Crypto World
Dario Amodei Claude AI Predicts Ethereum Needs to Do One Thing Before $4,000 Is Back on the Table
Can a single upgrade close a gap of more than 50%? That is the question behind the latest Claude AI price prediction, where the model predicts Ethereum (ETH) reaching $3,500 to $4,000 by year’s end 2026, with $3,800 as the realistic base case.
The chart already moved first. Ethereum price spent July and August pinned near $1,900 before ripping vertically to $2,448 in a matter of days.
That pump reset the entire conversation. A market that looked forgotten is suddenly trading 25% above where it sat two weeks ago.
The catalyst behind the forecast is Glamsterdam. It is the largest Ethereum upgrade since the Merge, and it went live on the Platåberget public testnet on August 20.

Mainnet is scheduled for Q4. Standard Chartered ties its own $4,000 target directly to that timeline.
Treasury demand is building alongside it. BitMine added 9,926 ETH on August 17, pushing its holdings to 5.82 million ETH, roughly 4.8% of supply and around $11 billion.
The regulatory piece is still open. Fidelity’s staking-enabled FETH filing remains pending SEC review.
Flows have held up better than sentiment suggested. ETH ETF inflows over 30 days reached $524.3 million even as daily flows flattened.
The bear case is about positioning. Long exposure is crowded at 69.6% of Binance accounts, and a Glamsterdam delay could break $1,860 support.
That break risks a slide to $1,500.
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Ethereum Price Prediction: Dario Amodei Claude AI Predicts Glamsterdam Reopens the Ceiling
The damage here has been severe and slow. Ethereum peaked near $4,860 in September 2025, then spent five months grinding down through every support it built.
February 2026 broke everything at once, dumping price to $1,740. March through May offered a weak recovery toward $2,450 that failed, and June sent Ethereum back to $1,500.
July and August built a quiet floor near $1,900. That base is exactly what made this week’s candle possible.
Ethereum closed at $2,448.0, up $25.2 for a gain of 1.04%, with a session range from $2,356.3 to $2,483.6. The modest change tells you the vertical leg is already done, and ETH price is holding its gains.
Resistance sits at $2,483.6, then the May swing near $2,450, which is now cleared, then $2,800. Support runs through $2,356 and $2,100, with the $1,860 line being the one that actually matters.
RSI reads 78.70 against a signal line at 62.88. The 16-point gap is elevated without being extreme.
That is a healthier picture than a runaway spike. Momentum is strong, and the rising signal line beneath suggests the move has structural support rather than pure reflex.
Q4 is where this gets settled. Deliver Glamsterdam on schedule, and $3,800 stops looking distant.
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Ethereum Is Betting One Upgrade Can Reopen the Ceiling. LiquidChain Is Betting the Bigger Constraint Is Between Chains.
Glamsterdam is designed to make Ethereum itself faster, cheaper, and more capable. LiquidChain is targeting a different bottleneck: the fact that even upgraded networks still operate as isolated liquidity islands.
Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana each have deep pools of capital, but moving between them still means bridges, duplicated deployments, added fees, and fragmented user flows.
LiquidChain is building a single execution layer that connects all 3, enabling a single deployment to reach multiple ecosystems without rebuilding the same application chain by chain.
That gives LiquidChain a thesis that does not depend on one network winning. It benefits from activity existing across several major ecosystems at once.
The presale is currently priced at $0.01493 with just over $948,000 raised. If the next DeFi cycle is driven by capital moving more freely between chains, LiquidChain is still being valued at the stage where relatively modest inflows can matter.
Unlock Liquidchain Layer 3 Access Here
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Crypto World
France Telegram Case Turns 2: Is Durov Being Prosecuted for Saying No?
France’s Telegram case turned two years old on Monday. Founder Pavel Durov marked the date by accusing governments of punishing the app for refusing censorship demands.
The French criminal investigation opened in August 2024 remains active. Durov argues the case has weakened as evidence about Telegram’s moderation record has accumulated.
How France’s Telegram Case Began
French police held Durov for three days in 2024, the longest period allowed before charges. He describes the move as a first, with a platform executive accused over offenses committed by users.
Restrictions on him have since loosened. France lifted his travel restrictions in November 2025, ending a year of mandatory police check-ins.
However, the probe itself never closed. French prosecutors have examined whether Telegram enabled criminal activity by failing to cooperate with lawful requests. Durov now says two years of data undercut its premise. Telegram, he argues, neither moderated worse than rivals nor cooperated less with authorities.
A Pattern Durov Says Repeats Across Countries
Durov says officials in several countries quietly asked Telegram for political favors, including censorship and surveillance he considers illegal. Refusal, he argues, triggers campaigns from local media and advocacy groups.
He has previously described requests tied to elections in Romania and Moldova. He and Elon Musk have separately accused European regulators of using child safety as leverage.
Telegram’s safety page reports 23.6 million groups and channels blocked this year. Of those, 370,777 were tied to child abuse material and 164,099 to terrorist content.
Meanwhile, Durov points to platforms he says escape comparable scrutiny. The Tech Transparency Project, a corporate accountability watchdog, reviewed Meta’s ad library this month. It found more than 50 paid ads carrying AI-generated child sexual abuse material.
What Comes Next for the French Case
Durov expects the investigation to eventually face questions of its own. He points to domestic pushback against President Emmanuel Macron’s online rules.
That pushback is now visible in French courts. Judges have begun testing how far the government can restrict platforms before free expression protections apply.
France’s Constitutional Council struck down a ban on social media for children under 15. The August 14 decision cited freedom of expression.
Durov has made similar accusations against Russia, which charged him with terrorism offenses in July.
GRAM, the Telegram-linked token formerly known as Toncoin, traded around $1.47 on Monday, down roughly 3% in 24 hours.
Whether French prosecutors move toward trial or quietly wind the case down may become clearer in the months ahead.
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Crypto World
If Bessent Repeats Yellen's 2023 Money Printing Playbook, BTC Math Points to $224K
Arthur Hayes argues Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is running the same money-printing playbook former Secretary Janet Yellen used in 2023. If the pattern holds, the math points to a six-figure Bitcoin target.
Bessent’s Treasury has already doubled long-term bond buyback operations this month. Hayes says the policy mirrors the liquidity mechanics that fueled Bitcoin’s 2023-2024 rally under Yellen.
Why Hayes Sees a Bessent-Yellen Repeat
Hayes, the BitMEX co-founder and Maelstrom chief investment officer, made a similar case in a recent Hayes interview. He argues Bessent faces the same problem Yellen did in 2023. Both face a government that keeps spending. Historically, that has forced a Treasury Secretary to defend the 10-year yield below 5%.
Yellen’s fix was shifting issuance toward short-term bills. The move drained the Fed’s reverse repo facility from $2.5 trillion to about $100 billion. That drawdown ran from mid-2023 to January 2025, when Bessent took over. That cash flowed into bank reserves and, Hayes argues, into Bitcoin’s 2023-2024 rally.
Bessent’s version of the same trade is already underway. The Treasury doubled long-term bond buybacks from $2 billion to $4 billion per operation this month. Officials are also weighing whether to tap the roughly $950 billion Treasury General Account (TGA) to fund even larger purchases.
The move briefly pushed Bitcoin to $80,000 before it slipped back near $78,800. That mirrors how quickly the bond market clawed back August’s earlier buyback rally.
The Bitcoin Math Behind the $224,000 Target
Applying Hayes’ 2023 comparison literally produces a specific target. Bitcoin traded near $26,000 in mid-2023, when Yellen’s bill-heavy issuance began draining the reverse repo facility. It peaked near $73,750 in March 2024, before the halving and spot ETF approvals added their own momentum. That’s a 2.84x move.
Applying the same multiple to Bitcoin’s current price of roughly $78,800 produces a target near $224,000. That figure is a simple calculation based on Hayes’ framework, not a number Hayes stated himself.
But, the number does carry some caveats. The 2023-2024 rally wasn’t driven by reverse repo drainage alone. Spot Bitcoin ETF approval in January 2024 and April 2024’s halving both landed in the same window. Each moved price independently of Treasury issuance mechanics. However, implicit money printing has always been a big catalyst for Bitcoin growth
Citadel Securities has also pushed back on Bessent’s buyback strategy. The firm warns the approach resembles financial repression that could weaken the dollar and stoke inflation.
Whether Bitcoin gets anywhere near that math depends on one thing.
Can Bessent’s buybacks hold up better than August’s first attempt did? Or will they fade the way the bond market rally already has twice this month?
The post If Bessent Repeats Yellen's 2023 Money Printing Playbook, BTC Math Points to $224K appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Bitcoin’s 24% rally faces $70K test as yields rebound: analysts
Bitcoin’s strongest weekly advance since March 2023 pushed the asset close to $80,000, but analysts said further gains may depend on easing US bond yields, continued spot ETF demand, and progress on the CLARITY Act.
Summary
- Bitcoin gained roughly 24% last week and reached a three-month high near $79,550.
- US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded approximately $1.9 billion in weekly net inflows.
- Analysts linked the breakout to Treasury buybacks, ETF demand, and forced short covering.
- BTSE’s Jeff Mei sees $80,000–$90,000 as possible but warns of a return to $70,000.
Can Bitcoin hold near $80,000 after its strongest rally since 2023?
Bitcoin (BTC) traded near $79,800 on Aug. 24 after climbing from below $64,000 on Aug. 19. The cryptocurrency reached approximately $79,550 during the rally, its highest level since May.
The gain amounted to roughly 24% over the week, according to Gadi Chait, investment manager at Xapo Bank, making it Bitcoin’s strongest weekly advance since March 2023.
US policy developments helped trigger the move. On Aug. 19, the US Treasury announced that it would at least double the maximum size of its liquidity-support buybacks for nominal Treasury securities with maturities of 10 to 30 years.
The operations will increase from a maximum of $2 billion to at least $4 billion each, beginning Sept. 9. Markets interpreted the decision as an effort to improve liquidity in long-dated government debt after yields reached levels that weighed on risk assets.
Bitcoin also benefited from renewed expectations for clearer US crypto rules after President Donald Trump urged lawmakers to advance the CLARITY Act. The proposed legislation remains subject to action in the Senate, where its progress could provide the market with another policy catalyst.
ETF inflows strengthened the Bitcoin rally
Chait said the sources of demand behind the rally were as important as the size of the price increase.
“Approximately $1.9 billion flowed into US spot Bitcoin ETFs, providing evidence of genuine investor demand, while record short liquidations added further momentum.”
US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded five consecutive trading days of inflows during the week ending Aug. 21. The approximately $1.9 billion total marked a sharp return of institutional demand after funds struggled to attract consistent capital earlier in the year.
The inflows also showed that forced buying in derivatives markets was not the rally’s only source of support. Traders holding leveraged short positions were liquidated as Bitcoin broke through resistance levels, creating additional market orders that accelerated the advance.
Justin d’Anethan, head of research at Arctic Digital, said changing expectations around US rates brought investors back to an asset that had underperformed for several months.
“In the case of Bitcoin, with pent-up demand and a multi-month underperformance, the trade wrote itself and algos along with sophisticated trading firms and asset managers piled back in.”
He said leveraged traders were caught on the wrong side of the breakout, producing what he described as the largest single-day short liquidation event. Profit-taking and selling from investors who had been waiting to exit could now produce a short-term pullback as the market absorbs the move.
Rising bond yields test the Treasury narrative
Jeff Mei, chief operating officer of crypto exchange BTSE, said enthusiasm surrounding the Treasury buybacks had cooled as bond yields began rising again.
“The size of these buyback operations is relatively small compared to the overall Treasuries market, which is over $30 trillion.”
Treasury buybacks are designed to support market liquidity by replacing older, less actively traded securities with newly issued debt. They do not amount to quantitative easing because the Treasury must finance its operations, while Federal Reserve asset purchases create central bank reserves.
Mei said the market would need to see whether the Treasury expands the program beyond the initial $4 billion maximum for each operation. Without an increase, the program’s effect on the broader bond market may remain limited.
D’Anethan viewed rates as the rally’s main driver, arguing that ETF flows, regulatory developments and large investor activity had failed to move Bitcoin substantially until expectations surrounding Treasury policy changed.
Chait said the macro shift also strengthened Bitcoin’s longer-term case as US government debt continued rising.
“As rising debt fuels concerns about potential currency debasement, its fixed supply and independence from any government or central bank become increasingly relevant.”
Bitcoin could reach $90,000 if US catalysts hold
Mei said Bitcoin could establish a range between $80,000 and $90,000 if the Treasury expands its buybacks and the CLARITY Act makes material progress by mid-September. A Federal Reserve rate cut or another form of monetary support could provide further upside, he added.
The scenario remains conditional because higher yields increase the relative appeal of government debt while raising borrowing costs across the financial system. A lack of new policy support or weakening ETF demand could therefore leave Bitcoin vulnerable after its rapid advance.
“Without further positive catalysts and sustained investor confidence, it’s also possible that Bitcoin could give back recent gains and fall again to the $70k mark,” Mei said.
The CLARITY Act provides another near-term US catalyst, although its passage is not guaranteed. Investors will be watching whether lawmakers move the bill forward and whether proposed rules translate into clearer conditions for exchanges, token issuers and institutional market participants.
Bitcoin charts point to a possible trend reversal
D’Anethan said bullish engulfing patterns had appeared on Bitcoin’s daily and weekly charts, while a similar monthly signal was developing but had not yet been confirmed by the candle’s close.
The patterns followed an extended period in which several momentum indicators remained in oversold territory. Their recovery may support a longer-term reversal, although the speed of the recent rally increases the possibility of consolidation or profit-taking.
Bitcoin’s immediate challenge is holding the area around $77,000 to $80,000 after reaching its three-month high. A sustained break above $80,000 would support Mei’s $80,000–$90,000 scenario, while a deeper retracement would bring $70,000 back into focus.
The mid-$60,000 range could become a broader accumulation area for long-term investors if Bitcoin fails to hold $70,000, according to d’Anethan. Near-term direction, however, will likely depend on bond yields, ETF demand and whether US policy developments produce concrete action after the initial rally.
Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.
Crypto World
Zcash price hits 8-year high before retreating below $820
Zcash price surged more than 70% over the past week to an eight-year high near $885 before retreating below $820, as Grayscale’s ETF conversion plan and an NU7 governance vote drew traders toward ZEC.
Summary
- ZEC reached its highest price since 2018 after breaking above the major $750 resistance level.
- Grayscale’s amended filing seeks to convert its Zcash Trust into an NYSE Arca-listed spot ETF.
- NU7 voting eligibility was determined by the shielded ZEC held during an August 24 network snapshot.
- Technical charts show support near $812 and $750, while $875 remains the immediate resistance.
Zcash price pulls back after reaching $885
According to data from crypto.news, Zcash (ZEC) price traded near $820 at the time of writing after reaching approximately $885 earlier in the session, according to exchange data. The privacy coin gained more than 70% during the past seven days and reached its highest level since 2018.
The rally accelerated after ZEC cleared $562.50, which marked the upper boundary of its previous trading range on the daily chart. Buyers then pushed through successive levels at $625, $687.50, and $750.
ZEC moved as much as 77% above its August consolidation area near $500 before sellers emerged around $875. Its daily candle subsequently fell about 4%, with the price slipping from an opening level near $854 to approximately $820.
The retreat has not yet erased the wider breakout. ZEC remains above the former $750 resistance identified by Rand Group, which said the level would need to become support for another bullish wave to develop.

The daily Bull Bear Power reading stood at 376.58, showing that buying pressure remained elevated despite the pullback. However, the size of the indicator’s recent increase also reflects how far and quickly ZEC has moved away from its earlier range.
Grayscale ETF filing adds an institutional catalyst
The price advance followed Grayscale Investments’ latest amended registration statement for the Grayscale Zcash Trust.
Grayscale is seeking to convert the existing trust into an exchange-traded product expected to trade on NYSE Arca under the ticker ZCSH. An accompanying filing said shares were anticipated to begin trading on or around August 25, subject to regulatory approvals.
The proposed structure would give eligible US investors exposure to ZEC through a regulated brokerage product without requiring them to hold the token directly. The registration statement does not mean the SEC has approved the conversion, and the planned listing date remains subject to completion of the regulatory process.
The filing also disclosed non-binding discussions involving DCG International Investments Ltd., a Digital Currency Group subsidiary. Under the potential transaction, the company could contribute about 200,000 ZEC to the trust in exchange for shares.
At the valuation cited when the amendment was reported, the proposed contribution was worth approximately $110 million. The filing describes the transaction as being under discussion, meaning it should not be treated as a completed ZEC purchase or confirmed capital allocation.
Grayscale reported that the trust had about $263.5 million in assets under management as of August 21. The proposed conversion would bring a privacy-focused crypto asset into the US spot ETF market, although Zcash continues to face regulatory and exchange-access risks linked to its privacy features.
NU7 vote follows the Ironwood snapshot
A separate Zcash-specific event may have added demand for shielded ZEC ahead of the rally. According to the NU7 vote announcement on the Zcash Community Forum, Valar Group and Project Tachyon scheduled an approximately 18-day coinholder vote beginning August 25.
Voting eligibility was based on spendable, shielded ZEC held in the Ironwood pool at mainnet block height 3,459,350. The snapshot was expected at approximately 19:00 UTC on August 24, after which holders could move their funds without losing their voting rights.
Voting is scheduled to close on September 14 at 19:00 UTC. The process requires at least 1 million eligible ZEC to meet its minimum participation threshold, while supported wallets allow holders to vote privately and publish only aggregated results.
The ballot will help determine the scope of the planned NU7 network upgrade, including possible changes to Zcash’s issuance schedule and block-production model. The snapshot may have encouraged some holders to transfer tokens into the Ironwood shielded pool, but available data does not establish how much of the price increase came directly from voting-related transfers.
Zcash price faces resistance at $875
The 4-hour chart shows that ZEC remains above the Bollinger Bands’ middle line near $803.35. Holding that level would keep the short-term breakout structure intact, while a sustained drop below it could expose the psychological $800 level.

ZEC’s 4-hour Relative Strength Index fell to 62.89 after previously moving into overbought territory. The indicator’s moving average remained higher at 72.14, suggesting that momentum has cooled as the price pulled back from its peak.
The first upside barrier sits between $870 and $875. The daily Murrey Math chart marks $875 as an extreme overshoot level, while the upper 4-hour Bollinger Band stands near $910.56.
A decisive close above $875 could allow buyers to test $910 and then $937.50. The latter is identified on the daily chart as a zone where the risk of a bearish reversal may increase.
On the downside, $812.50 is the first key level to monitor. ZEC was trading only slightly above that line at the time of the chart capture, making it the immediate test for buyers after the intraday reversal.
Below $812.50, the Bollinger midpoint near $803 and the former breakout level at $750 provide the next support areas. A fall below $750 would weaken the breakout and could open a deeper correction toward $696 and $687.50.
Liquidation clusters could increase ZEC volatility
CoinGlass’ 24-hour liquidation heatmap showed concentrated leveraged positions on both sides of ZEC’s market price.

The largest nearby upside liquidity cluster appeared around $872 to $874, matching the chart’s immediate resistance zone. Additional liquidation levels were visible around $882 to $886, which could attract price if ZEC regains upward momentum.
Below the market, a strong concentration appeared near $818 to $820, with further liquidity around $808 and $800. ZEC briefly moved toward these lower clusters during its late-session decline before rebounding above $817.
Liquidation heatmaps show where leveraged positions may face forced closure, but they do not predict which level the price will reach first. With ZEC trading between dense clusters near $800 and $875 after a weekly gain exceeding 70%, a sharp move in either direction could trigger another round of liquidations.
Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.
Crypto World
Elon Musk Praises New SpaceX and NVIDIA Partnership, Yet Both Stocks Fall
Elon Musk celebrated a new partnership between SpaceX and NVIDIA on Monday, confirming plans to launch an optimized Vera Rubin system into orbit as early as 2027.
Despite his enthusiasm, both companies’ stocks fell on the day of the announcement.
What Elon Musk Confirmed About the Deal
NVIDIA announced that SpaceXAI will deploy its new Vera CPU to power the next generation of agentic AI workloads, extending the chipmaker’s architecture from Earth-based data centers into orbital computing infrastructure. Musk responded directly on X.
He described Vera as the first CPU built for agents, saying it would accelerate the orchestration, code execution, and data processing that keep SpaceX’s AI agents acting fast.
“Our design is significantly simpler, lower cost, denser and lighter than a traditional rack,” Musk said on X.
Vera itself packs 88 NVIDIA-designed Olympus cores and up to 1.2 TB/s of memory bandwidth, claiming task completion times up to 1.8 times faster than comparable x86 processors.
SpaceXAI will pair the chip with NVIDIA’s broader Vera Rubin platform to scale infrastructure behind Grok toward gigawatt-level computing capacity.
Why Both Stocks Fell Anyway
NVIDIA shares fell 2.91% to $208.48, extending a rough week that left the stock down 5.95% over five sessions, according to TradingView data. The pullback comes just two days ahead of NVIDIA’s next earnings report, scheduled for August 26.
SpaceX stock declined as well. Shares of Space Exploration Technologies Corp, trading under the ticker SPCX since its June IPO, closed down 1.44% to $135, then slipped a further 0.22% in after-hours trading to $134.70.
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The joint decline suggests Musk’s endorsement was not enough to offset broader pressure on both names.
NVIDIA trades near its 52-week range amid ongoing concerns over memory costs and export uncertainty in China, while SpaceX shares remain well below their $135 IPO price and June peak of $225.64, still recovering from an all-time low of $104.83 hit on August 3.
Neither move appears large enough to be attributed directly to the Vera partnership alone, suggesting that NVIDIA’s upcoming earnings and SpaceX’s ongoing post-IPO volatility carried more weight with investors than Monday’s announcement or Musk’s public praise.
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Crypto World
Coinbase-Linked Advocacy Group Backs Candidates for US Midterms
Stand With Crypto, the pro-crypto advocacy group launched by Coinbase in 2023, has endorsed 32 candidates for the 2026 US House elections, positioning the slate as part of a broader campaign to influence federal digital-asset policy ahead of the midterms.
In a notice released on Monday, the organization said its endorsements target lawmakers it describes as “proven digital asset policy champions,” with an emphasis on competitive districts where it believes its influence can most directly affect outcomes. Stand With Crypto also framed crypto voters as an increasingly dependable voting bloc during close races.
Key takeaways
- Stand With Crypto is backing 32 House candidates for the 2026 midterms based on their digital asset policy positions.
- The group says it will focus resources on winnable, competitive races where its advocacy is most likely to sway results.
- Stand With Crypto executive director Mason Lynaugh argues crypto voters could “swing” congressional outcomes as candidates look beyond traditional constituencies.
- The endorsements arrive amid uncertainty over whether the Senate will advance the Digital Asset Market Clarity (CLARITY) Act before the 2026 election.
- Recent political momentum around CLARITY includes calls from President Donald Trump to pass a “fair version,” though questions about conflicts remain in public polling.
A targeted endorsement slate for the 2026 midterms
According to Stand With Crypto, the 32-candidate program is designed to increase pressure on Washington to adopt clearer rules for digital assets. The organization’s framing suggests that endorsements are not simply symbolic, but strategically selected to shape outcomes during the 2026 House elections.
Stand With Crypto executive director Mason Lynaugh said crypto voters are now “durable” and motivated enough to matter in national politics. In his remarks, he linked the group’s push to what he described as a policy “inflection point” for digital assets in Washington—arguing that candidates from both parties may miss an important constituency if they do not engage crypto voters.
The notice also referenced how the advocacy strategy has evolved. Earlier coverage from the period surrounding its debut program noted that Stand With Crypto launched its first wave of endorsements in March. That initial slate included six candidates—three Republicans and three Democrats—each of whom advanced through their primaries to compete in November.
Crypto’s growing role in election spending and lobbying
The political emphasis on digital assets is occurring alongside rising involvement from crypto-related political spending. During the 2024 election cycle, organizations and political action committees backed by crypto companies spent more than $170 million supporting candidates they believed would be favorable to the industry, many of whom won their races, according to the organization’s statement.
Stand With Crypto also claimed that more than 270 “pro-crypto” candidates were sent to Congress in 2025, positioning its endorsement program as part of a continuing effort to shape legislative outcomes on matters affecting the sector. One example highlighted in its notice was the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for US Stablecoins (GENIUS) Act.
For investors and market participants, the practical impact of these political efforts typically lies in how Congress responds to key regulatory questions—especially those tied to stablecoins and market structure. Even when bills move slowly, endorsement drives and campaign messaging can influence negotiations, committee priorities, and the willingness of lawmakers to take up complex rulemakings.
CLARITY’s timeline and the Senate’s decision window
Beyond election endorsements, one of the most immediate legislative uncertainties involves the fate of the Digital Asset Market Clarity (CLARITY) Act. The House passed CLARITY in July 2025 with bipartisan support, but the Senate has not advanced it in the same way. The remaining hurdles have included debate tied to ethics considerations as well as questions associated with tokenization and stablecoin rewards.
According to reporting referenced in the notice, CLARITY is expected to face a cloture motion once the Senate returns from recess on Sept. 15. However, the Senate’s calendar appears tight: the chamber would have only 14 days in session before it breaks ahead of the November election.
After the midterms, the Senate is expected to have another 22 days before 2027—creating a later opportunity for senators to return the bill to the House if additional steps are needed. If that pathway holds, CLARITY could still progress to the president for approval, but the timing remains uncertain as the election approaches.
That sequencing matters. For market participants, “delay risk” can translate into continued regulatory ambiguity—especially in areas where exchanges, custody providers, and other intermediaries want clearer rules on how digital assets fit into existing securities and commodities frameworks.
Trump’s call for a “fair version” and questions over conflicts
In the lead-up to the Senate’s next procedural phase, political attention has also focused on statements by President Donald Trump. Stand With Crypto’s broader context included references to Trump urging the Senate to pass a “fair version” of CLARITY alongside crypto industry executives.
Yet, concerns about conflicts can complicate the political environment around the bill. The notice pointed to a poll finding that a majority of Americans said Trump’s crypto investments were not “appropriate.” While public opinion does not determine legislative outcomes by itself, it can influence how senators weigh ethics arguments and how lawmakers respond to pressure from both supporters and critics.
For readers watching CLARITY, the key question remains whether the Senate can align its procedural path—including any amendments or debate around tokenization and stablecoin rewards—within the brief pre-election window. If senators do not move quickly, the legislative timetable may effectively shift the decision toward the post-midterm period.
As the 2026 campaign cycle ramps up, Stand With Crypto’s endorsements will likely serve as one signal of where the pro-crypto policy push is concentrating its political leverage. The most important thing to watch next is whether the Senate can progress CLARITY before the election, or whether the bill’s fate is deferred into the longer 2027 timeline—leaving market participants to navigate continued regulatory uncertainty.
Crypto World
ECB Defends Digital Euro Privacy Amid Global CBDC Debate
The European Central Bank (ECB) is defending the privacy design of its planned central bank digital currency (CBDC).
In an Aug. 10 interview published Monday, ECB Executive Board member Piero Cipollone said the digital euro’s design would limit the amount of transaction information available to the central bank.
“The Eurosystem would not be able to identify the users making or receiving payments,” Cipollone said.
Cipollone said only banks involved in transactions would be able to identify users, including for anti-money laundering purposes, while the Eurosystem would not be able to directly link specific individuals to digital euro payments. Meanwhile, offline digital euro transactions would allow payment details to be available only to the payer and payee.
Despite the ECB’s efforts to quell privacy concerns over the planned digital euro, lawmakers, privacy advocates and crypto community members have warned that government-issued digital currencies could expand financial surveillance.
In the US, President Donald Trump prohibited federal agencies from developing or promoting a CBDC in January 2025, citing risks to financial stability, individual privacy and US sovereignty. House lawmakers have separately advanced the Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act, which seeks to prohibit the Federal Reserve from issuing a CBDC.
Related: ECB picks 36 payment providers to test digital euro ahead of 2027 pilot
Digital euro pitched as payment sovereignty tool
Beyond privacy, the ECB has presented the digital euro as part of Europe’s effort to strengthen its payments infrastructure and reduce reliance on non-European payment providers.
In an April public lecture held in Latvia, Cipollone said that Europe’s reliance on non-European payment providers creates a strategic vulnerability. He said two-thirds of euro-area card transactions are governed by non-European companies, and that the digital euro could reduce that dependence and provide European-controlled payment infrastructure.
The European Parliament’s Economic and Monetary Affairs Committee backed its position on the digital euro legislation in June, while lawmakers later cleared the proposal for negotiations with the Council in July.
The ECB has said a digital euro could be issued as early as 2029, provided the necessary legislation is adopted and the project clears its remaining technical and operational stages.
Magazine: The digital euro: Surveillance money, or a better alternative to cash?
Crypto World
Trump Media CEO Defends Truth API: Will Scrutiny Slow Sign-Ups?
Trump Media’s interim CEO, Kevin McGurn, defended the company’s Truth API service on CNBC Monday. He said customer sign-ups have grown to the mid-teens since the product launched on August 1.
Truth API sells high-frequency trading firms early access to President Donald Trump’s Truth Social posts. Critics say the arrangement lets paying customers trade on the president’s statements before the public sees them.
Sign-Ups Grow For Trump’s Signals
McGurn told CNBC’s Squawk Box that demand for the service came directly from the market, not from the company itself. He compared it to APIs long used by social platforms to feed trading firms, news outlets, and prediction markets.
“We’re getting into the mid-teens now, and we’re climbing.”
Kevin McGurn, CNBC
That is up from the more than 10 customer agreements McGurn cited on Trump Media’s earnings call two weeks earlier. Truth API costs up to $100,000 per month.
Congress Looking Into It
The service has drawn scrutiny from Congress and faces at least one lawsuit alleging it is unconstitutional. One federal complaint argues Trump cannot sell early access to posts the public effectively owns.
Trump holds his stake in Trump Media through a revocable trust. The structure lets him retain ownership without daily control. The company has already earned over $1 million from the service since its launch.
McGurn said Truth API also plans to expand into retail trading platforms, large language models, and prediction markets.
Whether the growing customer base outpaces the legal and political pressure remains the open question heading into the midterms.
The post Trump Media CEO Defends Truth API: Will Scrutiny Slow Sign-Ups? appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
A $30 Billion AI Fund Implodes, Now the SEC Is Investigating Wall Street’s Role
The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has sent subpoenas to major Wall Street banks over their dealings with Situational Awareness, the artificial intelligence (AI) hedge fund that nearly collapsed last month.
Three people briefed on the outreach described the requests to the New York Times. Regulators want trade timing data and lender communications. The fund has not been accused of wrongdoing.
SEC Investigation Targets the Leverage Paper Trail
The subpoenas went to banks that cleared the fund’s trades and financed its positions. Bank of America, Citi, Goldman Sachs, and JPMorgan Chase ranked among its largest counterparties, according to a regulatory filing.
Investigators asked for the timing of specific trades. They also requested messages the banks exchanged with the fund about borrowed money, and told them to preserve every record tied to the San Francisco firm.
All four banks declined to comment. So did the SEC. A Situational Awareness spokesman said scrutiny of this kind was predictable.
“It is to be expected that regulators would closely examine any funds that are high profile, produce significant returns or have particularly dramatic drawdowns,” Situational Awareness said in a statement.
The timing lands as bank executives flag hidden borrowing across markets. JPMorgan chief Jamie Dimon warned this month that margin debt hit records.
A $30 Billion Book That Unwound in Days
At its peak the fund ran more than $30 billion and borrowed tens of billions more. Leopold Aschenbrenner, a 24-year-old former OpenAI researcher, founded it roughly two years ago.
Filings show the strategy turned far more aggressive before it broke. Protective put options worth $8.5 billion in March had largely disappeared by June 30, replaced by $12.5 billion in outright long positions.
AI names then dipped in late July while the traditional tech stocks the fund had shorted climbed. Margin calls followed, the portfolio fell about 67%, and Citadel bought the public book at a roughly 10% discount.
Bitcoin Miners Were Caught in the Middle
Crypto investors absorbed part of that unwind without knowing it. Mining stocks had grown to a quarter of the book, reaching $1.99 billion in the final 13F filing.
Core Scientific, Riot Platforms, and IREN led those positions. Ken Griffin’s firm has since cleared the miner overhang through nearly 100 block trades.
Any SEC investigation at this stage may never produce a case. The documents it gathers, however, could show how long the banks funded one concentrated AI bet before withdrawing credit.
Situational Awareness still holds a stake in Anthropic, which is weighing a public listing. That position now stands as the clearest measure of what survived July.
The post A $30 Billion AI Fund Implodes, Now the SEC Is Investigating Wall Street’s Role appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Bitcoin Tests Bear-Market Trend but $80,000 Resistance Still In Place
Bitcoin (BTC) starts the final week of August near its highest levels since mid-May as its bear-market recovery reaches a critical stage.
Key points:
- Bitcoin sees a weekly candle close above its 50-week exponential moving average (EMA) for the first time since November 2025.
- Amid its best August gains in almost a decade, BTC/USD returns investor cohorts to net profit, while new money enters at $73,000.
- Fed chair Kevin Warsh is in the spotlight ahead of the Jackson Hole symposium.
- US PCE data will be released on Wednesday as markets continue to respond to last week’s US Treasury debt buyback.
- Investor capital returns to exchange-traded products as Bitcoin ETF netflows hit $1.9 billion last week.
Bitcoin scrapes weekly close above key resistance
Bitcoin reached $79,550 last week, its highest levels since early May as a five-day rally brought gains of up to 27%. BTC/USD closed last week at $77,727 on Bitstamp, per data from TradingView. This signified a reclaim of its 50-week exponential moving average (EMA), a key resistance trendline that currently sits at $77,752.
The 50-week EMA is commonly brought into focus by traders during Bitcoin bear markets. The last candle close above this crucial line of resistance was in early November 2025. In prior bear markets, BTC has retested the 50-week EMA before capitulating into its ultimate macro lows. This has meant some traders remain unconvinced by last week’s strong price action.

BTC/USD one-week chart with 50 EMA. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
Prior to the close, crypto trader and analyst Rekt Capital warned that not only the 50-week EMA but the entire area around $80,000 figured as resistance for bulls to overcome, while price so far has topped out lower.
“Each Bear Market Relief Rally thus far would retrace sharply in the week following a strong breakout rally,” he wrote in ongoing X analysis.
“Next weeks will be crucial. But maybe even already next week we’ll know whether Bitcoin can sustain these highs or not.”
An accompanying chart showed what Rekt Capital subsequently called a series of macro lower highs, potentially reinforcing the bear market despite recent strength.

BTC/USD one-week chart. Source: Rekt Capital on X.com
Earlier, Cointelegraph reported on traders’ expectations of 2026 playing out in a similar manner to previous bear markets, with 2022 showing the most similarities in terms of timing.
“If history repeats, Bitcoin will try to get as close as possible to ~$93,000 in 2027. But first, Bitcoin needs to fully confirm its Bear Market bottom and fully confirm a break of the Macro Downtrend,” Rekt Capital added.
BTC price on track for best August in nine years
Bitcoin consolidated over the weekend, with price circling $77,500 at the time of writing, still up 22% month-to-date in its best performing August since 2017, per data from CoinGlass.

BTC/USD monthly returns (screenshot). Source: CoinGlass
The run-up saw the weekly candle reclaim several key price points, including the aggregate cost basis for short-term holders (STHs) — wallets holding a UTXO for less than 155 days — at $68,700. Onchain analytics platform CryptoQuant thus calculated STH net profitability at just over 11%.
“At the same time, Long-Term Holder profitability moved from approximately breakeven to +18.5%, while New Money profitability rose from -1.4% to +12.7%,” it reported on Monday.
Examining the cost basis of UTXOs as a whole, CryptoQuant noted that so-called “new money” now has a breakeven point at $73,000, above both the STH and LTH cost basis, leaving less margin for downside protection should BTC/USD reverse to attempt to find new support lower.
“That makes the 68K-73K region the key area to watch. Holding above it would suggest that the profitability reset is becoming structurally durable. Losing it would quickly push a large portion of recent buyers back into loss,” it added.

Bitcoin UTXO distribution by cohort age (screenshot). Source: CryptoQuant
Fed’s Warsh faces the music at Jackson Hole
All eyes are on the Federal Reserve and chair Kevin Warsh this week as the annual Jackson Hole economic symposium gets underway.
The event, which will feature central bankers from over 70 countries, sees Warsh’s first keynote speech as Fed chair and his first public speaking appearance since the press conference that followed the July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting.
Warsh has maintained a tight-lipped stance on financial policy, especially when it comes to future interest-rate changes — a topic to which crypto and risk assets are sensitive. Recent inflation data has supported a softening of policy going forward, but the ever-present threat of oil-price spikes from the US-Iran war has kept markets wary.
The latest data from CME Group’s FedWatch Tool shows 63.1% odds of rates remaining at their current 3.50-3.75% level after the September FOMC meeting.

Fed target-rate probability comparison for September FOMC meeting (screenshot). Source: CME Group
Speaking to CNBC last week, Thierry Wizman, global foreign exchange and rates strategist at Macquarie Group, warned that Warsh now had to juggle the influence of the Treasury with his plan to reduce the market involvement of the Fed.
Wizman told the network that “were Warsh to signal that he would stay ‘dovish’ indefinitely, it could be self-defeating for him and the Treasury, since inflation breakevens would rise further, perhaps undoing the stability in the nominal long-term yields that [Treasury Secretary] Scott Bessent is trying to achieve.”
A survey of fund managers by Bank of America, quoted by Barchart and others, produced 72% odds of no rate hikes occurring before the US midterm elections in November. On policy, consensus coalesced around a “no landing” scenario over the next 12 months — where the economy avoids recession amid strong growth and low unemployment.
Yield curve control talk returns after Treasury debt move
Beyond geopolitics, a move by the US Treasury last week to at least double the size of its debt buyback purchases to $4 billion per operation was the key market mover last week. The announcement sparked a Bitcoin short squeeze that went on to wipe out a record $3.1 billion of crypto short positions over two days.
The extent of the reaction sparked suggestions that Bitcoin was once again anticipating global liquidity-regime changes amid the rising cost of government debt financing worldwide.
“The intervention ignited a move in assets sensitive to the outlook for liquidity, including gold and Bitcoin. That hints at market concerns over currency debasement should measures like quantitative easing make a return to contain interest rates,” trading resource Mosaic Asset Company wrote in the latest edition of its regular newsletter, The Market Mosaic.
Mosaic argued that the intervention represented not a mere liquidity move but a form of yield curve control (YCC), with short-term bonds issued to cover the cost of the added buybacks. Crypto commentators have long expected YCC to be all but guaranteed to prevent government bankruptcy.
“YCC is the end game. When it is finally implicitly or explicitly declared, it’s game over for the value of the USD vs. gold and more importantly Bitcoin,” Arthur Hayes, former CEO of crypto exchange BitMEX, forecast in a 2022 blog post.
“YCC is how we get to $1 million Bitcoin and $10,000 to $20,000 gold.”
The day prior to Warsh’s appearance, meanwhile, brings a crucial piece of US macroeconomic data that could skew the mood for markets.
The July print of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, due for release on Wednesday, is known to be the Fed’s “preferred” inflation gauge. In June it saw its first month-on-month drop since 2020.
Consensus around the upcoming print is for a 0.1% monthly increase, with the year-on-year increase cooling further to 3.6% versus 3.7% in June.

PCE index one-month % change (screenshot). Source: US Bureau of Economic Analysis
Bitcoin ETFs see strongest inflows in 10 months
Crypto fund inflows remain highly reactive to price volatility, with last week’s inflows to the US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) breaking records.
Related: Bitcoin has ‘largely purged’ froth that preceded 50% drop from $126K: BlackRock
Data from UK-based investment company Farside Investors shows the ETF cohort taking in $1.9 billion over the week’s five trading days — the strongest weekly tally since October 2025, when Bitcoin hit its latest all-time highs of $126,200.
Thursday saw particularly strong performance as BTC/USD extended gains beyond $70,000, with BlackRock’s ETF, the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), seeing net inflows of more than half a billion dollars.
“We saw net inflows on every trading day last week, which suggests renewed investor interest in Bitcoin,” Gracie Lin, chief executive officer of crypto exchange OKX SG, told Bloomberg.
“The question now is whether that momentum will hold. After such a strong move in Bitcoin, some profit-taking wouldn’t be surprising.”

US spot Bitcoin ETF netflows (screenshot). Source: Farside Investors
The results heavily contrast with activity just two months ago, with June seeing unprecedented net outflows of more than $4.5 billion. At the end of last week, total August inflows stood at $2.38 billion, a new year-to-date record.
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