Crypto World
Dallas Fed warns tokenized deposits could strip $700 billion from U.S. banks' lending capacity
Programmable deposits and AI agents may enable instantaneous, automated bank switching for higher yields, driving up bank funding costs.
The evidence doesn't support the banks' case against stablecoin rewards
Tokenized deposits could reduce U.S. banks’ capacity to hold long-term interest-rate exposure by $700 billion under one modeled scenario, according to research published Aug. 25 by Dallas Fed economists Rosie Levy and Srini Ramaswamy.
Summary
- Dallas economists estimate 10% greater rate sensitivity could reduce banks’ duration capacity by $700 billion.
- A 10% shorter deposit life could reduce maturity transformation capacity by approximately $580 billion systemwide.
- The estimates measure ten-year equivalent interest-rate exposure, not deposits predicted to leave banking institutions directly.
- Tokenization may let depositors and AI agents move funds instantly toward banks offering higher yields.
- Banks could respond with higher deposit rates, larger liquidity buffers or additional wholesale debt issuance.
The figure does not represent $700 billion of deposits expected to leave banks or an equivalent guaranteed decline in lending. It measures a possible reduction in banks’ duration risk appetite, expressed as the equivalent exposure to ten-year Treasury securities.
The authors also stated that their views should not be attributed to the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas or the Federal Reserve System.
Tokenized deposits could make bank funding less stable
Tokenized deposits are ordinary commercial bank deposits represented on a blockchain or another distributed ledger. They can support automated payments, programmable transactions and around-the-clock settlement while remaining liabilities of the issuing bank.
Their speed could weaken the practical barriers that make deposits relatively stable. Customers seeking higher yields could move money between institutions faster than they can through many existing banking systems.
“Instant settlement would allow deposit holders who prioritize yield to switch banks almost instantaneously,” the economists wrote.
Smart contracts could automatically transfer balances when another institution offers a better rate. Agentic artificial intelligence could theoretically monitor yields and initiate those transfers without requiring customers to act manually.
The authors did not predict how broadly depositors would use such automation. They described large-scale adoption as uncertain and evaluated what could happen under specific assumptions.
The $700 billion estimate measures duration capacity
Banks use relatively stable deposits to finance mortgages, business loans, securities and other longer-term assets. Although customers can withdraw demand deposits at any time, aggregate balances often remain with banks for years.
This behavioral stability gives deposits an effective duration. Banks also measure deposit beta, which shows how closely the interest rates they pay customers move with market rates.
Using Federal Reserve H.8 balance-sheet data, the economists estimated that U.S. banks held approximately $7 trillion of long-term interest-rate exposure on July 15. About $5.8 trillion, or 80%, was supported by the duration characteristics of deposits other than large time deposits.
Their analysis found that a 10% increase in deposit rate sensitivity could reduce banks’ duration risk capacity by $700 billion, assuming deposits have an average life of four years.
A separate scenario found that reducing average deposit life by 10% could lower maturity transformation capacity by approximately $580 billion.
These are back-of-the-envelope estimates based on assumed durations and aggregate balance-sheet matching. They are not forecasts of actual loan losses, deposit withdrawals or bank failures.
Banks could raise rates or hold more liquid assets
Banks could respond by offering higher deposit rates, reducing the incentive for customers to switch. That approach would increase funding costs and compress lending margins.
Institutions could also hold more reserves and government securities instead of long-term loans. Another option would involve issuing additional term debt to preserve existing lending levels.
Greater reliance on expensive wholesale debt would “likely adversely impact the cost of credit,” the authors estimated.
Research using Brazil’s Pix system provides an early comparison. A Central Bank of Brazil study found that increased instant-payment usage led banks to hold more liquid assets, particularly government bonds, while reducing the share of loans on their balance sheets.
The Brazilian findings do not establish that U.S. tokenized deposits will produce identical results. Pix is an instant-payment network rather than a tokenized deposit system, and the two markets operate under different banking structures.
U.S. banks continue building tokenized networks
Large American banks are moving forward with tokenized deposit infrastructure despite the possible funding risks. The Clearing House announced a shared network supporting automated workflows, interoperability and 24/7 settlement.
Bank of America, Citi, BNY, Wells Fargo and other institutions support the project. As crypto.news reported, JPMorgan and major competitors are building shared tokenized deposit infrastructure intended to connect blockchain activity with regulated commercial bank money.
Community and regional banks are also entering the sector. Thirty-nine state banking associations recently formed BankChain Alliance, which is targeting a nationwide blockchain launch during 2027.
The design of these networks will determine how easily deposits can move between institutions. Interoperability could improve payments while also increasing competition for funding, making deposit behavior, liquidity rules and bank-size differences central issues for regulators.
XRP trades at $1.43, pulling back after a move in a striking on-chain trajectory of the month. Ripple, the XRP parent company, is also in the news with active addresses on the XRP Ledger exploding.
Santiment data cited by Finbold shows active addresses rocketing from 47,180 to 356,070 between August 10 and August 24, a 650% surge in just two weeks. The figure is a number that “dwarfs the network’s recent daily averages,” while analyst Ali Martinez flagged the same spike on X as a signal worth watching closely.
Earlier August data had already shown daily active addresses climbing to 33-35% month-over-month, with new address creation essentially flat. This means that existing holders are driving the surge.
That distinction matters. Rising engagement from an existing base reads differently than a wave of fresh speculative money, and it’s landing at a moment when XRP is consolidating just under a resistance band that’s proven stubborn all month.
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Can XRP Price Hit $1.60 Amid Ripple Exploding News?
XRP briefly tapped $1.76 last week before stabilizing near $1.50, and now sits at $1.43 after a mild 24-hour retreat. The asset added over $31.27 billion in market cap in seven days, pushing valuation to above $90 billion before stabilizing.
The level that matters now is $1.55-$1.60, the resistance band multiple outlets flag as the line XRP needs to clear to confirm the Ripple network-activity news. A break above could open a retest of the recent $1.76 high.
The base case has price grinding sideways in the $1.40-$1.55 range while the market digests whether address growth is signal or noise. Failure to hold above the psychological $1.00-$1.30 support zone would invalidate the bullish setup entirely, though that scenario looks distant given the current structure.
Our research desk is blunt about the risk here: rising active addresses correlate with higher participation, but there’s no guaranteed causal link to price. Traders watching this setup should track whale transaction flows alongside the $1.55 breakout attempt.
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Maxi Doge Targets Early Mover Upside as XRP Tests Key Levels
XRP holders who bought the dip near $1.00 are sitting comfortably. But at a $90 billion market cap, doubling from here requires an enormous amount of fresh capital. This is a mathematical reality that caps near-term upside even if the $1.55 breakout confirms.
Not just that, this has also pushed a chunk of trader attention toward earlier-stage plays where the math works differently. Maxi Doge ($MAXI) is leaning hard into that appetite.
MAXI brands itself as a “240-lb canine juggernaut” built around 1000x-leverage trading culture, complete with holder-only trading competitions and leaderboard rewards funded by a dedicated Maxi Fund treasury.
The presale has raised $4.8 million at a current price of $0.0002835, with 65% APY staking rewards live for early buyers.
Research Maxi Doge directly before deciding.
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The post Ripple News: Network Activity Jumps, Will XRP Follow? appeared first on Cryptonews.
Futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the other major stock indexes traded mixed Wednesday as Wall Street reacted to a key inflation report. Meanwhile, investors awaited Nvidia (NVDA) earnings, due after the close on the stock market today. Ahead of Wednesday’s open, Dow futures flirted with the break-even point, as S&P 500 futures dipped 0.1%. Nasdaq-100 futures declined…
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Cardano’s native token has been on a tear over the past several days, but its rally stalled today (August 26) as the broader market pulled back a bit.
While most analysts remain bullish on the asset, some believe a double-digit decline from the current levels could also be on the horizon.
Bulls vs. Bears
ADA has soared by 22% over the past two weeks, following the market’s revival prompted by the monetary changes announced by the US Treasury Department, among other factors.
At one point, the asset rocketed to a three-month high above $0.25, but the past 24 hours have delivered a correction. As of press time, ADA trades at around $0.21, representing a 6% decline on a daily scale and is among the biggest losers within that timeframe.
X user SBlockSpy noted that the token got rejected around $0.22 and is closely monitoring the pullback. They claimed that the move shows sellers are active and predicted a deeper downtrend to as low as $0.164 if the dump continues. At the same time, the analyst believes that if buyers step up here, they might trigger an initial surge to $0.24, then $0.30.
Rand Group also recently chipped in. Earlier this week, the X user highlighted ADA’s strong breakout, claiming it has breached the main downtrend resistance. However, they remain uninterested in the asset until it consolidates above the $0.25 resistance.
For their part, More Crypto Online cast doubt on whether a certain “B-wave” pullback has begun, adding that as long as ADA holds above $0.157, the upside momentum remains and could push the price to the $0.314-$0.404 range.
Entirely Optimistic Forecasts
It is important to note that other popular X users stand firmly on the bullish side. Earlier this month, Lucky told their nearly two million followers that ADA is among their “hot picks,” envisioning a short-term ascent to almost $0.50. The last time the token traded that high was in November last year.
CW is another optimist. The analyst opined that ADA has broken through a major resistance line and transitioned into a bullish trend.
“The long downtrend is over. The real bull market has begun,” they added.
The post Cardano (ADA) Slips 6% in 24 Hours: Healthy Correction or the Return of the Bears? appeared first on CryptoPotato.
BNB price traded near $707 on Aug. 26 after gaining nearly 13% from its Aug. 20 opening price, with technical charts showing strong momentum but growing resistance between $712 and $725.
Summary
- BNB price rose from $626.47 on Aug. 20 to about $707 on Aug. 26.
- The daily price remains above all four major moving averages shown on the chart.
- 4-hour Bollinger Bands place immediate resistance near $712.50 and support near $687.
- Analysts identified $725 and $745 as the main levels needed to extend the rally.
BNB price consolidates after its weekly breakout
According to data from crypto.news, BNB (BNB) price was trading at $706.72 on Aug. 26, up 1.77% during the current daily session. The token has gained approximately 12.8% from its Aug. 20 opening price of $626.47.
BNB reached an intraday high near $725 on Aug. 22 before buyers lost momentum. Price has since consolidated between roughly $685 and $720, suggesting traders are deciding whether the weekly surge can develop into a larger breakout.
The latest move followed a rapid expansion from the $600 area, where BNB had traded before breaking above several moving averages. Although the price has pulled back from its weekly high, it has held most of its gains and returned above the psychological $700 level.
Daily momentum also remains positive. The bull-bear power indicator printed a positive reading of 67.99, although its bars have declined from their recent peak. The change suggests buyers remain in control but are no longer pushing the market with the same force seen during the initial breakout.
Moving averages support the bullish BNB structure
BNB’s daily chart shows the price trading above its 20-, 50-, 100-, and 200-day simple moving averages. The 20-day average sits at $636.67, while the other three averages are grouped between approximately $600 and $617.
The wide gap between the current price and those averages shows how quickly BNB advanced. It also leaves the token exposed to a deeper pullback if buyers cannot defend the newly established support zones.
The 200-day moving average, shown near $616.51, is particularly important because BNB had traded below it for much of the preceding decline. The break above that level changed the medium-term structure, but maintaining the bullish setup will require price to avoid a sustained return below the $600–$617 cluster.
On the 4-hour chart, BNB is trading slightly above the Bollinger Band midpoint at $699.94. The upper band stands at $712.51, while the lower band is near $687.36.
A 4-hour close above the upper band could signal another expansion toward $720–$725. Failure to hold the midpoint would raise the likelihood of a retest of $687, where the lower band overlaps with recent intraday support.
BNB’s 4-hour relative strength index has cooled to 60.41 after entering overbought territory during the initial rally. The lower reading removes some of the earlier overheating without pushing momentum into bearish territory.
Liquidation levels surround $680 and $725
CoinGlass’s three-day BNB liquidation heatmap shows concentrated leveraged positions on both sides of the current price.
The closest major overhead liquidity appears around $724–$726, broadly matching the resistance visible on the price charts. A move into that area could force short positions to close, adding market buy orders and supporting a brief extension of the rally.
Additional liquidation bands appear between $730 and $745. However, liquidity maps identify areas where leveraged positions may be vulnerable; they do not guarantee that price will reach those levels.
Below the market, the strongest visible concentration sits around $680–$685. A loss of $695 and then $687 could draw BNB toward that cluster, potentially accelerating losses as leveraged long positions are closed.
The heatmap therefore places BNB between two competing liquidity areas. The $724–$726 zone is the nearest upside target, while the $680–$685 area represents the clearest downside risk if the consolidation breaks lower.
Analysts focus on the $725 and $745 barriers
Crypto analyst Bitcoin Professor said BNB had gained nearly 18% over the seven-day period measured in his Aug. 25 chart and identified $710–$725 as the key resistance range.
“A clean breakout above $725 could accelerate the bullish momentum,” the analyst said.
Bitcoin Professor added that short-term momentum could weaken if BNB loses the $690–$695 area. That warning aligns with the 4-hour Bollinger Band midpoint near $700 and the lower band around $687.
A separate analyst using the name Einstein said BNB had broken its descending trendline and was approaching a major breakout area.
“Weekly close above $745 = breakout confirmation,” Einstein said, identifying $960 as the first major target if that confirmation occurs.
The analyst also described $537 as the wider structural support level. However, that level sits far below the nearer support areas shown on the daily and 4-hour charts, making $687, $637, and the $600–$617 moving-average cluster more relevant during the current setup.
The forecasts represent analysts’ interpretations and do not establish that BNB will reach either $745 or $960.
BNB needs a close above $725 to extend the rally
The immediate bullish case depends on BNB holding $699–$700 and closing above the $712–$725 resistance region. A confirmed breakout would expose $745, which marks the larger resistance level identified by Einstein and overlaps with the upper section of the liquidation map.
The bearish case begins with a 4-hour close below $687. Such a move would weaken the recent consolidation and place the $680–$685 liquidity cluster at risk. Below that area, the 20-day moving average near $637 would become the next major technical reference.
For US traders, BNB remains available through some trading venues, but access varies because Binance.US operates separately from Binance’s global exchange and offers a more limited market. Traders should confirm platform availability and local restrictions before acting on the setup.
BNB’s broader structure remains bullish while price holds above the breakout area, but the declining short-term momentum and nearby resistance make the next confirmed close more important than an intraday move above $720.
Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.
Ethereum trades at $2,450 as it continues probing the $2,500 price ceiling it’s failed to convincingly break for the third straight session. At the same time, the Crypto Fear and Greed Index hit 74, its highest print since October 5, 2025.
That earlier October reading? Bitcoin set an all-time high the very next day. But this time, the setup looks shakier: a US Treasury decision to double long-end debt buybacks triggered a short squeeze that liquidated $2.74 billion and wiped out 172,202 traders in a single session.
That disconnect between price and conviction is exactly what traders need to understand before chasing ETH through resistance. Institutional holders aren’t panicking, but they aren’t piling in yet.
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Can Ethereum Price Punch Above $2,500 This Week?
ETH sits at $2,450, with intraday action ranging between $2,410 and $2,470 in a tight band that puts $2,500 within reach but not yet conquered. Volume remains elevated, with Coingecko clocking roughly $18.6 billion in 24-hour turnover, or about 6% of ETH’s market cap, signaling real participation rather than a thin, low-liquidity drift.
Pivot data pegs immediate resistance at $2,470–$2,490, with the psychological $2,500 level sitting just above that cluster. Support holds near $2,455 and $2,445, with a deeper floor at $2,440 if momentum fails.
For the Ethereum price to run, it needs a clean close above $2,500, which opens room toward $2,530–$2,540, extending the week’s ~28-30% run. ETH might also grind sideways in the $2,440–$2,490 channel while the market digests the Fear and Greed spike.
However, a rejection at resistance sends price back toward $2,440 support, especially if broader sentiment cools further from its current 65 reading.
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Bitcoin Hyper Targets Early Mover Upside as Ethereum Tests Key Levels
ETH holders sitting on a 28-30% weekly gain have earned the right to feel good. But here’s the uncomfortable math: at a $2,450 price point and a market cap north of $295 billion, doubling from here requires nearly $300 billion in fresh capital.
The math data is not a knock on Ethereum, but it’s the reality of scale. Early-stage infrastructure plays don’t carry that gravitational drag, which is why traders rotate capital toward presales precisely when majors stall at resistance like this.
Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is building the first Bitcoin Layer 2 with native SVM integration, aiming for execution speeds faster than Solana itself while inheriting Bitcoin’s base-layer security. The pitch: fix Bitcoin’s three structural weaknesses, like slow settlement, high fees, and zero programmability, without abandoning the network’s trust model.
The project has raised $33 million at a current token price of $0.0136852, with staking rewards available for early participants. Its decentralized canonical bridge and low-latency processing layer are the technical backbone of the pitch.
Research Bitcoin Hyper before the presale closes.
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The post Ethereum Price Hits $2,500 Resistance Wall as Fear and Greed Reaches Extreme Levels appeared first on Cryptonews.
A federal judge has adjourned Roman Storm’s Tornado Cash retrial to April 26, 2027, as the developer’s pending motion for acquittal is weighed.
Judge Katherine Polk Failla signed the two-page order on August 25 in the Southern District of New York. The later date came at Storm’s own request rather than from prosecutors.
Why the Tornado Cash Retrial Slipped to 2027
Storm requested a date in late April 2027 from the court, according to the order. Failla granted it, citing his pending motion for acquittal. Storm still has a Rule 29 motion for acquittal pending. His lawyers want the guilty verdict thrown out, arguing prosecutors never presented enough evidence to support it.
Meanwhile, the judge excluded time under the Speedy Trial Act through April 26, 2027. The Speedy Trial Act is a US federal law that requires the government to bring a criminal defendant to trial within a specified period rather than allowing a case to remain pending indefinitely.
“The ends of justice would be served by excluding time under the Speedy Trial Act through April 26, 2027, and that this would outweigh the interests of the public and the defendant in a speedy retrial,” the order read.
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Failla amended the pretrial schedule at the same time. Government expert disclosures are due on February 5, 2027, and defense disclosures are due on March 5, 2027.
Daubert motions and motions in limine are due March 30, 2027. A final pretrial conference is set for April 20, 2027.
A jury in the Southern District of New York found Storm guilty on August 6, 2025, of conspiring to operate an unlicensed money transmitting business. Prosecutors had pushed for a retrial on two unresolved charges, proposing an October 2026 start date.
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The post Roman Storm Won’t Face a Tornado Cash Retrial Until 2027 appeared first on BeInCrypto.
The price of bitcoin fell to $79,000 on Wednesday after gaining 23% in seven days as August ETF inflows climbed above $3 billion.
In BlackRock Bitcoin news, the World’s largest asset manager has reduced the reported minimum for in-kind creations and redemptions involving its iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) from $25M to $1M, reports suggest that the change was reflected in an updated SEC filing.
This news comes as BTC USD is trading at $78,800, down -1.4% overnight but still up +22% over the past week following a huge rally that saw it climb from $64,400 to nearly $80,000, single-handedly reinvigorating the crypto market.
BlackRock Bitcoin News: What the Reported Change Means
According to FinanceFeeds, in-kind creation and redemption allow authorized participants to exchange Bitcoin and IBIT shares rather than settle those transactions in cash.
The report said the lower minimum expands access to the process for mid-sized institutional participants, including registered investment advisers, family offices, and smaller trading firms operating through authorized participants.
FinanceFeeds also reported that retail investors cannot redeem IBIT shares directly for Bitcoin and that the change concerns the fund’s creation and redemption process rather than open-market purchases of IBIT shares.
IBIT’s Reported Scale
BlackRock’s IBIT product page listed an indicative basket of 22.65 Bitcoin, with a basket amount of $1,788,793.04, as of August 25, 2026. The page also listed a net asset value of $44.7252 per share and a sponsor fee of 0.25%.
The product page showed Bitcoin holdings with a market value of $60,696,470,292.63 as of August 24, 2026. It listed 768,039.86710 Bitcoin and $18,840.14 in US dollar cash. BlackRock cautions that holdings are subject to change and that the values shown for holdings are based on a third-party vendor’s pricing.
For performance, BlackRock listed IBIT’s year-to-date NAV total return at -9.86% as of August 24, 2026. For the one-year period ended June 30, 2026, the product page listed a total return of -45.62%, compared with -45.48% for its benchmark.
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What to Watch in Future Disclosures
In other BlackRock Bitcoin news, FinanceFeeds identified the ratio of in-kind to cash creations in future quarterly disclosures as a measure to watch following the reported minimum change. A future filing could show whether in-kind activity changed during the period.
IBIT seeks to track the price of Bitcoin and offers exposure to Bitcoin through an exchange-traded product, according to BlackRock. The firm says investors should carefully consider the risk factors and other information in the prospectus before making an investment decision.
Bitcoin ETF Flows in August: BlackRock Leading the Way
US spot Bitcoin ETFs are having their best month in nearly a year. On Tuesday, August 25, the funds pulled in $314.37M in net inflows, marking a seventh straight day of gains. That streak has pushed August’s total inflows to $3.03Bn, putting the month just $390M behind October 2025’s record with a handful of trading days left.
The rebound has been dramatic. Year-to-date net outflows have been cut by more than half, down to $2.26Bn, while total net assets across the funds reached $99.05Bn and cumulative net inflows climbed to $54.36Bn.
BlackRock’s IBIT remains the dominant force, accounting for roughly 62% of Monday’s category-wide inflows on its own. The surge coincides with Bitcoin’s push toward $80,000, though the asset was trading near $78,880, down about 2% over the prior 24 hours at the time of the latest report- a reminder that even strong ETF demand hasn’t fully insulated price action from volatility.
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The post IBIT Opens In-Kind Bitcoin Process to More Institutions appeared first on Cryptonews.
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