Crypto World
Ethereum, Base abandon common wallet standard talks after months of discussions
Ethereum and Coinbase-backed Base abandoned an effort to build a common standard for the next generation of crypto wallets, with developers on both sides deciding the compromise cost each network too much.
The goal was to make crypto wallets behave more like modern apps. Users could log in with passkeys, recover accounts in different ways, allow an app to pay transaction fees and bundle several blockchain actions into a single transaction. Holding ETH simply to pay a network fee would become optional.
The disagreement centered on differences in the blockchains’ priorities, and developers spent months trying to merge the two designs. The inability to reach an agreement means developers designing wallets that work across both networks may need to support two different ways of constructing and approving the same transaction.
“Ethereum wanted to be the best version of Ethereum, and Base wanted to be the best version of Base, and while both sides acknowledged the benefits of ecosystem interoperability, it was ultimately secondary to the need for each chain to achieve their core goals,” Derek Chiang, an Ethlabs developer involved in the work, posted on X.
According to Chiang the cooperation efforts broke down last week.
Crypto World
XRP sinks 10% as the Clarity Act fails and bitcoin slides toward $76,000
She also said the Commodity Futures Trading Commission lacks the staffing to implement the law, and that the bill left gaps on money laundering and terrorist financing.
Today, I voted no on the Clarity Act, legislation meant to regulate cryptocurrency in America.
The ethics provisions in this bill are simply too thin. President Trump, his children, and his Cabinet are making billions of dollars in the crypto space, in part from bilking everyday…
— Sen. Elissa Slotkin (@SenatorSlotkin) September 15, 2026
Crypto equities took it harder than the tokens. Coinbase fell nearly 9% to $174.42 and Circle dropped more than 9% to $88.26, with Galaxy Digital down 8% and Gemini 7%. Bullish and Riot Platforms each lost 5%, eToro 4%, and Robinhood, MARA Holdings, CleanSpark, IREN and Core Scientific fell between 3% and 4%.
Attention now moves to the regulators the bill was meant to bind.
The Securities and Exchange Commission is already working on its proposed Reg Crypto framework and rules for tokenized securities, which becomes the only route to the certainty the industry wanted from Congress.
Industry political action committees including Fairshake have to decide how to treat the senators who voted no before the Nov. 3 election, and a new Congress convenes in January 2027.
The Federal Reserve decides on rates later Wednesday with traders leaning toward a quarter-point hike, with it landing on a market that has just watched its legislative bid collapse and is already selling risk.
Read More: Inside the last-minute political breakdown that doomed the Clarity Act vote
Crypto World
US crypto tax bill clears House committee in 38-5 vote
The U.S. House Ways and Means Committee has advanced the Digital Asset Tax Certainty Act in a 38-5 vote, moving the first proposed federal tax framework for digital assets toward consideration by the full House.
Summary
- H.R. 10357 cleared the House Ways and Means Committee by a 38-5 vote.
- The bill offers a tax exception for qualifying crypto network and transaction fees of up to $10.
- Proposed rules cover stablecoins, wash sales, crypto lending, mining, staking and broker reporting.
- The vote came one day after the CLARITY Act failed its procedural test in the Senate.
Crypto tax bill advances with bipartisan support
The House Ways and Means Committee approved H.R. 10357, known as the Digital Asset Tax Certainty Act, during a Sep. 16 markup after more than a year of work among lawmakers from both parties.
Committee Chair Jason Smith called the vote a first for the tax-writing panel, saying members had produced a framework that would place digital assets more clearly within the Internal Revenue Code.
“This is a historic moment for this Committee: after more than a year of working together, Republican and Democrat Members have come together to establish the first-ever tax framework for digital assets,” Smith said in his opening statement.
Rather than passing through the full House, the 38-5 vote moves the proposal out of committee and makes it eligible for consideration on the chamber floor. Both the House and Senate would need to approve identical text before the measure could reach the president.
Smith said the committee built H.R. 10357 through months of study and input from lawmakers. He described the digital asset industry as a sector worth more than $2 trillion globally and argued that clearer tax rules could help prevent related companies and jobs from leaving the United States.
The committee considered a substitute amendment that replaced the introduced version with similar language and set Sep. 14, 2026, as the reference date for several provisions. Changes tied to that date include rules for wash sales, constructive sales, certain foreign entities and digital assets covered by registration requirements.
Digital asset tax rules cover fees and stablecoins
Under the committee-approved text, taxpayers would not recognize a gain or loss when using digital assets to pay qualifying network or transaction fees of no more than $10.
Network fees covered by the provision include payments used to validate another digital asset transaction. Eligible transaction costs include brokerage, trading, liquidity, and similar fees, although the bill sets conditions on the type of asset used to pay them.
Current federal treatment can create a taxable disposal when a person spends crypto, including when tokens are used to cover transaction costs. As crypto.news previously explained in its review of current federal tax treatment, the IRS treats digital assets as property, meaning a sale, exchange, or payment can create a capital gain or loss.
The $10 exception would remove gain-or-loss recognition only for qualifying fees, rather than create a general exemption for everyday crypto purchases. Certain traders, brokers, dealers, transaction validators and taxpayers conducting more than 5,000 digital asset transfers in the prior tax year would face exclusions, subject to administrative rules in the bill.
H.R. 10357 also creates simplified accounting methods for gains and losses involving widely traded digital assets. Another section provides specific treatment for qualifying transactions involving U.S. dollar stablecoins, addressing assets designed to maintain a fixed value against the dollar.
Alongside those user-facing provisions, the bill covers transfers made under digital asset lending agreements, tax rules for dealers and traders, a trading safe harbor and charitable contributions of certain digital assets. Proposed rules would also treat some stablecoin lending arrangements as debt for federal tax purposes.
For American taxpayers, the changes could alter both how gains are calculated and which records must be kept. Existing rules require taxpayers to track the cost basis and fair value of crypto involved in taxable disposals, while broker reporting through Form 1099-DA has expanded the transaction data sent to the IRS.
Crypto wash sales, mining and staking enter the framework
Anti-abuse sections of the bill would extend wash-sale rules to traded digital assets and apply constructive-sale provisions to crypto. Under current law, the statutory wash-sale restriction applies to securities but not digital assets, allowing taxpayers to sell crypto at a loss and quickly repurchase it while still claiming the loss.
H.R. 10357 would close that distinction for assets covered by the legislation. The proposal also includes rules involving foreign corporations, investment companies, straddles, and distributions of traded digital assets from partnerships to partners.
Mining and staking receive separate treatment. The bill addresses the source and character of income earned through both activities and provides rules for investment trusts engaged in digital asset staking.
Existing IRS guidance generally treats mining and staking rewards as ordinary income once a taxpayer receives control of the assets. A later sale can produce a separate capital gain or loss based on any difference between the disposal price and the value already recognized as income.
Further provisions revise digital asset broker requirements and establish a voluntary disclosure program. Eligible taxpayers could use the program to correct certain past digital asset reporting failures, while the Treasury Department would be required to study the framework and submit a report.
According to a Joint Committee on Taxation estimate, the complete bill would raise a net $500 million in federal revenue from fiscal 2027 through 2036. Its wash-sale provision is projected to raise about $1.71 billion over the period, while the exemption for small digital asset fees is estimated to reduce revenue by roughly $2.37 billion.
The bill also incorporates the FULL HOUSE Act, which would restore the deduction for gambling losses up to the amount of a taxpayer’s winnings. Smith said the provision would reverse a change that reduced the allowable deduction to 90% of winnings, potentially leaving some taxpayers with a bill even when they broke even or lost money.
CLARITY Act remains stalled after Senate vote
Committee approval arrived one day after the Senate rejected cloture on the motion to proceed with H.R. 3633, the vehicle for the CLARITY Act. The Sep. 15 vote ended 49-50, leaving the measure 11 votes short of the 60 required to begin debate.
The result was procedural and did not constitute a final vote on the market-structure legislation. Still, it stopped senators from opening debate, offering amendments or moving toward passage at that stage.
Unlike the tax-focused H.R. 10357, the CLARITY Act addresses how digital assets and market intermediaries would be regulated. Its provisions seek to define the respective roles of the Securities and Exchange Commission and Commodity Futures Trading Commission, including expanded CFTC authority over digital commodity spot markets.
Before the vote, disagreements centered on presidential crypto interests, protections for decentralized finance developers and stablecoin rewards. A previous Senate vote analysis also identified the limited congressional calendar as an obstacle because any Senate changes would need approval from the House.
Federal agencies may continue developing policy under their current authority while the legislation remains stalled. In a Sep. 16 assessment, Michael Saylor said the SEC, CFTC and Treasury could proceed without waiting for Congress, though the CFTC does not hold the complete spot-market powers contemplated by the bill.
The official Senate record lists the cloture motion as rejected and gives no date for another vote. Sen. Thom Tillis changed his vote to “no” after the outcome became clear, placing him on the prevailing side and preserving his ability under Senate procedure to move for reconsideration.
Crypto World
Fed raises rates by 25 bps in first hike since 2023
The Federal Reserve has raised its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4%, delivering its first increase since July 2023 as inflation and energy costs remain elevated.
Summary
- The Federal Reserve unanimously raised its benchmark rate by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4%.
- New projections show 16 of 18 officials expect at least one more increase in 2026.
- Bitcoin briefly approached $76,000 after the widely expected decision.
- Oil above $100 and hot August inflation data helped build the case for higher rates.
Fed rate hike receives unanimous FOMC support
The Federal Reserve said the Federal Open Market Committee voted unanimously to lift the federal funds target range from 3.5%–3.75% to 3.75%–4%.
All 12 voting members supported the increase, giving Fed Chair Kevin Warsh a united decision at his first policy meeting to produce a change in interest rates. The committee had voted 9–3 to leave rates unchanged at its July meeting.
Policymakers said inflation remained elevated and described the increase as a step that would support a more timely return to the Fed’s 2% target. Officials also said domestic spending had remained resilient while productivity growth and capital investment stayed strong.
The latest statement removed previous language that linked inflation mainly to supply shocks. According to analysts cited by Reuters, the change suggested that officials were paying more attention to persistent price pressures rather than treating recent inflation as a temporary result of disrupted supplies.
During his press conference, Warsh said the committee would “deliver price stability.” The pledge came after annual headline consumer inflation climbed to 3.4% in August, while core CPI increased 0.3% from July and 2.4% from a year earlier.
Producer prices also came in above forecasts before the meeting. Components of the PPI report that feed into the Fed’s preferred personal consumption expenditures price index led economists to expect firmer August PCE inflation.
Fed projections point to another increase in 2026
The Fed’s economic projections showed that 16 of 18 policymakers expect at least one additional quarter-point increase before the end of 2026. Only two officials projected no further change from the new range.
Warsh did not submit an individual rate projection, according to Reuters. The median forecast places the federal funds rate at 4%–4.25% at the end of 2026 and at the same level at the end of 2027.
Goldman Sachs Asset Management global fixed-income chief Kay Haigh told Reuters that the projections did not indicate the start of an aggressive tightening cycle. Haigh said one more increase in December was the firm’s base case, although incoming inflation readings and energy prices would influence the decision.
The projections correct the original report’s claim that 12 of 18 policymakers expect another increase. Current figures show 16 officials anticipate at least one more move.
Prediction-market traders also expect another increase during 2026. Polymarket contracts cited in the original report placed the probability of two quarter-point hikes during the year at 69%, including the increase announced Wednesday.
Traders showed less confidence in an immediate follow-up move. The platform assigned a 62% probability that the Fed would leave rates unchanged after its next meeting, placing more attention on December as the possible date of another increase.
Oil and inflation strengthen the case for higher rates
Energy prices became an important part of the policy backdrop after renewed conflict in the Middle East disrupted supply routes and pushed Brent crude above $100 per barrel.
Ahead of the Fed announcement, Brent traded near $108 after gaining 2.9% during the previous session. Oil later fell about 0.6% after reports that Saudi Arabia was offering additional cargoes through Oman, according to Reuters market data.
Higher energy costs raised concerns that fuel and transport prices could keep headline inflation above the Fed’s target. Rate increases cannot restore disrupted oil supplies, but the central bank can use tighter financial conditions to prevent energy-driven price gains from spreading through consumer demand, wages and other parts of the economy.
Bond markets had already adjusted to the inflation risk. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield reached 5% before the decision, its highest level since 2007, while traders assigned a probability of more than 92% to a quarter-point increase.
As crypto.news previously reported, the market fell before the announcement, with total cryptocurrency capitalization declining more than 2% to about $2.6 trillion. Bitcoin dropped below $76,000 as traders prepared for higher U.S. borrowing costs.
Following the announcement, the two-year Treasury yield rose about 3 basis points to 4.693%. The 10-year yield slipped 1 basis point to 4.985%, while the 30-year yield fell 3 basis points to 5.331%.
The U.S. dollar index gained 0.5% to 100.18. Stock moves remained limited, with the S&P 500 up 0.2% and the Nasdaq gaining 0.7% shortly after the decision, according to Reuters.
Bitcoin approaches $76,000 after the Fed decision
Bitcoin traded between roughly $75,000 and $75,800 around the announcement before briefly advancing toward $76,000. The modest rise followed a rate decision that futures traders had almost fully priced in.
Earlier technical coverage found that Bitcoin defended $76,000 after falling to an intraday low of $75,605 and then recovering toward $76,900. Liquidation clusters sat near $75,000 on the downside and between $77,600 and $78,500 above the market.
The cryptocurrency remained under pressure after losing around 4% during the previous U.S. session. More than $540 million in bullish crypto positions were liquidated over 24 hours, while U.S.-listed spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds recorded over $450 million in net outflows on Sep. 15, according to data reported by Reuters.
Higher Treasury yields can place pressure on Bitcoin and other risk assets because U.S. government debt offers investors increased returns without the volatility associated with cryptocurrencies. A firmer dollar can also raise the cost of dollar-priced assets for investors outside the United States.
Monetary policy was not the only source of selling. A separate report on the vote showed that the Senate’s CLARITY Act cloture motion received 50 votes to 49, leaving it 10 votes short of the 60 required to open debate.
The procedural defeat prevented the chamber from considering amendments or holding a final vote on the digital-asset market structure bill. The proposal sought to divide federal oversight of cryptocurrencies between the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.
Crypto World
US Charges Robinhood Engineers Over Crypto Listing Trades
US prosecutors on Tuesday charged two former Robinhood engineers with commodities fraud and wire fraud for allegedly using confidential information about upcoming cryptocurrency listings to profit from perpetual futures trades on Hyperliquid.
According to the US Department of Justice (DOJ), Hefu Chai and Huaisong “Jerry” Xiang bought perpetual contracts linked to tokens ahead of Robinhood Crypto listings. The DOJ alleged each profited more than $50,000 from the trades between 2025 and 2026.
The DOJ said Chai and Xiang had access to a private company Slack channel containing information about planned listings. Prosecutors allege they used that information to open long positions on Hyperliquid, closing them when their value increased after their debut on Robinhood.
The allegations have parallels to the Coinbase insider-trading case in 2023, in which a former employee used confidential information to profit from listings of new tokens by directly buying the underlying asset, though the Robinhood case extends the issue into decentralized derivative markets.
Cointelegraph contacted Robinhood for comment but did not receive a response by the time of publication.
Robinhood barred employees from trading around listings
According to the DOJ’s complaints, Chai worked at Robinhood from around 2021 until May 2026 and served as a technical lead responsible for new digital-asset listings. Xiang worked there from around 2024 until September 2026 as a software engineer involved in crypto listings.
Robinhood designated both engineers as “Coin Aware Individuals,” giving them access to a private Slack channel containing planned listing dates, according to the complaints.
The company’s policy prohibited members of the group from trading on Robinhood or any other platform 24 hours before or after a listing or delisting announcement.
Prosecutors allege Chai traded perpetuals ahead of at least 10 announcements involving tokens including Cat in a dogs world (MEW), Moo Deng (MOODENG), Aster (ASTER), Plasma (XPL), Hyperliquid (HYPE), Ethena (ENA) and Aerodrome Finance (AERO). Xiang allegedly first traded Popcat (POPCAT) perpetuals in March 2025 before trading ahead of at least 10 other listing announcements.
Related: US prosecutors drop OpenSea NFT fraud case after appeals court reversal
US Attorney Jamie McDonald said corporate insiders cannot evade securities and commodities laws by trading misappropriated information through perpetual futures, tokenized securities or similar instruments.
Each defendant faces one count of violating the Commodity Exchange Act, which carries a maximum prison sentence of 10 years, and one count of wire fraud, which carries a maximum of 20 years.
The charges against Chai and Xiang remain allegations, and both defendants are presumed innocent unless convicted.
Magazine: HYPE price could suffer as Binance takes its revenue: Alice Liu
Crypto World
Breaking: Fed Raises Interest Rates by 25 Bps, Bitcoin Price Reacts
For the first time in three years, the United States Federal Reserve raised the benchmark interest rates by 25 bps.
In a unanimous decision, 12-0, the Committee decided to raise the target range for the federal funds rate by 1/4 percentage point to 3-3/4 to 4 percent, in support of its dual mandate.
This was quite expected given the recent developments, including the strong US labor report from a couple of weeks ago and the hawkish speech by Fed Chair Kevin Warsh. Moreover, the inflation data from last week gave the central bank even more reason to do so.
The price reaction from BTC was quite surprising, as the asset actually surged by a grand and a half to $76,500, where it was stopped for now.
The asset crashed hard yesterday after the Senate’s failure of the CLARITY Act, but today’s move shows that the Fed hike was priced in. All eyes are now on the next speech by Warsh.
The post Breaking: Fed Raises Interest Rates by 25 Bps, Bitcoin Price Reacts appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
After CLARITY Setback, Armstrong Says ‘We Can’t Wait on Congress Anymore’
The US Senate failed to advance the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act after the procedural vote fell short of the 60 needed to move forward. While this was “disappointing,” Coinbase co-founder Brian Armstrong said that bipartisan talks may continue and the bill could get another chance.
The exec, however, acknowledged that the industry “cannot wait” for Congress anymore.
Calls for a Post-Mortem
Armstrong said that the SEC and CFTC already have enough authority to establish clear rules and expects them to start working on that in earnest. According to the Coinbase chief, “clarity” is coming to crypto regardless of what happens with the bill. Armstrong also noted that some concessions made on CLARITY were difficult to accept. That could make its setback easier to take, while adding that the industry cannot be “uninvented.”
Meanwhile, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse said that “this one stings.” He asserted that the team gave everything it had to get the bill across the finish line.
“This was an opportunity bigger than Ripple or one company – we did this for the industry, for consumers and to cement the US’s position as the crypto capital of the world and as a leader in the future of finance. Ultimately, consumers and US competitiveness got left behind.”
Garlinghouse also called for a post-mortem on the failure while blaming Democratic politics for elevating the “anti-crypto army” over policy. Still, he sees reason for optimism. He expects the SEC under Chair Atkins and the CFTC under Chair Selig to keep working on rules that address the legislative gap.
Four Republicans Oppose Bill
Tuesday’s vote followed a series of last-minute talks between Republicans and crypto-friendly Democrats who were trying to reach a deal. Around a dozen Democrats were seen as possible supporters of the legislation. However, they ultimately held back their votes after negotiations over ethics rules failed to produce an agreement. Concerns also remained over President Trump and his family’s involvement in the crypto industry.
Three Republicans joined the opposition: Susan Collins of Maine, Josh Hawley of Missouri, and Jerry Moran of Kansas. Delaware Democrat Chris Coons did not vote. Thom Tillis of North Carolina also voted against the measure for procedural reasons so he could file a motion to reconsider and keep open the possibility of another vote.
The outcome drew reactions from lawmakers across Congress. Ruben Gallego said Republicans should have worked more closely with Democrats on a version that included stronger ethics provisions. Catherine Cortez Masto said she had negotiated until the final moments but added that important issues remained unresolved after Republican leadership ended talks.
The post After CLARITY Setback, Armstrong Says ‘We Can’t Wait on Congress Anymore’ appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
Zcash holders overwhelmingly back faster transactions and bitcoin-style halvings
The latest system was introduced this summer to replace the previous token-holder voting process and give shielded balances much stronger privacy guarantees.
Holders also voted 96.6% to wait until February 2031 before beginning to reissue ZEC collected through the Network Sustainability Mechanism, or NSM.
How this helps Zcash
The planned system removes funds from circulation, including at least 60% of transaction fees, and eventually recycles the ZEC through future block rewards. The mechanism does not change Zcash’s maximum supply.
The result keeps the existing halving schedule intact while allowing those recycled fees to accumulate for several years before returning to miners.
Meanwhile, holders also showed little appetite for delaying the broader upgrade. About 99.3% voted to ship NU7 as soon as possible, dropping any feature not implemented by a Sept. 30 readiness deadline rather than waiting for every approved component to be finished.
Read More: Building the Zcash Machine: Tachyon and Quantum Readiness
The 25-second block proposal also fits into a wider effort to make private ZEC payments much faster.
CoinDesk reported in August that new Zcash software cut proof-generation times on mobile devices from more than three seconds to under 200 milliseconds in some tests, while separate work around Zakura and Project Tachyon targets much higher private-transaction throughput.
Crypto World
ECB seeks online merchants for 2027 digital euro pilot

Euro-area online and mobile merchants can apply until Oct. 27 to test beta digital euro payments in a 12-month pilot.
Crypto World
Trump Demands 3% Rate Drop After Warsh Raised it and Threatens More Hikes
President Donald Trump demanded the Federal Reserve slash interest rates to 1% or lower on Wednesday. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh had just lifted rates to 3.75%-4% in the central bank’s first hike since 2023.
The Federal Open Market Committee’s decision was unanimous. Updated projections show 16 of 18 officials expect another increase before year-end, a shift from July’s outlook.
Fed Independence Fight Reignites
The committee also dropped language blaming part of inflation on supply shocks. It now argues the hike supports a quicker return to its 2% target.
Trump aired his frustration on Truth Social within hours of the announcement. He argued that the United States deserves near-zero borrowing costs because of its creditworthiness.
He also claimed that cutting trade with surplus countries could add at least $1.5 trillion a year to federal coffers. He has made similarly large investment claims before, and fact-checkers have called those figures overstated.
LOWER THE INTEREST RATES FOR THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, AND FAST!
Trump wrote in the post.
The post reopens a fight Trump had let simmer since Warsh took over as Fed chair from Powell. That switch has so far produced zero rate cuts.
Trump had already threatened to cut off trade with surplus countries if the Fed refused to ease policy. That threat touches most of the country’s largest trading partners.
He raised similar demands earlier in September as hike odds kept climbing, with the midterms adding pressure.
White House spokesman Kush Desai told Fox News that Trump still “absolutely” believes in the Fed’s independence. Yet he keeps pressuring it publicly.
Bitcoin and Gold React
Bitcoin’s price jumped in the minutes after Wednesday’s decision, even as it stayed down for the day. Gold spiked at the same time, then gave back its gains, according to BeInCrypto’s coverage of Wednesday.
With traders still pricing in another hike this year, Warsh’s next press conference may decide whether Trump’s pressure campaign escalates further.
The post Trump Demands 3% Rate Drop After Warsh Raised it and Threatens More Hikes appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
The Next Short? Economist Compares Hyperscaler AI Debt Stress to 2008 Housing Collapse
Apollo Global Management warned Wednesday that credit default swaps on hyperscaler debt are pricing in more risk. Chief economist Torsten Slok tied the shift to weakening credit fundamentals rather than routine bond-dealer hedging.
Hyperscalers are the cloud computing giants, including Amazon, Microsoft, Google, and Meta, that run the infrastructure behind the AI boom. They face a credit default swap (CDS) gap against bank debt, widened to about 60 basis points since October 2025.
Debt-Financed AI Buildout Draws 2008 Comparisons
Slok made the case in a Wednesday note reported by CNBC.
“What the market is repricing is hyperscaler credit fundamentals, namely a debt-financed AI capex cycle with rising leverage, negative free cash flow and uncertain payback on depreciating assets.”
Dan Alpert, founding managing partner of Westwood Capital, compared the setup to the run-up to the 2008 mortgage crisis. He said banks have since built far bigger equity buffers and are more diversified than they were then.
The comparison recalls “The Big Short,” the film chronicling investors who spotted mortgage bond mispricing years before the 2008 crash.
Slok’s note follows a weekend call from leading AI labs to slow model development over safety concerns. That shift could squeeze demand for the computing power hyperscalers are financing.
A Creaking Market
Analysts have separately flagged similar warning signs in the private credit market, where cracks are also drawing 2008 comparisons.
The pattern echoes how AI debt pushed yields toward multi-year highs earlier this year.
Not everyone agrees the risk has crystallized. Paul Meeks, head of technology research at Freedom Capital Markets, said hyperscaler margins are already improving as capacity additions slow.
Dean Baker, founder of the Center for Economic and Policy Research, said CDS investors are betting against the AI companies. He argued they doubt the companies can deliver on the commitments funding their debt.
Alphabet and Meta each carry negative forward free cash flow near $25 billion, while Amazon’s runs near $30 billion. Microsoft remains cash flow positive, according to FactSet data cited in Slok’s note.
Whether the widening CDS spreads mark an early warning or a temporary repricing remains unclear. The answer may hinge on how quickly AI revenue catches up to the spending it funds.
The post The Next Short? Economist Compares Hyperscaler AI Debt Stress to 2008 Housing Collapse appeared first on BeInCrypto.
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