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AI Swallows Wall Street: Stocks Hit Record 45% of S&P 500 Market Cap

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From NASA to Crypto: The Unlikely Journey of Benjamin Cowen

Artificial intelligence has now expanded its dominance to US equities and the credit market.

The shift is rewriting how capital flows through Wall Street, with AI-linked companies crowding out traditional sectors from benchmark indices while also redefining the largest corners of the bond market.

AI Stocks Hit Record 45% of S&P 500 as Credit Markets Follow Suit

AI-linked stocks now account for a record 45% of the S&P 500’s total market cap, according to data from The Kobeissi Letter. That share has risen by 20 percentage points since OpenAI launched ChatGPT in November 2022.

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The shift in the credit market is equally stark. A record 15.4% of US investment-grade debt is now tied to AI, up +3.5 points since 2020. It has also become the market’s largest segment.

Total AI-linked debt has nearly doubled since 2020, reaching an all-time high of $1.4 trillion. Hyperscalers such as Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, Microsoft, and Oracle have dominated the trend.

Together, the five issued $121 billion in US corporate bonds during 2025, well above the $28 billion annual average they posted between 2020 and 2024.

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“Never before has a single theme dominated both US equity and credit markets to this magnitude,” The Kobeissi Letter wrote.

The AI trade is also reshaping global equity leadership. Taiwan’s stock market cap climbed to $4.14 trillion, passing the UK’s $4.09 trillion for the first time.

The country’s market cap has tripled since 2020, driven almost entirely by semiconductor stocks. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) alone accounts for more than 40% of the market capitalization.

In effect, the trajectory of AI adoption and monetization may now set the direction for much of the global market. Meanwhile, any pause could expose how much of that valuation rests on a single theme.

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EIP-8182 Proposes Native Private Transfers for Ethereum Protocol

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR:

  • EIP-8182 proposes a shared shielded pool built directly into Ethereum as a native system contract.
  • Fewer than 1 in 10,000 Ethereum transactions were private in 2025, still below the 2020 peak.
  • The pool has no admin key or governance token and upgrades only through Ethereum’s hard-fork process.
  • Users can swap tokens on a DEX and reshield funds in one transaction while keeping their identity private.

 

EIP-8182 is a draft proposal that could bring private transfers directly into the Ethereum protocol. Currently, nearly every Ethereum transaction is fully public, exposing balances, payment amounts, and counterparties.

The proposal aims to address this by embedding a shared shielded pool into Ethereum itself. Fewer than 1 in 10,000 Ethereum transactions were private in 2025, remaining below 2020 levels.

The Core Problem With Ethereum’s Current Privacy Landscape

Existing privacy solutions on Ethereum face a structural challenge known as the anonymity-set chicken-and-egg problem.

Privacy on Ethereum works by pooling funds together, making individual transactions harder to trace. Larger pools offer stronger privacy for all users. Smaller, fragmented pools weaken privacy across the board.

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New privacy applications cannot offer meaningful privacy to early users. Without sufficient privacy, new users have little reason to join.

Once a pool grows large enough, users are reluctant to leave, even for a better product, because migration reduces their privacy protection.

This dynamic means the largest pool tends to stay dominant, regardless of quality. More competing apps mean smaller individual pools and worse outcomes for users overall. A shared standard has therefore been absent from the ecosystem.

A second problem compounds this: app-level privacy systems require upgrade mechanisms controlled by specific parties — multisig holders, token holders, or DAOs. Public transfers on Ethereum carry no such trust requirement, and a private-transfer default cannot either.

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How EIP-8182 Addresses These Structural Issues

EIP-8182 places a shared shielded pool directly into Ethereum as a system contract at a fixed address. It also introduces a ZK proof-verification precompile. The pool has no admin key, no governance token, and no on-chain upgrade mechanism.

In April 2025, Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin called for privacy tools to be built into existing wallets. He wrote: “Wallets should have a notion of a shielded balance, and when you send to someone else, there should be a ‘send from shielded balance’ option, ideally turned on by default.” A year on, that integration has not materialized at scale.

Any wallet integrating EIP-8182 connects to one shared anonymity set. Every new user strengthens privacy for all existing participants. Applications can then compete on user experience, proving speed, and developer tooling rather than pool size.

The pool evolves only through Ethereum’s hard-fork process — the same mechanism governing all other protocol changes. This removes the need to trust any third party for upgrades.

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What Developers Can Build Using EIP-8182

Recipients use standard Ethereum addresses and ENS names. No separate privacy-specific address format is required, and no off-chain coordination step is needed. A recipient registers once, and private sends work to their existing address thereafter.

EIP-8182 separates transaction authorization from proof generation. Users sign transaction details in their existing wallet and can optionally send them to a remote prover.

As the proposal notes, “the prover has the power to compute but not the power to decide,” meaning altered transaction parameters will simply fail verification.

Private funds can also leave the pool, interact with any public Ethereum smart contract, and return — all within one transaction.

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This pattern supports swapping one token for another on a decentralized exchange while keeping the user’s identity and destination private.

EIP-8182 is currently in draft status. The proposal is open for review at eip8182.com, where a full specification and reference implementation are also available.

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BTC price, U.S. dollar move in near-perfect opposition. It hasn’t been this extreme in almost 4 years.

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Daily swings in the ether-bitcoin ratio in candlestick format. (TradingView)

For bitcoin traders, the direction of the Dollar Index (DXY), a measure of the greenback’s strength against a basket of other currencies, hasn’t mattered this much in nearly four years.

That’s because the 30-day correlation coefficient between the two now stands at -0.90, according to TradingView, the most negative reading since September 2022. A reading below 0 indicates an inverse relationship: When the dollar weakens, bitcoin gains, and vice versa.

Keep in mind, though, that the reading, while widely tracked, can be influenced by bitcoin’s 24/7 trading structure, particularly weekend price action that is not mirrored in the Dollar Index’s weekday-only trading.

The coefficient of determination, or correlation squared, comes in at 0.81, implying that roughly 81% of bitcoin’s short-term price moves are statistically associated with moves in the index.

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Notably, bitcoin’s rally has stalled since hitting highs above $79,000 on Wednesday. This comes as DXY bounced to 98.75 from the April 17 low of 97.63.

This is an excerpt from CoinDesk newsletter ‘Daybook.’ Sign up here, if you haven’t already.

The outlook for the Dollar Index appears supported by broader macro risks, including elevated oil prices tied to the tanker traffic disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz and a continued U.S.-Iran standoff over ceasefire negotiations.

“Macro is still trying to lean against it [BTC’s continued rally]. Oil has risen for five straight sessions and Hormuz remains effectively constrained. That should be a headwind because it keeps the inflation channel alive and keeps risk premia from fully unwinding,” analysts at Marex said in an email.

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One positive is the sustained inflows into the U.S.-listed spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs). While those are keeping prices supported, industry leaders are still taking a cautious approach.

Anthony Scaramucci, founder of SkyBridge Capital, said bitcoin may not see a meaningful recovery until October or November, and the current price action aligns with BTC’s four-year reward halving cycle. He said that whales, who hold large numbers of BTC, and long-time holders have continued to sell into ETF-driven demand. Stay alert!

Read more: For analysis of today’s activity in altcoins and derivatives, see Crypto Markets Today . For a comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead.”

What’s trending

Today’s signal

Daily swings in the ether-bitcoin ratio in candlestick format. (TradingView)

The chart shows daily swings in the ether-bitcoin (ETH/BTC) ratio in candlestick format since July last year.

This week, the ratio fell nearly 3% to 0.02965, its lowest since March 15. The move has two bearish implications.

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First, it confirms a downside break from the short-term ascending channel that had guided the recovery from early February lows. Second, it pushes the ratio back below the broader downtrend line that has defined the decline since August.

This breakdown reinforces bearish momentum and increases the likelihood of further downside or extended consolidation in the ETH/BTC pair, that is, it points to continued underperformance of ether relative to bitcoin ahead.

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EU’s 20th Sanctions Package Targets Entire Russian Crypto Sector Starting May 2026

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Screenshot of Part of the EU’s 20th Sanctions Package Against Russia, Showing a Table of Prohibited Digital Assets

The EU Council has adopted its 20th sanctions package against Russia. It includes serious restrictions for the cryptocurrency sector.

For the first time, the European Union did not target individual platforms but instead imposed a sectoral ban on all crypto services registered in Russia.

The Garantex Lesson: Why Targeted Sanctions Don’t Work

The EU regulation explains why it has shifted to a sectoral approach. In February 2025, the Garantex crypto exchange was added to the sanctions list for facilitating access to the global financial system for sanctioned individuals. 

However, the measure proved ineffective. Investigations showed that Garantex’s operations simply migrated to other Russian legal entities. 

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The regulation acknowledges that targeted inclusion of individual exchanges and platforms in sanctions lists only leads to the emergence of new structures for circumventing restrictions. Hence, the decision was made to ban the entire sector at once.

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What Exactly Has Been Banned

The BeInCrypto editorial team has reviewed the materials and compiled all the prohibitions mentioned in the new package into a single overview.

Sectoral Ban on Russian Crypto Platforms

The main measure is a ban on any direct or indirect transactions with crypto providers and cryptocurrency exchange platforms from Russia. The rule is enshrined in Article 5bb of Regulation (EU) No 833/2014 and Article 1bb of Decision (CFSP) 2026/508.

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The ban will take effect on May 24, 2026. Before that date, market participants can complete their current contracts.

Exceptions are provided for EU diplomatic missions and partner countries in Russia, for EU citizens who lived in Russia before February 24, 2022, and for companies winding down business in Russia, but the latter require authorization from the competent authorities of an EU member state.

Ban on Specific Crypto Assets and the Digital Ruble

The list of crypto assets with which transactions are prohibited has been expanded. The RUBx cryptocurrency has been added. Also prohibited are operations with central bank digital currencies from the sanctions list and any support for their development from the EU. This measure is primarily aimed at the digital ruble.

A Kyrgyz organization that operates a crypto exchange with notable trading volumes of the ruble stablecoin A7A5 has been placed under personal sanctions. The name of the organization is not disclosed in the press release. 

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It will appear after the publication of the annexes to the regulation in the Official Journal of the EU. Earlier, in the 19th sanctions package, the EU had already introduced a ban on A7A5 and the affiliated Kyrgyz companies Old Vector and Grinex.

Screenshot of Part of the EU’s 20th Sanctions Package Against Russia, Showing a Table of Prohibited Digital Assets
Screenshot of Part of the EU’s 20th Sanctions Package Against Russia, Showing a Table of Prohibited Digital Assets

The EU Council notes: against the backdrop of large-scale financial sanctions, Russia is increasingly using cryptocurrencies for international settlements. In early 2026, transfers via the ruble stablecoin A7A5 exceeded $100 billion.

A Blow to Workaround Settlement Schemes

Another new measure is a ban on services that are formally neither banks nor crypto providers but help Russian clients conduct cross-border settlements. This refers to mutual offset (netting) schemes, reconciliation, and other mechanisms that allow circumventing sanctions.

“Mirror” and “successor” structures of blocked crypto providers and payment services also fall under the ban.

Transaction Ban for Banks

A ban has been introduced against 20 Russian banks. Four more financial institutions in third countries have been placed under restrictions for helping to circumvent sanctions or for links to SPFS,  Russia’s analog of SWIFT.

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Mirror Measures for Belarus

Similar cryptocurrency restrictions have been extended to Belarus. The sanctions regime against Minsk has been extended until February 28, 2027.

Not the Best Time for Sanctions

The EU sanctions have coincided with Russian authorities’ attempts to push crypto community participants onto domestic licensed platforms. The draft law “On Digital Currency and Digital Rights” envisages mandatory storage of cryptocurrencies in depositories under the control of the Central Bank, a ban on personal wallets, and a limit of 300,000 rubles per year for unqualified investors. It may come into force on July 1, 2026.

The result is a vicious circle. Russia is centralizing the crypto market and creating a single point of control, while the EU is imposing a sectoral ban on all Russian crypto services. Market participants, who the law will oblige to move to domestic platforms, will automatically be cut off from European counterparties.

Crypto that comes into contact with the Russian circuit may be flagged as “dirty.” This is how coins associated with Iran and North Korea are labeled, for example. In this case, moving it outside of Russia will be extremely problematic. Transactions will be associated with blocking risks.

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Wisconsin DOJ Targets Kalshi and Polymarket in Sweeping Prediction Market Crackdown

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Umbra Confirms $800,000 in Hack Funds Ran Through the Protocol — Pulls Its Frontend Offline

Wisconsin filed three lawsuits against Kalshi, Robinhood, Coinbase, Polymarket, and Crypto.com. 

According to the announcement, authorities are moving to shut down the platforms’ alleged facilitation of sports betting activity that Wisconsin treats as illegal commercial gambling.

State Crackdown on Prediction Markets Widens

The Wisconsin DOJ filed its lawsuits in Dane County. They seek a declaration that offering sports-related event contracts to in-state customers violates Wis. Stat. § 945.03(1m) and constitutes a public nuisance. 

The authorities are also pursuing both preliminary and permanent injunctions to bar the named companies from making sports-related event contracts available for trading by customers located in Wisconsin. Attorney General Josh Kaul framed Wisconsin’s theory bluntly in Thursday’s announcement.

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“Thinly disguising unlawful conduct doesn’t make it lawful. “These companies’ alleged facilitation of sports betting in Wisconsin should be shut down,” Kaul said.

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The press release noted that commercial gambling, including sports wagering, is prohibited in Wisconsin, with only narrow exceptions. The complaints also argue that the defendants have sidestepped that ban by rebranding sports bets as “event contracts,” which settle based on sporting outcomes, as traditional wagers do. 

“The complaints further allege that the companies collect a fee for every bet made, meaning they generate revenue from Wisconsinites by violating the state’s gambling laws. Kalshi, as one example, reportedly generates more than $1 billion in annual revenue from its sports contracts, representing around 90% of its total estimated annualized revenue,” the press release added.

Meanwhile, Wisconsin’s filings arrive two days after New York Attorney General Letitia James sued Coinbase and Gemini. James alleged that the platforms run illegal gambling operations “in New York through their so-called ‘prediction market’ platforms.” 

“Gemini and Coinbase’s so-called prediction markets are just illegal gambling operations, exposing young people to addictive platforms that lack the necessary guardrails. My office is taking action to protect New Yorkers and stop these platforms from violating the law,”

The actions reflect a wide enforcement push. Last month, Lawmakers Adam Schiff and John Curtis introduced a bill that would ban sports event contracts on prediction market platforms.

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Justin Sun’s Tron Is Buying Its Own Token And He Says It Will Not Stop

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Justin Sun Accuses Trump’s World Liberty Financial of Hiding Wallet Freeze Function

Tron Inc., the Nasdaq-listed treasury company built around Tron (TRX), bought another 152,162 TRX tokens on Friday at an average price of $0.3286, pushing its corporate holdings above 693 million tokens.

Founder Justin Sun signaled the accumulation campaign is far from over, urging followers to keep buying with a blunt two-word post on X hours after the purchase settled.

Tron Inc. Deepens Its TRX Position

Tron Inc. disclosed the buy through its official X account. The tokens sit in a publicly verifiable wallet on the Tron blockchain. Shareholders and analysts can monitor the stack on Tronscan in real time rather than waiting for quarterly filings.

At Friday’s average price of $0.3286, the purchase added roughly $50,000 of TRX to a position that has grown steadily through early 2026. Tron Inc. said it aims to keep expanding its Tron DAT, short for digital asset treasury, to drive long-term shareholder value.

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The company is already the largest publicly traded holder of TRX, a threshold it cleared in March after crossing 686 million tokens. Its accumulation program runs on near-daily purchases rather than single large tranches.

A Saylor-Style Bet Reshaped for Tron

The treasury model Tron Inc. follows borrows directly from the playbook that Michael Saylor opened to corporate America starting in 2020. A public company issues equity and debt to accumulate one digital asset, then markets its stock as a leveraged proxy for that asset’s price.

The approach has attracted imitators across the crypto industry. Altcoin treasury firms targeting Ethereum, Solana, and Tron have raised billions of dollars since 2025. Several have since stumbled as token prices churned and equity premiums compressed.

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Tron Inc. itself was formed through a reverse merger that raised roughly $210 million when the deal was announced in 2025. The company was previously known as SRM Entertainment before it adopted the Tron name and Nasdaq ticker in July of that year.

On-Chain Transparency and Market Questions

By routing every purchase through a single public wallet, Tron Inc. is leaning on blockchain transparency to court institutional buyers. The tactic contrasts with Bitcoin treasury firms that rely on custodians and periodic attestations.

The DAT model still carries familiar risks. A drop in TRX would compress the company’s book value and likely drag the stock lower. Ongoing US Securities and Exchange Commission scrutiny of Sun himself adds a regulatory overhang that traditional corporate treasuries avoid.

TRX traded near $0.33 at the time of Friday’s disclosure, within a few cents of where Tron Inc. has been buying through the quarter. Several altcoin treasury companies have struggled in 2026 as their stock premiums to underlying tokens narrowed.

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The next test is whether that two-word endorsement translates into sustained accumulation if TRX trades sideways or weakens. Tron Inc.’s transparent wallet means the market will see the answer in real time.

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Riot extends Bitcoin selling spree with fresh 500 BTC move

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Riot extends Bitcoin selling spree with fresh 500 BTC move

Riot Platforms has sent another 500 BTC to an NYDIG deposit address, according to on-chain data cited by Lookonchain. The transfer was worth about $39 million at the time of reporting.

Summary

  • Riot Platforms transferred 500 BTC worth about $39 million to an NYDIG deposit address.
  • The miner sold 3,778 BTC in Q1 2026, generating $289.5 million in proceeds.
  • Post-halving pressure and rising mining difficulty have pushed more public miners to sell Bitcoin.

The latest move adds to a series of Bitcoin transfers from Riot over the past two weeks. The miner has reportedly sent regular batches of 60 BTC to 125 BTC to NYDIG execution wallets almost daily.

Riot also made another 500 BTC deposit two weeks earlier. The repeated transfers show that the company has continued to reduce part of its Bitcoin reserves through institutional trading channels.

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Q1 report showed large Bitcoin sales

Riot had already disclosed Bitcoin sales in its first-quarter 2026 operational report. The company sold 3,778 BTC during the quarter and generated $289.5 million in proceeds.

The firm reported an average sale price of $76,626 per Bitcoin. These sales placed Riot among the major public miners using Bitcoin reserves to support business needs.

Riot remains one of the largest listed Bitcoin mining companies. Its recent activity comes as miners manage tighter margins after the latest Bitcoin halving.

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Moreover, the Bitcoin halving cut miner block rewards by 50%, reducing the amount of new BTC miners receive for each block. This has raised pressure on companies with high energy and infrastructure costs.

Mining difficulty has also continued to rise. Higher difficulty means miners need stronger and more efficient machines to produce the same amount of Bitcoin.

Many firms are upgrading ASIC fleets and expanding facilities to stay competitive. These costs can push miners to sell Bitcoin, especially when they need cash for operations, debt, or equipment.

Other public miners also sell BTC

Riot is not the only miner selling Bitcoin this year. MARA has sold more than 15,000 BTC for about $1.1 billion after revising its 2026 treasury policy to allow ongoing sales for operational needs.

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CleanSpark also sold 405 BTC at spot prices and another 500 BTC. Core Scientific announced the sale of 1,900 BTC earlier this year and said it planned to exit its Bitcoin holdings by the end of the first quarter.

The sales show a broader shift among miners after years of holding Bitcoin reserves. Public mining firms now appear more willing to convert BTC into cash as market and operating conditions change.

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Jane Street seeks to dismiss Terraform’s insider-trading suit

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Crypto Breaking News

Jane Street Group LLC, a prominent quantitative trading firm, has moved to dismiss a lawsuit brought by the administrator of Terraform Labs’ bankruptcy estate. In a Manhattan federal court filing on Thursday, the firm urged the court to throw out the case, which accuses Jane Street of insider trading that allegedly worsened the Terra ecosystem’s collapse.

The motion frames Terraform’s complaint as an attempt to recover funds from Jane Street to cover a fraud Terraform allegedly perpetrated on the market. The filing argues that Terraform’s claims rest on a mischaracterization of the firm’s trading activity and that any alleged wrongdoing by Terraform itself has already been prosecuted and resolved.

Terraform’s court-appointed administrator, Todd Snyder, filed the lawsuit in February, naming Jane Street, Terra founder Do Kwon’s associates, and two Terraform employees. The complaint accuses the trading firm of acting on material nonpublic information from Terraform insiders to profit from Terra-related tokens as the project unraveled.

In their motion to dismiss, Jane Street’s lawyers contend that the firm’s Terra-linked trades were motivated by ordinary market signals and public information, not any nonpublic tips. The court papers emphasize that Terraform’s collapse became widely visible to investors as the market pricing deteriorated, and that Jane Street acted to sell a deteriorating investment during the downturn.

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The filing also notes that Terraform’s own representatives have publicly linked the collapse to ongoing market dynamics, arguing that the timing of Jane Street’s TerraUSD sales does not align with any disclosed material nonpublic information. The motion points to Terra’s transition to a new liquidity pool in early May 2022 and asserts that Terraform failed to identify any specific nonpublic information that Jane Street allegedly learned, despite extensive pre-suit discovery.

For context, Terraform’s dramatic downfall occurred in May 2022 when its algorithmic stablecoin TerraUSD briefly lost its peg to the U.S. dollar, triggering a broader crash in the Terra ecosystem. The implosion sent the price of Luna token sharply lower and erased roughly $40 billion in market value, a specter that still shapes regulatory and legal scrutiny of crypto markets.

Jane Street’s submission argues that the fundamental questions about Terra’s collapse—and who bears responsibility—had already been addressed through criminal prosecutions. The motion points to the guilty pleas of Do Kwon on conspiracy and wire fraud charges, which culminated in a 15-year prison sentence, as evidence that the broader fraud narrative has been adjudicated by the courts.

On the factual point at the heart of the case—the timing of Terra-related trades—the motion asserts that Terraform’s complaint is self-defeating. It notes that Terraform claimed Jane Street’s largest TerraUSD sale occurred roughly 10 minutes after “material nonpublic information” allegedly became visible to the market, a sequence the filing says is inconsistent with the asserted information flow and timing. Jane Street also contends that Terraform failed to identify any specific nonpublic information the firm allegedly obtained, despite pre-suit discovery efforts.

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The motion requests that the court dismiss the suit with prejudice, meaning Terraform could not refile a claim against Jane Street on the same grounds in the future. Court filings offer a window into the procedural chess game unfolding as the parties navigate whether crypto market activity can be treated the same as traditional securities markets in insider-trading disputes.

As the litigation unfolds, the dispute raises broader questions about how insider trading claims will be treated in the relatively uncharted territory of crypto markets. The case pits a well-resourced market-maker against a bankruptcy administrator aiming to recover value for Terra creditors. The outcome could influence how other market participants respond to similar allegations in the wake of high-profile collapses.

In addition to the core claims against Jane Street, the lawsuit named Terra’s co-founder and individuals connected to the project. The legal maneuvering reflects a broader pattern in which investors and authorities scrutinize trading activity around controversial crypto events, especially those tied to failed guarantees, liquidity shifts, or ecosystem transitions. The balance between public information and alleged nonpublic tips remains central to the legal debate.

Observers will be watching closely to see how the judge weighs the timing of Terra-related disclosures against the process by which nonpublic information might circulate in crypto markets. The court’s ruling could provide a blueprint for how similar insider-trading theories are evaluated when the assets in question are algorithmic stablecoins, cross-chain tokens, or other crypto instruments that lack traditional centralized disclosure regimes.

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For now, the case sits at a crossroads of market behavior, regulatory scrutiny, and the evolving standard for what constitutes actionable insider information in crypto markets. The docket remains active, and future filings will likely shed additional light on how the courts interpret these complex dynamics as crypto trading continues to mature into a regulated, litigated landscape.

Readers watching this case should note the docket referenced in the motion, which is publicly accessible. The filing material can be reviewed in the docket entry for Snyder v. Jane Street Group LLC on CourtListener: https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/72321910/29/snyder-v-jane-street-group-llc/

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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DeepSeek Unveils V4: The Latest Open-Source AI Model Challenging Big Tech Giants

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

Key Highlights

  • DeepSeek unveiled two open-source AI models: V4-Pro (1.6 trillion parameters) and V4-Flash (284 billion parameters)
  • Each model features a 1-million-token context window, rivaling Google’s Gemini capabilities
  • V4-Pro achieves performance comparable to OpenAI’s GPT-5.4 in coding tests and ranks second only to Gemini in reasoning tasks
  • The company emphasizes significantly lower computational and memory requirements versus competitors
  • News arrives amid reports of Tencent and Alibaba negotiating investment deals valuing DeepSeek above $20 billion

Chinese artificial intelligence firm DeepSeek unveiled preview editions of its newest flagship open-source AI system, V4, this past Friday. According to the company, this latest iteration delivers enhanced reasoning capabilities, cost efficiency, and an exceptionally large context processing capacity.

The firm introduced two distinct variants: V4-Pro and V4-Flash. The Pro edition features 1.6 trillion parameters, while the Flash variant represents a streamlined alternative containing 284 billion parameters, engineered for superior efficiency and cost-effectiveness.

Each variant supports processing up to one million tokens simultaneously. This capability enables them to analyze substantial volumes of text in a single operation, positioning them competitively alongside Google’s Gemini in this dimension.

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The company noted that current models handle text exclusively. DeepSeek confirmed development is underway to incorporate multimodal functionality, which will enable future versions to analyze images and video content.

Performance Against Competing Systems

In MMLU-Pro testing, a standard industry benchmark, V4-Pro delivered results equivalent to OpenAI’s GPT-5.4. Performance placed it marginally below Google’s Gemini and Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.6. For reasoning benchmarks specifically, V4-Pro secured second place behind only the most recent Gemini release.

DeepSeek highlighted that V4 has been fine-tuned for integration with AI agent frameworks including Claude Code, OpenCode, and CodeBuddy.

The organization characterized V4’s context capacity as “world leading with drastically reduced compute and memory costs.” Industry analyst Zhang Yi identified it as an “inflection point,” suggesting ultra-long context capabilities could transition from experimental research environments into mainstream commercial applications.

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AI industry expert Max Liu characterized the launch as a “milestone” for China’s artificial intelligence sector, drawing parallels to the market impact when DeepSeek’s R1 initially debuted.

Financial and Strategic Landscape

This marks DeepSeek’s first significant new-generation model launch since R1 emerged in early 2025. That previous release sent ripples through global technology markets, affecting companies like Nvidia and Meta, by demonstrating that an economical, efficient model could rival expensive proprietary alternatives.

DeepSeek has not disclosed which semiconductor chips powered V4’s training process. Earlier in the year, U.S. authorities alleged the company utilized restricted Nvidia Blackwell chips. Subsequently, a report from The Information indicated training occurred on Huawei chips instead.

Huawei verified that its Ascend supernode infrastructure, utilizing Ascend 950 AI processors, would provide complete support for DeepSeek’s V4 systems.

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The model debut follows closely after reports emerged that Tencent and Alibaba are pursuing investment discussions with DeepSeek at a valuation exceeding $20 billion. DeepSeek ranks among China’s six premier AI unicorn companies.

A preview build of V4 is currently accessible through Hugging Face. DeepSeek has not yet specified a timeline for the complete public release.

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BTC price steady near $77,500 as derivatives signal cooling momentum, cautious sentiment

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BTC price steady near $77,500 as derivatives signal cooling momentum, cautious sentiment

Crypto volatility cooled on Friday, with bitcoin stuck between $77,500 and $78,500 range since midnight UTC.

The muted price action follows a failed breakout attempt near $80,000 on Wednesday, although the broader trend remains constructive, with the BTC price grinding higher through April and printing a series of higher highs and higher lows.

Ether (ETH) matched bitcoin’s performance on Friday, losing around 0.9% since midnight while also remaining in a narrow trading range.

U.S. stock futures were mixed, with Nasdaq 100 futures rising by 0.5% on the back of strong tech earnings and S&P 500 futures slipping 3 basis points.

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The Dollar Index (DXY) was little changed despite comments from U.S. President Donald Trump confirming that the ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon has been extended by three weeks. The dollar fell roughly 0.5% when the ceasefire was first announced on April 16.

Derivatives positioning

  • Bitcoin futures open interest has declined by over 6% to 744.3K BTC in 24 hours, as the rally in spot price pulls back to $77,500 after failing to hit $80,000 early this week. The moves suggest traders are unwinding leveraged positions and that bullish momentum is cooling in the near term.
  • BTC’s 24-hour open interest–adjusted cumulative volume delta has flipped negative, meaning sellers are hitting the bid more than buyers are lifting the ask over the period. Annualized perpetual funding rates remain slightly negative, indicating dominance of bearish short positions.
  • Futures tied to other major cryptocurrencies, such as ether (ETH), solana (SOL) and XRP (XRP), have seen lackluster trading over the past 24 hours.
  • Privacy-focused zcash (ZEC), however, stands out. Open interest in its futures has climbed nearly 7.5% to a 10-day high of 1.88 million tokens, while 24-hour trading volume has surged 80%.
  • The token also boasts one of the strongest positive CVD readings alongside positive funding rates, indicating sustained aggressive buying interest and bullish positioning overall.
  • While BTC and ETH prices have come under pressure, investors likely see it as a brief pause in the rally. That’s evident from the continued slide in bitcoin’s 30-day implied volatility index, BVIV. It has dropped to 42%, the lowest since Jan. 31. ETH’s index has dipped below 65%, also the lowest since Feb. 1.
  • On Deribit, bitcoin and ether risk reversals continue to show a bias for put options across all time frames. It shows persistent downside hedging by market players and upside volatility selling via covered calls.

Token talk

  • The CoinDesk Memecoin Index (CDMEME) was the only benchmark in the black on Friday, posting a gain of less than 0.2% while the DeFi Select Index (DFX) and Computing Select Index (CPUS) lost about 1% each.
  • DeFi tokens lido (LDO) and led the sector’s losses, falling by between 3% and 3.8% since midnight UTC as sentiment continues to suffer following last weekend’s $290 million KelpDAO exploit.
  • Privacy coin zcash (ZEC) gave back 0.5% of its gains on Friday, but remains up by more than 7% over the past 24 hours, buoyed by Thursday’s listing on popular retail trading app Robinhood.
  • CoinMarketCap’s “Altcoin Season” index ticked back up to 39/100 on Friday as investors began to make speculative bets while bitcoin remained range-bound.

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Michael Saylor says BTC winter is over. Market analyst disagrees, says bitcoin was in a pullback

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Michael Saylor says BTC winter is over. Market analyst disagrees, says bitcoin was in a pullback

Michael Saylor, executive chairman of Strategy (MSTR), the largest publicly traded holder of bitcoin , said Thursday on X that the crypto winter is over as bitcoin held above $78,000, a price level first reached early on April 22, according to CoinDesk data.

In a Game of Thrones-style image, dressed in a fur coat, a garment not particularly suited for when the winter is over, and mounted on a horse, Saylor, whose firm recently added 13,927 bitcoin, bringing its treasury’s total BTC holdings to 780,897, said “Winter’s over”, a statement not all crypto analysts agree with.

“Even if the winter is over for bitcoin, which I don’t agree with, it is still very cold for altcoins,” said Jason Fernandes, a market analyst and AdLunam co-founder.

For Mati Greenspan, a former senior market analyst at eToro and founder of Quantum Economics, what bitcoin and the broader crypto market have experienced since the Oct. 10 “flash crash”, which triggered roughly $19 billion in forced liquidations within 24 hours, does not even qualify as a crypto winter.

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“I’m not sure I would classify what we just saw as a crypto winter exactly,” Greenspan said, it was “more of a large pullback within a broader bull market.”

Greenspan agrees, however, with what Saylor appears to be suggesting: Bitcoin has reached its bottom and is likely to head higher from here. “Yes, I think it is very likely that we have seen the bottom,” he said.

Greenspan and other experts say that Saylor’s comments, along with his firm’s ongoing bitcoin purchases, suggest a transition into a more permanent institutional bitcoin era. A new cycle characterized by market dominance of corporate bitcoin treasuries and a shift in institutional sentiment.

Nation-state adoption

Even so, institutional adoption is just one piece of the puzzle.

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“Yes, increased institutional adoption will kick off this next leg, but what Saylor is missing is the nation-state adoption, which is undoubtedly right around the corner,” Greenspan said.

The crypto founder and market analyst said that, to date, the crypto industry has experienced three distinct adoption cycles.

The first, he said, was driven by early adopters in 2013. And then came the “mass retail awakening of 2017,” and, now, institutional adoption in 2021.

“The fourth and final major driver is nation-state adoption, which I believe will happen very soon, especially with the U.S. abruptly flipping course during U.S. President Donald Trump’s second term,” Greenspan said.

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“Imagine central banks adding bitcoin to their balance sheets to maintain price stability, similar to how they’ve added gold in the past,” he added.

To Greenspan’s point, nation-state adoption is already moving beyond theory and onto government balance sheets. Under Trump, for example, the U.S. plans for a strategic bitcoin reserve, though it is neither formalized nor operational; the government already holds roughly 300,000 BTC. El Salvador continues its daily purchase program toward a 7,500 BTC treasury, while China and the U.K. hold roughly 190,000 BTC and 61,000 BTC, respectively. Activity is also emerging at the sub-sovereign level, with entities such as Wisconsin and New Jersey introducing bitcoin exposure within public pension allocations.

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