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Analysts Eye ‘Insane Reversal’ in Markets as Bitcoin Touched $70K

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Analysts Eye 'Insane Reversal' in Markets as Bitcoin Touched $70K


Bitcoin has returned to a key psychological price level as markets bounced back amid ongoing tensions in the Middle East.

Bitcoin prices reached $70,125 in late Monday trading on Coinbase, according to TradingView.

However, it hit resistance there as it did on Feb. 25 and had pulled back slightly to trade at $68,000 at the time of writing during the Tuesday morning Asian trading session. There has been an “insane reversal in the markets,” observed crypto analyst ‘Bull Theory’ on Tuesday.

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“Just 24 hours ago, we saw extreme fear and panic when US futures opened Sunday night,” they said. US stock markets and crypto markets have rebounded strongly, they observed before adding:

“Markets don’t hate bad news; they hate uncertainty. Khamenei’s death didn’t spark chaos; it removed ambiguity, and the market priced that in immediately.”

Bitcoin Bucks War Panic Trend

“Traditional ‘risk-off’ playbooks say Bitcoin should be dumping right now,” said Macro outlet Milk Road. “If BTC can maintain this divergence from risk assets during sustained geopolitical stress, the ‘digital gold’ argument finds itself a new tailwind.”

“We understand war headlines make investors nervous, but we expect stocks to be up in March,” commented Fundstrat’s Tom Lee on Monday.

“This is exactly what happened in 2022 when Russia invaded Ukraine,” said analyst ‘CrediBull Crypto’.

They added that the day of the invasion marked a local bottom after months of drawdown, “and we spent a month climbing 40% back to the upside before continuation back down.”

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“People’s first inclination during events like this is to panic and sell, which would have made you sell the local bottom in both these instances.”

Meanwhile, CryptoQuant analyst ‘Moreno’ said, “the sell-side pressure from recent buyers is fading. Panic is being replaced by patience, or at least exhaustion.”

“Despite the recent geopolitical escalation involving Iran, a type of event that historically triggers reactive selling, the data shows no meaningful spike in exchange inflows from short-term holders.”

There was no panic profit-taking, no loss capitulation, no reactive behavior from this typically event-sensitive cohort,” he added.

Santiment reported that as markets have rallied, social data indicated there was a “huge surge in positive sentiment as Bitcoin’s price was threatening to fall below $65,000.”

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“Discourse is heavily invested in the Iran, Israel, and US conflict currently, so expect volatile movement based on any notable updates with the developments,” it added.

Crypto Market Outlook

Crypto market capitalization has gained 2.6% on the day to reach $2.42 trillion at the time of writing. The move was largely driven by Bitcoin, but Ether also reclaimed the $2,000 level and remains just above it at the time of writing.

Altcoin gains were minimal in comparison to the top two digital assets.

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Crypto World

Will Solana price crash now that it has charted a bearish flag pattern?

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Solana weekly on-chain revenue.

Solana price tanked over 7% on Monday as fears of the impact of the ongoing U.S.-Iran war continued to drive investors away from risk assets. Current technical signals suggest the token could be set for a downturn.

Summary

  • Solana price has remained in a downtrend as network revenue declined amidst a market-wide downturn.
  • A bearish flag pattern has positioned the token for more downside.

According to data from crypto.news, Solana (SOL) price fell 7% from $88.05 on Sunday to an intraday low of $81.86 on Monday, March 2. Subsequently, it attempted a breach of the $90 resistance supported by a broader market recovery, but the rally lost steam just below that mark.

On the monthly timeframe, Solana has fallen over 30%, and is down over 44% from this year’s highs.

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Solana price has remained in a downtrend as network revenues have fallen. Notably, the weekly revenue generated by the Solaba network has dropped over 30% from what was recorded during mid January, data from DeFiLlama show.

Solana weekly on-chain revenue.
Solana weekly on-chain revenue – March 3 | Source: Defilama.

The total value locked in the network has also fallen from over $9 billion recorded on Jan. 17 to $6.64 billion at the time of writing.

With both network revenue and TVL going down, investors are concerned that Solana’s explosive growth phase is over, and the memecoin fever that fueled the network is finally breaking.

Demand for the token across the derivatives market has also contributed to the downturn. Data from CoinGlass show that SOL futures open interest has scaled back by nearly 45% to $4.93 billion from its January high of $8.88 billion as traders unwind positions awaiting signs of more calmness in the global geopolitical landscape.

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Solana price is also affected by the market-wide downturn in response to the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict, which has pushed investors away from risk assets to more traditional alternatives, as they expect more volatility over this week.

The most recent trigger came after the retaliatory attack from Iran on U.S. ships over the weekend, stationed around the Strait of Hormuz, sparking a jump in oil prices. Investors are concerned this could lead to higher inflation in the U.S., which could likely force the Fed to hike interest rates or hold them steady at restrictive levels for longer.

Risk-assets like Solana tend to benefit from interest rate cut expectations and struggle when the Fed sets a hawkish tone.

On the daily chart, Solana price has formed a bearish flag pattern since the token entered a downtrend from mid January this year, before moving into consolidation over the past few weeks. Bearish flags have typically been precursors to further downward breakouts.

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Will Solana price crash now that it has charted a bearish flag pattern? - 1
Solana price has formed a bearish flag pattern on the daily chart — March 3 | Source: crypto.news

Other technical indicators also favour the bears. The Supertrend has flashed red while the Aroon lines have pointed downwards, with the Aroon Down at 50%, indicating that sellers still maintain firm control of the market.

Hence, Solana price risks dropping to the Feb. 6 low of $70 if the current bearish momentum prevails, especially considering the broader downturn. 

On the contrary, a rebound above $90, a resistance level that the token has struggled to break multiple times over the past few weeks, could offer the necessary optimism for a rally towards the $100 psychological resistance level.

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

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Crypto World

Bitcoin Re-tests $70K as Loss Flows Drop to 2-Week Low

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Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Iran, Markets, United States, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Market Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC) rallied to $70,000 on Monday amid escalating tensions in the Middle East. CryptoQuant data shows short-term holder losses transferred to exchanges fell to a two-week low, contrasting with the heavier selling seen in early February.

Bitcoin short-term sellers step back

The short-term holder (STH) profit/loss (P&L) to exchanges metric tracks how much Bitcoin recent buyers send to exchanges at a profit or loss. These participants tend to amplify volatility during stress events.

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Iran, Markets, United States, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Market Analysis
Bitcoin short-term holder P&L to exchanges. Source: CryptoQuant

On March 1, the realized losses fell to 3,700 BTC even as geopolitical tensions between the United States and Iran escalated in the Middle East. Bitcoin dipped to $63,000 during that window, but exchange inflows from this cohort did not expand in response.

For comparison, on Feb. 5–6, the STHs sent 89,000 BTC to exchanges at a realized loss within 24 hours. That marked a peak capitulation window. Since then, the loss-driven inflows have steadily compressed.

Crypto analyst MorenoDV noted that the most event-sensitive holders have not accelerated distribution and exhibited “zero panic.” The drop in loss transfers signals that the sell pressure from recent buyers has cooled.

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A strong rally may depend on whether realized losses stay contained or reaccelerate toward prior capitulation levels during this period of geopolitical uncertainty.

Related: Michael Saylor’s Strategy buys $204M of Bitcoin in 101st purchase

BTC futures deleveraging meets external liquidity

BTC derivatives data indicate a significant risk reduction. Crypto analyst Darkfost highlighted that Binance open interest declined to 97,680 BTC from 130,800 BTC since the start of the year, a 25% contraction. 

The estimated leverage ratio, which compares open interest to exchange BTC reserves, fell to a 0.146 weekly average. Levels below 0.15 have historically aligned with aggressive deleveraging phases during this cycle.

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On the technical side, Bitcoin is attempting to reclaim its Monthly RVWAP (rolling volume-weighted average price), currently near the high-$68,000 region. The Monthly RVWAP is a volume-weighted average price anchored to the start of the month. BTC trading above it places the average monthly participant back in profit and often shifts the short-term positioning bias of traders.

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Iran, Markets, United States, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Market Analysis
Bitcoin four-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The four-hour chart shows the price pushing through $70,000 and approaching the first external liquidity pocket from $70,000 to $71,500. Converting that range into support may trigger a price expansion to the $80,000 region, where prior supply capped upside in January. Crypto trader LP said,

“On the HTF, low-leverage liquidation clusters are stacking near and just above the range highs, sitting between 70–73K. These higher timeframe liquidity pools often act as magnets when they build in size.”

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Iran, Markets, United States, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Market Analysis
Bitcoin external liquidity levels. Source: X

The BTC spot flow data adds further context. Binance spot printed roughly $7.79 million in positive delta during the breakout leg, Coinbase added about $1.16 million, and OKX contributed nearly $3.7 million.

The positive delta across venues signals aggressive spot bidding rather than isolated derivatives-driven activity. With leverage use reduced and loss-driven selling falling, the market’s attention shifts to how the price may react around the $71,500 liquidity band.

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Iran, Markets, United States, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Market Analysis
Bitcoin spot data flows from exchanges. Source: exitpump/X

Related: Will Bitcoin crash if oil prices hit $100 per barrel?