Crypto World
Prediction markets face hearing call from 11 Senate Democrats
All 11 Democrats on the Senate Banking Committee have asked Chair Tim Scott to hold a public hearing on prediction markets after Republican members met privately with Kalshi’s chief executive.
Summary
- The senators want all committee members to examine the markets’ effects on consumers and the financial system.
- They say some contracts tied to corporate results could fall under SEC oversight.
- Kalshi and Polymarket recorded about $53 billion in combined global trading volume in July, according to Pew Research Center.
- State disputes over sports contracts and a recent CFTC warning have added to the regulatory debate.
In a Sep. 23 letter, the Democratic members of the Senate Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs Committee asked Scott to convene a hearing open to the full panel. Ranking member Elizabeth Warren and Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto led the request after reports that Republicans planned a private discussion with prediction market executives, including Kalshi representatives.
The senators said a public session would let lawmakers question industry participants about consumer exposure, market integrity and the financial products being offered. Their request focused in part on contracts linked to company performance, which they said could qualify as security-based swaps and come under Securities and Exchange Commission rules.
According to The Block, Republican committee members met Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour on Sep. 23. Scott told the outlet that the discussion covered securities-linked products, how investors use them, retail protections, and regulatory questions for Congress.
Why Democrats want a public prediction markets hearing
The letter argues that both individual and institutional investors are gaining exposure to security-based prediction markets. As firms seek SEC approval for products tied to corporate earnings, the senators said the Banking Committee should examine how such contracts are offered and supervised.
“The full Senate Banking Committee has a critical oversight role to play,” the lawmakers wrote, referring to requests for approval of options linked to company earnings. Their letter asks Scott to allow every committee member to take part in a public hearing, rather than limit the discussion to a meeting with Republican members and industry executives.
The SEC question matters because prediction markets do not all involve the same underlying event. A contract on a sports result raises different regulatory issues from one tied to a public company’s earnings. The Democrats said the latter type could meet the legal definition of a security-based swap; the letter presents that as a possibility for examination, not a finding that every such contract falls under SEC authority.
Kalshi has separately pursued products linked to U.S. shares. As reported in September, it filed rules for stock and ETF perpetual futures with the SEC and CFTC, proposing 23-hour weekday trading and a minimum customer margin of 15.50%. Those proposed security futures differ from the event contracts discussed in the senators’ letter, but the filings show why both agencies feature in questions about Kalshi’s products. The CFTC had not approved the stock perpetual submissions when that report was published.
Trading volume has risen as lawmakers examine investor losses
For the scale of the industry, the senators pointed to the rapid growth of Kalshi and Polymarket. Pew Research Center found that their combined monthly global trading volume rose from less than $5 billion in September 2025 to about $24 billion in April 2026. Pew’s newer analysis put the total at $53 billion in July, up from $26 billion in May, with sports accounting for much of the increase.
Pew’s measure counts contracts at their $1 value if the outcome is correct, rather than the price a trader paid. It is a measure of trading activity, not an estimate of the cash traders put into their accounts. Its September report also found that combined volume remained around $47 billion in August after easing from July’s level.
The Democrats raised the risk of manipulation and trading by people with advance knowledge of an outcome. They also cited research suggesting that profits are concentrated among a small share of users while many others lose money. Those concerns formed part of their case for questioning platforms in public.
Pew’s study of 11,989 active Polymarket wallets provides a more specific view of trading results. Over a six-week period from May to June, 56% of the sampled accounts lost money, while 7% made more than $1,000 and 9% lost more than $1,000. Pew said the typical account was close to breaking even. Its sample did not cover Kalshi or Polymarket’s newer U.S. platform, so the findings do not describe the results of all prediction market users.
CFTC warnings and state cases add to the oversight debate
Market integrity is also receiving attention from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. In coverage of its warning, crypto.news reported that CFTC staff had flagged contracts based on what a named person says, attends, or does as especially vulnerable to manipulation. The agency called for exchanges to explain how they would identify people who could influence an outcome and detect misuse of nonpublic information.
The CFTC has already brought cases involving traders whose access or conduct affected event-contract outcomes. In one case described in the agency’s orders, a former White House teleprompter operator used advance access to presidential speeches to trade contracts tied to President Donald Trump’s remarks. In another, former Rep. George Santos traded a contract concerning his attendance at the 2026 State of the Union while making public statements about his plans.
Sports contracts pose a separate question for U.S. customers: whether federal oversight of a registered derivatives exchange prevents states from applying their gambling laws. New Jersey asked the Supreme Court in September to review a ruling favoring Kalshi. As the state’s petition was previously covered, New Jersey argues that federal derivatives law does not strip states of authority over sports wagering within their borders. Kalshi maintains that its CFTC registration places the contracts under federal oversight.
At the same time, Kalshi has sought to expand access for professional traders through a proposed margin framework for selected event contracts. Its Sep. 22 filing would allow eligible participants to post margin rather than fund the full possible loss of a position at the outset. Sports contracts are excluded from the proposal, and access would be limited to participants trading through a registered futures commission merchant or approved to clear their own trades.
Crypto World
Why More Republicans Are Breaking With Trump on Iran
Michigan’s Republican nominee for governor, Rep. John James, told reporters on Tuesday that “we need to end this war quickly. Because war is terrible, and no one likes war.”
Earlier this month, Republican Reps. Zach Nunn and Mariannette Miller-Meeks, who both are in the midst of close-fought reelection races in Iowa, cited concerns about the lack of a clear plan to end the conflict after voting for the first time in favor of a resolution to constrict Trump’s ability to continue military action in Iran without congressional approval.
“With the negotiating window closed, sustained combat operations now require congressional authorization,” Nunn, an Air Force combat veteran and colonel in the U.S. Air Force Reserve, said in a statement. “Having deployed multiple times and flown over 700 combat hours in the Middle East, I will not support another open-ended war.”
Miller-Meeks, who served for more than two decades in the U.S. Army, voiced a similar sentiment in a post on X—as well as referencing the conflict’s impact on gas prices. “I said it in March: the mission had to stay focused and limited, because Americans do not want another forever war,” she wrote. “I will not vote to keep our soldiers in an open-ended war, with Iowans paying too much at the pump.”
Crypto World
As Amazon Stock Prospers, Traders Might Consider This Option Play
Amazon (AMZN) powered through its 50-day moving average on Monday with the stock finishing the day up nearly 2%. Amazon looks to have recovered from its recent correction and could provide an attractive candidate for bullish option traders. Traders looking for a way to play Amazon stock via options could use a bull put spread. As a reminder, a bull…
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Crypto World
MoonPay to Acquire North Capital in All-Stock Deal Exceeding $60M
MoonPay has agreed to acquire North Capital in an all-stock deal valued at more than $60 million, pushing the crypto payments firm deeper into regulated US securities infrastructure. The acquisition is designed to support MoonPay’s broader push into tokenized real-world assets (RWAs), particularly private-market securities.
According to MoonPay’s announcement shared with Cointelegraph, the deal would enable the company to move into functions such as issuance, custody, and secondary trading of private securities, including tokenized securities. North Capital operates broker-dealer, alternative trading system (ATS), transfer agent, and investment adviser businesses—all registered with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.
Key takeaways
- MoonPay will pay for North Capital with an all-stock transaction worth more than $60 million, according to a person familiar with the matter cited by Cointelegraph.
- The target brings SEC-registered broker-dealer, ATS, transfer agent, and investment adviser capabilities, aligning the acquisition with MoonPay’s RWA strategy.
- North Capital reports having supported more than $8.7 billion in primary and secondary transaction volume.
- The companies’ boards have approved the deal, which remains subject to regulatory approvals and customary closing conditions.
Why MoonPay’s move matters for tokenized securities
Tokenized RWAs have long faced a practical bottleneck: getting “onchain” products to connect with traditional capital markets functions such as custody, issuance workflows, and compliant secondary trading. MoonPay’s planned acquisition of North Capital is framed as an effort to bridge those components through “modern, programmable infrastructure,” as MoonPay CEO Ivan Soto-Wright said in the company’s statement shared with Cointelegraph.
For investors and market participants, the significance is less about a new headline promise and more about operational capabilities. North Capital’s existing regulatory footprint—covering broker-dealers and an ATS as well as transfer agent and investment adviser roles—suggests MoonPay could attempt to formalize end-to-end rails for private securities. That is particularly relevant for tokenized private market assets, where settlement, custody, and trading controls are typically expected to fit within established compliance frameworks.
North Capital’s infrastructure and reported scale
North Capital, based in Midvale, Utah, provides multiple lines of securities-market infrastructure. The company’s portfolio includes broker-dealers and an alternative trading system (ATS), along with services such as a transfer agent and an investment adviser, all registered with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.
In its announcement, MoonPay said North Capital has supported more than $8.7 billion in primary and secondary transaction volume. While that figure does not, by itself, indicate what portion would be tied to tokenized assets after the acquisition, it does provide a baseline for the business’s market activity and indicates established relationships and operational readiness in US private securities workflows.
Under the terms described, North Capital will become a wholly owned MoonPay subsidiary after the transaction closes. Both companies’ boards approved the acquisition, and the deal is still subject to regulatory approvals and other customary closing conditions.
Deal structure, valuation, and MoonPay’s funding backdrop
MoonPay’s agreement to acquire North Capital is structured as an all-stock transaction valued at more than $60 million, according to a person familiar with the matter cited by Cointelegraph. MoonPay has not been described as paying a cash premium in the provided details; instead, the focus is on combining equity-linked ownership with infrastructure expansion.
For context on MoonPay’s financial trajectory, Cointelegraph points to data compiled by Traxcn showing that MoonPay last raised funding in October 2021 through a $2.18 million seed round at an unspecified valuation. The same dataset places MoonPay’s valuation at $3.4 billion at the time of reporting, with investors including Karlani Capital and Fiduciary Trust International.
MoonPay’s valuation and earlier funding history are relevant because they frame the company’s capacity to pursue acquisitions as it expands from crypto payments into broader capital markets roles. Even without additional deal-specific terms in the source, the move signals a strategic reorientation toward regulated market infrastructure rather than relying solely on payment rails.
Building beyond crypto payments: MoonPay’s broader acquisition pattern
This North Capital deal is described as the latest entry in MoonPay’s acquisition push during the year, as the company expands beyond pure crypto payment services. Cointelegraph previously reported MoonPay’s purchases of key institutional crypto infrastructure provider Sodot and the DFlow trading infrastructure platform, as well as an AI finance operations platform called Entendre.
Taken together, those earlier acquisitions highlight a recurring theme: MoonPay is attempting to assemble a stack that supports institutional custody, onchain trading capabilities, and broader financial operations—then extend that stack further into compliant securities infrastructure via regulated entities like broker-dealers and ATS platforms.
For market observers, the key question is what changes after closing. Will MoonPay’s existing institutional toolset be used to onboard issuers and intermediaries into tokenized private securities workflows more efficiently? The provided details stop short of outlining specific product launches or timelines for tokenized secondary markets, so readers should watch for follow-through: regulatory filings, integration milestones, and any public expansion of tokenized securities offerings that leverage North Capital’s licensed roles.
As the acquisition moves through approvals, the most important uncertainties remain practical and regulatory: the pace of closing, how MoonPay integrates North Capital’s SEC-registered functions, and whether the resulting infrastructure can translate tokenized private securities into consistently compliant issuance and secondary trading at scale.
Crypto World
Crude Oil Prices Pressured by Diplomatic Hopes in the Middle East
October WTI crude oil (CLV26) is down -0.17 (-0.18%) today, and October RBOB gasoline (RBV26) is up +0.0673 (+1.94%).
Crude oil and gasoline prices are mixed today, with crude falling to a 3-week low. Today’s rally in the dollar index ($DXY) to a 7-week high is bearish for energy prices. Crude prices also fell today on a report that said Iran will reopen the Strait of Hormuz in seven days if the US lifts its blockade. Crude prices recovered from their worst level after the crude crack spread rose to a record high, encouraging refiners to purchase crude oil and refine it into gasoline and distillates.
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Crude prices fell today after Japan’s Kyodo News Agency reported that Iran has proposed reopening the Strait of Hormuz within seven days if the US lifts its blockade of Iranian ports.
Crude prices are also pressured by signs that diplomacy may bring an end to Middle East hostilities after a spokesman for Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard said that “if our national interests require us to negotiate alongside the war, we must negotiate.” In addition, people familiar with the matter said Saudi Arabia is in the early stages of restarting its East-West pipeline and resuming crude exports from its Red Sea port of Yanbu later this week.
Signs that more crude supplies are moving through the Strait of Hormuz are easing supply concerns and are bearish for crude prices. On Monday, Admiral Brad Cooper, head of US Central Command, said crude and liquefied natural gas flows through the Strait of Hormuz over the past two weeks are running at a six-month high. Also, data from the European Union’s Sentinel 2 satellite showed oil supertankers with the capacity to collect 14 million bbl of oil were observed at Saudi Arabia’s export installations inside the Persian Gulf, signaling the country has shifted its crude exports back toward the Strait of Hormuz following the shutdown of its East-West pipeline.
Crude oil prices rallied to a 4-month high last Tuesday on fears that global oil supplies will tighten further after Saudi Arabia shut down its key East-West pipeline, disrupting a key route that bypasses the Strait of Hormuz. The 750-mile-long East-West pipeline, which carries 7 million bpd of crude, was closed as a precaution following attacks by Houthi rebels. The pipeline moves oil away from the Persian Gulf toward the Red Sea, where it can be loaded on tankers. Last Tuesday, Saudi Aramco said it is delaying oil deliveries to some European customers because of the pipeline closure.
Crypto World
$20 Million in XRP Stolen From Thousands of Hardware Wallets
Attackers drained roughly 11.7 million XRP from thousands of D’CENT App Wallet users. The theft, worth close to $20 million, unfolded between September 15 and 20. XRPL.to published the on-chain forensic timeline.
The operation unfolded across six separate waves. It hit a combined 6,678 wallets using keys the thief already controlled.
How the Attack Actually Unfolded
Someone manually drained eight wallets, each holding over 99,999 XRP, within an hour on September 15. An automated script then swept a total of 1,682 wallets that same day.
Five more waves followed through September 20. Each wave reused the same script, manual tool, and stolen keys.
Attackers went beyond simple transfers, too. They deleted 5,001 accounts entirely to claim their remaining reserve balances, XRPL.to reported.
Notably, 2,470 of those wallets had never been swept. That detail suggests the thief held a broader list of compromised keys than the initial drain revealed.
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The stolen funds moved fast. Roughly 5.6 million XRP crossed into Ethereum through THORChain. Other funds are routed through exchanges, including Binance, as well as services like unionchain.ai and NEAR Intents.
Each sweep often reached an off-ramp within hours, limiting the window available for freezing stolen funds. About 1.3 million XRP still sat in the attacker’s own wallets as of September 21.
Why Are D’CENT Users Specifically at Risk?
D’CENT confirmed abnormal transfers affecting its App Wallet on September 16. The company clarified that hardware wallets remained unaffected. It later urged users to move funds immediately, though it has not confirmed whether reimbursement will follow.
Notably, no XRP Ledger exploit caused this incident. Every sweep used valid signatures from the wallets’ own private keys. That detail means the compromise originated from how those keys were exposed, not from any flaw in the network itself.
XRPL.to’s analysis found the operation reused identical scripts and fee patterns across multiple waves. That pattern strongly suggests a single coordinated actor carried out every stage. Security researchers now recommend one specific step.
Anyone who used D’CENT’s App Wallet at any point should migrate funds to a new wallet immediately. The exact method behind the original key compromise still remains unconfirmed.
XRP trades near $1.49 at the time of writing. That figure marked a 6% drop over the past 24 hours, according to BeInCrypto data. The token’s market cap stood near $93.82 billion, ranking fifth among all cryptocurrencies.
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The post $20 Million in XRP Stolen From Thousands of Hardware Wallets appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Bitcoin Threatens Sub-$84,000 Breakdown as Long Liquidations Spike
Bitcoin (BTC) was rejected near $87,000 on Wednesday as onchain data showed negative spot demand.
Key points:
- Bitcoin suffered a correction below $84,000 around Wednesday’s Wall Street open, causing $280 million in long liquidations over the course of four hours.
- Analysis saw $82,000 as key support to hold in the event of a further breakdown.
- Bitcoin cumulative spot demand remained negative on a rolling 30-day time frame
BTC price falls toward $84,000, nears week-to-date low
Data from TradingView tracked a second attempt to break beyond $87,000 before BTC/USD fell to local lows under $84,000 into the Wall Street open.

BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
These levels marked the upper and lower boundaries of a narrow intraday range. Liquidity thickened on both sides of the spot price as traders attempted to force a breakout from the sideways range. Data from CoinGlass tallied liquidations over the four hours prior to the time of writing at $280 million.

BTC liquidation heatmap. Source: CoinGlass
Commenting on the current landscape, trader and analyst Rekt Capital flagged $82,000 as a level for bulls to hold should the low-timeframe structure break down.
“For bullish continuation and to avoid reverting back into the $60k-$80k Range, Bitcoin would need to stay above or at minimum successfully retest ~$82k on any future dip,” he wrote in a post on X.

BTC/USD one-week chart. Source: Rekt Capital on X.com
As Cointelegraph reported, the current range has implications for certain investor cohorts. The US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have their aggregate cost basis at just below $86,000.
Earlier, analysis highlighted $90,000 as the likely next area in which BTC/USD will consolidate due to the increased likelihood of profit-taking by traders.
Spot demand shows only modest improvement
Despite gaining over 35% since the week beginning Aug. 17, Bitcoin faces an ongoing struggle to attract spot-market demand.
Related: Crypto metric signals altseason as Bitcoin market-cap share stalls below 60%
In its latest research, onchain analytics platform CryptoQuant claimed that interest was still largely confined to derivatives markets.
“The negative value of $BTC spot demand has narrowed slightly, while futures demand continues to increase. Total demand is also showing a slight recovery compared to the previous day,” it reported in a blog post on the day.
An accompanying chart showed that cumulative 30-day apparent spot demand measured -180,000 BTC as of Tuesday. Negative values reflect supply outpacing demand over the 30-day lookback period.
“Although total demand remains in negative territory, the trend is shifting toward the positive. If the current momentum persists, spot demand will also flip to positive. That moment will mark the beginning of a more significant rally,” CryptoQuant added.

Bitcoin spot vs. futures apparent demand (screenshot). Source: CryptoQuant
Crypto World
XRP Ledger lending plan advances: Can XRP price break above $1.60?
XRP price pulled back to about $1.51 on Sep. 23 after briefly rising above $1.65, leaving $1.60 as the first price level to reclaim while the XRP Ledger’s native lending proposals remain in validator voting.
Summary
- XRP price reached $1.6581 during the daily session before retreating to about $1.51.
- XLS-65 and XLS-66 would add pooled vaults and fixed-term lending directly to the XRP Ledger.
- Neither lending amendment has activated on mainnet; each needs sustained validator support.
- XRP remained above its 20-day moving average near $1.40, though money flow was negative.
XRPL Commons describes the proposed system as a way to bring pooled lending onto the XRP Ledger without deploying separate smart contracts. The plan depends on two amendments: XLS-65 would create Single Asset Vaults, while XLS-66 would let loan brokers use funds in those vaults for fixed-term credit. Both remain subject to validator approval.
XRP Ledger lending still needs validator approval
A Single Asset Vault would hold one type of asset, such as XRP, RLUSD, or another supported token. Depositors would receive shares representing their portion of the vault. Loan brokers could then arrange loans using the pooled funds, with the ledger recording terms, payments, and defaults.
The proposed system would leave borrower checks and lending decisions to the firms operating the loans. It also allows a broker to provide first-loss capital, which could absorb part of a default. Neither feature removes the risk that a borrower fails to repay or that depositors lose money.
A further amendment, LendingProtocolV1_1, would add vaults with set periods for deposits, lending and withdrawals. It would also count interest as income only when a borrower pays it. As crypto.news reported on the XRP Ledger’s 3.4.0 software release, adding those rules to server software did not activate them on mainnet.
The approval process matters more than the software release for timing. XRP Ledger amendments need support from more than 80% of trusted validators for two consecutive weeks before activation. XLS-65 and XLS-66 have yet to complete that process, so native lending has no confirmed mainnet start date.
Would lending create demand for XRP?
A lending launch would give developers and financial firms another reason to use the XRP Ledger, but the size of any effect on XRP would depend on which assets they lend. An XRP-funded vault would use XRP as its lending asset. A vault funded with RLUSD or another issued token would use that asset for its loans, while XRP would retain its role in network fees and account reserves.
That distinction is relevant to the planned RLUSD credit product previously covered by crypto.news. The product was being tested for working-capital loans to fintech and payment companies, with RLUSD rather than XRP serving as the credit asset. Its development shows a possible use for the lending rules, but it does not establish how much XRP borrowers or lenders would need to buy.
For U.S. holders watching the proposal, validator approval and actual use of the lending system are separate milestones. A vote could make the feature available; subsequent vault deposits and loans would show whether firms adopt it and whether XRP itself becomes a material lending asset.
XRP price faces another test near $1.60
XRP’s daily trading range shows why $1.60 remains the immediate test. The token opened near $1.57, reached $1.6581, and fell as low as $1.5070 before trading around $1.51 in the Sep. 23 chart snapshot. A move back above $1.60 would put the day’s high near $1.66 in view. The previous September spike near $1.70 marks the next visible area above it.

On the downside, the 20-day simple moving average near $1.40 sits below the current price. The chart also shows moving averages clustered around $1.28–$1.29. A loss of $1.40 would weaken the recent rebound and bring that lower area back into focus.
The 20-day Chaikin Money Flow reading stood at −0.09, indicating that buying pressure had not strengthened alongside the latest rise. XRP can still retest resistance, but the intraday retreat and negative money-flow reading leave the $1.60 break unconfirmed. The validator vote offers a development to watch; the chart has yet to show that it will carry XRP through resistance.
Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.
Crypto World
Former SEC Acting Chair Says Crypto Cases Were Dropped Over Credibility Concerns
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has moved to dismiss civil enforcement actions against multiple crypto-related companies that were filed under the prior administration, according to SEC Commissioner Mark Uyeda. Speaking at the Psaros Center for Financial Markets and Policy’s Financial Markets Quality Conference, Uyeda said the agency’s decision was tied to an intended shift in how it approaches rulemaking and litigation strategy.
Uyeda, who served as acting SEC chair from January to April 2025 before Paul Atkins took over following confirmation, argued that continuing cases authorized under earlier leadership could undermine the SEC’s credibility if the agency’s legal posture changes. His remarks point to a broader tension at the intersection of crypto enforcement and evolving regulatory interpretation within the SEC.
Key takeaways
- SEC Commissioner Mark Uyeda said civil crypto cases were dropped to avoid an “180-degree change” in positions becoming inconsistent in court.
- Uyeda linked the dismissals to preparations for a major shift in SEC rulemaking and litigation approach.
- The commissioner suggested there were doubts about whether the earlier cases were “justifiable under law,” as the SEC anticipated reversal in its stance.
- The SEC’s leadership structure is also in flux, with Commissioner Hester Peirce’s departure expected in November and no announced replacements by Trump.
Why the SEC moved to end crypto enforcement cases
Uyeda described the early-2025 decision as a pragmatic step to manage consistency between what the SEC argues in litigation and what it plans to adopt through rulemaking. He said the commission determined that litigators should not continue cases that had been authorized under the previous administration if doing so would conflict with a new set of policy objectives.
In Uyeda’s account, the SEC was concerned that courts could receive interpretations from the agency that effectively reverse course compared with the positions it had previously advanced. He said this would erode the agency’s credibility—especially when the SEC is attempting to persuade judges while simultaneously pivoting its regulatory framework.
Uyeda framed the issue around the potential for litigators to defend earlier arguments while the SEC prepares to issue a fundamentally different approach. “I’m not about to have our litigators… stand up in court and have a commission interpretation be issued that is a 180-degree change from what they’d been arguing for,” Uyeda said, according to his remarks at the conference (via Psaros Center for Financial Markets and Policy).
Dismissals under the prior administration’s approach
Uyeda’s comments align with reporting that the SEC dropped several crypto-related lawsuits earlier in 2025. Earlier coverage from Cointelegraph noted that the commission dismissed a case involving Kraken, and it also dropped actions involving other industry names including Ripple Labs and Coinbase.
Those dismissals had drawn sharp criticism from opponents of the agency’s previous strategy, who described the moves as part of a politically charged shift rather than a purely legal recalibration. Cointelegraph’s earlier reporting tied the enforcement pattern to concerns about retaliation dynamics following President Donald Trump’s 2024 campaign. That reporting also pointed to Trump’s pledge to fire then-SEC Chair Gary Gensler “on day one,” with Gensler resigning the day Trump took office.
While Uyeda’s conference remarks focused on litigation coherence and institutional credibility, the political backdrop matters for how market participants interpret the SEC’s enforcement trajectory. For industry observers, the question is whether dismissals should be understood as a correction of legal weaknesses, a change in policy direction, or both.
Rulemaking overhaul and “credibility” in court
The SEC’s legal posture in crypto has long been contentious because enforcement actions often serve as a proxy for regulatory interpretation in the absence of comprehensive, sector-specific rules. In that context, Uyeda’s stated rationale—avoiding situations where the SEC’s court arguments would conflict with its future policy—highlights a core challenge for the agency: how to transition from one interpretive approach to another without weakening its ability to persuade judges.
Uyeda’s argument suggests the SEC is seeking to reduce the likelihood that it appears internally inconsistent. If an agency simultaneously pursues litigation based on one theory while planning to issue an opposing theory through rulemaking, the court may treat the shift as a retreat from prior positions rather than a natural evolution of policy. Uyeda said that outcome could harm the SEC’s credibility.
For investors and market participants, this matters because the SEC’s enforcement strategy can influence compliance expectations and legal risk premiums. Even when a case is dismissed, the underlying uncertainty about what the SEC considers acceptable activity may persist—especially in a regulatory environment where guidance and rules are still developing.
Leadership transition at the SEC adds uncertainty
Uyeda’s remarks came as the SEC itself is preparing for additional leadership change. He has served as an SEC commissioner since 2022 and is currently part of the agency’s leadership alongside Paul Atkins and Commissioner Hester Peirce. However, the source reporting indicates Peirce’s departure is expected in November.
That expected change could significantly alter the SEC’s internal balance at a time when the agency is already adjusting its posture toward crypto litigation and rulemaking. According to the same account, the agency would then have only two members on its leadership panel out of five, and Trump has not announced nominations to replace potential departing leadership.
For crypto market participants, fewer confirmed decision-makers can mean slower consensus on enforcement priorities and rulemaking direction. It also raises the likelihood that upcoming SEC leadership changes could influence whether earlier enforcement dismissals represent a pause, a broad retreat, or the beginning of a new era of regulatory strategy.
As the SEC continues navigating the shift Uyeda described, readers should watch for the next steps in rulemaking and any subsequent enforcement signals. The key open question is whether the agency’s “credibility” rationale will translate into clearer, consistent standards for crypto compliance—or whether legal uncertainty will simply move from active lawsuits to new forms of guidance and litigation.
Crypto World
Aerodrome farming made up 90% of USDC transfers, analyst says
Aerodrome liquidity farming has accounted for about $109 billion of the $121 billion in USDC transfers recorded on Sep. 23, according to an analysis by RyeBlocks.
Summary
- RyeBlocks attributed roughly 90% of the day’s reported USDC transfer volume to farming on Aerodrome.
- The analyst estimated that one-tick farming has generated about 75% of USDC transfer volume in the data measured since Aerodrome launched.
- The figures measure token movements, which can include activity other than payments.
- Visa also separates raw stablecoin transfers from adjusted activity in its onchain dashboard.
On-chain analyst RyeBlocks posted the figures on Sep. 23, describing the Aerodrome activity as “inorganic farming.” The estimate leaves about $12 billion of the reported daily total outside the activity RyeBlocks identified. It does not establish that the remaining amount consisted entirely of payments.
The analyst also put one-tick farming at roughly 75% of the USDC transfer volume measured since Aerodrome launched. RyeBlocks linked to a Dune analysis, but the post does not spell out the full scope and filters behind that longer-term figure. It should therefore be treated as the analyst’s estimate for the measured data, rather than a verified share of every USDC transfer across all blockchains.
Why USDC transfers can outnumber payments
Aerodrome is a decentralized exchange on Base, the blockchain network developed by Coinbase. Traders use its liquidity pools to swap tokens, while liquidity providers deposit assets that support those trades. Aerodrome’s documentation says eligible providers can receive AERO token rewards, with allocations to pools determined through weekly voting.
In one-tick farming, a liquidity provider uses a very narrow price range for a position. As positions are managed, USDC can move through pool contracts repeatedly. RyeBlocks’ finding concerns the resulting transfer records: the value counted as moving onchain can rise each time the tokens change position, even when the activity does not represent a new purchase or a payment to another person.
Aerodrome says it launched on Aug. 28, 2023, and uses a concentrated-liquidity design called Slipstream alongside another type of liquidity pool. Its rewards system gives providers a reason to place funds in eligible pools. RyeBlocks has identified farming within that system as the source of most of the USDC volume in its Sep. 23 comparison.
The finding does not, by itself, show wrongdoing by Aerodrome or its users. Providing liquidity is a normal exchange activity. The measurement question is whether a headline transfer total tells readers how many dollars people used for payments, or whether it mainly counts repeated movements connected to trading and liquidity management.
A separate measure shows why the distinction matters on Base. In September, Aerodrome handled $557.1 million of tokenized-stock trades during a 30-day period, or 76% of that category’s volume on the network, according to Token Terminal figures previously covered by crypto.news. That measure counted completed swaps. RyeBlocks’ USDC figures concern token transfers, so the two totals describe different types of activity and should not be combined.
How stablecoin data providers separate the activity
Visa’s Onchain Analytics Dashboard draws a distinction between total stablecoin volume and an adjusted measure. Visa says public blockchains record activity initiated both by people and by software, including transactions that do not resemble conventional settlement. Its adjusted methodology seeks to remove potential distortions from bots, high-frequency trading, routing and repeated internal movements within a transaction.
Visa and its data partner Allium also classify transfers by use. The dashboard distinguishes payments for goods, services or person-to-person transfers from decentralized finance, exchange flows, trading and other categories. A USDC transfer into a liquidity pool can therefore be recorded onchain without being classified as a consumer or business payment.
The adjusted figure is not a simple count of payments, either. Visa says some DeFi activity can appear in adjusted volume, depending on how a transfer is classified and whether it passes the dashboard’s filters. Its methodology also uses address labels and transaction thresholds, which means results depend on the rules used to sort the data.
Dune describes a similar need to identify what a transfer represents. Its stablecoin data can classify activity such as a decentralized-exchange swap, a lending deposit, or a bridge transfer. Dune says users can choose which categories to include when calculating adjusted volume, rather than relying on one formula for every purpose.
Circle’s USDC figures cover several uses
For U.S. investors following Circle, the issuer of USDC, the difference between transfer volume and payments is relevant to how company activity figures are read. Circle reported $14.8 trillion in USDC onchain transaction volume for the second quarter of 2026, up 151% from a year earlier. As earlier coverage of Circle’s results noted, that total includes trading and transfers alongside payments. It is a quarterly, company-reported measure and is not directly comparable with RyeBlocks’ single-day estimate.
Circle has also reported a narrower payments figure. Its second-quarter results put USDC at 99.3% of the payment volume it measured through x402, a protocol that lets software pay for online services. The percentage applies to that protocol’s measured activity, not to all payments made with USDC.
In August, Bernstein used another measure when assessing Circle. The brokerage said adjusted stablecoin volume was running at an annualized rate of about $17 trillion through July, with its calculation excluding bots and high-frequency activity. That estimate covers stablecoins generally and uses a different period and method from the figures RyeBlocks reported.
Circle’s planned expansion into payments provides a separate point of comparison. In September, the company agreed to buy payments firm Tazapay for $400 million in stock. Circle said Tazapay processes more than $25 billion in annualized payment volume across payout routes spanning over 100 markets, with stablecoins involved in about 60% of its transaction volume. The deal remains subject to approvals, including clearance from the Monetary Authority of Singapore.
Crypto World
RBC Is Bullish on Kraft Heinz Stock and Expects Growth to Return in 2027
Kraft Heinz (KHC) has not been a story of growth in recent years. Volumes are down, revenues are under pressure, and the stock is trading below its 52-week high price. However, according to RBC Capital Markets, it appears that investors might have overlooked what lies ahead.
RBC recently initiated its coverage of Kraft Heinz with a price target of $32 and an “Outperform” rating. Analyst Nik Modi forecasts that the packaged food giant will start organic growth in 2027 when its organic revenue growth is estimated to reach 0.9% versus the consensus estimate of 0.4%. The thesis is partially driven by approximately $700 million of additional investments into pricing, innovation, and marketing in 2026. As a result, 2027 will be the test year for Kraft Heinz: the company has to show that increasing investment into its brands can lead to higher volumes and growth of revenues.
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About Kraft Heinz Stock
Headquartered in both Pittsburgh and Chicago, The Kraft Heinz Company is one of the largest producers of packaged foods and beverages in the world. The company’s brand list includes Heinz, Kraft, Philadelphia, Lunchables, Capri Sun, and Oscar Mayer. Currently, the market capitalization of Kraft Heinz is about $29 billion.
KHC stock is trading around $24, having a 52-week price range from $21.03 to $28.09. The stock is approximately 13% below its 52-week high price despite recovering around 16% since its low, and it lags the S&P 500 Index ($SPX), which is still in the green for 2026.
The valuation is one of the elements of RBC’s thesis that stands out. The current multiple of KHC is approximately 11.9 times of forward earnings and 1.16 times of sales. Moreover, KHC’s forward P/E ratio is below several previous highs of the stock reached this decade. This suggests that investors are currently not paying a lot for the growth. It makes sense given the weakness in the volumes but becomes more interesting if RBC turns out to be correct.
Another element of the story is income. Kraft Heinz distributes a quarterly dividend of $0.40 per share ($1.60 annually); that means the current forward yield is about 6.5%. The most recent declared dividend payment date is Sept. 25.
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