Crypto
Zoomex Monthly On-Chain Report: August 2026
August 2026 was the month Zoomex took its expansion story from announcement to delivery. Where July was about rolling out new stock perpetual contracts and locking in event partnerships, August was about crossing the finish line on both fronts.
The platform pushed its tokenized equity lineup past the 50-contract milestone and backed it with a week-long Zero-Fee TradFi promotion, while its Coinfest Asia 2026 Gold Sponsorship in Bali moved from a save-the-date press release to an actual beach-side gathering of traders, builders, and Web3 community members.
Beneath that marketing calendar, Zoomex’s verified on-chain reserves continued to sit in the same well-managed, multi-chain range that has defined its transparency reporting all year. This report reviews Zoomex’s on-chain reserves, chain and token composition, and platform metrics as tracked through DefiLlama, CoinMarketCap, and CoinGecko, alongside the product and partnership developments that shaped the month.
Zoomex Overview
Founded in 2021, Zoomex has grown into a global cryptocurrency trading platform serving over 3 million registered users across more than 35 countries and regions. The platform operates on its core philosophy of “Simple – User-Friendly – Fast,” a guiding principle that informs everything from its matching engine architecture to its user interface design.
July was defined by continued expansion of ZoomexStocks, the platform’s tokenized-equity perpetuals line. Building on the initial rollout of 50 USDT-settled stock contracts covering names like TSLA, NVDA, AAPL, META, MSTR, and COIN, Zoomex added further pairs through the month, including names such as GE, JPM, WMT, SONY, COST, and meme-adjacent tickers like GME and AMC all trading 24/7 with leverage up to 20x and entry from as little as 5 USDT.
This steady cadence of new listings underscores Zoomex’s push to position itself as a unified trading ecosystem bridging digital assets and traditional equity markets, rather than a single-product exchange.
The platform’s technical backbone is engineered for performance. Zoomex maintains sub-10ms order matching latency, and execution tests confirm that a 1 BTC market order on Zoomex results in approximately 0.03% slippage. This infrastructure maturity, combined with Zoomex’s regulatory registrations and third-party security audits, forms the foundation for everything documented in this report.
Exchange trade volume
Zoomex’s exchange trade volume through August followed a shape almost the inverse of July’s choppy, range-bound pattern, a quiet first half of the month gave way to one sharp, sustained spike around the Coinfest Asia window, followed by a longer grind back down to baseline. Volume opened the month subdued, holding in a tight $210-230M band from August 12 through 15, before easing to the month’s low point of roughly $130-140M around August 16-17.
From there, it climbed back to around $230M by August 19, still well within the quiet range that had defined the first half of the month.
The real move began on August 20, the opening day of Coinfest Asia 2026 and the Zoomex Summer Bay Party in Bali, when volume broke sharply higher, roughly $650M on August 20 and $730M on the 21st, before peaking at approximately $1.02 billion on August 22, by far the highest single reading of the period and more than four times the mid-month baseline.
That peak lines up closely enough with Zoomex’s Bali activations that the timing is hard to ignore, though a single exchange’s volume spike coinciding with a sponsorship event isn’t proof of causation on its own. The move unwound quickly: volume fell to around $430M by August 24, then spent the rest of the month oscillating in a lower, choppier band between roughly $370M and $600M through August 25-30, closer in character to July’s cyclical swings, before dropping to a secondary trough of about $260M on August 31.
September opened in that same $260-460M range, with volume drifting between roughly $300M and $460M through the first week before climbing back to around $350M by September 9, the most recent reading available. On the pair side, BTC/USDT continues to dominate Zoomex’s trading activity at 43.4% of volume, followed by USDC/USDT at 15.7% and ETH/USDT at 12.4%; HYPE/USDT, SOL/USDT, XRP/USDT, and ENA/USDT together with a longer tail of “Others” round out the remainder.
Notably, essentially all of that volume, 100% by CoinGecko’s currency breakdown, continues to settle in USDT, underscoring the stablecoin’s role as Zoomex’s near-exclusive quote and settlement currency across both spot and the newer stock-perpetual products.
On-chain reserves
Where July’s reserve story was a sharp, double-peaked spike that fully unwound within about a week, August looks like a genuine, sustained step-up in Zoomex’s treasury floor. DefiLlama’s CEX Transparency tracker shows total assets opening the month right around the $21 million baseline that had held since June, essentially flat through the first eleven days of August. The first move came around August 12-13, when total assets stepped up sharply from roughly $20 million to about $27-28 million, a jump that held rather than reverted, plateauing in that $27-28 million range through August 20.
A second, larger step followed from roughly August 21 through 25, when reserves climbed steadily from about $28 million to a peak near $37 million. Unlike July’s spikes, this level has proven durable: total assets have held in a tight $34-37 million band for the two-plus weeks since, through August 29, into September, and up to the $35.37 million reading as of this report on September 9.
Taken together, the two-step climb suggests a deliberate rebuild of the treasury’s on-chain float rather than a one-off deposit that came and went, a meaningful contrast to the mid-year pattern of the reserve base snapping back to its $21-24 million baseline after each spike. As always, this figure reflects verifiable cold and hot wallet holdings tracked by DefiLlama and sits alongside, not in place of, Zoomex’s separately maintained $50 million insurance fund.
Assets by chain
Ethereum remains Zoomex’s largest chain by a clear margin, holding $15.93 million, or close to 45% of tracked assets. XRPL is the second-largest chain at $6.76 million, followed by Tron at $3.05 million, Mantle at $2 million, BSC at $1.87 million, Base at $1.45 million, Solana at $1.38 million, and Arbitrum at $1.22 million.
Bitcoin holds $763,180.61, OP Mainnet $412,250.10, and Polygon $389,585.74. Vaulta, Doge, and Sonic round out the smallest positions at $78,480.02, $55,887.70, and $10,270.57, respectively.
In total, Zoomex’s on-chain reserves remain distributed across 14 separate blockchain networks, the same multi-chain footprint the platform has maintained throughout 2026, though the specific smaller chains represented, OP Mainnet, Polygon, Vaulta, Doge, and Sonic among them, point to some rotation at the margins even as the larger Ethereum, XRPL, and Tron positions anchor the total.
Token balances
Read purely in unit terms rather than USD value, the picture shifts: PEPE dominates by raw count (7–9 billion units, consistent with its low per-unit price) and shows a stepped upward trajectory through most of the month, likely tracking deposit volume rather than any deliberate accumulation strategy, since meme-coin balances on an exchange typically mirror user activity more than treasury decisions.
TBY’s intermittent, block-shaped presence, appearing and disappearing rather than persisting, is the more analytically interesting signal here, as it’s more consistent with temporary custody, a bridging/settlement cycle, or a recurring but non-continuous product flow than with a held position.
The sharp late-window drawdown in USDT0/TRON balances (dropping from roughly 4b to a markedly lower level in the first days of September) stands out as an active reallocation rather than passive drift, and would be worth flagging for the report as the most recent notable balance-sheet movement, even though it falls just outside the August window proper.
USD inflows
The aggregated inflow series is the clearest single confirmation of the month’s underlying dynamic: three large, concentrated deposit events (~$5m, ~$3.5m, ~$2.9m across mid-to-late August) account for the overwhelming share of net inflow, against a noisy but low-amplitude baseline of ordinary daily activity (peak single-day outflow of -$879,979).
This structure, a small number of large events driving total growth, rather than a rising baseline of everyday flow, is worth naming explicitly in the report, since it has a direct implication for how growth should be framed to readers: August’s balance-sheet expansion was event-driven and front-loaded into three identifiable windows, not the product of sustained organic momentum.
That framing also dovetails with the broader market backdrop, a month in which both gold and Bitcoin staged well-documented breakouts, making it plausible the platform’s large depositors were repositioning in step with, rather than independently of, the wider risk-on shift.
Inflows by token
August’s inflow pattern was not organic accumulation, but a series of discrete, large-ticket deposit events layered on top of routine low-volume activity.
The standout was the ~$5.7m XAUT inflow around August 12 — notable given that gold itself was mid-rally through the month, gaining roughly 10% from near $4,000 to post its best monthly performance since January, and pushing to its highest level since early June by mid-month on Treasury liquidity support and a weakening dollar.
That timing suggests the deposit may reflect a counterparty or treasury repositioning into a gold-tracking asset precisely as the metal was breaking out of its summer range, rather than a coincidental transfer.
The subsequent ~$3.5m USDT/TRON inflow (~Aug 15) and ~$2.9m inflow (~Aug 24) point to at least two further concentrated settlement events, likely institutional deposits, OTC settlements, or a market maker topping up working capital ahead of the BTC breakout later in the month.
Outside these three spikes, day-to-day flow stayed shallow and mixed, with small net positive and negative days, with a maximum single-day outflow of -$990,382, which is consistent with normal client withdrawal/deposit churn rather than any stress signal. The overall read is a platform whose net asset growth in August was driven by a handful of large, identifiable deposit events rather than broad-based retail inflow.
Token values (USD)
Viewed by asset rather than by chain, the same mid-August inflection is visible: USDT roughly doubled (~$6m to ~$12m) in a matter of days before plateauing, confirming that stablecoin liquidity, not a directional token bet, absorbed the bulk of the new capital.
More interesting is the shape of the XAUT and WETH curves, both of which show sustained, gradual accumulation across the full month rather than a single jump, implying steady programmatic buying or repeated smaller deposits rather than a one-off transfer.
The XAUT build in particular lines up with gold’s broader August tailwind, during which the metal reached a three-month high near $4,710 by late August, so the token’s rising USD value on the balance sheet reflects both accumulation and price appreciation, a distinction worth flagging in the report since it affects how “growth” should be attributed.
Taken together, the composition, a stablecoin base for liquidity, XRP as a stable core holding, and a growing gold/ETH allocation, reads as a fairly conservative treasury posture: liquidity-first, with measured diversification into a macro hedge (gold) and a blue-chip base asset (ETH) rather than into higher-beta altcoins.
Token breakdown
The composition snapshot reinforces that read: USDT (27.96%), XRP (19.10%), XAUT (14.94%) and WETH (12.45%) together account for nearly three-quarters of total holdings, meaning the portfolio’s risk profile is dominated by a stablecoin, a large-cap payments token, a gold-backed asset, and ETH exposure — a combination weighted toward capital preservation and liquidity rather than speculative upside.
The remaining quarter is spread thinly across MNT, ETH (additional native holding beyond WETH), USDT0, USDC, BTC, AAVE, SOL, BNB, and a handful of smaller tokens (ASTER, RENDER, TRON, and an “Others” bucket at 3.34%).
Notably, direct BTC exposure is modest (2.16%) despite Bitcoin’s own strong August, which broke out of a stagnant low-$60,000s range with an 8% single-session jump on August 19–20 and continued to a surge above $80,000 by late August on Treasury buyback news and heavy short liquidations, suggesting the platform’s treasury did not meaningfully lean into that rally, which is either a conservative choice or simply reflects that BTC isn’t a primary deposit asset for its user base.
This long-tail structure, a handful of core holdings plus dozens of marginal positions, is typical of an exchange balance sheet that reflects genuine user deposit diversity rather than a curated investment portfolio.
Proof of reserves
Zoomex’s publicly disclosed reserves stand at $30,237,863.65, reported directly by the exchange and cross-referenced against on-chain wallet addresses across at least four networks, Ethereum, Tron, XRPL, and Bitcoin, which gives the disclosure a verifiable, multi-chain backbone rather than resting on a single custodial address.
By allocation, stablecoins remain the anchor of the reserve base at 35.73% (USDT), split across an Ethereum-based wallet, a Tron wallet, and a smaller Arbitrum/Optimism-tagged position, a deliberate liquidity spread across chains that reduces single-network dependency for withdrawals.
Notably, gold-backed XAUt (19.62%) and ETH (19.26%, split across two wallets) together represent nearly 39% of reserves, a materially larger allocation than the 10.41% held in BTC or the 10.56% held in XRP, indicating the exchange’s reserve composition leans toward gold and ETH as its principal non-stablecoin backing rather than Bitcoin. The remaining 4.42% (“Others,” including a smaller AAVE position) rounds out a portfolio that is broad but concentrated at the top: five assets account for over 95% of total reserves.
Platform community and user metrics
Zoomex ended August 2026 with over 3 million registered users across more than 35 countries and regions. The platform’s Telegram community has grown from 74,199 members to 76,277 reflecting active engagement among Zoomex’s core retail trading base.
Zoomex’s daily active trader count consistently exceeds 1 million users according to independent review data, TradersUnion, making it one of the most actively used mid-tier exchanges globally by session volume.
The platform regularly adds new assets based on market demand combined with rigorous vetting, as of this report, Zoomex lists 486–495 cryptocurrencies and operates across 518–575 trading pairs depending on the market segment (spot or derivatives), a figure that has grown steadily through 2026.
The post Zoomex Monthly On-Chain Report: August 2026 appeared first on BeInCrypto.
XRP price hovers under $1.49 after three consecutive daily declines left the token losing the $1.50 support, even as a modest bounce pulled it off session lows. CoinGlass data showed the long-to-short ratio at 0.975, meaning short positions marginally outnumbered longs, while the funding rate sat at a positive 0.008%, the reading that determines whether long or short traders pay a periodic fee to hold perpetual futures.
XRP Long Short Ratio, Coinglass
That combination is the crux of the problem. Traders are still paying to stay long, yet the spot price has not moved in a way that rewards the bet, and the disconnect between heavy spot selling and futures demand is the setup that tends to unwind fast once a key level gives way.
A 0.975 long-to-short ratio is not a bearish signal in any decisive sense. It sits close enough to 1.0 that it reads as near-balanced positioning rather than a market leaning hard in either direction.
XRP Funding Rate, Coinglass
Funding tells a more interesting story on its own. A positive rate means demand for long exposure in crypto derivatives is real enough that longs are compensating shorts to hold the position, which typically signals conviction that price moves higher.
However, it cuts both ways: if price falls further, those same leveraged longs become forced sellers, and a positive funding regime built on thin spot demand can flip into a liquidation cascade faster than one built on genuine accumulation.
CryptoQuant’s summary data flagged overheating conditions across both XRP’s spot and futures markets, alongside sell-side dominance in futures, meaning sellers have retained the upper hand in derivatives even as funding stays positive. That is the missing piece: positive funding shows traders are willing to hold bullish exposure, but it has not yet translated into enough buying pressure to absorb the futures selling and push through resistance.
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XRP Price and the $1.37 Support
The daily chart still leans bullish on a longer timeframe. XRP held above its 50-day price exponential moving average near $1.365 and its 200-day EMA near $1.369 through the three-day slide, with the 100-day EMA sitting lower at $1.307 as a secondary reference.
Momentum has cooled rather than reversed. The RSI sat near 55, close to neutral, and the MACD flattened around zero, a pattern consistent with consolidation after an earlier advance rather than an active breakdown.
The level that matters most sits at $1.37, where the 50-day and 200-day EMAs converge into a single support band. A clean break below that zone opens the $1.30 area, and a deeper slide would eventually put the $1.00 psychological level in play, though XRP would need to fall substantially before that becomes the immediate focus. On the upside, reclaiming the $1.574 resistance level is the trigger that would strengthen the case for a move toward $1.90.
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What Happens Next for XRP?
Two scenarios frame the near-term path. If XRP holds the $1.37 zone, the market stays in a consolidation phase where positive funding continues to reflect trader appetite for long exposure, but that alone won’t confirm a breakout without a corresponding rise in open interest and spot volume.
If XRP price instead reclaims $1.574, the technical case for a run toward $1.90 gets meaningfully stronger, and that move would likely force shorts to cover into strength. The alternative is a sustained break below $1.37, which shifts focus to $1.30 as the next line of defense, with $1.00 as the deeper level only if that support also fails.
Either way, the current setup leaves no room for complacency on either side of the trade. Near-balanced positioning combined with positive funding and futures sell-side dominance is a fragile mix, and the next move in spot price will do more to settle the argument than another shift in the long-short ratio.
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The post XRP Price in Danger: Positive Funding Masks a Fragile Setup appeared first on Cryptonews.
Bitcoin recovered Monday’s losses to trade at $84,170 on Tuesday, up 0.82% since midnight UTC and 1.4% over 24 hours, with 72 of the 100 CoinDesk 100 constituents higher and the index adding 0.89% to 1,904.49.
The bid is arriving despite conditions that have been suppressing risk assets for a week, the 10-year Treasury yield sitting at 5.234% after ending Monday above 5.2%, near levels last seen in 2007, and the 30-year at 5.549% having topped 5.56% on Monday, around a 2004 high.
U.S. stocks fell for a second session on Monday, the Dow dropping more than 300 points and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite shedding 0.8% and 0.9%, with futures mixed on Tuesday morning.
Decentralized finance (DeFi) is driving the move for the second time in a week, with the DeFi Select Index (DFX) gaining 5.0% since midnight, led by lending protocol token aave at 11% and curve dao token at 5.2%. The CoinDesk 80 rose 2.0% against the CoinDesk 5’s 1.3%, though the ranking inverts over 24 hours, where the CD5’s 1.7% beats the CD80’s 0.44%.
The D’CENT wallet hack, the year’s second-largest drain of XRP behind the Bitget crypto exchange hack, has spilled beyond the XRP Ledger onto additional blockchains like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Stellar.
Hackers have drained more than 12.4 million XRP from more than 7,000 D’CENT wallets, still some way behind Bitget’s loss of 102.9 million XRP.
Although the wallet was popular among the XRP community, D’CENT users who owned assets of other blockchains have also lost their funds.
D’CENT’s own disclosure named Bitcoin, Tron, and Ethereum, for example. Even a Stellar user has lost XLM in the incident.
Hackers are able to sweep funds across blockchains with one compromised recovery phrase for the multi-blockchain wallet.
IoTrust, the maker of D’CENT, confirmed at least 110 abnormal transfer reports, including non-XRP assets, per ZDNet Korea.
XRP holders lose $18 million in D’CENT hack
Drains of XRP are the most well-documented, due to the prominence of D’CENT among XRP holders.
At least six waves of theft occurred between September 15 and 20, emptying 6,678 wallets of 11.7 million XRP.
The thief stole from large wallets first, by hand, and soon wrote scripts to take funds from progressively smaller wallets.
Warnings from D’CENT and other members of the XRP community couldn’t stop the drainage. Thieves took 640,370 additional XRP after September 21, bringing the tally to above 12.4 million.
By Friday, 6.3 million of those stolen XRP had crossed to Ethereum’s blockchain through the swap service THORChain.
As the theft spilled over to other blockchains, researchers admitted the scope of the losses, saying, “Most of it is no longer XRP.”
Read more: David Schwartz warns of hard fork because XRP nodes won’t upgrade
In August, D’CENT was still touting its hardware wallets’ secure element, boasting that it was impervious to vulnerabilities linked to the Coldcard hack.
D’CENT now warns users that wallets they created using its app are vulnerable, urging them to create a fresh recovery phrase and immediately migrate everything, including tokens, NFTs, and any staked assets.
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Market action since 2022 backs Thielen’s take. The 10-year yield more than doubled to 3.88% that year as the Fed raised interest rates rapidly, including several 50- and 75-basis-point hikes to fight inflation.
Bitcoin fell 64% that year. Fed tightening and rising yields added to the pain from crypto scams and blowups.
The picture has been different since. From the end of 2023, the 10-year yield has risen 135 basis points to 5.23%, the highest since 2007. Over the same stretch, bitcoin has roughly doubled to $86,000, even after pulling back from its October record above $126,000.
Thielen and others attribute much of the recent rise in yields to fiscal fears and a higher term premium. In plain English, investors want to be paid more to lock up their money in long-term bonds, given the uncertainty over inflation and government borrowing.
Chicago-based Strategic Analytics made a similar point about gold, noting that it has tracked fiscal risk more closely than the Fed’s policy path since 2022.
“Since 2022, gold has increasingly tracked fiscal-risk perceptions – term premium, deficits, debt sustainability – rather than the Fed’s policy path. Gold is not defying real yields. It is pricing fiscal sustainability and currency debasement, which has become the marginal driver,” it said recently in a LinkedIn post.
Humanoid robots box during the 5th Global Digital Trade Expo on September 25, 2026 in Hangzhou, Zhejiang Province of China.
Vcg | Visual China Group | Getty Images
BEIJING — China’s securities regulator is raising the bar for public listings of humanoid robot startups, according to three sources familiar with the CSRC’s thinking.
It’s a sign of how one of the hottest sectors of the market is cooling, as investors globally assess whether artificial intelligence stocks are in a bubble.
The Chinese regulator wants local “embodied AI” startups seeking to go public to meet three specific criteria, according to the sources, who requested anonymity due to the sensitivity of the situation.
They are:
- The “window guidance” requires that the humanoid applicants have sustainable revenue and commercial orders.
- Losses must narrow, with one source saying a three-year forecast is needed.
- The company must possess core technology such as robotic brain or hands.
Even if a startup only has to meet two of the three criteria, as one source indicated, it’s unclear which, if any, of the companies can do so.
That’s lowered expectations to just a handful, or none, of these startups making it to public markets, the sources said.
At least two dozen humanoid-related embodied AI companies have filed to list in Hong Kong alone, according to two of the sources. Hong Kong in May 2025 started letting tech companies file confidentially for IPOs.
The Hong Kong stock exchange declined to comment. The China Securities Regulatory Commission did not immediately respond to a request for comment. Mainland China companies wanting to list in Hong Kong also need the CSRC’s blessing.
Unitree IPO impact
Scrutiny on China’s growing number of humanoid robot startups and their fast-growing valuations — supported by a mix of government and private sector funds — has grown over the last several weeks.
The industry’s posterchild, Unitree, got a regulatory fast-track to its listing in Shanghai on Aug. 19 as the World Robot Conference kicked off in Beijing.
But in a keynote a day later, founder Wang Xingxing cautioned that commercialization beyond dancing robots remained years away. It accentuated a debate that picked up in subsequent weeks on what humanoids can actually do — and whether industry startups were actually making money.
China now has well over 100 humanoid companies, which fall under the national push for “embodied AI.” The term received Beijing’s support in the last two annual government work reports, although authorities have warned of a bubble in the humanoid robot industry.
Reflecting a rapid surge in interest, investment in the sector hit 47.09 billion yuan ($6.95 billion) in the second quarter, more than double that of the first quarter — and up over six times versus the same period last year, according to industry data provider Xiniu.
Unitree raised about about 6.1 billion yuan ($905 million) in its IPO on Aug. 19 with Shanghai-listed shares skyrocketing more than 460% in their debut to close at 845 yuan.
The stock had nearly halved in price as of Monday, at 459.65 yuan a share.
Hong Kong-listed Ubtech has also tumbled more than 40% so far this year. The company, which went public in December 2023, still reported an operating loss for the first half of this year of 279 million yuan.
The share price decline contrasts with the flood of capital pouring into humanoid robotics companies over the last 12 months or so. The tech, often called “physical AI” in China, has been seen as a way for early-stage investors to benefit from the surge of interest in artificial intelligence models.
However, Rhodium Group analysis this month found that China’s AI companies only make about 10% the revenue of Anthropic and OpenAI. The ratio of valuation to revenue — especially for Chinese AI startups Moonshot and DeepSeek — was far higher than their U.S. rivals, the report said.
While expectations grow for the U.S. AI giants’ IPOs, chipmaker AMD said Monday it is acquiring World Labs for $8.2 billion in a stock deal. The startup, founded by AI pioneer Fei-Fei Li, is building AI models for creating virtual 3D environments frequently used in humanoid robot development.
The launch this morning was both imperfect and stripped down to its orbital essentials. On the way up, one of the Starship’s six engines failed to burn properly, requiring the other engines to compensate for the missing thrust to get the ship in orbit.
In addition, the return to Earth was simplified. SpaceX has made itself famous for safely landing the first stage of its Falcon 9 and Starship boosters—with 641 out of 688 Falcon 9 launches featuring this kind of recovery, allowing the boosters to be reused and make flying cheaper. Starship’s first stage, meantime, performs what has become known as a chopstick recovery, with the booster navigating its way back to the launch tower where two giant metal arms pluck it from the sky. For the current mission, the chopstick recovery was done away with to simplify the flight objectives; instead the first stage made a soft, engine-assisted splashdown in the Gulf of Mexico. The Starship spacecraft was planned for a six-orbit, 10-hour mission, with the ship’s engines set to fire around the dinner hour Monday to bring the spacecraft down for a similar gentle, watery landing.
Goldman Sachs’ Anshul Sehgal says bonds yielding 5% or more are not the best trade right now. He still favors AI infrastructure, which he sees as a far more asymmetric bet than the long bond.
Sehgal, a global co-head of Fixed Income, Currencies and Commodities (FICC) at the bank, laid out the view just a few days after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates.
Why Goldman Sachs Is Passing on 5%+ Bonds
On Goldman’s The Markets, Sehgal said the 30-year Treasury, known as the long bond, had hovered around 5% for weeks. He noted that clients want to buy it at 5% or higher, yet he still sees little upside.
The yield has kept climbing since the recording, reaching 5.56% on September 29, a new 52-week high. Sehgal blamed structural pressure for the strain on the long end. Retiring baby boomers are buying fewer long bonds, and heavy long-dated borrowing tied to AI is crowding the market.
Those pressures explain why the selloff can persist even without a fresh inflation shock. Fewer retirees buying long bonds and a steady flow of long-dated borrowing tied to AI both weigh on prices, and neither fades quickly.
Sehgal adds that fear over US debt sustainability makes investors less willing to hold the long end, which feeds on itself.
The takeaway is that a rising yield does not necessarily break his thesis. It may instead show why he sees limited reward in owning the bond, while the risk to his AI trade is that costlier long-term borrowing squeezes the levered companies he favors.
AI Compute Is the Asymmetric Trade
An asymmetric trade offers far more potential gain than risk. Sehgal applies that label to compute (AI computing power), data centers, and Neoclouds, which are cloud providers built to rent out that capacity.
“I think the asymmetric expression is being long compute.”
Anshul Sehgal, Goldman
The catch is leverage. Savers collecting higher interest have effectively financed the AI build-out, leaving equities more indebted than a year ago. Sehgal admits these are levered bets. Still, he thinks they can multiply in value, while the wider stock market looks less certain.
Tighter Policy Hits Spenders, Not Capital
Sehgal says the Fed frames its September 16 hike as catch-up after five years above its inflation target. Schwab counts 16 of 19 Fed officials expecting another increase this year. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh also stressed three times that the Fed is easing back some stimulus rather than turning restrictive, Sehgal adds.
He argues that government interest payments flow to capital rather than workers, so higher rates curb household spending, a risk for the broader stock market.
He also rejects the debt-sustainability fears weighing on long bonds.
“For me, that’s a red herring.”
Anshul Sehgal, Goldman
Meanwhile, BlackRock’s Rick Rieder is cutting equities for bonds paying 7% to 8%, though his high-grade bond call still cautions against rushing into the 10-year Treasury.
Sehgal names the Middle East conflict as the top driver of policy and markets in the weeks ahead.
The post Goldman Sachs Explains Why Not to Buy the 5%+ Bonds and Rather Stick to AI appeared first on BeInCrypto.
“Bitcoin has pulled back to $83K, testing the lower boundary of last week’s consolidation range,” Alex Kuptsikevich, chief market analyst at FxPro, said in an email to CoinDesk. “As with the market as a whole, a retest of the $82K region, where peaks were formed in May and early September, is entirely to be expected under current conditions.”
“Looking ahead, a sustained return to prices below $80K would be an important signal that the market is not ready to move higher for some time yet. If, however, this consolidation is soon followed by a new bullish momentum, it could send the leading cryptocurrency well above $90K,” he added.
The pressure is coming from bonds and oil.
Treasuries steadied in Asia after tumbling during U.S. trading, with the 10-year yield up one basis point to 5.25% after reaching its highest level since 2007 on Monday. A higher guaranteed return on government debt raises the bar for holding assets that pay no income, bitcoin among them.
Brent rose more than 1% to nearly $107 a barrel, its second straight gain, as hopes for an imminent diplomatic breakthrough with Iran faded.
Pricier oil feeds into inflation, and traders have been adding to bets that the Fed will raise rates again. MSCI’s All Country World Index fell to its lowest since Sept. 18, and Nasdaq 100 futures slipped 0.3% after Monday’s tech-led selloff on Wall Street.
U.S. dollar-pegged stablecoin Tether is a go-to tool for the Iranian government to bypass sanctions, a new report from a group of Senate Democrats said.
Democrats on the Senate’s Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee’s Permanent Subcommittee on Intelligence published a report Monday laying out the argument that Tether plays a key role in allowing Iran to conduct transactions that skirt international sanctions.
“Iran’s cryptocurrency-based shadow banking network has processed significant volumes of funds and implicates various Iranian interests,” the report said, adding that Tether has “repeatedly failed” to block Iran-connected wallets.
“USDT has become a significant financial lifeline within Iran’s shadow banking network,” the report said.
When Tether does freeze wallets, it sometimes takes weeks, but the company also sometimes responds to requests without actually blacklisting wallets, the report claimed.
“Prior to 2024, Tether did not comprehensively and consistently freeze wallets designated by counter-terrorism agencies and continues to fail to proactively block clearly illicit wallets,” the report said. “This absence of deterrence invited abuse: terrorist organizations such as Hamas shifted from transacting in Bitcoin and a mix of cryptocurrencies to promoting USDT.”
Elon Musk’s Grok AI predicts an extremely bullish price for Ripple (XRP) by January 1, 2027, that will blow the minds of even the most dedicated members of the Ripple Army.
If you’re holding a sizeable bag of XRP USD, you may want to sit down before reading this. Grok claims that $25–$40 is achievable by 2027, with a stretch target of $50+ under the assumption of a full-blown crypto bull market returning and being supercharged by an unprecedented institutional catalyst.
XRP currently trades near $1.50–$1.52 as of September 28, 2026, down nearly -3% over the past 24 hours and with a daily trading volume of $3.5Bn, up from $3.2Bn the day prior.
This outlook is extreme and leans far beyond standard institutional forecasts. It assumes not only a strong late-2026 bull market driven by liquidity and risk-on conditions, but also a once-in-a-generation catalyst.
What is the Catalyst that Grok AI Predicts Could Spark an XRP Run Toward $40
Major central banks (including the Fed, ECB, Bank of Japan, and PBOC) announcing that the XRP Ledger will serve as a primary settlement layer for cross-border CBDC and tokenized asset flows, combined with large commercial banks being incentivized or required to hold XRP as a liquidity buffer, and revelations of massive sovereign wealth fund accumulation.
Under this highly speculative scenario, forced institutional demand collides with retail FOMO in a classic late-cycle mania, allowing XRP to move from the current ~$1.50 range through previous-cycle highs and into the mid-to-high double digits by early 2027.
This remains pure speculation and entertainment, not a base-case or even high-probability outlook. Crypto markets are extremely volatile, and the catalyst described above would require multiple extraordinary policy and institutional developments.
However, with Ripple’s case against the SEC dropped and its subsequent rise as a highly favored US-based digital asset company under President Trump, anything could be on the table for XRP if the perfect scenario aligns.
Got a Gut Feeling? It Could Pay Out 3.7X on Polymarket
Technical Analysis Supporting the Insane Grok AI XRP Price Prediction
On the higher timeframes, XRP has already established a constructive recovery base after reclaiming key moving averages from the mid-September lows near $1.25–$1.30. Price is consolidating in the $1.45–$1.55 region after testing highs near $1.63–$1.66.
In a normal bull market, a sustained break above $1.70–$2.00 would open the door to the prior cycle high near $3.65. Under the extreme institutional adoption scenario outlined above, that prior high would likely be cleared with significant force, triggering a series of measured-move and Fibonacci extension targets far beyond historical levels.
Aggressive projections from the multi-year base, combined with the kind of vertical price discovery seen in previous mania phases, could theoretically extend into the $25–$40+ zone if volume and momentum expand dramatically. RSI and momentum indicators would almost certainly reach deeply overbought levels during such a move, which is typical of parabolic advances.
Key nearer-term supports remain in the $1.40–$1.45 and $1.30 zones; holding those would keep the broader recovery structure intact while the market waits for (or prices in) any extraordinary catalysts.
Overall, while the current chart supports continued upside in a standard bull market, only an extreme surge in institutional demand and narrative intensity could justify the kind of multi-thousand-percent extension implied by the $25–$50 targets.
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Maxi Doge Targets Early Mover Upside as XRP Tests Key Levels
While the Grok AI prediction of a potential 30x run for XRP is exciting, presale plays have a stronger track record of producing such returns. It does explain why attention keeps drifting toward presale-stage plays with smaller denominators.
Maxi Doge ($MAXI) is one of those plays. It is an Ethereum-based meme token built around a 240-lb canine mascot and a “1000x leverage” trading-culture identity. The presale has raised $4.8M at a current price of $0.0002841, with dynamic APY staking live for holders.
Standout features include holder-only trading competitions with leaderboard rewards and a Maxi Fund treasury earmarked for liquidity and partnerships.
The meme-first, gym-bro marketing angle (“never skip leg day, never skip a pump”) is endearing. The accumulation numbers suggest plenty of traders are picking a side.
Get Ahead of Next Meme Coin Launch Here
Discover: The Best Token Presales
The post Grok AI Predicts XRP Could Hit $40 in 2026 With Landmark Event appeared first on Cryptonews.
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XRP Price in Danger: Positive Funding Masks a Fragile Setup
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