Crypto World
Luno cuts 20% of staff as crypto layoffs widen
Crypto exchange Luno is cutting about 20% of its global workforce as part of a restructuring confirmed on July 28 by Chief Executive James Lanigan.
Summary
- Luno is cutting 20% of its global workforce while expanding institutional and business-to-business services worldwide.
- Twelve crypto-related companies reported July restructurings, with 894 disclosed jobs affected across six named reductions.
- Gnosis reduced its consumer app team and plans an independent structure beginning during third quarter.
The Digital Currency Group-owned company will reduce costs while directing more resources toward institutional customers and its business-to-business unit.
Lanigan did not disclose the number of employees affected or identify the regions and departments included. He said investments in automation and wider operational changes had altered the resources required to run the exchange.
Luno layoffs support an institutional shift
Luno plans to continue investing in compliance, core infrastructure and selected retail products while scaling services for other businesses. Its institutional platform offers liquidity and trading infrastructure for professional clients. The company’s website currently says it serves 15 million customers worldwide.
Lanigan said a “leaner and adapted structure is both necessary and appropriate.” That statement represents management’s assessment rather than a verified financial outcome. Luno has not published projected savings, restructuring charges or a completion date for the workforce reduction.
The latest cuts are smaller than Luno’s January 2023 retrenchment. At the time, the exchange officially announced a 35% reduction across all regions as the crypto downturn weakened growth and revenue. Contemporary reporting estimated that more than 330 roles were affected from a workforce of roughly 960.
July crypto layoffs reached at least 12 companies
The CryptoJobsList tracker listed 12 crypto or crypto-adjacent companies with July-dated cuts or restructurings. They included Luno, Gnosis, Uphold, BitMart, Dango, Odos, BitMEX, Exodus, Polygon Labs, AscendEX, Zapper and Yield Guild Games.
Adding the published figures for six of those companies gives 894 affected jobs. The tracker listed 550 at BitMart, 160 at BitMEX, 85 at Uphold, 54 at Exodus, 35 at Yield Guild Games and 10 at Odos. However, the figure remains incomplete because Luno, Gnosis and several other companies did not disclose exact totals.
CryptoJobsList recorded more than 7,254 disclosed cuts across 47 companies during 2026 and identified market conditions as the most frequently cited reason. However, the tracker relies on public announcements and media reports. It also includes fintech and crypto-adjacent businesses, making it a broad indicator rather than an audited industry total.
Gnosis also confirmed workforce reductions in its second-quarter report, published on July 17. Co-founder Friederike Ernst said the organization had reduced the Gnosis App team after deciding that “growth has been linear, and linear is not good enough” for a consumer product.
The organization plans to remove Gnosis App from Gnosis Ltd during the third quarter. A smaller team is expected to seek decentralized autonomous organization funding for an independent company. The proposal’s outcome and final staffing level remain unconfirmed.
Gnosis reported that the app had about 800 active card users in the second quarter, up from roughly 500 in the first quarter. Daily and weekly active users also increased. Still, management said the product required a smaller structure and faster decision-making outside the wider Gnosis organization.
Automation and payments reshape crypto staffing
The July reductions follow several firms that linked workforce changes to new business priorities. BitGo cut nearly 15% of its workforce in June while focusing resources on security, stablecoins, settlement and artificial-intelligence infrastructure.
Additionaly, Exodus cut 25% of its workforce while integrating Monavate and Baanx into a stablecoin payments and card platform. Its SEC filing said about 77 employees and individual service providers would be affected, with projected annual cash savings of $10 million to $13 million.
Luno has not announced comparable savings targets. The next verified updates may come through company statements, employee consultation processes or changes to its institutional services. Until then, the 20% figure remains the clearest measure of the restructuring, while the absolute number of affected workers remains unknown.
Crypto World
Bitcoin at $64,000 as Kospi’s record 17% surge leaves crypto untouched
Crypto markets barely registered one of the sharpest equity rallies of the year on Friday, with bitcoin holding near $64,300 while South Korean stocks staged a record rebound from the selloff that dominated the past two weeks.
The majors were close to unchanged. Ether traded at $1,907, XRP at $1.08, solana at $74 and dogecoin at $0.07, with roughly $27 billion changing hands in bitcoin and $7 billion in ether. BNB was the exception, up 3% on the day to $590 and the only major holding a meaningful weekly gain. Bitcoin spiked to $65,300 in early Asian hours before giving it back within an hour.
The weekly picture stays soft. Hyperliquid’s HYPE is down 5% over seven sessions, solana and XRP are each off 3%, and bitcoin has lost 2%. Ether and dogecoin are up 1%.
Equities went the other way, hard. The Kospi surged as much as 17%, rebounding from a three-day rout that had taken the index more than 40% below its June peak. Samsung and SK Hynix both jumped more than 23%, and Taiwan Semiconductor rose 10%, making chipmakers the biggest contributors to a broad Asian advance.
Crypto World
US and China Led $20 Billion World Cup Prediction Market Boom, Chainalysis Says
The 2026 FIFA World Cup generated $20 billion in prediction market volume, with the US and China contributing the largest country-level flows, according to new Chainalysis research published Thursday.
More than 400,000 wallets placed on-chain bets on the tournament. World Cup markets accounted for roughly 63% of all prediction market activity during the event.
World Cup Betting Volumes Peaked at the Final
Chainalysis tracked World Cup betting from January 2026. Markets were already producing nearly $50 million in daily volume months before kickoff. Daily activity jumped to around $250 million once the tournament opened on June 11.
The final, in which Spain defeated Argentina, drove over $300 million in wagers. Novelty markets also attracted heavy flows. A single market asked whether Cristiano Ronaldo would cry after his last campaign, generating $49 million.
Bettors fared unusually well. Chainalysis found 55% of participants ended the tournament in profit, and 79% of those winners were experienced prediction market users.
The report mapped tournament betting flows by country between June 11 and July 19. The heatmap shows that the US and China generated the highest attributable volumes worldwide.
Canada, Thailand, and the UK also ranked among the top contributors. Australia, Brazil, Russia, and India also saw heavy activity, while much of Africa showed little or no attributable volume.
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Sanctioned Exchange Funds Reached Betting Wallets
Not all the money was “clean.” Chainalysis identified roughly 3,700 wallets, under 1% of bettors, with illicit transaction histories.
The largest single source was Huobi/HTX, which sent at least $5.4 million into World Cup betting wallets. The UK sanctioned the exchange in May over alleged Russian sanctions evasion, and the EU followed in July. Scam-linked wallets added around $2 million.
Meanwhile, FIFA’s own on-chain experiment stayed largely clean. Chainalysis identified a key FIFA Collect wallet on Avalanche that received $24 million from NFT collectors between May 2025 and the tournament’s end.
The firm said that strict identity checks may explain the negligible level of illicit exposure. On-chain flows indicate FIFA collected at least $6 million from secondary sales.
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Crypto World
CXMT Stock Jumps Another 9%: What the Chipmaker Means for the AI Race
CXMT Corp (688825) jumped 8.95% on Friday to close at 57.60 yuan (about $8.51), extending its rally through a fifth trading day on the Shanghai Stock Exchange.
The Chinese memory chipmaker has grown continuously in the few days since its record initial public offering (IPO) last week, pushing its market capitalization to roughly 3.54 trillion yuan, or about $523 billion.
Why CXMT Keeps Climbing
CXMT, short for ChangXin Memory Technologies, listed on Shanghai’s STAR Market on July 27. Shares surged as much as 466% on opening day. The move briefly pushed CXMT past Industrial and Commercial Bank of China to become mainland China’s most valuable listed company.
The IPO raised 57.92 billion yuan, or about $8.6 billion. CXMT plans to use the funds to expand production and close the technology gap with foreign rivals.
Two forces are driving investor demand. Beijing wants chip self-sufficiency as Washington restricts China’s access to advanced semiconductor equipment.
At the same time, a global shortage of dynamic random-access memory (DRAM), the chips that let devices and AI models store and process data, has manufacturers redirecting supply toward AI data centers.
What CXMT Actually Makes
CXMT was founded in 2016 and is based in Hefei. The company holds roughly 7.7% of the global DRAM market, making it the world’s fourth-largest producer. Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, and Micron Technology control the other 90% between them.
CXMT mainly builds mainstream memory chips for phones, laptops, and servers. It still trails rivals in High Bandwidth Memory (HBM), the advanced chip type that feeds AI data centers directly. Counterpoint Research director MS Hwang said CXMT aims to start supplying HBM within China by 2027.
Dell, HP, and Apple have reportedly started testing CXMT’s chips as they look to diversify away from Korean and American suppliers. Price is the main draw. But the deal carries risk.
The Pentagon has added CXMT to a list of firms it links to the Chinese military, a designation the company denies. Apple is separately lobbying Washington for clearance to use Chinese-made memory.
CXMT’s rise lands amid what industry watchers call “RAMageddon,” a consumer device memory squeeze that has already boosted Apple’s smartphone pricing power and rattled chip stocks from Seoul to Wall Street.
Analysts remain split on how much relief CXMT can deliver. That means any pricing benefit for everyday devices probably won’t arrive soon, even as the AI chip race keeps accelerating.
The post CXMT Stock Jumps Another 9%: What the Chipmaker Means for the AI Race appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Senator Schumer bill targets Trump’s $1.4B crypto income
U.S. Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer introduced the Anti-Corruption Bureau Creation Act on July 30, proposing a federal agency with authority to investigate and pursue executive-branch corruption.
Summary
- Seven Senate-confirmed members would lead the proposed bureau, with subpoena, enforcement and reporting powers nationwide.
- Trump’s certified disclosure entries totaled over $1.4 billion across crypto-related ventures during calendar year 2025.
- Four Democratic senators sponsor the bill; its launch materials named no Republican cosponsor on Friday.
Senators Andy Kim, Alex Padilla and Jeff Merkley joined Schumer as original cosponsors.The bill cites President Donald Trump’s 2025 financial disclosure and says he received at least $2 billion from investments and business interests, including more than $1.4 billion connected to crypto ventures. The proposal does not itself establish that any disclosed income resulted from illegal conduct.
The crypto figure represents an aggregation of entries in the disclosure, rather than a single total calculated by the Office of Government Ethics. The filing reports income and transaction amounts, not the net profit that would appear on a tax return.
Anti-Corruption Bureau would combine three watchdogs
Schumer’s proposal would place the Federal Election Commission, Office of Government Ethics and Office of Special Counsel inside one independent bureau. A seven-member board confirmed by the Senate would oversee investigations, subpoenas, enforcement actions and public reporting.
The legislation would also allow state attorneys general and private plaintiffs to seek recovery of funds allegedly obtained through corruption. Its official summary describes disgorgement, treble damages and awards for successful plaintiffs. It also proposes a self-financing Freedom From Influence Fund.
A three-judge division of the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit could appoint temporary board members when vacancies threaten the bureau’s operation. The provision is intended to prevent a president or Senate from disabling the agency by leaving seats vacant.
Trump’s crypto income came from several ventures
Trump’s certified disclosure lists $635.1 million in royalties from Celebration Coins. It also records hundreds of millions of dollars from World Liberty Financial token sales, equity transactions and crypto wallets, plus $196.9 million tied to a stablecoin-related holding company. Together, the listed crypto-related entries exceed $1.4 billion.
Those figures describe disclosed revenue and proceeds, not necessarily Trump’s personal after-tax earnings. As previously reported, the filing showed that crypto generated more income than Trump’s resorts and other property businesses during 2025.
The bill separately states that Trump’s family held more than $1 billion in a crypto fund connected to foreign governments. It references a reported United Arab Emirates-backed investment in World Liberty Financial. These are legislative findings and allegations, not a court judgment that corruption occurred.
White House rejects conflict-of-interest claims
White House Principal Deputy Press Secretary Anna Kelly said Trump’s investments were held in fully discretionary accounts managed by independent third-party financial institutions. She maintained there were “no conflicts of interest.” Trump has also said he does not manage his personal finances while serving as president.
Schumer described the existing federal oversight system as a “broken patchwork” and argued that its agencies were not designed to address current executive-branch conduct. The White House disputes the premise that Trump’s business income creates an unlawful conflict.
The bill faces a difficult path through Congress
The publicly released full bill text still displayed a placeholder instead of a Senate bill number on July 31. The launch announcement listed four Democratic sponsors and no Republican cosponsor. The measure must clear both chambers before reaching Trump, who could veto it.
The proposal also enters a wider debate over the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act. Senator Cynthia Lummis released updated Senate text on July 22 after the bill passed the Banking Committee by a 15–9 vote. Senator Elizabeth Warren argued that its current ethics provisions would not adequately restrict presidential crypto interests, while supporters continued to seek a bipartisan agreement.
Crypto.news reported that the CLARITY Act still faced disputes over ethics and banking provisions as supporters pressed for a vote. The Senate is scheduled to reconvene on Aug. 3, but no timetable has been announced for Schumer’s anti-corruption bill. Its next steps could include formal numbering, committee referral and hearings before any floor consideration.
Crypto World
Wintermute Warns Crypto’s Next Altseason Could Be Less Lucrative
Wintermute says the next phase of altcoin momentum may look different from past cycles: fewer tokens could attract sustained inflows as institutional desks concentrate their activity into a narrower basket of assets. In a first-half 2026 OTC flow report, the market maker found that institutional counterparties accounted for the vast majority of spot trading activity on its desk—an outcome that, if mirrored across the broader market, would likely make “altseason” less broad and more selective.
The shift also appears to include a timing mismatch. Wintermute reports that institutional participation tends to fade quickly after a token’s price and volume spike, while retail activity typically stays elevated for longer—suggesting any future rallies could be more short-lived and restricted to the tokens institutions already favor.
Key takeaways
- Wintermute’s first-half 2026 OTC data shows institutional counterparties generated 72% of spot flow across all tokens on its desk—the highest share recorded—up from 61% in H2 2025 and 59% in H1 2025.
- Liquidity and attention are concentrating in the “short list” of assets institutions choose, while activity in the market’s smaller “long tail” weakens.
- The number of unique tokens traded by institutional counterparties rose only 24% from H1 2024 to H1 2026, versus 76% growth for retail clients.
- Institutional activity after a price-and-volume surge typically cools within about one day, while retail activity remains elevated for around three days.
Institutional desks are pulling OTC liquidity toward a smaller set of tokens
Wintermute’s OTC flow report points to a structural change in how capital is deployed across the altcoin market. According to Wintermute, institutional counterparties drove 72% of spot flow across all tokens handled on its OTC desk in the first half of 2026—its highest recorded level. That compares with 61% in the second half of 2025 and 59% in the first half of the previous year.
While institutional participation has been rising, Wintermute’s interpretation matters for traders and investors: when the majority of activity is concentrated among a smaller group of counterparties and assets, rallies can become narrower. The firm said liquidity is increasingly clustering in tokens institutions favor, while the broader “long tail” of smaller tokens sees less consistent engagement.
That concentration effect is reinforced by the growth rates in token participation. Wintermute found that from H1 2024 to H1 2026, the number of unique tokens traded by institutional counterparties increased by 24%, whereas retail clients increased their number of unique traded tokens by 76% over the same span. In practical terms, the data suggests that retail participants explore a wider range of assets, while institutional flow remains comparatively disciplined.
Faster institutional pullbacks after spikes could reshape altcoin rally dynamics
Another detail in Wintermute’s report relates to how quickly activity cools after a token experiences a surge. The firm found that institutional activity following spikes in a token’s price and volume faded after roughly one day. Retail behavior differed: Wintermute says retail activity typically stays elevated for about three days after similar surges.
If these patterns extend beyond Wintermute’s OTC venue, they can influence how traders structure exposure during altcoin moves. Short-lived institutional participation can mean that order flow—and therefore liquidity—does not remain supportive for as long as it may have in earlier cycles when broader rotation into many assets sustained momentum.
For market participants, the implication is straightforward: rallies may require faster decision-making and more asset-selective positioning, because the “institutional bid” may not persist the way it once did across a wide swath of tokens.
Other data points suggest “altseason” rotation is narrowing across venues
Wintermute’s proprietary OTC findings add to a growing set of signals that capital is clustering around fewer altcoins. On June 20, CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju said the “traditional rotation of Bitcoin profits” into smaller assets had “basically disappeared.” CryptoQuant data referenced by Young Ju suggested that trading volume in Bitcoin-denominated altcoin pairs was near its weakest level since 2021.
Meanwhile, CryptoQuant’s CEO also pointed to market cap concentration. The 10 largest non-stablecoin altcoins accounted for about 80.5% of the non-Bitcoin, non-stablecoin market’s capitalization—another indicator that the market’s center of gravity is increasingly tilted toward the biggest names in the category.
Exchange-level data has also suggested a similar pattern. In July 2025, Kaiko reported that the ten largest altcoins made up 63% of altcoin trading volume, up from roughly 50% several months earlier as activity in smaller tokens weakened. Together with Wintermute’s OTC numbers, the message across different datasets is consistent: liquidity and trading interest are drifting toward the same smaller group of assets.
Market debate: broad rallies vs. selective sector moves
The question now facing investors is whether this concentration will permanently reduce the breadth of future altcoin runs—or simply change their shape. DWF Labs managing partner Andrei Grachev has argued that broad altcoin rallies are giving way to more selective sector activity. In March 2025, Grachev said too many tokens were competing for limited capital, while institutional investors remained focused on Bitcoin, Ether, and tokenized real-world assets.
This framing aligns with the mechanics Wintermute describes: if institutions are more concentrated, and their participation fades quickly after price and volume spikes, “rotation” may become less of a market-wide wave and more of a series of targeted moves. In such an environment, tokens outside the institutional comfort zone may struggle to attract sustained liquidity, even if retail interest remains visible for a brief period.
It also highlights a potential tension between retail and institutional behavior. Retail participation appears to spread across more tokens and remain elevated longer after bursts. But if institutional desks dominate overall spot flow on major venues and OTC desks, retail-led excitement may not be enough to maintain broad-based momentum without follow-through from larger pools of capital.
For readers, the key watch items are whether institutional concentration continues to increase beyond H1 2026, and whether the “one-day” institutional fade and “three-day” retail persistence become stable patterns across more tokens and more trading conditions. If they do, the definition of “altseason” may shift from a widespread rotation into many names to a narrower, faster-moving set of trades that reflect where liquidity is actually concentrated.
Crypto World
Major bitcoin wallet flaw drains 594 BTC in 25-minute sweep
Roughly 594 bitcoin, worth about $38 million, was swept out of around 500 separate wallets between 01:31 and 01:56 UTC on Friday in an attack traced to a flaw in how Coldcard hardware wallets generated their keys.
The theft moved 1,324 chunks of bitcoin across 500 transactions inside a three-block window, with 562 BTC then consolidated into a single address that has not moved.
Every drained wallet was single-signature and each held more than 0.15 BTC. Many had been dormant for years and the coins spanned 2021 to 2026, matching the flaw’s age almost exactly.
Coldcard is a hardware wallet built by Canadian firm Coinkite, a small standalone device that stores bitcoin keys offline, away from internet-connected computers. Mk2, Mk3, Mk4, Q and Mk5 are successive generations of that product, released over several years the way a phone maker ships numbered models.
Exposure depends on the firmware the device was running at the moment the wallet was first created, not on when the hardware was bought.
A wallet’s seed, the secret phrase controlling the funds, is meant to be drawn at random from a pool so vast that guessing is hopeless.
Crypto World
Canary HBAR ETF holds $47.8M after Nasdaq launch
Canary Capital renewed its marketing push for the Canary HBAR ETF on July 30, describing HBR as the first U.S. spot exchange-traded product holding Hedera’s native token.
Summary
- 704.3 million HBAR backed Canary’s fund, with net assets near $47.8 million on July 30.
- 5.18 million HBR shares were outstanding after Canary added fifty thousand shares in latest update.
- HBR’s 0.95% sponsor fee accompanied a 37.32% year-to-date market-price decline recorded through July 29, 2026.
The post was not a new launch announcement. HBR began trading on Nasdaq on Oct. 28, 2025, after its registration became effective with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The latest fund data gives a clearer view of its current scale. HBR held 704.35 million HBAR and reported about $47.8 million in net assets on July 30. The product had 5.18 million shares outstanding and charged a 0.95% sponsor fee.
Canary HBAR ETF now holds 704 million HBAR
Canary’s official fund page shows that HBAR represented effectively all the trust’s assets, apart from about $30 in cash and other items. The 704.35 million-token position was valued at approximately $47.8 million using the administrator’s stated price. HBR provides price exposure through brokerage accounts without requiring investors to manage private keys.
Shares outstanding increased from 5.13 million on July 28 to 5.18 million on July 29. That 50,000-share increase was the latest reported expansion in the fund’s share count. It does not, by itself, establish the identity or strategy of the investors behind the creation.
Additionally, HBR recorded $989,000 in net inflows on July 2, its largest single-day inflow since May 15. The fund then listed roughly $49.14 million in net assets, showing that its asset value can move even when new shares enter because HBAR’s market price also changes.
Latest filing shows losses despite share growth
HBR’s first-quarter SEC filing showed 4.2 million shares outstanding and $50.34 million in net assets on March 31. The trust created 740,000 shares and recorded no redemptions during the quarter. However, HBAR depreciated 17.8% during the period, and the fund reported a $10.58 million decrease in net assets from operations.
More recent performance data remained weak. Canary listed HBR’s market-price return at negative 37.32% for 2026 through July 29 and negative 63.32% since inception. Its net asset value return was negative 36.48% year-to-date.
In the latest market data available early July 31, HBR traded near $9.33, while HBAR changed hands around $0.0727. Those figures show current pricing only and do not prove that Canary’s July 30 post caused any market move.
Enterprise and tokenization claims need context
Canary said HBR gives registered access to a network governed by organizations including Google and IBM. The Hedera Council says its members run network nodes, vote on governance matters and approve technology updates. Its structure uses equal voting rights and term limits.
The asset manager also called HBR “built for the next wave of real-world asset tokenization.” That is a forward-looking marketing claim rather than a verified forecast. One related development has already occurred: Archax tokenized the HBR ETF on Hedera and completed an after-hours transaction on Nov. 27, 2025, according to a Hedera case study.
That blockchain transaction did not change how ordinary Nasdaq investors buy and sell HBR shares. It instead demonstrated a separate tokenized representation handled through regulated market infrastructure.
What investors should watch next
HBR is structured as a single-asset trust, not an investment company registered under the Investment Company Act of 1940. Canary warns that the product is not diversified and that investors could lose their entire principal. The trust currently lists BitGo Trust Company and Coinbase Custody Trust Company as its digital-asset custodians.
Investors will next look for the quarterly SEC filing covering the period ended June 30. That report will provide fuller figures for share creations, redemptions, expenses and changes in the trust’s HBAR position. Until then, daily holdings, share counts and net assets provide the most current official measures of fund activity.
HBR’s history also matters when assessing Canary’s new promotion. In related coverage, crypto.news reported on the fund’s path to launch in October 2025. The July post therefore renews attention around an existing product rather than introducing a new U.S. HBAR ETF.
Crypto World
Crypto contraction erased $43.4B from DeFi in H1
Binance Research said on July 30 that the first half of 2026 produced a “broad on-chain contraction, not a rotation.”
Summary
- 38% DeFi TVL decline erased $43.4 billion as six major Layer 1 valuations fell 42%.
- 77% fewer Layer 2 user operations contrasted with Ethereum’s smaller 9% decline through June 2026.
- 207 security incidents caused $972 million in losses, while prediction markets reached $51.6 billion monthly.
Its 52-page report found that DeFi total value locked fell by $43.4 billion, or 38%, while the combined market capitalization of Ethereum, BNB, Solana, Tron, Sui and NEAR declined by $246.5 billion, or 42%.
Crypto market contraction hit DeFi and major L1s
The decline spread across capital, lending and network valuations rather than moving money cleanly from one blockchain sector into another. DeFi TVL dropped 38.7% during the half, nine percentage points more than the broader crypto market. Active loans fell 38%. April brought the steepest deterioration as large exploits reduced confidence in supplying onchain liquidity.
Current data shows a limited rebound rather than a full reversal. DefiLlama listed total DeFi TVL at about $74.9 billion on July 31. Based on Binance Research’s reported decline, the end-June level was roughly $70.8 billion. That calculation suggests some value returned in July, although token prices and differences in measurement can change TVL figures.
Security losses added to the pressure. TRM Labs independently recorded 207 hacks and $972 million stolen during H1, more than double the 83 incidents a year earlier. Smart-contract exploits accounted for 125 incidents. Infrastructure and operational failures represented about 76% of stolen value. As crypto.news previously reported, April attacks erased billions of dollars from DeFi TVL.
Ethereum treasuries overtook ETFs as L2 usage fell
Ethereum’s holder mix changed during the downturn. Binance Research said spot ETF balances declined from more than 6 million ETH to 5.2 million ETH. Digital asset treasury companies moved in the other direction, increasing their holdings from 6 million to 7.7 million ETH. The report sourced those figures from SoSoValue and Blockworks as of July 1.
Higher throughput did not create stronger base-layer revenue. Average gas prices fell 75% from 2025 after Ethereum raised its gas limit to about 60 million, while transaction count rose roughly 50%. Binance Research said chain revenue is “projected to fall 53% by year end if conditions persist.” That figure is a forecast, not a confirmed full-year result.
Layer 2 networks recorded a sharper usage decline than Ethereum mainnet. Total L2 user operations fell about 77% between January and June, compared with 9% on Ethereum. In June, L2s collected around $15 million in fees but paid Ethereum only $66,397 for data availability. In related coverage, crypto.news examined how Ethereum retained deeper TVL while Solana led several activity and revenue measures.
Solana revenue weakened while BNB remained deflationary
Solana’s network real economic value, which includes transaction fees and out-of-protocol tips, fell from $40 million in January to $14 million in June. Binance Research linked much of the 64.5% decline to weaker memecoin trading. Pump.fun volume fell from $30 billion to $17 billion over the same period, although memecoins still represented 25% of Solana DEX volume in June.
BNB moved differently on supply. The report identified BNB as the only deflationary major L1, with a 5.05% annualized burn rate. Its tokenized RWA market value also rose 107% to $3.8 billion in H1. However, that growth did not offset the broader decline across DeFi and major L1 valuations.
Prediction markets and tokenized assets resisted the slump
Tokenized real-world assets were among the clearest growth areas. Their distributed value increased from about $22 billion in January to roughly $34 billion by mid-July. BNB Chain led tokenized equity DEX volume, while tokenized equities reached 4% of Solana DEX activity in June. As crypto.news reported, tokenized stock products recently reached 752,000 holders across several networks.
Prediction markets also expanded during the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Monthly notional volume rose 86% from January to $51.6 billion in June. Kalshi recorded about $33 billion and Polymarket about $14.5 billion, giving the pair 92% of the month’s volume. Non-sports activity across both platforms rose 136%, indicating that growth was not limited to football markets.
In addition, the World Cup pushed Polymarket past $5 billion in tournament volume. Binance Research cautioned that H2 “will test” whether tournament-driven users remain active and whether regulation and settlement systems can support continued growth.
Network upgrades now provide measurable milestones. BNB Chain has scheduled its Pasteur hard fork for Aug. 25 at 02:30 UTC. Ethereum lists Glamsterdam for H2 2026 without a firm mainnet date. Meanwhile, Solana’s latest official release information points to Alpenglow activation with Agave 4.3 in October, later than the Binance report’s Q3 target.
The second half will therefore show whether lower fees and added capacity can rebuild durable demand. It will also test whether tokenized assets gain secondary liquidity and whether prediction-market activity survives after the World Cup. Until those trends appear in sustained usage, revenue and capital data, Binance Research’s contraction thesis remains the clearest reading of H1.
Crypto World
Crypto’s Next Altseason May Have Fewer Winners: Wintermute
Crypto’s next altcoin season may produce fewer winners as institutional investors concentrate their activity in a narrower group of digital assets, according to crypto market maker Wintermute.
In its over-the-counter (OTC) flow report for the first half of 2026, Wintermute said institutional counterparties generated 72% of spot flow across all tokens on its OTC desk, the highest share on record. That was up from 61% in the second half of 2025 and 59% in the first half of last year.
With institutional activity concentrated in fewer tokens and fading faster after price surges, the findings suggest future altcoin rallies could become narrower and more selective. Wintermute said liquidity was concentrating in the assets institutions favored while activity across the market’s “long tail” weakened.
Between the first half of 2024 and the first half of 2026, the number of unique tokens traded by Wintermute’s institutional counterparties grew by just 24%, compared with 76% among retail clients. The firm also found that institutional activity following a surge in a token’s price and volume faded after roughly one day. In contrast, retail activity typically remained elevated for about three days.

Percentage of institutional spot OTC flow. Source: Wintermute
Altcoin capital was already becoming more concentrated
Wintermute’s findings add proprietary OTC data to signs that capital has been clustering around a smaller group of altcoins across the wider market.
On June 20, CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju said the traditional rotation of Bitcoin profits into smaller crypto assets had “basically disappeared.” CryptoQuant data showed trading volume in Bitcoin-denominated altcoin pairs near its weakest level since 2021.
Meanwhile, the 10 largest non-stablecoin altcoins accounted for about 80.5% of the non-Bitcoin, non-stablecoin market’s capitalization.
Related: Crypto altseason unlikely in 2026 as ‘blue-chip survivors’ to win out: Analyst
Kaiko identified a similar concentration in exchange trading. In July 2025, the data provider said that the ten largest altcoins accounted for 63% of altcoin trading volume, up from about 50% several months earlier, as activity in smaller tokens weakened.
DWF Labs managing partner Andrei Grachev also argued that broad altcoin rallies were giving way to selective sector moves. On March 15, Grachev said too many tokens were competing for limited capital, while institutional investors remained focused on Bitcoin, Ether and tokenized real-world assets.
Magazine: The 100x obsession: Fundamentals grow in importance as crypto matures
Crypto World
Coldcard Mk3 warning follows $38M Bitcoin drain
Coinkite warned Coldcard Mk3 users on July 30 to move Bitcoin from wallets whose seed phrases were generated on affected firmware.
Summary
- 594 BTC moved across 500 transactions during a coordinated three-block sweep involving single-signature Bitcoin addresses.
- Coldcard Mk3 seeds generated on firmware 4.0.1 through 5.0.3 may face risk, Coinkite warned users.
- No public evidence yet links the Mk3 seed issue directly to the 594 BTC sweep.
The Canadian hardware maker said seeds created on firmware 4.0.1 or any later Mk3 release through version 5.0.3 may put funds at risk.
The notice arrived as security researchers examined a coordinated sweep of 594.48 BTC, worth about $38.2 million at a Bitcoin price near $64,324. However, Coinkite and independent researchers have not established that the Mk3 issue caused those transfers.
Coldcard Mk3 warning covers firmware since 4.0.1
Coinkite’s official advisory said its investigation remains active. The company said the Coldcard Mk4, Q and Mk5 are not affected based on its early analysis. It also said wallets using an affected seed with a BIP-39 passphrase face “minimal risk,” while stressing that a passphrase is different from the device PIN.
The advisory now gives users more detailed migration options. Coinkite recommends generating a new seed on an unaffected device, verifying the backup and receiving address, sending a small test transaction and moving the remaining balance only after the test confirms the setup works.
The 594 BTC sweep remains unlinked to Coldcard
AnchorWatch CEO Rob Hamilton reported that 1,324 unspent transaction outputs moved through 500 transactions within a three-block window. The transfers swept 594.48 BTC from single-signature addresses, after which 562 BTC was consolidated into another address.
Hamilton wrote, “At a glance, this looks like there was flawed entropy” during wallet generation. That statement was a preliminary assessment, not a confirmed cause. A Reddit account also described a drained wallet tied to a Mk3-generated seed, but the self-reported account does not prove a wider connection.
Wizardsardine CEO Kevin Loaec described low randomness in a wallet generator as his “current hypothesis.” He said the source could be a software library, secure element, device batch or firmware version. He also proposed that an attacker may have searched a narrow set of BIP-84 paths, which could explain the concentration in native SegWit addresses and partial sweeps.
https://x.com/KLoaec/status/2082926304995762209?s=20
Loaec’s theory remains unverified. No public technical report has identified the faulty component, measured the available entropy or shown how an attacker derived the keys. Coinkite’s advisory still promises a formal technical review, but the company had not published that review at the time of writing.
The case resembles a broader class of weak-randomness failures. In related coverage, crypto.news reported on the Ill Bloom vulnerability, which Coinspect linked to weak recovery-phrase generation across several blockchains.
As previously reported, the older Randstorm vulnerability affected BitcoinJS wallets that did not generate sufficiently random private keys. That case involved wallets created between 2011 and 2016 and is separate from the current Mk3 investigation.
Affected users have two fallback migration paths
Users with an unaffected Coldcard can create a new seed there and migrate carefully. Coinkite advises preserving the old backup until the entire transfer is confirmed. Users should verify every address on the hardware screen and avoid entering seed words or passphrases on websites or untrusted devices.
For users whose Mk3 is their only option, Coinkite suggests a strong, unique BIP-39 passphrase as a temporary measure. Advanced users may instead create a dice-only seed on an empty Mk3 running firmware 4.1.9 by entering at least 99 independent rolls of a fair six-sided die. The company cautioned that this procedure requires careful backup and verification.
What happens next depends on Coinkite’s technical review and continued on-chain analysis. Until investigators publish a confirmed root cause, the 594 BTC sweep and the Mk3 seed-generation warning should be treated as related in timing but not proven to share the same cause.
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