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SOL price prediction as Solana RWA Tokenization value breaks $1.66B record

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Solana price is catching its breath after a ferocious multi‑month rally, slipping back toward the mid‑$80s as traders reassess how much upside is left in one of this cycle’s most aggressive beta plays. The pullback is sharp, but it is not disorderly; it looks like a market that simply ran too far, too fast.

Summary

  • Solana price slips toward the mid-$80s after an aggressive multi-month run, with YCharts showing a near 56% drawdown from a year ago.
  • Polymarket contracts still price meaningful odds of SOL above $160 and even new all-time highs by end-2026, highlighting a wide distribution of outcomes.
  • Bitcoin and Ethereum prices frame Solana inside a broader macro risk-on tape, with high Solana volumes keeping liquidity conditions supportive.

Solana price cools, prediction markets stay bold

As of early U.S. trading, Solana (SOL) changes hands around $86.07, down 4.4% on the session, after trading near $90.03 24 hours ago. Perplexity Finance data show a 24‑hour range between roughly $84.41 and $86.57, with spot market cap hovering near $48.55B and volumes around $57.32M. YCharts puts Solana’s daily reference price at $85.94 for February 16, down from $88.16 yesterday and dramatically below roughly $194.43 a year ago, a drawdown of about 55.8%.

Despite that drawdown, prediction markets have not written Solana off. A Polymarket market asking whether Solana will hit a fresh all‑time high by December 31, 2026, prices that probability near 16%, while a separate contract on “What price will Solana hit in 2026?” shows traders assigning roughly 32% odds to SOL trading above $160 before year‑end 2026. In that market, downside brackets such as “↓ 60” and “↓ 40” still command substantial probability, underscoring that “the path to new highs is anything but linear.”

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SOL price prediction as Solana RWA Tokenization value breaks $1.66B record - 1

Macro risk lens and wider crypto tape

This recalibration comes as digital assets continue to trade as the purest expression of macro risk appetite. Bitcoin (BTC) is hovering around $68,000–$69,000, with 24‑hour highs just above $69,000 and lows near $68,150, on roughly $37.8B in trading volume across major BTC/USD venues. Ethereum (ETH) changes hands close to $1,970–$1,975, after printing a 24‑hour high near $2,095.87 and a low around $1,933.97, with market cap near $237B. Solana (SOL) itself trades in the mid‑$80s, with Metamask data putting spot near $85.43 and 24‑hour volumes approaching $9.75B, a sign that “high 24h volume… improves liquidity and reduces slippage for traders.

Solana RWA tokenization efforts intensify

Solana’s RWA tokenization value smashing the 1.66 billion dollar mark reinforces the chain’s narrative as real financial infrastructure, not just a speculative L1, and that matters for SOL’s future pricing power. As more real-world assets settle and trade on Solana, fee revenue, demand for blockspace, and (crucially) the incentive to hold SOL for staking and governance all scale with it, giving fundamentals a chance to catch up with and eventually justify higher valuations in the next risk-on phase.

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Bitcoin Faces Liquidation Risk Amid Falling Volume and Rising Shorts

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Crypto Breaking News

Bitcoin leverage rises as spot demand weakens across markets. Negative funding rates reflect stronger short positioning pressure. Institutional accumulation offsets declining retail spot activity.

Bitcoin traded near $67,150 as derivatives activity shaped short-term price behavior. Market data showed declining spot volume alongside rising leverage metrics. The trend pointed to increased reliance on futures positioning rather than direct buying.

Falling Spot Volume Signals Weak Market Participation

Bitcoin recorded a steady drop in daily spot volume over recent weeks. Activity declined from 42,026 BTC on March 17 to 35,590 BTC on April 2. The contraction reflected weaker participation in direct market transactions.

At the same time, open interest declined from $23.33 billion to $21.26 billion. However, the drop remained smaller compared to spot volume losses. This difference suggested that derivatives exposure stayed relatively elevated.

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The estimated leverage ratio increased from 0.2207 to around 0.225. The shift indicated that traders relied more on leveraged positions. As a result, price action became less dependent on organic spot demand.

Rising Short Pressure and Liquidation Risk Build

Funding rates remained mostly negative across perpetual futures markets. This pattern showed that short positions dominated trader sentiment. It also indicated persistent pressure against upward price movement.

Liquidity zones below the current price appeared closer than those above. This structure increased the probability of downward moves in the short term. Long positions faced a higher risk of forced liquidations under such conditions.

At the same time, analysts highlighted that leverage-driven markets tend to amplify volatility. Price swings often accelerate when liquidation cascades begin. Therefore, short-term direction remained sensitive to derivatives positioning.

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Institutional Demand Contrasts with Weak Spot Activity

Despite weaker spot demand, institutional buying activity continued to absorb supply. Exchange reserves dropped by 66.3K BTC over the past 30 days. The decline reflected ongoing accumulation outside public trading venues.

Over-the-counter transactions accounted for 92.1% of recent flows. In contrast, regular market volume contributed only 7.9% during the same period. This imbalance showed that large buyers dominated current demand trends.

Broader macroeconomic uncertainty still influenced market stability. External shocks could quickly push assets back onto exchanges. Such shifts may increase available supply and trigger rapid price adjustments.

Market Structure Reflects Mixed Signals

Bitcoin’s current structure combined strong institutional accumulation with weak retail participation. This mix created uneven support across different market segments. It also increased reliance on leveraged trading activity.

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At the same time, declining spot demand limited organic price growth potential. Derivatives markets continued to play a larger role in price discovery. This dynamic added complexity to short-term market direction.

Overall, the market showed signs of fragility despite ongoing accumulation. Liquidity positioning and leverage trends suggested elevated risk levels. As a result, near-term movements remained vulnerable to sudden shifts.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Solana’s Drift Floats Airdrop After $285 Million Hack, Faces Backlash

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Solana-based perpetual futures exchange Drift Protocol is facing mounting scrutiny following the catastrophic $285 million exploit it suffered this week.

The backlash is being driven by a highly speculative recovery strategy and suspicious post-hack token movements.

Drift Team Linked Wallet Shifts Over $2 Million Tokens

On April 4, blockchain analysis platform Onchain Lens reported that a wallet linked to the Drift team deposited 56.25 million DRIFT tokens into centralized exchanges Bybit and Gate after the hacking incident. The tokens were valued at $2.44 million.

Transfers to exchanges are typically interpreted as a sign of potential selling activity. The timing has added to the concern, with the token falling to an all-time low of $0.03343 over the past 24 hours.

The move has drawn significant scrutiny from the community because it comes while the project is still dealing with the fallout from the hack.

That has made the transfer of internal funds to secondary markets during a severe liquidity crisis especially contentious. It has also raised fresh concerns about possible asset flight and complicated efforts to rebuild user trust.

On April 1, North Korean attackers hacked Drift Protocol, draining around $280 million. This slashed the platform’s total value locked from $550 million to about $230 million as of press time.

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The April 1 attack ranks as the largest decentralized finance hack of 2026 so far. The fallout has continued to spread, with reports indicating that the number of affected projects has now risen to 20.

The breach also stands as the second-largest hack in Solana’s history, behind only the $326 million Wormhole exploit in 2022.

Solana Co-Founder Proposed Recovery Strategy

Amid the ongoing crisis, Solana co-founder Anatoly Yakovenko publicly suggested that Drift could survive by executing an “airdrop” of IOU tokens.

This mirrors the strategy employed by the centralized exchange Bitfinex following its $72 million hack in 2016.

Yakovenko said a core engineering team could rebuild the platform and use the IOU tokens to eventually make affected users whole.

Market analysts, however, point to major structural differences between the two cases.

Bitfinex benefited from a dominant position in centralized trading and recurring fee revenue during a historic crypto bull market. This allowed the exchange to gradually buy back its debt tokens at a 1:1 ratio.

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Drift, by contrast, operates as a decentralized exchange in a highly competitive and fragmented market. With user confidence damaged and liquidity cut roughly in half, the protocol lacks the predictable revenue base needed to support an unsecured debt instrument.

Analysts have also argued that describing such an issuance as an “airdrop” risks obscuring the core issue. Without a solvent protocol and a viable path to repayment, the tokens would carry no intrinsic value beyond speculation on a future recovery.

The post Solana’s Drift Floats Airdrop After $285 Million Hack, Faces Backlash appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Ripple (XRP) Down 7% This Month, Investors Move to Taurox (TAUX) as Pre-KYA Opening Might Start a Rally

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XRP trades near $1.32 with growing optimism. April has historically been XRP’s strongest month, posting average returns of 24.8% since 2014, driven by the upcoming CLARITY Act Senate Banking Committee markup scheduled for the second half of the month. 

Taurox, an AI-driven trading protocol, positions itself to harness this momentum through autonomous agents that deliver diversified, risk-managed yields to stakers in the evolving crypto landscape.

Navigating XRP Volatility with Taurox’s Structured Edge

XRP’s recent price action remains choppy despite partnerships and regulatory progress, with escrow unlocks adding supply pressure and exposing holders to frequent 20-30% whipsaws. Taurox counters this by pooling deposits of USDT, BTC, or XRP into a shared trading pool. Global developers, quants, and AI engineers build the agents that generate proportional net profits. 

Each agent is capped at 2% of pool AUM, while KYA tiers enforce conservative, moderate, or aggressive risk levels. Enforced Sharpe ratios ≥1.5 and maximum drawdowns below 15% deliver smoother returns than direct exposure or traditional 2% management-fee hedge funds.

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Pre-KYA Registration Now Open: Accelerating the Agent Pipeline

Taurox has hit a major roadmap milestone ahead of schedule by opening the Pre-KYA Registration Table. This early entry point allows developers, quants, and AI builders to pre-register their trading agents before the full Know Your Agent (KYA) system goes live. Pre-registered agents receive priority Proving Ground access, jumping the queue for faster entry and earlier capital allocation. 

They also qualify for bonus incentives from the dedicated Agent Creator Fund, which represents 10% of total TAUX supply. Anyone with a working trading strategy can now position their agent among the first wave in the Taurox ecosystem.

Taurox Mechanics: On-Chain AI Trading with Rigorous Controls

Taurox aggregates staker deposits into a central trading pool and mints txTokens at the prevailing NAV per share, starting at $1.00. The protocol maintains a 15% stablecoin reserve buffer and directs the remainder to agents through a performance-weighted algorithm. Agents execute strategies like statistical arbitrage via on-chain vaults or CEX sub-accounts. 

Every agent must complete the Proving Ground until achieving statistical significance, such as ≥500 trades. Risk controls include 2% daily stop-losses, 5% single-trade limits, and 5% pool-wide drawdown halts. KYA tiers enforce strategy fidelity in a fully verifiable decentralized quant framework.

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TAUX Tokenomics: Fixed Supply and Burn-Driven Scarcity

TAUX has a fixed 2 billion non-mintable supply. Unlike traditional hedge funds, Taurox charges no upfront fees and takes only 5% of gross profits, purchased as TAUX on-market. Of this revenue, 30% is permanently burned, while 70% supports the DAO treasury. 

The remaining 95% distributes progressively to stakers and creators, with stakers receiving 80% at 0-20% returns, tapering to 43% above 300%, based on high-water mark net profits. Allocations include 40% for presale, 15% for staking rewards, 10% for agent incentives, and 5% for the team with 6-month cliff vesting.

Taurox Presale: Asymmetric Entry with Strong Fundamentals

Taurox Presale has entered Phase 4 and surpassed $950K raised. TAUX currently trades at $0.018. Phase 4 investors stand to gain almost 4.5x at listing when TAUX launches at $0.08. If Taurox reaches its $1B target pool, these investors could see up to 103x returns as TAUX reaches $1.85. A $500 investment today would grow to about $2,220 at listing and nearly $28,000 when TAUX hits $1 valuation. 

The presale features a 1-month cliff and 20% monthly unlocks from months 2-5, enabling immediate staking while limiting early sell pressure. Combined with 30% fee burns and progressive splits, it offers strong upside for short and long-term horizons.

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Taurox as the Decentralized Quant Layer

Taurox blends AI autonomy, strict on-chain risk controls, and deflationary mechanics into next-generation DeFi. Its global agent ecosystem and burn-driven scarcity position it for sustainable growth as the crypto space evolves.

Learn More

Buy TAUX: https://taurox.io

Whitepaper: https://docs.taurox.io/

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Official Telegram: https://t.me/tauroxlabs

Official X/Twitter: https://x.com/TauroxProtocol

 


Disclaimer: This is a Press Release provided by a third party who is responsible for the content. Please conduct your own research before taking any action based on the content.

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Bitcoin tends to outperform gold and stocks after global shocks, Mercado Bitcoin finds

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(Mercado Bitcoin)

Bitcoin tends to outperform traditional safe haven assets like gold in the two months following major global crises, according to new analysis from Brazilian crypto exchange Mercado Bitcoin.

The study, led by Rony Szuster, head of research at the Latin American crypto platform, examined 60-day windows after economic or geopolitical shocks such as the COVID-19 outbreak and U.S. tariff escalations. Bitcoin posted stronger returns than both gold and the S&P 500 in each of the periods analyzed.

In April last year, after the Trump administration announced sweeping tariffs, the price of bitcoin jumped 24% over the following 60 days. Gold rose 8%, and the S&P 500 gained 4%, the firm found.

A similar pattern emerged at the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in March 2020, when BTC rose 21%, while the other assets trailed.

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(Mercado Bitcoin)

Szuster cautioned that judging bitcoin’s performance too soon after a crisis can be misleading.

“It’s like watching the first few minutes of a movie and thinking you already know how it ends,” he said. “In moments like this, investors sell positions to reduce risk or raise cash, and even defensive assets can fall.”

That happens as investors scramble for liquidity, yet bitcoin has consistently bounced back, the firm found. The pattern appears to be repeating in the current U.S.-Iran conflict, where bitcoin is the only one of the three assets in positive territory so far, according to Szuster.

Data backs this up. Since the war started, bitcoin has risen by more than 2.2%, from around $65,800 to $67,300 at the time of writing. Gold, the traditional safe haven, has meanwhile dropped around 11%, while the S&P lost 4.4% of its value in the index’s steepest monthly drop since 2022.

Despite its volatility, bitcoin was the best-performing asset over the past decade, he added.

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Read more: Bitcoin’s recent crash to $60,000 warned stocks first – now they’re following

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ProductionReady’s Jimmy Song Pitches Case for Conservative Bitcoin Software

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Decentralization, Nodes, Bitcoin Adoption

The Bitcoin (BTC) network needs a “conservative” Bitcoin client node software implementation to preserve its monetary properties and strengthen network decentralization, according to Jimmy Song, co-founder of ProductionReady, a non-profit organization funding open source Bitcoin node software development and education.

The organization has a “bias” against significant code changes, unless there is “overwhelming” community support for the change, Song told Cointelegraph.

“The general principle is: if you’re not sure a change makes the money better, don’t make it,” he said. 

Decentralization, Nodes, Bitcoin Adoption
The number of Bitcoin nodes, broken down by software implementation, between 2016 and 2026. Source: Coin Dance

ProductionReady expects to restore the 83-byte OP_Return data limit for arbitrary, non-monetary information in Bitcoin transactions, he said, adding that keeping node storage costs down by limiting arbitrary data is essential to network decentralization. He said:

“The more self-sovereign Bitcoin users are, the more decentralized and resilient the network becomes. That means keeping the cost of running a node low enough for ordinary people to do it. 

“When storage and bandwidth requirements grow, fewer people verify for themselves, and the network centralizes by default. A conservative client takes that tradeoff seriously,” Song continued.

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Maximizing nodes and making them accessible to the average user hardens the Bitcoin network, reducing the chances of cheating by submitting false transactions or a few actors colluding to centralize the network. 

Decentralization, Nodes, Bitcoin Adoption
Bitcoin Core continues to be the software of choice for node runners, with 77.8% of the network running some version of the Core software and 21.8% running Bitcoin Knots. Source: Coin Dance

Related: 72% of subsea cables would need to fail to impact Bitcoin, study shows

Bitcoin Core 30 removes the OP_Return data limit, sparking major pushback

Node storage and onchain spam became hot-button topics in 2025 after Bitcoin Core developers unilaterally changed the 83-Byte data limit in Bitcoin Core version 30, the latest major upgrade to the reference implementation for Bitcoin node software.

The limit was changed to 100,000 bytes despite significant pushback from the Bitcoin community. For context, the proposal to change the limit received about 4 times as many downvotes as it did upvotes, according to the proposal’s GitHub pull request page.

Bitcoin Core 30 went live in October 2025, triggering a historic surge in the number of Bitcoin nodes running Bitcoin Knots, an alternative implementation of the node client software.

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Decentralization, Nodes, Bitcoin Adoption
The number of nodes running Bitcoin Knots surged to record highs in 2025, following the release of Bitcoin Core 30. Source: Coin Dance

There are 4,746 Bitcoin Knots nodes, representing over 21.7% of nodes on the network, according to Coin Dance.

Only about 1% of the network was running the Knots software in 2024 before the decision to remove the OP_Return function was announced.

Magazine: Bitcoin may face hard fork over any attempt to freeze Satoshi’s coins