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Trump crypto ventures left investors $4.7B underwater: report
US President Donald Trump’s family-linked crypto ventures have left investors at least an estimated $4.7 billion underwater while generating about $1.4 billion for the president in 2025, according to Public Citizen.
Summary
- Public Citizen estimated that TRUMP memecoin investors were down a combined $3.2 billion.
- WLFI holders and Trump Media investors accounted for at least $1.45 billion in additional losses.
- Trump reported about $1.4 billion in crypto-related income for 2025.
- The watchdog urged Congress to add presidential divestment rules to the CLARITY Act.
Trump crypto losses reached an estimated $4.7 billion
Public Citizen estimated investor losses across five Trump-linked products, including the Official Trump memecoin, World Liberty Financial’s WLFI governance token, USD1 stablecoin, Trump Digital Trading Cards and Trump Media’s digital-asset treasury.
Most of the total came from TRUMP, which the nonprofit estimated had put buyers $3.2 billion underwater. World Liberty Financial’s WLFI token accounted for at least $1 billion, while Trump Media’s digital-asset treasury produced an estimated $450 million loss for shareholders.
Trump’s NFT trading cards added at least $9.3 million to the calculation. Public Citizen assigned no major loss to USD1 because the World Liberty stablecoin is designed to retain a value of $1 and has not suffered a sustained break from its peg.
The organization said its $4.7 billion estimate included both realized and unrealized losses. Buyers who continue to hold depreciated tokens have not locked in those losses, meaning the final amount could change if prices recover or fall further.
Public Citizen also said TRUMP trading had mainly moved wealth from later buyers to a small group that entered early, rather than causing the entire amount to disappear. Citing an analysis by blockchain intelligence company Nansen, the report said about 1 million retail wallets, or 65% of those studied, were underwater by a combined $3.2 billion.
Only about $400 million of the TRUMP total represented losses realized through sales, according to the analysis. The top 1% of profitable wallets captured roughly $2.7 billion, equal to about 80% of all gains, while wallets that entered during the token’s first two days collected almost 90% of the profits.
TRUMP launched on Jan. 17, 2025, three days before the president returned to the White House. Its price climbed from less than $1 to an all-time high of $73.43 as buyers entered, but later surrendered most of that value.
In July, crypto.news reported Nansen’s findings that nearly 989,000 wallets had accumulated $3.81 billion in realized and paper losses through the end of June. Different wallet filters and measurement dates can produce different totals, which explains why that analysis does not match Public Citizen’s $3.2 billion estimate.
Trump earned hundreds of millions from TRUMP and WLFI
While buyers absorbed losses, Public Citizen calculated that Trump received $635 million in licensing fees linked to the TRUMP memecoin during 2025. CIC Digital LLC, a Trump-owned company, licensed its name and brand to the token venture rather than buying the coins as an ordinary investor.
Two companies linked to the project retained 80% of TRUMP’s one billion-token supply, with the holdings scheduled to enter circulation over three years. According to the watchdog, the businesses also receive revenue from trading activity, allowing them to earn fees even when the token’s market price falls.
World Liberty Financial provided another large source of income. Trump received $527 million from WLFI token sales in 2025 after earning about $30 million from sales during the project’s first three months in 2024, bringing his estimated proceeds from the governance token to $557 million.
An equity transaction added $65.6 million, the organization said. Trump owns 70% of an entity that holds a 38.25% equity interest in World Liberty and receives 75% of WLFI token-sale proceeds after certain deductions, according to company documents, court records, and his financial disclosure.
World Liberty’s public-market buyers have experienced a different result. WLFI reached a record price of $0.3313 on Sept. 1, 2025, but Public Citizen valued it at $0.05744 when preparing its report. Buyers who entered at the peak were therefore down as much as 83%.
AI Financial Corporation, formerly ALT5 Sigma, accounted for most of the estimated WLFI loss. The Nasdaq-listed company acquired 7.28 billion WLFI tokens for about $1.46 billion in August 2025 and valued the position at $421 million by the end of June 2026, leaving it with a paper loss of roughly $1.04 billion.
Among 31,000 likely retail wallets that purchased WLFI through decentralized exchanges on Ethereum, Nansen found that 25,000, or 82%, were underwater as of Aug. 3. Losing wallets were down $54 million, compared with $24 million in gains among profitable wallets.
Centralized exchange activity was not included because the necessary account-level data is not public. Public Citizen therefore described its $1 billion WLFI calculation as a minimum estimate.
Financial disclosure showed $1.4 billion in crypto income
Trump’s June 2026 annual disclosure placed his crypto-related income for 2025 at more than $1 billion, with some calculations putting the amount near $1.4 billion. The earnings came mainly from memecoin licensing, World Liberty token distributions, an equity sale, and revenue tied to USD1.
As the financial disclosure showed, income and current holdings are separate figures. Licensing payments and token-sale proceeds record money received during the reporting period, while holdings describe assets still owned when the filing was prepared.
Trump reported a cold-wallet Bitcoin position worth more than $50 million, a smaller Ethereum holding, and ether staking rewards of about $1.8 million. The disclosure also recorded continuing exposure to WLFI and USD1, though federal ethics forms often place asset values within ranges rather than giving exact balances.
Public Citizen estimated that Trump earned at least $7.2 million from licensing fees and secondary-market royalties tied to four series of digital trading cards. About 175,000 cards were issued, and three of the collections covered by its calculation originally generated $12.3 million in sales but carried an aggregate market value of about $3 million when assessed.
For Trump Media shareholders, the organization estimated a $450 million loss connected to the company’s digital-asset treasury. Public Citizen included the equity exposure because investors bought shares in a publicly traded US company that later placed corporate funds into cryptocurrencies.
White House spokesperson Anna Kelly has denied that the president’s business interests create an ethics problem. She has said that neither Trump nor his family has engaged in conflicts of interest, while the White House maintains that the president does not participate in the management of his companies.
CLARITY Act faces renewed ethics demands
Following its loss estimate, Public Citizen called for the CLARITY Act to require a sitting president and immediate family members to divest from crypto ventures. The organization argued that federal digital-asset policy and the president’s private financial interests “cannot be separated.”
The bill would establish federal categories for digital assets and divide oversight between the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. It also contains registration, custody, disclosure, and customer-asset provisions for companies serving US investors.
Ethics restrictions remain one of the disputed parts of the Senate negotiations, alongside decentralized finance rules and rewards paid on stablecoin balances. Democratic lawmakers have pressed for limits on crypto holdings held by elected officials, while the White House has rejected claims that Trump’s ventures affect his policy decisions.
Sens. Elizabeth Warren and Richard Blumenthal separately asked the SEC in August to investigate whether the TRUMP token facilitated fraud or improper enrichment after its price fell about 98% from its peak. Their request did not establish that securities fraud occurred, and the agency would need to determine whether federal securities laws apply to the token before pursuing such a case.
Trump met crypto executives and federal regulators at the White House on Aug. 19, where he asked lawmakers to approve a “fair version” of the legislation. Attendees included executives from Coinbase, Robinhood, Kraken, Ripple, and other digital-asset companies.
The Senate’s scheduled procedural vote is set for Sept. 15 at 2:15 p.m. Eastern. Sixty senators must support cloture to begin considering the bill, and passage of the procedural motion would still leave amendments, a final Senate vote, and reconciliation with the House-approved text.
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Britain plans new Bank of England objective for stablecoins

Financial stability would remain its primary duty, with annual reports to Parliament on the new objective being planned.
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Angle Bush Is One of TIME's 100 Most Influential People in AI

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Mirae Asset Details Crypto, Stablecoin, and Tokenization Plan for Digital X
Mirae Asset is looking to turn its control of South Korean crypto exchange Digital X into a large-scale digital asset platform, targeting 150 trillion won (about $109 billion) in business value, according to The Korea Times.
The plan builds on Mirae Asset Consulting’s acquisition of a controlling 97.15% stake in Korbit last July—an effort the report describes as the first time a South Korean financial group affiliate has taken control of a domestic crypto exchange. After the takeover, Korbit was rebranded as Digital X.
Key takeaways
- Mirae Asset aims to grow Digital X into a broad digital asset business worth 150 trillion won, focused on crypto, stablecoins, real-world assets, and security tokens.
- The strategy follows Mirae Asset Consulting’s July acquisition of a 97.15% stake in Korbit for a total 141.4 billion won, with the exchange later renamed Digital X.
- Digital X has started waiving trading fees for won-denominated assets, with the zero-fee period planned through Aug. 24, 2027.
- The initiative comes despite Korbit—Digital X’s predecessor—having only about 0.5% of South Korea’s crypto trading market in 2025, per the country’s Fair Trade Commission.
From Korbit control to Digital X’s expansion blueprint
Digital X’s projected growth is anchored in what The Korea Times says will be a multi-pronged digital asset lineup. The report states Digital X will focus on cryptocurrencies, stablecoins, real-world assets (RWAs), and security token offerings (STOs).
Beyond tokenized financial products, the outlet also reports that the exchange is considering tokenizing physical assets such as gold, silver, and—more unusually—electricity. If pursued, that would position Digital X at the intersection of tokenization narratives and tangible-asset markets, where product design, custody, and regulatory treatment tend to be complex.
Why Mirae Asset’s stake matters for South Korea’s exchange landscape
According to The Korea Times, Mirae Asset Consulting completed its purchase of the 97.15% stake in Korbit in July for a cumulative 141.4 billion won. The deal effectively gave a major financial group affiliate control of a domestic exchange—something the report highlights as a first in South Korea.
That matters because it suggests the market may be shifting from niche crypto venues to exchange models backed by large financial institutions. Such a transition typically brings new priorities—risk management frameworks, institutional-grade product standards, and distribution through broader financial services—though the exact implementation details were not provided in the report.
For context, Korbit’s scale was modest before the rebrand. The Korea Times notes that despite being founded in 2013, Korbit represented just 0.5% of South Korea’s crypto trading market in 2025, citing the country’s Fair Trade Commission. That creates an immediate tension for the new strategy: Mirae Asset’s large target implies a substantial expansion in both users and product depth beyond the exchange’s prior market share.
Fee waivers and the push to widen won-denominated activity
Digital X has already begun changing its trading economics. As reported in the original coverage, on Monday the exchange started waiving trading fees across all won-denominated assets, with the policy scheduled to last through Aug. 24, 2027.
On its face, fee reduction is a competitive lever: it can lower trading costs for active users and improve liquidity during periods when exchanges often compete on price. However, investors and traders typically watch for follow-on effects—such as whether volumes rise enough to offset reduced revenue per trade, and whether the firm’s broader tokenization and stablecoin roadmap receives a corresponding ramp-up in product availability.
Digital X’s stated fee change is tied to its won-denominated markets, and readers can review the exchange’s trading fee information via its own site: https://korbit.co.kr/info/fee/?tab=trade.
Leadership messaging: “Mirae Asset 3.0” and a platform approach
In the lead-up to its expansion, Mirae Asset founder and chairman Park Hyeon-joo reportedly discussed the initiative at an employee event in Seoul on Wednesday. The Korea Times says Park positioned Digital X as a core component of “Mirae Asset 3.0.”
That framing is significant because it indicates the project is not being treated solely as an operational acquisition; it is being pitched as part of a wider corporate evolution. Still, the report does not spell out how Digital X will integrate with other Mirae Asset businesses or what governance and risk controls will be applied as the platform adds stablecoins, RWAs, and security tokens.
Next, market participants should watch how Digital X converts its long-term ambition—tokenizing assets and supporting STOs—into concrete regulatory and product milestones, while also tracking whether the multi-year fee waiver meaningfully boosts trading activity in won-denominated markets. The scale of the 150 trillion won target sets a high bar, and the critical question will be whether the exchange can grow beyond its earlier market share while sustaining a viable revenue model.
Crypto World
Genius Group plans $827M Bitcoin, $800M AI treasuries
Genius Group has proposed raising capital through perpetual preferred securities to build an $827 million Bitcoin treasury and an $800 million AI portfolio within a $2 billion total-asset target for fiscal 2031.
Summary
- An initial preferred securities offering would seek $12.5 million from income-focused investors.
- Proceeds would be divided among Bitcoin, AI investments, and an 18-month dividend reserve.
- Genius Group plans to restart Bitcoin purchases after liquidating its holdings to repay $8.5 million.
- Final offering terms remain subject to board approval, securities rules, and market conditions.
Genius Group turns to preferred capital
Genius Group said on Aug. 27 that it intends to use its $1.2 billion shelf registration to issue publicly registered perpetual preferred securities, placing the financing method at the center of its five-year treasury plan.
The Securities and Exchange Commission declared the shelf registration effective on July 18, 2025. Such a registration allows the NYSE American-listed company to offer securities over time, but it does not represent SEC approval of the securities or their investment merits.
Under the preliminary proposal, Genius Group would seek $12.5 million in its first preferred securities offering. The company expects the instruments to be non-convertible and to carry a variable dividend paid monthly.
Funds from the sale would be allocated among the Bitcoin treasury, the AI treasury, and a U.S. dollar reserve equal to approximately 18 months of preferred dividend payments. Genius Group did not disclose how much of the initial proceeds each party would receive.
Discussions have begun with investment banks that have experience in preferred securities and digital asset treasury financing. However, the final issue price, dividend rate, offering size, exchange listing, and sale date have not been decided.
Any offering would require separate materials filed with or furnished to the SEC. The structure will also depend on board approval, applicable securities laws, regulatory requirements, and market conditions, according to the announcement.
Shareholders provided some of the required corporate authority at Genius Group’s annual meeting in July. About 97.58% of votes supported giving the board authority to issue preferred shares, while 99.54% approved a mandate allowing the company to repurchase up to 20% of its ordinary shares.
The $2B target covers total assets
Rather than placing $2 billion entirely into Bitcoin and AI investments, Genius Group has set separate fiscal 2031 targets of $827 million for its Bitcoin treasury and $800 million for its AI portfolio.
Operating businesses, cash, and other holdings would account for the remaining assets under the $2 billion plan. The company currently reports net assets of $106.6 million, following a 57% year-over-year increase announced on Aug. 13.
Genius Group calculated its net asset value at $0.62 per ordinary share. With GNS closing at $0.18 on Aug. 26, the company said its stock was trading at approximately 0.29 times book value, compared with what it described as a 2.60-times average for the U.S. education sector.
Management has forecast that net asset value could reach between $2 and $4 per share over five years if the company executes its financing, asset-purchase, and share-buyback plans. The projection also depends on market conditions and the performance of Bitcoin and its AI investments.
Chief executive Roger James Hamilton described perpetual preferred capital as a way to fund treasury purchases without issuing more ordinary shares.
“Every dollar of preferred capital deployed into our Bitcoin and AI Treasury that generates returns above the preferred dividend rate flows directly to our ordinary shareholders’ net asset value.”
Returns above the dividend cost could add to the assets attributable to ordinary investors. If the acquired assets lose value or earn less than the dividend rate, however, the preferred payment obligations would remain senior to ordinary shareholder distributions.
Genius Group identified Bitcoin price volatility, changes in private technology company valuations, financing costs, and capital availability among the factors that could cause actual results to differ from its forecasts.
Strategy provides the financing model
For its proposed securities, Genius Group has taken Strategy’s Bitcoin financing program as its main reference. The company said Strategy has raised more than $16 billion through four perpetual preferred stock series since introducing STRK in January 2025.
The preferred securities have no fixed maturity and do not require repayment on a set date. Their dividends and senior claims still create costs that treasury assets must cover before any excess return reaches ordinary shareholders.
Investor demand has emerged for some of the products. In May, Strategy’s STRC security recorded $1.53 billion in daily trading volume, crypto.news reported, drawing attention to the use of dividend-paying stock to fund corporate Bitcoin holdings.
Market prices can also depart from the issue or liquidation value. STRC fell to an intraday low of $82.50 on June 18 before closing near $88.59, well below the approximately $100 level around which the security was designed to trade.
Strategy later used Bitcoin sales to support the preferred program. An Aug. 10 SEC filing showed that the company sold 1,690 BTC for $108.6 million between Aug. 3 and Aug. 9, using the proceeds to repurchase about 1.15 million STRC shares.
A subsequent filing showed Strategy spent $132.2 million on additional STRC repurchases and $52.4 million on related dividends during the following week. It also placed $149.1 million into its U.S. dollar reserve, bringing the cash pool to $4.8 billion.
For U.S. investors, Genius Group’s final prospectus will determine the economic and legal terms of the proposed security. Until those documents are available, its dividend rate, liquidation preference, call provisions, exchange access, and possible tax treatment remain unconfirmed.
Bitcoin purchases are scheduled to restart
Before developing the dual-treasury plan, Genius Group pursued a Bitcoin-first policy under which it intended to hold at least 90% of its reserves in BTC.
The company adopted the policy in November 2024 and planned an initial $120 million purchase program. By January 2025, it held 420 BTC after buying another $5 million at an average price of $95,912 per coin. Holdings later reached a peak of 440 BTC.
A U.S. court order disrupted the program in early 2025 by restricting the company from selling shares, raising funds or buying Bitcoin during a legal dispute tied to its asset purchase agreement with Fatbrain AI. Genius Group reduced its Bitcoin holdings while seeking relief from the restrictions.
After the order was lifted, the company resumed purchases in June 2025 and increased its balance to 100 BTC. Management also restored a target of accumulating 1,000 BTC.
Liquidity needs later forced another change. Genius Group sold its remaining Bitcoin during the first quarter of 2026 and used the funds as part of the repayment of $8.5 million in debt.
Before the final sale, the company reported holding 84 BTC valued at approximately $5.7 million in March. Its April 1 operating update said it would rebuild the treasury when management considered market conditions more favorable.
Under the latest timetable, Bitcoin purchases are expected to restart in the fourth quarter of 2026. The company has not disclosed the size or price of its first planned acquisition.
Genius Group established the second part of its treasury in May 2026, when the board authorized an AI portfolio with an initial investment plan of up to $100 million. The company made its first allocation in June through funds providing exposure to private companies, including OpenAI, Anthropic, Anduril, and Databricks.
SpaceX held the largest look-through weighting at 13.5% of the AI portfolio, according to the company. Genius Group said its portfolio also contained exposure to xAI, Figure AI, Replit, and other companies involved in AI models, robotics, and infrastructure.
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Grayscale Sees Zcash as Potential Bitcoin Challenger
Zcash could emerge as a meaningful challenger to Bitcoin’s dominance among digital assets as the rapid adoption of artificial intelligence puts a premium on financial privacy and fuels concerns over AI-powered surveillance, according to Grayscale.
In a new research report, Grayscale head of research Zach Pandl said Zcash (ZEC) has “second mover advantages” that could help it challenge Bitcoin’s (BTC) entrenched network effects, something previous alternatives such as Litecoin (LTC) have failed to achieve.
Central to Pandl’s argument is financial privacy. Zcash can shield transaction information, which Grayscale argues could become increasingly valuable as AI systems become better at analyzing financial activity at scale.
The report comes after ZEC’s roughly 19-fold increase over the past year. Despite those gains, Zcash remains valued at less than 1% of Bitcoin’s market capitalization, a disparity Grayscale sees as evidence of further upside if Zcash can capture market share.
Pandl acknowledged that Bitcoin’s liquidity and entrenched network remain powerful defenses of its dominant position. Grayscale also warned that Zcash remains a high-risk investment and that any further gains could be volatile and uneven.

Zcash could be valued at more than $4,000 if its market capitalization reached 5% of Bitcoin’s. Source: Grayscale
Related: Zcash’s Ironwood upgrade faces possible delay over infrastructure readiness
Zcash ecosystem attracts institutional capital
Interest in the Zcash ecosystem is broadening alongside ZEC’s strong price performance. As Cointelegraph recently reported, Nasdaq-listed privacy technology company Cypherpunk Technologies expanded its Zcash exposure by acquiring a mining fleet from Winklevoss Capital in a $33.33 million equity-based transaction.
The operation is already online across US facilities, producing about 4.2 GSol/s of Equihash hashrate, or roughly 18% of the Zcash network’s total computing power. Cypherpunk said the deal made its mining arm the network’s largest active fleet.
Related: Strategy’s $66B Bitcoin machine hinges on capital markets, not BTC price: Report
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The 100 Most Influential People in AI 2026
Since the release of the 2000 Oscar-winning movie about her, the name Erin Brockovich has been synonymous with grassroots activism against powerful institutions. This year, Brockovich has turned her attention to a new target: AI data centers. When Brockovich asked people online how they felt about the issue, she received a “flood” of impassioned responses, she wrote in May.
So Brockovich launched a tool to map data centers across the country, allowing community members to submit their own information about nearby data centers. That map has since received more than 9,000 reports and has become a repository for information, including about data centers’ energy usage, physical size, and economic impact. The site also tracks local legislative and community efforts to push back. (Similar efforts include the Data Center Proposal Tracker and Data Center Watch.)
While Brockovich has elevated all kinds of concerns, she herself is particularly concerned about data centers’ lack of transparency and public participation. “Transparency means notifying residents before decisions are made, not after,” she wrote on her blog in May. “It means elected officials who answer to their constituents first, not to the corporations seeking tax breaks and zoning variances.”
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Nvidia shares surge 8% on earnings beat, lifting technology stocks and bitcoin

Nvidia’s earnings beat and strong outlook lifted technology stocks, bitcoin and AI infrastructure companies.
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Anthropic IPO Could Come in September, But It Has a Massive Risk Factor
Anthropic plans to let early investors and staff sell stock in its upcoming market debut, according to a recent report by The Information. SpaceX gave its own backers no such option in June.
The prospectus should land soon after Labor Day on September 7. That document sets out the risks and the finances before anyone can buy.
Anthropic IPO Departs From Musk’s SpaceX Structure
Big listings can sell two kinds of stock:
- New shares raise money for the company.
- Existing shares pay early backers instead.
SpaceX sold only the first kind. Its pricing release covered 555,555,555 new shares at $135 each. Not one came from an existing holder.
Underwriters then took another 83,333,333. That brought the total to 638.9 million shares and roughly $86 billion, still the largest listing ever.
Every dollar went to the company, with the filing estimating that Musk kept about 82.4% of the voting power once trading began.
Anthropic has copied part of that design, as indicated in a recent report. As BeInCrypto reported, it described supervoting shares for founders, the same tool Musk used to hold control.
Letting insiders sell changes the other half:
- Backers get cash at the offer price.
- Buyers absorb more stock on day one.
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Longer Lockups Could Offset the Early Selling
A lockup bars insiders from selling for a set period after a debut. It shields a young stock from a flood of supply. SpaceX shows what the delay looks like, because on August 6, about 911.5 million insider shares became sellable at once. That topped the 638.9 million sold in June.
The tradable pool more than doubled overnight, rising from 4.9% of the company to 11.8%. The stock still closed up 6.1% that day.
Anthropic appears to want the smoother path. A sale inside the deal is priced and placed with buyers in advance. A lockup expiry is neither.
The company is weighing lockups longer than the norm. Insiders would take cash early, then wait longer for a second window.
The backers in line are also large, given Anthropic raised $65 billion in May at a $965 billion valuation, according to its own announcement. Altimeter, Dragoneer, Greenoaks and Sequoia led that round.
Sovereign money joined too, with Singapore’s state fund GIC co-leading alongside Capital Group and Coatue. Those are the names that would be selling.
They would sell at a far higher price, as Anthropic last reported revenue in May, when it said its run rate had exceeded $47 billion. It has not updated that number since.
The prospectus would answer some of these questions. It is also expected to name public backlash against AI as a formal risk.
Crypto traders already price the same stake. Anthropic exposure trades through pre-IPO token markets on Solana, where PreStocks handles 78% of OpenAI and Anthropic volume.
The filing will probably name who sells and for how much, with the list likely to reveal more about Anthropicis valuation.
The post Anthropic IPO Could Come in September, But It Has a Massive Risk Factor appeared first on BeInCrypto.
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Tokenized deposits may lift US borrowing costs
Tokenized deposits could make bank funding less “sticky,” potentially increasing borrowing costs for US households and businesses, according to an analysis by economists at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. The concern is not about immediate, one-for-one changes to lending, but about how faster deposit movement—enabled by instant settlement and automated transfers—could reshape how banks manage liquidity and credit risk.
In a research note, economists Rosie Levy and Srini Ramaswamy argue that programmable deposit tokens combined with automated transfer mechanisms could allow customers seeking higher yields to switch banks more quickly. They estimate that if deposits became 10% more responsive to interest rates, banks’ capacity to hold long-term loans and other assets could decline by roughly $700 billion on a 10-year-equivalent basis. A separate scenario where deposits stayed at banks 10% less time implies a reduction of about $580 billion, expressed in the same 10-year-equivalent terms. These are scenario outcomes, not forecasts.
Key takeaways
- Tokenized deposits may increase deposit “rate sensitivity,” making funding more mobile when higher yields appear elsewhere.
- Instant settlement and automated transfers could shorten how long deposits remain at a given bank, reducing stability.
- Dallas Fed researchers estimate large liquidity and balance-sheet capacity effects under two 10% sensitivity/time scenarios, though they are not direct lending cuts.
- Banks are already building shared blockchain-style networks intended to move tokenized deposits within the regulated banking system.
Why instant settlement could destabilize funding
Levy and Ramaswamy’s central mechanism is straightforward: when settlement happens instantly, customers can react to rate differences faster. In traditional banking, moving deposits can take time, which can blunt how quickly funds shift across institutions. With programmable deposit tokens, deposits can be designed to integrate with automated processes—potentially powered by agentic artificial intelligence—that coordinate transfers with less manual friction.
The economists describe this as a shift in deposit behavior: deposits become more sensitive to interest rates and potentially less time-bound at a single bank. That matters because bank lending relies on relatively stable funding to support longer-duration assets.
Importantly, the authors stress that their numerical estimates are scenario-based. The changes are framed in terms of banks’ capacity to hold long-term loans and other assets, not as a direct “dollar-for-dollar” reduction in lending.
What the Dallas Fed scenarios imply for banks and borrowers
Under one scenario, the researchers assume deposits become 10% more sensitive to interest rates. Under another, deposits remain at banks for 10% less time. In both cases, they estimate reductions in banks’ capacity to hold long-term assets—about $700 billion and $580 billion, respectively, using 10-year-equivalent measures.
The analysis points to trade-offs banks could face when deposit stability declines. One response could be holding larger portfolios of highly liquid assets, such as reserves and US Treasurys, to better withstand faster outflows. Another could be leaning more on term debt to maintain the lending book.
But both adjustments can come with costs. Increasing reliance on wholesale funding or term debt typically raises funding expenses, and those higher costs can propagate into credit terms for borrowers—precisely the outcome Levy and Ramaswamy say could increase credit costs for US households and businesses.
From research to rollout: bank networks for tokenized deposits
The Dallas Fed concerns arrive as US banks accelerate plans for tokenized-deposit infrastructure. On Tuesday, 39 US state banking associations formed the BankChain Alliance, aiming to develop a nationwide network designed to support tokenized deposits, stablecoins, and automated settlement. Separately, The Clearing House is developing another network backed by major institutions including JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Citi, BNY, and Wells Fargo.
Banks have also begun connecting tokenized-deposit systems across organizations. On Aug. 20, Standard Chartered and HSBC completed a live cross-border transaction through Swift’s blockchain ledger. The reported design linked the two banks’ separate systems and recorded obligations on the ledger, with settlement still occurring via existing payment infrastructure.
Taken together, these efforts suggest that the industry is moving beyond pilots toward interoperable systems. From a policy perspective, that raises a key question Levy and Ramaswamy implicitly put on the table: if the plumbing makes movement faster and more programmable, will regulators and banks anticipate and manage the resulting funding dynamics?
Liquidity lessons from instant payments—what’s comparable and what isn’t
Levy and Ramaswamy cite Brazil’s Pix instant-payment system as a comparison point, while emphasizing it is not identical to tokenized deposits. Their reasoning is that instant-payment rails can change how quickly funds can move, which can alter deposit behavior and, in turn, banks’ balance-sheet choices.
A 2025 study by Brazil’s central bank found that heavier Pix use increased banks’ holdings of liquid assets and reduced credit intermediation. While that evidence does not prove the same outcome will occur with tokenized deposits, it offers a relevant reference for how faster payment flows can influence bank liquidity decisions.
For investors and lenders, the policy takeaway is less about whether tokenization will “help or hurt” lending in the abstract and more about how institutions will adapt their asset-liability management. If deposit mobility rises, market participants should watch for shifts in liquidity buffers, reliance on wholesale funding, and credit pricing—channels the Dallas Fed analysis highlights.
Going forward, the key uncertainty is how quickly tokenized deposit networks translate into real consumer and business deposit switching behavior. Readers should watch for regulatory guidance around tokenized deposit frameworks and for measurable changes in banks’ funding structures—especially whether liquidity reserves and term-debt reliance rise as these systems expand.
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Bitcoin’s 23% Surge Lifts Miners Above AI Stocks
Bitcoin’s August rebound is dragging attention back toward the companies most directly leveraged to the network, with beaten-down mining stocks sharply outperforming many firms that had emphasized artificial intelligence (AI) and high-performance computing (HPC) rather than pure crypto exposure.
According to BlocksBridge Consulting’s Miner Weekly, Bitcoin has rallied about 23% over the past week—an advance that the firm says has outpaced most AI-linked infrastructure stocks. While some AI/HPC peers managed modest gains, the strongest moves were seen among miners with the most direct relationship to Bitcoin price action.
Key takeaways
- BlocksBridge reports Bitcoin’s ~23% weekly rally outperformed many AI-linked infrastructure equities.
- Bitcoin-focused miners such as Canaan, American Bitcoin, and Cango rose between 41% and 67%, while several AI/HPC-heavy names were flat or down.
- BlocksBridge attributes the stock surge to Treasury liquidity-support buybacks, renewed US crypto regulatory momentum, and a sharp liquidation-driven short squeeze.
- The broader message for investors: despite the industry’s AI pivot, Bitcoin price still largely determines near-term mining-stock performance.
Miners rebound while AI/HPC pivots lag
The outperformance was concentrated in companies that market themselves around mining and Bitcoin economics, rather than broader compute infrastructure narratives. BlocksBridge highlighted three beaten-down Bitcoin mining companies—Canaan, American Bitcoin, and Cango—posting gains ranging from roughly 41% to 67% during the same period.
By comparison, miners and infrastructure-linked companies with more diversified exposure saw smaller moves. BlocksBridge cited CoreWeave rising about 21%, Nebius gaining about 17%, and IREN up around 15%. It also noted that some players with heavier AI/HPC exposure were flat or declined—an important contrast for traders who may have been expecting the market to continue rewarding the AI theme alone.
This relative performance matters because it signals how quickly capital can rotate back toward the most straightforward “beta to Bitcoin.” Even if AI-related businesses remain central to longer-term strategy for many operators, the market appeared to treat Bitcoin price strength as the dominant driver of miners’ equity re-rating over the week.
Why Bitcoin’s rally translated into stock gains
BlocksBridge pointed to three overlapping catalysts that helped ignite the move in crypto markets and, in turn, mining equities.
Treasury buyback expansion and liquidity expectations
One driver was the US Treasury Department’s Aug. 19 announcement that it would at least double the size of its liquidity-support buybacks for longer-dated Treasury securities. BlocksBridge linked this to improved liquidity expectations—an environment that often supports risk assets broadly, including crypto-linked equities.
The connection is straightforward: when liquidity conditions improve, markets tend to become more willing to price risk higher, which can benefit volatile sectors like crypto and crypto mining.
Regulatory optimism after White House meeting
A second catalyst cited by BlocksBridge was renewed regulatory optimism following a White House meeting with crypto executives. Reuters reported that US President Donald Trump urged Congress to pass a “fair version” of the CLARITY Act, a stalled crypto market structure bill.
For public miners, regulation matters less as a daily operational variable and more as a factor that can influence investor confidence and capital allocation. Even the anticipation of clearer market rules can change how equity markets discount regulatory risk across the crypto complex.
Liquidations and a short squeeze after Bitcoin broke out
The third element described by BlocksBridge was a sharp short squeeze after Bitcoin’s breakout. The firm said more than $1.6 billion in crypto positions were liquidated over 24 hours—an event that can force margin closures, accelerate price momentum, and pull additional participants into the trade.
This type of positioning-driven rally can especially benefit miners’ stocks in the short term. Mining equities often move in tandem with both crypto prices and broader risk appetite, so liquidation cascades can amplify gains beyond what “fundamentals” alone would suggest.
Bitcoin still sets the pace, despite the AI funding push
BlocksBridge’s findings align with earlier coverage from Cointelegraph that Bitcoin’s rally lifted crypto-related stocks, including Bitcoin miners. While the industry has increasingly marketed AI and HPC capabilities in recent years, the week’s performance suggested that investors were still willing to pay up for direct exposure to Bitcoin rather than compute-adjacent narratives.
That focus is reinforced by additional BlocksBridge analysis referenced in the report: publicly traded Bitcoin miners have invested roughly $15 into AI data centers for every $1 in AI-related revenue generated. The firm cited nine public miners generating $341.2 million in AI and HPC revenue so far in 2026, alongside $5.11 billion in AI and HPC capital expenditures on the technology.
The implication is not necessarily that AI pivots are failing, but that the investment phase may be heavy and slow to convert into revenue. In such a setup, equities can be more sensitive to near-term Bitcoin price movements—because the market may not yet fully “see” AI returns in earnings, cash flow, or guidance.
What investors should watch next
If liquidity expectations, regulatory headlines, and crypto positioning remain supportive, mining stocks may continue to trade as a high-beta reflection of Bitcoin. But investors will likely watch whether the outperformance persists after the initial squeeze fades—and whether miners’ AI/HPC spending begins to translate into measurable revenue gains that can support valuations independently of Bitcoin’s next move.
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