The dollar halted its blistering rally on Thursday, providing some reprieve to the battered euro as investors clung on to fragile assumptions that the war in the Middle East may not last as long as initially expected.

Investors were quick to take comfort in a report that Iran intelligence operatives signalled openness to talks with the CIA to end the war despite Tehran’s subsequent denial, underscoring the fraught sentiment towards a conflict that has lashed global markets.

The dollar further eased from an ‌over three-month high ⁠hit earlier ⁠this week and stood at 98.78 against a basket of currencies.

The euro was meanwhile up marginally at $1.1636, having slid to a more than three-month low on Tuesday, while sterling steadied at $1.3366.

“I wouldn’t say it was particularly good news, because Iran came out and kind of dismissed the report, and it is still clearly uncertain how long the war would drag on and the impact of it, but markets have certainly taken a relatively sanguine view,” said Carol Kong, a currency strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia.

She added that sentiment was also helped by upbeat U.S. ⁠economic data ‌released on Wednesday which showed that services sector activity surged to more than a 3-1/2-year high in February as businesses rebuilt inventories in anticipation of strong demand.
Still, the dollar held to its ⁠gain of over 1% for the week thus far, emerging as one of a handful of winners in a volatile few sessions that have dragged stocks, bonds and, at times, even safe-haven precious metals lower. The spike in energy prices from the fallout of the Middle East war has stoked fears of a resurgence in inflation that could derail the rate outlooks for major central banks.

“Markets have largely traded the Middle East war as an inflation risk,” said Bas van Geffen, senior macro strategist at Rabobank.

“In the case of the (Federal Reserve) and Bank of England that means fewer rate cuts are being priced, ‌but EUR money markets are now pricing in around 40% odds that the (European Central Bank) may have to hike rates before the end of the year.”

The yen similarly found some support on Thursday from a weaker greenback and rose ⁠0.2% to 156.78 per dollar.

The Australian dollar was up 0.14% at $0.7085, extending its 0.57% gain from the previous session, while the New Zealand dollar was little changed at $0.5942.

Despite typically being a risk-sensitive currency, the Aussie has benefitted from a rare safe-haven bid this week as the country’s energy abundance offset the impact of rising oil prices.

Elsewhere, the offshore yuan was up 0.12% at 6.8860 per dollar, ahead of the onshore open.

China set its economic growth target for 2026 at 4.5%-5%, a slight downgrade from the 5% pace achieved last year, which leaves room for greater, albeit not decisive, efforts to curb industrial overcapacity and rebalance the economy.

Bitcoin and ether fell about 1% each, having rallied strongly overnight as risk appetite improved.

SEOUL, South Korea — Global K-pop superstars BTS revealed the full 14-track lineup for their upcoming fifth studio album “ARIRANG” on Tuesday, with “SWIM” confirmed as the lead single, igniting excitement among millions of fans worldwide for the group’s first full-group release following the completion of mandatory military service.

Big Hit Music, the band’s agency, shared the official tracklist via BTS’s social media channels and platforms like Weverse and Spotify. The album, set for worldwide release on March 20, 2026, at 2 p.m. KST (1 a.m. EST), draws its name from “Arirang,” the iconic Korean folk song symbolizing longing, resilience, and national identity. Band members RM, Jin, SUGA, j-hope, Jimin, V, and Jung Kook have infused the project with personal reflections on their 12-year journey since debuting in 2013.

“ARIRANG” opens with “Body to Body,” setting an energetic tone, followed by “Hooligan,” “Aliens,” “FYA,” and “2.0.” An interlude titled “No. 29” bridges to the title track “SWIM” in the seventh position. The second half features “Merry Go Round,” “NORMAL,” “Like Animals,” “they don’t know ’bout us,” “One More Night,” “Please,” and closes with the anthemic “Into the Sun.”

“SWIM,” produced by Tyler Spry and Leclair, is described as an upbeat alternative pop track conveying perseverance amid life’s challenges. Lyrics, led by RM with contributions from James Essien, Sean Foreman, Jamison Baken, Ryan Tedder, Kirsten Allyssa Spencer, Derrick Milano, and Pdogg, emphasize moving forward “through the turbulent waves of life” at one’s own pace — a metaphor for resilience and self-love. The song’s message aligns with BTS’s post-hiatus narrative of growth and determination after individual military duties.

The album boasts collaborations with prominent international producers, including Mike WiLL Made-It, El Guincho, Ryan Tedder, Diplo, Kevin Parker (Tame Impala), and others, blending BTS’s signature sound with fresh global influences. Member songwriting credits appear across tracks, with V, Jung Kook, and Jimin noted for contributions alongside RM’s prominent role on “SWIM.”

Fans, known as ARMY, reacted swiftly online, praising the eclectic titles and thematic depth. Social media buzz highlighted “Body to Body” for its sensual vibe, “they don’t know ’bout us” for potential swagger, and “Into the Sun” as a powerful closer. The interlude “No. 29” sparked personal connections, with some fans noting coincidences with birthdays or meaningful dates.

The announcement follows teasers since early 2026, including group lives and hints of a world tour. To mark the release, BTS will stage “BTS THE COMEBACK LIVE | ARIRANG,” a free performance in Seoul’s Gwanghwamun Square on March 21, featuring new songs including “SWIM.” The event will stream exclusively on Netflix, allowing global access.

“ARIRANG” represents BTS’s triumphant return as a full septet after hiatus. Jin completed service first in 2024, followed by others through late 2025. The album captures their evolution, blending tradition with innovation while addressing identity, growth, and forward momentum.

Pre-orders opened in January, with digital and physical versions available. The project arrives amid K-pop’s competitive landscape, but BTS’s influence remains unmatched, with billions of streams and a dedicated fanbase.

Analysts anticipate strong chart performance, potentially debuting at No. 1 on Billboard 200 and topping global charts. The title track “SWIM” is expected to dominate streaming and social media trends upon release.

As March 20 approaches, anticipation builds for what promises to be a landmark chapter in BTS’s career — a celebration of roots, resilience, and reinvention.

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U.S. stocks closed up on Wednesday, after a news report that Iran had signaled openness to talks and a pledge by President Donald Trump to steady oil markets calmed investor anxiety about the Mideast clash.

Investors flocked again to tech shares, lifting the Nasdaq and keeping the ‌tech-heavy index ⁠in positive ⁠territory since the U.S.-Israeli strike on Iran that ignited the conflict in the Middle East. The S&P 500 remained close to its all-time closing high, in January. A New York Times report said Iranian intelligence operatives indirectly reached out to the CIA a day after the attacks, but U.S. officials remain skeptical that either the Trump administration or Iran is prepared for a near-term de-escalation. Trump’s announcements of a U.S. naval escort for oil tankers through the Strait of Hormuz and political risk insurance also brought some relief.

The White House announcement reduced fears ⁠of major disruptions ‌in the oil market which could lift energy prices and pressure inflation, said Jim Awad, senior managing director at Clearstead Advisors LLC in New York. The relief gave investors confidence to ⁠scoop up tech-related stocks that sold off heavily in February and were cheap compared with weeks ago, he said.

“That combination is giving the market some optimism, which will be tested over coming weeks,” Awad said. “It is time to be realistic and not get carried away, either too bullishly or too bearishly.”

According to preliminary data, the S&P 500 gained 52.83 points, or 0.78%, to end at 6,869.46 points, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 290.79 points, or 1.29%, to 22,807.48. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 228.86 points, or 0.49%, to 48,738.98.

The prospect of the war spurring additional ‌inflation is one of the main reasons for market volatility on the horizon, said Richard Bernstein, chief executive officer of Richard Bernstein Advisors.
“If people think the war will be short-lived or ‘not an issue’ for the U.S. economy, then the ⁠stock market will likely rally,” he said. “The opposite seems true too. Long-lived and impacting the U.S. economy could mean more volatility.” The energy sector led declines on the S&P 500 as stocks that had climbed in recent days on rising oil-price fears reversed course.

Several Middle Eastern countries have temporarily halted oil and gas production and the U.S. was looking to expand its campaign inside Iran. Oil prices settled unchanged on Wednesday at the end of a volatile trading session. Brent crude settled at $81.40 per barrel, flat to Tuesday’s close and at its highest level since January 2025.