Self-custodial Ethereum wallet Rainbow debuted its native token RNBW yesterday, Feb. 5. But the project’s token generation event (TGE) on Base, and the token’s debut for trading across exchanges, were met with reports of delayed distribution to ICO participants, which contributed to the token’s poor day-one performance.

According to Coinbase data, RNBW hit a high of $0.05 on its first day of trading, but fell quickly and closed the daily session around $0.034, down more than 30%, putting its fully diluted valuation around $34 million.

That left most bettors on Polymarket scrambling, having expected the FDV to hit roughly $100 million just a day after the TGE.

Today, RNBW fell further, trading around $0.032 by press time, making its FDV around $32.17 million.

ICO Investors in the Red

The price is far below what early buyers paid. Rainbow conducted its initial coin offering (ICO) in mid-December 2025 via CoinList, where investors were offered RNBW at $0.1 per token. The sale saw 30 million RNBW tokens, or 3% of total supply, sold at an FDV of $100 million, meaning participants in that sale are now down more than 65% on their investments.

For U.S. investors, the situation could be even worse as their full token unlock won’t happen until December of this year, according to CoinList’s terms and conditions.

Back in 2022, Rainbow raised $18 million in a Series A funding round led by Seven Seven Six, the VC firm from Reddit co-founder Alexis Ohanian, bringing total funding to $21 million. The multi-chain wallet is known for its rewards program and gamification, where users can earn points for their on-chain activity.

The firm explicitly connected RNBW with its points system when it first announced the token in September, and later specified that users who earned points in the wallet were eligible for a token airdrop.

‘No Better Day for TGE’

The token’s drop came amid a broader market bloodbath that wiped out $2.6 billion in liquidations in a single day. Total crypto market capitalization fell to $2.3 trillion as Bitcoin slid toward $60,000, reaching roughly 50% below its all-time high of $126,080, set in October.

Soon after its TGE, Rainbow’s cofounder Mike Demarais indicated in an X post that some users had not received their claimed tokens, explaining “it’s because our backend token indexer has been getting slammed.”

As frustration over the messy launch mounted, Rainbow CEO Alex LaPrade took to X on Thursday evening eastern time to say he still believes “there was no better day for TGE than today,” noting that the project had planned to launch its token on Feb. 5 back in December. LaPrade added:

“TGE isn’t the finish line. Having a token live in market brings more scrutiny — both positive and negative.”

But the CEO’s public statement didn’t succeed in calming all investors. Some quickly fired back at the CEO, accusing the project of late token distribution to CoinList pre-sale participants, as well as to points earners, calling it a scam and demanding refunds.

Last year, MetaMask confirmed that it has plans to launch its own token, after years of hinting and speculation.

Bitcoin price has rebounded from a critical multi-year channel support near $62,500, raising the question of whether a high-timeframe bottom may be forming.

Bitcoin (BTC) price action has recently reacted from a major technical support zone that has defined market structure for several years. After an extended bearish expansion, BTC has revisited the lower boundary of a multi-year ascending channel that has remained intact since March 2021. This reaction has drawn renewed attention from traders, as the level coincides with additional technical confluence that historically has led to meaningful high-timeframe pivots.

While short-term volatility remains elevated, the broader structure suggests Bitcoin may be entering a critical decision phase. Whether this bounce develops into a sustained recovery or fails into another leg lower will largely depend on how the price behaves around this key support region in the coming sessions.

Bitcoin price key technical points

• $62,500 aligns with multi-year channel low, active since March 2021
• Confluence with value area high strengthens support, increasing reaction probability
• Accumulation behavior is needed, to confirm a sustainable rotation higher

From a higher-timeframe perspective, Bitcoin’s current location is technically significant. The multi-year channel, which has guided price action since early 2021, has consistently acted as both support and resistance during major market cycles. Each historical retest of the channel’s lower boundary has resulted in strong reactions, often marking the transition from bearish phases into broader recovery structures.

The recent bounce from the $62,500 region once again highlights the importance of this channel. This level not only represents the channel low but also aligns with the value area high of the prior range, adding further structural relevance. When multiple high-timeframe levels converge, the probability of a meaningful reaction increases substantially.

Importance of holding value area support

Beyond the channel structure, Bitcoin’s ability to hold above the value area high is a key factor in determining whether this move can evolve into a sustained rotation. Acceptance above this region suggests that buyers are willing to transact at higher prices following the recent sell-off, a necessary condition for trend stabilization.

If price continues to defend this zone on a closing basis, it reinforces the idea that the recent bearish expansion may be transitioning into a consolidation or accumulation phase. Failure to hold, however, would indicate that demand remains insufficient and could expose Bitcoin to another test of lower liquidity zones.

Accumulation phase remains the missing piece

Although the initial bounce is technically constructive, confirmation remains incomplete without evidence of accumulation. Accumulation phases typically follow sharp bearish expansions and are characterized by sideways price action, declining volatility, and gradual absorption of supply by stronger hands.

In Bitcoin’s case, such a phase would help establish a durable base around the $62,000–$63,000 region. Without this basing behavior, any upside movement risks being corrective rather than trend-defining. Traders should closely monitor volume behavior, as rising participation during consolidation signals increasing confidence among buyers.

Potential rotation toward channel midpoint

If accumulation develops and support remains intact, the technical roadmap opens the door to a rotational move toward the midpoint of the multi-year channel. Historically, these rotations have provided substantial upside opportunities, particularly when initiated from channel extremes.

However, it is important to distinguish between a rotation and a full trend reversal. While a move toward the channel midpoint would be constructive, reclaiming higher resistance levels would still be required to confirm a broader bullish continuation.

What to expect in the coming price action

From a market structure, price action, and support perspective, the $62,000–$62,500 region represents a pivotal zone for Bitcoin. Holding above this level keeps the multi-year channel intact and supports the case for a developing bottom. A failure to maintain support would invalidate the bullish rotation thesis and reopen downside risk.

For now, Bitcoin remains at a high-timeframe inflection point. Confirmation through basing, accumulation, and improving volume will be essential before declaring a definitive bottom. Until then, traders should expect volatility and remain focused on how price behaves around this critical support zone.

Pi Network price stabilized near its all-time low as optimism rose that it would be listed on Kraken, a top crypto exchange. 

Pi Network (PI) rose to $0.1450, a few points above the all-time low of $0.1300. It remains significantly lower than the all-time high of $3, with its market capitalization falling from nearly $20 billion to $1.3 billion today.

One major catalyst for the coin is its addition to Kraken’s page for potential listings. It is listed in the Chains category, which also includes tokens such as TX, Conflux, Pepecoin, MegaETH, and Quai. 

Being listed on this page does not guarantee future listing. However, it has given the community hope that it will be available on one of the largest crypto exchanges today. 

Kraken has over 15 million users globally, with 1.5 million active each month. It generated over $2.2 billion in revenue last year and raised $800 million at a $20 billion valuation in November ahead of its IPO.

A Kraken listing would be a big thing as Pi has failed to attract any additional exchanges since its mainnet launch in February last year. Most of its trading occurs on a handful of exchanges, including OKX, Gate, Bitget, and MEXC. 

Additionally, the listing will likely encourage more exchanges to list it as well. Some of the most important exchanges that would trigger a Pi Coin price surge are Binance, Coinbase, and Upbit. Binance is the most important, while Coinbase and Upbit have large market shares in the US and South Korea.

Pi Network price technical analysis

The daily timeframe chart shows that the Pi coin price has been in a steep freefall in the past few months. It dropped to a record low of $0.1304 as the crypto market crash intensified,

The coin has moved below all moving averages and the crucial support level at $0.1530, its previous all-time low. All oscillators are pointing downward, indicating that downward momentum is continuing.

Therefore, the most likely Pi Network price outlook is bearish, with the next key target being the psychological $0.10 level. However, the main risk of going against it is that a Kraken listing would fuel a short-term short squeeze.

The total crypto market cap (TOTAL) and Bitcoin (BTC) finally broke free from the bearish curse they had been under for the past 12 days. As BTC neared $70,000, it sparked a rally amongst the altcoins as well, led by XDC Network (XDC).

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The Crypto Market Breaths a Sigh Of Relief

The total crypto market cap rebounded by $211 billion over the past 24 hours, signaling a relief rally after Thursday’s sharp sell-off. The recovery has improved short-term sentiment across digital assets. Closing the week in positive territory could help stabilize markets and support risk appetite through the weekend.

TOTAL is trading near $2.36 trillion at the time of writing, hovering just below the $2.37 trillion resistance. A decisive flip of this level into support would confirm strengthening momentum. Such a move could open the path for a continued advance toward the $2.45 trillion zone.

Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here.

Downside risk remains if bullish momentum fades. Failure to secure $2.37 trillion in support may trigger renewed selling pressure. Under this scenario, TOTAL could slip below the $2.30 trillion level and fall toward $2.22 trillion, erasing a significant portion of the recent recovery.

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Bitcoin Attempts Recovery

Bitcoin is trading near $69,972 at the time of writing as it attempts to reclaim $70,000. This level remains a key psychological threshold for market participants. A successful flip into support would signal renewed buyer confidence and mark the early stages of a broader recovery attempt.

The immediate objective is to secure $70,000 as support and push higher toward $75,000. Achieving this would confirm improving momentum and strengthen bullish structure. If buying pressure persists, Bitcoin could regain traction and set its sights on the $80,000 level in the near term.

Failure to reclaim $70,000 would weaken the recovery narrative. Renewed selling pressure could drag Bitcoin back toward $65,000 or lower. Such a move would invalidate the bullish thesis, reinforce downside risk, and prolong market uncertainty amid fragile investor sentiment.

XDC Network Jumps Sharply

XDC led the altcoin market, surging 23% over the past 24 hours to trade near $0.0370 at the time of writing. The rally reflects renewed buying interest and improving sentiment. Securing this level of support is critical for sustaining momentum and confirming the strength of the current price move.

XDC is now targeting a move toward $0.0413, but a breakout requires clearing the $0.0392 resistance. Rising inflows and sustained investor participation could provide the needed catalyst. A decisive breach would validate bullish continuation and strengthen confidence in XDC’s short-term recovery trajectory.

Downside risk remains if support fails to hold. A loss of $0.0370 could push XDC back toward $0.0345. Breaking below that level would expose price to a deeper pullback near $0.0299, erasing much of the recent recovery and weakening the bullish setup.

TLDR:

• 173 WBTC sold at $67K, totaling $11.75M in USDC during a volatile Bitcoin session. 
• Initial trades were fast and decisive, signaling structured exits amid price weakness. 
• Bitcoin dipped to low $60Ks but quickly recovered to $70K, showing market absorption. 
• WBTC to USDC rotation reflects liquidity preference and defensive risk management strategy.

Trump-linked World Liberty Finance sold 173 WBTC near $67K, moving $11.75M into USDC. The trades were fast and decisive, coinciding with Bitcoin’s dip into the low $60Ks. 

Liquidity thinned, stops triggered, but buyers quickly stepped in. Bitcoin rebounded to $70K, showing the market absorbed pressure efficiently. The sale signaled caution, yet strength remained clear.

Timing and Market Mechanics of the WBTC Sale

Trump-linked World Liberty Finance executed 173 WBTC sales on February 5, coinciding with Bitcoin’s decline from the mid-$70Ks to the low-$60Ks. Initially, 40 WBTC were sold for $2.761M USDC, immediately followed by 33 WBTC for $2.276M USDC. 

Both trades occurred within a minute. Consequently, the market saw a clear signal of urgency rather than routine rebalancing.

Later, 100 WBTC were sold for $6.711M USDC as Bitcoin accelerated downward. This final trade appeared as a towering spike on the chart, coinciding with a steep price drop.

Therefore, the sequence indicates that the sales were structured and decisive, creating a liquidity event during volatility.

Moreover, moving from WBTC to USDC demonstrates a defensive approach. USDC preserves value while offering flexibility for future actions. Thus, the strategy prioritizes liquidity over exposure. 

Market participants noted that sales at the $67K level influenced sentiment. Even if independent, the “Trump-linked” label amplified attention, making the timing appear cautious.

In addition, the total volume, while meaningful, is not existential for Bitcoin liquidity. The $11.75M converted into USDC represents a tactical adjustment rather than a complete exit.

Consequently, the trades reinforced short-term bearish momentum but also created opportunities for buyers. The compressed timing, coupled with large trade sizes, allowed other market players to anticipate liquidity points.

Bitcoin’s Reaction and Market Absorption

Following the WBTC sales, Bitcoin briefly dipped into the low $60Ks on February 6. This drop coincided with the heavy USDC conversions. 

As a result, liquidity thinned, stop orders triggered, and weaker traders exited positions. Consequently, the session recorded an emotional low that reflected short-term fear.

However, Bitcoin quickly recovered to $65K and continued a controlled ascent. By evening, the price approached $70K, nearly erasing earlier losses.

Therefore, the market absorbed the $11.75M sell pressure without structural breakdown. This V-shaped rebound indicates strong buying interest.

Furthermore, the transaction demonstrates how tactical exits interact with market depth. Large holders rotated positions, yet equally serious buyers absorbed the coins efficiently.

Consequently, the market interpreted the Trump-linked sales as a liquidity event rather than a persistent sell-off.

As a result, Bitcoin’s quick rebound reinforced confidence in liquidity and market resilience. Finally, the WBTC sale highlights how high-profile players manage risk while maintaining market stability. 

Political action committees (PACs) representing the interests of the crypto industry have already secured millions of dollars in funding as the US heads toward its midterm elections.

Super PACs are the uber-rich, no-limits, non-disclosure counterparts to crypto PACs. Last year, the industry spent at least $245 million in campaign contributions alone.

The main super PAC funded by the cryptocurrency industry, Fairshake, raised some $133 million in 2025, bringing its total cash on hand up to over $190 million. Venture capital firm a16z contributed an initial $24 million, while Coinbase and Ripple each donated $25 million.

This influx of cash has alarmed activist and election reform groups. Saurav Ghosh, director of the Campaign Legal Center — a legal center concentrated on voting rights, fair districting and campaign finance reform — told Cointelegraph:

“This kind of influence buying ultimately undermines the democratic process by marginalizing everyday Americans, ensuring that their voices and interests take a backseat to the crypto industry’s deregulatory desires.”

Bipartisan support ensures crypto lobby’s success

The US crypto industry’s main goal is to pass a large framework law, the CLARITY Act, which passed in the House of Representatives this summer and moved on to the Senate. The bill still hasn’t managed to satisfy the crypto industry, particularly Coinbase, nor the ethics and oversight concerns of Senate Democrats.

Now, the CLARITY Act is in limbo, and Congress is shifting its attention to the 2026 midterm elections. For nearly 80 years, the president’s party has almost always lost the midterms, the federal elections in the off-year between presidential elections. This is particularly important for the crypto industry, which enjoys more full-throated support among the Republican Party. Take, for example, the roll call for the Senate’s vote on the GENIUS Act: Nearly twice as many Democrats voted against the motion compared to those in support of it.

Some in the crypto space have taken this to mean they need to take a partisan stance. Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss, founders of the crypto exchange Gemini, have poured millions into the conservative PAC Digital Freedom Fund, which aims to boost pro-crypto and pro-Trump candidates.

Others have stressed the need for bipartisan support, warning that backing one party is bound to backfire once the other eventually takes power.

Representative Sam Liccardo, a crypto-friendly Democrat, told Politico in October 2025, “I don’t think anybody in this town would recommend that an industry put their eggs in one party’s basket.”

One major lobby, Fairshake, has shown it’s more than willing to support Democrats, so long as they are sufficiently pro-crypto. The Super PAC actually spent more money in support of Democrats than it did Republicans from 2023 to 2024, according to Open Secrets.

Whether it be among Republicans or Democrats, the crypto industry’s political strategy has changed significantly both in how much and where it spends its dollars.

How did we get here?

Crypto made headlines in 2024 for donating nearly a quarter of a billion dollars to different political campaigns and super PACs — the largest contribution of any single industry.

But this wasn’t crypto’s first step in the political arena. During the crypto bull run of 2020-2021, crypto companies made massive ad buys. Celebrities like Matt Damon were advertising crypto investment platforms. Now-convicted fraudster Sam Bankman-Fried slapped the name of his now-defunct crypto exchange, FTX, onto the home of the Miami Heat basketball team.

At the same time, crypto increased its lobbying efforts in Washington. Major platforms like Coinbase and fintech developers like Ripple padded their budgets as the industry gained visibility.

Coinbase raised spending from $1.5 million in 2020 to $3.9 million in 2021. Ripple more than tripled the amount it spent on lobbying over the same period, spending $330,000 in 2020 and more than $1.1 million in 2021.

One major donor from the crypto space was Bankman-Fried. He made more than $100 million in political campaign contributions in the 2022 midterms. “He leveraged this influence, in turn, to lobby Congress and regulatory agencies to support legislation and regulation he believed would make it easier for FTX to continue to accept customer deposits and grow,” federal prosecutors said in a later indictment.

By Bankman-Fried’s own admission, he supported campaigns on both sides of the aisle, though he found Republicans “far more reasonable” on crypto.

The crypto market crashed soon after. FTX went bust, the Terra stablecoin system collapsed, and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the US’ main finance regulator under then-Chair Gary Gensler, opened enforcement actions against many crypto companies operating in the US.

Related: SBF always played both sides of the aisle despite new Republican plea

In 2023, the presidential election cycle began. Trump ran against ex-Vice President Kamala Harris. Crypto, for the first time, was on the presidential platform. Trump visited a Bitcoin (BTC) conference and made promises of ending “regulation by enforcement.

Crypto poured money into the race through PACs and super PACs. For the 2024 selections, these were namely:

Fairshake raised a whopping $260 million from 2023 to 2024, at least $92 million of which came from Coinbase. It made $126 million in independent expenditures and transfers to affiliated committees.

Independent expenditures are expenditures “for a communication that expressly advocates the election or defeat of a clearly identified candidate and which is not made in coordination with any candidate or their campaign or political party,” per the FEC.

According to Follow the Crypto, the two other single-issue crypto PACs are affiliated with Fairshake, despite one being liberal and the other conservative. Defend American Jobs made $57 million in independent expenditures, and Protect Progress made $34.5 million over the same 2023-2024 period.

This vast amount of money entering PACs reflects a broader shift in how companies seek political influence.

“Super PACs are increasingly becoming in vogue for special interests who want to make their presence known in Washington,” Michael Beckel, research director of Issue One — a bipartisan political reform organization watching big money in politics — told Cointelegraph.

“Industry-aligned super PACs with huge bank accounts have made a huge splash and helped thwart new regulations on their business interests.”

Just a few years ago, “corporate influence operations focused more on lobbying and direct campaign contributions,” Beckel explained. “Now we’re seeing sector-specific super PACs with massive bank accounts.”

And it’s changing how laws are made in Washington.

Crypto lobby affects policy as Trump seeks to “nationalize” elections

Blockchain bigwigs now regularly visit Washington to meet with lawmakers and advise policymakers on how to regulate the industry.

Issue One vice president of advocacy Alix Fraser said, “The Trump administration is packed with tech industry insiders who have acted in the interest of their own companies — not the American people — to rig policy for their own profit.”

The degree to which the crypto industry is involved in the legislative process is no more apparent than with the market structure bill making its way through the Senate. Work on the bill stalled in mid-January after Coinbase withdrew its support.

The exchange’s CEO, Brian Armstrong, wrote on X:

The main point of contention is a provision that would outlaw one of Coinbase’s products: stablecoin yields for consumers. Banks are pushing to outlaw the practice, saying a flight of deposits from insured lenders could threaten financial stability. The crypto industry and Coinbase argue that the ban stifles innovation and is anti-competitive.

Earlier this week, the White House scheduled a closed-door summit for leaders from the crypto and banking industries to hash out their differences, but according to Reuters, no deal was made.

According to reporter Eleanor Terrett, Senate Democrats said that the talks were “constructive” and were optimistic about the chances of passing a bill. Reporter Sander Lutz said that Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer is “desperate” to get the bill finished, as Fairshake alone now has $193 million in its coffers.

“These payments help explain the crypto industry’s success in curtailing efforts to meaningfully regulate their business model, which is consistent with a well-established practice of wealthy corporate special interests using lobbying and political contributions to influence policy decisions,” Ghosh told Cointelegraph.

“This kind of influence buying ultimately undermines the democratic process by marginalizing everyday Americans, ensuring that their voices and interests take a backseat to the crypto industry’s deregulatory desires.”

Rick Claypool, research director at consumer rights advocacy group Public Citizen, told Cointelegraph that big money from lobbies like crypto pushes out the priorities of most voters from the agenda.

“This feeds cynicism — the sense that our elected officials prioritize the interests of wealthy donors over all other constituents — and erodes faith in our democratic institutions.”

Related: US crypto market structure bill in limbo as industry pulls support

The increased influence of monied interests in Washington comes at a time when election integrity itself is under threat. Trump has recently said Republicans should “nationalize” the midterm elections.

“The Republicans should say, ‘We want to take over. We should take over the voting, the voting in at least many — 15 places … the Republicans ought to nationalize the voting,’” he said.

He added that he will only accept the results if they are “honest,” while claiming that there was widespread voter fraud in many American cities. Election experts have refuted the claims. House Speaker Mike Johnson has admitted that he himself has no evidence of his own claims of voter fraud.

Marc Elias, a partner at Elias Law Group, said that Trump “is not interested in following the Constitution. As we have seen before, he prefers to act by force.”

Crypto is set to increase its influence in Washington as the very elections themselves are at risk of tampering and interference from the highest levels of government.

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