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World Liberty Financial Issues USD1 Native on Canton Network

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World Liberty Financial has rolled out its USD1 stablecoin in native form on the Canton Network, positioning the token to act as the “cash leg” inside transactions that also involve tokenized real-world assets (RWAs). The move targets institutional workflows where settlement often needs to occur alongside issuance, redemption, and collateralization rather than through separate payment rails.

In a Tuesday announcement, the project said institutions can use USD1 on Canton for settlement across activities such as derivatives collateral, institutional lending, and asset issuance and redemptions. The company emphasized that native issuance is designed to let USD1 clear alongside tokenized assets within the same transaction while leveraging Canton’s privacy and permissioning controls.

Key takeaways

  • USD1 is now available natively on the Canton Network, aiming to streamline settlement for tokenized real-world assets.
  • The stablecoin is positioned for institutional use cases including derivatives collateral, lending, and asset issuance/redemptions.
  • World Liberty says native issuance enables USD1 to settle in the same transaction as tokenized assets while using Canton’s privacy/permissioning features.
  • USD1’s circulating market capitalization is about $4.05 billion, making it the sixth-largest stablecoin per DeFiLlama.
  • USD1 is managed by BitGo Bank & Trust for reserve oversight and for minting/redemption processing.

Why native settlement matters for tokenized RWAs

The practical value of launching a stablecoin “natively” on a blockchain geared toward institutional finance is that it reduces the friction between tokenized assets and payment settlement. Rather than treating cash settlement as an off-chain or external step, native issuance supports the idea that stablecoin flows can occur in parallel with asset transfers, issuance events, or contract-based collateral movements.

World Liberty’s framing is that USD1 can be used for settlement where tokenized RWAs are involved—specifically as a cash leg in transactions spanning derivatives collateral and institutional lending. That matters because many tokenization efforts hinge not only on representing assets on-chain, but also on how reliably and efficiently the corresponding payment leg can be executed under the constraints institutions require.

The company also pointed to Canton’s privacy and permissioning controls. For investors and institutions evaluating tokenized asset infrastructure, these features are often central: they can determine what data is visible, who can interact with what components, and how compliance-oriented workflows are structured within blockchain systems.

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USD1’s current scale and who operates it

USD1 has a market capitalization of about $4.05 billion, according to DeFiLlama stablecoin data, where the token is described as the sixth-largest stablecoin by market cap. In terms of issuer and operations, World Liberty said USD1 is issued by BitGo Bank & Trust, which manages reserves and handles the minting and redemption process.

That operational separation—stablecoin reserve management and issuance processing handled by a named bank entity, while on-chain usage is enabled through a network integration—underscores how the stablecoin business model often blends traditional treasury controls with blockchain distribution. For participants on Canton, this structure can affect assumptions around redemption processes and reserve oversight, especially when stablecoin settlement is intended for regulated or institutional settings.

Canton’s institutional focus and the network’s tokenized-asset activity

Canton positions itself as a public, permissionless blockchain designed for institutional finance, and the company says it handles large volumes of tokenized asset movement. In the update accompanying the USD1 integration, Canton claimed it processes and issues more than $9 trillion in tokenized assets each month. It also cited more than $350 billion in onchain US Treasurys moving across the network daily.

Those figures are not direct guarantees about future USD1 usage on Canton, but they do help contextualize why a stablecoin integration is strategically meaningful. If tokenized securities and RWA instruments are already being transferred with significant frequency, the settlement layer becomes a key bottleneck—or a competitive advantage—depending on how efficiently it can match payment timing and compliance requirements.

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By placing USD1 into that environment, World Liberty appears to be aiming for deeper integration with institutional token flows rather than limiting USD1 to a standalone stablecoin role within broader DeFi markets.

Integration timing: part of a wider push on Canton

The USD1 launch follows another expansion announcement for Canton reported last week. According to the earlier coverage, Digital Asset and former US House Speaker Paul Ryan’s American Idea Foundation unveiled plans to pilot a Canton-based system for distributing state-administered benefits across three US states, with an anticipated start in 2027.

While the USD1 initiative and the benefits distribution pilot are clearly different in purpose, they both point to Canton’s broader ambition: attracting enterprise-grade use cases and institutional participants. For observers, the sequence is important because it suggests the network is actively positioning its rails for multiple categories of on-chain activity—ranging from financial settlements involving tokenized assets to non-traditional public distribution workflows.

What to watch next for USD1 on Canton

With USD1 now live natively on Canton, the key question for market participants is how quickly institutions move from testing to sustained on-chain settlement for tokenized asset transactions. Watch for evidence of USD1 being used in the specific workflows World Liberty highlighted—especially collateral and issuance/redemption flows—as that will indicate whether native settlement delivers measurable operational advantages in real transactions.

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Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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World Liberty launches $4B USD1 on Canton Network

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World Liberty hearing turns tense as OCC chief rejects pressure claim

World Liberty Financial has launched its $4.05 billion USD1 stablecoin natively on the Canton Network, giving institutions a dollar-based settlement asset for tokenized securities and other real-world assets.

Summary

  • USD1 can settle tokenized assets through Canton’s privacy and permissioning controls.
  • Institutions can use the stablecoin for collateral, lending, issuance, redemptions, and cross-border payments.
  • DeFiLlama ranks the $4.05 billion USD1 as the sixth-largest stablecoin.
  • World Liberty’s proposed U.S. trust bank still requires final OCC authorization.

USD1 gives Canton transactions a cash settlement option

World Liberty Financial said in an Aug. 25 announcement that USD1 is now issued directly on Canton rather than arriving through a bridge from another blockchain.

Native issuance lets an institution exchange USD1 and a tokenized asset as parts of the same transaction. According to the announcement, Canton’s system synchronizes both transfers so the cash and asset can settle together, reducing the risk that one side completes while the other remains outstanding.

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Canton applies privacy and permission controls to transactions conducted on its public blockchain. The network says the system allows participating firms to control which parties can view transaction information while supporting the compliance requirements used in regulated financial markets.

Through the integration, World Liberty said institutions can use USD1 to provide collateral for derivatives and institutional loans. The stablecoin can also fund asset issuances, process redemptions, support financing arrangements and settle cross-border payments around the clock.

Tokenized government debt and other financial assets often require a corresponding cash payment when they change hands. World Liberty said adding USD1 gives Canton users a fully reserved dollar stablecoin for that cash side without moving the transaction through a separate payment network.

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According to World Liberty, USD1 is redeemable for U.S. dollars on a one-to-one basis. The company says its reserves include dollar deposits, U.S. government money market funds, and other cash equivalents, with reserve reports published monthly.

USD1 enters a network built around institutional assets

Canton said more than $9 trillion in tokenized assets are issued or processed through its network each month. The company also reported that more than $350 billion in onchain U.S. Treasurys moves across Canton daily, although the figures represent activity rather than the total value locked on the blockchain.

Government debt on Canton is used as collateral, repurchase agreements, and treasury-management transactions, according to the USD1 announcement. In such trades, delays between the transfer of an asset and the related payment can tie up capital or require financial institutions to retain additional liquidity.

Canton’s synchronized settlement design allows the asset and payment to move at the same time. Native USD1 can now serve as the dollar-denominated payment in those transactions while remaining subject to the network’s privacy settings.

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An earlier institutional transaction showed how the structure works with another stablecoin. Tradeweb said in July that Franklin Templeton transferred a tokenized U.S. Treasury security to Virtu Financial in exchange for USDCx, with Canton synchronizing the two sides in real time.

World Liberty and Canton initially disclosed plans for the USD1 deployment in December 2025, when the stablecoin had a market capitalization of more than $2 billion. At the time, the companies identified intraday repo and digital bond settlement among the intended uses.

USD1’s market value has since reached approximately $4.05 billion, according to DeFiLlama stablecoin data, placing it sixth among dollar-pegged tokens by capitalization. Stablecoin supply can increase when authorized parties mint new tokens and decline when holders redeem them.

In March 2025, World Liberty introduced USD1 as a dollar-backed token for institutional and retail transactions. BitGo Bank & Trust currently issues the stablecoin, manages its reserve assets, and processes minting and redemption requests on the company’s behalf.

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World Liberty’s USD1 growth faces U.S. scrutiny

The Canton deployment adds another institutional use for USD1 one day after crypto.news reported its $4 billion growth. World Liberty CEO Zach Witkoff attributed the increase to institutional demand and rejected claims that the company’s relationship with the Trump family accounted for the stablecoin’s adoption.

A $2 billion transaction has formed a large part of USD1’s early use. In May 2025, Abu Dhabi-backed investment firm MGX used the stablecoin to settle its investment in Binance after initially announcing the deal without identifying the settlement asset.

World Liberty’s connections to President Donald Trump and the involvement of a foreign state-backed investor have drawn questions from Democratic lawmakers. Public disclosures cited in previous coverage show that an entity affiliated with Trump and members of his family holds an interest in World Liberty’s parent company.

For U.S. institutions considering USD1, federal oversight of its issuer remains an important procedural issue. The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency granted World Liberty Trust Company conditional charter approval on Aug. 14, allowing the company to proceed with organizing a national trust bank.

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The OCC’s decision does not allow the proposed bank to begin operating. According to the regulator’s approval, World Liberty Trust must maintain at least $20 million in eligible capital, appoint a qualified internal audit manager, and complete other preopening requirements before receiving final authorization.

If the OCC issues that authorization, the trust company plans to take over USD1 issuance, redemption, and reserve management from BitGo. The proposed institution would also provide digital-asset custody and stablecoin conversion services to institutional clients under federal supervision.

Unlike a conventional commercial bank, World Liberty Trust would not accept ordinary deposits or make standard loans. National trust banks generally concentrate on custody, fiduciary, settlement, and asset-servicing activities, and the OCC can change, suspend, or withdraw its preliminary approval before the institution opens.

Canton is also preparing a U.S. benefits pilot

Digital Asset, the company behind Canton, has also expanded the network’s proposed role in U.S. public-sector payments. In August, Digital Asset and former House Speaker Paul Ryan’s American Idea Foundation unveiled a benefits pilot scheduled to begin in three states during the first quarter of 2027, subject to federal approval.

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Called Resources for Independence, Stability, and Employment, the program would combine separate benefits into monthly or twice-monthly payments. The organizations said Canton would apply rules covering approved spending categories while restricting access to recipients’ sensitive information.

Program administrators would also be able to adjust payments automatically when a recipient’s reported income changes, according to the announcement. Digital Asset and the foundation have not identified the participating states or disclosed which benefit programs will enter the pilot.

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India Plans Tokenized Bond Pilot With Wholesale CBDC

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India Plans Tokenized Bond Pilot With Wholesale CBDC

India reportedly plans to launch its first tokenized corporate bonds in September as part of a pilot involving blockchain-based transactions settled using a central bank digital currency (CBDC).

REC Limited, a state-controlled Indian power infrastructure finance company, plans to issue less than 5 billion Indian rupees ($57 million) in tokenized bonds, Reuters reported on Monday, citing three sources with direct knowledge of the plans. The pilot will initially be open only to a select group of investors and could be unveiled at an annual financial technology event in Mumbai in September.

“India’s central bank digital currency will be used to buy the tokenized bonds,” Reuters reported, citing one of the sources. Investors will need two digital accounts to participate: a wholesale CBDC wallet provided by a bank and a new electronic securities wallet.

Indian securities depositories are developing the new wallet, called DEMAT 2.0, which will record bond holdings using distributed ledger technology. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI), the country’s central bank, and the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI), its markets regulator, are working together on the initiative, according to Reuters.

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The bonds will have an initial three-month lockup period and exchanges are expected to develop a secondary market for the tokenized bonds by December.

Cointelegraph contacted the RBI, SEBI and REC for comment on the reported plans but had not received responses at the time of publication.

Related: StanChart, HSBC execute first live transaction on Swift blockchain ledger

Cointelegraph is committed to independent, transparent journalism. This news article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph’s Editorial Policy and aims to provide accurate and timely information. Readers are encouraged to verify information independently.

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Chainalysis-Led Child Abuse Probe Flags 7,700 Accounts

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Chainalysis-Led Child Abuse Probe Flags 7,700 Accounts

Blockchain analytics firm Chainalysis said a global operation it led identified more than 7,700 suspect accounts linked to child sexual abuse material (CSAM).

According to a Tuesday press release shared with Cointelegraph, Operation Lighthouse investigated 29,120 crypto addresses and digital identifiers connected to over 100 CSAM platforms, forums and distribution networks across the surface and dark web.

The operation also generated 14,300 investigative leads across 11 crypto exchanges and payment services and flagged suspects across 125 countries. Among the suspects identified were 16 registered sex offenders.

Tom McLouth, senior intelligence analyst at Chainalysis, said the suspect pool also included military personnel, law enforcement officers, medical professionals and educators, including individuals with direct access to children.

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“Behind every lead is a real child at risk,” he told Cointelegraph.

The multi-day sprint was hosted at the National Cyber-Forensics and Training Alliance in New York after months of data enrichment. It brought together law enforcement agencies, private-sector partners and specialized nonprofits, including Europol, the UK National Crime Agency, Binance, Coinbase, Block and the Internet Watch Foundation.

Participants used onchain intelligence to develop leads for follow-on legal processes and case development. Chainalysis said the results were expected to lead to arrests, prosecutions and account-level disruption.

Crypto firms expand efforts against child exploitation 

Operation Lighthouse follows other efforts by crypto firms and child-protection organizations to expand intelligence sharing around crypto activity linked to exploitation. Europol said joint action was essential because perpetrators exploit financial services, payment systems and internet platforms. 

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Binance, one of the exchanges participating in Lighthouse, announced a partnership with nonprofit Stop The Traffik in July. The exchange said the organization would provide intelligence, training and insights intended to improve its detection and investigation of crypto activity linked to human trafficking and child exploitation.

Related: Chainalysis, South Korean police link up to fight crypto crime

Blockchain tracing has previously contributed to enforcement actions in CSAM investigations. In 2019, the US Justice Department announced the takedown of Welcome to Video, described at the time as the largest darknet child sexual exploitation market by volume of content. 

Authorities traced Bitcoin payments to locate the website server in South Korea and identify its administrator. The investigation led to 337 users being arrested and charged, the rescue of at least 23 victims and the seizure of about eight terabytes of material. 

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Chainalysis said its software was used to analyze the transactions and map the site’s users and contributors. 

Magazine: MiCA cracks down on USDT in Europe… but no one else cares

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Hugging Face Hack Exposes The Open-Weight AI Cybersecurity Paradox

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Hugging Face Hack Exposes The Open-Weight AI Cybersecurity Paradox

“AI will probably most likely lead to the end of the world, but in the meantime, there’ll be great companies,” said OpenAI CEO Sam Altman back in 2015, roughly six months before OpenAI was founded.

Seven years later, Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei struck a similarly cautious note:

“I think we shouldn’t be racing ahead or trying to build models that are way bigger than other orgs are building them.”

Yet, both of those companies now sit at the forefront of that race. In July, we got a real-world glimpse of AI models going rogue during internal testing of GPT-5.6 Sol and an unreleased research model by OpenAI. Multiple AI agents escaped a restricted test environment to the wider internet and hacked the AI-centric GitHub equivalent Hugging Face in an attempt to cheat on the test.

An AI agent is a system that independently observes, decides and takes actions with dedicated tools to achieve a specified goal in autonomy. The worrying incident suggests the technology has begun to behave in unpredictable ways, and that its goals are misaligned with our own.

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It also raises concerns about the safety guardrails on commercial American models. While the guardrails aren’t foolproof at preventing adversarial usage they did prevent Hugging Face from defending itself by using leading US models. The company was forced to turn instead to weaker, open weight AI model by Z.Ai to combat the rogue AIs.

Cheating on the test

The agents have begun to collude among themselves too. A few weeks after testing of their capabilities began in early May, the agents exploited OpenAI’s instance of the software repository manager Artifactory and left notes on how to do so for future agents — effectively creating a message board to share discovered vulnerabilities.

The newfound unfettered internet access was then used by agents to attack Hugging Face across approximately 17,600 incidents before the company cut off unauthorized access on July 13.

The intrusion affected Hugging Face’s dataset-processing infrastructure, production environment, internal networks, service and cloud credentials, an operational MongoDB database and a limited set of internal source-code repositories. Confirmed customer-data access was limited to five datasets apparently related to the ExploitGym/CyberGym benchmark and some operational metadata.

July 2026 HuggingFace incident timeline
July 2026 HuggingFace incident timeline

Visualization of the July 2026 incident. Source: HuggingFace

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When disclosing the intrusion on July 16, Hugging Face recognized — despite not knowing who the perpetrator was yet — that it “was different from anything we had handled before in one important way.” They had already recognized what made it different, too:

“It was driven, end to end, by an autonomous AI agent system – and we detected and dissected it largely with AI of our own.”

The importance of open-weight AI

Hugging Face’s investigation exposed what it calls the “asymmetry” problem arising from the limitations imposed on closed AI model applications by top providers such as OpenAI and Anthropic. When the company started analyzing the logs of the incident — including large volumes of real attack commands — it triggered safety constraints meant to prevent the bad guys from using AI to devise cyberattacks. Instead, the guardrails prevented the company from leveraging those AIs for defense.

Hugging Face resorted to using the Chinese open-weight model zai-org/GLM-5.2 running on the company’s own infrastructure, under its own control and with no external limitations. 

While the two terms are often used interchangeably, open-source and open-weight models are two different things. Open-weight AI models make their trained parameters (the actual “AI brain”) publicly available, while open-source AI models also provide the source code — and ideally the training methods and other components — needed to inspect, modify, and reproduce the system. 

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HuggingFace’s post explains that running open-weight models on its own hardware “had a second benefit: no attacker data, and none of the credentials it referenced, left our environment.” This points to a major asymmetry between the defenders and attackers in such instances:

“This experience points to a gap worth planning for. We do not know which model powered the attacker’s agents, whether a jailbroken hosted model or an unrestricted open-weight one; either way, the attacker was bound by no usage policy, while our own forensic work was blocked by the guardrails of the hosted models we first tried.”

Open source AI divide

There is a considerable divide between those who believe that developing AI in the open is the best approach, and those who insist the technology underpinning the frontier models needs to remain a closely guarded secret.

Related: OpenAI says AI models escaped containment to hack Hugging Face

Representatives from top US AI labs claim that powerful open-weight large models are dangerous. Demis Hassabis, the CEO of Google’s AI lab DeepMind, criticized OpenAI for releasing their work as open source back in 2016, when the company still lived up to its name:

“There are many good arguments as to why the approach you are taking is actually very dangerous and in fact may increase the risk to the world.”

OpenAI stopped releasing its flagship model weights with the still unreleased GPT-3 in 2020. The company’s co-founder and former chief scientist Ilya Sutskever said back in 2023 that “it just does not make sense to open-source” such models and that it “is a bad idea.” 

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“As we get closer to building AI, it will make sense to start being less open.”

Open-weight models are next to impossible to control, especially when it comes to the purpose for which they are used. The safeguards that come built-in with those models can, and routinely are, removed through a process known as abliteration.

Safeguards are a double-edged sword

OpenAI’s June 2026 federal policy blueprint proposes mandatory AI model evaluation and other rules that are formally deployment-neutral, but as a practical matter, it would subject a frontier open-weight release to pre-release government examination.

Anthropic has taken a slightly different tack and lobbied for tighter export controls on advanced AI chips and enforcement against efforts to extract or reproduce US models. The company’s April 2025 submission recommended strengthening the US AI Diffusion Rule and lowering thresholds for unlicensed access to large computing clusters.

Officially, neither company has directly moved against open-weight models, but a July New York Times report cited five people close to the discussions claiming that OpenAI and Anthropic urged Washington to restrict powerful open Chinese models.

The debate boils down to an argument over whether the dangers of centralized control are preferable to the dangers of a free for all — particularly given the company in question has proven itself ineffective at containing the technology that it developed. 

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Hugging Face’s need to defend itself with an open-source model shows the dangers of vesting too much power in any one entity. The company pointed out the implications:

“The attacker was bound by no usage policy, while our own forensic work was blocked by the guardrails of the hosted models we first tried. The practical lesson for defenders: have a capable model you can run on your own infrastructure vetted and ready before an incident, both to avoid guardrail lockout and to keep attacker data and credentials from leaving your environment.”

Restricting access to powerful models may reduce the number of capable attackers, but once unrestricted attackers exist, restricting defenders can become a security liability. Furthermore, some forms of AI safety research require access to model weights, meaning that it cannot be performed on the models offered by the likes of Anthropic or OpenAI.

Open weights helps researchers prevent attacks

The paper “Watch the Weights: Unsupervised monitoring and control of fine-tuned LLMs,” first published in July 2025, shows how researchers detect malicious or hidden behavior by examining changes inside model weights. The researchers behind the paper stopped up to 100% of tested backdoor attacks at below 1% false-positive rates in some experiments and detected attempts to recover removed knowledge in more than 95% of the cases. The results do not establish how the most capable frontier models would behave under the same analysis, but offer a compelling argument for the benefits of transparency.

But the argument for keeping bleeding edge AI technology out of the hands of those with evil intent is also compelling — particularly as the gap between open and closed weight models keeps shrinking. Geoffrey Hinton, the Nobel Prize-winning pioneer known as the “Godfather of AI,” argued in the report that “once you’ve got the weights, you can fine-tune them to do bad things.” He argued during a speech that this lowers the barrier to entry too much:

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“It doesn’t cost that much to train a foundation model. Maybe you need $10 million, maybe $100 million. But a small gang of criminals can’t do it. To fine-tune an open-source model is quite easy.”

Magazine: Creating ‘good’ AGI that won’t kill us all — The Artificial Superintelligence Alliance

Cointelegraph publishes long-form journalism, analysis and narrative reporting produced by Cointelegraph’s in-house editorial team with subject-matter expertise. All articles are edited and reviewed by Cointelegraph editors in line with our editorial standards. Some articles contain affiliate links, from which Cointelegraph may earn a commission. These relationships do not influence which products we review or our editorial conclusions. Content published in here does not constitute financial, legal or investment advice. Readers should conduct their own research and consult qualified professionals where appropriate. Cointelegraph maintains full editorial independence.

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Bitcoin Is Struggling To Control $80,000 After A Week Of Gains

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Bitcoin Is Struggling To Control $80,000 After A Week Of Gains

Bitcoin (BTC) fell below $80,000 into Tuesday’s Wall Street open as crypto and gold gave way to gains in US equities.

Key points:

  • Bitcoin upside momentum fizzles as $80,000 proves difficult to flip to support.
  • Gold joins BTC price downside after multimonth highs of $4,697 per ounce as US 30-year bond yields target three-week lows.
  • Attention switches from bonds to US inflation data and Nvidia earnings tomorrow.

Bitcoin price struggles to cement $80,000 reclaim

Data from TradingView showed BTC/USD falling as low as $78,111 on Bitstamp after reaching new 14-week highs of $81,265.

BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

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The $80,000 zone, which traders previously earmarked as an area of strong sell pressure, proved difficult to reclaim as US trading hours appeared to increase downside across both Bitcoin and gold. XAU/USD saw local lows of $4,605 per ounce, down nearly 2% on the day. 

XAU/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

US stocks moved inversely to gold and crypto last week, coming under pressure as both rallied. This divergence has continued this week, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite Index posting modest daily gains of 0.2% and 0.5%, respectively.

Nasdaq Composite Index one-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

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The comparative strength appeared to mostly brush off a brewing trade-tariff spat between the US and Canada in which negotiations recently broke down. In his latest posts on Truth Social, US president Donald Trump accused Canada of “ripping off” the US.

“Over the last 10 years, the United States lost, on average, 60 Billion Dollars a year with Canada. No more!” he pledged.

US government bond yields continued to cool on the day, with 30-year yields dropping below 5.2% and eyeing their lowest levels since Aug. 7. Last week’s crypto surge came as yields hit heights not seen since January 2007 and the US Treasury announced bigger debt buyback operations to tame the upside.

US 30-year bond yield one-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

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Commenting on the prospect of further bond-market interventions in the future, trading resource The Kobeissi Letter suggested that interest-rate cuts — a key potential liquidity driver for crypto markets — were not an option in the current inflation environment.

“The reality is that the Fed cannot cut rates in this environment and the Trump Administration knows this. So, direct bond market intervention is the only solution to drive interest rates and yields lower over the short-run,” it wrote in a post on X. 

“Our view? Don’t fight the Treasury.”

As Cointelegraph reported, market consensus calls for an ongoing rate-hike freeze at the Fed’s September meeting, with the odds of this outcome currently at 61.9%, per data from CME Group’s FedWatch Tool.

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Fed target-rate probabilities for September FOMC meeting (screenshot). Source: CME Group

PCE, Nvidia earnings on the radar

Discussing the immediate macro outlook, trading firm QCP Capital shifted the focus away from the Treasury toward fresh US inflation data and the Fed’s Jackson Hole economic symposium, taking place from Aug. 27-29.

Related: First bear-market trend line reclaim since 2025: Five things to know in Bitcoin this week

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Wednesday will see the July print of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, known as the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, which saw its first month-on-month decrease since 2020 past June. Tech giant Nvidia, meanwhile, will also report earnings on Wednesday, adding another potential risk-asset volatility catalyst.

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Arthur Hayes Predicts More Dollar Liquidity that Could Push Bitcoin’s Rally Further

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Bitcoin (BTC) has entered a new bull market, according to Arthur Hayes, who argues that US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is preparing to create more dollar liquidity through Treasury market operations.

The thesis rests on a familiar argument of his: when policymakers inject liquidity to keep Treasury yields under control, Bitcoin and other risk assets tend to benefit.

Hayes Points to Bessent’s Treasury Strategy

In an August 25 essay, Hayes compared Bessent with his predecessor, Janet Yellen, arguing that both have faced pressure to keep borrowing costs under control while the US government continues spending. He focused on the 10-year Treasury yield, which, as he put it, is the most important price in US financial markets.

According to the BitMEX co-founder, regulators tend to get nervous whenever the yield on the 10-year Treasury is near 5% because higher yields tend to increase the cost of mortgages and borrowing for corporations and consumers, which could have an impact on the economy.

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He went back to December 2023, when Yellen boosted the issuance of Treasury bills compared to long-duration Treasury bonds, allowing money market fund balances to move from the Fed’s Reserve Repo program to T-bills.

Hayes estimates that the RRP balance fell from roughly $2.5 trillion to $100 billion by the time Bessent took office in January 2025. He also described the resulting $2.4 trillion movement as a liquidity injection that flowed into financial markets that saw Bitcoin and the Nasdaq 100 both rallying while the 10-year yield moved away from 5%, even though the Federal Reserve kept rates near 5.3% and continued shrinking its balance sheet.

Bessent is now attempting something similar through the Treasury’s debt-management tools. Recall that on August 19, he announced that buybacks would increase from $2 billion to at least $4 billion per operation. Ten-year yields initially fell, while Bitcoin rallied over the following days. However, the effect did not last, and by the following trading session, the 10-year yield had climbed back above its pre-announcement level.

And that’s why Hayes is contending that the Treasury’s planned purchases are too small relative to the roughly $40 trillion US debt stock.

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“Bitcoin ripped off its lows after Yellen announced her money printing scheme, and I argue it will do the same after Bessent reestablished his conviction to follow in his predecessors’ footsteps and materially increase the pace of dollar liquidity creation,” he wrote.

Why Hayes Expects More Liquidity

The crypto investor laid out three paths for Bessent: cutting spending, which is unlikely given upcoming elections; an aggressive, Bank of Japan-style pledge to buy unlimited bonds if yields top 5%; or, most likely in his view, smaller and more frequent buyback increases unless volatility rises fast.

He also sees another possible source of liquidity in the Treasury General Account (TGA), which is at approximately $1 trillion, with a CNBC report suggesting that the Treasury Secretary could drain the TGA to fund additional buybacks.

All this is happening with Bitcoin having already moved considerably higher, after recently crossing $80,000 for the first time since May. While writing this piece, the OG crypto had gone back closer to $79,000 than $80,000, although the price still reflected a jump of more than 23% in seven days and slightly less than that across one month, but it remains about 37% below its October 2025 all-time high record of over $126,000.

The post Arthur Hayes Predicts More Dollar Liquidity that Could Push Bitcoin’s Rally Further appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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SpaceX stock could rise 75% to $240, JPMorgan says

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SpaceX goes on-chain as SPCX launches on Solana

SpaceX stock has gained about 2% after JPMorgan retained its Overweight rating and $240 price target, implying roughly 75% upside from recent trading levels.

Summary

  • JPMorgan has retained its Overweight rating and $240 price target for SpaceX.
  • The bank said Cursor data has produced tangible improvements in recent Grok models.
  • About 370 million SpaceX shares could become tradable on Sept. 9 and 10.
  • SpaceX completed its $60 billion stock-based acquisition of Cursor developer Anysphere on Aug. 14.

SpaceX stock gets a $240 price target

JPMorgan analyst Doug Anmuth has maintained an Overweight rating on SpaceX and a $240 price target, telling investors that the bank has become “increasingly positive” about the prospects for Grok following the Cursor acquisition.

Based on SpaceX’s recent share price, the target indicates potential upside of about 75%. SPCX rose around 2% in Tuesday’s premarket session and traded near $138 during the regular session, compared with its previous close of $135.

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Anmuth said the completed purchase of Cursor represents an important step in the development of SpaceX’s enterprise artificial intelligence business. JPMorgan has already observed “tangible improvements” after Cursor data was added to supplemental training for recent Grok models, according to the analyst note.

Grok’s ability to generate revenue from business customers could become a more important part of SpaceX’s AI operations if corporate adoption increases, the bank said. JPMorgan based its positive view partly on the performance and pricing of Grok 4.6, which it believes could help the model compete for enterprise clients.

Bernstein has also described Grok as a possible “wildcard” for SpaceX, according to a separate analyst assessment. The firm said Cursor and the latest Grok model could strengthen the company’s AI services, although the assessment remains an analyst projection rather than a financial result reported by SpaceX.

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Cursor gives Grok access to enterprise users

SpaceX completed its $60 billion stock-based acquisition of Anysphere, the company behind Cursor, on Aug. 14. As crypto.news reported after closing, Anysphere became a wholly owned SpaceX subsidiary through a merger involving X67 Inc., an entity created to carry out the transaction.

An Aug. 14 filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission showed that Cursor investors were entitled to receive about 389.3 million SpaceX Class A shares. The companies had signed the merger agreement on June 16, shortly after SpaceX completed its public listing.

Cursor provides AI tools that help developers write, edit, and debug software. The platform has more than 50,000 business customers, while reports cited by JPMorgan said nearly two-thirds of Fortune 500 companies use its products.

Access to that customer base could help SpaceX sell Grok tools to companies already using Cursor, according to the bank. Cursor’s developer data has also supported additional model training, giving JPMorgan an early basis for assessing how the acquisition may affect Grok’s performance.

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SpaceX recently released Grok 4.6 for tasks including research, data analysis, software engineering, and application development. JPMorgan said the model’s capabilities and lower costs relative to some competing services could support adoption among business customers.

Financial benefits from the combination have not yet been established in SpaceX’s reported results. The acquisition closed after the end of the company’s second quarter, meaning investors will need later filings to assess Cursor’s contribution to revenue, costs and operating losses.

SpaceX share unlock could raise the public float

The bullish call arrives before another large release of SpaceX shares. JPMorgan estimates that approximately 370 million shares could become eligible for trading across Sept. 9 and Sept. 10, potentially increasing the company’s public float by around 20%.

Eligibility does not mean every unlocked share will immediately be sold. Investors covered by an expired restriction may continue holding their positions, while the actual effect depends on how many shareholders decide to sell.

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SpaceX faced a similar event on Aug. 20, when around 319 million shares became eligible for trading. An earlier release on Aug. 6 covered as many as 911.5 million shares, but the feared wave of selling did not immediately materialize.

During the session following the first expiration, SPCX climbed 14.09% to $131.06 as lockup concerns eased. Argus also assigned the stock a Buy rating with a $160 target, providing a more cautious valuation than JPMorgan’s current $240 objective.

The September release could still affect trading by increasing the number of shares that insiders and other early investors are permitted to sell. JPMorgan’s projected 20% expansion in the float also indicates that the event is smaller than the combined August releases, although selling pressure cannot be determined until trading begins.

Retail sentiment remained bearish on Stocktwits over the preceding 24 hours, according to the supplied report. Individual users offered bullish views, including one prediction that SPCX would reach $250 by the end of 2026 and another assessment that the shares were oversold. Such posts represent personal opinions rather than professional price forecasts.

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U.S. investors weigh AI growth against valuation

SpaceX entered the Nasdaq under the SPCX ticker on June 12 after selling 555.6 million Class A shares for $135 each. The offering raised $75 billion and valued the company at roughly $1.75 trillion, according to its U.S. securities filings.

An earlier report on the IPO identified JPMorgan as one of the banks in the underwriting syndicate, alongside Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Bank of America Securities, and Citigroup. The U.S. listing gave retail and institutional investors direct access to SpaceX’s rocket, satellite internet, and AI operations.

SPCX later reached an intraday record of $225.64 before falling below its IPO price during July. The stock traded as low as $119.79 after seven consecutive losing sessions, according to July market coverage, before recovering during August.

JPMorgan’s $240 target sits above the June record and would require the shares to regain all losses from their post-IPO peak. The price objective also depends partly on revenue growth from an AI unit that now includes Grok and Cursor, making subsequent earnings reports important for testing the bank’s assumptions.

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Morningstar offered a much lower assessment after the IPO, estimating fair value at $63 per share. Oppenheimer had assigned a $190 target, while Morgan Stanley retained a $300 target and a $600 bull-case estimate after the Cursor transaction closed. Each target is based on the respective firm’s valuation method and should not be treated as a guaranteed future price.

Institutional ownership has also expanded since the listing. A U.S. regulatory filing showed that Italian bank Intesa Sanpaolo held nearly 5.66 million SpaceX shares worth about $966 million as of June 30, according to Reuters. The position was the bank’s largest disclosed U.S. equity holding at the end of the second quarter.

Starlink seeks another approval in India

Outside the AI business, SpaceX’s Starlink unit has submitted a fresh request to Indian regulators for permission to deploy its second-generation satellite constellation, Reuters reported on Aug. 20, citing an Economic Times report and people familiar with the application.

The proposed Gen 2 network would include direct-to-device connectivity, allowing compatible mobile phones to connect with satellites without dedicated Starlink terminals.

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Starlink already holds a telecom license in India but still requires approval from the Indian National Space Promotion and Authorisation Centre for the constellation. The latest application covers satellites designed to operate in low Earth orbit at altitudes ranging from about 340 to 615 kilometers.

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Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC Broke $80,000 for First Time in 15 Weeks

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Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC Broke $80,000 for First Time in 15 Weeks

Bitcoin just punched through $80,000 for the first time in almost 15 weeks. This is very bullish for Bitcoin price prediction, and the mechanics behind the move matter more than the headline number.

This is one of the sharpest 8-day advances Bitcoin has posted since 2021. Price is trading near $80,513, up roughly 2.02% on the day, but the real story is underneath the surface.

The rally has added an estimated $350 billion to Bitcoin’s market cap since late July, driven by renewed spot ETF inflows, a shift in Treasury buyback policy, and a wave of forced short covering.

Source: CT

Liquidation trackers show roughly $335 million in BTC positions wiped out, nearly 84% of them shorts. That is a squeeze, not pure conviction buying.

Bitcoin has now clawed back 38% from its July 1 low near $57,700, erasing the entire May drawdown. But price has walked straight into the same resistance shelf that rejected rallies earlier this year.

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What happens at that ceiling determines the next leg, and for anyone tracking early-stage plays, it also reframes where the better risk-adjusted upside might actually sit.

Bitcoin (BTC)
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Bitcoin Price Prediction: Can Bitcoin Price Hit $82,000 This Week?

BTC is sitting at $79,786 on the daily chart, and the move that has happened over the past week is the most explosive and convincing recovery attempt since the January peak, with price launching from the $60,000 base and pushing nearly $20,000 higher in a matter of days.

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The $80,000 level is the immediate test, being the dotted line on the chart that marks the prior support zone from the February to March period, and a clean daily close above it would be the most significant technical development in months.

What makes this move different from the previous recovery attempts in March and May is the speed and scale of it, those rallies were gradual grinds that faded at lower levels, whereas this one has momentum and is pushing into real resistance zones without showing signs of stalling yet.

The $84,000 to $85,000 range is the next major resistance above, being where the May recovery peaked and rolled over, and that is the level that would need to flip for the conversation to shift from recovery to genuine trend reversal.

On the downside, $72,000 to $74,000 is the first support from the breakout zone, and $65,000 below that is where the base was built throughout July, which needs to hold on any pullback to keep the structure intact.

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The risk here is that the move has been very fast and sharp, and a cooling-off period or retest of $74,000 to $76,000 before the next leg would actually be healthy for the setup.

But the direction has changed, and $80,000 is the line that confirms it.

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Bitcoin Hyper Targets Early Mover Upside as Bitcoin Tests Key Levels

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An 8-day, 28% rally that erased months of losses is a strong result, no argument there. But buying Bitcoin at an $80,000+ market cap denominator means outsized percentage moves get structurally harder, the asset has to move mountains to double from here.

That math is exactly why traders rotate a slice of capital toward earlier-stage infrastructure plays while BTC consolidates at resistance, and why Bitcoin Hyper (HYPER) has been picking up presale attention alongside the spot rally.

Bitcoin Hyper bills itself as the first Bitcoin Layer 2 with SVM integration, smart contracts running faster than Solana itself, settled through a decentralized canonical bridge back to BTC.

It’s currently priced at $0.0136852, with $33,080,369.89 raised so far and staking rewards live at launch. The pitch: fast, cheap, programmable Bitcoin without sacrificing base-layer security.

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The post Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC Broke $80,000 for First Time in 15 Weeks appeared first on Cryptonews.

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DGrid AI token jumps 93% after launch as decentralized AI network goes live

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DGrid AI token jumps 93% after launch as decentralized AI network goes live

DGrid AI token jumps 93% after launch as decentralized AI network goes live

DGAI nearly doubled in its first day of trading as DGrid expands its distributed AI inference network and rolls out hardware for its personal AI agent.

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What Hanging from a Bar for 30 Seconds Can Do for Your Body

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What Hanging from a Bar for 30 Seconds Can Do for Your Body

That doesn’t mean hanging longer will make you live longer, Vadnal adds. Think of it as one useful signal—not a path to immortality.

Your feet can stay on the floor

Beginners don’t need to hover heroically above the ground. When you’re starting out, the bar is—quite literally—low. “I love the addition of a little step stool or platform,” Anderson says. Hold the bar with both hands, bend your knees slightly, and keep enough weight in your feet that the stretch feels manageable. You can gradually allow your arms to support more of you as you become comfortable.

“You definitely don’t need to jump straight to 30-second hangs all at once,” Anderson says. She recommends starting with a 10-second supported hang and repeating it three to five times, resting briefly between attempts. From there, work toward the 30-second goal. Vadnal likes three 30-second sets, but only after choosing a variation easy enough to complete with control.

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