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Crypto World

Apocalypse now? Top economist says crypto market looks bleak

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Bitcoin price

The crypto market continued its recent crash today, Feb. 5, with Bitcoin falling below the key support at $70,000 and the valuation of all coins moving to $2.3 trillion from a record high of over $4.2 trillion.

Summary

  • The crypto market crash accelerated on Thursday, with Bitcoin moving below $70,000.
  • Nouriel Roubini, a top economist, has warned of an impending crypto apocalypse.
  • On the positive side, Bitcoin and most altcoins have become highly oversold.

Roubini is ready for a crypto market apocalypse 

The Bitcoin (BTC) sell-off accelerated. And Nouriel Roubini, a top economist popularly known as “Dr. Doom,” expects the top cryptocurrency and most altcoins to continue falling. Why? Not enough people use them.

Bitcoin remains in a bear market, while gold hovers near its all-time high, despite many proponents calling it a safe-haven asset.

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Roubini, who accurately predicted the Global Financial Crisis, also warned that most cryptocurrencies were blockchain in name only. He said:

“95%  of ‘blockchain’ monies and digital services are blockchain in name only. They are private rather than public, centralized rather than decentralized, permissioned rather than permissionless, and validated by a small group of trusted authenticators.”

Doom isn’t alone

Other popular analysts have warned about the crypto industry.

For example, Peter Schiff, a top gold bull has continued to predict that the coin will continue falling over time.

However, other crypto proponents have argued that the ongoing crypto crash is a normal part of the process, citing other crypto crashes in the past. For example, Bitcoin dropped by over 70% in 2022 as companies like Terra and FTX crashed. In a statement, Michael Novogratz said:

“I do think we are at the lower end of the range. What I would say is we have been here before. Anyone who has been in crypto for more than five years realizes that part of the ethos of this whole industry is pain.”

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There are a few reasons why the crypto market may recover in the coming weeks or months. First, the Federal Reserve will likely continue cutting interest rates, which will make risky assets more attractive  

Second, the Crypto Fear and Greed Index has moved to the extreme fear zone of 11. In most cases, crypto prices normally rebound when the index moves to the extreme fear zone  as we saw in December last year.

Bitcoin price
BTC price chart | Source: crypto.news

Additionally, the Relative Strength Index of most coins, including Bitcoin and Ethereum, has moved to the extreme fear zone. Other oscillators, like the Stochastics have also moved to the oversold level, where rebounds normally happen.

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Crypto World

Iran Oil Tanker Fees Still Dominated by USDt, No Signs of BTC Yet: BPI

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Iran, Oil and Gas, Bitcoin Adoption

Iran’s government naming Bitcoin (BTC) as a payment method for oil ships crossing the Strait of Hormuz highlights its role as a neutral, strategic asset, according to Sam Lyman, head of research at digital asset advocacy organization Bitcoin Policy Institute (BPI). 

The government selected BTC as one of the payment methods for the tolls because of its censorship-resistant qualities, Lyman told Cointelegraph. He said: 

“This is one of the most significant situations where Bitcoin is very clearly a strategic asset. The reason why Iran wants to use Bitcoin for these transactions is that no one can freeze Bitcoin. No one can shut down the Bitcoin network.”

Iran is accepting oil tolls in Chinese yuan, US dollar-pegged stablecoins and BTC. However, there is “no onchain evidence” of a BTC toll payment so far, Lyman said, adding that the “majority” of Iran’s crypto transactions are denominated in US dollar stablecoins.

Iran, Oil and Gas, Bitcoin Adoption
Transactions carried out by the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps account for nearly half of the total crypto market volume in Iran. Source: BPI

The announcement from the Iranian government highlights why US lawmakers should recognize and treat Bitcoin as a strategic asset, rather than taking a hostile regulatory stance toward it or dismissing digital assets altogether, Lyman told Cointelegraph.

Related: Bitcoin community weighs in on reports of Iran’s crypto toll for oil ships

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Stablecoin confiscation is just a cost of doing business

“Iran has had a digital asset strategy for several years, going back to about 2018, and the majority of transactions that take place there are with USDt,” (USDT), Lyman said. USDt is a dollar-pegged stablecoin issued by the company Tether.

The Iranian government is using stablecoins, despite the ability of stablecoin issuers to freeze wallets, he said. “I think they’re rolling the dice,” Lyman told Cointelegraph.

He said that the Iranian government has been able to shift about $3 billion in cryptocurrencies since 2022, with the “majority” of that value denominated in stablecoins.

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However, the US Treasury Department was only able to freeze about $600 million in assets, according to Lyman.

“They were able to move $3 billion, and only have $600 million frozen. They were still able to move about $2.4 billion. So, I think that’s why stablecoins are still a go-to for the regime,” he said.

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