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Ethereum price must break $2,530 to extend recovery

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Ethereum daily chart shows ETH near $2,457, with Bollinger Band support at $2,399, resistance at $2,530, and RSI at 59.

Ethereum price traded near $2,457 on Sep. 11 after recovering from a drop toward $2,400, but resistance around $2,500 continued to limit its advance.

Summary

  • Ethereum price recovered from $2,400 but remained below the $2,500 resistance level.
  • Daily Bollinger Bands placed immediate support near $2,399 and resistance at $2,530.
  • The 4-hour Supertrend remained bullish, with dynamic support at $2,423.
  • Liquidation clusters near $2,490 and $2,530 could shape the next short-term move.

Ethereum price action today

Ethereum (ETH) was trading at $2,457 at the time of writing, below the psychological $2,500 level after failing to hold an intraday recovery.

The daily candle remained up about 0.8%, having opened near $2,438 and reached a high of $2,485. However, the broader short-term chart showed repeated rejection between $2,490 and $2,530, preventing buyers from extending the rebound that began in August.

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ETH has consolidated mainly between $2,400 and $2,530 since its sharp rally from below $2,000. The price tested the lower end of that range on Sep. 10 before buyers pushed it back above $2,450.

Persistent outflows from U.S. spot Ethereum exchange-traded funds have reduced one source of institutional demand. Sticky U.S. inflation and expectations that interest rates could stay elevated have also weighed on risk assets by keeping Treasury yields competitive with assets that do not generate fixed income.

Ethereum’s changing supply dynamics add another concern. Lower transaction fees following network upgrades such as Dencun have reduced the amount of ETH burned, weakening the deflationary case that previously supported the asset’s long-term investment narrative.

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Ethereum technicals show support at $2,400

The daily Bollinger Bands showed Ethereum trading just below the middle band at $2,464.93. Reclaiming that level would improve the chances of another test of the upper band at $2,530.38.

Ethereum daily chart shows ETH near $2,457, with Bollinger Band support at $2,399, resistance at $2,530, and RSI at 59.
Ethereum price daily chart — Sep. 11 | Source: crypto.news

The lower Bollinger Band stood at $2,399.48, reinforcing $2,400 as the most important nearby support. A daily close below that area could confirm a loss of the current range and expose ETH to a deeper pullback.

The daily relative strength index was 59.28, below its moving average of 63.97. The reading remained above the neutral 50 mark but showed that momentum had cooled since the August advance. ETH was not oversold, meaning the indicator did not yet signal that selling had reached an extreme.

The 4-hour structure offered a firmer signal. The Supertrend remained bullish and marked dynamic support at $2,423.40. ETH would preserve its short-term recovery structure while trading above that line.

Ethereum 4-hour chart shows ETH consolidating below $2,500 while holding above Supertrend support at $2,423.
Ethereum price 4-hour chart — Sep. 11 | Source: crypto.news

Aroon Up stood at 64.29%, compared with Aroon Down at 14.29%. The gap favored buyers and showed that recent highs were more relevant than recent lows, although neither reading pointed to overwhelming momentum.

Liquidation levels frame ETH’s next move

CoinGlass’s three-day Ethereum liquidation heatmap showed concentrated leverage on both sides of the current price.

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Ethereum three-day liquidation heatmap shows major liquidity clusters near $2,490–$2,530 and downside liquidity around $2,400.
Ethereum liquidation heatmap | Source: CoinGlass

The nearest large overhead clusters appeared around $2,490 and between approximately $2,525 and $2,540. A move above $2,500 could force short positions to close and draw ETH toward the stronger $2,530 liquidity zone.

The heatmap also showed a substantial downside concentration around $2,390 to $2,405. Losing the 4-hour Supertrend support at $2,423 could therefore pull the price toward $2,400, where leveraged long positions face greater liquidation risk.

Smaller liquidity bands were visible near $2,440 and $2,470. Those levels may keep price action uneven inside the broader $2,400–$2,530 range until either side produces a confirmed breakout.

Liquidity concentrations can attract price because forced position closures add trading volume. They do not guarantee direction, however, and the clusters can change as traders open or close leveraged positions.

Analysts identify $2,400 as the key level

Analyst Ted Pillows said Ethereum was holding up better than Bitcoin after ETH quickly recovered from its fall to $2,400. According to the analyst, buyers remain in control as long as the price stays above that level.

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His chart placed current resistance near $2,530 and the next major resistance around $2,800. It also identified support around $2,200, followed by a lower level near $1,955 if the current rebound fails.

Crypto Patel presented a much longer-term setup, arguing that Ethereum was testing a multi-year resistance area for the third time while remaining above an ascending accumulation zone. The analyst listed speculative breakout targets of $5,000, $10,000, and $15,000.

Those targets depend on Ethereum clearing its multi-year resistance and sustaining the breakout. They do not describe the immediate setup, which remains defined by the much narrower range between $2,400 and $2,530.

US data could decide the breakout

U.S. inflation and interest-rate expectations remain important for Ethereum because tighter monetary policy can reduce demand for volatile assets. Higher Treasury yields may also encourage fund managers to retain exposure to fixed-income products instead of increasing crypto allocations.

ETF flows provide another measure of U.S. institutional demand. Continued withdrawals would leave Ethereum more dependent on spot buyers, while a return to net inflows could help the price challenge the $2,500–$2,530 resistance area.

For now, Ethereum retains a mildly bullish short-term structure above $2,423, but buyers still need a daily close above $2,530 to confirm an upside breakout. A loss of $2,400 would invalidate that setup and shift attention toward lower support levels.

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Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

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Chainlink surges 6% after CCIP 2.0 launch, but $15 resistance tests LINK rally – CoinJournal

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Chainlink surges 6% after CCIP 2.0 launch, but $15 resistance tests LINK rally - CoinJournal

Key takeaways

  • LINK rose about 6% while much of the crypto market retreated, extending its reported 30-day gain to 30.3%.
  • Chainlink’s CCIP 2.0 launch gives institutions the option to add their own cross-chain transaction verifiers.
  • LINK met resistance near $15, while the supplied chart analysis identifies $12-$13 as a potential support zone.

Chainlink’s LINK token outperformed a weaker crypto market following the launch of Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol (CCIP) 2.0. 

The token gained about 6% in the session described in the supplied analysis, taking its 30-day advance to 30.3% and its year-to-date return into positive territory.

The upgrade gives financial institutions more control over transactions that move data or assets between blockchains. 

Traders appeared to welcome the announcement, though LINK’s approach to $15 brought a technical test after its recent rally.

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CCIP 2.0 adds institution-operated verifiers

Cross-chain transfers require a way to confirm that an action occurred on one blockchain before a corresponding action is completed on another. CCIP provides that communication layer. 

With version 2.0, institutions and asset issuers can add Cross-Chain Verifiers to apply their own checks alongside Chainlink’s default verification network. Chainlink says starter kits will let users run those verifiers on infrastructure including Amazon Web Services and Google Cloud.

The added checks could matter to firms with internal security or compliance requirements. An issuer, for example, may want a transfer to proceed only after its own verifier has approved it. 

CCIP 2.0 also offers configurable compliance controls, fees, and execution options, allowing users to choose how a transaction is checked and completed. These features are optional; Chainlink says its existing verification network remains the default.

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Speed is another part of the upgrade. CCIP 2.0 supports faster-than-finality transfers where a user’s chosen risk settings permit them. 

Chainlink also says it is working to support Ethereum’s Fast Confirmation Rule when that feature launches. Its future integration should not be treated as a speed improvement already available for every Ethereum transfer.

The supplied market analysis reported an 89% jump in LINK trading volume following the CCIP 2.0 announcement. 

Higher volume shows that more tokens changed hands during the move, but it does not, by itself, show whether buyers will remain in control.

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The same analysis cited a recovery in Chainlink’s total value secured from about $43 billion in June to $57 billion in August. That metric describes value associated with assets using Chainlink services; it is distinct from revenue earned by Chainlink or the market value of the LINK token.

The product announcement gives traders a reason to reassess Chainlink’s role in institutional blockchain infrastructure. Even so, a network upgrade does not automatically create immediate demand for LINK. Adoption, usage, and the broader market’s direction will matter to whether the price move lasts.

Can LINK break above $15?

LINK’s advance encountered selling pressure near $15, a level the supplied daily-chart analysis identifies as immediate resistance. 

It also noted a bearish divergence in the relative strength index: price strengthened while the momentum reading weakened. Such a signal can precede a pause or pullback, although it does not establish that one must occur.

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If LINK retreats, the analysis places a possible support zone at 12–13. Holding that area could leave the broader recovery intact, while a decisive break below it would weaken the bullish setup.

LINK/USD Daily Chart

A sustained move above $15 would shift attention toward higher levels, including the article’s $20 upside scenario. From $12, a rise to $20 would be roughly 67%, but that percentage describes a hypothetical entry and exit, not an expected return. 

For now, the clearest test is whether LINK can absorb selling around $15 while maintaining support if the wider crypto market remains under pressure.



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Bitcoin beats gold, surge to $100,000 in play: Crypto Daily

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Bitcoin beats gold, surge to $100,000 in play: Crypto Daily

BTC’s move above $80,000 has triggered a “double-bottom breakout,” a technical analysis pattern confirming a bullish trend and opening the door for a rally to $100,000, according to Jurrien Timmer, director of global macro at Fidelity Investments.

“Bitcoin is looking particularly interesting here as it challenges key resistance at $80k. If it breaks it will confirm a double bottom targeting $100K,” Timmer wrote on X on Friday.

A double bottom looks like the letter W on a price chart. The price drops to a low, bounces, falls back to roughly the same level, then rises again. The two dips show buyers stepping in at the same price twice. The peak in the middle of the W acts as resistance. A break above it suggests sellers have run out of steam and a new uptrend may be starting.

Timmer’s chart shows bitcoin’s two lows this year at $60,033 and $57,742, with the middle peak near $82,800.

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Chart patterns are not guarantees. Breakouts often fail, reversing quickly and trapping buyers who chased the move.

Still, the bullish setup is consistent with options traders positioning for more gains. The $90,000 call is the most popular bitcoin options bet on crypto exchange Deribit, with $2.45 billion in open interest. The $95,000 call follows with $2.33 billion, and the $100,000 call holds $1.79 billion. A call gives the buyer the right to buy at a set price and profits when the market rises above it.



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XRP Price in Danger: Positive Funding Masks a Fragile Setup

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XRP price trades near $1.49 as positive funding meets futures selling, with $1.37 support and $1.57 resistance shaping the next move.

XRP price hovers under $1.49 after three consecutive daily declines left the token losing the $1.50 support, even as a modest bounce pulled it off session lows. CoinGlass data showed the long-to-short ratio at 0.975, meaning short positions marginally outnumbered longs, while the funding rate sat at a positive 0.008%, the reading that determines whether long or short traders pay a periodic fee to hold perpetual futures.

XRP price trades near $1.49 as positive funding meets futures selling, with $1.37 support and $1.57 resistance shaping the next move.

XRP Long Short Ratio, Coinglass

That combination is the crux of the problem. Traders are still paying to stay long, yet the spot price has not moved in a way that rewards the bet, and the disconnect between heavy spot selling and futures demand is the setup that tends to unwind fast once a key level gives way.

A 0.975 long-to-short ratio is not a bearish signal in any decisive sense. It sits close enough to 1.0 that it reads as near-balanced positioning rather than a market leaning hard in either direction.

XRP price trades near $1.49 as positive funding meets futures selling, with $1.37 support and $1.57 resistance shaping the next move.

XRP Funding Rate, Coinglass

Funding tells a more interesting story on its own. A positive rate means demand for long exposure in crypto derivatives is real enough that longs are compensating shorts to hold the position, which typically signals conviction that price moves higher.

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However, it cuts both ways: if price falls further, those same leveraged longs become forced sellers, and a positive funding regime built on thin spot demand can flip into a liquidation cascade faster than one built on genuine accumulation.

CryptoQuant’s summary data flagged overheating conditions across both XRP’s spot and futures markets, alongside sell-side dominance in futures, meaning sellers have retained the upper hand in derivatives even as funding stays positive. That is the missing piece: positive funding shows traders are willing to hold bullish exposure, but it has not yet translated into enough buying pressure to absorb the futures selling and push through resistance.

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XRP Price and the $1.37 Support

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The daily chart still leans bullish on a longer timeframe. XRP held above its 50-day price exponential moving average near $1.365 and its 200-day EMA near $1.369 through the three-day slide, with the 100-day EMA sitting lower at $1.307 as a secondary reference.

Momentum has cooled rather than reversed. The RSI sat near 55, close to neutral, and the MACD flattened around zero, a pattern consistent with consolidation after an earlier advance rather than an active breakdown.

The level that matters most sits at $1.37, where the 50-day and 200-day EMAs converge into a single support band. A clean break below that zone opens the $1.30 area, and a deeper slide would eventually put the $1.00 psychological level in play, though XRP would need to fall substantially before that becomes the immediate focus. On the upside, reclaiming the $1.574 resistance level is the trigger that would strengthen the case for a move toward $1.90.

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What Happens Next for XRP?

Two scenarios frame the near-term path. If XRP holds the $1.37 zone, the market stays in a consolidation phase where positive funding continues to reflect trader appetite for long exposure, but that alone won’t confirm a breakout without a corresponding rise in open interest and spot volume.

Xrp (XRP)
24h7d30d1yAll time

If XRP price instead reclaims $1.574, the technical case for a run toward $1.90 gets meaningfully stronger, and that move would likely force shorts to cover into strength. The alternative is a sustained break below $1.37, which shifts focus to $1.30 as the next line of defense, with $1.00 as the deeper level only if that support also fails.

Either way, the current setup leaves no room for complacency on either side of the trade. Near-balanced positioning combined with positive funding and futures sell-side dominance is a fragile mix, and the next move in spot price will do more to settle the argument than another shift in the long-short ratio.

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The post XRP Price in Danger: Positive Funding Masks a Fragile Setup appeared first on Cryptonews.



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Bitcoin recovers to $84,000 while stocks fall on bond market pressure

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Bitcoin recovers to $84,000 while stocks fall on bond market pressure

Bitcoin recovered Monday’s losses to trade at $84,170 on Tuesday, up 0.82% since midnight UTC and 1.4% over 24 hours, with 72 of the 100 CoinDesk 100 constituents higher and the index adding 0.89% to 1,904.49.

The bid is arriving despite conditions that have been suppressing risk assets for a week, the 10-year Treasury yield sitting at 5.234% after ending Monday above 5.2%, near levels last seen in 2007, and the 30-year at 5.549% having topped 5.56% on Monday, around a 2004 high.

U.S. stocks fell for a second session on Monday, the Dow dropping more than 300 points and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite shedding 0.8% and 0.9%, with futures mixed on Tuesday morning.

Decentralized finance (DeFi) is driving the move for the second time in a week, with the DeFi Select Index (DFX) gaining 5.0% since midnight, led by lending protocol token aave at 11% and curve dao token at 5.2%. The CoinDesk 80 rose 2.0% against the CoinDesk 5’s 1.3%, though the ranking inverts over 24 hours, where the CD5’s 1.7% beats the CD80’s 0.44%.

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The year’s second-largest XRP hack is spilling over to Bitcoin and Ethereum

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The year's second-largest XRP hack is spilling over to Bitcoin and Ethereum

The D’CENT wallet hack, the year’s second-largest drain of XRP behind the Bitget crypto exchange hack, has spilled beyond the XRP Ledger onto additional blockchains like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Stellar. 

Hackers have drained more than 12.4 million XRP from more than 7,000 D’CENT wallets, still some way behind Bitget’s loss of 102.9 million XRP.

Although the wallet was popular among the XRP community, D’CENT users who owned assets of other blockchains have also lost their funds.

D’CENT’s own disclosure named Bitcoin, Tron, and Ethereum, for example. Even a Stellar user has lost XLM in the incident.

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Hackers are able to sweep funds across blockchains with one compromised recovery phrase for the multi-blockchain wallet.

IoTrust, the maker of D’CENT, confirmed at least 110 abnormal transfer reports, including non-XRP assets, per ZDNet Korea.

XRP holders lose $18 million in D’CENT hack

Drains of XRP are the most well-documented, due to the prominence of D’CENT among XRP holders.

At least six waves of theft occurred between September 15 and 20, emptying 6,678 wallets of 11.7 million XRP.

The thief stole from large wallets first, by hand, and soon wrote scripts to take funds from progressively smaller wallets.

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Warnings from D’CENT and other members of the XRP community couldn’t stop the drainage. Thieves took 640,370 additional XRP after September 21, bringing the tally to above 12.4 million.

By Friday, 6.3 million of those stolen XRP had crossed to Ethereum’s blockchain through the swap service THORChain.

As the theft spilled over to other blockchains, researchers admitted the scope of the losses, saying, “Most of it is no longer XRP.”

Read more: David Schwartz warns of hard fork because XRP nodes won’t upgrade

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In August, D’CENT was still touting its hardware wallets’ secure element, boasting that it was impervious to vulnerabilities linked to the Coldcard hack.

D’CENT now warns users that wallets they created using its app are vulnerable, urging them to create a fresh recovery phrase and immediately migrate everything, including tokens, NFTs, and any staked assets.

Got a tip? Send us an email securely via Protos Leaks. For more informed news and investigations, follow us on X, Bluesky, and Google News, or subscribe to our YouTube channel.

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Analysts see 10-year Treasury yield hitting 6%. Bitcoin bulls shouldn’t panic

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Analysts see 10-year Treasury yield hitting 6%. Bitcoin bulls shouldn't panic

Market action since 2022 backs Thielen’s take. The 10-year yield more than doubled to 3.88% that year as the Fed raised interest rates rapidly, including several 50- and 75-basis-point hikes to fight inflation.

Bitcoin fell 64% that year. Fed tightening and rising yields added to the pain from crypto scams and blowups.

The picture has been different since. From the end of 2023, the 10-year yield has risen 135 basis points to 5.23%, the highest since 2007. Over the same stretch, bitcoin has roughly doubled to $86,000, even after pulling back from its October record above $126,000.

Thielen and others attribute much of the recent rise in yields to fiscal fears and a higher term premium. In plain English, investors want to be paid more to lock up their money in long-term bonds, given the uncertainty over inflation and government borrowing.

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Chicago-based Strategic Analytics made a similar point about gold, noting that it has tracked fiscal risk more closely than the Fed’s policy path since 2022.

“Since 2022, gold has increasingly tracked fiscal-risk perceptions – term premium, deficits, debt sustainability – rather than the Fed’s policy path. Gold is not defying real yields. It is pricing fiscal sustainability and currency debasement, which has become the marginal driver,” it said recently in a LinkedIn post.



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China has three new criteria for humanoid robot IPOs. Few, if any, meet them

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China has three new criteria for humanoid robot IPOs. Few, if any, meet them

Humanoid robots box during the 5th Global Digital Trade Expo on September 25, 2026 in Hangzhou, Zhejiang Province of China.

Vcg | Visual China Group | Getty Images

BEIJING — China’s securities regulator is raising the bar for public listings of humanoid robot startups, according to three sources familiar with the CSRC’s thinking.

It’s a sign of how one of the hottest sectors of the market is cooling, as investors globally assess whether artificial intelligence stocks are in a bubble.

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The Chinese regulator wants local “embodied AI” startups seeking to go public to meet three specific criteria, according to the sources, who requested anonymity due to the sensitivity of the situation.

They are:

  • The “window guidance” requires that the humanoid applicants have sustainable revenue and commercial orders.
  • Losses must narrow, with one source saying a three-year forecast is needed.
  • The company must possess core technology such as robotic brain or hands.

Even if a startup only has to meet two of the three criteria, as one source indicated, it’s unclear which, if any, of the companies can do so.

That’s lowered expectations to just a handful, or none, of these startups making it to public markets, the sources said.

At least two dozen humanoid-related embodied AI companies have filed to list in Hong Kong alone, according to two of the sources. Hong Kong in May 2025 started letting tech companies file confidentially for IPOs.

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The Hong Kong stock exchange declined to comment. The China Securities Regulatory Commission did not immediately respond to a request for comment. Mainland China companies wanting to list in Hong Kong also need the CSRC’s blessing.

Unitree IPO impact

Scrutiny on China’s growing number of humanoid robot startups and their fast-growing valuations — supported by a mix of government and private sector funds — has grown over the last several weeks.

The industry’s posterchild, Unitree, got a regulatory fast-track to its listing in Shanghai on Aug. 19 as the World Robot Conference kicked off in Beijing.

But in a keynote a day later, founder Wang Xingxing cautioned that commercialization beyond dancing robots remained years away. It accentuated a debate that picked up in subsequent weeks on what humanoids can actually do — and whether industry startups were actually making money.

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China now has well over 100 humanoid companies, which fall under the national push for “embodied AI.” The term received Beijing’s support in the last two annual government work reports, although authorities have warned of a bubble in the humanoid robot industry.

Reflecting a rapid surge in interest, investment in the sector hit 47.09 billion yuan ($6.95 billion) in the second quarter, more than double that of the first quarter — and up over six times versus the same period last year, according to industry data provider Xiniu.

Unitree raised about about 6.1 billion yuan ($905 million) in its IPO on Aug. 19 with Shanghai-listed shares skyrocketing more than 460% in their debut to close at 845 yuan.

The stock had nearly halved in price as of Monday, at 459.65 yuan a share.

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Hong Kong-listed Ubtech has also tumbled more than 40% so far this year. The company, which went public in December 2023, still reported an operating loss for the first half of this year of 279 million yuan.

The share price decline contrasts with the flood of capital pouring into humanoid robotics companies over the last 12 months or so. The tech, often called “physical AI” in China, has been seen as a way for early-stage investors to benefit from the surge of interest in artificial intelligence models.

However, Rhodium Group analysis this month found that China’s AI companies only make about 10% the revenue of Anthropic and OpenAI. The ratio of valuation to revenue — especially for Chinese AI startups Moonshot and DeepSeek — was far higher than their U.S. rivals, the report said.

While expectations grow for the U.S. AI giants’ IPOs, chipmaker AMD said Monday it is acquiring World Labs for $8.2 billion in a stock deal. The startup, founded by AI pioneer Fei-Fei Li, is building AI models for creating virtual 3D environments frequently used in humanoid robot development.

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A SpaceX Starship Rocket Officially Reached Orbit. Why That’s So Significant

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A SpaceX Starship Rocket Officially Reached Orbit. Why That's So Significant

The launch this morning was both imperfect and stripped down to its orbital essentials. On the way up, one of the Starship’s six engines failed to burn properly, requiring the other engines to compensate for the missing thrust to get the ship in orbit. 

In addition, the return to Earth was simplified. SpaceX has made itself famous for safely landing the first stage of its Falcon 9 and Starship boosters—with 641 out of 688 Falcon 9 launches featuring this kind of recovery, allowing the boosters to be reused and make flying cheaper. Starship’s first stage, meantime, performs what has become known as a chopstick recovery, with the booster navigating its way back to the launch tower where two giant metal arms pluck it from the sky. For the current mission, the chopstick recovery was done away with to simplify the flight objectives; instead the first stage made a soft, engine-assisted splashdown in the Gulf of Mexico. The Starship spacecraft was planned for a six-orbit, 10-hour mission, with the ship’s engines set to fire around the dinner hour Monday to bring the spacecraft down for a similar gentle, watery landing. 



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Goldman Sachs Explains Why Not to Buy the 5%+ Bonds and Rather Stick to AI

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30-Year Yield is pushing beyond 5%.

Goldman Sachs’ Anshul Sehgal says bonds yielding 5% or more are not the best trade right now. He still favors AI infrastructure, which he sees as a far more asymmetric bet than the long bond.

Sehgal, a global co-head of Fixed Income, Currencies and Commodities (FICC) at the bank, laid out the view just a few days after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates.

Why Goldman Sachs Is Passing on 5%+ Bonds

On Goldman’s The Markets, Sehgal said the 30-year Treasury, known as the long bond, had hovered around 5% for weeks. He noted that clients want to buy it at 5% or higher, yet he still sees little upside.

The yield has kept climbing since the recording, reaching 5.56% on September 29, a new 52-week high. Sehgal blamed structural pressure for the strain on the long end. Retiring baby boomers are buying fewer long bonds, and heavy long-dated borrowing tied to AI is crowding the market.

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Those pressures explain why the selloff can persist even without a fresh inflation shock. Fewer retirees buying long bonds and a steady flow of long-dated borrowing tied to AI both weigh on prices, and neither fades quickly.

Sehgal adds that fear over US debt sustainability makes investors less willing to hold the long end, which feeds on itself.

The takeaway is that a rising yield does not necessarily break his thesis. It may instead show why he sees limited reward in owning the bond, while the risk to his AI trade is that costlier long-term borrowing squeezes the levered companies he favors.

30-Year Yield is pushing beyond 5%.
30-Year Yield is pushing beyond 5%. Image Source: CNBC

AI Compute Is the Asymmetric Trade

An asymmetric trade offers far more potential gain than risk. Sehgal applies that label to compute (AI computing power), data centers, and Neoclouds, which are cloud providers built to rent out that capacity.

“I think the asymmetric expression is being long compute.”

Anshul Sehgal, Goldman

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The catch is leverage. Savers collecting higher interest have effectively financed the AI build-out, leaving equities more indebted than a year ago. Sehgal admits these are levered bets. Still, he thinks they can multiply in value, while the wider stock market looks less certain.

Tighter Policy Hits Spenders, Not Capital

Sehgal says the Fed frames its September 16 hike as catch-up after five years above its inflation target. Schwab counts 16 of 19 Fed officials expecting another increase this year. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh also stressed three times that the Fed is easing back some stimulus rather than turning restrictive, Sehgal adds.

He argues that government interest payments flow to capital rather than workers, so higher rates curb household spending, a risk for the broader stock market.

He also rejects the debt-sustainability fears weighing on long bonds.

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“For me, that’s a red herring.”

Anshul Sehgal, Goldman

Meanwhile, BlackRock’s Rick Rieder is cutting equities for bonds paying 7% to 8%, though his high-grade bond call still cautions against rushing into the 10-year Treasury.

Sehgal names the Middle East conflict as the top driver of policy and markets in the weeks ahead.

The post Goldman Sachs Explains Why Not to Buy the 5%+ Bonds and Rather Stick to AI appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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BTC, ETH price news: Bitcoin slips to $83,000 as ZEC drops 12% and oil climbs again

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BTC, ETH price news: Bitcoin slips to $83,000 as ZEC drops 12% and oil climbs again

“Bitcoin has pulled back to $83K, testing the lower boundary of last week’s consolidation range,” Alex Kuptsikevich, chief market analyst at FxPro, said in an email to CoinDesk. “As with the market as a whole, a retest of the $82K region, where peaks were formed in May and early September, is entirely to be expected under current conditions.”

“Looking ahead, a sustained return to prices below $80K would be an important signal that the market is not ready to move higher for some time yet. If, however, this consolidation is soon followed by a new bullish momentum, it could send the leading cryptocurrency well above $90K,” he added.

The pressure is coming from bonds and oil.

Treasuries steadied in Asia after tumbling during U.S. trading, with the 10-year yield up one basis point to 5.25% after reaching its highest level since 2007 on Monday. A higher guaranteed return on government debt raises the bar for holding assets that pay no income, bitcoin among them.

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Brent rose more than 1% to nearly $107 a barrel, its second straight gain, as hopes for an imminent diplomatic breakthrough with Iran faded.

Pricier oil feeds into inflation, and traders have been adding to bets that the Fed will raise rates again. MSCI’s All Country World Index fell to its lowest since Sept. 18, and Nasdaq 100 futures slipped 0.3% after Monday’s tech-led selloff on Wall Street.



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