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3 Reasons MicroStrategy (MSTR) Stock Could Climb While Bitcoin Remains Flat

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The Disconnect Between and Its Rating

Strategy (MSTR) stock is climbing back toward $100, closing Monday near $97.68 after a 5% jump, even though the Bitcoin behind it has barely moved near $64,000.

The stock is down about 38% in 2026, a steeper fall than Bitcoin’s 28% slide. Yet almost every analyst covering MSTR stock still rates it a Strong Buy. Three forces explain that gap, and they all trace back to one number, a premium called mNAV.

The Disconnect Between and Its Rating
The Disconnect Between MSTR Stock and Its Rating: BeInCrypto

MSTR Stock Has Fallen Faster Than Bitcoin

First, the damage. MSTR has dropped roughly 38% so far in 2026, while Bitcoin, the asset that fills its treasury, is down about 28%. The stock fell harder than the thing it owns.


MSTR vs Bitcoin in 2026
MSTR vs Bitcoin in 2026: BeInCrypto

That is the opposite of what buyers signed up for. Strategy was built to act as leveraged Bitcoin, rising more in rallies, so trailing the coin in a slump is the puzzle the bull case has to solve. But MSTR can still do it without Bitcoin’s help, and 3 reasons explain how.

Reason One, a Premium That Can Rebound

The recovery starts with mNAV, the one number that drives the stock. MSTR is worth the Bitcoin it holds, its net asset value, times a premium investors pay on top, a multiple you can track live. When sentiment runs hot, the premium swells. When it sours, the premium shrinks.

Right now it has shrunk hard. Strategy holds 840,447 BTC, worth about $54 billion at today’s price, yet it paid roughly $63 billion for them, leaving the stack around $9 billion underwater.

Hitting mNav Premium
Bitcoin Underwater Hitting mNav Premium: BeInCrypto

The premium that once reached 1.4 times of Bitcoin has since collapsed, and here the math splits in two. On a basic basis, which counts only the common stock, mNAV slipped under 1 to about 0.7, so the shares were worth less than the Bitcoin behind them.

What Strategy's Bitcoin Is Worth
What Strategy’s Bitcoin Is Worth: BeInCrypto

Trackers that also fold in Strategy’s preferred shares and convertible debt read higher, closer to 1.05, which is why you will see both numbers quoted.

That discount is the setup. If sentiment steadies and the premium re-rates back toward 1.5, the stock could climb by half with Bitcoin doing nothing at all.

Want more insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Newsletter here.

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How can that premium rise while Bitcoin holds still? Because it is a demand multiple, not a fixed amount, so it swells when more money wants MicroStrategy as a convenient, leveraged Bitcoin bet than wants the coin itself. Index buying, share buybacks that shrink the supply, or a simple return of risk appetite can each lift it.

Reason Two, Strategy Buys Back Its Own Stock

The second reason is what the company now does with its cash. When the premium sat above 1, Strategy could sell new shares at a markup, buy Bitcoin, and hand holders more Bitcoin per share. Near 1, that accretion engine stalls, so the buying stopped.

Strategy’s last Bitcoin purchase came in mid-June, and it has since gone about eight weeks without adding a coin. Instead, it funnels cash into its STRC preferred stock, a share class that pays a rich dividend and is built to trade near $100, buying it back to defend that price.

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The move is deliberate.

Paused Its Bitcoin Buying
Strategy Has Paused Its Bitcoin Buying: BeInCrypto

Retiring stock below its value lifts the Bitcoin behind each remaining share, so holders can gain even while Bitcoin sits flat.

Reason Three: The Sellers Have Quit

The third reason sits on the chart. MSTR has traded inside a rising channel since late June, carving higher lows while Bitcoin drifted sideways. Monday’s 5% candle bounced off the lower edge near $92.

MSTR Stock Rising Channel and Volume
MSTR Stock Rising Channel and Volume: TradingView

The volume seals it. Trading is down about 63% from June, and since early August, the selling has thinned while buyers have crept back to July levels. Tired sellers and steadier buyers point to seller exhaustion, not fresh mania.

What the Price Action Says Now

All three reasons now meet at one line, $100. A clean break above the round number exposes $101.96, and clearing it opens $104.73 and then $108.26.

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The bigger signal sits higher. A push above $118.46 would give the stock room to run toward $134.95 and even $151.44. That zone only reaches the low end of Wall Street’s target range, and the average target sits far above even that.

MSTR Forecast
MSTR Forecast: TipRanks

Below the action, $98.07 and $95.66 are the first supports, and a daily close under $91.77 breaks the channel and voids the case.

MSTR Stock Price Analysis
MSTR Stock Price Analysis: TradingView

Analyst’s View: So the bullish case for the MSTR stock is possible but conditional. MSTR stock only rewards the Strong Buy if Bitcoin steadies. And also if the premium heals and the price clears $118, the upper trendline of the bullish channel.

The post 3 Reasons MicroStrategy (MSTR) Stock Could Climb While Bitcoin Remains Flat appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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10-Year Treasury Yield Near Breakout; Why It Matters For The S&P 500

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10-Year Treasury Yield Near Breakout; Why It Matters For The S&P 500

The 10-year Treasury yield rose near a 19-month high on Tuesday, adding to Monday’s jump as the U.S. remained locked in a test of wills over the Strait of Hormuz with Iran, which has threatened to go on the offensive. Higher oil prices risk stoking inflation pressures at a bad time for the S&P 500 bull market, which has been…

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Why Bank Of America Is Bullish On Cybersecurity Stocks

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Why Bank Of America Is Bullish On Cybersecurity Stocks

Bank of America on Tuesday hiked its price targets on cybersecurity stocks on views that a worsening artificial intelligence-based threat landscape supports higher valuations. Cybersecurity stocks have rebounded from worries that AI model builders will emerge as competitors. Bank of America raised its price targets for SentinelOne (S), SailPoint (SAIL) and Zscaler (ZS). Other cybersecurity stocks may be extended amid…

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Toyota Finance opens tokenized bonds to retail investors via mobile payment app

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Toyota Finance opens tokenized bonds to retail investors via mobile payment app

Toyota Finance opens tokenized bonds to retail investors via mobile payment app

Retail investors can apply to buy the 1 billion yen bond without a securities account and receive perks through Toyota’s payment app.

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Bitcoin miners struck gold in AI, but bitcoin mining could roar back

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This Bitcoin mining pool lets users keep a whole BTC. It just found its second block

MARA’s performance reflects the slide in hashprice, the expected daily revenue generated by a unit of bitcoin mining power. In July last year, the hashprice was $63 for each petahash per second (PH/s) of power. It’s now around $31.80 per PH/s.

Not surprisingly, an increasing number of miners are finding it unprofitable to continue production and are turning off their machines, a process known as capitulation. As a result, the Bitcoin network’s hashrate — a measure of mining power — has dropped to 900 exahash per second (EH/s) from 1.14 zettahash per second (ZH/s), or about 21%.

This is already one of the longest capitulation cycles on record, and it may not be over.

In the meantime, the market has repriced companies that have secured AI and HPC contracts.

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According to CoinShares’ first-quarter mining report, miners with HPC contracts trade at 12.3 times their enterprise value. That compares with the 5.9 times commanded by pure-play bitcoin miners.

The report also estimated that the industry had secured a cumulative $70 billion in AI and HPC contracts by the end of that quarter.

As the year progressed, miners have announced a growing number of contracts at increasingly large valuations. Just a week ago, for example, Riot Platforms (RIOT) signed a 20-year lease with Anthropic valued at $9.1 billion. Riot’s shares have climbed from around $3 to $20 over the past four years, highlighting how dramatically the market has repriced miners with exposure to AI infrastructure.

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MoonPay integrates Cash App Pay for US crypto purchases

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MoonPay integrates Cash App Pay for US crypto purchases

MoonPay has added Cash App Pay as a payment method for cryptocurrency purchases, giving eligible U.S. customers a way to fund MoonPay transactions directly from their Cash App balances.

Summary

  • Cash App Pay is now available for crypto purchases through MoonPay in the U.S.
  • The integration lets eligible users fund purchases directly from their Cash App balances.
  • Cash App reported 59 million active users in June.
  • MoonPay has expanded into institutional crypto services through several acquisitions in 2026.

MoonPay said Tuesday that Cash App Pay is now available through its own checkout and across selected partner platforms, including Trust Wallet, Bitcoin.com, MetaMask, Moonshot, Ledger, BitPay, Uniswap, Tangem, LOBSTR and Edge.

Customers using the option can pay for crypto with funds held in Cash App without moving money between separate services or completing another login during the purchase process. The integration adds another payment route for MoonPay users in the U.S., where Cash App already serves tens of millions of customers.

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Operated by Jack Dorsey’s Block, Cash App reported 59 million active users in June, according to Block’s second-quarter shareholder report. Cash App already allows customers to buy and sell Bitcoin inside its own app, while the MoonPay connection gives eligible users access to additional cryptocurrencies available through MoonPay.

“Cash App is where tens of millions of Americans already manage their money,” MoonPay co-founder and CEO Ivan Soto-Wright said. “This integration means that those users can access the digital asset ecosystem, funded instantly from an app they already know and trust.”

MoonPay Cash App Pay joins its existing payment options

Cash App Pay joins PayPal and Venmo among the payment services that MoonPay has connected to its crypto purchasing infrastructure.

MoonPay added PayPal support in 2024 and later expanded its payment options through Venmo. An earlier crypto.news report covered the October 2024 Venmo integration, which allowed roughly 60 million U.S. users at the time to buy cryptocurrencies through MoonPay using their Venmo balances.

The setup followed a similar model to the new Cash App Pay service, allowing customers to use balances held in a familiar payments app while MoonPay handles the crypto transaction. Venmo support was subsequently made available across parts of MoonPay’s partner network.

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Payment integrations form one part of MoonPay’s original fiat-to-crypto business, under which the company connects traditional payment methods with cryptocurrency purchases. Its platform currently supports methods including cards, bank transfers and several digital payment services, with availability depending on the customer’s location.

MoonPay said the Cash App option will work both through its direct checkout and supported third-party services. The partner list puts Cash App Pay inside several established self-custody wallets and crypto applications, including MetaMask, Ledger and Trust Wallet, without requiring each service to build a separate Cash App purchasing flow.

Under MoonPay’s regulatory setup, the company operates in New York under a BitLicense and Limited Purpose Trust Charter issued by the New York State Department of Financial Services. MoonPay is also authorized under the European Union’s Markets in Crypto-Assets framework through the Netherlands.

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MoonPay has been building beyond its crypto onramp business

While the Cash App deal adds another consumer payment option, MoonPay has spent much of 2026 adding infrastructure for institutional trading, custody and tokenized assets.

In April, MoonPay acquired security firm Sodot to supply key-management technology for a newly created institutional business. The transaction was completed as an all-stock deal valued at roughly $100 million, according to Bloomberg at the time.

MoonPay said Sodot’s technology would support services for financial institutions, asset managers, trading firms and exchanges. The unit covers areas including trading, payments, tokenized securities, wallet infrastructure and stablecoin issuance, with former acting Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chair Caroline Pham leading the business.

Sodot specializes in self-hosted multiparty computation technology, which splits control of cryptocurrency private keys across separate components. MoonPay incorporated the technology into its institutional infrastructure as it added services beyond retail crypto purchases.

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The company also acquired Solana trading infrastructure provider DFlow in May, adding technology that later became part of MoonPay Trade. The institutional execution platform gives clients access to trading and routing infrastructure across more than 200 blockchains through a single API, according to details released by the company in June.

Another institutional integration followed in June when Franklin Templeton added its BENJI fund to MoonPay Trade. The arrangement lets institutional users exchange stablecoins including USDC and USDT for Franklin Templeton’s tokenized U.S. government money market fund.

Franklin Templeton said the connection could be used for treasury management, portfolio rebalancing, collateral and liquidity operations. MoonPay said the deal extended its institutional services into tokenized financial products alongside crypto, fiat and stablecoin infrastructure.

MoonPay also bought cross-chain infrastructure startup Glide in July, continuing the acquisition program that has supplied technology for trading, security and blockchain connectivity.

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AI payments have become another part of MoonPay’s expansion

MoonPay moved into AI-assisted crypto transactions during the same period, introducing products designed to let users authorize financial actions through conversational assistants.

Earlier this month, the company launched its PayBox vault, a noncustodial payment product that connects with ChatGPT and Anthropic’s Claude. Users can instruct an assistant to prepare crypto purchases, swaps, cross-chain transfers, decentralized finance deposits and certain online purchases while retaining control over transaction permissions.

PayBox offers an “Always Ask” mode that requires passkey approval for each transaction and an “Autonomous” setting that lets an assistant act within spending limits and rules configured by the user. Altering the permission model also requires passkey authorization.

The product uses technology obtained through the Sodot acquisition, with wallet keys divided using multiparty computation and stored across secure hardware environments. MoonPay said neither the company nor a connected AI assistant can independently obtain the complete private key or authorize a transaction.

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PayBox currently supports Solana and several Ethereum Virtual Machine-compatible networks, including Ethereum, Base, Arbitrum, Polygon, Hyperliquid, Tempo and Robinhood Chain. Its first integrations also cover selected travel bookings, restaurant reservations, and purchases from online retailers.

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Sherlock Takes Audit Engine Public After Months of Quiet Testing

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Sherlock Takes Audit Engine Public After Months of Quiet Testing

Sherlock has publicly launched Sherlock Audit Engine, revealing a security auditing platform the company had largely kept under wraps while testing the model with protocol teams.

Audit Engine operates one layer above individual AI auditors, coordinating several approaches to vulnerability discovery inside the same review.

Frontier LLMs, purpose-built AI auditors and AI-enabled security researchers work against the same codebase and context. Sherlock handles orchestration across the engagement, with findings judged, validated and deduplicated before being consolidated into one final audit result.

That model also sheds new light on one of Sherlock’s more unusual engagements this year.

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Was Polygon an Early Look at Audit Engine?

In June, Sherlock put Polygon’s Heimdall V2 through a review involving a broad field of AI auditing systems and security researchers.

Heimdall V2 is the consensus client at the core of Polygon PoS, making it a consequential codebase for an early deployment of the model.

With Audit Engine now public, the engagement appears to have served as a proving ground for the platform Sherlock is bringing to market.

Automated AI auditing systems emerged among the strongest performers for overall coverage, while different systems and researchers surfaced different portions of the overall issue set. The result reinforced a central idea behind Audit Engine: no single approach captured the full security picture.

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The platform measures those differences directly. Teams can see which systems delivered broad coverage, which maintained high precision and where different approaches contributed complementary security signal.

That becomes increasingly relevant as the underlying technology changes.

In July, Google DeepMind introduced Gemini 3.5 Flash Cyber, a cybersecurity-specific model designed to find, validate and patch vulnerabilities quickly, another indication of how fast specialized AI security capabilities are developing.

For security teams, the best available mix is therefore a moving target.

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Audit Engine is designed to incorporate new models, auditors and researcher methodologies as they emerge, while giving protocols a consistent environment for measuring what actually performs well against their code.

The post Sherlock Takes Audit Engine Public After Months of Quiet Testing appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Ethereum’s next upgrade breaks the ‘21,000 gas’ rule wallets rely on

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Ethereum’s next upgrade breaks the '21,000 gas' rule wallets rely on

Sending ether will no longer always carry the same network fee, breaking one of Ethereum’s oldest rules of thumb.

Developers from the Ethereum Foundation, the nonprofit that supports and maintains Ethereum, told wallet makers, blockchain trackers, and fee calculators in a blog post to update any software built on the assumption that a basic ETH transfer costs 21,000 gas units. Gas is how Ethereum measures the work a transaction asks the network to do, and users pay for that work in ETH.

Today, that 21,000 applies whether the receiving account has been used before or not. Under Ethereum’s next major upgrade, Glamsterdam, sending to an existing account still costs 21,000, while sending to an address that has never appeared in Ethereum’s records costs more because the network has to create and permanently store a new account.

The proposal puts that extra charge at 183,600 units of a new category called state gas.

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Tech Futures Drop on Rising Treasury Yields While Bitcoin Holds Near $64K

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US stock futures moved lower ahead of today’s open, with the Nasdaq 100 dropping by 1.2%, the S&P 500 by 0.5%, and the Dow by 0.1%.

This selloff came as the 10-year Treasury yield climbed to 4.74% and the 30-year yield reached 5.2% – its highest level since June 2007.

Higher Yields Hit Tech Stocks

The sharp move in bonds had the greatest impact on growth and tech stocks. Nvidia dropped by about 2% in premarket trading, while Micron Technology fell by about 4%.

This weakness followed a softer session yesterday, when the Dow declined by 272 points, and both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq also closed lower. Rising oil prices also added to the pressure, with WTI crude oil currently trading at around $84.5 per barrel.

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Home Depot stock was a notable exception, gaining roughly 1.5%, but that’s because it reported better-than-expected fiscal second-quarter results while maintaining its full-year outlook.

Screenshot 2026-08-18 at 16.48.56
Source: TradingView

Crypto Markets Remain Relatively Resilient

In an interesting change of pace, crypto has been steadier throughout the past 24 hours. The total market cap is at around $2.28 trillion, up about 0.5% over the day.

Bitcoin remains above $64K at the time of writing, up roughly 1% during the period, despite the pressured equities and the rise in Treasury yields.

This suggests that the crypto market has managed to absorb the latest macro pressure better, which hasn’t been the case for a while – when risk-on assets decline, the drop in cryptocurrencies is usually more pronounced.

The post Tech Futures Drop on Rising Treasury Yields While Bitcoin Holds Near $64K appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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Crypto firms are struggling in South Korea

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Crypto firms are struggling in South Korea

South Korean crypto exchanges Upbit and Bithumb have seen revenues plummet in the first half of the year amid a wider downturn for crypto companies in the country. Meanwhile, South Korea has also banned prediction market Polymarket after concluding that its operations constitute illegal gambling.  

The Block reports that Bithumb recorded an operating profit of 14.9 billion won ($11 million), down 83% from last year’s profit of 90.1 billion won ($64 million).

Its operating revenue this year is 168.8 billion won ($120 million), down almost 49% from last year’s 329.2 billion won ($233 million).

It also suffered a net loss this year of 108.7 billion won ($77 million).

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Crypto firms hit by poor global market

Upbit parent company Dunamu reported a similar drop in operating revenue. It made 408.1 billion won ($289 million) in the first half of this year, a drop of 49% from last year’s 801.9 billion won ($568 million).

Its operating profits were 111.5 billion won ($79 million), an almost 80% drop from 549.1 billion won ($389 million) last year. 

Dunamu said, “The recent decline in performance is attributed to a contraction in liquidity across the global digital asset market, which has led to a weakening of investor sentiment.”

South Korea finds Polymarket is a gambling firm

Meanwhile, crypto-based Polymarket has been banned after South Korea’s Media and Communications Commission concluded the platform’s operations constitute illegal gambling. 

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The regulator claimed Polymarket crossed an information threshold that is classed as gambling under the Criminal Act and National Sports Promotion Act.

It found that Polymarket’s use of yes-or-no contracts encourages speculative behavior where winnings are reliant on events out of users’ control.

Read more: American Indian tribes want Kalshi and Polymarket off their land

Polymarket argued that it doesn’t manage user funds, that it removed Korean-language services, and that it doesn’t support South Korea’s won fiat currency.

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However, the commission said, “Technical features or service methods cannot exempt a platform from domestic legal compliance. Since Polymarket provides a real illegal gambling environment to domestic users, access blocking is unavoidable to protect them.”

Got a tip? Send us an email securely via Protos Leaks. For more informed news and investigations, follow us on XBluesky, and Google News, or subscribe to our YouTube channel.

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Crypto raised too much, too fast. Now comes the reckoning

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Stablecoins Were Meant to Disrupt Finance. Instead, They Became Idle Cash.

Many projects, he said, raised enormous rounds despite having little revenue and no realistic path to profitability, leaving them dependent on becoming multibillion-dollar businesses simply to justify another financing.

Crypto’s fundraising culture made matters worse.

Unlike most industries, announcing a large raise could boost a project’s token and generate retail attention, creating incentives to present financing in the most flattering possible light.

The headline number could also obscure how firm the financing actually was. Kirkley said Global Settlement Network experienced investors failing to ultimately fund signed commitments, illustrating how announced rounds can differ from cash actually received.

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Token governance meets reality

Another experiment now being tested is decentralized governance.

Token ownership did not necessarily translate into active participation, Kirkley said, while governance votes could make it harder for struggling protocols to pivot quickly. “Token holders do not mean active participants in your ecosystem,” he said.

The result is a market increasingly deciding what crypto actually needs.

Kirkley points to stablecoins, neobanks and institutional-grade wallet and settlement infrastructure as emerging winners, while areas including social tokens, memecoins and parts of Web3 gaming face a harsher reckoning.

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Bitcoin faces a key support test

The shakeout could intensify if bitcoin breaks its next major support zone.

Kirkley described the market as a “soft bear market,” but sees support at $61,200 as critical.

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