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Apple’s Foldable iPhone Surge Saves the S&P 500 From a Chip Rout as Weak Jobs Report Divides Wall Street

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iPhone 17e

NEW YORK — Apple’s stock surged nearly 5% Thursday, adding roughly $182 billion in market capitalization in a single session and single-handedly preventing what would have been a much sharper decline for the broader S&P 500, as a weak June jobs report, an ongoing chip sector pullback and lingering Middle East uncertainty sent most of the rest of the technology market lower heading into the Fourth of July holiday weekend.

The S&P 500 managed to finish essentially flat on the day, down just 0.2% by midday before recovering ground, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 0.7% and the Nasdaq Composite declined 0.8%. Eight of the 10 largest market capitalization moves in the S&P 500 on Thursday were negative, including sharp declines for Tesla and Micron Technology. Without Apple’s contribution, analysts noted, the broader index would have recorded a considerably more painful session.

The catalyst for Apple’s surge was a Bloomberg report indicating the company had instructed its parts suppliers to prepare for a large-scale rollout of foldable iPhones this fall, with the expected production target for 2026 now rising to approximately 10 million units, up from earlier forecasts of 7 to 8 million. That order volume increase signals Apple’s confidence that consumer demand for its first foldable smartphone will exceed initial projections. Alongside the foldable, Apple is reportedly preparing roughly 70 million iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max units, setting up what the company expects to be one of the most commercially significant product launches in its recent history.

The foldable iPhone news came at an opportune moment for Apple investors who have been watching the stock navigate a difficult stretch defined by supply chain pressures, memory chip cost increases and publicly disclosed price hikes on its Mac and iPad lineups. The prospect of a new form factor capable of driving a significant upgrade cycle among the company’s existing customer base gave investors a concrete growth narrative to focus on heading into the back half of 2026.

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The rest of the day told a very different story for much of the technology sector. Tesla fell 7.4% even as the company reported June vehicle deliveries that came in 18% above analyst estimates, a counterintuitive reaction that market observers attributed almost entirely to profit-taking following a 13% price surge over the prior four trading sessions. Micron Technology, similarly near all-time highs after its extraordinary year-to-date run of more than 300%, declined 5.8%, weighed down in part by a price-fixing lawsuit related to older memory types that circulated through the financial news cycle during the session. Both moves contributed to the Nasdaq’s underperformance, though neither Tesla nor Micron is a component of the Dow, which helps explain the divergence between the blue-chip index’s gain and the tech-heavy Nasdaq’s decline.

The macro backdrop for Thursday’s session was defined by the June nonfarm payrolls report, which landed well below expectations. The Labor Department reported 57,000 new positions added in June, against economist forecasts of 110,000. May’s payroll numbers were revised downward as well. The unemployment rate edged lower to 4.2% from 4.3%, a technically positive reading but one that contradicts the weak hiring figure and reflects a falling labor force participation rate rather than broad employment strength. Treasury yields declined in response to the soft data, as bond market investors recalibrated expectations toward a Federal Reserve that would face reduced pressure to raise interest rates given the cooling labor market.

The geopolitical dimension of Thursday’s session involved the Strait of Hormuz, where the vessel backlog waiting to transit the critical waterway fell to 380 ships from 485 earlier in the week. However, only five ships actually passed through the strait in the preceding 24 hours, underscoring how far the shipping situation remains from normal despite diplomatic progress. U.S. and Iranian negotiators wrapped up the latest round of talks in Doha claiming what participants described as positive momentum, though no concrete breakthroughs have been announced. The next scheduled discussion will follow funeral proceedings for Iran’s late Supreme Leader, which are expected to conclude by July 9, a timeline that introduces additional uncertainty about when the substantive diplomatic work can resume.

Oil prices continued falling Thursday despite the limited physical improvement in Hormuz traffic, suggesting markets are pricing in future progress rather than current conditions. Gold and Bitcoin rallied simultaneously for the second consecutive session, a combination that some market participants described as unusual and potentially significant. The SPDR Gold Shares fund rose 2.1% while the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF gained 2.6%. When investors move into both traditional and digital safe-haven assets at the same time, it typically signals a broad underlying uncertainty rather than a specific sectoral rotation.

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The broader week produced a pattern analysts have flagged as the dominant theme of 2026’s market: a clear rotation from high-flying technology and semiconductor growth names into steadier, more traditionally valued sectors including financials and industrials. The Dow outperforming the Nasdaq by 1.5 percentage points on Thursday alone illustrated that rotation in concentrated form. The chip sector’s two-day decline followed an 82% first-half gain across semiconductor stocks broadly, making some degree of consolidation not only expected but arguably overdue. The speed of the correction, however, has surprised even observers who anticipated a pullback after the sector’s extraordinary run.

With U.S. markets closed Friday for the Independence Day holiday, which falls on Saturday this year, investors have a long weekend to reassess their positions before trading resumes Monday. The Fourth of July closure also pushed the jobs report to Thursday rather than its usual Friday slot, making this week’s already compressed four-day schedule feel even more event-dense than typical pre-holiday periods.

Monday’s reopening will bring investors back to a market still processing a complicated set of signals: Apple’s foldable iPhone optimism colliding with a softening labor market, an ongoing diplomatic standoff in one of the world’s most important shipping lanes, a chip sector finding its footing after an extraordinary first half, and a Federal Reserve whose next move remains genuinely uncertain in a way that it has not been for much of the past several months. Whether Apple’s foldable iPhone story can maintain the momentum it generated Thursday, or whether the broader rotation out of technology names continues to dominate, will likely define the market’s first week of July trading when it resumes after the holiday break.

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Investors looking for shelter from AI storm are turning to India

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Investors looking for shelter from AI storm are turning to India
After losing out big on the global AI rally, Indian equities are regaining the attention of investors seeking to weather the latest market turbulence.

With the artificial intelligence frenzy roiling benchmark gauges from Asia to the US, the NSE Nifty 50 Index is becoming a safe haven of sorts for global investors. In the first half of the year, it moved 1% or more on just about one-third of the days — less than the MSCI Emerging Markets Index and barely more than the S&P 500 Index.

India’s lack of AI plays has been a hurdle most of the year as investors turned to markets like South Korea and Taiwan that delivered stellar returns. But with concerns mounting over the sustainability of that trade, interest in India is slowly coming back. In June, the Nifty 50 outperformed the MSCI Emerging Markets Index by the most since November, while foreign outflows were the smallest in four months.

“India’s calm comes down to one thing: It sits outside the AI trade,” said Maxence Visseau, chief investment officer of Arkevium Capital in Dubai. His firm is neutral on the market and uses it as a diversifier, he said. “India works as an AI hedge inside the EM complex.”

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Image 1ETMarkets.com

Indian equities remain some of the world’s worst performers this year, but the tide is starting to turn as the rupee stabilizes after hitting a record low and oil gains that tanked shares of refiners and airlines recede on easing tensions in the Middle East. That’s reduced inflation concerns and brightened prospects for India’s economic growth, according to a government report at the end of June.


At the same time, market players are getting more upbeat about the upcoming earnings season, which Tata Consultancy Services Ltd. kicks off on Thursday.
“The fall in commodity prices has altered the macro outlook for India almost overnight,” said Sandip Sabharwal, founder of research house Asksandipsabharwal.com in Mumbai. “Lower commodity prices, improving capital flows and stable interest rates create an environment where earnings upgrades are likely to exceed downgrades over the coming quarters.”In a note to clients, Morgan Stanley analysts including Ridham Desai wrote last month that India has become a “much larger macro asset class.” The less volatile inflation data in recent years support equity valuations and turn the market into one of defensive growth that can withstand global shocks better than it used to, they said. Over the past decade, the Nifty 50 almost tripled, delivering annual gains of more than 10% on six separate years.

The benchmark index logged 38 sessions with moves of 1% or more in either direction in the first six months of 2026, compared with 59 for MSCI’s emerging-market and Asian gauges and 32 for the S&P 500. South Korea’s Kospi index was off the charts, with 79 days of fluctuations of at least 1% — or two-thirds of the days in 2026.

Image 2ETMarkets.com

Meanwhile, the India NSE Volatility Index dropped for a third straight month in June, falling below its one-year average and reaching its lowest level since February on Friday. That’s a far cry from April, when the gauge of option prices was at a one-year high relative to the Cboe Volatility Index, shortly after the Nifty 50 tanked to a low.

Kruti Shah, a quantitative analyst at Equirus Securities, sees a “bullish undertone” in the Nifty 50 and favors call spreads to bet on more gains, adding that the upcoming earnings season may offer some positive surprises.

“India was held back earlier this year by higher energy prices, elevated valuations and limited exposure to the AI trade,” said Ben Powell, chief investment strategist for the Middle East and Asia Pacific at BlackRock Investment Institute. “As those pressures have eased, investors may look beyond AI-heavy markets. That could put India back on investors’ radar as a differentiated opportunity within emerging markets.”

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Uber pauses Europe food delivery expansion as it pursues Delivery Hero deal, FT reports

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Uber pauses Europe food delivery expansion as it pursues Delivery Hero deal, FT reports


Uber pauses Europe food delivery expansion as it pursues Delivery Hero deal, FT reports

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Treasury Yields Snapshot: July 2, 2026

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Tradeweb Government Bond Update – January 2026

Treasury Yields Snapshot: July 2, 2026

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Week’s Best: QQQ Has Competition Now

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Week’s Best: QQQ Has Competition Now

Week’s Best: QQQ Has Competition Now

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Vessel forced out of New York ship parade over ’politically charged’ banners

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Vessel forced out of New York ship parade over ’politically charged’ banners


Vessel forced out of New York ship parade over ’politically charged’ banners

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Core Scientific: A Bullish Bet On AI Power Scarcity

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Core Scientific: A Bullish Bet On AI Power Scarcity

Core Scientific: A Bullish Bet On AI Power Scarcity

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Politics And The Markets 07/05/26

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OneWater Marine Inc. (ONEW) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

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Linde: Space Growth Prospects Already At Orbit

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SpaceX: What Does History Tell Us About Investing In The Biggest IPOs? I Am Cautiously Optimistic

Linde: Space Growth Prospects Already At Orbit

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WhiteFiber: A Small-Cap Way To Own The AI Power Bottleneck

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Cipher Digital: Taking Advantage Of An Expensive, Volatile Stock Through Options (NASDAQ:CIFR)

WhiteFiber: A Small-Cap Way To Own The AI Power Bottleneck

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India regains favor as investors seek shelter from AI-driven market swings

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India regains favor as investors seek shelter from AI-driven market swings

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