Shares of The Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE: GS) tumbled more than 7% in the latest session as escalating U.S.-Israeli military operations against Iran and Tehran’s retaliatory strikes injected fresh volatility into global markets, heightening concerns over energy supply disruptions, inflation pressures and broader economic fallout.

The investment bank’s stock closed at $859.57 on Friday, Feb. 27, 2026, down $69.43 or 7.47% from the previous close of $929.00. Trading volume surged to 5.55 million shares, well above the average, reflecting heavy selling pressure. After-hours trading showed minimal recovery, with the price dipping slightly to around $859.49. As of early Monday trading in Asia and Europe, futures indicated continued weakness, with broader equity indices like the S&P 500 down over 1% amid risk-off sentiment.

The sharp decline came amid a broader market reaction to the conflict. Oil prices surged 8-10% as Iranian attacks disrupted shipping near the Strait of Hormuz, raising fears of prolonged supply interruptions. Goldman Sachs analysts have maintained a baseline Brent crude forecast around $60 by year-end but acknowledged significant upside risks from Middle East tensions. In prior assessments, the firm estimated that an extended closure of the strait could push prices past $100 per barrel, potentially triggering inflationary spikes and pressuring consumer spending and corporate margins.

For Goldman Sachs, the impact is multifaceted. As a major player in global markets, fixed income, currencies and commodities (FICC) trading, the firm benefits from increased volatility through higher trading volumes and spreads. However, sustained geopolitical uncertainty could weigh on investment banking activity, mergers and acquisitions and capital markets issuance if risk aversion persists. Equity trading and wealth management segments might face headwinds from client caution.

The drop erased much of recent gains, with the stock hitting a four-week low during the session. Year-to-date performance remains positive but moderated, with shares up from 2025 levels despite the pullback. The 52-week range spans $439.38 to $984.70, with the all-time high near $976 in mid-January 2026.

Goldman Sachs reported strong fourth-quarter 2025 results on Jan. 15, 2026. Net revenues reached $13.45 billion, slightly beating estimates, while net earnings totaled $4.62 billion. Diluted EPS came in at $14.01 (or adjusted figures around $14.28 in some reports), surpassing consensus by about 20%. Full-year performance reflected resilience in a mixed environment, with strength in trading offsetting softer investment banking fees amid economic uncertainty.

The firm continues to emphasize cost discipline, strategic positioning in private credit and AI-driven risk tools. CEO David Solomon has highlighted adaptability, including disclosures about personal holdings in Bitcoin while noting ongoing evaluation of cryptocurrency dynamics.

A key event for shareholders is the quarterly dividend. Goldman Sachs declared $4.50 per share, payable March 30, 2026, to holders of record as of the ex-dividend date of March 2, 2026. This equates to an annualized $18.00 payout and a forward yield around 2.09% based on recent prices. Historical data shows reliable post-ex-dividend recovery, with backtests indicating full dividend capture within about 3 days on average.

Analyst sentiment leans “Hold,” with a consensus price target near $916-$959. Recent updates include Argus raising its target to $1,066 with a “buy” rating, while others like Autonomous Research trimmed to $960 but maintained “outperform.” Institutional ownership stands high at over 71%, with firms like Davis R.M. Inc. and Becker Capital Management adjusting positions modestly in recent quarters.

The conflict’s wildcard status dominates near-term outlook. President Donald Trump’s comments framing operations as potentially concluding in “four weeks or less” offer some reassurance, but analysts caution that prolonged disruptions could elevate recession risks. Goldman Sachs strategists note equity reactions depend more on the durability of energy shocks than headline events.

Broader implications include rotation away from growth stocks toward defensive and energy sectors. Defense contractors and oil majors like Exxon Mobil gained, while banks and cyclicals faced pressure.

Goldman Sachs’ market cap hovers around $258-$260 billion, with a P/E ratio near 16.75-16.76 based on trailing earnings. Beta of 1.31 indicates higher volatility than the market average.

Investors await the next earnings report, scheduled for April 13, 2026, covering Q1. Consensus anticipates continued strength in trading amid volatility, though geopolitical clouds loom.

As markets digest the weekend’s developments, Goldman Sachs remains a bellwether for Wall Street’s response to global crises, blending trading upside with macro downside risks.

The Competition and Markets Authority is probing whether chains shared commercially sensitive information through data analytics tool run by CoStar, which is also part of investigation

Hotel giants Hilton, Marriott, Holiday Inn owner InterContinental Hotels Group and commercial property data analytics firm CoStar are facing an investigation by the UK’s competition watchdog over suspected sharing of sensitive information.

The Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) is examining whether the international hotel companies exchanged information via CoStar’s data analytics platform STR and so-called algorithms to assist them in making commercial decisions.

CoStar is being investigated as it controls the data platform through which commercially sensitive information may be shared.

The CMA stated that when competitors exchange commercially sensitive information through a data provider, it can enable them to anticipate each other’s actions and to align their behaviour and pricing strategies.

The CMA added: “At this stage, no assumptions should be made about whether the law has been broken.

“Following a period of investigation and information gathering, the CMA may issue a statement of objections if it comes to the provisional view that competition law has been infringed.”

The investigation forms part of the regulator’s drive to ensure emerging technology, such as pricing algorithms, promotes fair competition and is not exploited to disadvantage consumers.

A pricing algorithm is a data-driven system that determines or suggests pricing levels, typically based on current and historical data regarding market conditions. The CMA explained: “Companies use various types of data analytics tools and algorithms to help them make commercial decisions.

“This can bring benefits including more intense competition, lower costs, and faster changes in prices to better match demand and supply in markets.

“However, when rival businesses share competitively sensitive information – including through a third-party data analytics provider – this reduces the uncertainty competing businesses normally have about how each other will act.

“This can affect how strongly companies compete because it makes it easier for them to predict what each other will do and coordinate their behaviour.”

InterContinental Hotels Group (IHG), which features on London’s FTSE 100 Index, witnessed its shares drop 5% on Monday morning, though this also occurred alongside broader market falls triggered by escalating tensions in the Middle East.

An IHG spokesperson confirmed the company would “co-operate fully with the CMA’s inquiries” but refused to comment further.

A CoStar spokesperson indicated the company was “happy to provide the CMA with assistance”.

The firm continued: “We are surprised at the CMA’s interest in a long-standing hotel data analytics and benchmarking platform, that for decades has been used by companies and government entities alike to better assess market dynamics.”

Hilton and Marriott have been contacted for comment.

AUSTIN, Texas — Authorities have identified the gunman in a deadly mass shooting early Sunday outside Buford’s Backyard Beer Garden on West Sixth Street as 53-year-old Ndiaga Diagne, a naturalized U.S. citizen originally from Senegal, as the FBI investigates possible ties to terrorism amid reports the suspect wore clothing featuring an Iranian flag and phrases like “Property of Allah.”

Diagne, who lived in Pflugerville, a suburb north of Austin, opened fire just before 2 a.m. local time on March 1, 2026, using both a pistol and a rifle, according to Austin Police Chief Lisa Davis. He drove past the popular beer garden multiple times in an SUV before stopping, firing shots from the vehicle window at people on the patio and sidewalk, then exiting to continue the attack. Responding officers, already positioned nearby in the bustling nightlife district, confronted him at an intersection and fatally shot him, ending the rampage.

The incident left two civilians dead at the scene and 14 others wounded, three of whom were in critical condition Sunday morning, per Austin-Travis County EMS Chief Robert Luckritz. Paramedics arrived within 57 seconds of the initial 1:59 a.m. call, treating 17 patients total. Three were pronounced dead on site, including Diagne.

The FBI has joined the investigation, citing “indicators of potential ties to terrorism,” though officials stressed it remains too early for a definitive motive determination. A law enforcement source told The Associated Press that Diagne’s clothing included an Iranian flag emblem and declarations of “Property of Allah,” raising questions about ideological motivations amid heightened U.S.-Iran tensions following recent military escalations in the Middle East.

Diagne immigrated to the U.S. in 2006 and became a naturalized citizen in 2012, according to federal sources and media reports. Austin police officially confirmed his identity Sunday evening and released a photo of the suspect. No criminal history or prior law enforcement interactions were immediately detailed.

Witnesses described chaos and “pandemonium” as gunfire erupted in the crowded entertainment district, a vibrant strip of bars, music venues and restaurants near the University of Texas campus. One bystander captured video of the final moments, showing officers engaging the armed suspect as he approached with his weapon raised. People fled in panic, with some hiding behind vehicles or inside nearby establishments.

University of Texas President Jim Davis confirmed students were among those affected, though specific details on their conditions were not released. The campus community expressed grief and support for victims.

Texas Gov. Greg Abbott ordered increased patrols and surveillance statewide in response. “We will not be intimidated, and we will not be terrorized,” he said in a statement. Local leaders, including U.S. Rep. Greg Casar, D-Austin, condemned the violence and called for swift justice.

The rapid police response drew praise from Austin Mayor Kirk Watson, who credited officers and first responders with saving lives. Officers transitioned quickly from routine patrols to confront the active shooter, firing after Diagne refused to drop his weapon.

The shooting occurred outside Buford’s, not inside, sparing patrons from direct entry by the gunman. The bar, a roadhouse-style spot known for its outdoor space, was packed with weekend crowds typical of Sixth Street’s lively scene.

Blood donations surged in response, with South Texas Blood & Tissue rushing 20 units from San Antonio to Austin hospitals. Community leaders urged continued support for victims and families.

The incident adds to a string of gun violence tragedies in Texas and nationwide, renewing debates over public safety in nightlife areas and access to firearms. No immediate legislative proposals emerged Sunday, but officials promised a thorough review.

The FBI’s terrorism probe will examine Diagne’s background, online activity, travel history and potential connections to extremist ideologies or foreign influences. Investigators recovered the suspect’s weapons and vehicle for forensic analysis.

As of Monday afternoon local time, three victims remained in critical condition, while others stabilized. Identities of the deceased civilians have not been released pending family notifications.

Authorities continue to urge anyone with information or video footage to contact the Austin Police Department or FBI tip lines. The scene on West Sixth Street remained cordoned off for evidence collection into Sunday evening.

The tragedy has shocked Austin, a city often ranked among the safest large U.S. metros, and highlighted vulnerabilities in crowded public spaces amid global geopolitical strains.

Shares of Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE: XOM) climbed sharply in early trading Monday as escalating U.S.-Iran military conflict drove oil prices higher, boosting prospects for the world’s largest publicly traded oil company amid fears of supply disruptions in the Middle East.

Exxon Mobil stock opened higher and traded around $160-$161 in pre-market and early sessions on March 2, 2026, reflecting gains of 4-5% or more from Friday’s close of $152.50. The advance came after Brent crude surged as much as 10-13% toward $80 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate rose over 8% to near $73, triggered by attacks on ships near the Strait of Hormuz and broader regional strikes. Energy stocks broadly outperformed as investors sought hedges against geopolitical risks.

The rally marks a reversal from recent concerns over potential oil price softness in 2026. The U.S. Energy Information Administration had forecast WTI averaging $53.42 per barrel next year, down from $65.40 in 2025, due to rising inventories. But the sudden conflict has injected a substantial risk premium, with analysts warning prices could hit $100 or more if disruptions persist.

Exxon Mobil, with vast upstream operations in the Permian Basin and Guyana, stands to benefit directly from elevated crude values. The company’s integrated model — spanning exploration, production, refining and chemicals — provides resilience, though refining margins could face pressure if product demand softens amid economic fallout from higher energy costs.

Friday’s close at $152.50 represented a 2.67% gain on heavy volume of over 30 million shares, capping a strong February where the stock hit a 52-week high near $157. Year-to-date performance remains robust, with shares up significantly from 2025 lows around $98, driven by solid fundamentals and shareholder returns.

The company’s latest earnings, reported Jan. 30 for the fourth quarter of 2025, showed adjusted earnings per share of $1.71, beating estimates of $1.63. Full-year 2025 earnings totaled $28.8 billion, down from 2024 but supported by advantaged volumes and cost savings. Exxon distributed $37.2 billion to shareholders in 2025, including $17.2 billion in dividends — the second-highest among S&P 500 firms — and $20 billion in buybacks. It plans similar repurchases through 2026.

Dividend yield hovers around 2.7%, with the quarterly payout at $1.03 per share (annualized $4.12). The ex-dividend date for the most recent was Feb. 12, 2026, with payment on March 10.

Analyst sentiment remains mixed. Consensus price target sits around $140-$142, implying modest downside from recent levels, with ratings averaging “Hold.” High targets reach $171, while lows are $111. Firms like Wells Fargo maintain “Overweight” at $156-$183, citing strong assets and low-carbon initiatives. However, some flag overvaluation if oil prices revert lower post-conflict.

Exxon advances low-carbon efforts, targeting multiple carbon capture startups in Texas and Louisiana in 2026, plus first LNG from Golden Pass in March. These add long-term optionality amid energy transition pressures.

Market cap exceeds $635 billion, with a P/E ratio near 22.8 based on trailing EPS of $6.69. Beta of 0.35 reflects lower volatility than the broader market.

The Iran conflict dominates near-term sentiment. U.S. and Israeli strikes, including the reported killing of Iran’s Supreme Leader, prompted Iranian retaliation hitting Gulf infrastructure and shipping. The Strait of Hormuz — handling 20% of global oil — faces effective disruptions from tanker halts and insurance withdrawals.

Energy analysts note Exxon’s low-cost production and balance sheet strength position it well for sustained higher prices. Upstream earnings could surge, offsetting potential downstream weakness.

Broader markets opened lower Monday, with S&P 500 futures down 1-1.5% as risk-off flows favored safe havens like gold and the dollar. Airlines and consumer stocks faced pressure from higher fuel costs.

Exxon executives, including Senior VP Jack Williams, are scheduled to speak at the Morgan Stanley Energy & Power Conference March 3 in New York, potentially providing updates on operations and outlook.

Investors monitor conflict developments closely. A quick de-escalation could pull oil prices back, pressuring shares; prolonged tensions favor energy majors like Exxon.

Next earnings report is expected May 1, 2026, for Q1, with consensus EPS around $1.53.

As geopolitical risks reshape energy markets, Exxon Mobil remains a bellwether for oil sector performance, blending traditional strengths with strategic diversification.

WASHINGTON — President Donald Trump said Sunday the U.S.-led military operation against Iran could last “four weeks or less,” describing it as a planned, time-limited campaign even as strikes escalated into a third day and Iranian retaliatory attacks spread to Israel, Gulf states and U.S. assets, killing American troops and prompting fears of a broader regional war.

In multiple interviews and statements over the weekend, Trump outlined a four-week timeline for achieving U.S. objectives, which he has not fully detailed but appear to include degrading Iran’s military capabilities, nuclear infrastructure and leadership following the killing of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in the opening salvos Saturday.

“It’s always been a four-week process,” Trump told the Daily Mail in a phone interview. “We figured it will be four weeks or so. It’s always been about a four-week process so — as strong as it is, it’s a big country — it’ll take four weeks, or less.” He offered similar assessments to The New York Times, suggesting four to five weeks if needed, and emphasized the operation — dubbed “Operation Epic Fury” in some reports — was “ahead of schedule” and proceeding with “heavy and pinpoint bombing” that would continue uninterrupted.

Trump released a video address on Truth Social acknowledging the first U.S. casualties: three service members killed and five seriously wounded, likely in Kuwait where American forces are based. “We pray for the full recovery of the wounded and send our immense love and eternal gratitude to the families of the fallen,” he said. “And sadly, there will likely be more before it ends. That’s the way it is.”

The Pentagon confirmed the deaths Sunday, marking the initial American losses in the conflict that began with massive U.S. and Israeli airstrikes targeting Revolutionary Guard facilities, air defenses, naval assets and nuclear-related sites. Iranian state media reported hundreds killed domestically, including 555 cited by the Red Crescent, with Natanz among sites hit.

Iran responded with waves of missiles and drones targeting Israel, U.S. allies in the Gulf and American installations. Explosions rocked Dubai, Abu Dhabi and Doha, while Israel reported intercepting barrages and retaliating against Hezbollah in Lebanon after the Iran-backed group fired rockets, ending a fragile truce. Beirut’s southern suburbs saw heavy Israeli strikes, killing at least 31 and injuring 149, per Lebanese authorities.

In Kuwait, officials reported several U.S. warplanes crashing, with crews surviving, amid drone interceptions. A U.S. Embassy compound in Kuwait was reportedly hit. Saudi Arabia’s Ras Tanura refinery sustained damage from a related incident, further disrupting energy flows.

Trump reiterated openness to talks but expressed skepticism. “They want to talk, and I have agreed to talk,” he told one outlet, though an Iranian security adviser declared no negotiations with the U.S. would occur. Trump called on Iranian generals to “hand power to the nation’s people” or adopt a compliant model like post-Maduro Venezuela, offering contradictory visions of regime change or managed transition.

The escalation has widened dramatically. Hezbollah vowed to confront U.S. and Israeli “aggression,” launching projectiles that prompted Israeli warnings of prolonged fighting. Protests erupted in some Iranian cities denouncing the war, while others celebrated Khamenei’s death amid uncertainty over succession.

Oil prices surged amid fears of Strait of Hormuz disruptions, with tanker traffic halted and Gulf airspace largely closed, stranding travelers and crippling aviation hubs like those in Abu Dhabi, Dubai, Kuwait and Bahrain.

Critics, including some in Congress and analysts, questioned the lack of a clear endgame or exit strategy, warning the conflict could drag on far beyond Trump’s estimate and suck the U.S. into a quagmire. “Where does this go?” one observer asked, noting Iran’s size, proxies and alliances with Russia and others complicate a quick resolution.

Trump dismissed such concerns, insisting ample munitions and forces would sustain intensity without difficulty. He threatened overwhelming response if Iran escalated further, posting on Truth Social: “THEY BETTER NOT DO THAT… BECAUSE IF THEY DO, WE WILL HIT THEM WITH A FORCE THAT HAS NEVER BEEN SEEN BEFORE!”

The operation’s third day saw continued U.S.-Israeli airstrikes on Iran, with Israel expanding to Hezbollah targets in Lebanon. Iran launched fresh missile volleys at Israel, described by its military as “opening the great gates of fire.”

Global responses varied: allies expressed support for defending against Iranian threats, while others urged de-escalation. The U.N. Security Council remained deadlocked.

As combat rages, Trump’s timeline offers a benchmark amid mounting casualties and regional chaos. Whether the conflict resolves in weeks or expands remains uncertain, with the Middle East on edge and global markets reacting sharply.

Sero is looking to scale up with a contracted pipeline to improve the energy efficiency of a further 10,000 homes

The Cardiff Capital Region’s £50m equity fund has made its latest investment backing the growth plans of energy innovation venture Sero.

The Cardiff-based firms works with local councils and housing associations to provide energy services and retrofit in up to 2,500 homes, with a further contracted pipeline of up to 10,000 homes. It operates across South Wales, the south west and southern England and London.

The company blends retrofit and energy expertise with proprietary technology that spans strategy support to ongoing energy management services.

The region, through its Innovation Investment Capital (IIC) fund, which is managed by Capricorn Fund Managers, has not disclosed the value of its investment into Sero. Around half of the £50m has already been invested in firms across the region, including Mazuma, Space Forge and Transcend Packaging. A sixth deal, in a co-investment, will be confirmed shortly.

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The funding round is the latest for Sero and builds on a £6m investment from Cardiff-based bank Hodge and Legal & General Capital in 2023.

James Williams, Sero chief executive, said: “IIC’s investment is a vote of confidence in Sero’s vision and technology and was driven by a clear alignment between CCR and Sero, which both share the aim of using innovative solutions to drive down bills, cut carbon emissions and deliver better, more comfortable homes for residents. With this support, we will accelerate deployment of our energy-efficiency solutions, deepen partnerships with housing providers and unlock new pathways for sustainable growth.”

Kellie Beirne, chief executive of the Cardiff Capital Region – a statutory body covering the ten local authorities of south-east Wales said: “Supporting Sero reflects strategic backing of our local companies that leverage innovation to deliver strong commercial and societal outcomes.

“Sero’s growth trajectory, rooted in technology and its contribution to improving the energy efficiency of housing stock, makes it a compelling story. We are proud to back a business that not only drives economic value but also supports meaningful climate action and community benefit in our region.”

Lynda Stoelker, Capricorn Fund Managers’ chief operating officer and chair of the IIC investment committee, added: Sero fits well within the IIC’s investment philosophy, combining sustainable technology, scalable growth potential and a mission-centric business model. We see this investment as a strong strategic and financial fit that contributes to regional development and decarbonisation objectives.”

Professional advisory firm PwC advises the fund with investment research and sourcing. Rob Asplin, PwC partner, said: “Sero was recognised as an investment opportunity for the fund due to its blend of technology-enabled solutions, strong leadership and robust market opportunity within the energy efficiency and retrofit sector. These qualities align with the fund’s investment criteria and its mandate to help scale regional innovators with the potential to deliver measurable impact.”

Hugh James provided legal advise to the fund on the deal. Gerallt Jones, partner and head of corporate/commercial for the Cardiff headquartered firm, said; ““The IIC investment in Sero highlights the strong investor confidence in innovative businesses that are delivering scalable, sustainable solutions in the Cardiff Capital Region. IIC has become a key player in the investment landscape and we are delighted to have worked with the team on another significant investment in a business contributing to the economic growth of the region.”