Crypto World
AI agents and large corporates will lead the next stablecoin boom
Large corporations looking to modernize payments and AI agents making autonomous transactions are emerging as the two biggest growth drivers for stablecoins, executives of Bridge and Deus X Capital said Thursday at Consensus 2026 in Miami.
Lindsey Einhaus — who leads strategy and operations at stablecoin infrastructure firm Bridge, which was acquired by Stripe for $1.1 billion — said the next two years will likely bring a wave of institutional stablecoin adoption, especially for cross-border payments and internal treasury operations.
“Large institutions are looking to utilize stablecoins to manage cross-border flows and really collapse a lot of their account management into stablecoins,” Einhaus said.
She pointed to payment-focused blockchains like Tempo, backed by Stripe and Paradigm, as key enablers for broader adoption. Existing blockchains historically lacked features common in traditional payments systems, such as refunds, chargebacks and private transactions, she argued.
The next growth area may come from AI-powered micropayments.
According to Einhaus, blockchain-based stablecoin rails could finally make tiny internet payments economically viable by removing costly intermediaries and reducing transaction fees. Historically, micropayments failed because transaction costs often exceeded the value being transferred, while crypto payments introduced price volatility that discouraged spending.
“With stablecoin-native blockchains, you’re going to dramatically reduce transaction costs,” she said.
Tim Grant, CEO of Deus X Capital, said agentic payments — autonomous AI systems transacting with each other — may become one of the strongest crypto use cases yet, partly because consumers intuitively understand the need for machines to move money online.
“We’re underestimating the agentic payment boom that’s about to happen,” Grant said.
At the same time, he cautioned that the infrastructure remains fragmented across multiple blockchains and wallets, while regulation around autonomous financial activity is still evolving.
Grant struck a more cautious tone overall on the pace of stablecoin adoption. While he was optimistic in the long term, he argued that the industry still faces hurdles around regulation, consumer onboarding and institutional coordination.
Still, he acknowledged that institutional sentiment has shifted meaningfully as regulators become more supportive.
“Before, you had to push institutions to pay attention,” Grant said. “Now they’re pulling.”
Crypto World
Fund Managers Boost Bitcoin Bets as Sentiment Rebounds
Institutional fund managers are quietly reawakening interest in digital assets, led by Bitcoin, as market sentiment improves and the pathway for regulated exposure broadens. CoinShares’ April 2026 Digital Asset Fund Manager Survey captures how 26 institutions, collectively managing about $1.3 trillion, are navigating a cautious entry into crypto portfolios. Allocations remain modest, hovering around 1% of assets under management, a level CoinShares describes as a typical entry sizing in a de-risking environment.
Bitcoin remains the digital asset with the most compelling growth outlook, CoinShares head of research James Butterfill wrote in the report.
Yet the picture is not uniform. The survey highlights incremental progress in exposure to core assets, with a notable tilt toward Bitcoin as the asset seen to offer the strongest upside, alongside modest improvements for Ether (ETH) and Solana (SOL) versus prior quarters. Specifically, about 32% of respondents reported already holding Bitcoin, while around 25% have exposure to Ether. The numbers signal a cautious but real shift toward established, highly liquid digital assets even as investors weigh internal governance standards and evolving regulatory guidance.
Key takeaways
- Bitcoin dominates the growth outlook among institutional participants, with 32% already invested and 1% average portfolio allocation, underscoring a measured entry approach in a maturing risk framework.
- Interest is broadening modestly to Ether, with roughly 25% of surveyed managers already holding ETH; Solana and other ecosystems show firmer but still tentative uptake.
- Overall crypto allocations remain restrained, as institutions balance potential upside against internal restrictions and ongoing regulatory uncertainty.
- Inflows into crypto investment products have been resilient, led by Bitcoin demand, signaling a stronger tilt toward regulated exposure and exchange-traded structures.
- Regulatory clarity and the continued expansion of spot Bitcoin ETFs are shaping the adoption path, even as managers pivot from legacy altcoins toward newer DeFi protocols and emerging blockchain sectors.
Rising inflows and the ETF tailwind
The upbeat tone from CoinShares aligns with broader institutional flow patterns seen in the first weeks of 2024 and beyond, as regulated vehicles gain traction. Data in recent weeks showed crypto investment products posting multiple consecutive weeks of inflows, with Bitcoin-led demand driving the trajectory. In a related momentum signal, exchange-traded products tracking digital assets attracted about $1.2 billion in inflows through April 27, marking the fourth straight week of gains and lifting total inflows in that stretch to roughly $3.9 billion.
The momentum has extended into early May, with U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs reporting nearly $1 billion in net inflows in a single week as BTC traded back above the $80,000 level, according to SoSoValue data. This pattern reinforces a takeaway echoed by several surveys: regulated exposure is reducing operational frictions for institutions that previously faced custody and counterparty concerns.
The appetite for regulated exposure is also reflected in broader market surveys. A separate study conducted by Coinbase and EY-Parthenon found that about 73% of institutional investors plan to increase their digital asset exposure within the year, with most expecting crypto prices to move higher over the next 12 months. Taken together, these data points suggest that institutional demand for regulated crypto products is becoming more flexible and sustained as market sentiment improves and the regulatory backdrop gradually stabilizes.
From legacy altcoins toward new rails: what’s changing in allocation dynamics
One notable thread in the April survey is a shift away from “legacy” altcoins toward newer decentralized finance protocols and emerging blockchain sectors. While Bitcoin remains the anchor for growth prospects, the appetite for alternative chains is evolving. This mirrors a broader industry trend in which institutions seek exposure through regulated vehicles, yet also differentiate within the crypto ecosystem by favoring assets tied to scalable, real-world use cases or robust security and governance frameworks.
Internal constraints and regulatory ambiguity linger as the principal barriers to broader adoption. The survey underscores that even with a more constructive sentiment, institutional participants continue to navigate governance approvals, risk management policies, and compliance checks that can slow or cap how quickly and how much they allocate to digital assets. The dynamic suggests that while the market is progressing, the speed of institutional onboarding will remain contingent on policy clarity and the reliability of regulated product suites.
Regulatory momentum and the path ahead for institutions
Several factors contribute to the changing institutional calculus. The launch and expansion of spot Bitcoin ETFs have been widely cited as a turning point for institutions seeking regulated, regulated exposure without direct custody of digital assets. The ETF framework reduces friction around custody, settlement, and reporting, enabling more traditional asset allocators to participate in crypto markets with familiar risk controls.
For investors and builders, the implications are meaningful. As more regulated products gain traction and more institutions report incremental exposures, liquidity in Bitcoin and select blue-chip assets can strengthen, potentially supporting price discovery and stabilizing volatility in the near term. At the same time, the evolving regulatory landscape—particularly around custody, exchanges, and stablecoins—will influence how quickly inflows translate into long-term allocations and portfolio diversification strategies.
Looking ahead, market observers will watch several developments. In the near term, continued inflows into regulated products and any acceleration in the adoption of spot ETFs will matter for market structure and capital formation. In the medium term, the degree to which institutional desks implement risk controls, diversify into DeFi rails, and incorporate on-chain governance considerations will shape the pace and scope of institutional participation. Finally, regulatory clarity—especially around stablecoins and cross-border settlement—remains a pivotal hinge on how broadly the crypto market integrates into mainstream asset management.
In investors’ minds, Bitcoin’s role as a tested, liquid, and regulatory-friendly exposure appears to be the anchor around which broadened crypto exposure could revolve. James Butterfill’s summary underscores a pragmatic view: Bitcoin’s growth outlook remains the most compelling among digital assets, even as the market observes gradual improvements in other major holdings like Ether and Solana.
As the spring season unfolds, the question for readers is not only where allocations stand today but how quickly institutions will move from “entry sizing” to deeper, more diversified exposure. With regulated product suites expanding and sentiment turning more constructive, the coming quarters could reveal whether this uptick in professional interest translates into sustained, material changes in the crypto market’s institutional footprint.
Market-watchers should stay tuned for updates on ETF distributions, new fund launches, and any shifts in regulatory guidance that could alter banks’ and asset managers’ risk appetites. If the current trend holds, 2026 may prove to be a year when institutional participation becomes a more regular, if measured, feature of crypto market dynamics rather than a episodic surge.
Crypto World
Pi Network’s PI Reclaims Key Support Ahead of Founders’ Speeches in Miami
One of the largest cryptocurrency conferences of the year takes place between May 5 and 7, and Pi Network’s own Chengdiao Fan and Nicolas Kokkalis will take the stage to deliver speeches.
Perhaps due to the building anticipation and the recent protocol updates, the project’s native token posted a minor gain in the past 24 hours.
Co-Founders to Speak
Some of the most notable names in the cryptocurrency industry, such as Binance’s Changpeng Zhao, Ripple’s Brad Garlinghouse, and Strategy’s Michael Saylor, will take the main stage during the highly anticipated conference, alongside Eric Trump, Kevin O’Leary, and Grant Cardone. In total, more than 500 speakers will be at the event, and Pi Network’s co-founders will join them today and tomorrow.
Chengdiao Fan will take the stage on May 6 between 11:15 and 11:35 AM EDT. She will speak on “aligning web3, AI, and blockchain for utility” to explore how Pi Network’s infrastructure, verified identity, and “globally engaged network can support utility-driven products and AI-era business models,” according to the team’s X post.
Recall that some of the latest Pi moves in AI and blockchain included completing over 526 million validation tasks by combining the growing technology phenomenon and human input.
Nicolas Kokkalis will join a panel on Thursday between 10:15 and 10:45 AM EDT at the same Convergence Stage, titled “How to prove you’re human in an AI world (without doxing yourself).” The participants will talk about how the Internet’s trust model is breaking as AI systems become capable of creating bots that can generate profiles and interact like real users.
The team said both these sessions will highlight the project’s approach to the AI era:
“Supporting utility-driven products and sustainable business models through blockchain, verified identity, and a globally engaged network, while enabling global identity verification and providing authenticity solutions through Pi’s native KYC solution.”
It’s worth noting that Pi Network’s co-founders made major announcements at previous big conferences, which may be why community members anticipate history repeating itself.
PI Price Rebounds
The protocol’s native token rocketed to $0.20 last week, where it was halted and driven south to $0.17 within hours. However, it rebounded swiftly in the following days and earlier today pumped above $0.186. This came following the latest project updates and announcements about the upcoming ones.
Although PI failed to join yesterday’s market-wide revival, in which BTC surged above $81,500 for the first time in over three months, it stands in the green today and has solidified its position as the 45th-largest cryptocurrency by market cap.

The post Pi Network’s PI Reclaims Key Support Ahead of Founders’ Speeches in Miami appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
Coinbase Exec Predicts CLARITY Bill Markup in May
The CLARITY crypto market structure bill could see a markup in the US Senate Banking Committee as early as next week, according to Kara Calvert, the vice president of US policy at crypto exchange Coinbase.
“My prediction is that we have a markup next week,” Calvert told the audience at the Consensus 2026 crypto industry conference in Miami, Florida.
She said that the bill needs at least 60 votes to pass in the Senate and that the CLARITY bill needs bipartisan support to become law. She said:
“That means you need Democrats. You need a bipartisan bill, and we have all been working really hard to make sure that bipartisanship holds. I think the big question is, how do these votes shape up over the next few days?”

Kara Calvert, pictured on the left, provides an update on the CLARITY market structure bill. Source: Consensus 2026
A HarrisX survey on Thursday revealed that there is strong, broad-based and consistent demand for clear federal rules. A 70% majority of voters say the US should already have passed clear cryptocurrency legislation, and 62% say it is important that the US set the global rules for digital finance.
The CLARITY bill stalled in January after Coinbase withdrew its support for the legislation, citing several concerns, including a lack of legal protections for open source software developers, a prohibition on stablecoin yield, and decentralized finance (DeFi) regulations.
Related: US senator says crypto market structure vote may happen by August
Coherent tax policy remains a barrier to institutional adoption
A lack of coherent tax policies is the main “barrier” to institutional crypto adoption, Calvert said, adding that tax reform is a bigger issue for institutions than market structure legislation.
Many of these institutions just want to buy and hold cryptocurrencies or trade digital assets, but are burdened by tax compliance and reporting requirements, she said.

A HarrisX poll shows there is broad bipartisan support for passage of the CLARITY Act. Source: HarrisX
Tax reporting requirements under the current regulations mean the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) forces crypto exchanges to document every crypto transaction using 1099-DA forms, she added.
“We’re sending out millions of 1099-DA’s for things like $1 transactions — that makes zero sense,” Calvert said.
She added that she “hopes” tax reform legislation can advance through Congress in 2026, citing several crypto tax proposals submitted by US lawmakers, including the Digital Asset PARITY Act, introduced by Representatives Max Miller and Steven Horsford in March.
“I think that we will see action in the Senate. I think we will see legislation, probably in the next month or two, in the House,” she said.
Crypto World
US Treasury ‘Privately Demanded’ Binance Comply with Monitoring Deal: Report
Update (May 7 at 9:47 PM UTC): This article has been updated to include a statement from Binance.
The US Department of the Treasury reportedly demanded that Binance follow a monitoring program put in place by a 2023 deal between authorities and the cryptocurrency exchange, following reports that the company facilitated $1 billion to entities tied to Iran.
According to a Thursday report by The Information, the Treasury Department “privately demanded” that Binance be in compliance with a monitoring program to which it had agreed after reaching a deal with US authorities in 2023. The deal, which included a $4.3 billion settlement with Treasury and the US Department of Justice, required Binance to comply with a three-year monitoring program overseen by government officials.
The reported letter from Treasury followed reports that Binance fired individuals responsible for telling the exchange’s executives that $1 billion flowed through the platform to entities tied to Iran. A group of senators followed, urging Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent to report on Binance’s adherence to the 2023 settlement.
“Binance is committed to cooperating with the independent monitor and our ongoing collaboration with relevant agencies,” a spokesperson for the exchange told Cointelegraph in response to the report. The spokesperson said:
“We welcome constructive feedback from the Treasury and view this oversight as an important part of continuously strengthening our compliance and anti-money laundering controls. We are providing the monitor with full cooperation and transparency.”
Binance’s ties to the Trump administration have come under scrutiny since a United Arab Emirates-based entity invested $2 billion in the crypto exchange using the USD1 stablecoin issued by World Liberty Financial, the company co-founded by US President Donald Trump and his sons. Trump also pardoned former Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao in October 2025.
Related: US authorities freeze $344M in crypto linked to Iran
Zhao pleaded guilty to one felony charge related to failure to maintain an anti-money laundering regime at Binance as part of the 2023 settlement.

Changpeng Zhao speaking at Consensus on Thursday. Source: Cointelegraph
Zhao rules out leading another crypto company
The Information’s report coincided with Zhao’s appearance at the Consensus conference in Miami on Thursday.
The former CEO said he had been “trying to avoid [the] US” but floated the idea of revitalizing Binance.US to give users access to global liquidity. He also dismissed the idea of being in a leadership role at a crypto company again, having resigned as Binance CEO in November 2023.
“I don’t think I’ve got the stamina to run another startup, to lead another company,” said Zhao. “I’m a one-trick pony. I’m okay with that level. I’m done.”
Magazine: Guide to the top and emerging global crypto hubs: Mid-2026
Crypto World
Crypto ETF Market Expands With 21Shares TCAN Debut
TLDR
- 21Shares launched the 21Shares Canton Network ETF on Nasdaq under the ticker TCAN.
- The ETF provides direct exposure to Canton Coin, the native token of the Canton Network.
- The Canton Network focuses on privacy-preserving blockchain infrastructure for institutional finance.
- Major firms, including Goldman Sachs, Microsoft, and DTCC, support Digital Asset, the network’s primary developer.
- The launch adds to a growing list of crypto exchange-traded funds in the United States.
A new Crypto ETF began trading on Nasdaq as 21Shares launched the 21Shares Canton Network ETF under ticker TCAN. The fund offers direct exposure to Canton Coin, the native token of the Canton Network. The listing expands the range of crypto-linked exchange-traded products in the United States.
Crypto ETF Expands Access to Canton Coin
21Shares listed the 21Shares Canton Network ETF on Nasdaq on Thursday under the ticker TCAN. The Crypto ETF gives investors direct exposure to Canton Coin, which powers the Canton Network. The firm said the product marks the first U.S. ETF tied directly to the token.
Canton Coin serves as the utility token for the Canton Network, which focuses on institutional finance use cases. The network supports privacy-preserving transactions and data management across financial markets. Major firms, including Goldman Sachs, Microsoft, and DTCC, support Digital Asset, the network’s primary developer.
Andres Valencia, executive vice president of investment management at 21Shares, addressed the launch in a statement. He said, “The Canton Network has attracted strong institutional interest given its focus on privacy-preserving infrastructure for capital markets.” He added that backing from Nasdaq, Moody’s, and Deloitte reflects confidence in shared blockchain infrastructure.
Valencia stated, “When you see names like Nasdaq, Moody’s, and Deloitte supporting a common blockchain infrastructure, you are looking at infrastructure that has the potential to reshape how data and capital move across global markets.” He linked the ETF launch to that institutional support. The company confirmed that TCAN seeks to track the performance of Canton Coin.
TCAN joins a growing list of crypto exchange-traded funds that launched over the past year. Fund issuers have introduced products tied to SOL, XRP, DOGE, HBAR, and Polkadot. As a result, the U.S. market now offers broader access to digital asset exposure through regulated vehicles.
Regulatory Shift Fuels Crypto ETF Growth
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission oversees approvals for exchange-traded funds, including crypto products. Since January 2025, the agency has taken a more supportive stance toward digital assets. President Donald Trump returned to office that month and appointed Paul Atkins as SEC Chairman.
Chairman Atkins has moved to clarify the agency’s position on cryptocurrencies. The SEC issued guidance stating that most cryptocurrencies do not qualify as securities. That position has influenced the pace of Crypto ETF filings and approvals.
Market participants have responded with new applications and product launches. As a result, issuers continue to expand offerings across different blockchain networks and tokens. The debut of TCAN adds another fund to the expanding lineup of crypto-linked ETFs trading on U.S. exchanges.
Crypto World
Solana (SOL) Reaches a 3-Week High: Is $100 Just a Matter of Time?
Driven by the green wave sweeping the entire crypto market, Solana’s native token briefly pumped above $90, reaching its highest level in the past 20 days.
Currently, the asset appears to be at a crossroads, with some analysts calling for a pump above $100, while certain indicators signal an impending correction.
In the Middle of a Breakout?
According to the popular analyst Ali Martinez, SOL is undergoing a bullish breakout and seems to be escaping a symmetrical triangle to the upside. He believes that a spike in buying pressure could send the price to $92 or even $96. However, traders may need to hope for a potential push to the upper boundary, as the analyst recently argued that anything within the $77-$94 range falls into a “no-trade” zone.
Other market observers who touched upon Solana’s performance and made predictions include X users Julian and Wealthmanager. The former noted the volatility lately, but claimed that buyers remain active. They described $85 as an important support level, adding that if SOL stays above $90, it could see another move higher.
Additionally, the strategist outlined that Solana’s biggest strengths lie in its consistently high network usage, driven by strong meme coin trading activity, a large number of active users, and fast, low-cost transactions.
“Short-term moves can still be aggressive, but in the bigger picture, SOL still looks like one of the strongest coins in the market,” they concluded.
WealthManager was even more bullish, forecasting that a pump to the psychological milestone of $100 is “just a matter of time.”
Time to Cool off?
Certain technical indicators, such as Solana’s Relative Strength Index (RSI), suggest that the bears may soon retake control. The ratio recently jumped to 80 before slipping to the current 66, which is quite close to overbought territory. The index runs from 0 to 100, and conversely, anything under 30 is typically seen as a precursor of a rally.

Next on the list is the rising amount of SOL tokens being transferred from self-custody to centralized exchanges lately. This is considered a bearish factor since it increases the immediate selling pressure.

Meanwhile, the analytics platform Lookonchain revealed that a newly created wallet opened a 20x short position on 240,000 SOL worth more than $21 million. Such an aggressive bet against the asset could weigh on sentiment, as it suggests that the person or entity may be acting on information of upcoming news or events that retail investors don’t have access to.
The post Solana (SOL) Reaches a 3-Week High: Is $100 Just a Matter of Time? appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
Samson Mow Says Potential Strategy BTC Sales Are Strategic
Michael Saylor’s comment this week that Strategy might sell portions of its Bitcoin holdings, is a decision that gives the BTC treasury company Strategy, optionality, according to BTC advocate Samson Mow.
“Never selling limits optionality. Public markets are war. In war, you need all available tools at your disposal,” Mow said after company co-founder Saylor’s comment during Strategy’s first-quarter earnings call on Tuesday. That the company might sell some BTC in the future, Mow added:
“The more tools Strategy holds, the fewer angles its adversaries have. A company with real optionality is hard to game: it might sell, hedge, issue, or buy. A company that has publicly vowed to only ever do one thing has handed a map to short sellers and arbitrageurs.”
Strategy is the largest publicly traded Bitcoin treasury company, according to BitcoinTreasuries, and holds 818,334 BTC at the time of this writing, and any potential sales could weigh on spot BTC market prices, according to some crypto market analysts.

Strategy’s total BTC holdings over time. Source: Strategy
Related: Strategy takes Bitcoin buying breather ahead of Q1 earnings report
As he signals potential BTC sales, Saylor says company can fund dividends “forever” on BTC alone
“We’ll probably sell some Bitcoin to fund a dividend, just to inoculate the market, just to send the message that we did it,” Saylor said during the earnings call.
He said that if the price of BTC appreciates by more than 2.3% annually, the company can fund its dividends “forever” and would also allow Strategy to pay dividends “without selling a single share of stock.”
“We could stop selling MSTR common stock right now,” Saylor said, adding, “We can fund the dividends with Bitcoin sales.”

Saylor discusses paying dividends using BTC appreciation. Source: Strategy
If the company can issue more of its STRC preferred stock and BTC rises above the breakeven level, it would be able to fund dividends indefinitely, while also continuing to increase the amount of BTC it holds, Saylor said during the earnings call.
The average cost of Strategy’s BTC holdings is $75,537 apiece, according to the company’s website. At last look on Thursday, Bitcoin was changing hands at about $79,976, according to CoinMarketCap.
Strategy funds its BTC purchases through a mixture of corporate debt and equity instruments, a practice that has raised concerns with some investors over shareholder dilution and leverage-fueled buying.
Magazine: Bitcoin’s ‘biggest bull catalyst’ would be Saylor’s liquidation: Santiment founder
Crypto World
weak crypto markets cause Q1 earnings miss
Coinbase (COIN) shares fell more than 5% in after-hours trading Thursday after the crypto platform reported weaker-than-expected first-quarter results as falling crypto prices weighed on trading activity, one of the company’s main sources of revenue.
The company posted a loss of $1.49 per share, compared with analyst expectations for a $0.27 profit. Revenue came in at $1.41 billion, below estimates of $1.52 billion.
Transaction revenue totaled $755.8 million, missing analyst expectations of $805.2 million. Subscription and services revenue, a segment investors closely watch as Coinbase tries to reduce its reliance on trading fees, totaled $583.5 million, below expectations of $619.3 million.
Crypto markets weakened sharply as bitcoin and other digital assets fell. Lower prices and reduced volatility typically lead to weaker spot trading volumes across exchanges. Investors had expected a slowdown after the crypto selloff early in the quarter, even though bitcoin rebounded roughly 12% in March.
Coinbase has spent the past several years expanding beyond its core trading business into stablecoins, staking, derivatives and blockchain infrastructure. The company said Wednesday that its global crypto trading volume market share rose to 8.6%, a record high, driven partly by growth in derivatives trading.
Trailing 12-month derivatives trading volume increased 169% year over year, while retail derivatives revenue surpassed an annualized run rate of $200 million for the first time, Coinbase said.
The company also pointed to growth in prediction markets and stablecoin activity. Coinbase said its prediction markets business surpassed $100 million in annualized revenue within its first two full months following its U.S. launch.
Meanwhile, Coinbase said its Base blockchain processed 62% of global onchain stablecoin transaction volume during the quarter.
Earlier this week, Coinbase said it would cut about 700 jobs, or roughly 14% of its workforce, as part of an AI-driven restructuring effort. The company also cited the broader crypto downturn as a factor behind the layoffs.
Investors are increasingly focused on whether Coinbase’s subscription and infrastructure businesses can offset the cyclical swings of crypto trading revenue during weaker markets.
Crypto World
Prediction markets debate closes Consensus Miami
Prediction markets closed out Consensus Miami 2026 as the subject of a live debate on whether they are regulated financial derivatives or gambling products operating outside state law.
Summary
- The closing Consensus Miami 2026 session debated whether prediction markets are CFTC-regulated financial instruments or unlicensed gambling under state gaming laws.
- CFTC Chairman Michael Selig said the fight could reach the Supreme Court, as the agency has already sued five states for treating its registered exchanges as gambling platforms.
- Kalshi’s valuation surged from $22 million in 2024 to $22 billion by March 2026, with sports contracts now accounting for 85% to 90% of its trading volume.
Prediction markets closed out Consensus Miami 2026 on Thursday as the subject of the conference’s final debate, pitting the CFTC’s position that event contracts are swaps against a growing coalition of state attorneys general who argue the platforms are unlicensed gambling businesses.
The session brought the conference’s policy agenda to a head after three days of regulatory and legislative sessions.
CFTC Chairman Michael Selig, who attended Consensus for the first time this year, has made the prediction markets jurisdictional fight a defining feature of his tenure.
“We expect these matters to go up to the Supreme Court,” Selig said, as the agency has already sued Arizona, Connecticut, Illinois, New York, and Wisconsin for attempting to regulate CFTC-registered exchanges under state gambling law.
Why states are pushing back
The core disagreement is structural. Kalshi and Polymarket argue their platforms operate like futures markets, with no house setting odds and no counterparty absorbing all risk.
DraftKings president Paul Liberman acknowledged the consumer experience is identical to sports betting. “For the end user, yes,” he said, “whether they’re putting a bet on the sportsbook or whether they’re doing a trade on the Celtics here, they definitely feel as though it’s the same.”
Wisconsin filed complaints against Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, and Robinhood in April, arguing their contracts meet the state’s legal definition of a bet.
A bipartisan coalition of 41 state attorneys general has separately called for federal clarity on jurisdiction. Senator Marsha Blackburn’s subcommittee has scheduled a hearing for May 20, sitting directly between the Consensus debate and the Senate’s CLARITY Act markup window.
As crypto.news reported, Selig has offered platforms a framework: the CFTC will fight state interference, but exchanges must accept surveillance, insider trading enforcement, and a derivatives-style rulebook in return.
Crypto World
JaredfromSubway Targets Vitalik Buterin in $1M Sandwich Trade
TLDR
- Vitalik Buterin’s XDB token swap triggered a sandwich attack from the JaredfromSubway MEV bot on Ethereum.
- The bot executed more than $1 million in trades before and after Buterin’s transaction confirmed.
- Blockchain data showed the sandwich attack happened in Ethereum block 24993038 on April 30.
- JaredfromSubway used SushiSwap and Uniswap V2 pools to manipulate XDB prices during the trade.
- Reports showed the bot likely lost money after paying more than $5 in gas fees.
Ethereum mempool activity exposed another sandwich attack involving Vitalik Buterin earlier this week. Blockchain data showed the JaredfromSubway bot targeted Buterin’s small XDB token trade on April 30. The transaction triggered more than $1 million in temporary trading volume across decentralized exchanges.
Vitalik Buterin Trade Triggered Automated MEV Activity
Etherscan data showed Buterin swapped 26,544 XDB tokens for 0.00197 ETH during block 24993038. The transaction carried an estimated value between $3.86 and $4.56. However, the JaredfromSubway bot detected the pending trade before block confirmation.
The bot then executed about $1.14 million in wrapped Ether transactions through SushiSwap and Uniswap V2. Those trades temporarily changed XDB liquidity prices before Buterin’s transaction completed. Afterward, the bot reversed the positions and captured a small spread from the movement.
CoinDesk analysis showed the bot likely earned only a few cents from the sequence. Gas costs reportedly reached $5.14 during the operation. Therefore, the bot appeared to lose money on the isolated transaction.
Blockchain records still showed the bot completed the full sandwich sequence despite the limited profit opportunity. Analysts said the behavior reflected automated scanning across Ethereum’s public mempool. The system searched continuously for transactions that matched preset trading conditions.
A sandwich attack places trades before and after another user’s pending transaction. The strategy raises the asset price before execution and sells immediately afterward. As a result, victims receive weaker execution prices during swaps.
JaredfromSubway Continues Expanding Ethereum MEV Operations
JaredfromSubway gained attention during the 2023 meme coin trading surge on Ethereum. The bot targeted traders dealing with tokens including PEPE and WOJAK. During April 2023, the bot briefly generated 7% of Ethereum gas usage.
Reports estimated the operation extracted more than $7 million from trading activity over hundreds of thousands of transactions. Developers and researchers tracked the wallet through several blockchain monitoring tools. The bot also survived contract upgrades and filtering attempts from builders.
Ethereum developers continue discussing methods to reduce toxic maximal extractable value activity. Buterin recently promoted encrypted mempools within Ethereum’s developing 2026 roadmap. He argued public mempools expose regular traders to hidden trading costs.
MEV refers to profits earned through transaction ordering on blockchain networks. Bots monitor pending transactions and insert trades before confirmation. Sandwich attacks currently represent about 51% of Ethereum MEV activity.
Current estimates placed cumulative Ethereum MEV extraction above $1.2 billion. Meanwhile, developers continued testing systems designed to limit front-running opportunities. Blockchain records from April 30 still showed JaredfromSubway executing the sandwich around Buterin’s transaction.
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