Business
Two-year yield hits highest since 2024 as investors weigh outlook for rate hikes
Investors are eyeing the prospect of a new global rate-tightening cycle as worries about inflation have mounted.
On Friday, the Bank of Japan raised interest rates to a 31-year high and its governor signaled the central bank has entered a new phase focused on preventing inflation from overshooting its target.
On Friday, US Treasury yields experienced an upward movement as investors expressed concerns regarding inflation. The Federal Reserve’s recent increases in interest rates and indications of more hikes in the future contribute to this shift. With traders predicting additional adjustments in upcoming meetings, there is a growing focus on global central banks tightening their monetary policies to address escalating price pressures.
The Fed on Wednesday raised rates and flagged more hikes in the coming months, while Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh delivered hawkish comments.
“The two-year is going to be moving in tandem with hike pricing,” said Molly Brooks, US rates strategist at TD Securities.
“There’s more risk (of) pricing in more hikes than pricing out hikes at this point.”
Traders see a more than 55% chance of another increase when the US central bank next meets in October, according to CME FedWatch. That expectation was at 53% late Thursday.The yield curve between 2- and 10-year notes was last at 25.5 basis points, after earlier reaching 23.8 bps, the flattest since June 25.
The two-year yield has been driven higher faster than the 10-year yield, in part because of expectations of more hikes, while longer-dated debt has been relatively kept in check by the Fed’s apparent willingness to control inflation.
“The Fed meeting was able to kind of calm market nerves a little bit in terms of the long end,” Brooks said.
Investors will weigh upcoming data for clues about the US economic outlook.
Yields mostly held gains after data on Friday, including a report showing US factory production unexpectedly fell in August after seven straight monthly increases.
Spikes in oil prices tied to the US-Israeli war on Iran have been behind some of the inflation concern.
But oil prices eased on Friday after China, acting on a request from Saudi Arabia, quietly asked Iran to limit attacks by Houthi rebels on Saudi oil infrastructure.
The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury note was last up 5.3 basis points at 5%. It reached 5.041% on Tuesday, the highest since 2007.
The two-year US Treasury yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations for the Fed, was last up 5.3 basis points at 4.743%. It earlier reached 4.7475%, the highest since July 2024.
The yield on the 30-year bond was up 3.6 basis points at 5.332%.
Business
Bitcoin hits $82,178 resistance with MFI 100: Live levels

Bitcoin hits $82,178 resistance with MFI 100: Live levels
Business
Pagaya Stock: The Growth Narrative Is Getting Harder To Ignore (NASDAQ:PGY)
I’m a passionate investor from the Netherlands with 12 years of stock market experience. My articles usually contain a good overview of important investment criteria. A stock for my portfolio is of interest to me if the company has the following characteristics:1. Companies that are growing in both revenue, earnings and free cash flow.2. Companies that have excellent growth prospects.3. Stocks with favorable valuations.I prefer steadily growing companies with high free cash flow margins, dividend stocks and stocks with generous share repurchase programs.Disclaimer: My articles do not provide financial advice, they reflect my own findings and insights.
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, but may initiate a beneficial Long position through a purchase of the stock, or the purchase of call options or similar derivatives in PGY over the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
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Business
Even as trading and markets moved faster, Warren Buffett made patience profitable and cool
As chairman and CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, Buffett became famous for his unwavering and methodical investing style: Buy good businesses when their prices are low, stay on the sidelines when prices are too high and be patient with well-chosen picks. He rode that to decades of beating the rest of the US stock market before he retired as Berkshire’s chairman on Friday, less than a year after giving up his role as CEO.
The formula of buying good things at low prices sounds simple, and it’s the foundation of a style of investing called “value” hunting. But it periodically comes under criticism when the hot new thing is enthralling Wall Street, whether it’s dot-com stocks in the late 1990s or gold when its price was setting records early this year. (Buffett is famously skeptical of gold as an investment, saying it “has two significant shortcomings, being neither of much use nor procreative.”)
The investing world has had other celebrities. JP Morgan built his reputation by investing in railroads during the 19th century. Andrew Carnegie helped build the US steel industry and became famous for his philanthropy. Jim Cramer and Kevin O’Leary are on TV shows. But few ever cracked into the national consciousness like Buffett, and none did so from near the geographic centre of the country in Omaha, Nebraska.
Buffett offers enduring lessons on life and investing
Many professional investors also adhere to Buffett’s style of bargain-hunting. But none have had the kind of folksy humor and candor that can draw hordes of investors each year, like those attending Berkshire Hathaway’s annual shareholder meeting.
More than 40,000 people would pack an Omaha arena on the first Saturday in May to hear from Buffett and his longtime investing partner, Charlie Munger, who died in 2023 and espoused a similar take-it-slow and make-it-right approach to investing. Besides talking about how they hunted for well-run businesses and the news of the day, they would also regularly confess to their own mistakes and crack wise.
“Not a day goes by where what I’ve learned about Warren doesn’t affect me positively, both personally and financially,” said Todd Finkle, a retired professor. He grew up in Omaha, knows Buffett’s children and wrote the book, “Warren Buffett: Investor and Entrepreneur.”When Finkle would bring students to visit the “Oracle of Omaha” for extended Q-and-A meetings, Finkle said the first topic Buffett would discuss was never financial.
“He didn’t say anything about money. The first topic that he would always bring up is that the most important thing you’ll do in your life is to pick who to marry.”
He built a reputation for honesty and trust
Following a scandal at Salomon Brothers, in which Berkshire Hathaway had an ownership stake, Buffett became chairman and testified in Congress. He said all employees were told, “After they first obey all rules, I then want employees to ask themselves whether they are willing to have any contemplated act appear the next day on the front page of their local paper to be read by their spouses, children and friends with the reporting done by an informed and critical reporter.”
That reputation for honesty, along with his famed patience for investments, helped Buffett stay famous even in this “post-truth” era where people scroll through feeds at finger-flicking speed. He’s such an icon that scammers would use him in AI-generated videos that appeared to show him endorsing questionable investments or political candidates.
On Reddit’s WallStreetBets forum, traders share picks for potential get-rich-quick opportunities in day-trading stocks and options. The discussion jumps from idea to idea, but even the denizens there know Buffett and his famous advice to “be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful.”
His reputation is so strong and his advice so well-known that some memes on the forum ironically joke about doing the opposite, with a picture of Buffett suggesting that everyone freak out and sell in a panic.
Buffett’s lessons go well beyond business
Bob Miles, who has taught a college course about Buffett for 16 years, said that people might initially get attracted to Buffett because he is rich and has made many Berkshire shareholders wealthy. But their interest deepens after reading Buffett’s annual letters, which became required reading for many investors, and hearing him speak in interviews.
Through reading and listening, people would glean nuggets from Buffett like his core rules for investing: “Rule No. 1: Never lose money. Rule No. 2: Never forget Rule No. 1.” Or that “you only find out who is swimming naked when the tide goes out,” referencing how tough times will quickly show who has been taking too much risk. He also suggested that “who you associate with is just enormously important. Don’t expect that you’ll make every decision right on that. But you are going to have your life progress in the general direction of the people you work with, that you admire, that become your friends.”
“People associate him with successful investing, but I look at him more and more as kind of a guide toward how to live a successful life, whatever your talents happen to be,” Miles said.
Few investors have broad appeal like Buffett
At the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School of business, trips for students to Berkshire’s annual meetings were always a hot ticket. “I don’t know of any time that it wasn’t popular,” said David Musto, a finance professor at the school and faculty director of the Jacobs Master of Science in Quantitative Finance.
With Buffett’s departure from the stage, the obvious question is whether anyone else could replace him as the world’s most famous value investor.
Musto said some other big names still exist in the investing world, such as Will Danoff at Fidelity Investments, who is retiring from day-to-day management at the end of the year. But it’s difficult to find someone with as strong and as long a track record as Buffett’s. Or the wit and personality.
Musto said it’s important for value investing to remain a force in the market, particularly when traders are jumping into meme stocks, obscure cryptocurrencies and other bets built more on hope that their prices will go up than belief that it’s a good business trading at a good price.
“It certainly helps to have people in the middle,” Musto said, “thinking about the value of a stock.”
Business
A Synchronized, Yet Shallow, Global Hiking Cycle
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Business
China opens probes into four online travel booking platforms

China opens probes into four online travel booking platforms
Business
Ashish Kacholia's Portfolio: 10 stocks rally up to 180% in CY26, 4 turn multibaggers; 1 new Q1 bet
Ashish Kacholia’s portfolio saw strong gains in CY26, with 10 stocks rising up to 181% and four turning multibaggers. Asian Energy Services emerged as his latest portfolio addition in Q1.
Business
IIFL Finance and GMDC among top 5 smallcap stocks that saw highest mutual fund selling in August
Five smallcap stocks, including Himadri Speciality, GMDC and IIFL Finance, saw the highest net selling by mutual funds in August, according to Motilal Oswal Financial Services.
Business
BoJ has room to accelerate rate hikes as inflation pressures build: Report
The report said the latest inflation data remained relatively benign, but government subsidies have helped contain the impact of higher energy prices on consumers, potentially masking underlying price pressures.
“While inflationary pressures have remained benign in the August CPI print, inflation expectations are continuing to rise,” ICICI Bank Research said, citing rising producer prices and the beginning of a wage-price spiral.
Headline consumer inflation and core inflation, excluding fresh food and energy, remained at 1.9 per cent year-on-year in August, below the Bank of Japan’s 2 per cent target. However, producer price inflation rose 7.6 per cent in August, while goods inflation increased 2.6 per cent, reflecting higher imported costs amid yen depreciation.
The report said the strong wage trend could further reinforce inflation expectations. Japanese nominal wage growth has averaged 3.5 per cent in 2026, while real wages have also recorded positive gains.
It said the BoJ’s policy guidance remains focused on price stability and that Governor Ueda’s comments indicated concerns about the central bank falling behind the curve on inflation. Ueda said the BoJ wanted to “avoid a situation like that in the US and Europe” during the 2022 period of high inflation.
At the same time, the report said higher energy prices are acting as a drag on Japanese growth. The economy is nevertheless expected to remain supported by AI-related demand, rising corporate profits and resilient consumption, with growth expected to pick up if crude oil prices ease.The report expects another 25 basis point rate hike in 2026, followed by at least one additional hike in 2027, taking the policy rate to 1.75 per cent. It said the BoJ would continue to monitor the impact of the West Asian conflict, AI-related demand and foreign exchange developments.
Despite the policy tightening, the yen’s outlook remains weak, with the report expecting USD/JPY to trade in the 157-161 range in the near term and continue to depreciate over the medium term.
Business
Concurrent Gainers: 10 smallcap stocks that gain for 5 days in a row
Ten BSE SmallCap stocks, led by Moneyboxx Finance with a 47% gain, rose in each of the five trading sessions through September 18 despite broader market weakness.
Business
Warren Buffett’s culture, values he championed will stay and his son will be the guardian, says CEO Greg Abel
“Warren’s impact on Berkshire and its owners is without parallel in the history of American business,” Abel said on behalf of the entire Berkshire Board of Directors. “The culture Warren built and the values he championed will remain at the heart of Berkshire, and Howard will be their guardian.”
Abel also expressed the board’s gratitude to Howard Buffett for the “care, discipline, and deep understanding of Berkshire” he will bring to his new role, while thanking Sue Decker for her continued leadership and contributions as Lead Independent Director.
Buffett, 96, is stepping down as chairman of Berkshire Hathaway after more than six decades at the helm of the company. He will become chairman emeritus with immediate effect and will remain a director.
His oldest son, Howard Buffett, will succeed him as chairman, marking another step in Berkshire’s long-planned succession. Howard has been a member of Berkshire’s board since 1993.
What did Warren Buffett say?
In a letter to shareholders, Buffett reflected on his more than 60 years at Berkshire and said he still considers himself fortunate to have what he called the best job in the world.
“Father Time always wins. He has, however, been generous with me,” Buffett said. “Sixty-plus years in, I still have the best job in the world. That is not something many people my age can say, and I have never felt better about what comes next.”Buffett said the timing was right to complete the transition, pointing to Abel’s role in running the company and the decisions he has already been making.
“Part of the reason is Greg. My expectations for him were sky high from the start, and he has exceeded them,” Buffett said. “He has taken hold of the Chief Executive Officer job in every respect. He has been making the decisions that matter for some time now, and I have not had to think twice about any of them.”
Under the new structure, Buffett said Abel would run Berkshire while Howard would be responsible for guarding the company’s culture and values.
“Greg runs the company; Howard will guard its culture and values,” Buffett said, adding that both were “worth more than anything on our balance sheet.”
Buffett described Howard’s role as a long apprenticeship, noting that his son had been a Berkshire director for 33 years. He said Howard had served on the board for longer than Buffett himself had before taking the reins of Berkshire at the age of 34.
“Think of Howard as a policy the shareholders own and hope never to claim against,” Buffett said. “Howard cares deeply about Berkshire, as do all of our Directors.”
Buffett also reflected on Berkshire’s shareholders, saying the company had been fortunate to attract owners who think in decades rather than quarters. “From the beginning, Charlie and I looked for owners who thought in decades rather than quarters, and we were fortunate to find a great many of you,” he said.
As he moves into the chairman emeritus role, Buffett said he remains confident about Berkshire’s future and will continue as a shareholder. “The company is in excellent hands, and I look forward to remaining a shareholder alongside you.”
(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)
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