanent loss
  • Capital inefficiency
  • Fragmented liquidity
  • Static fee structures
  • Slow adaptation to market volatility

Future autonomous market makers will actively respond to market conditions instead of waiting for liquidity providers to manually adjust positions.

Imagine liquidity pools that automatically:

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  • Shift liquidity where trading demand is highest
  • Modify trading fees during periods of volatility
  • Rebalance portfolios continuously
  • Hedge exposure against extreme market swings
  • Allocate idle capital into yield-generating strategies

Liquidity becomes dynamic instead of passive.


AI-Powered Liquidity Management

Artificial intelligence will likely become one of the biggest upgrades for AMMs.

Machine learning models could analyze:

  • Trading volume
  • Historical volatility
  • On-chain activity
  • Wallet behavior
  • Macroeconomic events
  • Stablecoin flows
  • Cross-chain liquidity movements

Using these insights, AMMs could predict liquidity demand before it happens.

Rather than reacting after volatility occurs, intelligent AMMs may reposition liquidity in anticipation of changing market conditions.

This could significantly reduce impermanent loss while improving execution quality for traders.

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Cross-Chain Autonomous Liquidity

The blockchain ecosystem is no longer confined to a single network.

Assets now move between:

  • Ethereum
  • Solana
  • Base
  • Arbitrum
  • Optimism
  • Avalanche
  • BNB Chain
  • Sui
  • Aptos

Future AMMs won’t be limited to one blockchain.

Instead, autonomous market makers will coordinate liquidity across multiple ecosystems simultaneously.

A single liquidity position could automatically migrate toward whichever blockchain currently offers:

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  • Higher trading volume
  • Better yields
  • Lower transaction costs
  • Greater user demand

Liquidity becomes globally optimized rather than trapped on isolated chains.


Intent-Based Trading

Intent-based architecture is emerging as one of Web3’s most exciting innovations.

Instead of specifying every trading parameter, users simply express what outcome they want.

For example:

“Swap my USDC into ETH at the best possible price before tomorrow.”

An autonomous market maker can then:

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  • Search multiple DEXs
  • Split orders
  • Route across chains
  • Minimize slippage
  • Reduce gas fees
  • Complete execution automatically

The user focuses on outcomes rather than execution mechanics.


Self-Optimizing Fee Models

Today’s AMMs often charge fixed trading fees.

Future systems could dynamically adjust fees based on:

  • Market volatility
  • Liquidity depth
  • Trade size
  • Arbitrage opportunities
  • Network congestion

During periods of high volatility, fees may increase to better compensate liquidity providers.

During quieter periods, fees could decrease to attract more trading activity.

This creates a healthier balance between traders and liquidity providers.

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Autonomous Risk Management

Risk management may eventually become fully automated.

Future AMMs could continuously monitor:

  • Oracle anomalies
  • Flash loan attacks
  • Liquidity concentration
  • Whale movements
  • Smart contract risks
  • Bridge vulnerabilities

If abnormal conditions are detected, liquidity parameters could automatically tighten or temporarily pause certain functions to reduce exposure.

This makes decentralized exchanges more resilient without requiring constant human intervention.


Tokenized Real-World Assets

As tokenized real-world assets (RWAs) continue to expand, AMMs will likely become the liquidity engine for:

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  • Tokenized Treasury bills
  • Real estate
  • Carbon credits
  • Commodities
  • Private credit
  • Corporate bonds
  • Tokenized equities

Autonomous liquidity systems will help price these assets more efficiently while maintaining deep, global liquidity around the clock.


Personalized Liquidity Strategies

Not every liquidity provider has the same goals.

Future AMMs may allow users to select AI-driven strategies tailored to their preferences, such as:

  • Conservative income generation
  • Low-volatility portfolios
  • Aggressive yield optimization
  • Stablecoin-focused liquidity
  • Long-term asset accumulation

Instead of manually managing positions, users could delegate optimization to autonomous agents that continuously adjust strategies according to predefined risk preferences.


The Rise of Autonomous Financial Infrastructure

Eventually, autonomous market makers may evolve beyond decentralized exchanges.

They could become foundational infrastructure powering:

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  • Lending markets
  • Stablecoin issuance
  • Prediction markets
  • Gaming economies
  • Tokenized securities
  • Machine-to-machine payments
  • AI agent economies

As autonomous software agents begin conducting transactions on behalf of humans, intelligent AMMs could provide the liquidity layer that enables these machine-driven economies to function efficiently.


Challenges Ahead

Despite their promise, autonomous market makers still face significant hurdles:

  • Ensuring AI decision-making remains transparent and auditable
  • Protecting against manipulation of automated strategies
  • Maintaining decentralization while increasing complexity
  • Securing cross-chain infrastructure
  • Navigating evolving regulatory frameworks
  • Balancing automation with user control

Addressing these challenges will be essential to building trust and encouraging widespread adoption.


Climax

Autonomous Market Makers represent the next major evolution of decentralized finance. By combining AI, cross-chain interoperability, programmable liquidity, and automated risk management, they have the potential to make markets smarter, more efficient, and more accessible than ever before.

Rather than relying on static formulas alone, future AMMs will continuously learn, adapt, and optimize in real time. As blockchain ecosystems mature and financial activity becomes increasingly automated, these intelligent liquidity engines could serve as the backbone of a truly autonomous global financial system—one where capital flows seamlessly, markets respond instantly, and decentralized finance operates with unprecedented efficiency.

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UK Court Sentences 2 Hackers Behind $115M Crypto Ransom Plot

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Crypto Breaking News

The UK’s National Crime Agency (NCA) and City of London Police have secured prison sentences for two men they say were involved with the “Scattered Spider” hacking group, a cybercrime crew prosecutors link to ransomware and cryptocurrency extortion schemes across the UK and the United States.

According to an NCA press release, the men pleaded guilty at Woolwich Crown Court on June 22 and were sentenced to five years and six months on Thursday. Authorities say the case is part of broader efforts to dismantle financially motivated cyberattacks in which cryptocurrency often plays a central role.

Key takeaways

  • Two men connected to Scattered Spider received five years and six months in prison after guilty pleas at Woolwich Crown Court.
  • UK investigators linked the group to intrusion activity targeting London’s public transport network in September 2024.
  • US prosecutors have associated Scattered Spider with collecting at least $115 million in crypto ransom payments from dozens of US companies.
  • Prosecutors say earlier attacks included a Caesars Entertainment breach and a subsequent Bitcoin ransom payment.
  • The US Department of Justice previously reported an FBI seizure of about $36 million tied to wallets linked to the group.

UK sentencing follows a high-profile transport network breach

The NCA and City of London Police stated that the two defendants were associated with Scattered Spider. Investigators have previously linked the group to an intrusion into London’s public transport network in September 2024, an incident reported to have produced losses and recovery costs totaling 29 million British pounds (about $38.9 million).

That alleged breach underscores why cybercrime attributed to Scattered Spider has drawn attention beyond typical corporate fraud: public-sector and critical services are often targeted because operational disruption can be immediate and expensive, even when organizations ultimately recover their systems.

US prosecutors tie the group to crypto extortion at scale

The UK case comes as US authorities describe Scattered Spider’s wider footprint. A September press release from the Department of Justice (DOJ) said US prosecutors linked the group to collecting $115 million in cryptocurrency ransom payments from at least 47 US companies.

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In the same DOJ release, prosecutors also characterized the attacks as disruptive to a broad range of targets—including critical infrastructure and the federal court system—suggesting that Scattered Spider’s activity was not limited to isolated enterprises but extended to organizations with heightened operational and regulatory importance.

That pattern matters for crypto investors and exchange and compliance stakeholders as well, because extortion campaigns can drive recurring demand for laundering services and complicate efforts to trace stolen funds once ransoms are paid.

Earlier allegations include Caesars Entertainment ransom in Bitcoin

The DOJ press release also accused Scattered Spider of breaching Caesars Entertainment and stealing a large customer database in September 2023. In connection with that incident, prosecutors said Caesars paid a $15 million ransom in Bitcoin (BTC).

For readers tracking the intersection of ransomware and cryptocurrency payments, this detail reflects a recurring dynamic in extortion cases: victims may seek to move quickly to stop ongoing damage, while attackers often demand digital assets that are typically easier to move than traditional payment rails.

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FBI action targeting Scattered Spider-linked crypto wallets

The DOJ’s September release further reported that, in July 2024, the FBI seized approximately $36 million worth of cryptocurrency from wallets said to be linked to Scattered Spider.

According to the DOJ, investigators tied the group to at least 120 computer network intrusions. The agency said it traced and seized digital assets connected to wallets allegedly controlled by group members as part of its investigation.

While the UK sentencing is focused on two individual defendants, the seizure case highlights how law enforcement actions often span multiple stages—identifying suspected actors, attributing intrusions, and then attempting to disrupt the money movement that fuels ransomware and related extortion.

Looking ahead, the key uncertainty is how these cases will translate into sustained disruption of Scattered Spider’s operational capabilities. Readers should watch for further announcements on additional arrests, more wallet-related seizures, and any follow-up reporting that clarifies the extent of responsibility for the reported London transport breach and other high-profile targets.

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Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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AI frenzy losing steam leaves BTC price less volatile than South Korea’s Kospi: Crypto Daily

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AI frenzy losing steam leaves BTC price less volatile than South Korea's Kospi: Crypto Daily

For bitcoin supporters, the reality that BTC is steadier than the Kospi is a notable victory. Still, the largest cryptocurrency remains twice as volatile and risky as the S&P 500 index, whose 30-day volatility index (VIX) sits below 20%. Perhaps the true milestone for bitcoin bulls will be the day when the VIX becomes more expensive than the BVIV.

In the meantime, bitcoin’s price remains under pressure, trading below its widely followed 50-day moving average, though there is a glimmer of optimism. According to analytics firm Nansen, the wallets that typically move first and in the largest size during geopolitical flare-ups have not meaningfully shifted into stablecoins.

“This is consistent with prior Middle East flare-ups: Short-term leveraged longs get flushed, and then accumulation resumes,” Nicolai Sondergaard, a research analyst at Nansen, said in an email.

Other market observers are urging a focus on the forthcoming hearings in Washington D.C.

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“The Clarity Act faces what could be its final test today, the industry insisting its gets done while the bill snags on Trump conflict of interest provisions and fresh Senate hurdles before the August recess. This is the regulatory clarity the institutional bid has been waiting for,” analysts at Marex said.

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Ethereum Drops 4%, but Analysts Still See a Path Toward $2,245 and Beyond

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Ethereum dropped by around 4% in the past 24 hours, slipping back to around $1,835 after briefly climbing above $1,930 earlier this week.

Despite the pullback, two market analysts continue to point to near-term upside based on different indicators, although one believes the recovery will be followed by a much deeper correction before a new bull cycle begins.

ETH Market Roadmap

Upon observing Ethereum’s historical behavior around the 0.8 MVRV Pricing Band, Ali Martinez found that the asset has repeatedly rallied toward, or even above, its Realized Price after reclaiming the band as support over the past six years. After briefly trading below the 0.8 MVRV band, ETH has now moved back above it, which prompted Martinez to identify its Realized Price at $2,245 as the next major level to watch if the historical pattern repeats.

Separately, Tony Research said the market is unfolding as he previously expected after Ethereum reached $1,900. The analyst believes the current correction into the $1,800 zone will be followed by a rally toward $2,000, and a further move to around $2,200 could transpire if Bitcoin climbs to $70,000.

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After that, Tony Research expects 7-10 days of distribution before Ethereum declines into a final bottom zone between $1,260 and $890, which the analyst considers a dollar-cost averaging opportunity ahead of a new bull cycle targeting $7,000. It is also likely that ETH could briefly retest its 2022 bottom with a wick without breaking the broader trend.

The analyst explained that the outlook depends heavily on Bitcoin’s performance.

ETF Inflows Stall

On the institutional side of things, US-based spot Ethereum ETFs saw more than $28 million in net outflows after posting inflows for two straight days. Grayscale’s ETH recorded the largest withdrawals at nearly $14.3 million, followed by Fidelity’s FETH with $11 million and Grayscale’s ETHE with $4.8 million in outflows.

On the other hand, Bitwise’s ETHW was the only fund to attract fresh capital after bringing in $2.3 million, according to data compiled by SoSoValue.

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Despite this, July has remained positive overall, as total net inflows surpassed $190 million. So far this year, these funds have posted net outflows in five months, while only April and July have recorded net inflows.

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UK Sentences Two Tied to $115M Crypto Ransom, Public Transport Breach

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UK Sentences Two Tied to $115M Crypto Ransom, Public Transport Breach

The United Kingdom National Crime Agency (NCA) and City of London Police said two men associated with the “Scattered Spider” hacking group were sentenced to five years and six months in prison.

The two pleaded guilty during their first court appearance at Woolwich Crown Court on June 22 and were sentenced on Thursday, according to a press release from the NCA.

British authorities said the pair were part of the Scattered Spider cybercrime group, which investigators have linked to high-profile ransomware and cryptocurrency extortion attacks targeting companies in the UK and the US.

The hacking group was linked to the infiltration of London’s public transport network in September 2024, leading to a reported 29 million British pounds ($38.9 million) in losses and recovery costs.

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US prosecutors linked the Scattered Spider group to collecting $115 million in crypto ransom payments from at least 47 US companies, according to a September press release from the Department of Justice (DOJ).

The group was also accused of breaching Caesars Entertainment and stealing a large customer database in September 2023, prompting the company to pay a $15 million ransom in Bitcoin (BTC).

US prosecutors said the group’s attacks disrupted businesses and organizations nationwide, including critical infrastructure and the federal court system.

Source: Dark Web Informer

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Related: MacOS malware hijacks Telegram sessions, targets crypto wallets: SlowMist

FBI seized $36 million from Scattered Spider-linked wallets

In July 2024, the FBI seized about $36 million worth of cryptocurrency from Scattered Spider-linked wallets, according to the DOJ’s September release.

According to the DOJ, investigators linked the group to at least 120 computer network intrusions. It said the FBI traced and seized digital assets tied to wallets allegedly controlled by members of the group as part of its investigation.

“These malicious attacks caused widespread disruption to US businesses and organizations, including critical infrastructure and the federal court system, highlighting the significant and growing threat posed by brazen cybercriminals,” said Matthew Galeotti, then acting assistant attorney general of the Justice Department’s Criminal Division.

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Maestro Supports Robinhood Chain: The Fastest Trading Bot on the New L2

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Maestro is live on Robinhood Chain, the new Ethereum layer-2 built on Arbitrum that has quickly become one of the busiest spots in crypto for memecoins and new launches. Attention around the chain continues to rise, led by CASHCAT and the new tokens launching in its wake.

The market moves fast, and Maestro keeps you ahead.

Maestro runs entirely in Telegram, so there’s no separate app or extension standing between you and a trade. Everything happens in one place, from your first buy to managing an open position. Decide to trade and you’re in, no delay, no detours.

What is Robinhood Chain

Robinhood Chain is Robinhood’s own Ethereum layer-2, built on Arbitrum. Robinhood positioned the chain around tokenized stocks and real-world assets, but memecoin trading took off just as quickly. Low fees and quick transactions make it a natural fit for high-frequency trading, and that’s the version Maestro is built for: fast, permissionless, and running around the clock.

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Here’s everything the Robinhood Chain trading bot puts in a trader’s hands.

What you can do on Robinhood Chain

Maestro arrives fully loaded on Robinhood Chain, with fast execution, extensive DEX and launchpad coverage, and all the tools you need to move first.

Speed comes first. Quick buys and swaps get you into a position while a token’s still running, buying the moment you click, with no approval step in the way. When a token’s moving, every second counts, and Maestro can get you there first.

For the moves you’d rather not sit and watch, limit orders let you set your price and step away. Maestro executes the moment the market hits it. Catch a dip you’ve been waiting on, or take profit at your target while you’re nowhere near the screen.

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When the smart money’s already positioned, copy trading puts you on the same side. Track any wallet worth following and Maestro copies every trade that wallet makes in real time, so you’re never the last one in.

Coverage that keeps growing

Robinhood Chain’s onchain activity has exploded, and new tokens don’t all launch in the same place. Miss where one launches and you miss the trade. Maestro gives you the fastest access to every launchpad and DEX that matters. Trading is live across Uniswap v2, v3 and v4, with launchpad support across Virtuals, Bankr, Flap.sh, Livo.trade, Trench.today, Bags.fm, RobinFun, LeaveHood, HoodFun, ApeStore, Noxa, Printr, Pons and more. New integrations land as fast as they launch, so you’re covered wherever the next run starts.

More money back with every trade

Cashback is Maestro’s way of paying you back for trading. Every trade returns up to 30% of your trading fees, and on a chain built for fast, high-volume trading, that adds up quickly. Cashback applies on every chain Maestro supports, Robinhood Chain included, so the more you trade, and the more chains you trade across, the more of that cost comes back to you. Few trading bots make staying active this rewarding.

Bridge in without leaving the chat

Moving funds onto Robinhood Chain has never been simpler. Maestro handles bridging directly in the bot, and offers two routes depending on what matters most. Relay Protocol is the fast, lower-cost option when you just want funds on the chain and ready to trade. Houdini Swap is the private one, routing your funds so there’s no link left between your wallets. Either way, bridging is part of the same flow as your first trade, not a separate errand before it.

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Trading Robinhood Chain, start to finish

Getting in is quick. Open Maestro in Telegram, bridge funds onto Robinhood Chain through Relay Protocol or Houdini Swap, and you’re ready to trade. Paste a token’s contract address, set your buy amount, and the order goes through at the best available price in a couple of taps. From there, you manage everything in the same chat. Set a limit order to take profit, add to a position that’s working, or sell whenever you want. No tab-hopping needed.

The original bot, on a new chain

Maestro didn’t just show up for Robinhood Chain. The first Telegram trading bot has spent years proving itself on the fastest, most competitive chains in crypto, and all of that experience came to Robinhood Chain from day one. Traders here get the same engine that’s earned trust everywhere else Maestro runs, with the full toolkit ready from the start.

Another chain, another edge

Robinhood Chain is one of the fastest-evolving markets in crypto, and Maestro is all hands on deck to give traders the edge they deserve. That means deeper coverage and faster execution as the chain evolves. That’s how Maestro has always operated, and how it keeps setting the standard for trading bots everywhere.

Start trading on Robinhood Chain with Maestro today.

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