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Budget airline king Bill Franke warms to premium upgrades

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Budget airline king Bill Franke warms to premium upgrades

Bill Franke, co-founder of Indigo Partners and chairman of Frontier Airlines Inc., speaks during an interview in New York, Oct. 28, 2022.

Jeenah Moon | Bloomberg | Getty Images

SCOTTSDALE, Ariz. — For decades, William Augustus Franke, Frontier Airlines‘ chairman and a serial airline investor, made a killing selling cheap plane tickets and charging fees to check bags, to pick seats and for everything else. Now, he says first-class seats and other traveler comforts are in order — at least in the United States.

Frontier is planning to roll out first-class seats next year on its Airbus fleet. It’s also joined a growing list of airlines adding SpaceX‘s Starlink Wi-Fi on board as it seeks to return to steady profitability.

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“We’re not trying to have a Singapore Airlines first class,” Franke, 89, told CNBC in late June at the model airplane-filled offices of Indigo Partners, the private equity firm he founded. “What we’re trying to do is give the consumer an option,” he said, calling it at once upscale and competitive.

The ultra-low-cost airline model that Franke, who goes by Bill, pioneered has faced a reckoning in recent years. A jump in pilot salaries, maintenance costs and operating expenses, along with a boom in premium travel, have hit long-profitable and fast-growing budget carriers. Maintaining strong growth and keeping costs low were sacrosanct for that sector for years.

Another pillar was not giving things away for free. At the 2017 Dubai Air Show, where he made a record Airbus aircraft order for the empire of airlines he invested in, Franke likened some consumers to teenagers and “spoiled brats,” saying they expected to get low fares and what are now add-ons without paying for them, CNBC reported at the time.

“They had been flying with all the amenities for ever and ever and that’s what they think they ought to get,” Franke said at the time.

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But since then, larger, more powerful rivals like United Airlines and Delta Air Lines have copied the model for their cheapest tickets. They’ve started offering bare-bones fare options and adding fees for everything else. This year, they even brought that pricing strategy to their first classes and plush, long-haul suites to increase revenue, stripping customers who choose that option of a free seat choice, among other restrictions.

Franke has owned, operated or invested in budget airlines around the world, from Chile to Hungary to the Philippines to the U.S. He was an early investor in European budget carrier Ryanair.

His legacy stretches across the airline industry: Many top airline executives, including the CEOs of United Airlines and American Airlines, worked under him earlier in their careers.

Franke also ran Spirit Airlines until 2013, before becoming the chairman at Frontier at the end of that year.

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He tried to merge the two carriers in 2022 but Spirit shareholders voted for another offer, all cash, from JetBlue Airways. That deal fell apart after a federal court ruled it violated antitrust laws in January 2024.

Struggling on its own, Spirit collapsed in May, the biggest U.S. airline failure in decades, leaving Frontier as the largest discounter in the country.

Franke said he’s far from out of the game and remains a major Frontier shareholder.

“We see startup ideas probably one a month,” he said.

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‘They still focus on price’

A Frontier Airlines airplane taxis past a Spirit Airlines aircraft at Indianapolis International Airport in Indianapolis, Indiana.

Luke Sharrett | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Franke started flying frequently when he was a little kid because his father worked for the State Department and was based in Paraguay.

He said a lot has changed since. “Consumers are much smarter today” than they used to be, armed with new data and tools like artificial intelligence that help them better compare fares and options, he noted.

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“None of the airlines are quite sure what AI … is going to do to your decision to book,” he said.

But “price and schedule are still at the top,” Franke added.

“For a lot of consumers, whether the ticket costs $200 or $125 is not going to be the decision-maker, but for a lot of people it is still,” he continued. “Middle class, younger flyers, they still focus on price.”

But the ultra-low-cost and low-fare model has struggled in the United States. It’s based on keeping costs minimal and maintaining rapid growth, both of which have been more difficult since the pandemic. Higher fuel prices since the start of the Iran war have been an added challenge.

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Spirit is the obvious casualty, with its CEO saying it “ran out of runway” after facing increasing challenges, but Frontier has only been profitable one year since 2019 and JetBlue hasn’t been profitable since that year.

“We’re not forecasting next year, but the airline is certainly on the right trajectory to return to sustainable profitability,” Frontier CEO Jimmy Dempsey said on a July 29 earnings call. He became the carrier’s chief executive in December, succeeding Barry Biffle who headed the airline for close to a decade.

Airlines, including Frontier, have been jacking up fares to cover costs. August airfares were up more than 23% over last year, according to federal data released Sept. 11.

Frontier isn’t alone in wanting to add pricier and roomier seats. Allegiant Air recently announced it would add a first class to its currently single-cabin planes, and JetBlue Airways is adding a domestic first class. Meanwhile, larger competitors are growing their premium cabins.

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Franke said the new upscale moves don’t fit everywhere, and that efficiency remains key.

“In the U.S. market where you have mature large airlines — Delta, United, American — who are changing the interior of their aircraft on a regular basis, it could well be that a low-cost or a lower-cost airline, in order to properly compete, needs to make adjustments to its business model,” he said. “That doesn’t mean you have to do that in an emerging market like Hungary or Peru.”

All roads lead to Tempe

Franke’s legacy extends beyond the low-cost model. Many of the leaders of the modern U.S. airline industry can trace their roots back to Franke and to Tempe, Arizona, where America West — which through mega-mergers evolved into modern-day American Airlines — was based.

Franke, who had studied and practiced law, got into the airline business more than 30 years ago. The then governor of Arizona tapped him to save America West when it was mired in bankruptcy in the early 1990s and he became chief executive in 1993.

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His proteges include American Airlines CEO Robert Isom; Isom’s predecessor, former American Chief Executive Doug Parker; and United Airlines CEO Scott Kirby.

Read more about Bill Franke’s alumni

Franke’s former employees told CNBC that they keep up with him regularly.

Isom told CNBC in an interview in late June that Franke is “pretty good at giving jabs.” For many years, they would bet on college football, specifically, games between Stanford University, where Franke studied, and Notre Dame, where Isom studied.

“His rule was fast pay makes fast friends,” Isom recalled, showing CNBC some of his winnings: Chilean pesos with Franke’s business card attached by paperclip and, in another win by Isom, euro coins taped to a sheet of paper with “PAID IN FULL” written out by his former boss.

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Kirby told CNBC at an industry conference in Rio de Janeiro in June that after The Wall Street Journal profiled him this spring, Franke told him it made him “throw up in his coffee when he opened his newspaper.” Franke didn’t comment on that, but said he recalled the exchange.

Even still, Kirby called Franke a mentor, and clarified that he was “a hard-ass mentor.”

“All of us, our formative years were working for Bill, getting screamed at by Bill. … He should take more credit for that,” he said. (Franke said he didn’t yell at him. “That’s just not me.”)

Franke was demanding, especially when it counted, his alumni said.

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Steve Johnson, American Airlines vice chair and chief strategy officer, and another Franke America West alum, likened Franke to a second father.

Johnson was a partner from 2003 to 2009 at Indigo when it owned Spirit. During the summer 2008 fuel spike that saw prices hit more than $147 a barrel (more than $200 in today’s dollars), Spirit was running out of money but had a portfolio of fuel hedges, a series of contracts that locks in future pricing.

He was about to head to a California-bound plane that summer when Franke called him about the fuel and told him to “sell it now,” Johnson recalled. They did and generated about $30 million. Oil prices later crashed.

“It turned out to be just exactly what Spirit needed,” Johnson said.

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1 Year Into the Microsoft Deal, IREN Is Delivering and a Rally May Follow Soon
Ai chip by Quality Stock Arts via Shutterstock
Ai chip by Quality Stock Arts via Shutterstock

Just over a year ago, investors largely viewed IREN (IREN) as a bitcoin mining company. Today, the company supplies AI infrastructure to Microsoft (MSFT) and signs billion-dollar contracts with some of the biggest names in the AI market, including Nvidia (NVDA) and Dell Technologies (DELL). These developments provide evidence that IREN’s shift toward AI infrastructure is translating into actual business activity, and the market has responded strongly to that progress. IREN shares have been rewarded with two strong moves over the last two months.

The Microsoft Deal That Changed Everything

IREN’s AI transformation centers on a major five-year agreement with Microsoft. The company entered into a $9.7 billion cloud services agreement with Microsoft, with 20% of the contract value paid upfront. Once fully commissioned, the deal is expected to generate nearly $1.94 billion in annualized run-rate revenue. That gives IREN a significant source of contracted business as it builds out its AI cloud operations.

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The key point is that the agreement is already translating into real infrastructure. The company has completed and delivered the first of four planned “Horizon” AI cloud deployments for Microsoft. The deployment is a 50-megawatt liquid-cooled installation at IREN’s Childress, Texas campus. Nvidia has also granted IREN Exemplar Cloud status after testing the deployment’s GB300 NVL72 setup. That validation is important because it shows Nvidia has tested IREN’s infrastructure and confirmed its ability to support demanding AI workloads.

IREN’s planned capacity expansion shows just how quickly its business is changing, growing from roughly 3 megawatts of AI cloud capacity a year ago to 480 megawatts being delivered in 2026. The neocloud is targeting 1.2 gigawatts by 2027, which would amount to more than a hundredfold growth in capacity over about two years. Importantly, the expansion is already backed by a committed timeline.

At the same time, the company is building a revenue base that goes well beyond Microsoft. After securing $2.8 billion in new contracts, IREN raised its year-end 2026 annualized revenue target to more than $4 billion. Around 85% of that revenue target is already covered by signed contracts. The customer list has also expanded to include Together AI, Nvidia, Figure AI, Perplexity, and Fluidstack.

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Delivery and Contracts, Back-to-Back

IREN received two major catalysts within just a few weeks, giving investors fresh evidence that its AI infrastructure strategy is gaining traction. The first came when the company announced $2.8 billion in new multi-year contracts with AI developers. The new agreements pushed its annualized revenue target above $4 billion, with approximately 85% already under contract. Customer prepayments are also expected to cover about 45% of the GPU spending associated with those contracts.

Investors pushed the stock nearly 8% higher after the news broke. Days later, IREN confirmed the delivery and acceptance of Horizon 1 by Microsoft. The announcement sent shares another 6% higher in premarket trading. The two announcements tell a similar story from different angles. The company is delivering the infrastructure it promised, and new customer commitments are continuing to support the next stage of its expansion.

The delivery of Horizon 1 marks an important step, but the company still has three more phases ahead. The next major test will be whether Horizon 2 through Horizon 4 are delivered according to schedule. Investors will also be watching contract activity closely.

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About IREN Stock

IREN was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in Sydney, Australia, where it operates in the data center market. It owns the land, power infrastructure, buildings, and cooling systems needed to run these facilities, while providing the computing equipment, including GPUs, servers, storage, and networking, along with software and support services that help customers run AI applications. The company is also involved in Bitcoin mining through the operation of a peer-to-peer network of computers running the Bitcoin software.

Over the last 12 months, IREN stock has increased nearly 12%, slightly underperforming the S&P 500 ($SPX), which rose approximately 14% during the same period. The modest underperformance appears to be tied to IREN’s ongoing transition from Bitcoin mining to AI infrastructure. While AI Cloud Services revenue surged nearly eightfold in fiscal 2026, the company also recorded a $702.6 million net loss, largely driven by $638.8 million in non-cash impairment charges related to retiring Bitcoin mining equipment.

www.barchart.com

IREN’s AI Opportunity Is Growing, but So Is Its Spending Bill

IREN reported its fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings on August 27. The company’s revenue rose to $137.2 million as its AI cloud business continued to grow, but the result fell short of Wall Street’s estimate of $157.14 million. It reported a net loss of $684 million, driven largely by non-cash impairments tied to the planned exit from bitcoin mining. On the run-rate shift toward AI cloud, CFO Anthony Lewis said the company exited Q4 at roughly $0.5 billion of ARR. Moreover, the company continues to sign long-term cloud computing agreements with AI companies, including Cohere, Perplexity, Figure AI, and Fal AI.

Looking forward, management gave a very ambitious outlook for the next year. The company expects more than $4 billion of ARR by the December quarter, up from about $500 million at the end of Q4. However, the figure excludes approximately $700 million of ARR tied to its Nvidia cloud contract that is expected to ramp in 2027. Capital spending is set to remain heavy, with IREN guiding fiscal 2027 CapEx to $25 billion to $30 billion. That covers Microsoft capacity, other deployments tied to 2026 ARR targets, air-cooled deployments, and new liquid-cooled capacity.

What Do Analysts Expect for IREN Stock?

Analysts remain positive, as the stock received “Buy” ratings from various analysts in the first two weeks of September. On Sept. 14, J.P. Morgan analyst Richard Choe upgraded IREN to “Buy” and assigned a price target of $65, reflecting 54% upside from current levels. Similarly, BTIG analyst Gregory Lewis reiterated a Buy rating on IREN with a price target of $80, which implies further 90% upside from the current share price level.

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Based on 14 Wall Street analysts covering the stock, IREN holds a consensus “Strong Buy” rating. Of those, 12 have a “Strong Buy” rating, and three have a “Hold” rating. The stock has a median price target of $77, which reflects 83% upside from the current share price.

www.barchart.com

On the date of publication, Jabran Kundi did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. This article was originally published on Barchart.com

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