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What’s at stake on final day of WNBA’s regular season? Seeding, draft lottery odds, more

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The 2026 WNBA regular season will come to a close Thursday with a five-game slate that includes critical games at both ends of the standings. While all eight playoff spots have long been locked up, only four teams are locked into their seeds and only one first-round series is set. And, in what you could easily argue is an even more consequential standings-related matter, the top odds for the No. 1 pick in the 2027 WNBA Draft are still up for grabs. 

Here are the seeds already locked:

The only first-round series we know as of now is Lynx vs. Liberty, which will be a rematch of the 2024 Finals. The Nos. 2, 3, 5 and 6 seeds are to be determined, as are the 2 vs. 7, 3 vs. 6 and 4 vs. 5 first-round matchups. 

Here’s a look at Thursday night’s schedule:

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Remarkably, every single remaining game matters in some way — even Tempo vs. Sun, which may be the most important of them all. Before the action begins, here’s a closer look at what’s at stake:

Valkyries vs. Aces for No. 2 seed

The Valkyries held the Portland Fire scoreless for the first 6:40 of their matchup on Tuesday and led 17-0, but collapsed and eventually lost in overtime. That result not only allowed the Minnesota Lynx to back into the No. 1 seed, but left the Valkyries with work to do to secure the No. 2 seed. 

The Valkyries are one game up on the third-place Aces, but the Aces have the tiebreaker between the clubs after winning the season series 3-0. If the Valkyries beat the Sparks (they’re 11.5-point favorites), they will get the No. 2 seed and play the Wings in the first round, and the Aces would be the No. 3 seed. But if the Valkyries lose and the Aces beat the Mercury, the Aces would jump the Valkyries for the No. 2 seed and the Valkyries would fall to No. 3. 

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Fever vs. Mystics for No. 5 seed

Over the weekend, the Mystics crushed the Fever in a consequential victory that gave Washington the tiebreaker between the clubs. Now, there’s a chance that the Mystics could use that tiebreaker to jump the Fever for the No. 5 seed. 

The Fever are one game up on the Mystics, and if they beat the Lynx in Minneapolis, they will secure the No. 5 seed and play the Dream in the first round. But if the Fever lose to the Lynx and the Mystics beat the Sky, the Mystics would take the No. 5 seed via the tiebreaker. 

On paper, the Fever have a much tougher matchup, but they just beat the Lynx so badly that Cheryl Reeve waved the white flag at halftime. Plus, Olivia Miles will once again be sidelined with a calf issue and the Lynx no longer have anything to play for. No one else on the Lynx is on the injury report, but it’s hard to imagine the starters playing heavy minutes when the playoffs start in three days. 

Sun need loss for best lottery odds

Playoff seeding and first-round matchups are incredibly important, but the Valkyries, Aces, Fever and Mystics are already in the postseason in a year where there’s incredible parity and have strong foundations for the future. The Sun and the Tempo, on the other hand, need a lot of help. 

That makes Thursday’s matchup between two of the league’s worst teams arguably the most important game of the entire season. In fact, given the nature of the 2027 WNBA Draft, you could make a case this is one of the most consequential regular season games ever. 

After eight consecutive playoff appearances, the Sun were forced into a total rebuild when their entire core and coaching staff departed ahead of the 2024 season. The last two seasons have been rough. They went 11-33 last season and are 10-33 this season, which will be their last in Uncasville before moving to Houston in 2027. All of the losing would be worth it, however, if they get the best odds at the No. 1 pick in the JuJu Watkins draft.

But somehow, the expansion Tempo may have something to say about that. The Tempo were not planning to tank this season and got off to a 9-9 start that had them in the playoff hunt near the midpoint of the season. But due in large part to an array of injuries, they’ve gone 2-23 since then and fallen to 11-32. 

In an effort to combat tanking, the WNBA uses two-year aggregate records to determine lottery odds. But for the two expansion teams, the Tempo and Fire, the league will use only their records from this season, which is great news for Toronto and could add an extra layer of misery for the Sun. 

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Here are the different permutations from tonight’s matchup:

Tempo win

  • Sun: 21-67 (.239 winning percentage)
  • Tempo: 12-32 (.273 winning percentage)

Sun win

  • Sun: 22-66 (.250 winning percentage)
  • Tempo: 11-33 (.250 winning percentage)

If the Tempo win, it’s simple. The Sun would have a worse winning percentage and get the best odds at the No. 1 pick. If the Sun win, however, things get more complicated. In that scenario, both clubs would have a .250 winning percentage. In that case, the teams would have the same number of lottery combinations, essentially splitting the odds evenly, according to TSN. If the number of combinations is odd, a tiebreaker would determine which team gets the extra combinations. In the event of a Sun win, both teams would have the same record this season, which is the first tiebreaker. The second tiebreaker is season head-to-head between the teams, which Toronto has already won.

The league has not yet announced the new lottery odds now that there are seven teams involved (up from five last year). As such, it’s currently unclear just how much of an edge the Sun or Tempo would gain from having the best odds. It figures to be substantial, however, and both teams will be desperate to have a better chance at Watkins, who has the potential to transform a franchise, both on and off the court. 

Clark vs. Thomas for the assist title

Outside of standings-related matters, the race for the assist title between Caitlin Clark and Alyssa Thomas is going down to the wire.

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Clark led the league in assists as a rookie in 2024 at 8.4 per game, besting Thomas’ 7.9. Clark also set the single-season assists record that season with 337. Last season, however, Clark was limited to 13 games due to an array of injuries and Thomas took the crown. Her 9.2 assists per game led the league, and she set a new single-season record with 357. 

Both have been healthy this season, but Thomas has played two more games and 140 more minutes than Clark, and she currently holds a 349-330 lead in total assists. Thomas needs nine assists in Thursday’s finale against the Aces to break her own single-season record, but the assists leader for the season is determined on a per-game basis. 

On that front, Thomas holds a narrow margin: 8.512 assists per game to Clark’s 8.461 assists per game. It’s still possible for Clark to overtake Thomas with a big night, but the Fever must beat the Lynx on the road to secure the No. 5 seed, while the Mercury have long been eliminated from the playoffs. All that Thomas has left to play for is a new single-season assists record and this season’s assist title, and it will be far easier for her to hunt assists if she so chooses.  

If Thomas wins the assist title, she’ll become the first player since Courtney Vandersloot (2017-21) to lead the league in assists in back-to-back seasons. 

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It’s also worth noting that there could be extra motivation for both players, given the infamous incident earlier this season in which Thomas put her fist on Clark’s throat and was retroactively assessed a Flagrant 2 foul and suspended for a game. 

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Pete Crow-Armstrong joins 40-40 club in one of best Cubs seasons ever

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Cubs center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong stole his 40th base of the season on Thursday afternoon, a few weeks after belting his 40th career home run, which means the breakout star is now the seventh member of the 40-40 club in MLB history. He’s all the way up to 45 home runs now to go with his 40 steals. Here’s the historic 40th theft. 

The previous entries: 

Jose Canseco

1988

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42

40

Barry Bonds

1996

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42

40

Alex Rodriguez

1998

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42

46

Alfonso Soriano

2006

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46

41

Ronald Acuña Jr.

2023

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41

73

Shohei Ohtani

2024

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54

59

Canseco, Acuña and Ohtani won league MVP in those same seasons, and it appears PCA is headed in that direction. 

As things stand, Crow-Armstrong is hitting .280/.374/.577 (157 OPS+) with 31 doubles, eight triples, 45 home runs, 107 RBI, 119 runs and 40 steals. He leads the majors in runs, home runs, total bases and WAR (9.8) while leading the NL in slugging, OPS and OPS+. With the injury to Ohtani keeping him off the mound and later placing him on the IL, the path is clear for the first Cubs NL MVP since Kris Bryant took the honors in 2016. The hunch here is PCA wins the award unanimously.

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But PCA isn’t just having an MVP-caliber season; he’s putting together one of the greatest individual seasons in franchise history. He’s the first Cubs player to ever reach the 40-40 plateau, but before he came around, there had only been two 30-30 seasons, both by Sammy Sosa. PCA has now done it twice in a row and he’s still only 24 years old. 

Further, he’s in rarified air in club history if we look at WAR, which takes hitting, baserunning and defense into account as a kind of “catch-all” stat (note: It is required by law here that I point out this isn’t the only important stat and anyone who thinks otherwise is a fool). 

Among Cubs position players, here are the top 10 seasons by Baseball Reference’s WAR (heading into Tuesday): 

1. Rogers Hornsby, 1929, 10.6 WAR
2. Sammy Sosa, 2001, 10.3
3. Ernie Banks, 1959, 10.2
t4. Pete Crow-Armstrong, 2026, 9.8
t4. Ron Santo, 1967, 9.8
6. Ernie Banks, 1958, 9.3
t7. Ron Santo, 1966, 8.9
t7. Ron Santo, 1964, 8.9
9. Ryne Sandberg, 1984, 8.5
10. Ernie Banks, 1955, 8.1

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Over in the FanGraphs version, he scores even better. Here are the top 10 in Cubs history, where he has the best season in nearly a century: 

1. Rogers Hornsby, 1929, 11.0
2. Pete Crow-Armstrong, 2026, 10.6
3. Sammy Sosa, 2001, 9.9
4. Ernie Banks, 1959, 9.7
5. Ron Santo, 1967, 9.5
6. Ernie Banks, 1958, 8.7
7. Ron Santo, 1964, 8.7
8. Ron Santo, 1966, 8.5
9. Hack Wilson, 1930, 8.0
10. Ryne Sandberg, 1984, 8.0

As a reminder, the WAR guidelines typically view 5.0 as an All-Star-caliber player and 8.0 as an MVP-caliber performer. Getting into double digits is generally considered an all-time great season. 

The all-around performance here is what is staggering. The numbers at the plate say PCA has been one of the best hitters in baseball this season. He’s in the top five in stolen bases and rates out excellently in other baserunning metrics. He’s arguably the best defensive player in baseball, too, sitting in first in fielding run value and outs above average.

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When you take a 40-40 player with a strong triple-slash line who is a terror on the bases and an incredible defensive player, you get one of the best individual seasons the Cubs franchise has ever seen. 

And he’s only 24 years old. 

It’s a special season for Pete Crow-Armstrong. As his Cubs eye the postseason, he’ll look to lead them to a special season as a team next.

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Historic Irish Women’s Title Fight

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Irish boxing will make history in Cork on Friday, October 9, when Christina Desmond and Louise Creaven meet in the first-ever Irish women’s professional title fight – with Galway Bay FM sports broadcaster John Mulligan set to be on commentary for the landmark occasion.

The historic contest takes place at the Parochial Hall Arena in Cork City, bringing together two Irish fighters whose careers have taken very different routes to this groundbreaking night.

Desmond will have home advantage, while Galway’s Creaven will return from Australia for what will be her first professional fight on Irish soil.

Christina Desmond Brings Outstanding Amateur Pedigree

Christina Desmond has made an impressive transition to professional boxing and brings a wealth of international experience into the historic contest.

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The Macroom fighter has won her opening five professional contests and enters the showdown with an unbeaten 5-0 record.

Her latest victory came in Spain, where she stopped England’s Sherie Barnes in the second round as she continued her rapid progress through the professional ranks.

Desmond’s professional success follows an outstanding amateur career in which she won six Irish Elite titles, claimed a European Championship silver medal and also secured European bronze.

She represented Ireland internationally for more than a decade and competed at the Youth Olympic Games before eventually making the move into professional boxing.

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The possibility of Desmond competing in an historic Irish title fight had previously been discussed in connection with the proposed Katie Taylor Croke Park event. Instead, Desmond will now get the opportunity to make history in front of a home Cork crowd.

Louise Creaven Returns Home From Australia

Standing in Desmond’s way will be Killimordaly’s Louise Creaven, who has established her professional career thousands of miles away in Australia.

Creaven enters the contest with a 6-2 professional record and returns to Ireland following another important victory in Australia.

In August, the Galway fighter defeated Thailand’s experienced Thanchanok Phanan at the Gold Coast Convention Centre, forcing a stoppage in the third round of their scheduled six-round contest.

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That victory came during a significant year for Creaven, who also challenged for an Australian title in 2026.

She will now swap Australia for Cork and, remarkably, the October 9 contest is set to be Creaven’s first professional fight in Ireland.

That makes an already historic night even more significant for the Galway boxer, who has spent much of her professional career building her reputation on the other side of the world.

John Mulligan to Call Historic Fight

There will be another strong Galway connection at ringside, with Galway Bay FM sports broadcaster John Mulligan set to provide commentary on the historic contest.

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Mulligan has followed Creaven’s progress closely, including speaking with the Killimordaly boxer following her recent victory in Australia.

Confirming that he will be heading to Cork for the fight, Mulligan spoke of his excitement at being involved in such a significant occasion for Irish boxing.

“SO EXCITED to be going to this fight and more importantly to have the honour and privilege of commentating on two LEGENDS going toe to toe who are making history! Well done to all for making it happen.”

For Mulligan, it will be the opportunity to call the action as a new chapter in Irish professional boxing is written.

A Landmark Night for Irish Women’s Boxing

Ireland has produced some of the greatest female boxers in the history of the sport, with Katie Taylor’s achievements helping transform the profile of women’s boxing both in Ireland and internationally.

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However, despite that extraordinary success, an Irish professional women’s title had never previously been contested.

The possibility of crowning an Irish women’s professional champion has been discussed for a number of years, but Desmond and Creaven are now set to finally make it happen.

When they step through the ropes in Cork, they will become the first two women to contest an Irish professional boxing title.

Desmond v Creaven – An Intriguing Match-Up

Beyond the historical significance, the fight itself provides an intriguing clash between two boxers with very different backgrounds.

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Desmond possesses enormous amateur experience, having represented Ireland at major international championships before beginning her unbeaten professional career.

Creaven, meanwhile, has gained valuable professional experience in Australia, experiencing both championship boxing and the demands of building a career away from home.

It leaves an intriguing contest between Desmond’s extensive international amateur pedigree and unbeaten 5-0 professional record against Creaven’s 6-2 record and greater experience in the professional ranks.

But whatever happens when the bell rings, both women will already have secured their places in the history of Irish boxing.

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Christina Desmond v Louise Creaven – Fight Details

  • Fight: Christina Desmond v Louise Creaven
  • Date: Friday, October 9, 2026
  • Venue: Parochial Hall Arena, Cork City
  • Occasion: First Irish women’s professional title fight
  • Christina Desmond record: 5-0
  • Louise Creaven record: 6-2
  • General Admission: €60
  • Gold Front Rows: €90
  • Commentary: John Mulligan

October 9 will therefore be about much more than another professional boxing show in Cork.

For Christina Desmond and Louise Creaven, it is an opportunity to become the first winner of an Irish women’s professional title.

For those inside the Parochial Hall Arena – and for John Mulligan behind the microphone – it will be the chance to witness and document a genuine piece of Irish sporting history.


SEO Title: Christina Desmond v Louise Creaven: Historic Irish Women’s Title Fight

Meta Description: Christina Desmond faces Louise Creaven in Cork on October 9 in the first Irish women’s professional boxing title fight, with John Mulligan on commentary.

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Focus Keyphrase: Christina Desmond v Louise Creaven

Suggested URL Slug: christina-desmond-louise-creaven-irish-womens-boxing-title


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10 Fascinating Stats That Bolster Angel Reese’s DPOY Case

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Angel Reese is on a roll this season. The Atlanta Dream star has helped her team qualify for the playoffs. On the international stage, she was part of the USA team that won its fifth straight gold medal at the FIBA World Cup.

Reese has been one of the WNBA’s best two-way players this season, as shown by her performances for the Dream since returning from the FIBA break. She is averaging 19.3 points, 9.0 rebounds, 3.0 assists and 1.5 blocks in her last three games.

While her offense has reached a new level since the World Cup, her defense has been strong all season. She is among the favorites to win the Defensive Player of the Year award this season.

Here is a look at some stats that support her case:

#1 Opponent True Shooting % differential

Angel Reese celebrates with Allisha Gray and Jordin Canada - Source: ImagnAngel Reese celebrates with Allisha Gray and Jordin Canada - Source: Imagn
Angel Reese celebrates with Allisha Gray and Jordin Canada – Source: Imagn

Angel Reese has proven herself a dominant presence on the court. According to Hoops Junkie, Reese’s opponents have a true shooting percentage of -6.0% when she is on the floor.

When Reese is on the court, the Dream’s opponents shoot 55.8%, and when she is off the court, they shoot 61.8%. Reese is ranked second in the league in this statistic.

#2 Team Block % Differential

Angel Reese blocks A'ja Wilson - Source: ImagnAngel Reese blocks A'ja Wilson - Source: Imagn
Angel Reese blocks A’ja Wilson – Source: Imagn

According to Hoops Junkie, the Atlanta Dream make almost twice the number of blocks on two-point attempts when Reese is on the floor. They have a +4.5% block differential.

When Reese is on the floor, the Dream has 8.9% blocks per game. When she is off the court, the statistic falls to 4.3%. The Dream star ranks fourth in the league in this statistic.

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#3 Team Steal % differential

Angel Reese steals the ball from Nneka Ogwumike - Source: ImagnAngel Reese steals the ball from Nneka Ogwumike - Source: Imagn
Angel Reese steals the ball from Nneka Ogwumike – Source: Imagn

The Dream’s defensive setups are more secure when Angel Reese is on the floor, with a steal % differential of +2.9%.

When Reese is on the court, the Dream swipes the ball 11.4% per game. When off the floor, that percentage drops to 8.6%. The Dream star ranks third in the league in this metric.

7. Single-game and season rebounding records

Reese celebrates win - Source: ImagnReese celebrates win - Source: Imagn
Reese celebrates win – Source: Imagn

Angel Reese has been playing some of the best basketball of her career in her first stint with the Atlanta Dream. In a 78-71 win over the Los Angeles Sparks on Aug. 24, the three-time All-Star broke the record for most rebounds in a single game. She recorded 26 rebounds in the win, breaking a 23-year-old record, which was previously held by Chamique Holdsclaw.

In the same game, Reese broke A’ja Wilson‘s record (451) for most rebounds in a single season. Later, the Dream star became the first player in WNBA history to record 500 rebounds in a single season. She currently has 521 rebounds this season.

6. Fastest player to reach 1,000 career rebound mark

Angel Reese celebrates - Source: ImagnAngel Reese celebrates - Source: Imagn
Angel Reese celebrates – Source: Imagn

Angel Reese shattered quite a few records this season. Earlier this season, she became the fastest player in league history to reach the 1,000 career rebound milestone.

She reached the milestone in the 79th game of her career, which, ironically, was a 113-96 win over the Indiana Fever on Jun. 20. Reese currently has a career total of 1344 rebounds.

5. Third consecutive rebounding leader

Angel Reese - Source: ImagnAngel Reese - Source: Imagn
Angel Reese – Source: Imagn

Since her rookie season, Angel Reese has made it clear that she is an ultimate competitor on the boards. She is a back-to-back rebounding leader, winning the title in 2024 and 2025.

The Dream star is currently leading the league in rebounds for the third consecutive season. She is averaging 12.1 rebounds per game, and it is safe to say that she will win the title for the third time in a row.

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4. Fourth-highest Defensive VPM in the league

Reese reacts after a play - Source: ImagnReese reacts after a play - Source: Imagn
Reese reacts after a play – Source: Imagn

Reese has the fourth-highest defensive value per possession metric in the league. According to Databallr, the Dream star has a defensive VPM of +1.69. Only Aliyah Boston, Gabby Williams and A’ja Wilson are above her in this metric.

3. Leads the league in Opponent Turnover% differential

Reese guards Pauline Astier - Source: ImagnReese guards Pauline Astier - Source: Imagn
Reese guards Pauline Astier – Source: Imagn

Angel Reese’s presence makes the Dream a turnover-forcing menace. According to Hoops Junkie, she is currently leading the league in opponent turnover percentage differential at +2.8%. It means that with Reese on the floor, Atlanta’s opponents are prone to turn the ball over.

Atlanta has an opponent turnover percentage of 18.5% with Reese on the floor and a 15.8% without her.

2. 4th best team defensive rating with a shorthanded front court

Reese defends against Kamilla Cardoso- Source: ImagnReese defends against Kamilla Cardoso- Source: Imagn
Reese defends against Kamilla Cardoso- Source: Imagn

The Atlanta Dream have the fourth-best defensive rating in the league this season, at 103.5. With Brionna Jones out for the rest of the season, the Dream’s front-court defense relies heavily on Reese. So far, she has done a great job at commanding the Dream’s defensive line.

1. Best defensive rating differential in the league

Angel Reese celebrates - Source: ImagnAngel Reese celebrates - Source: Imagn
Angel Reese celebrates – Source: Imagn

Angel Reese leads the league in defensive rating differential this year, making her one of the most influential players on defensive possessions. She has a defensive rating differential of -15.5, meaning that the Dream’s opponents score 15.5 more points per 100 possessions when she is off the floor.

Combined with her elite rebounding skills, Reese’s importance on the Dream’s defense makes her a strong candidate for this season’s DPOY award.