Crypto World
Dow’s 3-Year Winning Run Isn’t a Crash Signal, Still 49% Odds of Double-Digit Gains
Three straight years of double-digit gains have not raised the odds of a Dow Jones Industrial Average pullback. That is the conclusion of MarketWatch contributor Mark Hulbert. The Dow’s historical baseline chance of another double-digit year still sits at 49%.
A narrative has spread on Wall Street that the streak alone makes a reversal overdue. Hulbert calls that reasoning the gambler’s fallacy, the same error behind coin-flip superstitions.
The Gambler’s Fallacy Behind the Crash Talk
Hulbert compares the market to a coin flip. A coin that lands heads several times in a row is still 50% likely to land heads again.
He points to 129 years of Dow data going back to the late 1890s. The odds of a double-digit year hover near 49%, regardless of how many strong years came before it. Historically, that baseline has barely moved even after multiple consecutive winning years.
Investors weighing whether a real downturn is brewing can compare Hulbert’s data with Cramer’s buyable crash framework. That guide separates mechanical sell-offs from systemic ones.
What the Research Shows About Crash Odds
Hulbert also cites research from Harvard University and the University of Hong Kong. The research uses trailing two-year returns to estimate crash risk. State Street Markets, working with the Harvard researchers, applies that framework to calculate current odds.
The current probability of a 40% drop over the next two years sits at 19%. That compares with a five-year average of 26%. Crash odds, in other words, are currently below normal.
Other Wall Street voices point to different warning signs. Some traders see echoes of the dot-com bust in the recent AI stock rotation. That is a separate concern from the streak-based narrative Hulbert addresses.
What About Other Risks?
Hulbert stresses that his model only reflects trailing returns. It does not account for other risks, including stretched valuations across US equities.
Wall Street sentiment remains split heading into the back half of the year. Fundstrat’s Tom Lee’s correction call shows some strategists still want a pullback before further upside. Meanwhile, raised S&P 500 forecasts from JPMorgan and CFRA signal broader confidence in the rally continuing.
For now, Hulbert’s bottom line holds. The Dow’s odds of finishing 2026 with a double-digit gain remain 49%. That is no better and no worse than in any other year.
The post Dow’s 3-Year Winning Run Isn’t a Crash Signal, Still 49% Odds of Double-Digit Gains appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
OCC Greenlights Trump Family Crypto Firm Under Trust Charter
The US Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) has granted World Liberty Financial conditional approval to operate as a national trust bank, a decision that immediately reignited political scrutiny over potential conflicts of interest involving President Donald Trump and members of his family.
In a Friday notice, the OCC said its conditional approval for World Liberty’s charter application would permit the company to proceed as “World Liberty Trust Company, National Association,” subject to regulatory and policy requirements. World Liberty’s filing indicates the bank would support US dollar-backed stablecoin issuance and would custody digital assets related to its USD1 token.
Key takeaways
- The OCC’s approval is conditional, allowing World Liberty to move forward as a national trust bank only under specified requirements outlined by regulators.
- World Liberty’s charter application contemplates issuing US dollar-backed stablecoins and providing custody for digital assets linked to its USD1 token.
- Criticism from US lawmakers centers on possible conflicts of interest tied to Trump family involvement and the OCC leadership appointment.
- Sen. Elizabeth Warren announced new legislation aimed at addressing what she described as “presidential corruption” in banking following the OCC’s action.
- The decision arrives amid a broader pattern of OCC approvals and conditional approvals for crypto firms seeking trust charters.
What the OCC approved—and what it still requires
The OCC’s Friday notice frames the action as consistent with statutory duties and ethical obligations. The regulator’s conditional approval means World Liberty may be able to operate under the proposed name—World Liberty Trust Company, National Association—but must satisfy the conditions attached by the OCC before fully realizing its intended banking activities.
According to World Liberty’s application, the planned business includes issuing stablecoins backed by US dollars and custodying digital assets connected to the company’s USD1 token. For investors and users watching the intersection of crypto rails and traditional finance, the significance lies in what a national trust bank framework can enable: a regulated structure for custody and, potentially, issuance-linked services, depending on how requirements are ultimately met.
Conflict-of-interest concerns drive the political backlash
Opposition to the approval is rooted in allegations that regulators and the White House could be subject to improper influence. The OCC’s action comes as lawmakers have pressed questions about relationships between World Liberty and the Trump family.
The OCC approval followed heightened scrutiny about potential conflicts of interest between the company and President Trump’s family. The president and three sons are described as affiliated with World Liberty. The head of the OCC, Jonathan Gould, was also nominated by Trump in 2025. Separately, World Liberty’s website has indicated that a Trump family entity controls 38% of the company’s equity interests.
While the OCC stated that it acted in line with its ethical obligations, the political dispute escalated immediately after the announcement. Sen. Elizabeth Warren said she had introduced legislation “to stop this kind of unprecedented corruption,” calling the OCC’s move “the most brazen act of self-dealing our financial system has ever seen.” Warren and nine other senators introduced the “Ending Presidential Corruption in Banking Act” following the approval.
Warren’s comments and the filing of new legislation underscore a key uncertainty investors should track: the OCC may have issued conditional approval, but Congress could still push for legal and oversight changes that affect how—or whether—such bank charters are granted or operated when political relationships are at issue.
Gould said review would be apolitical earlier
Prior to Friday’s decision, Gould had indicated the charter review would be conducted through an “apolitical and nonpartisan process.” Earlier coverage from Cointelegraph noted that Gould made this point while referencing the review process after correspondence from Sen. Elizabeth Warren.
In the Friday notice, the OCC emphasized that its “Comptroller and staff acted consistently with their statutory duties and ethical obligations with respect to the Application.” The regulator’s language suggests it believes the same standards applied regardless of the controversy—an important distinction for market participants assessing regulatory risk.
Still, the rapid pivot to legislative action suggests the dispute is not confined to regulatory conditions. The coming months will likely determine whether Congress focuses on reinforcing ethical firewalls for bank licensing in crypto-adjacent businesses, particularly where political ties are alleged.
World Liberty’s wider ecosystem ties remain under investigation
Beyond US regulatory concerns, the approval also reopened questions about World Liberty’s relationships with foreign entities. According to earlier reporting, an Abu Dhabi investment company backed by UAE national security adviser Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed Al Nahyan reportedly purchased a 49% stake in World Liberty in January 2025 for $500 million. Another UAE entity, MGX, used World Liberty’s USD1 stablecoin to invest $2 billion in crypto exchange Binance. The same reporting notes that Trump later issued a presidential pardon for former Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao.
A White House spokesperson has repeatedly said there were “no conflicts of interest“ with Trump’s investments, a position that lawmakers challenging the charter approval say does not address broader governance and transparency concerns.
The continued attention matters because national trust banking is tightly linked to trust, custody standards, and compliance. If lawmakers pursue investigations or new rules affecting how these relationships are disclosed or managed, the operational path for World Liberty’s stablecoin and custody plans could change.
How this fits into the OCC’s broader crypto charter push
The OCC’s conditional approval also reflects an ongoing trend under the Trump administration: approving or conditionally approving multiple applications from crypto companies seeking trust charters to expand their services in the US.
In December, the OCC approved applications from Circle, Ripple Labs, Crypto.com and Coinbase after passage of the GENIUS stablecoin bill in Congress, according to earlier coverage from Cointelegraph. That earlier wave of approvals sets a reference point for how the OCC has been moving toward regulated stablecoin and related services.
World Liberty’s case adds a new layer to that pattern because the controversy is not only about crypto compliance and licensing. It is also about the governance question of who benefits, who influences, and how regulators insulate decisions from political entanglement.
For readers, the next thing to watch is how the OCC’s conditions are spelled out and implemented for World Liberty’s charter to fully take effect, alongside whether Congress’s “Ending Presidential Corruption in Banking Act” gains traction that could reshape licensing standards for bank charters tied to politically connected firms.
Crypto World
OpenAI secures 20-year Ohio data center lease backed by Nvidia
OpenAI has signed a 20-year lease for 4.25 gigawatts of initial AI capacity at an Ohio data center supported by up to $105 billion in guarantees from Nvidia.
Summary
- OpenAI’s lease at the PORTS-Pike campus is expected to begin in phases in 2028.
- Nvidia has capped its initial guarantee obligations at a combined $105 billion.
- SB Energy will build, own, and operate the Pike County data center.
- Nvidia will invest $1.5 billion in SB Energy and provide the campus’s AI systems.
Nvidia’s Aug. 17 announcement said OpenAI will use the PORTS-Pike Technology Campus in Pike County, where SB Energy will build, own, and operate the infrastructure under the long-term lease.
The chipmaker will serve as the campus’s exclusive AI compute provider, supplying its DSX AI factory platform. OpenAI’s systems will use Nvidia GPUs, CPUs, and networking equipment, with the first capacity scheduled to become available in phases beginning in 2028.
Built across private and federal land, the campus will occupy the former Portsmouth Gaseous Diffusion Plant and surrounding property in southern Ohio. SB Energy is developing the project with AEP Ohio, the U.S. Department of Energy, and the Department of Commerce.
Nvidia has secured the land, power, and building shell required for an initial 4.25 gigawatts of IT load. The company also holds an option for the remaining 3.75 gigawatts, potentially taking the campus to 8 gigawatts of AI capacity.
Nvidia has provided a $105 billion lease guarantee
In an Aug. 17 SEC filing, Nvidia disclosed several residual-value guarantee agreements covering OpenAI’s initial 4.25-gigawatt commitment.
The company’s combined payment obligations under the agreements cannot exceed $105 billion. Each guarantee generally becomes effective when the related lease starts, provided SB Energy satisfies the ready-for-service conditions for the relevant section of the campus.
OpenAI remains responsible for paying the lease. Nvidia would face a payment obligation only if OpenAI became insolvent and defaulted or failed to make the required payments, according to the filing.
Following such an event, Nvidia would generally cover the difference between the lease’s guaranteed minimum value and the amount SB Energy recovered through a replacement tenant or property sale. Nvidia could also assume the lease, ask SB Energy to find another tenant, begin a sale process or allow the lease to end.
Another provision would let Nvidia postpone those remedies for up to one year while paying certain project costs. OpenAI has agreed to reimburse and indemnify the chipmaker for any money it pays to SB Energy under the guarantees.
The guarantee for each section can run until the 20th anniversary of the applicable lease. Nvidia’s obligation could end earlier if OpenAI terminates the lease under its terms, achieves a satisfactory credit rating or meets another termination condition stated in the agreements.
Addressing concerns about circular financing, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang said OpenAI, rather than the chipmaker, will make the lease payments. If OpenAI does not use the capacity, Huang said the site could be offered to another eligible customer.
“Nvidia compute is versatile, fungible and broadly adopted,” Huang wrote, adding that the capacity could be resold to cloud providers, enterprises, AI laboratories or startups in the company’s customer network.
OpenAI will use Nvidia’s full AI technology stack
At the Ohio site, OpenAI will deploy Nvidia’s DSX platform across the initial 4.25-gigawatt buildout, subject to limited exceptions disclosed in the SEC filing. The platform combines data center facilities, computing hardware, networking, and software into one system.
Huang described land, power, and finished data center space as essential resources for the AI industry, where companies need large power commitments before installing computing equipment.
“We are securing long-lived infrastructure for Nvidia compute so OpenAI can deploy the most productive AI factories,” Huang said.
Alongside its guarantee, Nvidia will invest $1.5 billion in SB Energy. The investment will place the chipmaker beside existing investors SoftBank Group and OpenAI while providing capital for SB Energy’s data center projects and local commitments.
SB Energy and SoftBank plan to build at least 10 gigawatts of new electricity generation to support 8 gigawatts of IT capacity. The companies will also invest at least $4.2 billion in regional grid infrastructure through an agreement with AEP Ohio, Nvidia said.
According to the announcement, the power and grid arrangements are designed to prevent existing Ohio electricity customers from carrying the project’s infrastructure costs. SB Energy co-CEO Rich Hossfeld said the group would build the site while “protecting ratepayers” and investing in southern Ohio.
The project is expected to support about 35,000 construction jobs through 2032 and create roughly 2,500 permanent operating positions, Reuters reported. OpenAI and SB Energy have also established an $80 million community benefits fund after OpenAI added $40 million to SB Energy’s original commitment.
Funding from the program is intended for affordable energy, workforce training, employment programs, and local economic development. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman said the company wants Pike County residents to benefit through jobs, business opportunities, and community investment.
AI demand has increased competition for power and land
OpenAI’s lease adds to a series of large infrastructure commitments as AI companies secure electricity, grid connections and data center sites. Advanced computing projects often require years of preparation because utilities must add generation and transmission capacity before servers can begin operating.
For crypto investors, the same demand has increased interest in Bitcoin miners that already control powered land and grid connections. As crypto.news reported in May, former OpenAI researcher Leopold Aschenbrenner’s fund held positions in IREN, Core Scientific, Riot Platforms, CleanSpark, Bitfarms, Bitdeer, and Hive Digital as part of a power-and-compute investment strategy.
The fund’s SEC filing showed $13.67 billion in disclosed equity exposure at the end of the first quarter. Several miners have been converting existing sites or planned capacity into high-performance computing facilities because the infrastructure can serve AI customers as well as proof-of-work networks.
OpenAI has also diversified the cloud services used to distribute its models. In April, the company expanded its AWS access after revising its relationship with Microsoft, allowing OpenAI models and its Codex agent to become available through Amazon Bedrock.
While securing additional computing capacity, OpenAI has continued preparing for a possible public listing. Reports in June said executives were considering a potential 2027 IPO rather than accepting a lower valuation in 2026, while SoftBank shares fell 12.5% after the reports emerged.
Polymarket traders currently assign about a 20% probability to OpenAI completing an IPO by the end of 2026. Prediction-market prices can change as traders enter or leave positions and do not represent an announcement from the company.
Nvidia said the full guarantee agreements will be filed as an exhibit to its Form 10-Q for the fiscal quarter that ended July 26, 2026.
Crypto World
FTX Bankruptcy Hearing Is Down to One Last Fight
Miss a form, lose your money. That is the lesson of the FTX bankruptcy, and it drives the only dispute set for August 19.
A court agenda filed Monday leaves one customer motion before Chief Judge Karen B. Owens. Claimant Daizhuo Chen wants a second chance at a verification deadline he missed.
What Is Left on the FTX Bankruptcy Docket
Chen filed his motion on March 27. He asks Owens to undo her refusal to let him finish his checks late.
He cites Federal Rules of Civil Procedure 59(e) and 60(b)(2). Those rules let a judge reopen a decision when fresh evidence appears. Owens has not said any exists here.
The timeline is tight and well documented. FTX told customers to begin verification by March 1, 2025, and to finish by June 1, 2025. Both deadlines closed at 4 p.m. ET.
The FTX Recovery Trust, the entity now winding down the estate, objected again on July 16. It has fought similar requests before.
Chen is not alone. D1 Ventures has chased $251,000 in USDC and USDT since December 2022. The Trust says that account never cleared verification either.
That motion was adjourned again with no new date. Two other suits were also pushed back, so both stay open.
Ernst & Young filed a final fee application. Counsel will submit orders without argument, another sign the estate is closing out.
Why a Missed KYC Deadline Can Cost a Creditor Everything
Verification is the gate to payment. Claimants must clear know your customer (KYC) checks, file tax forms, and onboard with BitGo, Kraken or Payoneer.
Skip any step and the money moves on without you. The Trust has said hundreds of thousands of customer claims were already thrown out for failing these checks.
The gap between the two groups is stark. Creditors who finished the paperwork have recovered their full claims, and several classes got more.
- Convenience claims, 120% recovered
- U.S. customer claims, 100%
- General unsecured claims, 100%
- Dotcom customer claims, 96%
Those totals run through the fourth round of repayments on March 31, which sent out about $2.2 billion. Roughly $900 million followed on July 31 in the smallest FTX distribution so far.
Money is still held back for contested claims. The Trust has asked to cut that reserve by $600 million, from $2.4 billion to $1.8 billion.
So Owens’s reasoning matters well beyond Chen. Anyone still shut out over paperwork will read it for an opening.
Sam Bankman-Fried has no role in any of this. His conviction and 25-year sentence were upheld in June. The appeal mandate issued in August ended his case at the Second Circuit.
The hearing starts at 9:30 a.m. ET on Wednesday by Zoom. Owens is expected to rule from the bench. Her answer will tell every late filer how much room is left.
The post FTX Bankruptcy Hearing Is Down to One Last Fight appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Coldcard firmware vulnerability exposed; $112 million in Bitcoin Stolen
Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.
As BTC, ETH, and XRP face heightened volatility, EX DeFi is attracting attention with a cloud mining model focused on long-term digital asset participation.
Summary
- Bitcoin volatility is pushing investors to explore EX DeFi’s cloud mining model as an alternative way to earn from digital assets.
- EX DeFi is gaining attention among Bitcoin holders seeking diversified returns through cloud mining and renewable energy infrastructure.
- As crypto markets remain volatile, EX DeFi offers Bitcoin holders access to cloud mining without the need for costly mining hardware.
The cryptocurrency market has recently been rocked by another shocking security incident. Attackers exploited a vulnerability in the firmware of Coldcard hardware wallets to drain funds from numerous Bitcoin addresses, sparking widespread concern regarding the security of hardware wallets and the risks associated with self-custody of digital assets. Public investigations indicate that the scale of the theft linked to this vulnerability has already reached hundreds of millions of dollars, with the total loss still being tallied.

The incident began on July 30, 2026. Galaxy Research discovered that attackers transferred approximately 1,083 BTC from over 1,000 addresses in just 41 minutes, followed by subsequent waves of fund transfers. As investigations progressed through mid-August 2026, the number of confirmed affected addresses and the volume of stolen BTC continued to rise.
What makes this incident unique is that the issue did not stem from the Bitcoin blockchain itself; rather, it was linked to the random number generation mechanism used by certain Coldcard firmware versions when creating wallet seed phrases. This vulnerability rendered the seeds generated by some wallets predictable, thereby increasing the risk that private keys could be derived and funds stolen.
This has prompted many investors to reconsider a fundamental question: Is Bitcoin itself still safe?
In reality, this incident highlights security risks inherent in cryptocurrency storage tools and private key management, rather than a compromise of the Bitcoin network itself. For investors, selecting a secure and reliable method of asset management has become an increasingly critical aspect of digital asset investment.
As market panic intensified, the prices of major cryptocurrencies such as BTC, ETH, and XRP experienced significant volatility. Many investors began to wonder: beyond simply waiting for price appreciation, are there more efficient and sustainable ways to participate in Bitcoin’s long-term value growth?
Against this backdrop, a growing number of investors are turning their attention to EX DeFi — a platform offering stable returns by combining cloud mining with renewable energy. It allows investors to hedge against short-term market risks while focusing on Bitcoin’s long-term value and exploring more diversified ways to engage with digital assets.
A Firmware Flaw Dating Back to 2021
The root cause of this incident can be traced back to a firmware update released by Coinkite in 2021. The relevant update introduced a flaw in the random number generation process used for creating mnemonic phrases. Mnemonic phrases are a crucial component in generating master keys for hardware wallets; if randomness is insufficient, attackers can narrow down the range of potential seeds through calculation and analysis, thereby increasing the likelihood of recovering the associated private keys.
According to research organizations such as Galaxy Research, this issue had previously been reported to Coinkite by researchers. This large-scale attack indicates that some wallet seeds generated in the past may have been at risk for an extended period.
Public reports suggest that the specific range of affected Coldcard devices and firmware versions requires further confirmation via Coinkite’s official security announcements. Notably, simply updating the firmware does not fix wallet seeds that were already generated using the affected firmware; users must migrate their assets in accordance with the manufacturer’s security recommendations.
EX DeFi cloud mining: A new option for Bitcoin investors
Amidst heightened market volatility, an increasing number of digital asset investors are turning their attention to EX DeFi, seeking to explore diversified yield-generation models through methods such as cloud mining and yield aggregation.
For Bitcoin holders, EX DeFi offers a relatively straightforward way to participate in the digital asset ecosystem compared to high-volatility investment methods like futures trading. Users can access Bitcoin mining services without the need to deploy mining hardware or bear costs associated with equipment maintenance, allowing them to capitalize on Bitcoin’s long-term value while maximizing the utility of their digital assets.
Why is EX DeFi attracting increasing attention?
Amidst frequent security incidents involving digital assets, investors are paying greater attention to asset storage, platform security, and risk management.
1. Security and Stability
EX DeFi employs a multi-layered security architecture, integrating technologies from McAfee and Cloudflare alongside measures like offline cold wallets to provide comprehensive protection for platform operations and user assets.
2. Eco-friendly and Efficient
The platform’s mining operations utilize renewable energy sources — such as solar, wind, and hydroelectric power — aiming to minimize the environmental impact of energy consumption while maximizing computational efficiency.
3. Compliance and Transparency
The platform continuously improves its operational standards, data transparency, and user protection mechanisms, offering a clearer and more reliable environment for cryptocurrency services.
4. Smart Custody
EX DeFi handles daily operations, computing power management, and earnings settlement through a professional team and automated systems, allowing users to easily earn passive income.
5. Multi-currency Support
The platform supports a wide range of mainstream digital assets — including BTC, ETH, DOGE, SOL, XRP, USDC, LTC, and USDT — offering greater flexibility to diverse users.
6. Affiliate Rewards
The platform offers an affiliate program where users can earn referral commissions of 3% + 2% (up to a maximum of $50,000 in rewards) by inviting friends, making it easy to boost passive income even without making an investment themselves.
How do I use EX DeFi?
1. Sign Up
2. Select a Plan
Deposit Bitcoin or other supported digital assets, then choose a suitable mining plan based on budget and the contract term.
3. Earn Mining Returns
Once the contract begins, the system automatically contributes computing power to the mining pool; earnings are settled and credited to an account automatically within 24 hours. Upon contract expiration, the principal is automatically returned.
Examples of common contracts
BTC (Beginner Trial Contract): Investment: $100 | Term: 2 days | Daily Return: $4 | Total Profit: $100 + $8
DOGE (Golden Shell Mini Dogecoin Pro): Investment: $500 | Term: 6 days | Daily Return: $6.5 | Total Profit: $500 + $39
BTC (Canaan-Avalon-A1466): Investment: $1,000 | Term: 10 days | Daily Return: $13.4 | Total Profit: $1,000 + $134
LTC (Bitmain Antminer L7): Investment: $5,000 | Term: 20 days | Daily Return: $73.5 | Total Profit: $5,000 + $1,470
BTC (Bitmain S19K-Pro): Investment: $10,000 | Term: 30 days | Daily Return: $161 | Total Profit: $10,000 + $4,830
For more contract details, visit the EX DeFi website.
Summary
The Coldcard incident serves as a reminder to the market that the security of the Bitcoin blockchain and the security of digital asset storage tools are distinct issues. This incident did not involve a breach of the Bitcoin network itself; rather, it exposed the severe consequences that can arise from firmware vulnerabilities in specific hardware wallets, prompting investors to place greater importance on issues such as private key generation, asset custody, and platform security.
For long-term BTC investors, beyond monitoring price trends and market cycles, it is equally important to consider how to mitigate risks associated with relying on a single storage method and to explore more diversified approaches to digital asset management. EX DeFi aims to provide users with an alternative way to participate in the digital asset ecosystem through methods such as cloud mining, hash rate management, and renewable energy.
For more details, visit the official EX DeFi website.
Disclosure: This content is provided by a third party. Neither crypto.news nor the author of this article endorses any product mentioned on this page. Users should conduct their own research before taking any action related to the company.
Crypto World
Binance Shared Russian Client Data in Terror Financing Case: Report
Binance has reportedly shared customer transaction data and personal identifying information with Russian authorities in a case involving an IT specialist accused of financing terrorism through cryptocurrency donations tied to Ukrainian fundraising campaigns, according to documents reviewed by Reuters.
Russian investigators say the information helped build the case against Yuri Belenkiy, who was detained in September 2025 and is currently awaiting trial in Russia. Reuters reports that law enforcement used Binance-supplied material as evidence supporting the charges.
Key takeaways
- Reuters reviewed law enforcement documents stating that Binance provided transaction history and personal details for Yuri Belenkiy.
- Russian authorities allege Belenkiy sent more than $700 in crypto between January 2023 and March 2024 to support the Ukrainian military and a banned group identified as Azov at different times.
- The data transfer included sensitive identifiers such as date of birth, address, phone number, and passport information.
- Binance says it cooperates with lawful information requests under applicable legal and privacy requirements, while declining to comment on the specifics of the case.
What Binance information was reportedly used
According to Reuters’ review, Russian authorities asked Binance for the transaction history of Yuri Belenkiy and received information linking him to cryptocurrency transfers. The response reportedly included not only transaction records but also personal identifiers used to connect the accused individual to the funds.
Reuters reports that the materials provided included Belenkiy’s date of birth, address, phone number, and passport number. The response also allegedly contained copies of his Russian passport and a Bulgarian residency permit.
The use of these records underscores a recurring pressure point for exchanges: even after exiting certain markets, platforms can still become a focal point for cross-border investigations when authorities request account and transaction data tied to specific users.
Allegations tied to crypto donations and a banned organization
Russia’s Investigative Committee alleges that Belenkiy sent more than $700 in cryptocurrency between January 2023 and March 2024. The alleged transfers were described as supporting the Ukrainian military as well as a group Reuters identified as the Azov Brigade or the Azov Regiment depending on the naming used at different times.
In the Russian case framing, the presence of a sanctioned or “banned” organization is central to the terrorism-related characterization. While the underlying activity described involves cryptocurrency donations connected to Ukrainian efforts, the legal outcome will depend on how prosecutors interpret intent, recipients, and the status of those recipients under Russian law.
For crypto users and compliance teams, the case illustrates how closely surveillance and enforcement can track on-chain value flows—especially when exchanges are able to connect addresses to real-world identities through account verification data.
Why the exchange’s earlier Russia exit matters
Binance announced it would fully exit Russia in September 2023, selling its local business to CommEX. Reuters’ reporting suggests that despite that earlier decision, Binance remained within the reach of Russian law enforcement requests for data tied to customers and past activity.
This detail matters for market participants because it challenges a common assumption that an exchange’s exit from a jurisdiction ends its role in later investigations. From an investor and compliance perspective, the key question is not only where a company currently operates, but also whether it retains or can access customer records and transaction logs that may be requested later.
Binance response and the compliance line
Reuters reports that a Binance spokesperson declined to comment on specific confidential law enforcement requests or the details of individual cases.
In comments shared with Cointelegraph, Binance stated that it does not make or enforce the laws of any jurisdiction, does not determine charges, and does not decide how governments use information in legal proceedings. The company said it cooperates with lawful information requests from law enforcement globally, subject to applicable legal, privacy, and regulatory requirements.
That response reflects a broad compliance position commonly used by major crypto exchanges: cooperation is framed as process-based rather than judgment-based. However, cases like this also highlight the practical risks for customers—particularly when authorities obtain both transaction records and personal identification data.
Earlier coverage from Cointelegraph noted that Binance planned to restrict transactions involving HTX and other crypto platforms, showing that the exchange continues to adjust operational policies as enforcement and regulatory pressures evolve. In parallel, user data requests remain a separate but highly consequential compliance channel.
As this case proceeds, the next developments to watch are how Russian courts treat the evidence derived from exchange records and whether legal proceedings clarify the standards used to link donations to specific recipients and to organizations classified as banned. For the broader crypto ecosystem, the outcome may influence how exchanges consider the scope and safeguards around information requests tied to historic activity.
Crypto World
Binance Left Russia in 2023: Why Is Moscow Still Getting User Data?
Binance said it left Russia in 2023. Two years later, Russian investigators asked the exchange for a customer’s records. They got them. Reuters reportedly reviewed the law enforcement documents showing those files became evidence in a terrorism financing case.
The contradiction is simpler than it looks. Leaving a market ends revenue in a country. It does not delete the files an exchange already holds.
What Binance Actually Ended in 2023
Binance sold its Russian arm to CommEX on September 27, 2023. Chief Compliance Officer Noah Perlman said operating in Russia did not fit the company’s compliance strategy.
The announcement was precise about money. Binance kept no revenue share. It kept no option to buy the business back. The exchange had spent the previous weeks weighing a Russian withdrawal under regulatory pressure.
It said nothing about data. That silence matters. Exchanges hold passport scans, addresses and full trading histories for years. Anti-money-laundering rules in the markets that license them demand it. Selling a subsidiary does not touch that archive.
The Channel Was Never New
The customer was Yuri Belenkiy, a Russian IT specialist detained in September 2025. Investigators accuse him of sending just over $700 to Ukrainian military fundraisers. Moscow calls that terrorism financing.
Reuters reported that two replies reached investigators from case@binanceholdings.ru. Binance’s own website had listed that address for Russian and Belarusian agencies.
That pipeline is not new. Binance published the numbers itself in April 2022. It had logged 1,094 requests from Russian law enforcement since April 2020.
Three came from the Federal Security Service (FSB). One came from Rosfinmonitoring, Russia’s financial intelligence agency.
Data only can go back to 4-1-2020, 1,094 total requests from Russia, 3 directly from FSB, 1 directly from Rosfin,” read an excerpt in the Binance announcement.
For scale, Binance said eight months later that it had answered more than 47,445 law enforcement requests worldwide. Average turnaround was three days.
The company rejected the Reuters account in 2022 and denied sharing data on donors to Alexei Navalny. Its position has not moved since.
“Like other global financial institutions, we cooperate with lawful information requests from law enforcement globally, subject to applicable legal, privacy and regulatory requirements,” Reuters reported Monday, citing a Binance spokesperson.
Binance’s public request page now sends agencies to a portal run by Kodex. Only China gets a separate link. No Russian address appears there.
The Test Binance’s Own Rules Set
Binance publishes a bar for these cases. The company says it needs a valid court order, police order or warrant before it hands anything over.
European law sets a second bar. Article 48 of the General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) covers demands from foreign authorities. The European Data Protection Board (EDPB) spelled out the standard in December 2024 guidelines.
Such a demand is enforceable only if an international agreement backs it. A mutual legal assistance treaty is the usual example.
Here the record goes quiet. The documents Reuters describes show a request, not a court order. They establish no treaty basis either. Binance reportedly declined to discuss the case.
Mike Bystrov, founder of the law firm Stellar Consulting, reportedly told Reuters that Binance had no duty to answer. He said EU rules may have barred the disclosure. Binance disputes that reading.
The EDPB also said in 2022 that Russia holds no adequacy finding. Exporters who cannot close the resulting gaps are told to suspend transfers.
Whether any of this reaches Belenkiy is unclear. He holds a Bulgarian residency permit. GDPR covers him only if Binance registered him as an EU customer, and Reuters could not confirm that.
BeInCrypto put these questions to Binance, including whether a court order accompanied the request. The company had not responded by publication.
Europe is moving the other way fast. The EU’s 21st sanctions package in July 2026 hit 14 crypto platforms with transaction bans. It also created the first option to bar crypto services from an entire country.
Washington gets quicker service. The Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) attached Tron wallet addresses to Iran’s central bank in July 2026. Tether’s kill switch froze the funds within hours. That cooperation draws praise rather than criticism.
Centralized platforms answer whichever state can impose the higher cost. The open question now is whether a European regulator makes Binance show it cleared its own bar.
The post Binance Left Russia in 2023: Why Is Moscow Still Getting User Data? appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Bitcoin price reclaims $64K as volatility trap hits 91
Bitcoin price rose nearly 2% to reclaim $64,000 on Aug. 17, but weak daily momentum and unusually compressed volatility leave the next major move uncertain.
Summary
- Bitcoin price rebounded from $62,751 to an intraday high of $64,227.
- Glassnode’s volatility trap score reached 91, its highest level in more than 3.5 years.
- BTSE’s Jeff Mei said ETF flows and Federal Reserve signals remain key to a sustained recovery.
- Liquidation clusters near $64,700 and $62,200 could shape Bitcoin’s next move.
Bitcoin price returns above $64,000
According to data from crypto.news, Bitcoin (BTC) price traded near $64,154 at press time after gaining about 2% during the daily session. The recovery followed an intraday low of $62,751 and carried BTC above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level at $63,152.
The rebound also erased part of the decline recorded over the previous week, when Bitcoin repeatedly tested support between $62,500 and $63,000. Buyers defended that area again on Aug. 17, helping the price reach a session high of $64,227.
Jeff Mei, chief operating officer at crypto exchange BTSE, told crypto.news that recent exchange-traded fund flows contributed to the earlier weakness in Bitcoin and Ethereum.
“BTC and ETH pulled back a bit after some ETF outflows last week, with Bitcoin now sitting around $63,000 and ETH near $1,878.”
The 4-hour chart shows that short-term buying pressure strengthened during the latest recovery. BTC moved above the Bollinger Bands’ middle line at $63,173 and crossed the upper band near $63,774, showing that the rebound accelerated beyond its recent trading range.

Chaikin Money Flow on the same timeframe rose to 0.24, indicating that buying volume supported the move. A price holding above $63,774 would keep the immediate focus on the $64,700–$65,000 resistance area.
Glassnode warns of a low-volatility trap
Bitcoin’s rebound comes as the options market prices in one of the quietest trading environments in its history.
Glassnode co-founder Rafael Schultze-Kraft said in an X post that Bitcoin’s implied volatility had fallen into the lowest 2% of its historical distribution. Implied volatility measures the degree of future price movement expected by options traders rather than the direction of that move.
Despite reaching a historical low, implied volatility remains around 1.5 times higher than Bitcoin’s recent realized volatility, according to Schultze-Kraft. The gap means options traders are still paying a notable volatility premium even though actual price movements have been unusually narrow.
Glassnode’s volatility trap score has consequently climbed to 91 out of 100, its highest reading in more than three and a half years. Schultze-Kraft cautioned that low implied volatility alone does not automatically make options cheap because realized volatility has fallen even further.
Past periods of severe compression have often preceded larger price swings, but the Glassnode data does not indicate whether the next expansion will be higher or lower. Capital flows, macroeconomic policy and new market catalysts could determine the direction.
Bitcoin’s recent range reflects that uncertainty. BTC has largely traded between $62,000 and $65,000 since late July despite several brief moves outside those levels.
BTC daily indicators remain weak
Bitcoin’s daily chart has not yet confirmed a broader bullish reversal, even after the latest rebound.
The daily moving average convergence divergence indicator remains below its signal line. The MACD reading stood near minus 183, compared with a signal-line reading near minus 101, while the histogram remained negative at around minus 82. The readings show that bearish momentum from the recent decline has not fully cleared.

Daily Chaikin Money Flow also remained slightly negative at minus 0.05. The contrast with the 4-hour reading of 0.24 suggests that buyers have returned in the short term, although broader capital flows remain weak.
A daily close above $64,000 would strengthen the recovery and open a path toward $65,000. The next larger upside level sits near $67,357, corresponding with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of Bitcoin’s decline from $82,825 to $57,796.
Failure to hold the $63,152 Fibonacci level would put $62,500 back in focus. A deeper breakdown could expose the $60,000 area, while the full retracement low near $57,796 represents the broader bearish level visible on the daily chart.
Liquidation levels place BTC between $62,200 and $64,700
CoinGlass’ one-week liquidation heatmap shows large concentrations of leveraged positions on both sides of Bitcoin’s current price.

The nearest strong overhead cluster sits around $64,000, with a larger concentration near $64,700. A move through those levels could force short sellers to close positions, adding buying pressure and potentially pushing BTC toward $65,000.
Downside liquidity is concentrated near $62,700 and $62,200. A rejection from the current level could draw the price back toward those zones and trigger liquidations among leveraged long traders.
The heatmap therefore supports a near-term range between roughly $62,200 and $64,700. Glassnode’s volatility data suggests that Bitcoin may not remain inside such a narrow range indefinitely, but it does not establish which boundary will break first.
Fed minutes and CLARITY Act could guide Bitcoin
Mei said traders will monitor the Federal Open Market Committee minutes for clues about the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate outlook. Expectations for lower rates matter to crypto markets because easier financial conditions can increase the liquidity available for risk assets.
“The big things to keep an eye on this week are the FOMC minutes, which’ll give us a peek into what the Fed’s actually thinking on rates, and whether the CLARITY Act gets any attention in the Senate before they head out for recess,” Mei said.
The BTSE executive argued that uncertainty over the CLARITY Act has held back some large institutional investors. He also said traders continue to favor artificial intelligence stocks, leaving crypto in need of stronger institutional inflows or greater macro liquidity to support another sustained advance.
According to Mei, such a shift would likely require clearer evidence that the U.S. economy is slowing enough to justify rate cuts. Until ETF demand strengthens or the Federal Reserve signals easier policy, Bitcoin’s recovery may remain vulnerable near the upper end of its recent range.
Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.
Crypto World
Top US Stock Picks From Warren Buffett Successor Greg Abel
Greg Abel became the successor to Warren Buffett when he took over the famous investment firm Berkshire Hathaway in January 2026. Although he doesn’t publish stock tips, Berkshire Hathaway’s latest portfolio filing is the next best thing. It names every US stock the company held on June 30.
The list holds a surprise. Most of Abel’s top picks are not really his. They are Warren Buffett’s, and Abel has barely touched them.
Greg Abel’s Top US Stock Picks by Size
Big investors file a form called a 13F four times a year. It lists the US shares they owned at the end of each quarter. Berkshire filed its latest one on August 14.
The portfolio came to $299.25 billion. Just three companies hold more than half of it.
Four of those five are Buffett positions. Abel has left three of them alone and is selling the fourth.
His own ideas start much further down. Delta Air Lines and Macy’s were his first buys. Housing is his other theme. All of it together is worth less than 3% of the portfolio.
He is still spending. Berkshire bought $23.5 billion of stock and sold $3.7 billion. That net $19.8 billion ended 14 straight quarters of selling.
The cash barely moved. Berkshire’s record cash pile still sat near $365.5 billion at the end of June.
Alphabet is the Standout Pick
Alphabet is the one large pick Abel can claim a share of. Berkshire added about 48 million shares last quarter. It now holds roughly 106 million.
A $10 billion private placement in June did much of the work. Alphabet is raising $80 billion to build artificial intelligence (AI) computing power. An earlier company report had flagged billions in unnamed stock purchases, which this filing names.
The price helped too. Alphabet traded below 17 times forward earnings, the cheapest of the big US tech names.
Buffett says the idea was his, not his successor’s. He told CNBC in July that the two men work as a pair.
“I am not doing anything that he doesn’t approve of. He’s not doing anything I don’t approve of. We talk all the time, but he is the decider,” Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway chairman, said.
He has regretted missing Google for years. In 2017, he told shareholders he “blew it.” He now argues Alphabet can beat most Wall Street stock picks.
Not everyone agrees. Michael Burry, who shorted the 2008 housing market, says Abel lacks Buffett’s valuation discipline.
The Housing Bet is Abel’s Own
Housing is where Abel has left the clearest mark. Berkshire now holds four housing stocks.
- Lennar is the biggest at $1.2 billion.
- Louisiana-Pacific, which makes siding and wood panels, comes to $446 million.
- NVR holds $75.7 million.
- The new D.R. Horton stake is tiny at $580,504.
None of this is fresh ground. Berkshire bought D.R. Horton, Lennar and NVR together back in 2023, then sold the Horton shares last year. Abel has bought them back.
The real money went private. Berkshire paid $6.8 billion in cash for homebuilder Taylor Morrison in July. It has owned Clayton Homes, a major US maker of manufactured homes, since 2003.
Add it up, and Berkshire now builds homes, finances them, and makes the materials.
Delta Undoes a 2020 Retreat
Delta is the sharpest break with the past. Berkshire added 17.5 million shares last quarter, a 44% increase. The stake is now 57.3 million shares worth $5.4 billion.
Buffett owned four US airlines before the pandemic. He sold every one of them in April 2020 and told shareholders he had been wrong. He had called the industry “a bottomless pit” in 2007.
Abel started rebuilding in his first quarter as chief executive. He has added again in his second.
Where Abel Took Money Off the Table
The selling was smaller but pointed. Berkshire cut its stake in Capital One by 58% and sold its entire stake in Constellation Brands.
Bank of America saw the steadiest retreat. Abel sold 30.23 million shares, an eighth straight quarter of trimming. The stake is down 53% from its peak.
Price explains it. Buffett put $5 billion into the bank in 2011 to steady it. The stock then traded 62% below book value. It now trades 64% above it.
Visa, Mastercard, Amazon, and UnitedHealth were cleared out earlier this year. Concentration is the plan, and Abel has said so plainly.
“A large portion of our portfolio is concentrated in a small number of American companies such as Apple, American Express, Coca-Cola, and Moody’s … This concentrated approach will continue,” the Berkshire Hathaway chief executive noted.
One caveat belongs on any list like this. A 13F lands up to 45 days late. It leaves out cash, foreign holdings, and the businesses Berkshire owns outright. Abel’s next filing is due in November.
The post Top US Stock Picks From Warren Buffett Successor Greg Abel appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Nike Stock Hits 12-Year Low: Riskier Than Bitcoin?
Nike (NKE) closed at $39.09 on Monday. That is its weakest close since September 2014. The stock sits about 78% below its 2021 record. Bitcoin has not fallen that far in this bear market.
Nike is a Dow Jones Industrial Average stock. Investors buy that index for safety. The chart no longer looks safe.
A Dow Stock Falls Further Than Bitcoin
Nike lost 4.03% on Monday, nearly 80% below its record close of $169.74 recorded on November 5, 2021. The damage since then is easy to size. Nike is now worth about $58 billion.
Apply today’s share count to the record price, and the peak value was near $255 billion.
Bitcoin’s fall is the smaller one. BTC changed hands near $64,325 on Monday, up 2% in 24 hours. Bitcoin’s record was $126,080, set on October 6, 2025. So Bitcoin’s price action sits close to 50% below the top, or roughly half of Nike’s decline.
Now compare the clocks. Bitcoin gave up half its value in 10 months. Nike has been sliding for 57.
The years erased matter more than the speed. Bitcoin is trading back at levels last seen in 2024. Nike is trading back at 2014 prices.
Bitcoin at least has a cycle to blame. Nike does not. Its decline runs through a bull market in US equities.
Nike Bought Crypto Near the Top and Buried It Near the Bottom
The digital detour comes with a date. On December 13, 2021, five weeks after that record close, Nike bought RTFKT.
RTFKT was a small studio. It sold sneakers and avatars that existed only as NFTs on Ethereum.
Then-CEO John Donahoe sold the deal as proof Nike could own digital culture.
“This acquisition is another step that accelerates Nike’s digital transformation and allows us to serve athletes and creators at the intersection of sport, creativity, gaming and culture,” John Donahoe, then Nike CEO, in the company’s December 2021 release.
Nike shut the RTFKT studio in early 2025. Collectors then sued for $5 million, arguing the company had sold unregistered securities and walked away.
Plenty of consumer brands quit NFTs in the same window, as BeInCrypto reported when brands retreated from NFTs. Nike’s version stands out for one reason. The purchase marked the top of its own stock.
The Turnaround Still Has No Revenue Line
Elliott Hill returned as chief executive in October 2024. He spent 32 years at Nike before retiring, then came back to fix it.
Almost two years on, the numbers have not turned. Fiscal 2026 revenue was $46.4 billion, flat as reported and 2% lower currency-neutral. Earnings slipped 3% to $2.10 a share.
The mix is the problem. Wholesale, meaning shoes sold through other retailers, rose 6% to $27.5 billion.
Nike Direct, its own stores and apps, fell 6% to $17.7 billion. Direct sales earn more per shoe, so the profitable channel is the shrinking one. Converse dropped 31% to $1.2 billion.
China is the deepest wound. Greater China revenue fell 11% to $5.85 billion, and profit in the region fell 20% to $1.28 billion.
The fourth-quarter gross margin of 49.2% looked like a win. However, $986 million of expected tariff refunds were delivered. Strip that out, and margins barely moved.
“No hints yet that revenues can turn positive in the foreseeable future … we don’t see a clear reason to expand the P/E [ratio] from here (from 22x FY27 consensus EPS),” Evercore ISI analyst Michael Binetti stayed unconvinced in a research note.
What Comes Next
Monday brought one more twist. David Denton started as Nike’s chief financial officer on the same day the stock hit its 12-year low. Matthew Friend, his predecessor, leaves on September 4.
Wall Street still expects a bounce. The average target is $50.66, roughly 30% above Monday’s close, per Stock Analysis data. JPMorgan sits lowest at $40, and Nike closed below even that.
The dividend pays $1.64 per year, yielding over 4%. That is the strongest card bulls hold. First-quarter results are due in late September.
Bitcoin holders spent a decade hearing that their asset was reckless. Nike holders bought the safe label and are 78% poorer since 2021. So, which chart belonged to the speculative asset?
The post Nike Stock Hits 12-Year Low: Riskier Than Bitcoin? appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
5% Treasury Yields Won’t Crush Record-High Stocks. Can Bitcoin Say the Same?
Wall Street’s biggest bears have gone quiet on 5% Treasury yields. Bank of America Private Bank Chief Investment Officer Chris Hyzy says the level no longer scares stocks the way it once did.
The bigger question is whether Bitcoin can also fight off the bear case high treasury yields can bring for risk-on assets. While equities shrug off higher rates, Bitcoin (BTC) has spent 2026 losing the fight for the same money.
Why 5% Doesn’t Scare Stocks Anymore
Speaking on CNBC’s Closing Bell, Hyzy said $9 trillion sits in money funds and deposit accounts. Investors earning two to three points above inflation feel less pressure to chase risk.
“Five is not the negative that it once was,” Hyzy said, pointing to how much cash sits in the system.
Sonali Basak, chief investment strategist at iCapital, agreed the flight to quality favors well-capitalized companies.
Highly leveraged firms extending debt on thin margins face a tougher road. Ritholtz Wealth Management’s Josh Brown said earnings momentum is driving stocks higher, not fear of missing out.
Bitcoin Hasn’t Gotten the Memo
The math looks different for an asset that pays no yield at all. The 30-year Treasury yield has topped 5.3% this year, including a 5.27% reading on Aug. 14, its highest level since 2007. Artificial intelligence (AI) hyperscalers are now competing with Washington for the same lenders.
Over that stretch, Bitcoin has fallen 46% while gold gained roughly 33%. BeInCrypto has also found that bond yields aren’t lifting Bitcoin the way they once boosted gold.
The bull case still exists. Rising yields partly reflect a widening fiscal deficit. That debt-fueled backdrop first drew investors to Bitcoin’s fixed supply as an inflation hedge.
Alphabet and Meta priced corporate bonds paying 6.4% to more than 7.5% this year. That is a bar Bitcoin’s price has not cleared since global yields last sat this high.
For now, that scarcity argument is losing to the yield trade. Bitcoin is holding above $64,000 after its recent rally. It has yet to pull in much of the $9 trillion parked in cash.
Wednesday’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes could shift the calculus again. A dovish surprise would test whether stocks keep climbing on earnings alone. It would also show whether Bitcoin can finally act like the hedge its backers describe.
The post 5% Treasury Yields Won’t Crush Record-High Stocks. Can Bitcoin Say the Same? appeared first on BeInCrypto.
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