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Dalal Street Week Ahead: Protect gains, avoid fresh longs until key levels hold

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Dalal Street Week Ahead: Protect gains, avoid fresh longs until key levels hold
The markets traded in a relatively narrower range through the week with a clear negative bias and ended lower. After opening near the higher end of the range, Nifty attempted an early push toward 26,009 but failed to sustain the move and gradually drifted lower. Selling pressure intensified toward the latter half, dragging the index to an intra-week low of 25,444 before settling near the lower end of the range.

The index oscillated within a 565-point band. India VIX rose sharply by 11.33% to 13.29, reflecting a pickup in volatility and some nervousness creeping back into the system. Nifty ended the week with a net loss of 222.60 points (-0.87%).

Screenshot 2026-02-14 180251Agencies

The broader structure continues to show a market that is in a medium-term uptrend but currently undergoing a corrective phase within that trend. On the weekly chart, Nifty has slipped below its 20-week moving average (25,728) and is hovering above the 50-week MA (24,931), placing it in a critical intermediate support zone.

The price action over the past several weeks resembles a mild distribution phase near the recent highs, and the index is now testing the lower boundary of the falling trend line. The 24,900–24,950 zone remains a major support area on a closing basis; a sustained breach below this band could open the door for a deeper retracement toward the 24,350–24,400 region. On the upside, only a decisive move back above 25,800–26,000 would negate the immediate weakness and restore directional strength.

For the coming week, the markets are likely to see a cautious and potentially volatile start given the rise in VIX and the index closing near its weekly low. Immediate resistance levels are placed at 25,728 (20-week MA) and 26,000. Key supports come in at 25100 and 24,950. The weekly RSI stands at 50.17, having slipped below its recent peaks and now sitting in neutral territory; there is no visible bullish or bearish divergence against price at this point. The weekly MACD remains above the zero line but is below its signal line, indicating a loss of upward momentum. The latest candle is a bearish body following a phase of hesitation near the highs, hinting at growing supply at elevated levels.

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From a pattern perspective, the index appears to be forming a short-term topping structure after failing to sustain above the recent highs. The inability to hold above the upper Bollinger Band and the subsequent drift toward the middle band reflect waning momentum. The 50-week MA at 24,931 and the 100-week MA at 24,359 form a layered support cluster below current levels, while the 200-week MA continues to slope upward, underscoring that the long-term trend remains intact despite near-term pressure.
Given this setup, a measured and stock-specific approach is advisable. Traders should avoid aggressive fresh longs until the index either reclaims 25,800 decisively or retests and stabilizes around the 24,900–24,950 support zone. Protection of existing gains should take precedence over chasing momentum. The coming week demands disciplined risk management and selective participation rather than broad-based aggressive positioning.In our look at Relative Rotation Graphs®, we compared various sectors against the CNX500 (NIFTY 500 Index), representing over 95% of the free-float market cap of all the listed stocks.

Screenshot 2026-02-14 180322Agencies
Screenshot 2026-02-14 180345Agencies

Relative Rotation Graphs (RRG) show that the Nifty PSE Sector Index has rolled inside the leading quadrant. Besides this, even IT index is inside the leading quadrant, but is seen rapidly giving up on its relative momentum. The other sector Indices that are inside the leading quadrant are Services Sector, Bank Nifty, PSU Bank, Metal, and Financial Services Indices. These groups may relatively outperform the broader
markets.

The Auto and the Midcap 100 Index are inside the weakening quadrant. The Infrastructure Index is also inside this quadrant but it is improving on its relative momentum.

The Nifty Pharma Index has rolled inside the lagging quadrant. While the FMCG Index languishes inside the lagging quadrant, the Realty Index is seen improving its relative momentum.

The Media and the Energy Indices are placed inside the improving quadrant. Important Note: RRGTM chartsshow the relative strength and momentum of a group of stocks. In the above Chart, they show relative performance against NIFTY500 Index (Broader Markets) and should not be used directly as buy or sell signals.

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Walmart Earnings, FOMC Meeting Minutes In Focus Next Week

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OneWater Marine Inc. (ONEW) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Get ahead of the market by subscribing to Seeking Alpha’s Wall Street Week Ahead, a preview of key events scheduled for the coming week. The newsletter keeps you informed of the biggest stories set to make headlines, including upcoming IPOs, investor days, earnings reports, and conference presentations.

Wall Street’s major market averages observed limited movements on Friday as traders digested the latest round of key retail inflation data. On the economic front, the January Consumer Price Index came in at +0.2% M/M versus the +0.3% consensus and +0.3% prior readings. At the same time, core CPI (excludes food and energy) arrived at +0.3% M/M versus the +0.3% consensus and +0.2% prior level.

The economic calendar is lighter next week as markets remain closed on Monday for Washington’s Birthday. The majority of the important economic data is concentrated in the latter half of the holiday-shortened week, with the FOMC’s minutes of the meeting and initial jobless claims releasing on Thursday. Preliminary GDP numbers, along with February PMI data and new home sales data for December, are due on Friday.

Alibaba (BABA), Walmart (WMT), Palo Alto Networks (PANW), and Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) are among the companies reporting in the coming week.

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_______________________________________________________________

Earnings spotlight: Tuesday: Palo Alto Networks, Medtronic (MDT). See the full earnings calendar.

Earnings spotlight: Wednesday: DoorDash, Occidental (OXY). See the full earnings calendar.

Earnings spotlight: Thursday: Walmart. See the full earnings calendar.

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Volatility watch: (BMNR) and (SNDK) are set up for a volatile week of trading based on options volume. The most overbought stocks per their 14-day relative strength index include TechCreate Group (TCGL), Peakstone Realty Trust (PKST), and Ball (BALL). The most oversold stocks per their 14-day Relative Strength Index include Verisk (VRSK), Doximity (DOCS), and CS Disco (LAW).

IPO watch: AGI (AGBK), Arko Petroleum (

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Elon Musk, Reid Hoffman clash over Jeffrey Epstein ties on social media

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Elon Musk, Reid Hoffman clash over Jeffrey Epstein ties on social media

An ongoing dispute between Elon Musk and LinkedIn co-founder Reid Hoffman has erupted on social media, renewing scrutiny of the tech titans’ past associations with the late financier and convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein.

The public spat intensified following renewed attention to Epstein’s network and the latest release of Justice Department documents related to the case.

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A side by side photo showing Elon Musk and Reid Hoffman as the two tech titans trade barbs on social media.

A side by side photo of Elon Musk and Reid Hoffman as the two tech titans trade barbs on social media. (Marc Piaseck/Dominik Bindl/Getty Images / Getty Images)

Both billionaires shared screenshots of emails drawn from the roughly 3 million pages of records as they traded accusations and defended their respective accounts of their interactions with Epstein.

Hoffman posted a 2012 email from Musk to Epstein asking which “day/night will be the wildest party on your island?”

The pointed barbs come with a history.

Musk and Hoffman were once part of the so-called “PayPal mafia,” a group of early PayPal leaders who went on to found or invest in some of Silicon Valley’s most successful companies. In recent years, however, the two have clashed publicly over politics and tech policy.

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Responding to Hoffman’s post on X, Musk said he never followed through on any visit.

EPSTEIN EMAILS REVEAL BEHIND-THE-SCENES TALK OF FIRING FED CHAIR POWELL

Elon Musk is seen on stage at a conference in Paris, France.

Elon Musk, CEO of SpaceX and Tesla and owner of X, has previously downplayed having a personal relationship with Epstein. (Gonzalo Fuentes/File Photo/Reuters / Reuters Photos)

“The big difference between you and me, Reid, is that you went and I did not,” Musk wrote on X, referring to Epstein’s private island, a location tied to allegations of sexual abuse and trafficking of children and teens.

“In fact, you went multiple times. First time was maybe a mistake, but not the second time you went,” the Tesla and SpaceX boss wrote.

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EX-PRINCE ANDREW LEAVES ROYAL MANSION ‘IN DEAD OF NIGHT’ AFTER COMPROMISING EPSTEIN PHOTOS SURFACE: EXPERT

Musk later said he “came to [his] senses and declined to go,” adding that Epstein “tried to get me to go to his island so many times that eventually I just blocked him.”

Hoffman pushed back on Musk’s accusations, arguing that his dealings with Epstein were tied to fundraising for the MIT Media Lab rather than any personal relationship. He acknowledged the association was a mistake and said he regrets any involvement with Epstein.

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The renewed clash has once again drawn attention to Epstein’s vast network of powerful associates and the lingering questions surrounding those who had contact with him. 

While both men insist their ties were limited, the public exchange underscores how associations with Epstein continue to carry reputational and political consequences years after his death.

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European reaction to Rubio’s speech on transatlantic ties at Munich Security Conference

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European reaction to Rubio’s speech on transatlantic ties at Munich Security Conference


European reaction to Rubio’s speech on transatlantic ties at Munich Security Conference

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Exclusive-US military preparing for potentially weeks-long Iran operations

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Exclusive-US military preparing for potentially weeks-long Iran operations


Exclusive-US military preparing for potentially weeks-long Iran operations

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People on the move: North East appointments and promotions

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Business Live

Companies and organisations featuring in this week’s round-up include: Northumbrian Water, Bellway, James Burrell and Business Enterprise Fund

Jodie Stewart started as a digital technology solutions professional apprentice.

Jodie Stewart has been promoted to business analyst. (Image: Northumbrian Water)

Northumbrian Water has promoted University of Sunderland apprentice Jodie Stewart to the role of business analyst.

The move comes in the second year of Ms Stewart’s studies following her start as digital technology solutions apprentice. She joined the degree apprenticeship programme which offers six pathways including software engineering, IT consulting, business analysis, cybersecurity, data analysis and network engineering.

Ms Stewart said: “I had already attended a year of university to become a primary school teacher, and I decided that that wasn’t the right career for me. It was when I was working in a co-working space for tech companies and start-ups, I found what they were doing really interesting. So when I found this apprenticeship, I thought it was absolutely perfect because you get to see so many different teams and departments that cover so many aspects of digital solutions.”

Louise Patterson, head of IS operations and resource management at Northumbrian Water, said: “Jodie truly reflects what our apprenticeship scheme is all about, her drive, curiosity and willingness to immerse herself across different digital teams, which has not only accelerated her own development but also made a real impact here at Northumbrian Water. We’re incredibly proud of her progression and the positive impact she’s had across the region and excited to see where her talent and determination will take her next.”

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Lizzie Jowett joins BEF NE from Bradford BID.

Lizzie Jowett and Lee Vickers of Business Enterprise Fund North East.(Image: Business Enterprise Fund)

Not for profit finance provider Business Enterprise Fund (BEF) North East has appointed Lizzie Jowett to its Sunderland-based team.

Ms Jowett’s more than 13 year career has covered stints at Santander, Metro Bank and as director of Bradford BID. She is said to bring a deep commercial expertise and enthusiasm to the role, along with a talent for helping female-led organisations to thrive.

She said: “Joining BEF’s North East office is an exciting journey for me. This is one of the most dynamic regions in the UK to do business. People in a huge mix of sectors are being constantly inspired to do great things. It feels amazing to be the one who gets to help them along the road to success.”

Lee Vickers, BEF’s head of North East investments said: “We’re more than delighted to have Lizzie join us. Growing a team is always a positive sign, but being able to grow it with your ideal choice of candidates is particularly rewarding. We’re humbled that the very best talent wants to come and work with us. Lizzie’s track record places her firmly within that bracket. North East businesses have gained a fantastic advocate.”

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Bellway's Ciaran Wilson.

Ciaran Wilson, apprentice at Bellway.(Image: Neil Phillips Photo and Film Ltd)

Housebuilder Bellway says it has helped a 23 year-old apprentice quantity surveyor to get his career on the right track.

The Newcastle firm employed Ciaran Wilson from Swindon after he decided a law degree was not for him. He says his degree apprenticeship is the path he would have taken after leaving school had he known it was an option and believe the route should be more widely recognised.

The end result is a degree of the same value as one achieved on a full-time course. Mr Wilson’s degree apprenticeship with Bellway and Northumbria University will finish it in the summer of 2029.

He said: “I didn’t know about apprenticeships before but if I had been shown a degree apprenticeship before I’d have taken it. He added: “I can learn something in a lecture and then see it in reality. I can come to work and say I understand it. It means you get more overall knowledge. My uni work increases my understanding in my job, and my job informs what to write in my uni work. My essays are much stronger, and I feel better about them and have a greater understanding.”

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James Burrell has made a board level appointment.

From left: Mark Richardson, Rob Richardson and Nick Richardson.(Image: James Burrell Builders Merchants.)

James Burrell Builders Merchants has appointed Nick Richardson to its board of directors, joining fellow directors Mark Richardson and Rob Richardson.

Mr Richardson joined James Burrell in 2017, beginning his career within the accounts team, where he spent several years developing a detailed understanding of the company’s financial operations. He later broadened his experience within the purchasing team, gaining valuable insight into supplier relationships and stock management.

He has led the integration of a company-wide computer system, a transformational investment that has overhauled internal processes, improved efficiency, and laid strong foundations for future growth.

Mark Richardson said: “As a family-run business, we take great pride in our heritage and the values that have guided us for generations. We also remain committed to innovation and to meeting the evolving needs of the construction industry. Nick’s appointment is the natural next step on his journey, and we are confident that his expertise and leadership will be instrumental in shaping the future of the company.”

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Too Many Worries Exist To Get On Board With TFI International (NYSE:TFII)

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Too Many Worries Exist To Get On Board With TFI International (NYSE:TFII)

This article was written by

Daniel is an avid and active professional investor.
He runs Crude Value Insights, a value-oriented newsletter aimed at analyzing the cash flows and assessing the value of companies in the oil and gas space. His primary focus is on finding businesses that are trading at a significant discount to their intrinsic value by employing a combination of Benjamin Graham’s investment philosophy and a contrarian approach to the market and the securities therein. Learn more.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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Team Giannis Edges Team Anthony in Thrilling LA Showdown

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The NBA All-Star Game will be played March 7 in Atlanta, the league announced Thursday

The 2026 Ruffles NBA All-Star Celebrity Game delivered a slam-dunk spectacle Friday night at the Kia Forum, with Team Giannis Antetokounmpo rallying for a 65-58 victory over Team Anthony Anderson in a high-energy affair packed with viral moments, athletic feats and star power.

The NBA All-Star Game will be played March 7 in Atlanta, the league announced Thursday
The NBA All-Star Game
NBAE / Getty Images / Garrett Ellwood

Former NBA center Tacko Fall stole the show, posting a historic 20 points and 20 rebounds en route to MVP honors, while Jason “White Chocolate” Williams dazzled with vintage handles and GloRilla brought infectious energy. The win caps a star-studded All-Star Weekend kickoff, setting the stage for Saturday’s Skills Challenge and Sunday’s marquee game.

Epic comeback: Team Giannis overcomes halftime deficit

Trailing by 10 at halftime (42-32), Team Giannis flipped the script in the second half behind Fall’s paint dominance and Rome Flynn’s sharpshooting. A 20-5 third-quarter run tied it at 55, and clutch plays sealed the seven-point triumph.

Quarter scores:

Quarter Team Giannis Team Anthony
1st 14 16
2nd 18 26
3rd 19 7
4th 14 9
Final 65 58 ​

Special rules — including 4-point shots and halftime K-pop act — amped excitement at the Kia Forum.

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Tacko Fall’s 20-20 monster game cements MVP legacy

At 7-foot-6, Fall owned the glass with 20 rebounds, 20 points, 4 blocks and thunderous dunks, including a reverse alley-oop from Rome Flynn. “Tacko Time” chants echoed as he swatted shots and posterized defenders, earning unanimous MVP nods.​

Fall: “This crowd energy is unreal. Playing with these stars — dream come true.” His stat line echoes Wilt Chamberlain lore, fitting All-Star flair.​

Standout performers light up Kia Forum

Team Giannis (65):

  • Tacko Fall: 20 pts, 20 reb, 4 blk (MVP)​
  • Rome Flynn: 22 pts (multiple 3s)​
  • Shams Charania: 8 pts (deep 8-footer attempt viral)
  • Jeremy Lin: Veteran savvy, alley-oops
  • Keegan-Michael Key: Hustle, laughs

Team Anthony (58):

  • Keenan Allen: Defensive stops, 12 pts​
  • GloRilla: High-energy, rebounds​
  • Jason Williams: Flashy handles, assists
  • Simu Liu: Athletic dunks​
  • Mustard: Production flair

Coaches Giannis Antetokounmpo/Thanasis and Anthony Anderson/Mookie Betts added sideline antics.

Viral moments steal the show

  • Fall’s reverse alley-oop: Flynn-to-Fall poster electrified crowd.​
  • Shams’ deep bomb: ESPN insider’s 8-footer attempt meme gold.
  • Williams’ no-look passes: White Chocolate vintage delights.
  • GloRilla hustle: Rapper’s rebounds, energy ignite fans.​
  • Halftime K-pop: First-ever act hyped intermission.

7 p.m. ET tipoff streamed on ESPN, Disney+ (Philippines).

Rosters packed with NBA stars, celebs, influencers

Team Giannis:

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  • Keegan-Michael Key (actor)
  • Rome Flynn (actor/model)
  • Dylan Wang (actor/singer)
  • Shams Charania (ESPN)
  • Jenna Bandy (creator)
  • Rick Schnall (businessman)
  • Tacko Fall (CBA/NBA alum)
  • Jeremy Lin (NBA alum)

Team Anthony:

  • Simu Liu (actor)
  • Cody Jones (creator)
  • Badshah (rapper)
  • Andre de Grasse (sprinter)
  • Taylor Frankie Paul (TV star)
  • Mat Ishbia (Suns owner)
  • Jason Williams (NBA alum)
  • Nicolas Vansteenberghe (TV star)
  • Mustard (producer)
  • Adrien Nunez (influencer)
  • Keenan Allen (Chargers WR)

Coaches: Giannis/Thanasis Antetokounmpo vs. Anthony Anderson/Mookie Betts.

All-Star Weekend schedule heats up

Saturday, Feb. 14:

  • 4 p.m. ET: Adam Silver presser
  • Skills, 3-Point, Dunk contests

Sunday, Feb. 15:

  • Rising Stars, All-Star Game at Intuit Dome

Celebrity game sets festive tone for LA weekend.

Fan reactions: Tacko MVP, viral dunks dominate

Social exploded: #CelebrityGameMVP trended with 500K+ mentions; Fall’s dunks garnered 10M views. “Tacko owns LA!” trended; Williams’ handles nostalgic hit.

Game’s competitive edge — Fall’s blocks, Flynn’s 3s — elevated beyond exhibitions.​

Legacy: Tacko cements icon status

Fall’s double-double joins Chamberlain rarities in celeb lore; Lin/Williams add gravitas. Game’s new format, halftime K-pop innovates tradition.

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2026 Celebrity Game — Fall’s dominance, Giannis’ win — perfect All-Star appetizer, LA shining.

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Vertiv Stock: Robust Outlook Predicated On Strong AI Capital Deployment (NYSE:VRT)

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Vertiv Stock: Robust Outlook Predicated On Strong AI Capital Deployment (NYSE:VRT)

This article was written by

Monte Independent Investment Research: Michael Del Monte is a buy-side equity analyst with expertise in the technology, energy, industrials, and materials sectors. Prior to working in the investment management industry, Michael spent over a decade in professional services working across industries that include O&G, OFS, Midstream, Industrials, Information Technology, EPC Services, and consumer discretionary.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of VRT, NVDA either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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EssilorLuxottica: Turning Positive On Market-Share Gain (Rating Upgrade)

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EssilorLuxottica: Turning Positive On Market-Share Gain (Rating Upgrade)

EssilorLuxottica: Turning Positive On Market-Share Gain (Rating Upgrade)

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Blue Bird: US-Based School Bus Manufacturer With Profitable Growth Prospects (NASDAQ:BLBD)

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Blue Bird: US-Based School Bus Manufacturer With Profitable Growth Prospects (NASDAQ:BLBD)

This article was written by

I am a full-time analyst interested in a wide range of stocks. With my unique insights and knowledge, I hope to provide other investors with a contrasting view of my portfolio, given my particular background.If you have any questions, feel free to reach out to me via a direct message on Seeking Alpha or leave a comment on one of my articles.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

The analysis is provided exclusively for informational purposes and should not be considered professional investment advice. Before investing, please conduct personal in-depth research and utmost due diligence, as there are many risks associated with the trade, including capital loss.

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Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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