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Buy the Quantum Leader or Avoid High-Risk Volatility?

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IONQ

NEW YORK — IonQ Inc. shares have delivered explosive gains for early believers but remain a high-stakes bet heading deeper into 2026, with Wall Street analysts largely urging investors to buy the dip while cautioning that the quantum computing pioneer’s path to profitability is long and volatile.

IONQ
IONQ

Trading around $35–$40 in mid-April 2026, IONQ stock has pulled back from earlier highs amid broader tech sector rotation and lingering concerns over execution risks. Yet the company’s fundamentals tell a compelling growth story: 202% revenue increase in 2025 to $130 million, a robust $370 million backlog, and ambitious 2026 guidance of $225 million to $245 million in revenue.

Analysts maintain a consensus “Moderate Buy” to “Strong Buy” rating. The average 12-month price target sits near $65–$69, implying roughly 80–100 percent upside from current levels, with some optimistic forecasts reaching $100. No major brokerage currently carries a Sell rating.

Strong Commercial Momentum

IonQ has transitioned from pure research to a full-stack quantum platform provider faster than many competitors. Its trapped-ion technology has achieved industry-leading fidelity metrics, including 99.99% two-qubit gate fidelity on systems like Tempo. The company recently hit key milestones such as photonic interconnect breakthroughs and expanded collaborations with institutions including the University of Maryland and DARPA.

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Enterprise and government adoption is accelerating. Major customers across finance, pharmaceuticals, logistics and defense are using IonQ systems for complex optimization, simulation and machine learning tasks that classical computers struggle with. The $370 million remaining performance obligations provide strong revenue visibility into 2026 and beyond.

CEO Niccolo de Masi described 2025 as an “inflection point,” with the company scaling production, improving manufacturing yields and positioning itself as the only full-stack quantum player with vertically integrated hardware, software and cloud access.

Financial Position and Path Forward

IonQ ended 2025 with a fortress-like balance sheet — roughly $3.3 billion in cash, cash equivalents and investments and no debt. This war chest funds aggressive R&D and potential acquisitions while shielding the company from near-term dilution pressures that have plagued smaller quantum peers.

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Still, the company remains deeply unprofitable. Gross margins are negative as it invests heavily in scaling systems and cloud infrastructure. Analysts expect continued cash burn in 2026, though improving commercial mix and higher utilization rates should gradually narrow losses. Earnings growth estimates for 2026 sit around 65 percent on top of triple-digit revenue expansion.

Risks That Could Derail the Bull Case

Quantum computing is still an emerging field with significant technical and commercial hurdles. Error correction, scalability to thousands of logical qubits, and real-world advantage over classical systems remain years away for most applications. IonQ faces stiff competition from IBM, Google, Rigetti, Quantinuum and others pursuing different technological approaches.

Valuation remains stretched. Even after the recent pullback, shares trade at enormous multiples of current sales. Any delay in hitting 2026 guidance, slower customer ramp or negative clinical trial outcomes for quantum use cases could trigger sharp sell-offs. The stock’s beta above 2.7 underscores its volatility.

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Broader market sentiment toward high-growth tech also matters. Geopolitical tensions, interest rate shifts or another AI-related rotation could pressure speculative names like IonQ.

Why Many Analysts Still Say Buy

Supporters argue IonQ is uniquely positioned. Its technology has demonstrated superior performance on key benchmarks, and the company is shipping systems and cloud access today while competitors remain further from commercialization. Government contracts, including recent DARPA awards, provide stable revenue and validation.

Longer-term forecasts are even more bullish. Some models see IonQ capturing a meaningful slice of a quantum market projected to reach tens of billions by the early 2030s. For patient investors with high risk tolerance, the current valuation may represent an entry point before the next leg of commercial scaling.

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Recent sector catalysts — including Nvidia’s quantum-related AI announcements — have lifted the entire quantum basket, with IonQ often leading gains on positive news flow.

Investment Considerations for 2026

For growth-oriented portfolios, IonQ offers asymmetric upside if it executes on its roadmap and quantum advantage materializes in the coming years. Position sizing should remain modest given volatility and binary outcomes typical of frontier technology.

Conservative investors or those seeking near-term profitability may prefer to wait for clearer signals of sustained positive gross margins and consistent earnings beats. Dollar-cost averaging on dips could mitigate timing risk for believers in the long-term thesis.

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Bottom Line

IonQ enters the heart of 2026 as a leader in a transformative but immature industry. Strong revenue momentum, technical progress and a rock-solid balance sheet support the bullish analyst consensus. Yet sky-high expectations, ongoing losses and execution challenges mean the stock will likely remain a roller-coaster ride.

Investors considering IonQ must weigh its enormous potential against substantial risks. For those with long time horizons and conviction in quantum’s future, the data leans toward buying on weakness. For others, it may be prudent to monitor from the sidelines until more commercial proof points emerge.

As quantum computing inches closer to practical utility, IonQ’s ability to convert its technology leadership into durable profits will ultimately decide whether today’s buyers become tomorrow’s winners.

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Preferred bidder identified for Speciality Steel UK

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Business Live

UK’s third largest steelworks moves closer to sale after Official Receiver agrees exclusivity period with preferred bidder for former Liberty Steel business

Liberty Specialist Steel's site in Rotherham

Specialist Steel’s site in Rotherham(Image: Getty Images)

Britain’s third largest steelworks has edged closer to a sale following Government intervention after it went into liquidation last year.

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Last August, the state’s Official Receiver assumed control of Speciality Steel – formerly part of Sanjeev Gupta’s Liberty Steel empire – after it was forced to liquidate by the High Court.

On Wednesday, the Official Receiver, an arm of the Insolvency Service, confirmed it has entered into an exclusivity agreement with a “preferred bidder” for Speciality Steel UK (SSUK). The identity of the bidder has not been disclosed.

The Official Receiver stated that the process, designed to secure a formal sale, is anticipated to take approximately five weeks as the preferred bidder advances with their offer.

Output at the business, which operates sites across Stocksbridge and Rotherham in South Yorkshire, and Wednesbury in the West Midlands, has been suspended in recent months.

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Speciality Steel employs around 1,300 workers, a significant number of whom have been placed on furlough with reduced wages.

Roy Rickhuss, general secretary of the Community union, said: “This is an important moment, and we hope that this milestone – following on from the Government’s intervention last autumn – will help end the long period of uncertainty which our members at SSUK have endured.

“We look forward to meeting with the preferred bidder as soon as possible to hear more about their plans for securing jobs and investing in the business.

“SSUK’s sites are vital strategic assets, and with the right plan in place the business can have a bright future.”

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Exeter Chiefs set for US investment as Premiership Rugby clubs seek backing

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An extraordinary general meeting is scheduled for next month to approve the multimillion-pound deal

Exeter Chiefs are set for US investment as Prem Rugby interest ramps up

Exeter Chiefs are set for US investment as Prem Rugby interest ramps up

Exeter Chiefs are poised to become the latest in a wave of Premiership Rugby clubs to secure fresh investment, with American backing anticipated at Sandy Park.

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An extraordinary general meeting is scheduled for next month to vote on proposals that would see an unnamed US backer make a multimillion-pound investment in the Devon club.

The Guardian reports that members will be encouraged to back the motion. The club’s chairman, Tony Rowe, who has financially supported Exeter Chiefs’ rise from the second tier to European champions, has acknowledged he can no longer sustain the club’s funding in the long term, having previously explored and abandoned plans to float on the stock market.

“The proposal is for the members to accept,” Rowe told the Guardian. “At the moment I can’t discuss what that proposal is in any shape or form, other than it is an American investor. They want to get involved in English rugby.”

Should the new investment receive the green light, it would follow energy drinks giant Red Bull’s entry into England’s top-flight Premiership Rugby with Newcastle and the multimillion-pound investment from billionaire Sir James Dyson into defending champions Bath.

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Exeter Chiefs’ West Country rivals Gloucester Rugby also appear to be pursuing investment from across the Atlantic, with owner Martin St Quinton stating in promotional material for a fan-focused crowdfunding campaign that the absence of relegation makes the league considerably more appealing to American investors.

The Devon-based club, whose squad boasts the likes of England international Henry Slade and former Wales captain Dafydd Jenkins, recorded losses of £10.3m in their most recent accounts, amid a wave of negative returns across the Premiership, as reported by City AM

Investing in England’s top tier guarantees a portion of the central revenue, 27 per cent of which is channelled to private equity giant CVC Capital Partners, which has recently consolidated its varied sports assets into the umbrella organisation Global Sports Group.

Global Sports Group encompasses CVC Capital Partners’ Premiership Rugby investment alongside shareholdings in the Guinness Six Nations and the multi-national United Rugby Championship.

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A review of Premiership Rugby carried out by Big Four firm Deloitte and merchant bank Raine Group concluded that the top flight should transition to a franchise model before the end of the decade, with plans to expand to as many as 20 teams by 2040.

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Bank of America: A Higher-For-Longer Rate Play (NYSE:BAC)

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IAK: Understanding The Structure And Suitability Of This Insurance ETF

This article was written by

I am interested in a lot of technology and AI stocks like Google, Nvidia, AMD, Tesla and Amazon.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of BAC either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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McKee introduces chocolate old fashioned donuts

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McKee introduces chocolate old fashioned donuts

New flavor joins Little Debbie Old Fashioned Donuts line.

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Sonoco raises quarterly dividend 1.9% to $0.54 per share

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Sonoco raises quarterly dividend 1.9% to $0.54 per share

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US Tariff Refunds Delayed: CBP Portal Launches But 37% of Claims Face Uncertainty

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US tariffs threaten to tip UK, Europe and Asia into recession, warn economists

British SMEs with transatlantic trade links have been warned they face a prolonged and uncertain wait before recovering tariffs wrongly collected by the United States, after Washington confirmed that its long-awaited online refund portal will handle only a fraction of outstanding claims when it goes live next week.

US Customs and Border Protection (CBP) is due to switch on its Consolidated Administration and Processing of Entries system, known as CAPE, on 20 April. The first phase of the portal is expected to cope with roughly 63 per cent of refund requests. The remaining 37 per cent, however, have been left without so much as a provisional timetable, raising fresh concerns for cash-strapped importers that have been out of pocket for the best part of two years.

John Havard, a consultant at audit, tax and business advisory firm Blick Rothenberg, said the scale of the backlog was “extraordinary” and that the uncertainty surrounding the more complex tranche of claims would do little to reassure small and mid-sized businesses that had counted on a swift resolution once the US Supreme Court struck down the tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA).

“Many of these remaining cases are classed as final tariffs because the goods concerned will have entered the US more than a year before the refund claim is filed,” Havard said. “In such instances the claims procedure is going to be considerably more involved. We are unlikely to hear anything further until government officials next appear before the Court of International Trade to deliver their next mandated progress report.”

The numbers involved are eye-watering. Blick Rothenberg estimates that around 53 million unlawful tariff collection transactions were processed during the period in question, with the total refund bill potentially reaching $166 billion (£132 billion). More than 26,000 importers, collectively responsible for some $120 billion of IEEPA tariffs, have already registered with CBP to receive their money back electronically, following a White House directive requiring all federal payments to be made by electronic transfer.

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The rules governing who can actually lodge a claim are tightly drawn. Only the official importer-of-record, or that party’s nominated US customs broker, will be entitled to submit a refund request. Businesses must also hold an active account with CBP’s Automated Commercial Environment before they can receive any money. Havard said there had been “considerable activity” in new account registrations since the Supreme Court’s ruling, suggesting that many firms had been caught flat-footed by the decision.

For those still waiting, there is at least one sliver of good news. In a previous statement to the US trade court, a government official confirmed that interest would be paid on all refunded amounts, offering modest compensation for what is shaping up to be a lengthy delay before cheques actually land.

For British exporters and importers with exposure to the US market, the practical advice is straightforward: ensure ACE registration is in order, confirm which party holds importer-of-record status on historic shipments, and brace for a drawn-out administrative process. The fundamentals of the refund entitlement are no longer in doubt; the mechanics of getting the money back, it seems, very much are.

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Police won't pursue Escalante assets

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Police won't pursue Escalante assets

Police have decided not to pursue the assets of tech billionaire Laurence Escalante, who is facing drugs and assault charges brought against him in January.

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‘It’s humans versus machines’: Tech boss defends ‘deeply troubling’ advert that appeared at Bristol Airport

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Business Live

Luke Sartain, boss of Bristol-based Narwhal Labs, has responded to criticism online about adverts for his AI platform

Exterior of Bristol airport departure lounge illuminated at dusk

Exterior of Bristol airport departure lounge illuminated at dusk(Image: Getty Images)

The boss of a Bristol AI start-up that secured more than £20m in funding from UK investors last week has spoken out after one of its adverts was slammed for being “sexist”, “tone deaf” and “deeply troubling”.

A billboard appeared at Bristol Airport on April 10 depicting a smiling computer-generated woman with the strapline: ‘She outworks everyone. And she’ll never ask for a raise’. Underneath it said: ‘Meet your new AI employee. Always on, never sick and no HR required’.

The advert by Bristol tech company Narwhal Labs is for a new type of AI agent that handles voice, SMS, email and Whatsapp messages. The communications platform – named DeepBlue OS and set to launch next month – is being built in Bristol and has received backing from a host of investors including Jonathan Swann, former director of CFC Underwriting.

According to Narwhal, it is designed to replace “fragmented, human-led response models” with “always-on” AI agents. The chatbot operates 24 hours a day and is able to handle enquiries, such as booking appointments, without the need for a human. It also runs on a utility model with no setup fees or long-term contracts, and pricing is based on usage.

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The Narwhal Labs advert at Bristol Airport

The Narwhal Labs advert at Bristol Airport(Image: LinkedIn)

The Bristol Airport advertising campaign also features a male counterpart, but the associated message is focused on efficiency, with the tagline: ‘He’ll find them, call them, and follow up. While you sleep’.

The advert featuring the female AI agent, which has now been removed according to Bristol Airport, has been described as “sexist” and “deeply troubling” by gender experts and garnered criticism on social media.

“We understand the strength of feeling our campaign has generated, and we recognise the frustration it has caused,” Luke Sartain, chief executive and founder of Narwhal Labs told Business Live.

“It was never our intention for the billboards to be perceived as misogynistic or racist, and we take that concern seriously.

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“Our billboards depict people from a wide range of demographics. Different genders, backgrounds, and identities, and deliberately so. Because this was never about one group losing out to another. This is something far broader: humans versus machines. The impact will not be selective. It will not discriminate. And the debate it has sparked is exactly the one we need.

“While governments hesitate, the technology is accelerating. When as much as 80 per cent of white-collar work is at risk within the decade, silence is no longer a neutral position. The real question is not whether AI will replace jobs. It’s what we choose to do about it.”

But Dr Ruhi Khan, research officer in the Department of Gender Studies at the London School of Economics and Politics, told the Metro the advert was a “masterclass in encoded sexism”.

“When a tech company takes out a billboard in a major UK airport selling a female AI employee on the grounds that she will never demand fair pay, we have moved beyond unconscious bias in a dataset,” she told the newspaper. “This is the deliberate commercialisation of patriarchy. And this is deeply troubling.”

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The advert also drew criticism on LinkedIn, with comments describing it as “misogynistic” and “ill-conceived”.

Mr Sartain, however, told Business Live the argument is more about “defining the role of humans in a world where we are no longer the most efficient option”.

Luke Sartain, founder and chief executive of Narwhal Media Group

Luke Sartain, founder and chief executive of Narwhal Media Group(Image: Lindsay Fowke)

“Can AI outwork a human? The answer is yes, and in more ways than most are ready to accept,” he said. “But outperforming someone is not the same as replacing them.”

Mr Sartain said he would like to see more regulation around AI in the workplace, including mandatory transparency, with consumers and employees having the right to know when they are interacting with AI, not a person.

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He also believes businesses deploying AI at scale should be required to invest in reskilling and redeployment for affected workers. And that there should be a framework for coexistence in the workplace, with clear rules around where AI can replace humans – and where it can’t.

“In today’s world consumer expectations are rising, and AI is uniquely equipped to meet them, delivering speed, scale, and consistency that redefine what ‘good’ looks like. At Narwhal Labs, our mission is to help organisations meet those expectations responsibly,” he added.

A Bristol Airport spokesperson said: “The third-party company that arranges advertising at the airport removed the advert after concerns were raised regarding the content.”

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RBC Capital maintains NOV stock rating, cuts Q1 EBITDA view on war

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RBC Capital maintains NOV stock rating, cuts Q1 EBITDA view on war

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Blastr in Exclusive Talks to Buy Former Liberty Steel Sites in South Yorkshire

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Stainless steel 1.4542, which is also referred to as 17-4PH or AISI 630, is a high-performance material with broad recognition for its strength, hardness, and moderate level of corrosion resistance.

A Norwegian green-steel start-up has emerged as the preferred bidder for the former Liberty Steel operations in South Yorkshire, raising hopes of a long-awaited rescue for two plants that have become emblematic of Britain’s troubled heavy industry.

Blastr, a business backed by the Oslo-based renewables investor Vanir Green Industries, has entered a five-week period of exclusive negotiations with the Government’s official receiver to acquire Speciality Steel UK (SSUK), the company that owns Britain’s largest operating electric arc furnace in Rotherham and the downstream works at Stocksbridge.

The deal, if completed, would draw a line under one of the most drawn-out corporate collapses in recent British manufacturing history. SSUK has been in the hands of the official receiver since last August, when London’s High Court stripped ownership from the embattled metals magnate Sanjeev Gupta and declared the business “hopelessly insolvent”.

A successful sale would also hand ministers a rare piece of good news on the steel file. The Department for Business and Trade is already wrestling with the future of British Steel in Scunthorpe, the Chinese-owned blast furnace operation taken into state control roughly a year ago and now widely tipped for full nationalisation. Whitehall officials had privately floated the idea of bolting SSUK on to British Steel to create a single, state-shepherded speciality and long products champion, but sources suggest that option has fallen away under Blastr’s plans.

Confirmation of the exclusivity window came on Wednesday. “The official receiver will look to complete the sale at the earliest opportunity,” the Government said in a terse statement, with officials pointing to the tight five-week runway as a sign that negotiations are already well advanced.

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For Blastr, the prize is considerable, but so is the challenge. The company does not yet own or operate a single working steel plant. Its flagship project is a greenfield site in Finland, where it plans to use green hydrogen to produce low-carbon iron and steel — a technology that remains commercially unproven at scale. The business is led by Mark Bula, a steel industry veteran who has held senior roles at large producers in India and the United States, and who is understood to be the driving force behind the push into the UK.

Industry watchers expect Blastr to require substantial external financing to take the Rotherham and Stocksbridge sites across the line. Even so, insiders argue that SSUK itself is a fundamentally viable business, long throttled by the chronic shortage of working capital that plagued the wider Liberty Steel group under Mr Gupta and left the plants unable to buy raw materials consistently. Gupta, whose globe-spanning GFG Alliance has contracted sharply in recent years as cash pressures mounted, fought to retain SSUK to the last, but was eventually overruled in court.

The Rotherham electric arc furnace is a particularly strategic asset. As Britain’s largest operational EAF, it is central to any credible vision of a lower-carbon domestic steel sector and produces the kind of speciality and engineering steels used by the aerospace, defence and oil and gas industries — customers the Government is keen to keep sourcing at home.

The response from the shop floor was cautiously welcoming. Charlotte Brumpton-Childs, a national secretary of the GMB union and a former steelworker herself, said Liberty Steel employees “have been at the sharp end of years of uncertainty at this point — this needs to be a deal that secures the long-term future of steelmaking in South Yorkshire”. She added that “any sale of SSUK must include due diligence which guarantees ongoing operations and stability of the sites”, a pointed reminder that unions will scrutinise Blastr’s funding package and operational plan closely before offering unqualified support.

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For a region that has watched its steelmaking heritage erode over decades, and for a Government anxious to demonstrate that its industrial strategy can deliver more than just holding operations, the coming five weeks will be among the most consequential yet for the future of British speciality steel.


Jamie Young

Jamie Young

Jamie is Senior Reporter at Business Matters, bringing over a decade of experience in UK SME business reporting.
Jamie holds a degree in Business Administration and regularly participates in industry conferences and workshops.

When not reporting on the latest business developments, Jamie is passionate about mentoring up-and-coming journalists and entrepreneurs to inspire the next generation of business leaders.

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