Crypto World
Bitcoin flashes 8 bottom signals, but rebound may take months: VanEck
Bitcoin has triggered eight of VanEck’s 12 capitulation signals after falling 49% from its peak, although the firm’s historical data has shown no return advantage within six months.
Summary
- Eight of VanEck’s 12 capitulation indicators remain active, while all 12 fired during the past three months.
- Bitcoin averaged 12.8% returns after 90 days when eight to 12 signals were active.
- VanEck placed the next possible accumulation period between September and November.
- U.S. spot Bitcoin products received $663 million after losing about $2.4 billion the previous month.
VanEck said in its mid-August Bitcoin ChainCheck that the active signals place Bitcoin in a period of heavy market stress, but its backtest does not support expectations of a fast rebound.
The asset manager’s indicators cover price losses, miner finances, and the share of Bitcoin holders carrying unrealized losses. Each measure is designed to detect conditions that have appeared when selling pressure approached an extreme level during earlier market cycles.
All 12 indicators entered their capitulation zones at least once during the three months covered by the report, according to VanEck. Eight remained active when the firm took its latest readings, suggesting that the market may be late in the current decline without confirming that Bitcoin has reached its final low.
Bitcoin capitulation signals offer no six-month edge
VanEck’s historical results showed that periods with eight to 12 active signals did not produce unusually strong returns over the following three or six months.
When that number of indicators flashed, Bitcoin gained an average of 12.8% over the next 90 days, according to the report. Its average return across all comparable 90-day periods was higher at 15.2%.
Extending the holding period to 180 days produced a similar result. VanEck calculated an average gain of 32% after capitulation clusters, compared with Bitcoin’s 36.3% average across its full dataset.
Only the one-year holding period generated returns above Bitcoin’s historical baseline, the firm said. VanEck warned that the result came from 115 observation days that overlapped heavily, meaning the sample represented only a limited number of separate market events.
The report therefore treated the readings as a guide to Bitcoin’s position in its cycle, rather than a tool for finding the exact bottom. VanEck also disclosed that it has exposure to Bitcoin, including through investment products managed by the firm.
Under its method, most signals become active when their readings fall within the lowest 15% of their own recorded histories. Indicators in which a high value represents market stress use an upper extreme instead.
Price drawdown follows a separate rule. VanEck activates the indicator once Bitcoin has fallen more than 35% from its high, even if the decline is not extreme compared with earlier bear markets.
Bitcoin’s 49% fall from its October 2025 record met the fixed threshold but ranked only in the 35th percentile of past drawdowns, according to the report. Applying the same percentile test used for the other indicators “would put us at 7 of 12 rather than 8 of 12,” the firm said.
A shallower Bitcoin decline remains an assumption
Previous major Bitcoin bear markets produced peak-to-trough losses of 94%, 85%, 84%, and 78%, according to VanEck. The firm expects the current decline to stop earlier because today’s market includes U.S. spot exchange-traded products, more institutional holders, and fewer large unregulated companies whose sudden failures could cause forced selling.
VanEck described a shallower trough as an expectation; however, rather than a confirmed result. Earlier crashes occurred before U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs created a regulated source of demand, while the 2022 decline also included the collapses of crypto lender Celsius and exchange FTX.
The timing of the current downturn resembles earlier cycles more closely than its size. VanEck counted four completed bear markets since 2011 and found that their declines lasted an average of 11 months from peak to trough.
Removing the smaller 2011 cycle increased the average to 12.7 months, the report said. Bitcoin entered the tenth month of its fall from the October 2025 high during August, leading VanEck to place a possible accumulation period between September and November without selecting a specific date.
Bitcoin traded near $64,300 during Asian evening hours on Aug. 19 and had remained between roughly $62,300 and $66,500 since recovering from its June 30 low near $58,500. A recent price review found that BTC had failed to hold above $65,000 as resistance near $65,400, weak spot demand and rising U.S. bond yields limited its rebound.
Meanwhile, 30-day realized volatility had fallen to an annualized 27.2%, compared with Bitcoin’s long-run average of about 80%, according to VanEck. Low volatility has developed alongside reduced participation, with the firm placing 30-day spot volume in the 10th percentile of its recorded history after a 27% decline.
An Aug. 18 Bitcoin liquidity analysis also identified $63,200 as the median realized price that had supported BTC during repeated tests. Bitfinex analysts named $67,176 as the level that would return recent buyers to an average profit, while a loss of $63,200 could expose $57,803.
Miner stress has deepened during the selloff
Bitcoin miners have absorbed some of the heaviest pressure in the current cycle, according to VanEck, as lower prices and weak transaction fees have reduced the revenue produced by each unit of computing power.
Daily revenue across the mining network fell 46% from a year earlier, the report said. Mining difficulty also dropped 18.3% from its November 2025 peak as operators switched off machines that could no longer run profitably.
VanEck called the difficulty decline the steepest since China prohibited domestic Bitcoin mining in 2021. The reduction allows the network to adjust to falling computing power, but it also indicates that some miners have been unable to cover electricity and operating costs.
Crypto.news previously reported that a separate dataset placed the difficulty decline at 19.9% by late July, making it the third-deepest drop of the specialized mining-hardware era. That report also found that listed mining companies had expanded artificial-intelligence data-center agreements while Bitcoin mining income remained under pressure.
VanEck’s readings showed that miner stress has occurred alongside falling supply held by long-term investors. Coins untouched for more than one year declined by 356,534 BTC over 30 days to 11.84 million BTC, equal to 59.1% of circulating supply.
All six long-term age groups recorded reductions, according to the firm. Wallets holding coins for one to two years accounted for the largest decrease at about 156,000 BTC, while balances older than 10 years fell by roughly 4,000 BTC.
VanEck said some movements could represent transfers between private wallets for security reasons rather than sales. The firm added that exchange inflows separated by coin age would be needed to determine whether older holders sent the assets to trading platforms.
U.S. Bitcoin funds have reversed part of their outflows
Demand through U.S.-listed products moved in the opposite direction during VanEck’s 30-day measurement period. Spot Bitcoin exchange-traded products received about $663 million, equal to roughly 10,400 BTC at the prices used in the report.
The inflows reversed part of the approximately $2.4 billion withdrawn during the previous month, according to VanEck. American investors can access the market through the products, including VanEck’s HODL ETF, without holding Bitcoin directly.
Fund demand has remained uneven outside the report’s measurement window. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs lost $389.7 million during the week ending Aug. 14, according to data from SoSoValue.
Earlier in August, the funds had attracted $853.5 million across five consecutive sessions, as reported on Aug. 8. Farside data later showed $297.5 million of net inflows on Aug. 17 and another $189.3 million on Aug. 18, producing a combined two-day total of $486.8 million.
Crypto World
Ripple CEO says 67M owners put crypto mainstream
Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse said cryptocurrency had moved beyond the fringes of American finance on Aug. 20, citing an industry-backed estimate that more than 67 million Americans own digital assets.
Summary
- 67 million Americans own cryptocurrency, according to an NCA estimate developed with Harris Poll research.
- Garlinghouse cited the estimate after attending a White House meeting with senior financial regulators Thursday.
- The survey questioned 10,000 existing cryptocurrency holders, rather than a representative sample of all adults.
- 63% of surveyed holders reported greater interest in using cryptocurrency during 2026 than during 2025.
- The SEC separately proposed two registration exemptions for certain cryptocurrency investment contract offerings this week.
Garlinghouse made the statement after attending a White House meeting with President Donald Trump, Securities and Exchange Commission Chair Paul Atkins, Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chair Michael Selig and cryptocurrency industry executives.
“Crypto isn’t a fringe industry,” Garlinghouse wrote on X. He also described cryptocurrency owners as an active voting group, although the cited research measured ownership and usage rather than voting intentions.
Ripple CEO cites expanding U.S. ownership
The 67 million estimate comes from the National Cryptocurrency Association’s 2026 State of Crypto Holders Report. The organization developed the research with The Harris Poll and released it in May.
The estimate represents roughly one in four American adults and an increase of about 12 million owners from the association’s 2025 figure. The Harris Poll similarly said cryptocurrency was becoming part of Americans’ regular financial activity.
The survey questioned 10,000 U.S. adults who identified themselves as current cryptocurrency holders between Feb. 12 and March 3. Researchers weighted responses using demographic categories and extrapolated them to estimate national ownership.
That methodology matters because many of the report’s detailed findings describe existing holders, not all U.S. adults. The survey therefore supports conclusions about how owners use cryptocurrency, but it does not establish that one quarter of every demographic or political group supports the industry.
Ripple also has a connection to the organization producing the research. Ripple committed $50 million to establish the National Cryptocurrency Association, and Ripple Chief Legal Officer Stuart Alderoty serves as its president. Those relationships do not invalidate the survey, but they provide relevant context for interpreting its findings.
Alderoty previously argued that 67 million American owners challenge narrow cryptocurrency stereotypes, pointing to participation across different ages, professions and income groups.
Surveyed holders report broader cryptocurrency uses
The report found that 63% of respondents were more interested in using cryptocurrency in 2026 than they had been one year earlier. Respondents reported using digital assets for investing, payments, transfers to family and friends, charitable donations and business activity.
The research also found changes in the gender profile of newer participants. Women represented 42% of people who first acquired cryptocurrency in 2025 or 2026, compared with 34% among earlier adopters.
Ownership was not limited to the highest income categories. The NCA said 90% of surveyed holders earned less than $500,000 annually, while 23% earned $75,000 or less.
These findings show diversity within the holder population. They do not prove that cryptocurrency has universal acceptance, nor do they measure losses, consumer complaints or attitudes among Americans who do not own digital assets.
Garlinghouse’s claim that cryptocurrency is mainstream is an interpretation of the ownership estimate. The underlying survey provides evidence of broad participation, but “mainstream” has no single statistical definition.
Washington faces tests of crypto’s political reach
Garlinghouse’s comments came as the administration pressed Congress to advance the CLARITY Act, a proposed federal framework for dividing cryptocurrency oversight between the SEC and CFTC.
The Senate is scheduled to face a procedural test on Sept. 15. The motion would need 60 votes and would only begin formal consideration, not approve the legislation. Ethics restrictions, stablecoin rewards and financial crime safeguards remain disputed.
As crypto.news reported, the CLARITY Act’s September vote faces weakening expectations as the November midterm elections reduce the Senate’s available legislative time.
The SEC is also moving independently. On Aug. 18, it proposed Regulation Crypto Assets, which would create tailored registration exemptions for certain cryptocurrency investment contract offerings.
One exemption would permit eligible offerings of up to $5 million over four years. Another would cover offerings of up to $75 million during a 12-month period, subject to disclosure and reporting conditions.
The SEC proposal remains open to public comment and is not yet binding. Congress’ Sept. 15 procedural vote will offer the next clearer measure of whether a large ownership base can translate into bipartisan support for permanent market legislation.
Crypto World
Tesla Preps Cybercab Launch As Soon As This Month; Shares Keep Sliding
The debut of Tesla’s Cybercab could happen as soon as this month. Tesla plans to start offering rides for employees in the robotaxi specific model in Austin, Texas, in coming weeks, before rolling them out to the public a few days later, according to The Information. The Cybercab is Tesla’s EV tailor-made for robotaxi rides. The model doesn’t have a…
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Crusoe, AI Data Center Developer And Coreweave Rival, Eyes IPO
Crusoe, a privately held AI data center developer and power provider working under contracts with OpenAI, Oracle (ORCL), Microsoft (MSFT) and GE Vernova (GEV), is in IPO talks with four Wall Street banks, Axios reported. But Crusoe rival CoreWeave (CRWV) plunged on Tuesday amid a sharp selloff for AI-driven and AI stocks. Denver-based Crusoe is meeting with Bank of America…
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KEYS Stock: Keysight Technologies Posts Beat-And-Raise Report
Keysight Technologies (KEYS) late Tuesday crushed Wall Street’s targets for its fiscal third quarter and with its outlook for the current quarter. KEYS stock rose in extended trading. The maker of electronic design, emulation, and test equipment earned an adjusted $3.07 a share on sales of $1.85 billion in the quarter ended July 31. Analysts polled by FactSet had expected…
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Crypto World
Michael Selig Calls Compute the Most Important Commodity as CFTC Seeks Comment
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has requested public comment on compute derivatives contracts, its formal move toward overseeing a market that prices the computing power behind artificial intelligence.
The regulator announced the request on August 19, as the Chairman told a White House gathering that he wants the United States to dominate compute markets.
What the Agency Is Asking
The request asks about the size and liquidity of the compute cash markets. It also covers manipulation concerns, customer protection, and perpetual compute futures.
Comments will be accepted for 60 days once the notice is published in the Federal Register. The agency invited feedback on all aspects of compute markets, not just the topics it listed.
Michael Selig tied the exercise directly to competition with other countries over AI capacity.
“America cannot win the AI race without a robust derivatives market for compute…This request for comment is the first step toward establishing clear rules of the road for American compute markets,” he said.
He described compute as the commodity that will power what he called the intelligence economy, drawing a parallel to the industrial-era commodities that American exchanges once standardized.
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Why Washington Wants Compute Rules Now
Selig made the same argument at a White House event with President Donald Trump and crypto executives. He named Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick as a partner in the effort and said some observers now describe compute as digital oil.
“I’m proud to be working with Secretary Lutnick and the Department of Commerce as well to make America the compute capital of the world. This may be the most important commodity of our day. Some call it digital oil. And America needs to dominate these markets to win the AI race,” he stated.
Exchanges have already moved ahead of the agency. CME Group and Silicon Data plan to list two contracts on October 5, pending regulatory review. The contracts will track indexes that measure hourly GPU rental costs.
“Each contract will represent a month’s worth of rent for the Nvidia H100, the chip central to today’s AI ecosystem, and the next-generation Nvidia Blackwell B200, respectively,” the notice read.
The outcome matters for crypto firms that now sell computing capacity. Several public miners, including MARA and CleanSpark, have shifted toward AI hosting revenue.
Whether the comment file produces rules before or after those contracts start trading is the question the next two months will settle.
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Crypto World
Coinbase chooses Abu Dhabi as global hub for tokenized securities
Coinbase has secured regulatory permission in Abu Dhabi to establish an international tokenization hub that will support the issuance and custody of securities backed by underlying shares.
Summary
- Coinbase has chosen Abu Dhabi as its international hub for tokenized securities.
- ADGM has approved the exchange to arrange investment deals and provide custody services.
- The securities will be backed by underlying shares and can be held in digital wallets.
- The hub expands Coinbase’s existing Abu Dhabi operations, including Project Diamond.
- Kearney estimates tokenized GCC assets could approach $500 billion by 2030.
Coinbase said the Financial Services Regulatory Authority of Abu Dhabi Global Market has granted it Financial Services Permission to arrange deals in investments and provide custody services for the planned tokenized securities business. The approval places the U.S. crypto exchange inside ADGM’s regulated financial system as it builds infrastructure for issuing traditional assets on blockchain networks.
The securities registered and issued through the framework will be backed by underlying shares and supervised by the FSRA. Verified holders will receive economic rights tied to the assets, while certain shareholder rights, including voting, depend on vesting conditions attached to the digital securities.
Investors will be able to hold the products in digital wallets without opening a traditional brokerage account or establishing a correspondent banking relationship for transactions involving the securities. Coinbase said transfers will remain subject to sanctions screening, with assets capable of being frozen or seized at the wallet level when required.
“This is the most significant step we have taken yet toward building the infrastructure for a more open, more accessible global financial system,” Coinbase said when announcing the approval on Aug. 11.
Coinbase tokenization hub builds on Project Diamond
Abu Dhabi was already part of Coinbase’s institutional tokenization plans before the latest license. The exchange established Project Diamond as a platform for issuing blockchain-based financial instruments, initially concentrating on digital debt products for institutional users.
Project Diamond received in-principle approval from ADGM regulators before issuing its first debt instrument, a short-term discount note denominated in USDC and issued on Coinbase’s Base blockchain. The platform was initially available to registered institutional investors outside the United States.
Coinbase later expanded the infrastructure supporting the project. In December 2024, crypto.news reported that Project Diamond had integrated Chainlink’s Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol, giving institutions access to cross-chain connectivity and verifiable data for tokenized assets.
The platform uses Coinbase’s institutional technology stack, including custody services, on-chain wallets and USDC settlement on Base. Peregrine, an ADGM-regulated entity operated by PSG Digital, was named as its flagship user when the Chainlink integration was announced.
Coinbase Institutional co-CEO Brett Tejpaul said ADGM’s decision to introduce a virtual asset regulatory framework in 2018 was an important factor behind the company’s choice of jurisdiction.
“No major financial center has yet built a framework that treats tokenized equities simultaneously as securities, blockchain-native tokens, and DeFi-composable assets,” Tejpaul said.
The latest permission moves Coinbase from institutional debt infrastructure toward a regulated structure capable of supporting tokenized securities backed by shares.
Abu Dhabi has opened regulated routes for tokenized stocks
Coinbase is entering an Abu Dhabi market where other financial and crypto companies have already received permission to offer blockchain-based investment products.
In March, Ondo Finance received approval for tokenized U.S. stocks and exchange-traded funds within ADGM. Its digital securities were admitted for trading through a Multilateral Trading Facility regulated by the FSRA.
The products were structured as equity-linked notes and provided exposure to U.S. companies including Amazon, Apple, Microsoft and Tesla. Their admission created another regulated route for investors outside the United States to access blockchain-based versions of traditional securities.
Institutional custody infrastructure has developed alongside those products. BNY launched Bitcoin and Ether custody services in ADGM in May through a collaboration with Finstreet Limited and the ADI Foundation, with the bank also planning to support tokenized assets and stablecoins.
BNY had $59.4 trillion in assets under custody and administration when the service was announced, bringing one of the world’s largest traditional custodians into Abu Dhabi’s regulated digital asset sector.
Coinbase itself has already started offering tokenized equities elsewhere. In June, the exchange launched tokenized shares linked to SpaceX, Nvidia, Google, Strategy and Bitmine, with the company saying the products were backed 1:1.
Users could buy, hold, trade and redeem the assets on-chain while receiving economic exposure to dividends associated with the underlying shares. Coinbase presented the rollout as part of its Everything Exchange strategy, which combines crypto with equities, commodities, lending, payments and other financial products.
UAE expansion separates tokenization and derivatives operations
The Abu Dhabi hub forms one part of Coinbase’s expansion across the United Arab Emirates.
Its tokenized securities and on-chain capital markets operations will be centred in Abu Dhabi, while the company is developing its global derivatives business from Dubai. Coinbase has described the two businesses as among its largest international projects outside the United States.
The company had been pursuing an Abu Dhabi regulatory presence for several years. In 2023, Coinbase was in discussions with ADGM’s FSRA about obtaining regulatory permission while expanding its international operations.
Project Diamond subsequently provided the company with its first operational route into regulated blockchain-based financial instruments in the emirate. The latest FSP extends that presence into arranging investment deals and custody connected to tokenized securities.
ADGM Chief Market Development Officer Arvind Ramamurthy said Coinbase’s decision represented an endorsement of the financial centre’s regulatory framework as institutions experiment with blockchain-based capital markets.
“As tokenisation becomes an increasingly important part of capital markets infrastructure, ADGM remains committed to supporting innovation that enhances market access, transparency and investor confidence, while upholding the highest standards of regulatory oversight,” Ramamurthy said.
GCC tokenization could approach $500 billion by 2030
Coinbase is setting up the hub as governments, banks and investment firms across the Gulf put more capital and infrastructure behind tokenization.
Consulting firm Kearney and tokenization infrastructure company Ctrl Alt estimated earlier this year that tokenized real-world assets across the Gulf Cooperation Council could represent close to $500 billion by 2030.
Their estimate covers several asset classes, with private markets, investment funds and bank deposits expected to account for a large share of potential tokenized assets. Commodities alone could represent about $14 billion of the regional market by 2030, according to the research.
Abu Dhabi-based tokenization company KAIO has also attracted institutional funding for the sector. In April, the company raised $8 million from investors including Tether, Systemic Ventures, Further Ventures and Nomura-backed Laser Digital.
KAIO operates under Abu Dhabi’s regulatory framework and has worked on bringing traditional investment products from asset managers including BlackRock, Brevan Howard and Hamilton Lane onto public blockchains through tokenized feeder funds. At the time of the funding announcement, the platform managed about $100 million in on-chain assets and had processed more than $500 million in transactions.
ADGM’s digital asset rules predate much of the current institutional activity. The financial centre introduced one of the first regulatory frameworks for virtual assets in 2018, creating rules for companies providing regulated crypto and blockchain services from Abu Dhabi.
Coinbase said its new permission gives the company the regulatory basis to arrange investment transactions and provide custody for its planned tokenized securities, while transfers involving the products will remain subject to ongoing sanctions screening.
Crypto World
XRP Explodes to a Monthly High: These Signals Hinted a Big Move Was Coming
Most of July and August were highly dull trading periods for the entire cryptocurrency market, with little to no movement, a lack of actual interest, and missing volume.
It all changed yesterday afternoon when the market was revived with major price rallies across all assets. Ripple’s XRP also exploded alongside its peers, but there could be more to its story.
The Story
The cross-border token finally broke decisively away from the $1.00 danger zone, surging by double digits to a monthly peak at $1.14 before it retraced slightly to the current $1.10. There are several reasons, besides the big one behind the market’s resurgence, that can be attributed to XRP’s uptick.
As reported earlier this week, whale activity picked up on several fronts. The number of transactions worth more than $1 million soared by 280% within a single day, reaching almost 40 compared with roughly 10 during each of the preceding two days.
Although this wasn’t necessarily an accumulation signal since large transactions can be buying, selling, or simply transfers, it followed another notable whale development in which market participants holding between 10 million and 100 million XRP purchased roughly 72 million tokens in 24 hours.
The token supply sitting on exchanges was also moving in the right direction for months, as over 240 million XRP left Binance, Upbit, and Coinbase between June and mid-August. These platforms’ combined reserves went down from roughly 5.36 billion to 5.12 billion tokens.
Last but not least, the overall network activity has risen lately, with the XRP Ledger recording almost 50,000 active addresses within 24 hours, the highest figure in over two months.
XRP Bears Caught Off Guard
XRP open interest had skyrocketed to $2.7 billion earlier this week, the highest since the October 2025 massacre. 75% of these positions were positioned long. However, that didn’t mean three-quarters of the actual capital was betting on higher prices.
Notional exposure remained balanced because every derivatives contract has both a long and short side. Perhaps more importantly, the actual trading flow leaned bearish. Around $375 million in 24-hour short volume was recorded compared with $304 million on the long side.
Popular analyst Bird also weighed in on the OI, indicating that when it surged between 2022 and 2024, XRP ultimately got wrecked. However, it all changed in November 2024.
“That time was different. OI exploded… but instead of price rejecting and leverage being wiped out, XRP broke out with it. A completely new trend began.”
Bird added that XRP spent the past few months getting “absolutely destroyed,” as prices capitulated, leverage was flushed, and sentiment deteriorated. OI built up quietly again, and XRP responded with a massive green candle.
The analyst admitted that “one green candle doesn’t confirm anything,” but believes the comparison to previous cycles looks less like the failed leverage spikes of 2022-2024 and “increasingly” more like November 2024 as long as XRP “keeps moving higher while OI remains healthy.”
The post XRP Explodes to a Monthly High: These Signals Hinted a Big Move Was Coming appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
HYPE Rallies 20% After Trump Signals Legal U.S. Route for Hyperliquid
Hyperliquid’s native token, HYPE, jumped sharply after President Donald Trump said U.S. regulators are working on a “compliant and legal” pathway that could allow the decentralized trading platform to serve American users. The move highlighted how much market participants are willing to reprice crypto assets on the prospect of clearer access to the United States—despite the absence of concrete implementation details.
HYPE traded near $62 shortly before Trump’s remarks, then rose as much as 16% to a 24-hour high of $72.28, according to CoinGecko data. The token later settled around $70, up roughly 20% on the day, with 24-hour trading volume reaching about $1.4 billion.
Key takeaways
- HYPE surged more than 20% over 24 hours following Trump remarks about a compliant U.S. pathway for Hyperliquid.
- Price action likely reflected expectations of future U.S. access, which could change how HYPE is perceived and valued.
- Hyperliquid Strategies (Nasdaq: PURR) spiked alongside the token, but the company says it is independent of Hyperliquid.
- A large spike in PURR October $8 call options drew attention, though public data does not confirm the motivation or whether any trading involved nonpublic information.
Trump’s regulatory signal lifts HYPE
The catalyst came during a Wednesday White House event. Trump said he understood that CFTC Chair Michael Selig and “Mike” are working to bring Hyperliquid into the U.S. “in a fully compliant and legal fashion,” adding, “Working very hard on that.” The comments referenced the CFTC’s role in crafting regulatory pathways for market activity connected to digital assets.
For traders, the timing mattered: HYPE’s rally began immediately around the remarks and extended into the following hours. According to CoinGecko, the token’s intraday move ranged up to $72.28 before settling near $70. In practical terms, that kind of rapid repricing tends to occur when markets believe the probability of a regulatory breakthrough has increased—especially for networks associated with accessible on-ramps and clearer participation by U.S. users.
Still, the market reaction has not been matched with policy specifics. Neither the CFTC nor Hyperliquid has released a formal proposal describing what “compliant” U.S. access would look like, whether any application has been submitted, or when a compliant service could launch.
Why “U.S. access” can reprice decentralized platforms
Decentralized trading platforms often face a recurring challenge: how to reconcile the mechanics of open, protocol-driven exchange with U.S. regulatory expectations. When senior U.S. officials publicly suggest that regulators are working on a pathway, investors may anticipate changes that could broaden the addressable user base.
That expectation is visible in the way the token moved relative to the lack of concrete details. HYPE rallied on the notion that U.S. availability could reduce friction for American participants, which in turn can affect liquidity expectations and demand. The rally also appeared to extend to firms whose equities investors associate with the ecosystem.
However, it’s important to separate a “possible pathway” from a finished regulatory outcome. Without published requirements or a stated process, traders remain exposed to uncertainty: the implementation could take longer than markets expect, or the eventual structure could differ from what investors are currently pricing.
PURR shares surge—and options trading raises questions
Alongside HYPE, shares of Hyperliquid Strategies, a Nasdaq-listed treasury company trading under the ticker PURR, surged Wednesday. Yahoo Finance reported the stock closed at $9.39, up 30.4%.
The relationship is nuanced. While the company shares the Hyperliquid name, Hyperliquid Strategies’ own disclaimer states it is independent and not affiliated with Hyperliquid.
Options activity added another layer to the story. CNBC reported that roughly four hours before Trump spoke, someone reportedly paid about $65,000 for 719 PURR call options with an $8 strike price expiring in mid-October. CNBC said the contracts were purchased at approximately $0.90 each and were quoted at $2.45 by the close, implying a position value near $176,000 and an unrealized gain of roughly $111,000.
Public options data also corroborated unusually heavy interest in that contract. According to OptiView data cited by CNBC, 2,575 of the October $8 calls were traded during the session, compared with just 67 contracts in open interest beforehand. The same data indicated volume was more than 140 times the contract’s 30-day average.
At the same time, the publicly available information does not establish who placed the order, nor does it prove that the trades were based on nonpublic information. The data shows elevated activity but cannot confirm intent. There is also no clear evidence of insider trading in the reporting, and the CFTC had previously publicly disclosed a July 15 meeting with Hyperliquid Labs and Hyperliquid Strategies.
For investors, this matters because option flows can be an early indicator of where expectations are forming—yet they can also reflect hedging, speculation, or tactical positioning that is not directly tied to any official development. Without additional disclosures, the “why” behind the PURR options remains unresolved.
What to watch next
For now, HYPE’s rally underscores how quickly crypto markets can respond to regulatory signals—but the next move depends on clarity. Readers should watch for any follow-up from U.S. regulators or the involved companies that outlines an actual compliant framework, including application status, timelines, and how U.S. access would be operationalized.
Crypto World
Live updates: Bitcoin ETFs draw $517 million, ether pulls $189 million in biggest inflows in months

Spot bitcoin ETFs pulled in $517 million and ether funds $189 million on Aug. 19, the strongest daily hauls in months, as a broad rally torched $2.7 billion in bearish bets.
Crypto World
The Better Hyperliquid Trade Wednesday Was on the Nasdaq, Not Onchain
Hyperliquid Strategies (PURR) closed 30.4% higher on Wednesday, outpacing the gain in Hyperliquid (HYPE) token’s price after President Donald Trump said regulators are working to bring the exchange onshore.
The Nasdaq-listed company holds HYPE as a digital asset treasury. Its shares moved further on the news than the token sitting on its balance sheet.
Hyperliquid Treasury Stock Rose 30%, the Token It Holds 18%
Trump spoke at a White House meeting with crypto and financial executives on Wednesday. He credited Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) Chair Mike Selig with the effort.
“I understand that Mike (Selig) is also working to bring Hyperliquid into the United States in a fully compliant and legal fashion,” Trump said.
Hyperliquid currently operates outside the US and does not officially serve American traders. A regulated US presence would open it to a far larger pool of customers and capital.
Meanwhile, Trump’s remarks lifted HYPE 18.6% to around $69.22. The HYPE treasury stock did better.
Hyperliquid Strategies shares closed up 30.42% at $9.39. The stock continued to climb in after-hours trading, gaining another 4.9% to reach $9.85.
Incumbent venues moved the other way. Cboe Global Markets fell 3.5% and CME Group 1.7%. Each runs a regulated derivatives market, a licensed Hyperliquid would contest.
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HYPE Treasuries Are the Exception in a Broken DAT Trade
The digital asset treasury model has had a punishing 2026, with most vehicles now seeing sharp unrealized losses. Companies built around HYPE are the exception.
Artemis data shows just two treasury firms still sitting on unrealized gains: Hyperliquid Strategies and Hyperion DeFi (HYPD), and the asset on both balance sheets is the same.
The share prices tell the same story. PURR has gained more than 163% this year, while Strategy (MSTR) has fallen 33.6% and Bitmine Immersion (BMNR) has dropped 35.11%.
That gap explains why so many crypto-exposed companies went looking for a different narrative. For instance, Bitcoin (BTC) miners have been repricing on artificial intelligence.
TeraWulf, IREN, and Hut 8 have rallied this year on their pivot even as mining economics deteriorated. Wednesday reversed that. No AI pivot, no hyperscaler lease, just a crypto headline moving a Nasdaq stock 30%.
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The post The Better Hyperliquid Trade Wednesday Was on the Nasdaq, Not Onchain appeared first on BeInCrypto.
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