• OKX’s AI toolkit launch has not lifted market sentiment.
• OKB token price remains range-bound with neutral momentum.
• The key OKB price levels are the support at $72 and the resistance at $82.

OKB token remains under pressure despite OKX crypto exchange unveiling an upgrade to its OnchainOS infrastructure that introduces an AI toolkit built for developers.

The new system is designed to help autonomous agents interact directly with blockchain networks.

This will allow developers to plug AI models into wallet functions, trading routes, and market data feeds without building everything from scratch.

While the move aims at making OKX the backend layer for AI-driven crypto execution, the excitement around the product has not translated into a clear recovery for its native token, OKB.

At press time, the OKB token was trading at around $75.88, after a modest 24-hour decline of 0.3%.

Even though the altcoin remains far above its early-cycle lows, it has fallen more than 60% over the past year and its all-time high of $255.50, reached in August 2025, still looms large above the current price.

Technical analysis shows OKB in consolidation

From a technical standpoint, OKB is trading in a narrow range, although it appears to closely mirror Bitcoin’s price movements, which means broader market sentiment remains a critical factor.

Recent OKB price movements show that the cryptocurrency is consolidating rather than trending.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI), though having bounced from an oversold condition, is still sitting close to the oversold region at 39.74 at press time.

In case of a bullish breakout, the immediate resistance sits near the 7-day simple moving average at $76.657.

On the downside, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $73.31 has served as key support, with a second support zone near $72.62 based on recent price action.

These two levels create a support band that traders should closely watch if the market breaks down from the current consolidation.

If that support band fails, historical data points to $68.05 as the next area where buyers previously stepped in.

OKB token price prediction

While the AI toolkit gives OKX a compelling long-term story, OKB’s price action suggests traders want proof of impact before bidding the token higher.

The near-term price outlook for OKB remains neutral unless a decisive breakout occurs.

A strong move above $76.77, supported by higher trading volume, would be the first signal of short-term strength.

If buyers push the price above the $82.47 resistance, momentum could expand.

Historically, sustained trading above $82.47 has paved the way for $93.50, according to CoinLore.

Beyond that level, the next resistance to monitor would be $104.84.

But if bears outweigh bulls, a drop below $73.31 and $72.62 would weaken the current structure.

Such a move would likely expose the token to a retest of $68.05.

Bitcoin stands at a sensitive stage after a prolonged decline. However, several macroeconomic and on-chain signals suggest a strong reversal is possible. Many analysts even expect a medium-term recovery that could last several months.

Below are three main reasons why many analysts believe in this recovery scenario.

Correlation Between Bitcoin and the ISM Manufacturing PMI

First, the US ISM Manufacturing PMI recorded its second consecutive month of expansion. According to the latest report from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM), the February 2026 PMI reached 52.4%. Although the figure declined slightly from 52.6% in the previous month, it still exceeded market expectations of 51.8%.

This marks the second consecutive reading above 50. It ends a three-year contraction in the US manufacturing sector. The rise in this index suggests an environment in which investors expand their risk appetite. That condition creates room for capital to flow into Bitcoin.

Analyst Joe Consorti highlighted the correlation between this index and Bitcoin’s price in previous cycles. He suggested that the current setup signals a potential trend reversal.

“Historically, this has lined up with the early start of BTC bull markets (excluding 2022),” Joe Consorti commented.

Bitcoin’s Inter-Exchange Flow Pulse (IFP) Signals a Shift in Sentiment

Second, analyst CW believes a “golden cross” is about to appear on Bitcoin’s Inter-Exchange Flow Pulse (IFP) indicator.

CryptoQuant, an on-chain data and analytics platform, explains that IFP measures Bitcoin flows between spot and derivatives exchanges.

This flow data reflects market sentiment. When a large amount of Bitcoin moves to derivatives exchanges, the indicator signals a bullish phase. Traders transfer coins to open long positions in the derivatives market.

In contrast, when Bitcoin flows from derivatives exchanges to spot exchanges, the indicator signals the start of a bearish phase. This situation often occurs when traders close long positions, and large investors reduce their risk exposure.

In the past, this signal preceded strong recoveries from 2023 to 2025. Currently, after 1 year of correction, the golden cross is approaching. If the crossover receives confirmation, it would suggest the beginning of a new bullish cycle for Bitcoin.

“The golden cross is imminent in the BTC Inter-exchange Flow Pulse (IFP). After a year of correction, the price is ready to rise again. Everyone, buckle your seat belts,” analyst CW stated.

Five Consecutive Monthly Red Candles Signal Selling Exhaustion

Third, five consecutive monthly red candles are extremely rare. Bitcoin closed February 2026 with its fifth straight red monthly candle. This marks only the second time in history that such a streak has occurred.

The first instance took place during 2018–2019, when Bitcoin recorded six consecutive red candles. After that period, Bitcoin printed five successive green candles. The price surged more than 300%, rising from around $3,400 to $14,000.

Although the historical sample remains small, a longer red streak suggests that selling pressure is nearing exhaustion. A strong reversal can occur once buying demand returns.

“5 or 6 monthly RED candles doesn’t matter now, because the bulk of the drawdown is behind us and all the upside is still in front of us,” analyst Satoshi Flipper stated.

These signals have historically confirmed a multi-month upward trend. A recent report by BeInCrypto also reinforces the scenario that Bitcoin has entered a bottoming phase. However, analysts still see room for a deeper decline.

Analysts at BeInCrypto predict that March will likely depend on whether the $62,300 support level holds or the $79,000 resistance level breaks first.

Leading stablecoin issuer Tether has secured a sign-off from Deloitte for the first reserve report tied to its new U.S.-regulated stablecoin, after years struggling in its relationships with major accounting firms.

Deloitte reviewed a report prepared by Anchorage Digital Bank, which issued the company’s new USAT token. In a letter released Monday, the accounting firm said Anchorage reported $17.6 million in reserve assets backing 17.5 million USAT tokens in circulation. The token’s market cap has, since the report, risen to nearly $20 million as its growth accelerates.

The total market capitalization of the stablecoin sector has, in fact, been growing rapidly. It’s now past $315 billion, according to CoinMarketCap data, with Tether’s USDT making up $183 billion of that. Circle’s USDC comes in second place, at $76 billion.

The new USAT token follows the passage of the Genius Act last summer. The law limits the types of assets that can back stablecoins and requires larger issuers to move under federal oversight. USAT is structured to comply with those rules.

Third-party attestations such as this differ from full audits, however. They offer a snapshot of reserves at a specific point in time rather than a deep review of company finances.

Tether has been leveraging the revenue it generates from the assets backing its stablecoins to invest in a plethora of industries. These include a majority stake in Latin American agricultural firm Adecoagro (AGRO), a privacy-focused health app, a stake in video-sharing platform Rumble (RUM). More recently, it invested $200 million in digital marketplace Whop.

The United States Attorney’s Office for the District of Massachusetts filed a civil forfeiture action Monday seeking to recover 327,829.72 USDT, allegedly involved in a money laundering scheme connected to an online romance scam.

Justice Department targets crypto laundering in online romance scam

The complaint, filed in federal court, names the cryptocurrency as defendant property and seeks its forfeiture under federal law as proceeds of fraud and laundering.

According to the complaint, the stolen funds originated from a Massachusetts resident who was targeted in late 2024 on a dating app. The fraudster, identified only by an alias, convinced the victim to send funds for purported cryptocurrency investments that never existed.

Rather than investing the money, the scammers diverted it through a series of cryptocurrency wallets and ultimately converted it to USDT, a common tactic to obfuscate the origin and movement of illicit proceeds.

Several of the wallets in question were seized by law enforcement in August 2025 after blockchain analysis traced connections to the scam.

Under U.S. civil forfeiture law, property traceable to illegal activity may be seized by the government and ultimately returned to victims if the court finds it to be proceeds of crime. The Justice Department’s action allows third parties with a legitimate interest in the property to file claims before any forfeiture is finalized.

Prosecutors said the forfeiture complaint is part of broader efforts to target online frauds, including romance scams, investment schemes, and cyber-enabled financial crime that increasingly leverage cryptocurrency to move and hide funds.

The case highlights both the growing sophistication of crypto-related fraud and law enforcement’s expanding use of blockchain analysis to trace and reclaim stolen digital assets for fraud victims.

Bank of Japan Governor Ueda Kazuo said the rapid integration of blockchain and artificial intelligence is reshaping the financial system, positioning central banks to play a pivotal role in anchoring trust as crypto-linked infrastructure matures.

Bank of Japan’s Ueda backs blockchain settlements, advances CBDC experiments

Speaking at FIN/SUM 2026 in Tokyo, Ueda described blockchain as moving firmly into its “implementation phase,” with decentralized finance (DeFi), smart contracts and tokenized assets increasingly influencing settlement, payments and cross-border finance.

He emphasized that blockchain’s programmability, particularly atomic transactions that bundle multiple actions into a single execution, could streamline complex processes such as delivery-versus-payment (DvP) and cross-border transfers.

For crypto markets, the speech revealed two key themes: interoperability and settlement in central bank money.

Ueda warned that a fragmented ecosystem of multiple blockchains and traditional payment rails could create conversion bottlenecks and systemic risks if interoperability is not ensured. He suggested central bank money, potentially in tokenized form, could function as a bridge across networks, preserving the “singleness of money” while enabling innovation.

The BOJ is advancing several initiatives with direct implications for digital assets. Its retail central bank digital currency (CBDC) pilot continues technical testing, while Project Agorá — a joint effort with other central banks and major financial institutions — is exploring tokenized central bank deposits on blockchain networks for cross-border payments.

A separate BOJ sandbox is testing how current account deposits at the central bank could be used to settle transactions conducted on distributed ledgers.

Ueda also highlighted AI’s growing role in analyzing blockchain transaction data for risk management and AML/CFT compliance, signaling closer scrutiny of crypto-linked activity even as innovation expands.

The message to markets was clear: blockchain-based finance is no longer experimental. But its long-term stability, Ueda said, will hinge on central banks embedding trust, liquidity and settlement finality into the next generation of digital infrastructure.

Solana price tanked over 7% on Monday as fears of the impact of the ongoing U.S.-Iran war continued to drive investors away from risk assets. Current technical signals suggest the token could be set for a downturn.

According to data from crypto.news, Solana (SOL) price fell 7% from $88.05 on Sunday to an intraday low of $81.86 on Monday, March 2. Subsequently, it attempted a breach of the $90 resistance supported by a broader market recovery, but the rally lost steam just below that mark.

On the monthly timeframe, Solana has fallen over 30%, and is down over 44% from this year’s highs.

Solana price has remained in a downtrend as network revenues have fallen. Notably, the weekly revenue generated by the Solaba network has dropped over 30% from what was recorded during mid January, data from DeFiLlama show.

The total value locked in the network has also fallen from over $9 billion recorded on Jan. 17 to $6.64 billion at the time of writing.

With both network revenue and TVL going down, investors are concerned that Solana’s explosive growth phase is over, and the memecoin fever that fueled the network is finally breaking.

Demand for the token across the derivatives market has also contributed to the downturn. Data from CoinGlass show that SOL futures open interest has scaled back by nearly 45% to $4.93 billion from its January high of $8.88 billion as traders unwind positions awaiting signs of more calmness in the global geopolitical landscape.

Solana price is also affected by the market-wide downturn in response to the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict, which has pushed investors away from risk assets to more traditional alternatives, as they expect more volatility over this week.

The most recent trigger came after the retaliatory attack from Iran on U.S. ships over the weekend, stationed around the Strait of Hormuz, sparking a jump in oil prices. Investors are concerned this could lead to higher inflation in the U.S., which could likely force the Fed to hike interest rates or hold them steady at restrictive levels for longer.

Risk-assets like Solana tend to benefit from interest rate cut expectations and struggle when the Fed sets a hawkish tone.

On the daily chart, Solana price has formed a bearish flag pattern since the token entered a downtrend from mid January this year, before moving into consolidation over the past few weeks. Bearish flags have typically been precursors to further downward breakouts.

Other technical indicators also favour the bears. The Supertrend has flashed red while the Aroon lines have pointed downwards, with the Aroon Down at 50%, indicating that sellers still maintain firm control of the market.

Hence, Solana price risks dropping to the Feb. 6 low of $70 if the current bearish momentum prevails, especially considering the broader downturn. 

On the contrary, a rebound above $90, a resistance level that the token has struggled to break multiple times over the past few weeks, could offer the necessary optimism for a rally towards the $100 psychological resistance level.

Bitcoin (BTC) rallied to $70,000 on Monday amid escalating tensions in the Middle East. CryptoQuant data shows short-term holder losses transferred to exchanges fell to a two-week low, contrasting with the heavier selling seen in early February.

Bitcoin short-term sellers step back

The short-term holder (STH) profit/loss (P&L) to exchanges metric tracks how much Bitcoin recent buyers send to exchanges at a profit or loss. These participants tend to amplify volatility during stress events.

On March 1, the realized losses fell to 3,700 BTC even as geopolitical tensions between the United States and Iran escalated in the Middle East. Bitcoin dipped to $63,000 during that window, but exchange inflows from this cohort did not expand in response.

For comparison, on Feb. 5–6, the STHs sent 89,000 BTC to exchanges at a realized loss within 24 hours. That marked a peak capitulation window. Since then, the loss-driven inflows have steadily compressed.

Crypto analyst MorenoDV noted that the most event-sensitive holders have not accelerated distribution and exhibited “zero panic.” The drop in loss transfers signals that the sell pressure from recent buyers has cooled.

A strong rally may depend on whether realized losses stay contained or reaccelerate toward prior capitulation levels during this period of geopolitical uncertainty.

Related: Michael Saylor’s Strategy buys $204M of Bitcoin in 101st purchase

BTC futures deleveraging meets external liquidity

BTC derivatives data indicate a significant risk reduction. Crypto analyst Darkfost highlighted that Binance open interest declined to 97,680 BTC from 130,800 BTC since the start of the year, a 25% contraction. 

The estimated leverage ratio, which compares open interest to exchange BTC reserves, fell to a 0.146 weekly average. Levels below 0.15 have historically aligned with aggressive deleveraging phases during this cycle.

On the technical side, Bitcoin is attempting to reclaim its Monthly RVWAP (rolling volume-weighted average price), currently near the high-$68,000 region. The Monthly RVWAP is a volume-weighted average price anchored to the start of the month. BTC trading above it places the average monthly participant back in profit and often shifts the short-term positioning bias of traders.

The four-hour chart shows the price pushing through $70,000 and approaching the first external liquidity pocket from $70,000 to $71,500. Converting that range into support may trigger a price expansion to the $80,000 region, where prior supply capped upside in January. Crypto trader LP said,

“On the HTF, low-leverage liquidation clusters are stacking near and just above the range highs, sitting between 70–73K. These higher timeframe liquidity pools often act as magnets when they build in size.”

The BTC spot flow data adds further context. Binance spot printed roughly $7.79 million in positive delta during the breakout leg, Coinbase added about $1.16 million, and OKX contributed nearly $3.7 million.

The positive delta across venues signals aggressive spot bidding rather than isolated derivatives-driven activity. With leverage use reduced and loss-driven selling falling, the market’s attention shifts to how the price may react around the $71,500 liquidity band.

Related: Will Bitcoin crash if oil prices hit $100 per barrel?