Crypto World
Bitcoin Treads Water As Gold, S&P 500 See Significant Gains
Bitcoin stayed wedged at $64,000 on Wednesday’s Wall Street open as gold hit six-week highs.
Key points:
- Gold analysis eyes Chinese demand as the precious metal hits its highest levels in six weeks.
- Bitcoin (BTC) sees a second day of lackluster performance against US stocks as the S&P 500 index builds on all-time highs.
China in spotlight as gold rebounds past $4,200
Data from TradingView showed continued BTC price inertia contrasting with upside for both precious metals and US equities.

BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
Gold gained 2.8% on the day to hit $4,213 per ounce, its highest levels since June 22. Chinese appetite spurred the upside, with Bloomberg reporting 14 consecutive days of inflows for domestic gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

China gold ETF inflows data. Source: Bloomberg
These products saw their worst month of outflows on record in June per data from the World Gold Council. The year-to-date inflows to Chinese ETFs fell to 40 billion yuan ($5.6 billion). However, this is still the second-best H1 performance on record.
“Demand for gold ETFs stayed robust amid growing geopolitical and economic uncertainties, while the PBoC’s non-stop gold purchases continued to provide a supportive backdrop for sentiment. Institutional investor participation in Chinese gold ETFs has also risen, supporting demand for these products,” it commented, referencing China’s central bank gold purchases of 82 tonnes over the 20 months through June.
Elsewhere, US stocks were toggling between red and green while the S&P 500 index (SPX) touched a record high above 7,793 before pulling back at last look in early afternoon trading.

S&P 500 one-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas noted that 66% of S&P 500 stocks were now above their 50-day moving average, with 57% beating the index’s standard benchmark tracker.
Bitcoin lacks impetus for recovery, analysis shows
As on the previous day, Bitcoin failed to keep up with the broader risk-asset optimism seen in equities.
Related: Bitcoin price-metric basket sees longest capitulation since FTX blow-up: Glassnode
$64,000 remains a focus on low time frames, and market participants retained prior assumptions about the future of the current bear market.
“As long as the orange support here produces weaker rallies, price will keep forming Lower Highs to produce an eventual breakdown deeper into the $58000-$66000 Range (blue-blue),” trader and analyst Rekt Capital told X followers in comments on the weekly BTC/USD chart.
In research published on Tuesday, onchain analytics platform CryptoQuant highlighted three prerequisites for a durable BTC price rebound to emerge. In addition to sustained inflows to the US spot Bitcoin ETFs, the market needed US bond yields to cool, along with the absence of expected interest-rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.
The Coinbase Premium — the difference in price between Coinbase’s and Binance’s BTC/USDT pairs — also needed to return to positive territory, CryptoQuant wrote, reiterating analysis from June. As Cointelegraph reported recently, the metric has been negative for nearly 80 days.
Crypto World
Zuckerberg’s Muse Code Loses to Anthropic on Meta’s Own Benchmark Charts
Mark Zuckerberg launched Muse Code in beta on Wednesday, Meta’s first artificial intelligence (AI) coding agent. Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 beats it in all four comparisons Meta published at launch.
Meta released those charts anyway. The company is selling a cheaper tool rather than a better one. Independent test data suggests the gap is wider than Meta showed.
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Meta’s Own Charts Hand Anthropic Every Round
Muse Spark 1.2 is the model inside Muse Code. It scored 82.9% on Terminal-Bench 2.1.
Claude Opus 5 scored 86.7% on the same test. Terminal-Bench comes from the Laude Institute and Stanford researchers. It sets 89 real jobs spanning system repair, data work, and security.
Second place is respectable. Muse Code beat OpenAI’s Codex at 81.8% and Grok Build at 81.6%.
The next chart was harsher. DeepSWE 1.1 sets 113 coding tasks with internet access switched off during grading. Muse Spark 1.2 dropped to third at 59.3%.
Meta then published a test it built itself, drawn from 440 real pull requests by its own engineers. Muse Spark 1.2 scored 70.6% there, roughly nine points behind Opus 5.
That score sits only 2.3 points above Muse Spark 1.1, the model Meta shipped in July.
The Model Meta Left Off Its Coding Charts
Meta measured itself against GPT-5.6 Terra. OpenAI sells a stronger model called Sol, and Meta left it out of all three coding charts.
Sol tops the independent Terminal-Bench 2.1 leaderboard at 89.5%. Opus 5 follows at 89.1%.
Both figures beat the 86.7% Meta reported for Opus 5. Meta picked a weaker setting of its strongest rival and still finished behind it.
Against Sol, the true leader, Muse Spark 1.2 trails by 6.6 points rather than 3.8.
Meta did include Sol in one place. On a graphics processing unit (GPU) kernel task running past 1,000 tool calls, Sol improved on the baseline by 71.2%. Muse Spark 1.2 managed 68.7% and placed fourth of six.
One caveat cuts the other way. Muse Spark 1.2 does not appear on that public leaderboard yet, where only 26 of 183 tracked models have been tested. Its 82.9% remains a Meta figure.
“Muse Spark 1.2 is our next step as we push toward frontier, with larger, more capable models on the way,” Zuckerberg said in a post.
Zuckerberg May Soon Host the Model Beating His Own
Meta is reportedly in talks to lease compute to Anthropic. The deal could reach $10 billion over two years. Meta data centers would then help run the Claude models Muse Code was built to unseat.
The leadership behind Muse Code was expensive. Zuckerberg paid $14.3 billion in June 2025 for Scale AI and its founder Alexandr Wang, who now heads Meta Superintelligence Labs.
Price is the lever Wang has left. Rates match the July launch of Meta’s first paid API at $1.25 per million input tokens and $4.25 per million output tokens.
A contributor tier costs more than 10 times less. Developers qualify by letting Meta train on their work. Wang declined to give adoption numbers for the Muse Spark line.
Meta’s accounts explain the discount. Revenue climbed 28% to $60.8 billion last quarter, yet operating profit fell 8% to $18.8 billion.
Operating margin slid to 31% from 43% a year earlier. Meta spent $31.08 billion on capital projects in the quarter alone, and guides to as much as $145 billion for the year.
Muse Code does offer engineering Claude Code lacks. Background agents hold context across a session. Sub-agents work in isolated copies of a repository.
Meta has built a solid second-best coder and priced it like a budget option. The beta will show whether developers trade a few points of accuracy for a bill roughly a tenth the size.
The post Zuckerberg’s Muse Code Loses to Anthropic on Meta’s Own Benchmark Charts appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Ethereum Price Analysis: ETH Clears $1.9K, but a Bigger Test Awaits
Ethereum is attempting to stabilize after recovering from its June lows, but the broader trend has yet to shift decisively in favor of the bulls. While the daily chart still reflects a bearish market structure beneath key moving averages, the 4-hour timeframe shows improving short-term momentum as price presses against key resistance levels.
Meanwhile, on-chain data continues to provide a constructive backdrop, with exchange balances falling to fresh cycle lows.
Ethereum Price Analysis: The Daily Chart
ETH is trading around $1.92K after rebounding from the $1.6K demand zone, where buyers stepped in aggressively following the sharp June selloff. The recovery has carried price back above a major confluence resistance formed by the long-term descending trendline and the 100-day moving average near $1.9K.
Despite the bounce, Ethereum remains below both the 100-day and 200-day moving averages, with the 200-day MA still trending lower near the $2.1K region. As long as the asset remains beneath these dynamic resistance levels, the broader market structure continues to favor sellers.
The first key resistance lies at $2.1K, where the mentioned 200-day moving average intersects with a major supply zone. A successful breakout above this cluster could expose the next resistance zone around $2.4K, which previously acted as a major distribution area.
On the downside, the immediate support is located around $1.85K, followed by the stronger demand zone at $1.6K. Losing the $1.85K area and dropping back inside the descending channel would invalidate the recent recovery attempt and likely reopen the path toward the $1.6K demand zone and potentially lower.
ETH/USDT 4-Hour Chart
The lower timeframe presents a more constructive picture. ETH has spent the past several sessions consolidating above the $1.85K support zone while gradually compressing beneath a descending trendline that has capped the price since the late-July high.
This structure resembles a short-term falling wedge or descending channel breakout attempt, with buyers repeatedly defending higher lows despite continued selling pressure from trendline resistance.
A decisive breakout above the descending trendline could trigger a move toward the psychological $2K level and the larger ascending channel’s upper boundary. Clearing those levels would strengthen the case for a continuation toward the daily resistance cluster near $2.2K and even $2.4K.
However, failure to break the trendline could lead to a breakdown of the $1.85K support, and if that zone gives way, ETH may revisit the broader demand area around $1.75K before buyers attempt another recovery.
On-Chain Analysis
The Exchange Supply Ratio continues to trend lower, reaching approximately 0.127, the lowest reading shown on the chart. This persistent decline indicates that a smaller proportion of Ethereum’s circulating supply is being held on centralized exchanges.
Historically, falling exchange balances suggest investors are moving coins into self-custody or long-term storage rather than preparing them for immediate sale. While this metric does not guarantee higher prices in the short term, it generally reflects declining spot sell-side pressure and improves the medium-term supply dynamics.
The combination of shrinking exchange reserves and ETH holding above a key support zone creates a constructive backdrop. Nevertheless, price confirmation remains essential. A sustained move above the descending trendline and the $2.2K resistance cluster would be needed to align the improving on-chain picture with a confirmed bullish technical reversal.
The post Ethereum Price Analysis: ETH Clears $1.9K, but a Bigger Test Awaits appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
Circle Names BlackRock, Visa, ICE and DTCC Among 11 Founding Arc Validators

Circle on Aug. 5 named the founding validator cohort for Arc, its Layer 1 blockchain, listing BlackRock, The Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation, Galaxy, Global Payments, ICE, Mastercard, MoneyGram, SBI Group, Standard Chartered, Sumitomo Corporation and Visa alongside Circle itself, ahead of a… Read the full story at The Defiant
Crypto World
Top Solana (SOL) Price Predictions as of Late
Solana’s native token has been bleeding heavily over the past few months, mirroring the broader cryptocurrency market’s weakness.
Some analysts believe a resurgence remains a plausible option as long as the price stays above certain critical levels.
Are Bulls Ready to Return?
SOL currently trades at approximately $73.70 (per CoinGecko) after slipping by 8% over the last 30 days. This is more or less exactly the level Ali Martinez recently described as a “make-or-break” moment. He argued that more than 50 million tokens were purchased around that zone, making it the most critical support on the map. The analyst claimed that a sustained close below could open the door to a plunge to $60 and even $50.
Most of the latest predictions, though, have been much more optimistic. Michael van de Poppe said “it would be great” to see a breakthrough of $76, saying such an uptrend could trigger a stronger rally to $120.
X user BATMAN also gave their two cents, suggesting that SOL’s valuation has neared a bullish trendline that has supported past major bottoms.
For their part, Pepesso claimed that the asset has one of “the cleanest setups in crypto right now.” They noted the brutal correction over the past months, adding that $45-$60 is the zone that “matters.”
“We are still well above it, but that’s the zone I’m watching if we retrace back in there. As long as $45 holds on any retest, this stays a clean accumulation setup,” the analyst said.
The X user opined that a reclaim of $100 could act as the first real confirmation, and from there, $150-$200 becomes the next range worth attention. On the other hand, a breakout under $45 would invalidate the bullish scenario.
The Concerning Factor
There are some signals that can serve as a bearish counterpoint to the aforementioned optimists. According to Ali Martinez, the number of addresses holding at least 0.1 SOL has declined by 5% over the past two weeks.
Specifically, addresses meeting that threshold have fallen from 11.84 million to 11.26 million, with the analyst outlining that this indicates a slowdown in participation among holders that could add further pressure to the price during the already fragile market conditions.
Small players reducing exposure to SOL is not necessarily a bearish factor and, in fact, combined with whale accumulation, is usually interpreted as a bullish signal. However, recent data does not show any meaningful interest from large holders at this stage.
The post Top Solana (SOL) Price Predictions as of Late appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
Mark Zuckerberg Meta AI Predicts an XRP Surge Few Saw Coming
Meta AI predicts a supply driven repricing for XRP, and this price prediction calls the current setup the cleanest since 2017. At $1.07, the case is built around four catalysts rather than a single trigger.
The first is what Meta AI labels an ETF super cycle. After the SEC settled with Ripple in August 2025 and reclassified XRP as a commodity, 11 spot ETF filings followed, with Bloomberg now placing approval odds between 87 and 95%.
Five ETFs already sit on the DTCC list, $1.3 billion in inflows have arrived since November 2025 with zero outflows recorded, and $5 to $8 billion more is projected for 2026, the exact flow level Standard Chartered ties directly to its $8 bull case.
The second pillar is Ripple’s banking push. The company secured initial approval for a federal trust bank charter from the OCC, making RLUSD the first stablecoin under both state and federal oversight at once.

RLUSD is now live on more than 40 chains through Wormhole and the XRPL EVM Sidechain, with BNY Mellon, a custodian managing $53 trillion in assets, serving as primary custodian.
Institutional adoption on XRPL itself is the third leg. Ripple is targeting 2026 as the pivotal year for banks and asset managers actually using on chain liquidity pools, with the XRPL EVM Sidechain already holding more than $105 million in TVL, an SBI blockchain bond worth $64.6 million, and an Archax equity and debt tokenization push expected to drive real settlement demand by mid 2026.
Regulatory tailwinds round out the case, with the CLARITY Act or an equivalent market structure bill unlocking RWA tokenization while 1.35 billion XRP has already been withdrawn from exchanges, tightening available supply.
The base case price target sits at $2.45 to $2.80, drawing on 21Shares and a revised Standard Chartered figure. The bull case runs to $4.94 to $8.00 if ETF flows clear $5 billion and XRPL captures 1 to 2% of the $10.9 trillion tokenization market, a range Meta AI notes would mean a 330 to 650% move from $1.07.
The bear case is not dismissed. If CLARITY stalls and monthly ETF inflows stay under $132 million, 21Shares own bear scenario points to $1.60, a 16% decline, with downside risk extending to $0.86 to $1.00, though Meta AI argues the ongoing supply contraction limits how deep any flush could realistically go.
XRP Has Spent A Year Grinding Lower With No Real Bounce To Show For It
XRP peaked near $3.65 in August 2025, and the decline since has been remarkably steady rather than sharp, a long staircase of lower highs stretching from that summer peak all the way through the following winter.
February brought the sharpest single break, a gap down from above $2.30 to under $1.60 in a matter of days, and price has spent every month since compressing into an increasingly narrow range.
Price closed today at $1.07531, up 0.04%, in a session ranging between $1.06900 and $1.08182. Support sits at $1.00, the psychological floor that lines up closely with the bear case’s own downside target, then $0.86 below that if the supply contraction argument fails to hold.
Resistance stacks first at $1.20, then $1.40, then the far heavier ceiling near $1.60 that has capped every recovery attempt since February. The signal line reads 45.68 against 45.82, a gap so narrow it is effectively flat, and both lines have been drifting in that same tight band for months without any real separation.
That is not a chart building toward a breakout in either direction. For Meta AI’s base case near $2.45 to become plausible, XRP first needs to clear $1.60, a level this chart has not touched since before the February breakdown, regardless of how tight exchange supply has become in the background.
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The post Mark Zuckerberg Meta AI Predicts an XRP Surge Few Saw Coming appeared first on Cryptonews.
Crypto World
Senator Warren Questions US AI Chip Policy After Trump Crypto Investment: Report
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All news, reviews, and analyses are produced with full journalistic independence and integrity. For more details on our standards and processes, please read our Editorial Policy.
Crypto World
NFT firm founder indicted for using treasury to support ‘DJ hobby’
Taj Tarsha, the founder of Few and Far, which claimed to be building an NFT exchange, has been indicted in the Southern District of New York for securities fraud and wire fraud.
The allegations in the indictment detail how Tarsha, along with the Few and Far team, raised over $10 million from investors by selling the rights to their future FAR token.
Subsequently, Tarsha allegedly “misappropriated millions of dollars raised by the company, using investor funds to gamble at an online casino, speculatively trade cryptocurrency, fund unrelated business ventures, and serve as collateral to finance his purchase of a luxury condominium in Miami.”
Additionally, he used some of the funds to support his “DJ hobby.”
Read more: Justin Sun’s NFT marketplace managed just four sales last month
According to the indictment, Tarsha was cynical about the NFT ecosystem, describing it as:
- a “bubble”
- “the last [company] I have in me”
- “the last juice I have to squeeze”
- a “magic ticket to a 10-30M exit.”
Similarly, he also apparently told his then-fiancée that he’d taken assets from Few and Far, something he knew was “unethical.”
Eventually, the Few and Far team apparently realized that assets had been misappropriated, leading to Tarsha being removed from the firm’s multisignature wallet.
Tarsha then allegedly “paid Co-Founder-1 and the operations director a significant amount of company funds to induce them to hand over control of the company’s multi-signature wallet.”
Tarsha also allegedly reached directly out to investors as part of his ploy to regain control.
Eventually, Tarsha and the rest of the team did launch the token, which subsequently lost more than 99% of its value.
Few and Far never launched the promised NFT exchange.
Got a tip? Send us an email securely via Protos Leaks. For more informed news and investigations, follow us on X, Bluesky, and Google News, or subscribe to our YouTube channel.
Crypto World
Crypto firm RedotPay says it will defend itself ‘vigorously’ against Binance lawsuit
RedotPay, which describes itself as the world’s largest stablecoin payment card issuer, told CoinDesk Wednesday it will defend itself “vigorously” against a $470 million Binance lawsuit alleging it poached 470,000 users.
“RedotPay is aware of legal proceedings initiated by Binance and will vigorously defend all claims,” the firm said in an emailed statement. “The Company rejects the unfounded allegations made against it and its co-founders.”
Binance affiliates filed a lawsuit against the founders of the Hong Kong-based stablecoin payments company, alleging they diverted nearly half a million Binance customers to the competing platform in a scheme that caused nearly $473 million in losses, according to a Bloomberg report.
“Since March 2026, the Binance Group has discovered that RedotPay Group had been allowing and encouraging Binance Pay funds to be used, without segregation, for the prohibited use within RedotPay, including card top-ups for RedotPay Card,” Binance said in the filing, according to Bloomberg.
“While Binance does not comment on ongoing litigation, where necessary we will use courts and other forums to pursue what is right,” a spokesperson told CoinDesk via email.
Crypto World
As Warsh and the Fed contemplate fewer meetings, markets brace for potential volatility ahead
Chair of the Federal Reserve Kevin Warsh speaks during a news conference at the William McChesney Martin Jr. Federal Reserve Board Building in Washington, DC, on July 29, 2026.
Brendan Smialowski | Afp | Getty Images
Add the possibility of fewer meetings into the mix of how Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh wants to reduce the central bank’s footprint on financial markets, a move that some experts say could introduce both volatility and opportunity for investors.
Since taking office in May, Warsh has implemented several measures that reverse decades of Fed culture in which policymakers have been aggressively transparent — some say overly so — about where they think monetary policy is headed.
Thus far, he has curtailed so-called forward guidance, or how the Fed signals its future rate moves, dramatically shortened the post-meeting statement and provided cryptic and often evasive answers when questioned about his views during the two news conferences he’s held so far.
Now comes the possibility, discussed in what one Fed source described as mostly hypothetical terms, of reducing the long-held schedule of eight meetings each year for the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee.
Such a move would further curtail the communications output from the Warsh Fed — and lead to some uncertain outcomes for the stock and bond markets.
“Certainly, it’s going to increase volatility,” said George Catrambone, head of fixed income for the Americas at DWS Group. “Having less transparency forces market participants to hedge or have a wider dispersion of outcomes.”
‘Nothing magical’ about schedule
The Fed has used various meeting strategies over the decades.
Until the early 1980s, it met nearly monthly before changing to eight a year under former Chairman Paul Volcker. Moreover, the Fed is free at any time to call meeting, though the market implications could be substantial given that such a move would be considered an emergency.
Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari told CNBC on Wednesday that he is fine with re-examining the meeting schedule.
“I don’t think there’s any magic number about eight or 10 or six. You know, we always have the ability to call emergency meetings if things happen, but that’s a big event,” he said. “When the FOMC calls an emergency meeting, it really sends a signal that we’re concerned about something. And so, you know, I think I’m open-minded. I don’t have a strong view.”
Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson on Tuesday expressed similar sentiments, telling CNBC, “it’s healthy to have a good discussion about that.” Other Fed experts take a similar tack that having a fewer meetings a year might not be a big deal to markets.
“There’s nothing magical about eight meetings,” said Bill English, the Fed’s former head of monetary affairs during Warsh’s first stint there and now a Yale professor. “There are costs associated with having a lot of meetings, but on the other hand, you don’t want to have so few meetings that you end up not acting in a timely way.”
English said he once proposed six meetings a year, but with each including a news conference as well as an update to the Fed’s Summary of Economic Projections. Overall, he sees eight as “close to the right number” and instead is more concerned about other aspects of Warsh’s strategy.
“I really don’t like this effort to communicate much less,” he said. “Explaining more about why you’re doing what you’re doing helps the public to understand it. It helps the public to anticipate it. It makes monetary policy more effective, and also it it just seems like it’s appropriate to make the Fed accountable.
Muted market reaction
So far, markets either have been willing to give Warsh the benefit of the doubt, or simply have been too focused on geopolitics to care about the Fed rumblings.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average has added about 3,500 points, or 7%, since Warsh took over from now-Governor Jerome Powell on May 22. Bond yields on net have risen though not dramatically, with the policy-sensitive 2-year Treasury up about 8 basis points, or 0.08 percentage points, while the benchmark 10-year yield has risen about the same.
Dow since May 22
Those moves have come despite Warsh defying a tradition of open communication that dates back into the latter part of the 20th century while also establishing five task forces aimed at a top-to-bottom rethinking of the Fed’s approach to policy, communications strategy and data utilization, among other things.
“He’s kind of getting away with it,” said Mark Hackett, chief market strategist at Nationwide. “Warsh is really the first Fed official that I’ve seen explicitly say he wants the Fed to have less direct impact on market movement.”
Indeed, Warsh has told market participants explicitly that they should be reacting to data, not the vagaries of Fedspeak.
“Market participants are learning to play the ball, not the referee — and market prices will continue to respond in the direction and magnitude they see fit,” Warsh said during last week’s news conference. “This is, in my view, a change for the better — and we are just getting started.”
Still, some investors think Warsh’s strategy is risky.
“The main takeaway is more volatility,” Dario Perkins, head of global macroeconomics at TS Lombard, said in a note in which he deemed the result of Warsh’s approach “a regime of continuous market repricing.”
“Investors have to get used to FOMC meetings at which they don’t know the outcome ahead of time,” he added. “That will also provide new trading opportunities. It goes without saying that this may well be what Warsh has wanted all along.”
Potential ramifications
Concerns already have been raised about the chairman’s feelings over forward guidance, and that has been exacerbated by a loosely defined reaction function — a delineation of the economic conditions that would cause the Fed to react. Warsh also has spoken critically about the Fed’s “dot plot” of individual officials’ rate expectations and declined to submit his own dot when the Federal Open Market Committee last updated the grid in June.
Adding to the information vacuum by only meeting, say, four or six times a year raises further concerns that a market that has for decades looked for cues from the Fed now will have to guess at policy.
“Obviously, if the the dot plot changes or if guidance changes, I don’t think that’s the end of the world,” Hackett said. “If you stop start having less meetings, that’s a different level, and that could be seen as disruptive.”
One potential consequence would be longer-term yields rising faster than shorter-term rates, what the market refers to as a bear steepener, said Komal Sri-Kumar, president of Sri-Kumar Global Strategies. The implication is that fixed income investors would see the Fed holding short-term rates low and causing inflation expectations to rise.
10-year Treasury yield in 2026
“Bondholders are not babies trying to have their hands held,” Sri-Kumar said. “The bondholders are saying, ‘Please don’t make my life more difficult by introducing even more uncertainty.’”
The federal government literally can’t afford a spike in yields as it struggles with financing costs for the $31.1 trillion in outstanding Treasury debt held by the public.
If investors sour further on government debt, it will make Bessent’s job tougher at a time when interest on the debt is second only to Social Security in government outlays. The Treasury Department estimates it will spend $1.3 trillion this year on debt financing costs.
In a CNBC appearance Tuesday, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent described the Warsh approach as a “detox” for markets.
There are plausible benefits and plausible drawbacks, and after such a short time, nobody really knows if the new approach will work. In the meantime, Warsh has a very important speech coming up when the Fed holds its annual gathering in Jackson Hole, Wyoming at the end of August, a time that prior chairmen used to lay out new agendas.
“Warsh is trying to undertake a very large change in terms of how to communicate the data and how to interpret it,” said Catrambone, the DWS bond strategist. “I would say we should also provide a little bit of grace.”
Crypto World
Fed Governor Cook says she’s ‘prepared to act’ on rate hike to address inflation
Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook speaks at the Stanford Institute of Economic Policy Research in Palo Alto, California, U.S., May 27, 2026.
Ann Saphir | Reuters
Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook said Wednesday that she’s ready to support an interest rate hike unless the inflation numbers improve.
“Inflation is too high, and I consider the risks to the inflation side of the dual mandate higher than the risks to the employment side at this point,” Cook said during a speech in Anchorage, Alaska. “As such, I am prepared to act by raising rates, if necessary.”
While acknowledging that the June data showed inflation easing thanks largely to a sharp slide in energy prices, the policymaker said there shouldn’t be too much read into a single data point, particularly with the pace of price increases running well ahead of the Fed’s 2% goal.
Cook was part of a 9-3 majority that voted last week to keep the central bank’s benchmark borrowing rate in a range between 3.5%-3.75%. She explained that her vote came from a desire to see how possibly waning impacts from tariffs, an energy supply shock due to the Iran war and pressures from the artificial intelligence buildout impact prices.
“If I do not see signs of continued disinflation soon, I am prepared to act,” Cook said. “With five years of above-target inflation, the risk grows that higher inflation may become entrenched in price- and wage-setting behavior, leading to persistence that would be much harder for us to attack. The longer inflation is above target, the more likely this scenario becomes.”
Other environments might allow the Fed to wait longer before acting, but she said, “We do not have that luxury in this one.”
Markets expect the central bank could act as soon as September but are pricing in higher odds for an October move, according to the CME Group’s FedWatch. Earlier in the day, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, one of the three dissenting votes for the rate decision, told CNBC that he still believes higher rates are necessary.
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