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A 13% Bounce Is All BMNR Stock Got Last Time: Can This Bullish Attempt Do Better?

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BMNR RSI Bullish Divergence

BMNR stock price trades at $22.34, up 4% on the day. A bullish RSI divergence has flashed for the second time in a week and options positioning has shifted toward calls.

Yet Bitmine’s institutional interest remains pinned near zero. Institutional capital is not following the momentum. The last time this divergence appeared, it delivered just a 13% bounce before fading. A head-and-shoulders pattern on the daily chart adds a 23% downside risk if the current move fails.

A Bullish Divergence Flashes Again but the Last One Only Gave 13%

BMNR stock price has been declining since peaking in early January. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI), a momentum indicator that measures the speed and size of recent price moves, is showing signs of a potential reversal.

Between December 31 and April 9, price made a lower low while the RSI made a higher low. That formed a standard bullish divergence, a signal that selling pressure is weakening. However, that divergence only led to a 13% price rise before the rally stalled.

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A similar signal has now flashed between December 31 and April 14. Price again made a lower low while the RSI printed a higher low.

BMNR RSI Bullish Divergence
BMNR RSI Bullish Divergence: TradingView

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Options positioning on Bitmine stock supports the near-term shift. In late March, the put-call volume ratio, which compares bearish bets against bullish bets, stood at 1.04. That reflected nearly balanced positioning with a slight bearish tilt. As of April 15, it has dropped to 0.35, heavily favoring calls.

Open interest ratio fell from 0.47 to 0.42. That drop means existing bearish positions are being closed. New activity is favoring calls while old puts are being unwound.

BMNR Put Call Ratio
BMNR Put Call Ratio: Barchart

The divergence and options data both point to short-term strength. However, a 13% bounce and a fade is exactly what happened last time. Whether this attempt succeeds depends on one metric that has refused to cooperate.

Institutional Money Flow Hasn’t Crossed the Zero Line

The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), a proxy for institutional capital sits at 0.00 on the daily chart. It has barely touched the zero line and still leans on the negative side.

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Since March, only a few brief instances of CMF crossing above zero have occurred. Each time, the reading quickly fell back below. That pattern means institutional capital has ridden brief bounces but has not committed to accumulating BMNR stock.

The broader structure explains why. The daily chart shows a head-and-shoulders pattern forming, a bearish formation. If the pattern completes, the measured breakdown projects a roughly 23% decline from the neckline.

Head Shoulders And CMF
Head Shoulders And CMF: TradingView

The divergence says bounce. The CMF says institutions are not behind it. The head and shoulders says the larger structure remains bearish. That conflict is what makes the price levels ahead critical.

BMNR Stock Price Levels That Decide Between Bounce and Breakdown

The BitMine price chart maps where stock price either validates the divergence or confirms the bearish pattern.

A drop below $21.08 would invalidate the divergence. That was the swing low where the latest signal formed. Below that, $20.87, the 0.382 Fibonacci level, acts as the next floor. A loss of $19.46, the 0.618 Fibonacci, would suggest the CMF was right. From there, $17.17, the head-and-shoulders neckline, becomes the target. A neckline break projects a BMNR price decline toward $13.14.

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Yet a daily close above $23.16 would reclaim the top of the current range. That move would weaken the right shoulder and give the divergence room to run. Beyond that, $23.86 is the head’s peak and the level above which the bearish pattern breaks entirely.

BMNR Price Analysis
BMNR Price Analysis: TradingView

BMNR stock price at $23.16 separates a successful divergence from a repeat of the 13% fade. A close above it gives institutions a reason to follow. A drop below $21.08 hands the chart back to the head and shoulders.

The post A 13% Bounce Is All BMNR Stock Got Last Time: Can This Bullish Attempt Do Better? appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Sky Announces First Native Deployment of USDS, sUSDS on Avalanche

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Sky Announces First Native Deployment of USDS, sUSDS on Avalanche

Sky’s native stablcoins are being deployed on Avalanche via Skylink, Sky’s crosschain bridge protocol built on LayerZero infra.

Sky, the decentralized finance protocol formerly known as MakerDAO, has announced the first native deployment of its native stablecoin, USDS, and its yield-bearing version, Savings USDS (sUSDS), on Avalanche.

The rollout runs on Skylink, the Sky ecosystem’s crosschain bridge protocol, built on LayerZero infrastructure. Unlike traditional bridge deployments, Skylink operates on a burn-and-mint framework that requires no bridge liquidity, accoriding to Sky’s X announcement.

Grove Finance initiated the bridge of Sky’s USDS and sUSDS to Avalanche via Skylink, becoming the first entity to transfer the assets directly from Ethereum mainnet to Avalanche. “This is the first native deployment of USDS and sUSDS on Avalanche,” Sky emphasized on X, clarifying:

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“Every previous stablecoin expansion into a new network required third-party bridges, but Skylink removes that dependency entirely.”

Explaining the phased rollout, Sky wrote that the Avalanche bridge went live on April 13 with a daily transfer cap of 5 million in either direction, set by Sky governance. Limits are set to increase to their final capacity on April 27, with native USDS-to-sUSDS conversions directly on Avalanche expected later in Q2 2026, per Sky’s X thread.

Avalanche currently has just over $756 million in total value locked in DeFi, per DefiLlama data, making it the 12th-largest chain by DeFi TVL. Ethereum is the largest with over $58 billion.

In a separate collaboration between Grove and Sky, yesterday Grove announced it had received 25 million USDS from the Sky ecosystem as part of its Agent Network allocations. “Each allocation expands the Sky Agent Network’s capacity to generate diversified yield,” Sky wrote on X.

Sky is the rebranded version of MakerDAO, one of DeFi’s oldest and most influential protocols. As The Defiant reported in August 2024, the rebrand introduced USDS as a successor to DAI, the protocol’s long-running decentralized stablecoin, as part of the protocol’s sweeping “Endgame” overhaul.

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The Avalanche news adds to a busy week for the network. Just yesterday, April 15, Bitwise launched its Avalanche ETF (BAVA) on NYSE Arca, offering investors regulated AVAX exposure with in-house staking.

This article was written with the assistance of AI workflows. All our stories are curated, edited and fact-checked by a human.

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Bitcoin’s Negative Funding Rate Sticks While BTC Trades Above $75K

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Bitcoin’s Negative Funding Rate Sticks While BTC Trades Above $75K

Key takeaways:

  • Negative Bitcoin futures funding rates signal bear-market losses and forced liquidations rather than a shift in sentiment. 

  • Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and corporate accumulation suggest that spot demand remains solid.

Bitcoin (BTC) sold off in early trading hours at the US stock market open, briefly losing the $75,000 level before rebounding. This unexpected price swing triggered $120 million in liquidations of leveraged long (buy) BTC futures positions. During this ordeal, the Bitcoin funding rate has remained negative, which could hint at further downside and a potential advantage to the bears. 

Bitcoin perpetual futures annualized funding rate. Source: Laevitas

The negative funding rate has been the norm since Monday, indicating a lack of demand for bullish leverage. Negative rates mean shorts (sellers) are the ones paying to keep their positions open. Under neutral conditions, the indicator should range between 5% and 10% to compensate for the cost of capital and exchange risks. At first sight, a 20% rate indicates conviction, but that is not the whole story.

Liquidations back Bitcoin’s negative funding rate

The perpetual contract funding rates are calculated every 8 hours on most exchanges. Temporary spikes to 20%, either positive or negative, are not particularly concerning for most traders, as they amount to a 0.05% daily fee. In essence, even if the position has extremely high leverage, such as 20x, the cost is 1%. Unless this issue persists for much longer, it is hardly a burden.

Bitcoin futures aggregate liquidation history, USD. Source: CoinGlass

Bitcoin bearish positions have been forcefully liquidated for $365 million since Monday, which has naturally eroded collateral on short positions. Traders could have opted to sit tight rather than rush to add margin, anticipating that funding rates would adjust on their own. Thus, the negative funding rate reflects losses from bears rather than conviction.

S&P 500 futures (left) vs. Bitcoin/USD (right). Source: TradingView

Bitcoin’s intraday moves have largely tracked the S&P 500 index for the past couple of weeks. The US stock market jumped to an all-time high on Thursday while Bitcoin remains distant from its $126,200 peak. Consecutive failures to re-establish the $76,000 level partially explain the lack of enthusiasm in BTC derivatives markets. Still, the latest round of US economic data is supportive for risk markets, including Bitcoin.

US industrial production decreased by 0.5% in March from the previous month, according to data released by the Federal Reserve on Thursday. Consumer durable goods were the negative highlight, with automotive production down 2.8%. In parallel, the continuing jobless claims increased 31,000 to a seasonally adjusted 1.818 million during the week ended April 4.

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While counterintuitive, the S&P 500 benefited from the increased economic recession, which forced the government to accelerate stimulus measures. The upward pressure on inflation, which has also been fueled by the surge in oil prices, reduces incentives to hold fixed-income investments.

Related: Bitcoin bull run ‘still too early’ to call as demand lags exiting capital–Analyst

Deribit Bitcoin options premium put-to-call ratio. Source: Laevitas

The Bitcoin options market data provides no signs of excessive demand for downside price protection. The premium paid on put (sell) options on Deribit has lagged behind the equivalent call (buy) instruments over the past week. The $921 million in net inflows into US-listed Bitcoin spot ETFs over five days, along with continued accumulation from Strategy (MSTR US), boosted investors’ confidence. 

At the moment, Bitcoin’s negative funding rate does not raise alarms, especially since institutional investor demand remains strong in BTC’s spot markets.