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ImmunityBio (IBRX) Shares Drop Nearly 10% as Investors Digest Recent Earnings

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Coinbase Global

Shares of ImmunityBio Inc. (NASDAQ: IBRX) tumbled nearly 10% in heavy trading Wednesday, reflecting profit-taking after a strong run earlier in the week and broader market caution amid ongoing volatility in biotech stocks.

ImmunityBio
ImmunityBio

The stock closed at $9.02 on March 4, 2026, down $0.98 or 9.85% from Tuesday’s close of $10.00. Intraday trading saw the price range from a low of $8.93 to a high of $9.59, with volume exceeding 16.5 million shares — solid but below the 35 million-plus average seen in recent sessions. After-hours trading showed modest recovery attempts around $9.01-$9.10.

The pullback followed a volatile period: the shares surged to $10.44 on March 2 amid momentum from positive clinical updates, then eased to $10.00 on March 3 after the company’s full-year 2025 earnings release. Year-to-date in 2026, IBRX has more than quintupled from early lows around $1.83, driven by commercial traction for its flagship therapy ANKTIVA and advancing regulatory milestones.

ImmunityBio reported full-year 2025 results on March 3, highlighting a dramatic 700% year-over-year increase in net product revenue from ANKTIVA (nogapendekin alfa inbakicept-pmln), the IL-15 superagonist approved in April 2024 for BCG-unresponsive non-muscle invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) with carcinoma in situ (CIS). The company expanded ANKTIVA approvals to additional indications, including lung cancer in select markets, and secured commercial partnerships in 33 countries with ongoing label expansion efforts globally.

Analysts responded positively, with Piper Sandler reiterating an Overweight rating and raising its price target to $15, citing strong sales momentum and regulatory progress. Consensus views lean toward “Strong Buy,” with an average 12-month target around $12.60 to $13.06, implying 30-40% upside from current levels. Some forecasts project highs up to $23-$25 if key milestones are met.

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Key pipeline advances bolster the outlook. On Feb. 26, 2026, ImmunityBio announced completion of enrollment in the pivotal QUILT 2.005 randomized trial evaluating ANKTIVA plus BCG versus BCG alone in BCG-naïve NMIBC CIS patients. The study enrolled 366 patients ahead of schedule, with an interim analysis requested by the FDA showing statistically significant improvement in duration of complete response for the combination arm and no major safety issues. Full results are expected in Q4 2026, paving the way for a potential Biologics License Application (BLA) submission by year-end to expand ANKTIVA into the first-line setting.

The company also continues discussions with the FDA on a potential resubmission of its supplemental BLA for ANKTIVA in BCG-unresponsive papillary NMIBC. Following a January 2026 Type B End-of-Phase meeting, the agency requested additional supporting information but no new clinical trial. ImmunityBio compiled and planned to submit the data within 30 days, aiming to address prior refuse-to-file concerns without restarting studies.

An expanded access program for recombinant BCG remains active, with over 580 patients enrolled across the U.S., addressing supply shortages and supporting real-world evidence.

Despite the positive momentum, challenges persist. ImmunityBio reported ongoing net losses typical for a clinical-stage biotech, though revenue growth signals commercial viability. Cash position and burn rate remain focal points for investors, with the company emphasizing disciplined capital allocation toward pipeline advancement and global commercialization.

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The stock’s 52-week range spans $1.83 to $12.43, with recent highs reflecting optimism around ANKTIVA’s potential to disrupt bladder cancer treatment landscapes — a market with significant unmet needs for durable responses beyond standard BCG therapy.

Market cap hovered near $9-10 billion following the dip, with about 1.03 billion shares outstanding. High short interest and retail investor interest have contributed to volatility, though recent trading has shown more stability tied to fundamentals.

As ImmunityBio eyes Q4 2026 data readouts and potential BLA filings, analysts watch for execution on manufacturing scale-up, partnership expansions, and additional indications. The biotech sector’s sensitivity to interest rates, regulatory timelines, and broader economic factors adds near-term uncertainty, but the company’s progress positions it as a notable player in immunotherapy.

Investors remain divided: bulls see multi-billion revenue potential if ANKTIVA secures broader approvals, while bears caution on competition and execution risks. For now, Wednesday’s decline appears more technical than fundamental, with many viewing the dip as a potential entry point amid the stock’s transformative trajectory.

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Rocket Lab’s Kampani sells $3.7 million in RKLB stock

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MPC lowers policy rate to 1%, signaling an extended low-rate approach and potential further cuts if risks emerge

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MPC lowers policy rate to 1%, signaling an extended low-rate approach and potential further cuts if risks emerge

The MPC cut the policy rate to 1% to ease financial conditions, support SMEs, and anchor inflation expectations, citing fragile growth, downside inflation risks, tighter SME credit, and emphasizing structural reforms beyond monetary policy.

MPC Cuts Policy Rate to 1.0% to Ease Financial Conditions

The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted 4-2 to reduce the policy rate from 1.25% to 1.0% aiming to ease financial burdens on SMEs and households, anchor medium-term inflation expectations, and support business adaptation amid global uncertainties. The two dissenting members preferred to maintain the 1.25% rate, considering it appropriate given current economic conditions. The MPC views the new 1% rate as sufficient, emphasizing the importance of preserving remaining policy space during high uncertainty and highlighting that structural challenges require policy measures beyond interest rate adjustments.

Economic Outlook and Inflation Risks

The MPC regards the Thai economy as fragile, projecting growth near 2.0% YOY in 2026-27, below potential growth of 2.7%. Inflation faces downside risks due to lower energy prices and government subsidies, with headline inflation expected to return to the target range’s lower bound later than previously anticipated. Trade uncertainty remains due to fluctuating U.S. tariffs, while the risk of fiscal delays has diminished with improving government formation prospects.

Challenges Facing SMEs and Financial Stability Concerns

SMEs continue to face tight financial conditions with rising loan costs and baht appreciation impacting exporters’ profits. Despite policy rate cuts, micro-SME loan rates have increased due to higher credit risks and constrained lending. The MPC will monitor low-rate environment risks, noting increased risk-taking behavior and potential credit misallocation but sees no immediate threat. Monetary policy alone cannot resolve Thailand’s structural growth challenges, requiring complementary economic and financial reforms.

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Steering Through 2026's Contrasting Fortunes

SCB EIC raises Thailand’s 2026 economic growth forecast to 1.8% due to improved exports and private investment. However, growth remains below potential amid geopolitical and domestic challenges.

SCB EIC has raised its economic growth forecast for Thailand in 2026 to 1.8%, up from the previous estimate of 1.5%. This revision reflects improved export performance and increased private investment driven by a global economic recovery, particularly in AI technology and electronic goods. Despite this positive outlook, Thailand’s overall economic growth remains below its potential due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and structural challenges within the country.

Private sector investments are beginning to pick up, aided by foreign direct investment and a rebound in construction activities. However, government spending may slow down after significant economic stimulus in the last quarter of 2025. The Bank of Thailand is expected to reduce its policy rate to 1% to support economic activities, particularly among vulnerable households and SMEs.

Globally, SCB EIC anticipates a 2.7% growth in 2026, primarily driven by investments in AI and digital goods, which mitigate geopolitical pressures. While monetary policy remains accommodative, inflation risk persists, particularly in the U.S. As such, global financial conditions might stabilize but are unlikely to ease significantly given the inflationary pressures in various nations.

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Simeon Gutman
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Okay. Hello. Thank you. Welcome, everybody. I’m Simeon Gutman, Morgan Stanley’s hardline, broadline food retail analyst. My pleasure to welcome Daniel Danker, EVP, AI Acceleration and Product Design from Walmart, most recently with Instacart as Chief Product Officer in Online Grocery. Thank you, Walmart, for being here third year in a row, and it probably took 3 years to be annointed as a tech company.

I recently — one introduction for Daniel before we get into this, I was talking with Doug about 2 months ago as an outgoing conversation. We talked about some of his hardest decisions, and we asked — I asked him about one of his best decisions. I didn’t know Daniel yet, but he mentioned it was hiring Daniel as someone at the enterprise level who can help advance AI. So high expectations, sorry about that.

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