Politics
Exclusive: Greens Slam Reform ‘Frauds’ Over Poverty Claims
The Green Party has slammed Reform UK for letting the “cat out of the bag” after Zia Yusuf suggested poverty rates in Britain are misleading.
Reform’s head of policy got into a spat with Sky News’ Trevor Phillips on Sunday over his party’s plans to keep the two-child benefit cap while cutting business rates for pubs.
“Reform’s policy is to let children go hungry so their parents can get in an extra round?” Phillips asked.
Yusuf replied: “Nigel’s position always has been and still is that he would lift the two-child benefit cap only for British families who are in work.”
He then added: “When the term poverty is used, primarily by left-wing politicians, it’s a relative term which means you could literally – this is a mathematical fact – increase everyone’s incomes tenfold and the statistics would stay the same.”
Phillips asked if Yusuf was trying to say poverty levels are an “illusion”.
The Reform politician replied: “No, it’s worse than that because real poverty does exist in this country, Trevor.
“Absolute poverty does exist in small pockets, if you want to do the right thing in this country, you need to create social mobility.
“There will always be a percentage of the public who are ‘in poverty’, and what that does nothing for is to help the middle classes or indeed the people who live in absolute poverty.”
Yusuf then claimed there are “very, very small pockets” of poverty in Wales.
He said: “The measure of poverty which has been used for years in this country is an unhelpful thing because it is relative to the mean and the median, it means you are always going to have a percentage of people who are there and that is not in the interest of people who need it.”
More than 3.8 million people experienced destitution in 2022 including a million children, according to the Joseph Rowntree Foundation.
A Green Party spokesperson tore into Yusuf’s comments, telling HuffPost UK: “Reform have totally let the cat out of the bag this morning about what they really stand for.
“Zia Yusuf, a multi-millionaire, lecturing that poverty and people’s everyday struggles with rising bills and rent is exaggerated, shows what frauds Reform are.
“They are just another party of the failed status quo, funded by and representing big corporate interests.
“The Gorton and Denton by election is between the Greens and Reform.
“We are campaigning for lower bills and protecting public services by taxing millionaires and billionaires. Reform stand for the wealthy few.”
Reform, the Greens and Labour are all battling it out to win the crunch contest in Greater Manchester later this month, in the hope of securing another MP in the Commons.
Politics
Keir Starmer even manages to make Wes Streeting look decent
Imagine if you will, for just one moment, having the fucking brass neck to (falsely) boast that you booted Jeremy Corbyn out of the Labour Party while that utterly vile specimen, Epstein’s best pal, Mandelson, was up to his eyeballs in nonce-worshipping.
Corbyn’s Labour certainly had its faults, but it never recruited Peter Mandelson. No shadow cabinet appointments, no diplomatic roles, Crony Mandelson was persona non grata.
Keir Starmer’s government is a gutless, corporate-kowtowing betrayal of everything the Labour Party was supposed to stand for under Jeremy Corbyn. A Corbyn premiership would have been a revolutionary upgrade, not this tepid, right-leaning bullshit we’re stuck with.
I guess it’s easy to think about what could’ve been.
What could have been
Corbyn’s Labour would have built solidarity with global struggles rather than bowed to NATO warmongers and US hegemony. Starmer’s Labour is a whitewashed, Zionist-appeasing machine that silences dissent and props up imperialism.
Corbyn’s Labour would have prioritised aid over arms and cooperation over conquest, turning the UK into a force for global equity, not another lapdog for empire. Starmer’s Labour has escalated tensions with Russia and China to please the Atlanticist overlords and ramped up military spending to 2.5% of GDP while nurses line up at food banks.
Corbyn’s Labour would have ended the failed neoliberal austerity policies that have hollowed out Britain for decades. Rail, mail, water, and energy would’ve been back in public hands where they belong, rather than lining the pockets of fat cat shareholders. Starmer’s Labour ruthlessly ditched those Corbyn-lite pledges faster than a rat fleeing a sinking ship. His “fiscal responsibility” rhetoric is simply code for continuing Tory-lite cuts, cosying up to big business with tax breaks for the filthy rich while public services crumble to the fucking ground.
Starmer’s Britain
Starmer’s Britain is still a playground for billionaires, while Corbyn would have taxed them into oblivion to fund the NHS properly, not this half-arsed patching-up.
Starmer’s “growth” is a euphemism for gangrenous decay. NHS waiting lists are stagnating, schools are falling apart and councils are on the brink of bankruptcy, all while he funnels your billions into private health vultures and arms dealers.
Keir Starmer isn’t building Britain, he’s burying it alive, six-feet-deep in austerity’s grave, like a gravedigger with a knighthood.
You see, Jeremy Corbyn wasn’t just a better option, he was the perfect antidote to the poisonous, soul-sucking capitalist rot that Keir Starmer is peddling as “change”.
So next time you hear or see the oligarchs plaything taking a swipe at his predecessor, just remember the Labour Party didn’t have a place for an honourable, decent man like Jeremy Corbyn, but it has plenty of room for paedo-enablers, Tel Aviv bootlickers, corporate shills and Blairite zombies.
And that’s just Peter Mandelson.
Decency???
To be honest, I am absolutely sick of hearing the liberal media tell us that Keir Starmer is a beacon of decency, a steady hand rescuing Britain from Tory chaos. In reality, the BBC and Guardian’s insistence on Starmer’s decency is just cover for their own complicity in propping up a system that chews up poor and working class people.
Starmer is anything but decent. If you have read the last five hundred words you might even agree with me, wherever you place yourself on the Overton Window.
Starmer’s entire rise reeks of deceit and opportunism.
Starmer won the Labour leadership in 2020 by pledging a raft of left-wing Corbyn-lite policies such as scrapping tuition fees, nationalising utilities, and defending migrants rights. But once in power, they were abandoned faster than a bad date.
That isn’t decent, it’s calculated betrayal.
What about the freebies? I haven’t forgotten about that, and I doubt you have either. More than £100,000 of freebies from the elite — more than every other Labour leader combined — while pensioners freeze and children go hungry under Labour’s austerity-lite regime.
If that’s decent, I’m a devoted Faragist.
Authoritarian thuggery
Then there’s Starmer’s vicious purge of the Labour left, which the liberal media whitewashes as “professionalising” the party. Starmer and his former enforcer, Morgan McSweeney, have systematically expelled or marginalised anyone with a whiff of socialism under the guise of rooting out antisemitism, but really to crush dissent and drag the party to the right to the delight of their elitist paymasters.
Decency? No. Authoritarian thuggery? Yes.
On Gaza, his slow-footed, mealy-mouthed response to Israel’s actions has been a national embarrassment and a fucking disgrace and has truly exposed his lack of moral spine.
Complicit Keir Starmer is a jellyfish, drifting with the tides of power rather than boldly standing against injustice.
Even the ultra-Blairite, Wes Streeting privately thinks Israel is a “rogue state” committing “war crimes” and “calculated brutality”, yet publicly it’s business as usual for this dreadful, callous government.
Remember, “decent” Starmer rolled out the red carpet for Israel’s war criminals, licensed the tools of their barbaric, criminal slaughter, and suppressed the movement demanding accountability, only to be told it was unlawful.
Maybe someone in the liberal media can explain to me how supplying military equipment to a baby-killing regime is in any way, “decent”?
Haven’t the actions of this vile, discredited Prime Minister caused enough harm to children already? Their blood is on your grubby hands, Keir Starmer.
Starmer: a gutless fraud
Less than two years into the age of beige, Starmer is the most unpopular PM on record, with polls tanking and chants calling him a “wanker” echoing from football grounds to darts halls across the country.
We are not fooled. Keir Starmer isn’t a fighter for the people, he is a doormat for the establishment.
Keir Starmer isn’t decent, he is a man without conviction and the embodiment of everything that is so very wrong with centrist politics — hollow, elitist, and utterly treacherous.
Starmer’s diabolical legacy was secured some time before the latest Peter Mandelson scandal.
History will not remember Keir Starmer as a decent Prime Minister, it will remember him for the gutless fraud that he is.
Featured image via the Canary
Politics
Labour Calls Out Matt Goodwin’s Team Amid Racism Allegations
Labour has called on Reform’s by-election candidate to reject members of his campaign team who have been accused of posting racist content online.
Matt Goodwin is standing to be Reform’s ninth MP in the Gorton and Denton by-election, which will take place on February 26, in the three-horse race against the Greens and Labour.
Mancunian newspaper The Mill reported on Saturday that multiple members of Goodwin’s team have posted problematic content on social media.
It alleged that Adam Mitula – Reform’s interim campaign manager in Tameside – had alleged “60-70%” of transgender people are paedophiles, claimed he would “never touch a Jewish woman” and used of the n-word.
In one post he reportedly downplayed the impact of the Holocaust, writing: “6 million polish [sic] people including some Jews. They always use Poles to make up the number. And on top of it they claim Poles were killing. Just sick.”
The investigation also claimed three other figures joining Goodwin on the campaign trail – Kelly Cooling, Alanna Vine and Jacqui Harris – had all shared extreme content online, too.
Labour’s deputy leader and Manchester Central MP Lucy Powell wrote a letter to Goodwin urging him to reject their support.
She wrote: “You may not have been aware of this when they offered to help your campaign, but you are aware of it now.
“You can ensure that they are not part of your campaign in the future, make clear that you disagree with their vile views and state clearly that racism and conspiracism like this is not welcome in Reform and not compatible with campaigning for you.”
She then pointed out that far-right leader Tommy Robinson had already endorsed Goodwin’s campaign and claimed: “It is not surprising that people with disgusting racist views think that you represent them.”
“If you do not now distance yourself from the views of these supporters, and take action to remove them from your campaign, people will conclude that you and Reform UK are happy to be associated with them,” she added.
The Mill was unable to approach Goodwin for comment, but he replied to Powell’s post on X.
“Hi Lucy I’d reply but your replies are off [clown emoji],” he said.
“I reject all extremism,” he wrote. “Can I also ask: Why has your Labour Party promoted so many people with links to paedophiles and turned a blind eye to the abuse of children? Come back to me when you have your own house in order.”
Goodwin is alluding to the scandal surrounding Peter Mandelson, who was briefly appointed as ambassador to the US despite his close ties with dead paedophile Jeffrey Epstein.
Keir Starmer also appointed Matthew Doyle to be a Labour peer earlier this year, his former communications chief who campaigned for ex-Labour councillor after he admitted to indecent child image offences in 2017.
Both Mandelson and Doyle no longer have the Labour whip.
Politics
How Your Fridge Should Be Organised: Explained
When you come home after doing The Big Shop, the temptation is to shove everything into the fridge and deal with it later. Or not at-all. It doesn’t matter, right? As long as it’s not too cramped and it’s all in there, fair is fair?
Well, no. It turns out that actually, the way that you organise your fridge could be putting your health at risk and the positioning of foods contributes to their longevity and how safe they may be to eat.
Who knew it was all so complex?
How to organise your fridge properly
Meat
According to Essential Food Hygiene, you should always place raw meat at the lowest possible level to avoid drips contaminating other food that’s beneath the meat and potentially causing illness once consumed.
It should be kept in leak-proof packaging and if they’re packed in clingfilm, particularly if they’re thawing, meats should also be on a plate.
Fruit and vegetables
Before putting fruit and vegetables in the fridge, be sure to check that they’re best refridgerated and not kept at room temperature. Then, Electrolux advises: “Don’t cut them before putting them in the refrigerator, since cut-up vegetables and fruits will rot more quickly. Only remove roots and stems, but keep the remainder of the cutting for when you’re cooking.
“If you’re planning to use the vegetables very soon, you can cut them first and keep them in a container inside your refrigerator’s crisper. However, you should be aware that they will not keep as long.”
Cheese
Cheshire Cheese Company advises: “As a rule of thumb, once you’ve cut into a wheel of cheese or unwrapped a block of cheese from its packaging, the best way to preserve opened cheese is to store it in the refrigerator.
“You can wrap it in plastic or wax paper. If it’s got a strong smell or will be in the fridge with other foods with strong odours, it can be a good idea to put it in an airtight container with a lid.”
Cheese is often best stored in the centre of the fridge or the crisper drawer but for softer cheeses, be aware that they go bad quite quickly and check for mould before eating from an open soft cheese packet.
Sauces
Tefal advises: “It’s generally a good rule to follow that creamy dressings deserve some shelf space in your fridge as they can contain eggs, cheese and other ingredients that need to be chilled. In comparison, oil and vinegar-based dressings are safe to hang out in your cupboard.”
Eggs
While many of us have a handy egg tray in our fridge door, the egg experts at Geldard Farm Eggs advise: “Many refrigerators have an egg tray in the door, but this isn’t the best place for storage. The temperature in the fridge door fluctuates due to frequent opening and closing, which can reduce egg freshness.
For optimal storage, keep eggs:
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In their original carton to protect them from absorbing odours and moisture
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On a middle or lower shelf where the temperature is most stable
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Away from strong-smelling foods like onions and garlic – eggshells have tiny pores that strong smells can seep into over time
Politics
Polanski slams authoritarianism, live with Trevor Phillips
Zack Polanski has appeared on the 15 February edition of Sunday Morning with Trevor Phillips. If you’re unfamiliar with Phillips, he has a decades’ long history in Labour Party politics. As such, it wasn’t surprising to see him denying the creeping authoritarianism which is happening under Keir Starmer’s government:
Phillips “This is not a country where people get thrown in jail for things they say”@ZackPolanski: 2,700 people have been arrested for holding up signs
And well done to Zack for challenging Phillips smear that ‘from the river to the sea, Palestine will be free’ is antisemitic pic.twitter.com/fuEDYQJa9K
— Saul Staniforth (@SaulStaniforth) February 15, 2026
Labour liar, pants on fire
In the clip above, Phillips says:
In the press release today, you talk about a ‘Big Brother Britain’. I’m assuming that you’re talking about George Orwell’s oppressive state rather than the telly programme. Isn’t this going over the top a bit? I mean, this is not a country where people get thrown in jail for things… they say, at least not very often.
If you’re a regular reader of the Canary, you’ll know this is complete horseshit from Phillips. Thankfully, Polanski explained why for us:
Well, I think we’re spiralling down that road. First of all, we saw 2,700 people potentially imprisoned, some of them waiting trials, a lot of them for holding up signs saying, I oppose a genocide. We have seen a genocide happen in Israel now for the last couple of years.
To add some specificity, the signs in question said this:
I oppose #GenocideInGaza I support #PalestineAction https://t.co/6j08nAMQNS
— Steve Mackie (@1SteveMackie) February 14, 2026
The government proscribed Palestine Action as a terrorist organisation, which allowed them to arrest those who support the group. The people who held these signs got arrested for speech, albeit in written form.
As we reported on 13 February, a court has now overturned the proscription. Polanski also touched on this:
“The govt have been completely shamed in court & I’m proud the entire Green MP group all voted against proscription of Palestine Action”@ZackPolanski on the high court declaring the proscription unlawful pic.twitter.com/XUqaelUN8o
— Saul Staniforth (@SaulStaniforth) February 15, 2026
Back to the interview, Phillips responded:
No, that’s not the signs that they’re being arrested for. It is signs which say things like, from the river to the sea, a sign which imply elimination of the State of Israel, which are at some sense antisemitic and intimidating.
This simply isn’t true; Trevor Phillips is a fucking liar.
He’s not just any liar, either; he’s a liar who picked Peter Mandelson of all people to be the best man at his wedding.
The 2,700 in question relates to those arrested for supporting Palestine Action. Additionally, the ‘River to the Sea‘ chant is a call for the Palestinians to no longer be contained in an open air prison — not anything else.
Polanski responded:
Well, as a Jewish person, I don’t find that antisemitic. And in fact, Benjamin Netanyahu himself has used that phrase.
I’m one of only five people in British history who have been Jewish and lead a political party. So antisemitism needs to be taken really seriously in the same way that Islamophobia or any form of racism or hate crime needs to be taken seriously.
But criticism of the Israeli government, I would say, is a moral responsibility when we’re seeing what they are doing to innocent people day in, day out. And our government is not just complicit in that. They are actively enabling it.
So for people who are protesting against the genocide, I would say those people are actual patriots of this country who are saying, let’s have a world where we make sure we’re standing for human rights.
It’s not just Palestine action, though, by the way. We’ve seen authoritarianism over the prime minister wanting mandatory ID cards. We’ve seen the authoritarianism of scrapping jury trials. Pattern over pattern shows that Keir Starmer is a deeply desperate caretaker prime minister who is clinging on to power by trying to crush dissent.
Things took a turn for the ridiculous later on, by the way:
So Phillips moved from talking about thousands of people arrested under terrorism legislation for holding up signs to criticising the idea that the UK is becoming an oppressive police state & then declaring the solution to fly tipping is more surveillance. He really is woeful.
— Saul Staniforth (@SaulStaniforth) February 15, 2026
In bed
As Novara’s Aaron Bastani highlighted, the New Labour types have a lot of support in broadcast media:
The press broadly backs the Tories. But why does the Labour right get such easy treatment from broadcast media?
The answer is political sympathies. Just look at who is married to who. TV news, and New Labour, until recently, went together like sun and shadow. pic.twitter.com/zwPZJOkUNl
— Aaron Bastani (@AaronBastani) February 5, 2026
Haven’t seen many/any videos of the broadcast media harassing Mandelson outside his house. Was constant during Corbyn leadership – and indeed for some time after.
I’d say ‘curious’, but it’s because basically the whole of broadcast media (except GB News) swings New Labour.
— Aaron Bastani (@AaronBastani) February 10, 2026
Phillips perverting reality as he did above is a clear example of this.
Featured image via the Canary
Politics
Reform UK’s poverty plan is to pretend it doesn’t exist
If you’re wondering how Reform plan to tackle poverty, we now have an answer to that. The plan is to deny it even exists
Zia Yusuf claims that “real poverty does exist in this country.”
@TrevorPTweets challenges Reform UK’s head of policy on his comments ⬇️#TrevorPhillipshttps://t.co/LFPXoeri6h pic.twitter.com/lqN76RkQ1q— Sky News (@SkyNews) February 15, 2026
Denial
In the clip above, Zia Yusuf says:
So firstly, it’s really important people understand when the term poverty is used primarily by left-wing politicians, let’s define that term. It is… a relative term, which means that you could literally – this is a mathematical fact – you could increase everybody’s incomes tenfold and that statistic would stay the same.
Oh my god, shut the fuck up, you oily, little nerd.
‘I can tell you mathematically what poverty is‘.
You sound like a Star Trek android, and not the good one.
We can tell you what poverty is, Zia, because most of us here at the Canary have experienced it.
Poverty is not having enough to get by.
Poverty is watching your outgoings outpace your incomings.
Poverty is spending hours a week figuring out how to make the money go around.
Poverty is constantly worrying about bills and life choices.
Poverty is fear and anxiety.
Poverty is the feeling that things will only get worse.
Yusuf thinks it’s a mathematical equation, because he has no idea what the fuck he’s talking about; he’s just another ex-Tory, ex-Goldman Sachs rich boy who wants to gut the welfare state to give his billionaire mates handouts.
Too much will never be enough for these people.
They will take more than they can ever spend, and they will shit, and piss, and moan as they bite the hand that feeds them.
Yusuf continued:
But the most important thing is that Reform, we are fiscally prudent, and we wanted to make sure anything we announced was going to be fiscally neutral.
“Fiscally prudent”, is it?
If you’re familiar with Curb Your Enthusiasm, start imagining the end credits now as you read the following headlines:
Reform have totally let the cat out of the bag about who they are.
Zia Yusuf lecturing that poverty and peoples everyday struggles with rising bills and rent is exaggerated.
A party of the failed status quo, funded and representing big corporate interests. https://t.co/G000aCvbLl
— Zack Polanski (@ZackPolanski) February 15, 2026
Social bullshittery
Phillips asked Yusuf if poverty measures are all made up, to which Yusuf responded:
No, it’s worse than that, because real poverty does exist in this country, Trevor. And absolute poverty does exist in very, very small pockets. If you actually want to do the right thing for as many people as possible in this country, then you need to create social mobility. That has been crushed by the Tory government and now this Labour government.
To be clear, ‘social mobility’ is not the phenomenon in which everyone becomes more affluent. It’s the phenomenon in which some working class people land middle class jobs. This is great for sly politicians like Yusuf, because it allows them to point at the fortunate few and say:
See – it is possible for you layabouts to earn more — anyone on poverty wages is just lazy.
If you’re old enough, you will remember the UK’s middle class did indeed expand in the 90s. Social mobility was happening on a larger scale, and we got the ‘lower middle class’ — i.e. working class families who could afford to alternate between taking their kids on holiday to Menorca and Butlin’s Pwllheli (if that seems oddly specific, I’m talking from experience).
This phenomenon happened because we took advantage of the cheap labour of countries like China, allowing us to live beyond our previous means. We could have locked in that progress, and ensured the country’s wealth was evenly distributed. We didn’t do that; instead we got runaway capitalism, with the rich claiming more wealth and authority, and the rest of us losing our rights and purchasing power.
Now, we’re at a point where social mobility can’t happen because even the middle class are fucking struggling. Tinkering around the edges or making savings here or there won’t cut it; we need to hobble the billionaire class, and we need to rob them of their power and influence.
Only then can we have a society in which people can live day to day without dreading tomorrow.
Bootstrapping
You’ve probably heard the phrase ‘pull yourself up by the bootstraps‘, but did you know where it comes from? As Useless Etymology report:
The phrase “pull yourself up by your bootstraps” originated shortly before the turn of the 20th century. It’s attributed to a late-1800s physics schoolbook that contained the example question “Why can not a man lift himself by pulling up on his bootstraps?”
So when it became a colloquial phrase referring to socioeconomic advancement shortly thereafter, it was meant to be sarcastic, or to suggest that it was an impossible accomplishment.
It’s literally impossible for everyone in a capitalist system to be well off and content, because it’s a tornado designed to pull everything up to the top.
In other words, beware of geeks bearing false grifts.
Featured image via the Canary
Politics
Polanski Claims He Supports Article 5 Despite Wanting to Abolish NATO
Polanski Claims He Supports Article 5 Despite Wanting to Abolish NATO
Politics
Yvette Cooper Blames ‘Process Failures’ for Labour’s Scandal Appointments
Yvette Cooper Blames ‘Process Failures’ for Labour’s Scandal Appointments
Politics
Polanski explains how Greens would deal with fly-tipping
“I think more than anything it’s making sure that the big polluters are also being taxed properly.”
Zack Polanski tells @TrevorPTweets how the Green Party would deal with fly-tipping.#TrevorPhillips
— Sky News (@SkyNews) February 15, 2026
Politics
Priti Patel: Starmer ‘Completely Untrustworthy’ on His EU Red Lines
Priti Patel: Starmer ‘Completely Untrustworthy’ on His EU Red Lines
Politics
In South Texas, the GOP immigration hard line is now political kryptonite
Backlash to President Donald Trump’s immigration crackdown is putting vulnerable Republicans in a tough spot, forcing them to shift their tone to appease frustrated Hispanic voters — or risk losing key battleground seats.
It’s a delicate pivot for Republicans in South Texas, who spent years taking a hardline approach on immigration and flipped historically blue districts in the process.
Republican Rep. Monica De La Cruz, representing a majority-Hispanic district, has gone from calling for mass deportations to focusing on the “worst of the worst.” In lieu of expediting removals, she wants to create new visa categories for undocumented workers to fill jobs in construction and agriculture. And instead of slamming the Biden White House for its “border failure,” she’s setting up private meetings at the Trump White House to plead for temperance in immigration enforcement.
Rep. Tony Gonzales, whose district shares hundreds of miles with Mexico, wants his party to talk more about the border, and said he plans to “continue to advocate that the Republican Party needs to focus on convicted criminal illegal aliens” amid broad outrage over deportations of undocumented people with no proven risk to public safety.
Like other Republicans, they are trying to slowly distance themselves from the massive immigration crackdown that has quickly become political kryptonite for the GOP — but without being seen as disloyal to the president or undercutting their previous positions.
“President Trump made a promise, and he’s kept that promise by securing the border. That was stage one,” De La Cruz said in an interview. “Now we’re at stage two, which is having a conversation of true immigration reform.”
Republicans’ efforts to change the conversation will test their ability to maintain, or even extend, Trump’s 2024 gains with Hispanic voters — and play a pivotal role in the fight for control of Congress in November. A slew of polls in recent weeks has shown many Hispanic voters across the country, repulsed by the Trump administration’s aggressive deportation campaign, are souring on the Republican president they supported to a historic degree in 2024.
It’s a warning the White House appears to be taking seriously. In recent weeks, after the fatal shooting of Alex Pretti by an immigration enforcement officer in Minneapolis, the White House has signaled openness to paring back its deportation operation. On Thursday, border czar Tom Homan announced the administration’s massive immigration surge in Minneapolis would come to a close.
Latino voters’ embrace of Trump was a political earthquake, and South Texas was the epicenter.
De La Cruz’s district — which sprawls from the Rio Grande Valley on the U.S.-Mexico border up to the San Antonio suburbs — was represented by a Democrat in Congress for 120 years before De La Cruz won her seat in 2022. In 2024, Trump romped to an 18-point victory.
The 15th Congressional District was among those redrawn by the Texas legislature’s redistricting gambit last year, offering De La Cruz an even more favorable electorate. But that bet relies heavily on Hispanic voters sticking with the GOP: Nearly 80 percent of the district identifies as Hispanic or Latino, and if those voters flip back to the Democratic Party or stay home, it could erase much of the new map’s intended friendliness to Republicans.
“With the border secure and Latinos responding to ICE raids and government overreach, the districts that Republicans thought were their future a year ago are likely to be their undoing,” said Mike Madrid, a Republican strategist who is a frequent critic of Trump. “Hard to find another situation in the past 50 years where a political party has squandered a generational opportunity like this.”
Flipping De La Cruz’s district is a top objective for House Democrats this cycle, who are salivating at the prospect of winning back Latino voters. She’ll face either Bobby Pulido, a Tejano music star with widespread name ID recruited by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, or Ana Cuellar, an ER doctor who has an impressive penchant for fundraising.
Local Republicans have begun sounding the alarm.
Daniel Garza, president of the LIBRE Initiative, a grassroots conservative group based in South Texas, said “Biden’s border chaos” was directly responsible for Texas Republicans’ victories in recent election cycles, including De La Cruz’s, but that moving toward the other extreme — a harsh crackdown — could again dissuade Hispanic voters who might otherwise support the GOP.
“We don’t have to be a nation that has to decide between an ‘everybody-in’ or an ‘everybody-out’ approach,” Garza said. “I honestly feel that the counties across the entire Texan border shifted to the right because of the border chaos. … But this sort of everybody-out approach, I think, is also causing some reflection.”
The immigration crackdown has wreaked havoc for the area’s business community. Greg LaMantia, who runs a major beer wholesaler in the region, said his company’s sales are down as a result of the raids. “You have people that are legal that are scared to death to get caught up in this fiasco and deported,” said LaMantia, who voted for Trump and has donated recently to both Republican and Democratic lawmakers. “It’s caused sales to go down, no doubt about it. It’s chaos.”
Daniel Guerrero, CEO of the McAllen-based South Texas Builders Association, said rampant ICE activity has sent a shiver through the construction industry, leading to massive delays. He said ICE is notorious for following concrete trucks to job sites, then apprehending workers as they begin pouring a foundation, leaving half-poured concrete slabs.
“The sentiment is pretty clear across the table, that nobody really expected this magnitude of enforcement,” said Guerrero, who voted for Trump and De La Cruz in 2024.
He said the Hispanic Trump supporters he knows are souring on this administration, an observation supported by recent polling. In the latest warning sign, Latino voters helped a Democrat flip a reliably red seat in Fort Worth last month. Taylor Rehmet, who picked up a state Senate seat in a special election, won about 4 out of 5 Hispanic votes across the district, a massive 26-point improvement over Kamala Harris in 2024.
Many Republicans are trying to steer the discussion around immigration to focus on how border crossings have dropped to historic lows under Trump — which they hope will remind Hispanic voters why they should stick with the GOP.
“The Hispanic population gives President Trump and Republicans a lot of leeway with just how bad things were before and where they’re at now,” said Gonzales, whose sprawling border district is majority Hispanic. “They have a lot of leeway to get a lot of runway, if you will.”
De La Cruz successfully ran in 2024 on deportations and the “worst border security crisis in our nation’s history.” Now she’s proposing a new visa category, H-2C, allowing employers like those in construction and hospitality to hire foreign workers. She also introduced legislation which would expand the H-2A visa category for seasonal agricultural workers.
In recent weeks, De La Cruz said she has taken constituents to meet with the Labor Department, the White House and House Speaker Mike Johnson, pitching them on her bills and encouraging the administration to change its tact on immigration enforcement.
“There’s limited resources, period. And we want those limited resources to be focused on the worst of the worst, the criminal immigrants that have come in,” De La Cruz said. “We have legal immigrants in our district who have work visas that they don’t want to go out to work because some may have fear about the process that is currently being administered.”
But De La Cruz’s shift in messaging has simultaneously earned skepticism from some industry leaders and frustration with the base, underscoring the political tightrope she must walk until November.
Guerrero, the construction nonprofit leader, said he sensed political opportunism in De La Cruz’s newfound interest in helping his industry.
“People feel abandoned because you never showed face, and now that there’s an actual crisis, you want to show face?” Guerrero said. “It’s like, dude, it’s a little too late, man.”
The MAGA base, meanwhile, doesn’t love the shift, either. Patricio County GOP Chair Rex Warner thinks De La Cruz has become too soft on deportations. “I align with some of it, but very little,” he said.
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