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Trump war cry likely to keep indices, rupee edgy this week

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Trump war cry likely to keep indices, rupee edgy this week
Mumbai: Indian equities are tipped to extend their losses early this week and the rupee will likely be on a sliding gradient, as Donald Trump’s weekend war rhetoric is seen keeping oil prices elevated and investor mood skittish on Dalal Street. The US President has sought more strikes against Iran and rallied traditional allies to force open an energy supply choke point.

Last week, the Sensex and Nifty ended at their lowest since April 2025, stretching their losses to 8-9% since the war began two weeks ago. Although equities appear oversold after their recent rout, oil prices above $100 a barrel are making investors reluctant to deploy cash in a hurry.

With Trump theoretically expanding the scope of attacks by threatening further strikes on Iran’s Kharg Island – home to the country’s oil exports infrastructure – the market is resigning itself to the fact that the conflict between US-Israel and Iran may not end soon. Tehran has pledged to respond even as Washington has urged the UK to send battleships to the region to force open the Strait of Hormuz.

“It is not the fog of war, but a fog of words that has led to elevated uncertainty around how this war will play out,” said Barclays’ economists, including Christian Keller, in a client note over the weekend. “In turn, this has led to violent swings in the price of oil and financial assets.”

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Screenshot 2026-03-16 055547Agencies

Crude Risks

The rupee, meanwhile, has slid 1.6% since the start of the war despite central bank interventions, and the currency closed at a record low of 92.48 to the dollar on Friday.
Market participants expect the rupee – the worst performing Asian monetary unit in 2025 and on track to feature in the lower half of the leader board this quarter as well – to drift lower if crude oil prices leap past $100 a barrel.
“The risk of crude is going to stay high, and the outlook for the rupee remains cautious as it could create macroeconomic challenges for the Indian economy,” said Jateen Trivedi, VP research analyst, currency, at LKP Securities. “In the near term, the rupee is expected to trade within a range of 91.90-92.80, with crude price movements and dollar index trends remaining the key drivers.”
A Reuters report said Goldman Sachs expects Brent crude to trend above $100 in March and around $85 in April, before a gradual easing in supplies – unless the war is protracted – helps the gauge to settle at low 70s to the dollar later in the year. Brent oil surged to a touching distance of $120 a barrel last Monday, a level not seen since the immediate aftermath of the Ukraine invasion by Russia.

The surge in crude oil prices and the resultant slide in the rupee have kept investors on the sidelines, especially amid expectations the central bank interventions might do little to stem the rupee’s rout. Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) have continued to pare holdings in Indian equities through March. On March 13, they sold shares worth ₹10,716 crore.

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JPMorgan cuts UOL Group stock rating on slower sales outlook

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JPMorgan cuts UOL Group stock rating on slower sales outlook

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Australia, Japan Will Not Send Navy Vessels to Secure Strait of Hormuz Despite Pressure From Trump

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Australia Warship
Australia Warship
Nico Smit / Unsplash

Australia and Japan have declared that they will not send navy vessels to help secure the Strait of Hormuz despite the request of US President Donald Trump.

Iran closed down the Strait of Hormuz following the attacks from the US and Israel, severely affecting the global supply of oil.

Australia, Japan Won’t Send Navy Vessels

According to The Guardian, transport minister Catherine King maintains that Australia had not received any formal requests to help secure the strait.

“We won’t be sending a ship to the strait of Hormuz,” King told the national broadcaster. “We know how incredibly important that is but that’s not something we’ve been asked or we’re contributing to.”

Defence shadow minister, James Paterson, told Channel Nine’s Today show that “”If [a request from the US] came, we’d have to very carefully consider it against our national interest and particularly whether we have the relevant naval vessels available that could safely do that mission.”

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As for Japan, Reuters said in its report that Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi has no plans to send any warships to the strait. The report notes that the country is constrained by its war-renouncing constitution.

“We have not made any decisions whatsoever about dispatching escort ships,” Takaichi told parliament. “We are continuing to examine what Japan can do independently and what can be done within the legal framework.”

Trump Amps Up Pressure on Allies

Trump previously said that his administration has contacted a total of seven countries to request their help with the Strait of Hormuz.

While he did not identify these seven countries, a social media post he published noted that he was hoping China, France, Japan, South Korea, Britain and others would participate.

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Trump told reporters on Sunday that he is “demanding that these countries come in and protect their own territory because it is their territory.”

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Jefferies downgrades Summit Therapeutics stock rating on trial risks

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Jefferies downgrades Summit Therapeutics stock rating on trial risks

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Bajel Projects shares rocket 14% after bagging largest ultra mega order worth Rs 700 crore

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Bajel Projects shares rocket 14% after bagging largest ultra mega order worth Rs 700 crore
Shares of Bajel Projects soared as much as 14% to their day’s high of Rs 160 on the BSE on Monday after it secured an ultra mega order worth over Rs 700 crore from Maharashtra State Electricity Transmission Company Limited (MSETCL) for the development of a 400/220 kV Air Insulated Switchgear (AIS) substation at Saswad in Pune district, along with associated transmission lines.

The contract marks the largest single order won by the company in its power transmission business.

The project involves the complete turnkey EPC execution of the 400/220 kV AIS substation at Saswad, Pune. The scope covers design, supply, erection, testing and commissioning of the facility, along with all related transmission lines. It also includes civil works and the full erection, testing and commissioning components required for the project.

At the core of the project is the construction of a greenfield 2×500 MVA, 400/220 kV AIS substation at Saswad. The facility will also include a 1×125 MVAr bus reactor at the 400 kV level. The substation has been planned with provisions for future expansion to support Maharashtra’s long term growth in power demand.

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The project will also involve bay additions at three existing and proposed substations to integrate the new Saswad facility with the current transmission network.


In addition, the scope includes building multiple new 400 kV and 220 kV transmission lines, along with LILO (Line In Line Out) arrangements, to connect the Saswad substation to the wider Maharashtra grid.
Located in Pune district, the Saswad substation is expected to become an important node in Maharashtra’s high voltage transmission network. It will help improve power evacuation capacity for the fast growing industrial region around Pune and enhance grid reliability across the state.Commenting on the order win, Rajesh Ganesh, Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of Bajel Projects Limited, said securing the Rs 700 crore plus ultra mega order from MSETCL marks a key milestone for the company and highlights its EPC capabilities in the high voltage substation segment. He said a 400/220 kV substation of this scale in Pune district will play a vital role in strengthening Maharashtra’s transmission network and meeting the rising power demand from the region’s expanding industrial and urban areas.

Ganesh added that the project supports the company’s RAASTA 2030 strategy of expanding into high value and complex infrastructure projects while also strengthening its partnership with one of India’s key state transmission utilities. He said the company is committed to delivering the project with high standards of quality and safety.

(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)

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Tejas Networks shares jump 9% on 4G network expansion project, rally 41% in one month

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Tejas Networks shares jump 9% on 4G network expansion project, rally 41% in one month
Shares of Tejas Networks jumped more than 9% to Rs 463 on the NSE on Monday after the company announced that it has received a purchase order for the supply of its state-of-the-art 4G RAN (Radio Access Network) solutions for a mobile network in South Asia. The stock has gained around 41% in just one month.

In an exchange filing, Tejas Networks said the project marks another important step towards expanding the company’s international wireless customer base. As part of the order, the company’s 4G multiband radio products will be deployed at multiple locations across the unnamed mobile operator’s network.

“We are proud to announce further progress in our pursuit to expand our international wireless business and in taking our 4G/5G mobility stack global. We look forward to growing our presence in the customer’s network while replicating this success in other 4G/5G mobile networks, both in India and across the globe,” said Sanjay Malik, Chief Strategy and Business Officer of Tejas Networks.

Also read: QSR stocks slump up to 47% as weak investor appetite, rising fuel risks dent mood. Time to bottom fish?

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The company said it has a versatile wireless product suite comprising 4G and 5G radio access network (RAN) offerings and a converged 4G/5G core solution. Its radio units are designed with flexibility and scalability in mind, supporting multi-band and multi-mode operations to enable cost-effective deployment in diverse real-world environments, it added. “Tejas’s award-winning TJ1400 UltraFlex baseband product provides unprecedented integration of wireless, broadband, transport, and IP network technologies in one compact chassis, thus significantly reducing the cost of network build-outs for mobile and fixed broadband operators,” the company further said.

By inducting Tejas as their new wireless OEM, the company’s South Asian customer now has a trusted and proven technology partner capable of addressing diverse network requirements while benefiting from greater vendor diversity, said Kumar N. Sivarajan, Chief Technology Officer of Tejas Networks. “We are fully committed to support them with innovative and well-differentiated solutions to optimally meet their network performance and user experience objectives,” he added.
Also read: IDBI Bank shares tumble 15% as govt likely to halt divestment process: Here’s why

Tejas Networks’ shares have seen a significant surge recently after a sharp slump earlier. Despite the 41% rise in one month, the stock is still down in the red overall this year so far. It has fallen more than 30% in one year.(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)

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Opinion: You’re not hallucinating, it’s the AI

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Opinion: You’re not hallucinating, it’s the AI

OPINION: This first of two reports focused on some of the pitfalls of a technology that’s rapidly becoming ubiquitous.

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Trump demands others help secure Strait of Hormuz, Japan and Australia say no plans to send ships

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Trump demands others help secure Strait of Hormuz, Japan and Australia say no plans to send ships


Trump demands others help secure Strait of Hormuz, Japan and Australia say no plans to send ships

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Nifty 50 Rebounds Modestly to 23,250 as Markets Open Higher; Oil Shocks Linger

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Nifty 50

The Indian benchmark **Nifty 50** index experienced sharp volatility on Monday amid ongoing geopolitical tensions and rising global oil prices, as trading resumed in Mumbai following a steep decline at the end of the previous week.

Nifty 50
Nifty 50

As of mid-morning on March 16, 2026, the Nifty 50 was trading around 23,045 to 23,200 levels, showing mixed movements with an intraday range between approximately 23,042 and 23,284. This follows a closing value of 23,151.10 on Friday, March 13 — a drop of 488.05 points or 2.06% from the prior session’s close of 23,639.15. The index opened lower at 23,116.10 before fluctuating in a broad band.

The previous Friday’s session marked one of the more pronounced single-day losses in recent months, with the Nifty shedding over 2% amid broader market pressures. Trading volume remained elevated, with reports indicating over 1.18 crore shares changing hands in early activity on Monday, reflecting continued investor caution.

Market participants pointed to escalating concerns over the U.S.-Iran conflict as a primary driver behind the recent sell-off. Reports of heightened tensions in the Middle East have pushed Brent crude oil prices above $100 per barrel in recent sessions, raising fears of inflationary pressures and potential disruptions to global energy supplies. Higher oil costs directly impact India’s import bill, given the country’s heavy reliance on foreign crude, and contribute to broader risk aversion in emerging markets.

“The market is grappling with external shocks,” said one Mumbai-based analyst tracking equity indices. “Geopolitical risks combined with elevated commodity prices are weighing on sentiment, particularly in oil-sensitive sectors.”

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Broader indices mirrored the Nifty’s choppy performance. The BSE Sensex traded with similar volatility, fluctuating around the 74,500 level after opening mixed. Sectoral trends showed selective buying in pockets such as pharmaceuticals and metals, which provided some support, while oil and gas, realty, and certain financial stocks faced pressure.

On Friday’s close, only a handful of Nifty constituents ended in positive territory, with heavyweights like Reliance Industries, HDFC Bank, and Infosys contributing significantly to the overall decline due to their large weightings in the index. The Nifty’s P/E ratio hovered near 20.3, while the price-to-book stood at about 3.15, levels that some strategists view as offering moderate valuation cushion after the recent correction.

Looking at recent trends, the Nifty has retreated notably from its 52-week high of 26,373.20 (reached earlier in January 2026). The index has lost around 9-10% over the past month in some tracking periods, though it remains up modestly — roughly 3% — on a year-over-year basis from March 2025 levels. The 52-week low stands at 21,743.65.

Investors are closely monitoring upcoming economic data releases, including any updates on inflation, industrial output, and global central bank cues. The Reserve Bank of India’s stance on monetary policy remains in focus, especially if sustained high oil prices feed into domestic CPI readings.

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Technical analysts noted that the Nifty has broken below certain key support levels in recent sessions, forming bearish candlestick patterns on daily charts. Some observers have described the move as entering a “deep corrective phase,” with potential further downside toward 22,700-23,000 if selling pressure persists. Conversely, a sustained move above 23,300 could signal short-term stabilization.

Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) have shown net selling in recent weeks, adding to domestic market headwinds, while domestic institutional investors (DIIs) have provided some counterbalancing buying.

Market breadth remained tilted toward declines in early Monday trade, with more stocks falling than advancing in the broader universe. Option chain data for near-term expiries highlighted put interest around the 23,000-23,200 strikes, indicating hedging activity.

Despite the near-term caution, long-term optimism persists among some market watchers

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QSR stocks slump up to 47% as weak investor appetite, rising fuel risks dent mood. Time to bottom fish?

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QSR stocks slump up to 47% as weak investor appetite, rising fuel risks dent mood. Time to bottom fish?
Investors first lost their appetite for quick service restaurants (QSR) stocks and now the sector risks running out of fuel. The Iran-Israel/US war has brought the food sector into a quagmire with shares of Sapphire Foods India, Jubilant Foodworks, Westlife Foodworld, Devyani International and Restaurant Brands Asia declining up to 15%, this week.

While the troubles facing these stocks are not new, the ongoing crisis has only deepened the losses. Sapphire Foods India, which operates KFC and Pizza Hut outlets, has seen its share price fall 12% this week. Devyani International, set to merge with Sapphire to create a single Yum franchise in India, slipped 4% on Friday. Jubilant FoodWorks, the operator of Domino’s and Dunkin’, has lost about 4% over the same period, while shares of Westlife Foodworld (McDonald’s franchisee) have declined 4%. Meanwhile, Restaurant Brands Asia (RBA) has fallen around 3% week-on-week.

The impact on restaurants across the country is already visible as media reports suggest rapid closures. Though these QSR companies have not flagged any likely disruption in operations, so far, brokerage firm JM financial has warned that a prolonged crisis in LPG availability could pose operational challenges for those QSRs where cooking processes depend heavily on gas-based kitchens.

The risk has surfaced as the conflict in West Asia begins to disrupt fuel supplies, pushing restaurants to reassess operations, cooking methods and menu strategies, JM noted.

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“For QSR operators such as Westlife FoodWorld, Devyani International, Sapphire Foods India and RBA (Restaurant Brands Asia), the immediate concern pertains to higher kitchen operating costs and the probability of store closures in certain micro markets, which could temporarily affect outlet operations and restaurant-level margins,” the brokerage note added.


However, ElaraCapital sees lesser impact of the LPG shortage on QSR chains compared to non-QSR based restaurants, citing that the QSR companies have minimal dependency on LPG and rely on electric ovens and fryers. In fact, it sees them benefitting due to a consumer substitution effect from LPG-dependent cuisine to QSR format.
Also read: As Iran Israel crisis clouds outlook for tile makers, what is next for Cera, Kajaria, Somany after 26% slide?

Weak investor appetite

Restaurant Brands Asia, which operates Burger King remains the only exception. Its shares have managed positive returns of 2% over a one-year period, nearly matching Nifty’s 3% returns in the same period.

Sapphire Foods shares are down 47% in the past 12 months, Westlife Food 36% lower while Jubilant and Devyani have plunged, 27% each.

The institutional appetite for QSR stocks has also taken a beating with Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) offloading stakes.

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FII holding in Sapphire Foods fell 210 bps sequentially in the December quarter while recording a 90 bps decline in Westlife Food in same quarter. In Jubilant and Devyani, foreign stakes dropped by 150 bps and 80 bps, respectively.

The worst happened with Restaurant Brands Asia, where holding declined by 380 bps.

Also read: ONGC, Oil India shares outperform sector with double-digit gains in 2026. Will Iran-Israel crisis fuel more upside?

Earnings snapshot

Earnings cut a patchy picture with Devyani widening its consolidated December quarter losses to 10 crore though revenue growth stood 12% YoY to Rs 1,453 crore. The Q3 net profit for Westlife Food fell 86% though total revenue saw a 3% YoY uptick.

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Jubilant reported strong set of numbers with profit after tax (PAT) growing 65% to Rs 71 crore while topline rising by 13%. As for RBA, YoY losses narrowed to Rs 7 crore versus 19 crore in Q3FY25 riding on 18% jump in revenue.

What should investors do?

Sudeep Shah, Vice President & Head of Technical and Derivative Research Desk at SBI Securities said QSR stocks have been under significant pressure over the past year and the recent weakness cannot be attributed solely to the LPG shortage concerns. Technically, most of these stocks were already in well-established downtrends, he said, adding that the current crisis has merely aggravated existing weakness rather than causing it.

“Sapphire Foods has been declining since October 2025 and continues to trade well below its key moving averages. Westlife Foodworld is exhibiting a classic lower-high, lower-low structure, with the MACD line positioned below the zero line, indicating sustained bearish momentum. Jubilant FoodWorks remains in a strong downtrend with the RSI languishing around 22, reflecting oversold but weak sentiment. Meanwhile, Devyani International has slipped close to its IPO levels,” Shah said.

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His advice to investors is to avoid bottom-fishing and wait for clear signs of fundamental and technical improvement before considering exposure to the QSR space.

Also read: As crude oil price breaches $100 mark, Systematix recommends RIL, a potential multibagger and 4 more stocks to buy

(Disclaimer: The recommendations, suggestions, views, and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times.)

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Firms to be paid to hire unemployed young people

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Firms to be paid to hire unemployed young people

Payments of £3,000 for each 18-24 year old given a job are among proposals to tackle youth unemployment being announced later.

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