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BTC falls alongside key software ETF (IGV)

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Software ETF (IGV) and bitcoin (BTC) prices (TradingView)

Cryptocurrencies started the shortened U.S. week on the back foot, with bitcoin sliding below $67,000 on Tuesday, falling below its tight weekend range of $68,000-$70,000.

The weakness coincided with a softer open for U.S. equities, especially for the battered software sector. The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) was 3% lower, and now 30% below the October high. Software stocks have been under pressure, with improving AI tools seen as a threat to their business models. Markets make opinions, and the current shibboleth says bitcoin is just software, so if AI is a threat to that sector, it’s a threat to bitcoin as well.

Software ETF (IGV) and bitcoin (BTC) prices (TradingView)

Software ETF (IGV) and bitcoin (BTC) prices (TradingView)

Read more: Bitcoin’s correlation with troubled software stock sector is growing

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The broader Nasdaq fell 0.8%, and the S&P 500 fell 0.6%.

Meanwhile, the once-parabolic rally in precious metals continued to cool. Gold dropped 3% to around $4,860 per ounce, while silver tumbled another 6%, leaving it roughly 40% below its late-January peak.

Crypto-related equities also retreated, giving back part of Friday’s sharp bounce. Strategy (MSTR), the largest corporate bitcoin holder, fell around 5% with a simlar decline for USDC stablecoin issuer Circle (CRCL). Bitcoin miners and data center names Riot Platforms (RIOT), MARA, CleanSpark (CLSK), Cipher Mining (CIFR) and TeraWulf (WULF) all fell roughly 4%-5%.

Crypto in search of a narrative

Paul Howard, senior director at trading firm Wincent, said that crypto remains firmly tethered to macro sentiment.

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“Macro news has been closely correlated with crypto’s risk profile the last 12 months and expectations are that macro numbers remain soft, implying a risk-off trade mentality,” Howard said.

He pointed to the U.S. Supreme Court’s ruling on tariffs expected later this week as a potentially bigger near-term catalyst than routine economic data.

For now, he expects more consolidation as bitcoin and the broader digital asset market search for a new narrative strong enough to pull capital back from AI stocks and commodities.

“Crypto has some work to do recreating itself as an appealing asset class and the relatively low prices are not attractive enough,” Howard said.

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Crypto World

Grayscale Says XRP Is Second Most Talked-About Asset After Bitcoin

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Grayscale Says XRP Is Second Most Talked-About Asset After Bitcoin


The positive sentiment reflects strong and meaningful activity from the XRP community, despite the bears dominating the broader market.

The crypto market may be in a bear season now, but some assets are in the spotlight, thanks to their strong communities. One such cryptocurrency is XRP, the native asset of the XRP Ledger (XRPL), otherwise known as the Ripple Network.

Recent data from the asset management giant Grayscale ranked XRP as the second-most-discussed asset in the platform’s community, after bitcoin (BTC). This reflects strong and meaningful activity from the XRP community.

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The Second Most Talked-About Asset

According to a voiceover from Grayscale’s Head of Product and Research, Rayhaneh Sharif-Askary, during the Ripple Community Day, XRP has a broad, vibrant community with “diehard fans.”

Grayscale advisors have reported that their clients are constantly asking about XRP. The asset is even considered the second-most discussed asset, behind BTC in some cases. Sharif-Askary revealed that a huge part of the excitement surrounding XRP is from persistent demand for products linked to the asset. Investors see the XRPL as a “battle-tested blockchain that has a real opportunity to capture market share” and are looking to tap into the ecosystem.

Additionally, the Grayscale product and research head believes the narrative and price sentiment surrounding XRP will change. The asset’s growth may have been delayed so far by lagging product-market fit and regulatory challenges. However, positive sentiment from the community is likely to change the narrative for the asset.

Bullish Predictions For XRP

Sharif-Askary’s remarks about positive community sentiment are echoed by weekly inflows into crypto investment products. CryptoPotato reported that most crypto funds just recorded a fourth consecutive week of outflows, but only products tied to assets like XRP saw positive flows.

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Bitcoin and Ethereum have continued to lag in sentiment, with their investment products losing $133 million and $85 million, respectively, last week. XRP, on the other hand, attracted over $33.4 million, with relatively steady demand.

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Interestingly, analysts are making bullish price calls for XRP. Last weekend, XRP emerged as one of the top gainers in the market, rallying over 16%, amid predictions that the Ripple asset may have begun to decouple from other larger-cap cryptocurrencies. At the time of writing, data from CoinMarketCap showed XRP trading around $1.45, with a slight decline over the last 24 hours. Regardless of the downturn, market experts foresee a bullish breakout in the asset’s price trajectory over the coming weeks.

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Bitwise files for prediction market-backed ETFs

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Why is crypto down? 6 key factors from Bitwise's Matt Hougan

Bitwise Asset Management has filed with regulators to launch a new line of exchange-traded funds tied to political prediction markets, marking its latest push into alternative investment products.

Summary

  • Bitwise has filed with regulators to launch a new line of ETFs focused on U.S. election outcomes.
  • The proposed funds would give investors regulated access to political prediction contracts through traditional brokerage accounts.
  • Approval is still pending, and regulators continue to review how these products fit within existing securities rules.

The filing was disclosed by Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart, who shared details on social media. According to the preliminary prospectus dated Feb. 17, the proposed funds would operate under the “PredictionShares” brand and remain subject to regulatory approval.

The document states that the offering is incomplete and that the securities cannot be sold until the registration statement becomes effective.

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Election-focused contracts at the core

The filings outline several proposed ETFs linked to U.S. political outcomes. These include separate funds tracking whether Democrats or Republicans win the 2028 presidential election, as well as products tied to control of the House and Senate in the 2026 mid-term elections.

Rather than investing in companies connected to prediction markets, the funds are designed to hold event-based contracts sourced from regulated trading venues. These contracts pay out based on specific real-world outcomes, such as election results.

Bitwise said PredictionShares will serve as a dedicated platform for clients seeking regulated exposure to prediction markets through traditional brokerage accounts. No launch date has been set, and approval from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has not yet been granted.

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Seyffart noted that similar filings have appeared in recent months and said more are likely to follow as interest in the sector grows.

Growing competition and market interest

Bitwise’s chief investment officer, Matt Hougan, said prediction markets are expanding in both size and relevance, making them difficult for asset managers to ignore. He added that client demand played a key role in the decision to pursue the products.

Other firms have also moved into the space. Roundhill Investments previously filed for similar election-based ETFs, while GraniteShares has submitted competing proposals. None has yet received regulatory clearance.

With platforms like Polymarket reporting heavy trading volume during significant political events, prediction markets have drawn increased attention in recent election cycles. Supporters say these markets often reflect public opinion more quickly than traditional polls.

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Critics, like Vitalik Buterin, warn that they are extremely risky and can behave like speculative bets. Industry analysts caution that funds associated with particular outcomes could lose most of their value if forecasts prove to be wrong.

Additionally, regulators are examining how these products align with current derivatives and securities regulations.

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Trading Platform eToro Q4 Earnings Sends Stock Surging

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Trading Platform eToro Q4 Earnings Sends Stock Surging

Trading platform eToro jumped more than 20% after reporting better-than-expected fourth-quarter earnings, with revenue coming mainly from its crypto services.

The company reported on Tuesday that its Q4 net income increased 16% from a year ago to $68.7 million, with earnings per share of 71 cents, compared with analyst expectations of 60 cents.

Fourth-quarter revenue came in at $3.87 billion, down 40% from the prior-year period, with crypto revenue accounting for the bulk of earnings at $3.59 billion.

The earnings beat bucked eToro’s main crypto rivals, Coinbase and Robinhood, whose Q4 earnings both missed expectations as their revenues took a hit amid a crypto market crash late last year.

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Meanwhile, eToro’s full-year 2025 revenue rose more than 9% from 2024 to $13.84 billion, while its net income jumped 12% year-on-year to $215.7 million. Its full-year crypto revenue was $13 billion, up nearly 7% from 2024.

Shares climb on Q4 beat, CEO says it will catch crypto wave

Shares in eToro (ETOR) ended trading on Tuesday up 20.4% to $33.07 on the company’s earnings beat, making it one of the best-performing crypto stocks for the day. The stock fell slightly after-hours to $33.

Shares in eToro were among the best-performing crypto stocks on Tuesday. Source: Google Finance

EToro CEO Yoni Assia said it is “a pivotal moment for financial services” as artificial intelligence and the increasing use of blockchain infrastructure are “reshaping how people invest and interact with markets.”

“EToro is uniquely positioned to capture this opportunity,” he said. “We are positioning eToro for a financial system that is increasingly moving on-chain. With our long-standing leadership in crypto and tokenization, we are well placed to help shape this transition.”

Related: Gemini post-IPO shakeup sees exit of three top executives

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Assia told investors on an earnings call that eToro was seeing some of its crypto-focused customers “suddenly trading commodities” for the first time.

“There’s somewhat of a convergence or a shift from crypto, which now has lower volatility, to now basically gold, silver, and other commodities that have higher volatility,” he said.