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The euro ​edged higher to $1.1558, hovering near its strongest level since mid-June, while sterling was steady at $1.3490, near a five-week peak.

The yen held firm at 157.90 per dollar, having given back some intervention-driven gains but remaining well off the ‌roughly 164 multi-decade ⁠low hit ⁠late last month.

The dollar index, which tracks the currency against six major peers, was little changed at 99.6, hovering ​near its lowest level since June 2.

Data on Friday showed the U.S. economy unexpectedly shed jobs in July ​and job gains for the prior two months were revised sharply lower, cooling expectations for a Fed rate hike next month.

Live Events

U.S. Treasury yields fell as the jobs report dashed hike bets, with those on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes last at 4.637%. The futures ⁠market has ‌scaled back the chance of a September move to around 44%, from 67% a week ago.
“The weaker U.S. labor-market signal has pulled down real-rate expectations, extended the ⁠dollar decline… but not yet a clean easing story,” Geoff Yu, ​senior EMEA market strategist at BNY, wrote in a note, adding ​that perceptions around U.S. inflation data will likely be the biggest factor for currencies this week.A consensus estimate calls for the core CPI to rise 0.2% month-on-month in July, lifting the annual rate to 2.5% and extending a gradual moderation in inflation. The annual rate was 2.6% in June.

Producer price data on Thursday and retail sales figures on Friday will further inform the outlook for ‌inflation.

“Although there’s a lot of inflation dynamics, the Fed will for now stay on the sidelines and wait to see how things play out,” Rodrigo Catril, ​senior FX strategist ​at NAB, said in ⁠a podcast.

Oil prices rose on Monday, with Brent oil futures last up 1.4% at roughly $85 per barrel amid continued uncertainty over the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Iran said a deal with ​Oman defining new shipping lanes was in its final stages but it added that the U.S. must still meet other conditions.

In Asia, the New Zealand dollar and Australian dollar each slipped 0.1% to $0.7062 and $0.5889 respectively.

Market participants await the Reserve Bank of Australia’s rate decision on Tuesday. The central bank is expected to hold its key rate at 4.35% for the rest of the year.

Yes. Corporate subscriptions are available for teams and organisations, with discounted rates as user numbers increase. Pricing starts from $1,625 + GST per user.
Get in touch
to discuss the right option for your organisation.

Business News subscriptions are used by executives, investors, consultants and professionals who need to stay informed and make better decisions about the WA market. When you subscribe you’ll get

• Unlimited access to WA’s most trusted business journalism
• Data & Insights — detailed profiles of WA companies, people, projects and deals
• MyBN — a personalised feed based on the companies, people and sectors you follow
• Special publications and industry reports
• Daily and weekly email newsletters

Data & Insights is a research tool built specifically for the WA market. It draws on more than 30 years of Business News reporting, updated regularly to reflect what’s happening now. Use it to:

• Look up detailed profiles of WA companies, including financials, directors and ownership
• Find decision-makers and track their career movements
• Research live and completed projects across WA industries
• Monitor deals, appointments and market activity
• Access industry rankings and league tables

Data & Insights is updated daily by our dedicated research team, which uses the latest announcements, ASX filings and editorial coverage to keep our person, company, list and project records up to date.

Business News welcome all opportunities to make our dataset accurate, complete and current, so if you have an update request, please email the team at
general@businessnews.com.au, and we’d be happy to assist.

MyBN
is part of every subscription. It’s your personalised view of Business News. You can follow the companies, people, sectors and projects that matter to you, and get a news feed and alerts tailored to your interests. You can save articles to read later and retain only what you need.

Only subscribers have full access to all content on the Business News website.

If staying informed about the WA economy is part of your job, and/or you’re looking for networking opportunities in WA, Business News is built for you.

Business News subscribers are:

• Executives and directors tracking competitors, clients and market movements
• Investors and advisers researching companies, deals and industry trends
• Consultants and professionals staying across sectors relevant to their clients
• Business owners looking for leads, context and market intelligence

Most Business News publications cover national or global markets. Business News is focused entirely on Western Australia, which means the journalism, the data and the intelligence are all built around WA companies, people and projects — not adapted from a national feed. Data & Insights, included with every subscription, combines more than 30 years of WA-specific editorial research with live business data. There’s no comparable product for the WA market.

The Morning Digest Email provides a comprehensive wrap of the major headlines, relevant to WA business, and includes with a snapshot of the overnight news covering oil, gold and ASX-listed companies.

The Afternoon Wrap Email focuses on the news covered by our team of journalists during the course of the working day, including exclusive stories and analysis, all of which relates to WA business and the local economy.

The BN Weekender Email contains a wrap of the Business News from the week that was, highlighting the top stories in each area of WA business.
Sign up for free.

We’re happy to help.
Get in touch
and our team will come back to you.

Thailand and Myanmar reaffirmed cooperation for Myanmar’s ASEAN reintegration during Min Aung Hlaing’s controversial Bangkok visit. Thailand pursues “calibrated re-engagement,” rejecting legitimacy accusations while citing border realities. Agreements on labor, trade, environment were signed, though ASEAN remains divided over Myanmar’s 5PC implementation amid ongoing conflict.

Key Points

• Thailand pledged continued support for Myanmar’s reintegration into ASEAN, hosting Min Aung Hlaing’s first visit as president; both signed deals on labor, trade, and environmental cooperation despite ongoing sanctions and conflict.
• FM Sihasak defended engagement as pragmatic “calibrated re-engagement,” not legitimization, urging reduced hostilities while acknowledging no military solution exists to Myanmar’s civil war.
• Analysts note Thailand prioritizes border stability over pressuring Myanmar to implement ASEAN’s Five-Point Consensus, revealing regional divisions on handling the junta.

Thailand’s Diplomatic Balancing Act

Thailand has reaffirmed its commitment to “supporting and continuing to work closely” with Myanmar for its full ASEAN reintegration, following Myanmar President Min Aung Hlaing’s controversial two-day visit—his first since stepping down as military chief. Foreign Minister Sihasak Phuangketkeow defended the visit, stating “it’s not about legitimacy, it’s about reality,” citing shared border challenges.

Thailand’s approach, termed “calibrated re-engagement,” proceeds independently of ASEAN consensus, though Sihasak emphasized that Myanmar’s return to ASEAN summits requires collective agreement, calling it “a two-way street.”

ASEAN’s Fractured Consensus on Myanmar

Since the 2021 coup, ASEAN has barred Myanmar’s leadership from summits, insisting on implementation of the Five-Point Consensus (5PC)—a peace plan Min Aung Hlaing claims lacks full endorsement. Five years later, divisions within ASEAN have deepened, with Thailand appearing to soften its stance while others maintain pressure.

Sihasak acknowledged “there is no military victory” in Myanmar’s conflict, urging reduced hostilities. However, analyst Wai Yan Phyo Naing suggested Thailand’s motivations center on mitigating spillover effects from Myanmar’s crisis rather than genuinely pressuring political reform, noting minimal pressure applied regarding 5PC implementation or domestic political improvements.

Economic Cooperation Amid Ongoing Conflict

Despite Myanmar’s continued sanctions and internal strife, the two nations signed three agreements covering labor cooperation and environmental protection along shared rivers. At a business forum with 700 participants, PM Anutin Charnvirakul emphasized that economic disruption must be avoided regardless of political circumstances, prioritizing employment and stability for citizens.

Min Aung Hlaing, avoiding discussion of ongoing violence, promoted investment opportunities, describing Myanmar as “a peaceful country blessed with abundant natural resources.” This contrasts sharply with reality: his administration lacks full territorial control, with resistance forces holding significant regions. The World Bank recently downgraded Myanmar’s growth forecast to 2%, reflecting the conflict’s ongoing economic toll amid the humanitarian crisis that has claimed over 100,000 lives.

Other People are Reading

FUNDAMENTALS

Spot gold was little changed at $4,339.59 per ounce, as of 0017 GMT, after a more ‌than 7% ⁠gain last ⁠week.
Bullion hit its highest since June 17 on Friday after weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs data reduced expectations for interest rate hikes.

U.S. gold futures were ​flat at $4,399.40.

Data on Friday showed the U.S. economy unexpectedly shed jobs in July and previously reported job gains for ​the prior two months were revised sharply ⁠lower.

Live Events

Following ‌the data release, futures markets flipped the odds ​of a ​rate hike at the September 15-16 Federal ⁠Open Market Committee meeting from likelier-than-not to a worse-than-even chance.
​A lower interest rate environment boosts the attractiveness ​of gold against income-generating assets, as bullion itself earns no interest.
Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Thomas Barkin said hiring data for July represented a continuation of recent trends.
Key U.S. inflation data due this week include the ‌Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Producer Price Index (PPI).

On the geopolitical front, Iran said it was nearing ​a final pact ​with Oman defining ⁠new shipping lanes between them through the Strait of Hormuz but repeated that the U.S. must meet other conditions, including compensation and ​an end to sanctions and military threats, before the strategic waterway is reopened.

Among other metals, spot silver rose 0.5% to $63.85 per ounce, platinum gained 0.2% to $1,748.25 and palladium slipped 0.5% to $1,371.16.

DATA/EVENTS (GMT)

0800 China Total Social Financing Jul

0800 China M2 Money Supply YY Jul

0800 China New Yuan Loans Jul