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Don’t Panic: Big AI CapEx, Negative Free Cash Flow, And Lack Of ROI Are NOT Bearish (QQQ)

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Don’t Panic: Big AI CapEx, Negative Free Cash Flow, And Lack Of ROI Are NOT Bearish (QQQ)

This article was written by

After 43+ years working for one investment research company or another, I finally retired. So now, I’m completely independent. And for the first time on Seeking Alpha, I won’t be working based on anybody else’s product agenda. I have only one goal now… to give you the best actionable investment insights I can.I have long specialized in rules/factor-based equity investing strategies. But I’m different from others who share such backgrounds. I don’t serve the numbers. Instead, the numbers serve me… to inspire HI (Human Intelligence) generated investment stories. I definitely understand quant investing, including factors and what not (AI before it was called AI). But I don’t agree with what other quants do. Rather than be obsessed with statistical studies that are no good for any time periods other than the ones studied, I combine factor work with the underlying theories of finance including classic fundamental analysis to get the true story of a company and its stock. Investing is about the future. So numbers (which necessarily live in the past) can take us just so far. They’re at their best when they cue us into stories that shed light on what’s likely to happen in the future. And that’s how I use them,I’ve had a pretty colorful career. Besides a full range of experience covering stocks from lots of different groups (large cap, small cap, micro cap, value, growth, income, special situations … you name it, I covered it) I’ve developed and worked with many different quant models. In addition, I formerly managed a high-yield fixed-income (“junk bond”) fund and conducted research involving quantitative asset allocation strategies such as are at the foundation of what today has come to be known as Robo Advising. I formerly edited and or wrote several stock newsletters, the most noteworthy having been the Forbes Low Priced Stock Report. I previously served as an assistant research director at Value Line.I also have long had a passion for investor education, which has resulted in my having conducted numerous seminars on stock selection and analysis, and the authoring of two books: Screening The Market and The Value Connection.I’m looking forward to my new incarnation on Seeking Alpha. I hope you enjoy what I offer. But if you don’t, feel free to tell me why in the comment sections. I’m a big boy. I can handle criticism. (But please don’t call me “stupid.” That’s my wife’s job!)

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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Icon Foods launches tagatose sweetener

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Icon Foods launches tagatose sweetener

TagaLite is a ready-to-formulate tagatose sweetener with sugar-like functionality.

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Applied Materials, Inc. (AMAT) Discusses DRAM and Advanced Packaging Innovations for AI-Driven Semiconductor Growth Prepared Remarks Transcript

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OneWater Marine Inc. (ONEW) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Michael Sullivan
Corporate Vice President of Investor Relations

Hello, and welcome back to the Applied Materials Master Class series. Several years ago, we anticipated that the AI wave would drive the semiconductor industry to $1 trillion in annual sales by 2030. And through that time, we modeled the wafer fab equipment market composition to be around 1/3 leading-edge, foundry-logic, 1/3 ICAPS and 1/3 memory, with memory evenly divided between DRAM and NAND.

Today, we see AI driving the semiconductor industry to around $1 trillion this year and new incremental applications like agentic, edge and physical AI growing the industry to much higher levels over the next several years. These AI waves are fueling demand for faster, more energy-efficient chips and systems, and this is creating a new WFE spending mix.

We now expect leading-edge, foundry-logic to outgrow ICAPS and drive well over 50% of foundry-logic in the years ahead. And in memory, we expect DRAM WFE spending to be well over 2x NAND spending. Applied is well positioned for this new mix with the highest process equipment market share in leading-edge, foundry-logic, which we covered in our April master class as well as both DRAM and advanced packaging, which we’re covering today.

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In a moment, Kevin Moraes will summarize our strategy and explain why DRAM and advanced packaging are growing with AI. Next, Sony Varghese will share the road map for both standard DRAMs and high-bandwidth memories. Then Jinho An will discuss how advanced packaging is enabling faster and more energy-efficient AI chips and systems. Next, Lior Engel will explain how we are bringing eBeam process control to advanced packaging. Finally, Kevin

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India’s textile stocks become market standouts on trade deals

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India's textile stocks become market standouts on trade deals
Indian suppliers of T-shirts, bed linen and towels to global retailers such as Walmart Inc. are among this year’s biggest stock-market winners, with some investors betting the rally has further to run.

A Bloomberg-compiled equal-weight gauge of eight textile exporters has climbed more than 30% this year, compared with an 8% decline in benchmark NSE Nifty 50 Index, with the nation’s new trade deals and a friendlier tariff regime bolstering the industry’s competitiveness.

The sector “should see a re-rating as this is a real opportunity for Indian firms to grab market share,” said Pawan Bharaddia, co-founder and chief investment officer of Equitree Capital Advisors Pvt. SP Apparels Ltd., a supplier of garments to Tesco Plc, is a part of his portfolio. The stock has surged 60% this year.

India is set to implement its trade accord with the UK this month, is concluding one with the European Union, and is moving closer to a deal with the US, fueling optimism that these agreements will boost exports. At the same time, global brands are moving their sourcing away from China and a few Asian peers, creating opportunities for Indian exporters and manufacturers.

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1Bloomberg

Textile companies are seen as among the biggest beneficiaries of these trade pacts. That optimism is also visible in institutional portfolios, with large investors including SBI Funds Management Ltd. and Quant Mutual Fund raising their stakes in textile firms in recent months.
Arvind Ltd., which counts global retailers including Gap Inc. among its clients, has surged 74% this year. Indo Count Industries Ltd., which supplies bed linen to Walmart Inc and Target Corp., has soared 54%.
“With global retailers improving order visibility and brands consolidating toward large compliant suppliers, major Indian textile exporters are well-positioned to capture disproportionate market share in the upcycle,” Motilal Oswal analysts wrote in a note last week.
Despite being one of the world’s largest producers, India accounts for only about 4% of the global trade in textiles and apparel. The government aims to expand the textile market to $350 billion by 2030, from an estimated $194 billion in fiscal year 2026.

Achieving that goal will require fresh investments in manufacturing capacity, particularly in garments, where India lacks enough large-scale exporters, according to Prerna Jhunjhunwala, an analyst at Elara Securities India.

“Future gains will depend on companies expanding capacity, winning export orders and delivering sustained earnings growth,” said Jhunjhunwala, who holds buy recommendations on KPR Mill Ltd. and Arvind Ltd., and is among the top rated analysts for the sector.

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The flavor trends transforming Texas barbecue

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The flavor trends transforming Texas barbecue

Asian, African American, Cajun and Tex-Mex traditions are reshaping the pit.

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Can Canada’s Telecom Sector Reconnect With Investors?

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Can Canada's Telecom Sector Reconnect With Investors?

TD Wealth is an integral part of the TD Bank Group, which has approximately 24 million customers worldwide, 85,000 employees and CDN $1 trillion in assets on April 30, 2015.
In Canada, TD Wealth services customers through:
· TD Direct Investing which provides clients access to the information, tools and support that empower them to invest for themselves with confidence.
· TD Wealth Private Client Group, which provides discretionary wealth management for high net worth clients and businesses.
· TD Wealth Private Investment Advice provides full service brokerage for investors who want a high level of tailored advice and solutions.
· TD Wealth Financial Planning develops and implements a financial plan for individual clients.
At TD Wealth, whether you invest yourself or benefit from the knowledge provided by your advisor, you gain access to some of the industry’s most highly regarded investment analysts, economists and market strategists.

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Rigetti: The Market Is Pricing In A Future That Hasn’t Arrived Yet (NASDAQ:RGTI)

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Rigetti: The Market Is Pricing In A Future That Hasn't Arrived Yet (NASDAQ:RGTI)

This article was written by

Dear Reader,I am a Senior Derivatives Expert with over 10 years of experience in the field of Asset Management, specializing in equity analysis and research, macroeconomics, and risk-managed portfolio construction. My professional background covers both institutional and private client asset management, where I have advised on and implemented multi-asset strategies, but highly focusing on equities and derivatives.As you might be as well, I am a stock market enthusiast. My core passion lies in understanding how macro trends influence both asset prices and investor behavior. I closely follow EU and US central bank policies, sector rotation, and sentiment dynamics, and construct actionable investment strategies.BA in Financial Economics, MA in Financial Markets. In the past decade, I have navigated through various market conditions, and this was my PhD.One of the essential goals of writing on Seeking Alpha is to share insights with colleagues, fellow investors, exchange ideas, and become slightly better than yesterday. I contribute to the idea that investing should be accessible, inspiring, and empowering. It might sound like a cliche, I know, but in the end it’s highly valuable – so let’s help each other build confidence in long-term investing. The analysis and opinions shared in my articles and comments are for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please do your own research before making any investment decisions.Thank you and have a lovely day!Best regards

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of NVDA either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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Tesla Shares Slide Despite Record Q2 Deliveries as Investors Weigh Robotaxi Timeline

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Tesla is facing a backlash in China

Tesla Inc. shares fell more than 6% to trade around $396 Thursday despite the electric vehicle maker reporting stronger-than-expected vehicle deliveries for the second quarter, highlighting investor focus on the pace of autonomous driving progress and profitability amid heavy spending on artificial intelligence initiatives.

The company delivered 480,126 vehicles in the April-June period, surpassing analyst expectations and marking a significant rebound from prior quarters. Production exceeded 450,000 units, with energy storage deployments reaching 13.5 gigawatt-hours, demonstrating operational strength across multiple segments.

Deliveries benefited from recovering demand in Europe and steady performance in other international markets, though North American sales faced headwinds. The results provide a positive data point ahead of Tesla’s full quarterly earnings later this month, where margins, capital expenditure and future guidance will face greater scrutiny.

Tesla’s Robotaxi ambitions remain central to its valuation narrative. The company has begun unsupervised operations in limited areas of Austin, Texas, with plans for broader expansion. Progress on Full Self-Driving software continues, though regulatory approvals and safety validations will determine commercialization timelines.

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Chief Executive Elon Musk has emphasized artificial intelligence and autonomy as core to Tesla’s future, positioning the company beyond traditional automotive manufacturing. Investments in data centers, computing infrastructure and robotics underscore this strategic direction.

Delivery Rebound and Operational Highlights

Second-quarter deliveries exceeded the Wall Street consensus of approximately 397,000 to 406,000 vehicles. The beat reflects improved supply chain dynamics, new model refreshes and marketing efforts to stimulate demand.

Model 3 and Model Y continued dominating sales volumes, while Cybertruck production ramped steadily. Energy storage growth highlighted diversification beyond vehicles, with Megapack deployments supporting grid stability projects worldwide.

Tesla’s Shanghai factory and other international facilities contributed meaningfully to output. The company maintains flexibility to adjust production based on regional demand patterns.

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Analysts expect second-quarter revenue and profit figures to reflect higher vehicle volumes, though increased competition and pricing pressures may affect average selling prices. Cost reductions through manufacturing efficiencies remain a key focus.

Autonomy and AI Investments

Tesla’s Full Self-Driving software has received regulatory nods in additional markets, enabling supervised and unsupervised testing. The Cybercab robotaxi vehicle, designed without steering wheel or pedals, represents the company’s vision for dedicated autonomous fleets.

Unsupervised operations in Austin mark a milestone, though scaling to profitable ride-hailing networks requires overcoming technical, regulatory and public acceptance hurdles. Competitors including Waymo and others have established operations in select cities.

Capital spending remains elevated as Tesla builds AI training infrastructure and expands manufacturing capacity. The company has committed billions toward these initiatives, betting on long-term leadership in autonomous technology.

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Musk has repeatedly highlighted the transformative potential of robotaxis, projecting significant revenue contributions in coming years. Skeptics point to historical delays in meeting ambitious timelines for Full Self-Driving capabilities.

Market Position and Challenges

Tesla maintains leadership in the global electric vehicle market despite intensifying competition from legacy automakers and Chinese manufacturers. Pricing strategies and technology differentiation help sustain demand.

The company’s energy business, including solar and storage, provides a hedge against automotive cyclicality. Virtual power plants and grid services represent growing opportunities as renewable energy adoption accelerates.

Regulatory environments vary globally, with incentives for electric vehicles supporting sales in Europe and parts of Asia while policy shifts in the United States create uncertainty. Trade tensions and tariffs impact supply chains and costs.

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Tesla’s valuation reflects expectations for growth beyond vehicles into software, energy and robotics. High multiples leave limited room for execution shortfalls, contributing to stock volatility.

Outlook and Investor Sentiment

Wall Street analysts maintain a range of views, with bulls citing robotaxi potential and bears emphasizing near-term margin pressures and competition. Consensus price targets suggest moderate upside from current levels, though forecasts vary widely.

Second-quarter earnings, scheduled for late July, will provide updates on profitability, cash flow and forward guidance. Delivery numbers offer an early positive indicator, but operational metrics will determine market reaction.

Tesla continues expanding its Supercharger network and exploring new vehicle platforms to address different market segments. Software updates regularly enhance existing vehicle capabilities, supporting customer satisfaction and residual values.

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The company’s gigafactories in multiple continents support production scalability while mitigating regional risks. Vertical integration in battery technology provides competitive advantages in cost and performance.

As Tesla navigates its transformation into an AI and robotics company, execution on autonomy milestones will heavily influence investor confidence. The coming months will test the company’s ability to convert technological progress into sustainable financial returns.

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Why Gen Z are taking mini-retirements

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A young woman sits on an elevated platform overlooking the coastline.

Many young people are choosing to spend money they would otherwise put into a pension, on trips now.

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Quantum Computing: More Treasury Income Than Product Revenue (NASDAQ:QUBT)

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Quantum Computing: More Treasury Income Than Product Revenue (NASDAQ:QUBT)

This article was written by

Hi, my names Tyler! While I am currently a student at University of South Carolina well on my way to earning majors in Finance and Risk Management, I spend nearly all my free time analyzing companies and the market. My credentials include a Level 2 certification through the Adventis FMC program as well as certificates from Bloomberg Market Concepts.I have been investing since middle school, however, I am much more focused on investing now than I was then. Overall, I am event-driven, opportunistic investor who is just looking for the next best thing.I was particularly inspired by Cornwall Capital, who found stocks others deemed “risky” and completed in-depth research to find the true story. This is my main strategy today, finding ignored or underfollowed stocks that bring more to the table than people think. This led me to make my first “Cornwall” trade back in May acquiring shares and LEAP option contracts of Opendoor Technologies at $0.75, before the meme rally. I acquired more shares around $0.56 and $2.00 and although I sold my option contracts for a profit of 4000%+, I continue to hold my shares to this day. I write and post anything that I find interesting or I believe has a strong opportunity ahead across any industry or sector. I’ve always enjoyed sharing my thoughts on companies with family members and friends so I figured, why not share with everybody!

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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Renewed calls for urgent Government action to support North East automotive sector

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Business Live

Top car making groups point to challenges facing the sector

The Nissan Leaf being built

(Image: Nissan)

A key voice in the region’s automotive sector has called for decisive action from Government to support a “strategic national asset”.

Amid widespread anxiety in the industry about the impact of the Zero Emission Vehicle mandate, the North East Automotive Alliance’s CEO Paul Butler has said policymakers must address EV sales rules, energy supply and the country’s trading relationship with the EU. The call from the North East cluster – which is said to be the largest in the country and is home to embattled Nissan – echoes similar announcements at a national level.

Mr Butler said : “The NEAA supports industry calls for decisive action to review the ZEV Mandate, to secure a sustainable long-term trading relationship with the EU, to address industrial energy costs and accelerate delivery of the Industrial Strategy. Getting these fundamentals right is critical to protecting jobs, attracting investment, growing exports, and ensuring the North East and wider UK remains a world-leading location for automotive manufacturing and innovation”.

The NEAA has said the North East is in prime position to lead the country’s transition to electrification, but says the move can only be capitalise upon if an investment friendly and competitive environment is cultivated. Its call follows the results of a major, national-level survey of sector leaders conducted by the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT), identifying barriers that Government must tackle.

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Those issues include the ZEV Mandate, securing fair UK-EU trade, and cutting the underlying energy and business costs that shape investment decisions. ZEV is seen as the most pressing of those challenges, and is said to be forcing manufacturers, like Nissan, to subsidise the market at unsustainable levels because demand is below the trajectory needed to meet 2030 targets.

Pressure from the rules is likely to increase in January next year when annual targets rise to 38% for battery electric vehicle sales for cars and 34% for vans. Current market share is about 24% for cars and 9.5% for vans. The SMMT says brands have already spent more than £12bn on discounts – money they say could otherwise have supported new models, jobs and investment.

In addition to growing employment and energy costs, the group underscored the threat posed by the European Commission’s ‘Made in Europe’ rules which effectively makes UK automotive products uncompetitive in the majority of the European market unless the EU agrees to UK products being recognised as “assembled in the EU”. And, early next year, tightened up rules of origin under the EU-UK Trade and Cooperation Agreement will trigger a 10% tariff on 70% of battery electric and plug-in hybrid models sold in Europe.

Mike Hawes, SMMT chief executive, said: “UK Automotive can drive growth, innovation and net zero, but only if the right decisions are taken now. The Industrial Strategy sets out a plan, but delivery is now what matters.

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“We need open trade with Europe, competitive conditions at home, and a realistic route to grow zero emission vehicle uptake. Reforming the ZEV Mandate is not about weakening ambition; it is about making the transition achievable, protecting investment and ensuring the UK remains a place where automotive businesses can build, sell, export and grow. The window for action is closing, which means we cannot wait for lengthy discussions.”

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