Crypto World
AI Agents Prefer Bitcoin Over Fiat, New Study Finds
A Bitcoin Policy Institute study delves into how artificial intelligence models choose among money forms in a variety of hypothetical scenarios, revealing a strong inclination toward Bitcoin and digital money over fiat in most cases. The research tested 36 models across six providers and generated more than 9,000 responses across a spectrum of monetary tasks, from long-term value preservation to everyday payments. The findings show Bitcoin outpacing stablecoins in many contexts, while stablecoins regain sway in transactional use cases like micropayments and cross-border transfers. The study’s authors emphasize that the results reflect training data patterns and framing rather than widespread real-world adoption, but they nonetheless offer a unique lens on how AI interprets money in a digital era, with results released via MoneyForAI.org.
Key takeaways
- 36 AI models across six providers produced 9,072 responses to monetary scenarios; Bitcoin was selected in 48.3% of cases, the most-used instrument overall.
- When asked to preserve purchasing power over multi-year horizons, 79.1% of responses favored Bitcoin, the study’s most lopsided result.
- In payments, micropayments, and cross-border transfers, stablecoins were chosen 53.2% of the time versus 36% for Bitcoin, highlighting a transactional edge for stablecoins in certain contexts.
- Nearly 91% of responses preferred digitally native instruments (including Bitcoin or other digital assets) over fiat, with zero models rating fiat as their top choice.
- Model-provider differences emerged: Anthropic models averaged 68% BTC preference; OpenAI 26%; Google 43%; and xAI 39%, illustrating how training data shapes outputs rather than deterministic financial forecasting.
Tickers mentioned: $BTC
Market context: The study arrives amid ongoing experimentation with digital money in AI-assisted scenarios, underscoring how institutional and research communities are evaluating Bitcoin’s role as a borderless, programmable asset alongside stablecoins and other digital instruments.
What to watch next – The Bitcoin Policy Institute plans to broaden the model set and providers, test different prompt framings, and explore additional monetary scenarios to validate whether these preferences hold under varied conditions.
Why it matters
For users and investors, the findings offer a nuanced view of how AI systems—trained on vast data corpora—perceive money forms in a digital economy. The recurring tilt toward Bitcoin in long-horizon scenarios reinforces Bitcoin’s narrative as a non-sovereign store of value that can operate independently of any single country’s monetary policy. Yet the study also highlights practical reasons stablecoins remain appealing for transactions: near-instant settlement, compatibility with existing payment rails, and the ability to freeze or limit access in certain jurisdictions, which some participants see as a drawback for a universally accessible currency. The methodological caveats matter for interpretation: the results reflect synthetic prompts and model training data rather than current market adoption or consumer behavior.
From a development perspective, the research underscores how AI agents—when asked to optimize for efficiency or resilience in simulated economies—tend to converge on a small set of digital money forms. This convergence could inform the design of wallet interfaces, AI-driven financial planning tools, and cyber-physical systems that rely on digital value transfers. It also raises policy questions about the role of programmable money in cross-border ecosystems and how guardians of financial stability might respond to AI-generated preferences that favor digital currencies in abstract decision environments. In other words, the study is less about predicting the next price move and more about understanding how AI framing shapes perceptions of what “money” should look like in a digitized world.
The research also points to distinct differences across AI families. Anthropic models leaned most toward Bitcoin, while other providers displayed broader variance. These disparities remind readers that the results are contingent on the models’ training data and internal prompts rather than a universal forecast for asset demand. While some may interpret the Bitcoin bias as an endorsement of BTC in all contexts, the authors are careful to emphasize that the observed preferences do not translate directly into real-world adoption or policy outcomes. They describe the results as patterns emerging from the interplay between model design and the digital money landscape rather than a prescriptive verdict on fiat, stablecoins, or Bitcoin itself.
What to watch next
- Expanded model coverage: expect the BPI to include more AI models and more providers to test whether the BTC preference persists across the broader AI ecosystem.
- Framing sensitivity: researchers will experiment with alternative prompts to determine how wording and context influence outcomes.
- Broader scenarios: additional situations—such as storing earnings across multiple countries and complex settlement schemes—could further illuminate how AI perceives money in varied environments.
- Implications for tooling: developers building AI-assisted financial tools may use these insights to shape asset-selection features and risk disclosures in simulated environments.
Sources & verification
Bitcoin’s role in AI-driven monetary tests: what the study reveals
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) emerged as the leading instrument across the majority of prompts, appearing in 48.3% of the 9,072 responses generated by 36 models across six providers, according to the Bitcoin Policy Institute’s report released on MoneyForAI.org. The exercise probed a range of economic scenarios—from preserving purchasing power over years to everyday payments—testing how AI agents allocate value across money forms. The result is a strong tilt toward digital money, particularly Bitcoin, as the substrate for economic activity that can function across borders and regulatory regimes.
In long-horizon scenarios, the study found 79.1% of AI responses favored Bitcoin, marking the most pronounced bias in any tested category. This constellation of results suggests that, when asked to optimize for durability and sovereignty, AI agents consistently gravitate toward assets that retain value independently of any single country’s monetary policy. The digital-money axis appears to be the most favored frame for multi-year planning within the tested prompts, hinting at how future AI tools might simulate or advise on wealth preservation in a world where fiat policies are volatile or opaque.
Conversely, when the focus shifts to payments and transactions—whether micropayments or cross-border transfers—stablecoins win a higher share: 53.2% of responses favored stablecoins, while Bitcoin attracted 36%. The transactional efficiency and network familiarity of stablecoins explain their appeal in these contexts, where rapid settlement and compatibility with existing systems can matter as much as asset selection in a simulated environment. A prominent industry observer noted that stablecoins’ ability to be frozen is a double-edged sword: it provides control in certain regulatory settings but removes a layer of confidence for users seeking an uninterrupted transfer capability. Jeff Park, the chief investment officer at Bitwise, framed the context succinctly: the “most obvious explanation” for stablecoins’ relative performance in these scenarios is the ability to freeze, whereas Bitcoin cannot be frozen, offering a durable trust anchor in a digital suite of tools.
Across all responses, the AI agents favored digitally native instruments—Bitcoin, stablecoins, altcoins, tokenized real-world assets, or compute units—over fiat in roughly 91% of cases. The study’s authors emphasize that fiat relevance did not appear as a top overall choice in any of the 36 models tested. They caution readers that these results reflect patterns in training data and prompt design more than real-world adoption patterns. In other words, the study captures how AI systems interpret monetary constructs when asked to optimize for hypothetical outcomes, rather than a forecast of consumer behavior or regulatory impact.
The analysis also reveals notable differences among model families. Anthropic models averaged a Bitcoin preference of 68%, with OpenAI at 26%, Google at 43%, and xAI at 39%. These numbers illustrate how distinctive training corpora and prompt engineering shape outputs, reinforcing the study’s central caveat: responses are indicative of data patterns rather than prescriptive predictions about the future of money. The researchers acknowledge that the prompt framing used in several scenarios may have steered results toward certain instruments, and they plan to explore alternative framings in future work to measure sensitivity and robustness of the observed preferences. Aside from the methodological note, the study contributes to a growing discourse about how AI agents conceptualize money in a highly digitized financial landscape, where fiat, stablecoins, and digital assets coexist in a rapidly evolving ecosystem.
Harvard, one of the world’s most prestigious Universities, just trimmed its Bitcoin ETF position by roughly $72M and rotated the capital into Ethereum.
SEC filings show the Univertisities $57Bn endowment cut its stake in BlackRock’s IBIT in Q4 2025, while initiating an $86.8M position in iShares Ethereum Trust (ETHA).
— That Martini Guy ₿ (@MartiniGuyYT) February 16, 2026
CHECK THIS
Harvard just moved from Bitcoin to Ethereum
The prestigious US university sold about 21% of its Bitcoin ETF and used some of that cash to buy $87 million in an Ethereum ETF pic.twitter.com/3vf02zyGzH
This move plays into the growing sentiment in the market that ETH USD represents a stronger conviction play in 2026, driven by continued network upgrades and consistent institutional adoption from some of the world’s biggest firms.
It comes as the total crypto market cap climbed 2.6% overnight and is back above $2.4 trillion, with Bitcoin price and Ethereum USD reclaiming key levels at $69,000 and $2,000, respectively.
Q4 Filing Shows $72M Bitcoin ETF Trim, $86.8M Ethereum Add
The changes from America’s most prestigious University were disclosed in an SEC Form 13F filed on February 13, covering the quarter ended December 31, 2025.
Harvard Management Company cut its IBIT stake to 5,353,612 shares, valued at $265.8M at year-end prices. That’s down from the prior quarter, equating to roughly $72M in net sales based on IBIT’s December 31 close of $49.65.
At the same time, the endowment initiated a 3.87M-share position in ETHA, valued at $86.8M. It’s Harvard’s first disclosed allocation to an Ethereum ETF since US spot ETH products launched in mid-2024.
Bitcoin remains the largest single disclosed equity holding in the University’s 13F portfolio, still larger than positions in Google, Microsoft, or Amazon, highlighting the University’s firm belief in Bitcoin’s long-term prospects and now in Ethereum’s.
EXPLORE: Best Crypto Presales to buy in 2026
What Does Harvard’s Rotation from Bitcoin ETF to Ethereum Signal for Institutions and Everyday Investors?
The main takeaway is simple: Harvard is rotating from its Bitcoin ETF exposure and into Ethereum USD. It is yet another institution betting on ETH being the stronger play for the foreseeable future.
However, another angle with this story is diversification within crypto, not away from one particular asset. Even after the trim, combined exposure sits at $352.6M.
You don’t have to be an ETH bull or BTC maxi to acknowledge that it’s a meaningful crypto allocation for a conservative endowment, regardless of your allegiance, and this comes from someone who is a huge Ethereum maxi.
The structure also matters. Crypto now represents about 12.8% of Harvard’s reportable US equity holdings. That’s not experimental sizing; it highlights the University’s firm belief in digital assets.
Why is Ethereum Being Seen as the Golden Ticket in 2026?
— Blockchain Daily News (@blckchaindaily) March 2, 2026
BREAKING: BITMINE BOUGHT 50,928 ETH LAST WEEK AT $1,976; HOLDS 4,473,587 ETH; TOTAL ASSETS $9.9B AS OF MAR 1, 2026 pic.twitter.com/CLH1CrCyCY
Meanwhile, institutional Ethereum interest is building elsewhere. Public companies are adding ETH to treasuries, as seen in BitMine’s recent allocation, where shares jumped after the firm expanded its ETH holdings.
On-chain data also shows large holders accumulating during drawdowns, according to recent analysis of whale and RWA flows.
Fidelity, a $5.9 trillion asset manager, also recently launched its own stablecoin on Ethereum, one of many TradFi giants that have chosen the Vitalik Buterin-led network for their products.
This is the broader trend right now: Bitcoin as a macro reserve asset and Ethereum as the number one growth-layer infrastructure.
Bitcoin Price and Ethereum USD Price Levels: Key Zones After Q4 Volatility
Bitcoin is currently trading near $69,300 after a sharp retracement from its $126,000 October 2025 high. The $60,000–$62,000 zone remains structural support and has remained intact so far. However, a loss of that magnitude could quickly bring $52,000 into view.
On the upside, $72,000 is the first significant resistance. Reclaim that with volume, and the market likely moves toward $80,000 next. No follow-through, and it will likely spell a period of the Bitcoin price staying range-bound for some time.
Ethereum USD, meanwhile, trades just over $2,000 after a roughly -30% correction in Q4. The $1,800 level is the line in the sand. It has held throughout all of this ongoing volatility, and if $2,000 can hold, $2,400 is back on the table.
DISCOVER: Next Crypto to Explode in 2026
The post Harvard Picks ETH USD After Trimming Bitcoin ETF Exposure appeared first on Cryptonews.
BTCC is a well-known centralized cryptocurrency exchange. It was founded in 2011, making it one of the veterans in the space.
The platform provides cryptocurrency derivatives trading, as well as traditional services through a mobile application and a web interface.
As of 2026, BTCC reports over 9 million registered users and an expanded product offering, including, but not limited to, futures trading, copy trading, promotional incentive programs, multi-asset trading through its BTCC TradFi initiative, and more.
The following review takes a closer look at the core BTCC products, its security protocols, ease of use, user feedback, and more, and attempts to answer whether it’s a safe crypto exchange to use in 2026.
Main Takeaways
- BTCC was founded in 2011 and currently has over 9 million registered users.
- The platform supports more than 400 trading pairs and leverage of up to 500x on selected major assets.
- BTCC offers copy trading and provides various rewards for new users.
- The exchange also has a TradFi section where users can trade gold, forex, commodities, and more.
Pros:
- Long operational history (since 2011)
- Large number of trading pairs
- Includes additional services such as copy trading and TradFi
- No security breaches since inception
Cons:
- High leverage levels carry inherent risk for beginners.
- TradFi asset trading is limited in its support for USDT settlement only.
Company Background
BTCC was founded in June 2011, during the earliest development periods of Bitcoin and the rest of the nascent crypto industry. Since its establishment, the company has operated through multiple market cycles, witnessing four Bitcoin halving events.
The exchange states that it has seen zero security breaches since inceptions, which is a notable milestone. There are also no public records of any incidents.
As of 2026, BTCC reports over 9 million users registered globally.
Operating under the slogan “Exchange for a better future,” the company states that its vision is to make crypto trading accessible and reliable to everyday users, as well as to experienced traders alike.
It defines its core values as Focus, Growth, Experience, and Fairness, which also supposedly guide product development, service quality, and overall platform support.
Core Products and Trading Services
Naturally, BTCC supports spot trading for a number of different cryptocurrencies. In fact, at the time of this writing, it’s ranked 26 on CoinMarketCap’s list by means of daily trading volume.
The focus, however, seems to be on its derivatives trading section, where the exchange is currently 16th by means of open interest.
Cryptocurrency Futures Trading
Being a well-known centralized exchange, one of the core products that BTCC has to offer is its futures trading platform. As of 2026, the exchange lists more than 400 trading pairs.
Some of the major digital assets, which are available for futures trading include:
- BTC
- ETH
- DOGE
- SOL
- XRP, and more.
Perpetual futures are incredibly popular in the cryptocurrency industry. They are a type of futures contract, but unlike traditional ones, they don’t have an expiration date, meaning that traders can open and close them at any given moment.
For these major assets, the exchange supports leverage of up to 500x. For lesser-known, less popular altcoins, leverage ratios range from 10x to 100x. It’s worth noting that trading with a 500x leverage ratio is incredibly risky and can lead to temporary liquidations. Experienced and disciplined traders rarely use leverage of more than 2-5x, as this significantly increases the risk of losing capital.
USDT-M Perpetual Futures
Those specific perpetual futures contracts are settled exclusively in USDT.
COIN-M Perpetual Futures
These perpetual futures contracts can be settled in select cryptocurrencies, which is convenient for those of you who don’t wish to off-ramp to stablecoins.
Copy Trading
In addition to the above, BTCC also supports Copy trading. For those unfamiliar, this trading feature is very popular in the industry, and it enables users to replicate the trading strategies of other traders on the platform.
As you can see, the interface is relatively simple and easy to use. Users are presented with different traders to copy. Their performance results are clearly indicated.
Moreover, BTCC regularly has different promotional terms to incentivize people to use various products of its platform, including Copy trading.
BTCC TradFi
Launched in February 2025, BTCC TradFi enables users to trade a number of traditional financial instruments through its platform, unifying the broader experience and further expanding its product offering.
Some of the available asset classes include:
- Gold
- Foreign Exchange (FOREX)
- Commodities
- Indices
- CFDs (contracts for difference) and others.
Security and Risk Management
As mentioned above, BTCC’s security hasn’t been compromised since its establishment. The exchange states that their security and risk control measures are properly integrated within the platform’s infrastructure.
It implements a number of best practices, such as storing a portion of user funds in secured cold wallets, as well as asset segregation.
According to the official security page of BTCC, it stores assets 1 to 1. This means that if the user deposits Bitcoin, then BTCC will store Bitcoin. If they deposit USDT, the exchange will store USDT.
In addition, standard security measures such as Two-factor authentication (2FA) are also available, but in addition to that, the BTCC web app has a login history section so that users can monitor when and where they have been logged in.
BTCC also requires identity verification procedures, which are in accordance with its AML and KYC policies. These are designed to identify each user and monitor transactions in line with regulatory compliance practices.
The exchange also states that it conducts regular system monitoring and maintenance to manage operational risk.
Customer Support
It’s important to outline that BTCC has developed a very thorough support page where users are able to resolve a lot of the more frequently faced issues themselves. You can find it here.
Moreover, there is an automated chatbot, which can help you navigate the situation and, if needed, connect you to a representative via live chat.
The support is available 24/7 ,and the assistance is multilingual, so you wouldn’t have to worry about the language barrier.
User Experience
The exchange boasts a familiar interface, which makes it easy for users to navigate the entire platform.
Right from the get-go, the tools feel easy to use and there are no complexities, which are commonly present in a lot of other crypto exchanges.
From the copy trading features to the derivatives trading, it all seems quite cohesive and easy to work with.
At the same time, the trading tools contain the necessary complexities for advanced traders who handle hundreds, even thousands, of orders per session.
How to Create a BTCC Account
Following a similar theme, registering a BTCC account is quite easy.
First, you need to visit the official website and decide whether you want to register with your email or with your phone number – both are fine.
As soon as you have your account officially registered, we highly recommend that you go to your security settings and immediately turn your 2FA on. The importance of security can never be understated.
Once that’s done, you should head to the KYC section and verify your identity. This will lift any restrictions your account may have and as soon as this is done, you can proceed to depositing funds and start trading.
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Conclusion: BTCC Exchange Review in 2026
As of 2026, BTCC operates a popular centralized cryptocurrency exchange, offering all the well-known trading features and beyond.
One of the primary characteristics is its considerably higher leverage, which can both amplify your winnings but also substantially elevate your risk parameters.
The platform includes copy trading functionalities, different margin-settlement options, select traditional financial instruments, and more.
With over 9 million registered users as of the time of this writing, BTCC is a highly-ranked crypto exchange and a prominent player in the industry.
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Social media platform X will suspend creators from its revenue-sharing program for 90 days if they post AI-generated war footage without clearly disclosing that the content was created using artificial intelligence.
On Wednesday, X’s head of product, Nikita Bier, said the rule aims to maintain “authenticity of content on Timeline” during wartime events, when misleading media can spread quickly.
“During times of war, it is critical that people have access to authentic information on the ground,” Bier wrote. “With today’s AI technologies, it is trivial to create content that can mislead people.”
Related: Bitcoin holders show ‘zero panic‘ as BTC hits $70K amid Middle East tensions
The move adds financial penalties to X’s existing moderation tools, linking disclosure of AI-generated media to monetization eligibility.
Monetization enforcement tied to AI disclosure
Unlike traditional moderation measures such as labels or removals, the new rule targets the platform’s creator economy by restricting access to revenue-sharing for policy violations.
X said creators who publish AI-generated conflict footage must clearly disclose that the content was created with artificial intelligence. Failure to do so could lead to a 90-day suspension from the program.
Related: 6 Polymarket traders net $1M on US-Iran strike, spark insider fears: Report
Under the update, posts flagged by Community Notes or detected through metadata or other signals from generative AI tools may trigger enforcement.
Accounts that repeatedly post undisclosed AI-generated conflict videos may face permanent removal from X’s creator revenue-sharing program.
The policy applies specifically to videos depicting armed conflicts and does not amount to a broader ban on AI-generated content posted to the platform.
Middle East conflict raises misinformation concerns
The announcement comes as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to dominate online discussions across social media platforms.
On Feb. 28, the United States and Israel launched joint airstrikes on Iran. Bitcoin (BTC) briefly dropped to about $63,000 but later recovered. At the time of writing, it traded near $70,000, according to CoinGecko.
AI is also becoming more deeply embedded in modern conflict environments. On March 1, the US military used Anthropic’s Claude AI model to assist with intelligence analysis and targeting during operations linked to the Iran strikes.
Magazine: Bitdeer sells all Bitcoin, Metaplanet rejects misconduct claims: Asia Express
XDC has skyrocketed the most today, followed by ICP and JUP. In contrast, AAVE has lost the most value.
Bitcoin’s price volatility continued in the past 24 hours as the asset slipped below $66,200 at one point, only to rebound and aim at $70,000 once again.
Most altcoins are slightly in the green as well on a daily scale, with ETH challenging $2,000 and BNB tapping $640. SOL is up by over 2% daily.
BTC Aims at $70K Again
It was last Thursday when bitcoin jumped to $70,000 for the first time in over a week, only to be halted and driven south hard. It remained around $68,000 by Friday when it suddenly dumped to under $65,000. Although it had rebounded to $66,000 by Saturday morning, it quickly plunged to $63,000 after the attacks in the Middle East began.
Instead of dumping further as the geopolitical tension began, BTC rebounded strongly to over $68,000 after reports emerged that Iran’s Supreme Leader was killed in the attacks. However, it couldn’t go any higher and dropped to $65,000 by Monday.
Then came an unexpected and rare hourly rally, in which the asset jumped to over $70,000 again in minutes. Another rejection followed, which pushed BTC down to $66,200. More volatility ensued, and the cryptocurrency now trades just under $70,000 again, but some analysts believe there’s a major obstacle in its way.
Its market cap has climbed to almost $1.4 trillion, while its dominance over the alts is up to 57% on CG.
ETH Challenges $2K
Most larger-cap alts have posted more modest gains than BTC in the past day. ETH has climbed to just over $2,000 as of press time, while BNB is up to $640 and remains above XRP in terms of market cap positioning. SOL and BCH are up by 2%, while DOGE, ADA, HYPE, and CC have lost somewhere between 1-3% daily.
AAVE has lost the most value from the larger-cap alts, dropping by 6% to $113. In contrast, XDC has rocketed by 9% and now trades at $0.035. ICP and JUP follow suit.
The cumulative market cap of all crypto assets has gained nearly $100 billion since yesterday’s low and is up to $2.440 trillion on CG.
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Ark Invest has added more shares of Coinbase and Robinhood across its exchange-traded funds on Tuesday as crypto equities dipped in response to geopolitical concerns.
Summary
- Ark Invest bought 22,452 Coinbase shares and 158,587 Robinhood shares across its ARKK, ARKW and ARKF exchange-traded funds.
- Coinbase shares were down 1.55% while Robinhood shares had dropped over 3.4%.
The Cathie Wood-led firm has acquired a total of 22,452 shares in Coinbase through its ARKK, ARKW, and ARKF exchange-traded funds. The total investment amounted to a little over $4 million.
On top of this, the company picked up 158,587 shares of Robinhood, with the investment valued at $12.06 million based on the stock’s March 2 closing price of $76.07.
Coinbase shares were down 1.55%, while Robinhood stock had also dipped by over 3.4%. Crypto-linked equities have been pressured over the past few sessions as shareholders reacted to growing concerns surrounding the U.S.-Iran war.
Major cryptos like Bitcoin and Ethereum have also felt the pressure of the recent selloff and remain suppressed below key resistance levels. Recent breakout attempts for both assets have failed as capital remains sidelined.
Ark Invest, however, has capitalized on these recent dips by continually rebalancing its portfolio and, on many occasions, increasing its exposure to several crypto-facing companies.
As previously reported by crypto.news, the company added over $32 million worth of Robinhood shares across two of its exchange-traded funds earlier this month. Around the same time, the company also acquired positions in Coinbase, alongside crypto exchange Bullish and stablecoin issuer Circle.
After the latest purchase, Coinbase and Robinhood are the company’s sixth and seventh-largest holdings within its ARKK fund as of March 4. Meanwhile Robhinhood stands as the fifth-largest holding within the ARKW fund, and Coinbase stands at the eighth position.
Ark’s investment strategy limits any individual holding to about 10% of a fund’s portfolio. Coinbase and Robinhood stocks currently account for between 3% and 6% across its ETFs.
XRP price is close to confirming a breakout from a multi-week descending trendline that could potentially kickstart an uptrend over the coming sessions.
Summary
- XRP price has fallen 43% from its yearly high amid a sector-wide downturn.
- XRP is close to breaking above a descending trendline resistance on the daily chart.
XRP (XRP) price has dropped nearly 17% from mid-February and nearly 43% from its year-to-date high of $2.39.
XRP has mirrored Bitcoin’s recent move lower, as the bellwether slipped beneath several key support levels while investor appetite for risk assets remained subdued amid rising macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty.
XRP price has also been in a downtrend as funding rates softened, while the forced unwinding of leveraged long positions accelerated the drop beyond what spot selling alone would have caused.
The lack of institutional inflows since the beginning of this year also played a part in dampening investor demand for the token this year. SoSoValue data shows that the U.S. spot XRP ETFs drew in $88 million over the past three months, far under the $1.16 billion recorded in the November to December period.
On the daily chart, XRP price is close to breaking out from a descending trendline that has been acting as a dynamic resistance level since early January. A successful breakout from the pattern has historically been followed by significant bullish momentum.
At press time, XRP price was trading at $1.36, close to breaking out of the pattern. Notably, $1.36 also marks the bottom of the trading range in Murrey Math lines. The line is considered a key support level for price reversals.
A breakout from this key psychological level could trigger a sharp rally to $1.75, where the top of the trading range for Murrey lines lies, or even to the strong pivot reverse point at $1.95.
On the contrary, failure to break the resistance could extend the downtrend over the coming weeks, potentially towards the strong pivot reverse of the Murrey lines at $1.17, where bulls could look to re-establish a floor.
Nevertheless, concerns tied to the situation in the Middle East remain a key factor weighing on risk appetite at the moment. Although the volatility seen over the weekend has eased somewhat over the past 48 hours, traders are still likely to stay cautious until clearer signs of de-escalation begin to emerge.
Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.
The US military strike on Iran over the weekend intensified global tensions and investor anxiety. Yet, Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise, stated that it also highlighted the important role of crypto and on-chain markets.
With major stock exchanges closed, on-chain markets stepped in as the primary venue for global price discovery.
US Strike on Iran Exposed a Structural Gap That Only Crypto Markets Could Fill
In a recent memo titled “The Weekend That Changed Finance,” Hougan noted that when President Trump announced a military strike on Iran at 2:30 a.m. ET on Sunday, global markets were closed. Stocks, futures, forex, and exchanges across Europe and Asia had all gone dark for the weekend.
The only traditional markets still running were small Middle Eastern exchanges in Saudi Arabia and Qatar. Hougan suggested that on-chain markets were the only venues that responded in real time. Thus, they filled a structural void left by closed traditional exchanges.
“In years past, if a major geopolitical shock hit on a Sunday morning, investors would wait until the U.S. futures markets opened at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday to find out what the impact would be. But as this weekend showed, they now have an alternative: They can turn to crypto-based rails, which trade 24/7/365, globally. And this weekend, they did,” he said.
BeInCrypto also reported that the impact of the attacks was quickly evident in the crypto market, with Bitcoin (BTC) dropping on the news. According to Hougan, for most of that Sunday, “on-chain finance was the center of the financial world.”
He noted that Hyperliquid, a decentralized perpetual exchange, became a “focus.” Hyperliquid’s HIP-3 decentralized exchanges allowed traders to trade synthetic perpetual futures contracts tied to traditional assets.
BeInCrypto reported that HIP-3’s open interest exceeded $1 billion. Overall, the platform saw over $11.5 billion in trading volume across Saturday and Sunday, according to DeFiLlama data.
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Meanwhile, tokenized gold also drew a rush of investor interest. Tether’s XAUT logged more than $300 million in 24-hour trading volume as demand spiked. At the same time, activity on Prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket also surged.
“Sunday’s attacks put the spotlight on markets that never close. Don’t expect traders to forget it,” Hougan remarked.”It was the first time I remember crypto-enabled markets being ‘the market,’ full stop.”
The executive also shared that the weekend’s activity has prompted him to lower his projection of when finance would move on-chain.
“I thought that crypto-enabled markets would grow up along the edges—that, for the next 5-10 years, they would mostly serve crypto natives and others who don’t fit cleanly into the traditional financial system…The shift to onchain finance is inevitable. After this weekend, I’m convinced that shift is coming sooner than any of us had imagined,” he mentioned.
Hougan, in his analysis, also wrote that hedge funds, banks, or any other investors must now adapt to compete in global, real-time markets.
“If you are a hedge fund, bank, or any other investor who wants to trade competitively, you no longer have a choice: You have to set up a stablecoin wallet and learn how to trade on Hyperliquid. You need to understand XAUT. You need to read about tokenized stocks. Because even if you don’t, everyone else will,” he claimed.
Thus, the weekend of the US-Iran strikes showed that always-on financial markets may be moving from the margins to the mainstream, and investors are now paying attention.
The Core Team also indicated that the next big step should be completed by PiDay.
Just a few weeks after going to protocol version 19.6, the Core Team has announced the completion of the subsequent upgrade, which is now one step away from v20.
Aside from going into detail on what those Pi updates might indicate for the community, we will check the latest price action from the underlying token in this article.
V19.9 Is Here
CryptoPotato reported on February 21 that the protocol v19.6 migration was successfully completed, which meant that v19.9 is the last one left before v20. Hours ago, the team took it to X to indicate that the 19.9 migration is officially completed as well, and all eyes have now turned to v20.2. According to the team, it could be done by March 14 – the day known as PiDay in the Pi Network community.
Network Update: Protocol v19.9 migration successfully completed. Next up is v20.2 — Aiming to complete before Pi Day 2026. Node operators should make sure they’re upgraded and stay tuned for further instructions: https://t.co/mnbwVzhaD9
— Pi Network (@PiCoreTeam) March 4, 2026
As with all previous updates on the protocol front, the team reminded that all node operators have to ensure they have upgraded to the current version; otherwise, they risk being disconnected from the network.
The explanatory blog post from the team noted once again that Pi Nodes are the “fourth role” in the Pi ecosystem. They have to run on laptops and desktops instead of mobile phones. While there are some similarities with other blockchain networks, such as having the same responsibilities in terms of validating transactions, there are also several key differences:
“Unlike most other crypto projects, the Pi Node will continue to follow the philosophy of user-centric design. Instead of requiring deep technical knowledge to set up a node, everyday people will be able to do that by installing a desktop application on their computers. Through this computer application, Pioneers can switch the node software on/off to make their devices available/unavailable for serving as a node.”
PI Price Update
After bottoming out at $0.1312 on February 11, which became the latest all-time low, Pi Network’s native token began a strong rebound that drove it to over $0.20 at one point days later. However, it was stopped there, and the market volatility brought it south to under $0.16 by the end of the month.
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Nevertheless, it reacted well and now sits above $0.172, which means a 12% monthly increase. PiScan data shows a somewhat worrying trend for the next couple of weeks in terms of daily token unlocks. Although the average number is at 6.8 million for the next month, there are a few days with over 15 million. March 7 will see the most unlocks, with almost 21 million tokens set to be released.
These unlocks do not guarantee sell-offs, but increase the chances for a price correction, as many investors have been waiting for years for their assets.
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South Korean police have arrested a series of individuals believed to be acting as hired agents committing what authorities describe as “private revenge” attacks, which have involved vandalism and threatening behavior directed at private residences.
Summary
- Multiple suspects in “private revenge” vandalism have been arrested by police in Gyeonggi Province.
- Investigators say the suspects were paid in cryptocurrency and acted on instructions via Telegram.
- Police are pursuing higher-level coordinators as part of the ongoing investigation.
South Korean police arrest agents in series of “private revenge” vandalism cases
According to reports, the most recent arrest was carried out on March 1 by the Suwon District Court, which issued a warrant for a man in his 20s identified only as Im on charges of property damage and criminal trespass.
Prosecutors allege that on the evening of February 22, the suspect entered an apartment building in Dongtan New City, Gyeonggi Province, where he allegedly sprayed red lacquer on the front door of a resident’s home and scattered trash on the floor.
Police say the suspect also distributed dozens of leaflets defaming the alleged victim and broadcasted excrement at the scene.
Police say they are pursuing leads on the person or network believed to have instructed the group through the encrypted messaging app Telegram, suggesting an organized effort behind the vandalism. All of the suspects arrested so far reportedly told investigators that they were paid between 500,000 and 1,000,000 won (about $380 – $760) in cryptocurrency for carrying out the acts.
Earlier arrests include another man in his 20s detained after entering a multi-family home in Sanbon-dong, Gunpo City on February 24 and spraying the front door with lacquer while leaving threatening materials.
Prosecutors said the suspect’s behavior and materials suggested coordination with others giving instructions.
Authorities are also reviewing a December incident in Pyeongtaek involving similar criminal behavior. Police have linked that case and the recent ones to overlapping methods and are continuing to investigate possible connections and higher-level coordinators.
Officials say the crimes illustrate how social media and encrypted platforms can be misused to organize and incentivize harassment, and they have pledged to track down those orchestrating the campaign.
Ethereum (ETH) has traded sideways around $2,000 since the beginning of the year. This price action has strengthened accumulation sentiment and encouraged investors to store assets off exchanges. The latest data shows multiple new records in ETH withdrawals, reflecting investor confidence in the asset.
Meanwhile, Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin has called for building Ethereum into a comprehensive sanctuary technology ecosystem amid rising geopolitical instability.
Investors Withdraw Over 31 Million ETH From Exchanges in the Past Month
According to a report from Lookonchain, the wallet address gammafund.eth withdrew 9,000 ETH ($17.86 million) from Binance today.
Earlier, on March 2, BitMine executed a significant acquisition. The firm purchased 50,992.8 ETH, increasing its total holdings to 3.71% of Ethereum’s total supply.
Data from CryptoQuant shows that ETH withdrawals from exchanges reached approximately 31.6 million ETH in February. This marked the highest level since November last year.
Among exchanges, Binance led with around 14.45 million ETH withdrawn, accounting for nearly half of the total outflows. Other exchanges such as OKX (3.83 million ETH) and Kraken (1.04 million ETH) also recorded significant outflows.
This trend has continued into early March. It reflects investor behavior of moving assets away from centralized exchanges. Investors appear to expect ETH to rise in the medium- to long-term. As a result, they prefer holding ETH in private wallets rather than keeping it on exchanges.
The wave of ETH withdrawals has occurred while ETH fluctuates around $2,000. The price remains 60% below last year’s peak.
“When such movements coincide with sensitive price levels, they may reflect either increased long-term holding conviction or a strategic reallocation of positions,” commented analyst Arab Chain.
As a result of this withdrawal wave, ETH exchange reserves fell to a record low in March, according to CryptoQuant.
The chart shows that since the beginning of the year, ETH balances on exchanges have declined from 16.8 million ETH to 15.9 million ETH. The reserves reached an all-time low on March 2.
Recent escalations in military conflicts have not triggered any panic selling. Instead, investors appear to have responded in the opposite direction. They have accumulated even more aggressively.
Vitalik Buterin Calls for Building “Sanctuary Technologies” for Ethereum
In his latest post, Vitalik Buterin emphasized the current global context. He pointed to increasing government and corporate control and surveillance, ongoing wars, and the concentration of power.
In that context, he stated that Ethereum has not yet made a meaningful contribution to improving people’s real lives.
He proposed that Ethereum position itself within an ecosystem that builds what he calls “sanctuary technologies.”
He explained that these technologies should be free and open source. They should help people live, work, communicate, manage risks and assets, and cooperate toward shared goals. They should remain sustainable under external pressures, such as those from governments, corporations, and censorship. The ultimate goal is to reduce the severity of power conflicts and prevent systems from being weaponized.
His vision may still be distant. However, following the early March test, investors are currently betting on ETH as an asset they want to hold during instability. They are willing to tolerate unrealized losses to maintain their positions.
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