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Mortgage Rates Drop Toward 6%
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Smallcaps cheaper but not cheap yet: Sonam Srivastava urges selective investing
In this interaction, she explains why caution is still warranted in the smallcap space, outlines sectors offering better opportunities, and discusses portfolio strategies amid geopolitical uncertainty and volatile markets.
Edited excerpts from a chat:
Equity investors are now worried about the impact of the Iran war, which comes at a time when the market hasn’t provided any return in the last 18 months. What is the best solution to navigate this crisis, besides continuing SIPs?
Geopolitical events like the Iran conflict create short-term volatility but rarely alter long-term earnings trajectories. The real concern here is that flat 18-month returns have tested investor patience precisely when resilience matters most. Beyond SIPs, the best navigation strategy is tactical asset allocation, where you incrementally deploy idle cash into quality large-caps during sharp drawdowns rather than waiting for certainty.
Avoid panic-driven rebalancing. If your portfolio has drifted equity-heavy due to prior rallies, partial reallocation to short-duration debt provides both stability and dry powder. Geopolitical crises compress valuations temporarily but rarely compress earnings permanently. Investors who stayed disciplined through COVID, the Russia-Ukraine war, and rate hike cycles were rewarded. Volatility is the price of equity returns and not necessarily a signal to exit.
How are you deploying cash across portfolios amid the decline in share prices? Which sectors are increasingly looking attractive from both growth and valuation perspectives for FY27?
The approach should be staggered and conviction-weighted. Rather than deploying cash in one tranche, spread it across 3–4 tranches over 6–8 weeks, prioritising sectors where earnings visibility remains intact.
Currently, large-cap private banks, select capital goods names, and pharma offer reasonable entry points. Avoid bottom-fishing in beaten-down small-caps without earnings support.
For FY27, sectors increasingly attractive on both growth and valuation include:
- private sector banking, which has seen credit growth recovery, NIM stabilisation
- healthcare/pharma with domestic formulations & US generics tailwinds
- infrastructure-linked capital goods with order book visibility
- Select IT services where AI-driven deal ramp-ups have occurred post a weak FY25
- Consumer discretionary also looks selectively interesting as rural demand recovers with a good rabi crop and potential tax relief transmission.
Overall, how cheap is the market considering that the Q3 numbers had a one-time impact from the Labour Code as well?
The Q3 earnings season was distorted. The Labour Code provisions created a one-time drag that artificially suppressed PAT margins across sectors like retail, hospitality, and manufacturing.
Stripping that out, underlying earnings were broadly in line. On a cleaned-up basis, Nifty trades at roughly 18–19x FY27 estimated earnings, which is close to long-term averages and not screaming cheap, but meaningfully off the frothy 22–23x seen in late 2024.
The broader market (mid and small-cap indices) has corrected 20–30% from peaks, bringing pockets of genuine value. The market isn’t dirt cheap, but it’s no longer pricing in perfection. For patient 3-year investors, current levels offer a reasonable margin of safety, particularly in financials and capex-linked themes where FY27 earnings recovery looks more credible.
How comfortable are you now regarding valuations in the small-cap space?
Comfort has improved meaningfully, but caution remains warranted. The small-cap index has corrected ~25–30% from its peak, compressing valuations from clearly excessive levels to something more reasonable.
However, “less expensive” is not the same as “cheap.” Many small-caps still trade at premium multiples relative to their earnings quality and growth predictability. Liquidity risk also remains elevated, and in a risk-off environment, small-caps face sharper drawdowns due to lower institutional float. We need to be selective rather than broadly bullish.
Focus on small-caps with strong balance sheets, consistent free cash flow generation, and identifiable earnings catalysts for FY27. Avoid names that rallied purely on momentum without fundamental backing. A 15–20% allocation to quality small-caps in a diversified portfolio is reasonable at current levels — not more.
What is your reading of sectoral rotation at this stage of the cycle, particularly across banking and financials, capital goods, manufacturing, IT services and consumption?
We appear to be in a mid-cycle transition, and rotation is becoming more nuanced:
- Banking & Financials: After underperforming for 12–18 months, it is improving. Valuations are attractive, credit costs are peaking, and rate cuts will support NIMs over FY26–27. Private banks look better positioned than PSUs at this stage.
- Capital Goods & Manufacturing: Still structurally in favour, but valuations remain elevated. Stock-specific rather than broad sector bets make sense. Order inflow data will be the key monitorable.
- IT Services: Early signs of deal momentum recovering, particularly in BFSI verticals. AI integration is shifting from a threat narrative to an opportunity narrative. Largecaps preferred over midcap IT.
- Consumption: Rural is recovering; urban is moderating. FMCG looks fairly valued. Discretionary is more interesting on dips.
Rotation favours financials and IT over capital goods at current relative valuations.
What is your view on precious metals? Does it make sense to keep buying gold? If you have Rs 10 lakh to invest, how would you divide it among gold and silver, equity and debt considering a 4-5 year horizon and medium risk appetite?
Gold’s rally is structurally supported with central bank buying, de-dollarisation trends, geopolitical risk premiums, and real rate uncertainty all remain tailwinds. We are seeing a regime shift in how gold is being valued globally. Silver has additional industrial demand drivers (solar panels, EVs) making it a higher-beta precious metals play.
For Rs 10 lakh over 4–5 years with medium risk appetite:
This balances growth with downside protection. Rebalance equities faster and other asset classes annually.
Business
Market Brief: The AI Agent Wars – What Investors Need To Know
onurdongel/iStock via Getty Images
Jensen Huang called OpenClaw “probably the most important software release ever.” Eight weeks later, the open-source lobster has 163K GitHub stars, its creator has been hired by OpenAI, and every major AI lab is scrambling to ship its own agent
Business
Mutual funds reduce investments in IT stocks in February, weight slips to 8 year low
The investments on a monthly basis have gone down by 140 basis points from 8.3% in January to 6.9% in February, whereas on a yearly basis, the investment has gone down by nearly 260 basis points from 9.5% in February 2025, the report further showed.
ETMarkets.comAlso Read | Mutual fund portfolio down Rs 1.5 lakh in 12 days. Is the decline due to regular plans or market volatility?
The report further highlighted that in February, sectors such as Technology, Consumer, Telecom, E-Commerce, and Chemicals saw a MoM moderation in weights. The technology sector was the one to witness the maximum reduction in value as it saw a decline of 16.1% on a monthly basis.
The stocks that witnessed the maximum MoM decline in value were Infosys, TCS, HDFC Bank, Tech Mahindra, HCL Tech, Coforge, Persistent Systems, Bharti Airtel, Eternal, and Wipro.
Infosys saw a decline in value by 16.6%, and 11 funds added the stock, whereas nine sold out of their portfolio. TCS saw a decline in value by 13.9% and 11 funds added the stock to their portfolio, whereas nine sold out the same from their portfolio.
HCL Technologies saw a decline in value by 13.3%, and 12 funds added this stock to their portfolio, whereas eight sold out this stock in February. Wipro saw a decline in value by 7.2% and 11 funds added the stock in their portfolio, whereas nine sold out the same from their portfolio.BSE 200 had a total allocation of 7.5% in the technology sector against 6.9% by mutual funds. Some fund houses, such as Aditya Birla Sun Life Mutual Fund, Franklin Templeton Mutual Fund, ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund, Motilal Oswal Mutual Fund, PPFAS Mutual Fund, Tata Mutual Fund, and UTI Mutual Fund, had more allocation compared to the BSE 200.
The report further highlighted that the technology sector remained among the top 10 sectoral allocations of most of the fund houses. In February, PPFAS Mutual Fund added 20.68 lakh shares of TCS.
According to the monthly portfolio, significantly increasing stakes in HCL Technologies, Infosys, and Tata Consultancy Services (TCS). PPFAS added 4.3 million shares of HCL Tech, 4.2 million shares of Infosys, and 1.9 million shares of TCS as the sector recorded a brutal 20% monthly crash, its steepest fall in nearly two decades
Also Read | Market volatility is a feature of equity markets, not a bug: Radhika Gupta urges new investors to stay calm
Foreign institutional investors sharply reduced their exposure to IT stocks in February, selling shares in two phases. They offloaded around Rs 11,000 crore worth of IT stocks in the first half of the month and another Rs 5,993 crore between February 15 and 28, according to data from NSDL.
Jefferies downgraded multiple stocks, including Infosys, HCL Tech and Mphasis to Hold, and TCS, LTIMindtree and Hexaware to Underperform, slashing price targets by up to 33%.
(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)
If you have any mutual fund queries, message on ET Mutual Funds on Facebook/Twitter. We will get it answered by our panel of experts. Do share your questions on ETMFqueries@timesinternet.in alongwith your age, risk profile, and Twitter handle.
Business
Four killed in Russian air attack on Ukraine

Four killed in Russian air attack on Ukraine
Business
Rising concerns over India’s LPG supply: Causes, constraints & market implications
Where India’s LPG Comes From:
India imports most of its LPG and natural gas from the Middle East, particularly Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the UAE. It is estimated that nearly 60–70% of India’s LPG imports transit through the Strait of Hormuz, making any prolonged disruption along this narrow passage highly consequential. Despite increased diversification—including periodic shipments from the United States—the Gulf remains India’s dominant supplier because of shorter transit times, lower costs and established long-term trade patterns.
Government’s Emergency Actions to Boost Domestic Supply:
In response to the emerging supply concerns, the Indian government has invoked emergency powers under the Essential Commodities Act, directing Indian refiners to maximise LPG production and ensure that all the gas is supplied solely to domestic LPG consumers and not used to produce petrochemicals. The government has also instructed that all LPG produced under this directive must be supplied solely to state-run oil marketing companies—IOCL, BPCL and HPCL—to ensure uninterrupted household distribution. At the same time, India has increased sourcing beyond the Gulf, with additional LPG cargoes arriving from the United States, although these shipments are not large enough to fully compensate for the loss of West Asian volumes.
How LPG Is Produced:
LPG is produced through two major pathways: natural gas processing and crude oil refining. In the first method, heavier hydrocarbons such as propane and butane are separated from raw natural gas and liquefied under pressure. In crude oil refining, propane and butane fractions emerge as part of the distillation process and are compressed into LPG. Because a significant portion of global LPG production is refinery-linked, LPG prices often move in tandem with crude oil market trends.
Potential Impact on Prices If Tensions Continue:
If disruptions at the Strait of Hormuz persist, LPG prices may face upward pressure due to surging freight costs, higher insurance premiums and tighter global availability. Although the government often cushions households through subsidies or price interventions, sustained constraints could ultimately raise market prices or increase fiscal burdens. Interestingly, crude oil prices have risen sharply due to geopolitical risks, while natural gas prices have remained relatively steady thanks to healthy inventories and diversified global supply chains—indicating that the current LPG challenge is primarily logistical rather than a fundamental supply shortage.
Steps India Must Take to Strengthen Future Resilience:
Looking ahead, India must strengthen its long-term resilience through a combination of infrastructure expansion, market diversification and consumption management. This includes increasing LPG storage capacity, developing strategic reserves, accelerating the construction of new pipelines and import terminals, expanding supplier diversification beyond the Gulf, encouraging adoption of piped natural gas (PNG) in urban areas, and regulating commercial LPG use during crisis periods. Ultimately, reducing import dependence, widening the supplier network and building adequate storage will play a decisive role in protecting households from prolonged disruptions.
(The author is Head of Commodity Research, Geojit Investments)
Business
Form 144 ConocoPhillips For: 14 March

Form 144 ConocoPhillips For: 14 March
Business
Meta reportedly weighs layoffs affecting 20% of workforce over AI costs
Evercore ISI senior managing director Mark Mahaney breaks down his stock picks on ‘Varney & Co.’
Meta is reportedly weighing layoffs that could impact at least 20% of its workforce as the tech giant looks to offset rising artificial intelligence costs.
The cuts come as the technology company aims to offset the cost of artificial intelligence infrastructure and prepare for greater efficiency brought about by AI-assisted workers, three sources familiar with the matter told Reuters.
The outlet added that the timing and size of the potential layoffs have not been finalized.
When reached for comment, a Meta spokesperson told FOX Business, “This is a speculative report about theoretical approaches.”
META CUTS OVER 1,000 JOBS IN MAJOR METAVERSE RETREAT

Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg arrives at the Los Angeles Superior Court at United States Court House on Feb. 18, 2026, in Los Angeles, California. (Jill Connelly/Getty Images / Getty Images)
According to Reuters, top Meta executives recently shared plans for the proposed layoffs with other senior leaders at the company.
If the company were to slash 20% of its employees, the layoffs would amount to Meta’s largest restructuring since 2022 and early 2023, the outlet said.
Meta laid off 11,000 workers in November 2022 — around 13% of its workforce at the time, Reuters reported.
The company cut another 10,000 jobs months later.
JUDGE BLOCKS META FROM INTRODUCING ‘EXAGGERATED’ CLAIMS IN SOCIAL MEDIA TRIAL

Meta is reportedly considering layoffs that could affect up to 20% of its workforce as the company invests heavily in artificial intelligence infrastructure. (David Paul Morris/Bloomberg via Getty Images / Getty Images)
Meta employed nearly 79,000 people as of Dec. 31, according to its latest filing.
Other major companies, including Amazon, have recently announced large-scale layoffs tied to AI developments.
In January, Amazon cut around 16,000 jobs and signaled at the time that more reductions could follow.
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Meta is weighing significant workforce reductions as the tech giant ramps up spending on artificial intelligence infrastructure. (Getty Images / Getty Images)
The company previously announced a first round of cuts totaling about 14,000 white-collar layoffs in October, bringing its corporate reductions to roughly 30,000 roles.
In making the cuts, which represented nearly 10% of its white-collar workforce, Amazon cited efficiency gains from artificial intelligence and broader cultural changes.
FOX Business’ Bradford Betz contributed to this report.
Business
Weekly Commentary: At The Brink
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Business
Sadanand Date takes charge as Sebi executive director
Date is a 2007-batch IPS officer of the Uttarakhand cadre.
Prior to joining Sebi, he was on central deputation to the Central Bureau of Investigation (CBI), where he served in several key roles, including Superintendent of Police in the Anti-Corruption Branch (ACB) and Bank Securities and Fraud Cell (BSFC), the regulator said in a statement.
He also headed multiple branches in Mumbai, including the Economic Offences Branch, Special Crime Branch, Special Task Branch and Anti-Corruption Branch.
During his tenure with Uttarakhand Police, Date held several leadership positions and served as Superintendent of Police or Senior Superintendent of Police in various districts, such as Uttarkashi, Nainital, Haridwar, Udham Singh Nagar and Dehradun.
He also briefly served as Inspector General (Headquarters) and Director (Traffic) before moving to Sebi.
Date is a medical graduate and holds an MBBS degree from Grant Medical College & Sir JJ Group of Hospitals, Mumbai. He also holds a Master’s degree in Police Management from Osmania University, along with MA (Economics), LLB and LLM degrees from the University of Mumbai.
In addition, he is a Certified Fraud Examiner (CFE). He is also a recipient of the President’s Police Medal for Meritorious Service.
Business
Iran Conflict Triggers A Major Energy Shock
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