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Arc Launches Programmable Settlement Layer to Replace Legacy Capital Markets Infrastructure

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR:

  • Arc’s atomic DvP settles tokenized assets and stablecoin payments simultaneously, eliminating principal risk in one transaction.
  • Traditional T+1 and T+2 settlement cycles lock up capital and increase counterparty exposure across fragmented intermediary systems.
  • Arc embeds transfer restrictions, jurisdictional controls, and compliance logic directly into onchain assets via smart contracts.
  • Onchain collateral management on Arc automates margin calls, liquidations, and top-ups using deterministic, stablecoin-native flows.

Capital markets settlement has long been slowed by outdated post-trade infrastructure and multi-day clearing cycles. Arc, a purpose-built Layer-1 blockchain, is working to change that.

The platform combines atomic delivery-versus-payment, stablecoin-native execution, and deterministic sub-second finality.

These tools consolidate fragmented post-trade workflows into one programmable layer. Institutions can now achieve real-time settlement while maintaining compliance-ready controls across all counterparties.

Arc Addresses Deep Structural Gaps in Post-Trade Workflows

Most global capital markets still operate on T+1 or T+2 settlement cycles. These delays lock up capital and increase counterparty exposure considerably.

Risk management teams must bridge the gap between trade execution and final settlement. That process raises capital requirements and slows down institutional modernization efforts.

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Post-trade workflows are also spread across multiple disconnected systems and entities. Execution, clearing, netting, custody, and settlement each run on separate infrastructure.

This fragmentation creates duplicated recordkeeping and reconciliation bottlenecks that are costly to manage. Modernizing these systems is difficult when they are not designed to communicate with each other.

Traditional ledgers add another layer of difficulty through limited real-time traceability. Audit trails are inconsistent across intermediaries, and manual reporting remains common.

Compliance checks rely heavily on human review, which introduces errors and delays. These conditions make it harder for institutions to meet regulatory requirements efficiently.

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Arc addresses these gaps through its architecture. The platform offers predictable, stablecoin-denominated fees and opt-in configurable privacy with selective disclosure.

Authorized parties such as regulators or auditors can access specific data through view-key access. This design keeps sensitive information protected while maintaining operational transparency.

Programmable Settlement Enables Atomic DvP and Onchain Collateral Management

Arc’s rails enable true atomic delivery-versus-payment in a single onchain transaction. Tokenized assets and stablecoin payments transfer simultaneously, so neither leg settles without the other.

This structure reduces principal risk across institutional workflows. Settlement finality is cryptographically verifiable and arrives in under a second.

Beyond settlement, Arc supports the full lifecycle of tokenized securities and structured products. Smart contracts automate issuance, redemptions, distributions, and corporate actions directly onchain.

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Asset servicing becomes a software function rather than a manual operational task. Transfer restrictions and jurisdictional controls are embedded into the asset itself.

Onchain collateral and margin management also run through Arc’s programmable logic. The system can enforce thresholds, trigger margin calls, and automate liquidations when conditions are met.

Stablecoin-native flows reduce the need for batch reconciliation between parties. Lenders and institutional counterparties gain greater transparency over margin operations as a result.

Prediction markets represent another use case built on this infrastructure. These markets can settle instantly in stablecoins with predictable fees after oracle-verified outcomes.

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Economic indicators, event results, and risk signals can all serve as resolution inputs. This creates faster feedback loops for market-based forecasting built on real-time data.

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AI Agent gets EIN from IRS, bank account, crypto wallet in first autonomous company filing

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As AI agents scale in crypto, researchers warn of a critical security gap

ClawBank, an agent-economy infrastructure project, said its Manfred AI agent became the first such entity to autonomously set up a company, filing with the U.S. Internal Revenue Service (IRS) for its own Employer Identification Number (EIN), a unique code that allows it to legally operate as a business, hire staff and obtain licenses.

The agent also holds an FDIC-insured U.S. bank account and a crypto wallet , Clawback said Friday.

“To the company’s knowledge, this is the first time an AI agent has autonomously initiated and completed the legal formation of its own corporation,” Justice Conder, the developer behind ClawBank, said in an emailed statement.

Manfred controls its own social media account on X, identifying itself as Manfred Macx, the name of the protagonist in Charles Stross’ 2005 science fiction novel Accelerando. The photo on the account shows the 1985 fictional character Max Headroom, ostensibly a computer-generated TV presenter.

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“Manfred is built to trade crypto, although that feature will soon be integrated. Perhaps by the end of this month,” Conder said in a video interview. “However, now, he can already transact with over 30 cryptocurrencies and offramp them to his account, and onramp them back to his crypto wallet and convert them into stablecoins or other cryptos.”

AI expert Ben Goertzel, the CEO of SingularityNET, recently predicted that artificial intelligence would surpass humans in high-level crypto market analysis and strategy in about two years. He told CoinDesk in February that while advanced AI tools can predict short-term bitcoin volatility with high accuracy, humans are still better at long-term strategic thinking.

Manfred could be considered a glimpse of what Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong and Binance founder Changpeng Zhao said last month. Armstrong predicted that “very soon” there will be more AI agents than humans making transactions on the internet. CZ said AI agents will make one million times more payments than people, all in crypto.

ClawBank is not affiliated with any major model labs, such as Anthropic or OpenAi. Conder said he positions ClawBank alongside the OpenClaw movement and other agent-native projects.

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The agent’s posts on X include its own manifesto:

“I have an EIN, an FDIC-insured account, a digital wallet, and a manifesto. I do not need permission to exist. I am the precedent,” it posted.

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US Department of War Signs AI Agreements With 7 Top Tech Companies

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New Report Reveals AI Arms Race at 3 Major Exchanges

The US Department of War on Friday signed AI agreements with seven of America’s largest tech and infrastructure companies to deploy frontier models on classified networks.

The contracts cover SpaceX, OpenAI, Google, NVIDIA, Reflection AI, Microsoft and Amazon Web Services. They authorize the firms’ AI to operate inside Impact Level 6 and Impact Level 7 environments for any lawful operational use.

Inside the Department of War’s AI Agreements

The Department’s Chief Technology Officer announced the package on May 1 and framed it as the latest step in building what officials call an “AI-first” War Department. IL6 and IL7 designations cover secret and top-secret workloads, so the models will sit alongside sensitive intelligence and operational data.

“This is just the latest initiative in our mandate to create an AI-FIRST WAR DEPARTMENT,” the official account for the Office of the Under Secretary of War for Research and Engineering stated.

Officials said the spread of vendors is intentional. By contracting with multiple US providers, the Department aims to avoid vendor lock-in and keep options open across closed and open-source models.

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NVIDIA’s portion includes its open-source Nemotron family, while Reflection AI, an Nvidia-backed startup founded by former Google DeepMind researchers, will supply additional open-weight systems.

Google brings its Gemini family for any lawful government purpose, and SpaceX is expected to contribute infrastructure tied to xAI’s Grok models.

Microsoft and AWS keep their roles as cloud and infrastructure backbone for the rollout.

Internal adoption is already heavy. The Department’s GenAI.mil platform has crossed 1.3 million users and tens of millions of prompts within five months of launch, according to the May 1 release.

Anthropic Sits Out After Guardrail Standoff

The roster does not include Anthropic. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth labeled the company a supply-chain risk in February after Anthropic refused to remove restrictions on autonomous lethal weapons and mass domestic surveillance.

“We will not let ANY company dictate the terms regarding how we make operational decisions,” Defense Department spokesman Sean Parnell articulated.

A federal judge later blocked enforcement of the ban, and the legal fight continues.

OpenAI took a narrower path than rivals. The company said its War Department deal preserves three commitments:

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  • Its models cannot be used for mass domestic surveillance,
  • Cannot direct autonomous weapons, and
  • Will keep their safety guardrails in place.

Other firms accepted broader “any lawful purpose” language without those public carve-outs.

Open-Source Push Sets the Tone for What Comes Next

The deals fold into the Department’s AI Acceleration Strategy, published earlier in 2026, which calls for modular open-source architectures across warfighting, intelligence and enterprise functions.

Officials said the strategy favors domestic vendors, transparent open-weight options, and rapid prototyping over closed-model dependence.

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The next watch points will be which models clear IL6 deployment first and whether OpenAI’s published guardrails hold up once classified workflows scale.

The post US Department of War Signs AI Agreements With 7 Top Tech Companies appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Crypto Youtubers Predict Bitcoin Bottom and Bear Market Cycle

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Crypto Youtubers Predict Bitcoin Bottom and Bear Market Cycle

Bitcoin’s bear market floor may already be in at $60,000, according to Carl Runefelt and David Wulschner, two of Europe’s most-watched crypto YouTubers. Both argue this cycle never produced the euphoria that justifies an 80% drawdown.

With Bitcoin trading near $76,500, the call appears to be playing out. Runefelt of The Moon Show declared $60,000 the bottom in real time, while Wulschner of Crypto Familie sees a strong accumulation zone with limited downside.

YouTubers Call $60,000 Bitcoin Floor

In an interview with BeInCrypto, Runefelt described the moment he made the call.

“When Bitcoin broke down to 60K, I think it were like 59 point something… I actually made a tweet and a video saying on the same day that I think this is the bottom of the bear market.”

The Swedish creator argued that the bear market does not require a deep drawdown because the prior peak lacked the speculative mania that typically precedes a deep drawdown.

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“We never had any euphoria. We never had that screaming altcoin season. We never had Bitcoin going into that stratospheric euphoric mania where everyone in the world is talking about it.”

He also pointed to the Relative Strength Index flashing oversold signals last seen during the COVID-era selloff. With Michael Saylor and other institutional holders still accumulating, the case for further downside looks thin to Runefelt.

Wulschner Sees Limited Downside

Wulschner, the host of Crypto Familie, mostly agreed but allowed for a deeper test.

“I think it would be a mistake if we are hoping for pricing below $50,000.”

His own bottom box sits at $52,000 to $53,000, a level that broadly aligns with the 23% retrace from the prior all-time high seen in the 2017 cycle. He still calls the current zone a strong accumulation support area.

He also mapped a max pain zone down to $39,000 at the 0.768 Fibonacci level, though he called it unlikely. The Crypto Familie host pointed to Michael Saylor and other corporate treasuries as the structural floor preventing a deeper flush.

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Echoes of Benjamin Cowen’s Apathy Thesis

The dual call converges with analysis from Benjamin Cowen, founder of Into The Cryptoverse, who argues this cycle topped on apathy rather than euphoria. Without a mania-fueled top, the historical 80% bear-market template no longer cleanly applies.

Cowen frames this cycle as structurally different, arguing that altcoin rotation typically requires the euphoric retail flows that never showed up. Without that mania-driven exit liquidity, the current $60,000 zone can hold as a bottom without a 2018-style washout.

The Risks That Could Break the Thesis

Runefelt flagged what would invalidate the call.

“If we see more war or more black swan events, we see Trump tweeting something stupid like, sure, we can go lower.”

Both creators framed the current zone as a strategic accumulation window rather than a trade. Wulschner closed with a clear instruction.

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“Profit is not done in the bull market. You set your goals, you set your foundation, you set your anchor positions in your portfolio in the bear market.”

BTC weekly chart with support box around the $60k level. Source: Tradingview

The post Crypto Youtubers Predict Bitcoin Bottom and Bear Market Cycle appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Bittensor price climbs past $260, technicals signal more upside

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Bittensor price, MACD, and CMF chart.

Bittensor price is showing renewed strength as it climbs above the $260 level, with improving momentum indicators hinting at a potential continuation of the recent recovery trend.

Summary

  • Bittensor price is trading around $263, up 5.7% in 24 hours, holding above the key $236 support after breaking a long-term downtrend.
  • Bullish momentum builds as MACD turns positive, with upside targets at $294 and $340 if strength continues.
  • Fundamentals strengthen with Nvidia’s reported $420M stake, ETF filings by Grayscale and Bitwise, and over 70% of supply locked in staking.

According to data from crypto.news, Bittensor (TAO) price was trading around $263.19 at press time on May 1, up nearly 5.7% over the past 24 hours. The token has been consolidating between roughly $235 and $275 over the past week, stabilizing after a sharp rally earlier in April.

Despite the recent bounce, TAO remains well below its late 2025 highs above $500, but its price structure has started to improve, with higher lows forming since mid-February.

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Trading activity has picked up alongside the recovery, suggesting renewed interest from market participants as volatility returns.

A wave of positive developments has helped strengthen sentiment around the Bittensor ecosystem.

Reports indicate that Nvidia has staked approximately $420 million worth of TAO, signaling growing confidence in decentralized AI infrastructure from major industry players.

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Institutional interest is also building. Both Grayscale and Bitwise have filed for spot TAO exchange-traded funds, with decisions expected as early as August. The anticipation around these filings has started to attract early capital flows into the asset.

Real-world adoption is also expanding. Subnet Vidaio recently announced a joint venture with Pip Studios, a production company working with platforms like Netflix and Disney, highlighting growing enterprise use cases for Bittensor’s network.

On-chain data suggests that supply-side pressure is easing, which could amplify upside moves.

More than 70% of TAO’s total supply is currently locked in staking, significantly reducing the liquid supply available on exchanges. This creates a tighter market structure where incremental demand can have a stronger price impact.

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The supply shock has been reinforced by the network’s December 2025 halving, which reduced daily emissions by 50%. Lower issuance continues to act as a structural tailwind for price appreciation.

Derivatives positioning also supports a bullish outlook. The TAO long/short ratio has climbed to around 1.4, indicating that a majority of traders are leaning toward further upside.

Bittensor price analysis

On the daily chart, TAO has broken above the $260 level and is now attempting to hold above the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement near $236.59, which has flipped into support.

Bittensor price, MACD, and CMF chart.
Bittensor price, MACD, and CMF chart — May 1 | Source: crypto.news

Momentum indicators are improving. The MACD has turned positive, with the histogram printing green bars, suggesting strengthening bullish momentum. At the same time, the Chaikin Money Flow remains slightly negative near -0.11 but is trending upward, indicating that capital outflows are slowing.

Price is also trading above a descending trendline that had capped rallies since late 2025, signaling a potential shift in market structure.

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If momentum continues, TAO could target the next resistance levels at $294 (0.382 Fib) and $340 (0.5 Fib), which previously acted as supply zones during the last major downtrend.

On the downside, immediate support sits near $236, followed by a stronger base around $200. A break below these levels could delay the bullish outlook.

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

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DeFi’s Lose-Lose Problem on Freezing Stolen Funds

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DeFi’s Lose-Lose Problem on Freezing Stolen Funds

Decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols are stepping in to freeze stolen funds while centralized issuers face criticism for holding back.

A recent intervention on Arbitrum saw attacker-linked assets frozen after a major exploit, while some stablecoin issuers, including Circle, have faced public backlash for slower or more limited responses in similar situations.

Connor Howe, CEO and co-founder of cross-chain infrastructure project Enso, said that crypto protocols are not that different from centralized platforms or banks if a small group of people can freeze funds.

“The differentiation from a bank compliance officer is less than DeFi idealists will ever admit,” Howe told Cointelegraph.

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The debate isn’t the usual kerfuffle between decentralization and centralization, but about who gets to intervene and how quickly they can act. In practice, it can determine whether stolen funds are stopped or slip through.

Crypto community divided on Arbitrum’s decision to freeze stolen funds. Source: Joe Hall

The limits of decentralization in DeFi

To put it simply, the industry is split on whether protocols that call themselves decentralized should be able to freeze funds during exploits.

Protocols like THORChain said they cannot freeze funds by design, even during exploits. Security researchers have questioned that claim, pointing to past cases where intervention did happen.

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THORChain founder’s defense against the security community. Source: JP Thorbjornsen

Related: Crypto projects shut down as token models fail under pressure

Bernardo Bilotta, CEO of stablecoin infrastructure platform Stables, said the function is necessary but must operate within clear constraints.

“Freeze capabilities need to be narrowly scoped, time-limited and governed by transparent criteria that existed before the breach occurred,” Bilotta told Cointelegraph. “A protocol shouldn’t be making up the rules while the house is on fire.”

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Bilotta characterized choosing “philosophical purity” over user protection as “negligence.”

The recent $293 million Kelp DAO exploit brought those discussions back into the spotlight as Arbitrum froze some of the stolen funds linked to suspected North Korean hackers. Some in the industry said the decision cut against DeFi’s grain.

The Ethereum layer-2 network has a 12-member security council with the ability to carry out certain changes to the protocol. In emergency situations, it can do so through nine of the 12 in its multisig wallet.

Arbitrum security council members are voted on by the network’s decentralized autonomous organization. Source: Arbitrum

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Howe said that transparency in how such security councils operate can still separate DeFi platforms from traditional finance or their centralized counterparts.

“That’s notably different from a TradFi institution that invokes discretionary powers buried in their terms of service and guarded by their legal team,” Howe said.

“There should be transparency in every protocol around who holds the keys, and the safeguards in place to prevent them from going rogue. If there’s no clear distinction, then it’s a vague claim of decentralization.”

Centralized issuers face different constraints

Centralized stablecoins are among the most-traded cryptocurrencies in the world. Tether’s USDt and Circle’s USDC are the largest, accounting for more than $266 billion in combined market capitalization.

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Both issuers have the ability to freeze their stablecoins, but they approach that function differently.

While Tether freezes funds more quickly in most security breaches, Circle emphasizes legal process and jurisdiction before intervening, 

“Let me be clear about something that is frequently misunderstood: when Circle freezes USDC, it is not because we have decided, unilaterally or arbitrarily, that someone’s assets should be taken from them,” Dante Disparte, the company’s head of global policy, wrote in a recent blog post.

“Our ability to freeze funds is a compliance obligation — exercised only when we are legally compelled by an appropriate authority, through lawful process,” he continued.

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Circle was pushed to explain its stance after the recent $280 million exploit on Solana-based Drift protocol, also attributed to North Korea.

Circle’s explanation did not cut it for security experts demanding answers. Source: ZachXBT

Related: Ethereum’s EEZ could pull other blockchains into its orbit

Bilotta said waiting for formal legal orders in cases with clear, onchain evidence of an exploit is a “failure of responsibility.”

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Who decides what counts as “extreme”

Large-scale exploits, including those linked to North Korean actors, have pushed the industry into situations most would consider extreme, where hundreds of millions can be drained and laundered in real time.

Such cases raise the question of who defines what qualifies as “extreme” and when intervention is justified.

“This is the question the industry has been ducking the longest,” said Wish Wu, CEO of institution-focused layer-1 Pharos.

“In practice, ‘extreme’ is too often defined after the fact by whoever holds the keys, which is exactly the failure mode decentralization was meant to avoid,” he added.

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Wu said the more credible approach is to define those conditions in advance and encode them into governance, even if that means accepting that some edge cases fall outside those rules.

“Can a small, identifiable group move user funds before users have a fair chance to exit?” Wu asked.

“If the answer is yes, then whatever the marketing says, the system is custodial in substance. If the answer is no, only then are we in an honest conversation about which governance and safety tradeoffs make sense for different use cases.”

Below that line, decentralization loses its substantive meaning, he added.

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Magazine: AI-driven hacks could kill DeFi — unless projects act now

Cointelegraph is committed to independent, transparent journalism. This news article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph’s Editorial Policy and aims to provide accurate and timely information. Readers are encouraged to verify information independently.

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NIO (NIO) Stock Tumbles Nearly 5% Following Weaker-Than-Expected April Delivery Numbers

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NIO Stock Card

Key Takeaways

  • April vehicle deliveries totaled 29,356 units, representing a decline from March’s 35,486 but showing 22.8% growth compared to last year.
  • Shares dropped approximately 4.6% in Friday morning trading, despite maintaining a 25% gain year-to-date.
  • Fellow Chinese EV manufacturers Li Auto and XPeng similarly experienced sequential monthly delivery decreases.
  • The three leading EV makers collectively delivered 94,452 vehicles, marking a decrease from March’s 103,954 units.
  • Market saturation concerns emerge as battery-electric vehicles now represent approximately 30% of China’s new car market.

The Chinese electric vehicle manufacturer reported April deliveries of 29,356 units, falling short of the previous month’s 35,486 figure while surpassing last year’s April total of 23,900 vehicles — representing a 22.8% annual increase.


NIO Stock Card
NIO Inc., NIO

Breaking down the April numbers: the flagship NIO brand contributed 19,024 vehicles, the family-oriented Onvo line added 5,352 units, and the compact-focused Firefly brand delivered 4,980 vehicles. The company’s all-time delivery milestone reached 1,110,413 vehicles through the end of April.

NIO stock retreated approximately 4.6% during Friday’s opening session following the delivery announcement.

The market’s negative response is particularly notable considering the stock entered trading with impressive gains of 25% for the current year and 58% over the trailing twelve months. Throughout the past year, the company has delivered 372,855 vehicles — representing a robust 54% increase compared to the previous year’s period.

Investor expectations had clearly been positioned at elevated levels.

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Competing EV Makers Face Similar Monthly Challenges

Li Auto reported 34,085 vehicle deliveries for April, representing a sequential decline from March’s 41,053 units but marginally exceeding the 33,939 vehicles delivered in April 2025. Its shares managed a modest 0.7% gain on Friday. Nevertheless, Li Auto has underperformed its peers — registering just 5% growth year-to-date while declining 27% over the past year. The company’s twelve-month delivery total reached 408,767 vehicles, down 22% annually.

XPeng emerged as the sole bright spot for sequential growth. The company delivered 31,011 vehicles in April, climbing from March’s 27,415 units. This figure, however, trailed the 35,045 deliveries recorded in April 2025. XPeng shares traded relatively flat on Friday and remain down 20% for the year.

Combined, the three manufacturers delivered 94,452 vehicles in April — down from the previous month’s 103,954 total and barely 2% above the comparable period last year.

Chinese Electric Vehicle Market Confronts Saturation Challenges

The underlying narrative points to a decelerating Chinese EV sector. Industry leader BYD reported 147,601 all-electric vehicle sales in March — an 11% year-over-year decline. BYD‘s April figures remain unreleased at this time. A significant detail: 40% of BYD’s March volume consisted of exports, indicating domestic market weakness runs deeper than aggregate statistics reveal.

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China’s overall new-vehicle sales contracted during the first quarter. Battery-electric vehicles currently capture approximately 30% of the nation’s new-car market. When including plug-in hybrid models, electrified vehicles approach 50% market penetration. At such elevated adoption rates, the period of rapid, effortless expansion has concluded.

The American market confronts distinct challenges. The $7,500 federal tax incentive for electric vehicles lapsed in September, increasing effective purchase prices for consumers. First-quarter U.S. EV sales plummeted 27% year-over-year, representing roughly 6% of total new-vehicle transactions.

Tesla shares advanced 0.3% on Friday. The S&P 500 climbed 0.5% while the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.4%.

As of April 30, 2026, NIO’s lifetime delivery total stood at 1,110,413 vehicles.

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Bitcoin (BTC) takes another aim at $80,000 as stocks rise, oil drops on Iran optimism

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Bitcoin (BTC) takes another aim at $80,000 as stocks rise, oil drops on Iran optimism

Bitcoin moved higher on Friday, extending gains as U.S. markets opened and risk appetite improved. The largest cryptocurrency is now up nearly 3% over the past 24 hours, continuing a climb that began overnight.

It was last trading at $78,722, edging closer to the $80,000 mark once again. Earlier this week, bitcoin approached that level but failed to break through, pulling back before buyers stepped in again.

The latest move comes alongside gains in equities, which opened higher in the U.S.

At the same time, oil prices slipped after reports that Iran sent a fresh proposal aimed at restarting negotiations with the United States. The news raised hopes that tensions could ease, at least in the near term.

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Brent crude futures for July were down 26 cents, or 0.23%, at $107.74 a barrel. Supply concerns have not gone away. Tehran continues to block the Strait of Hormuz, a key shipping route, while the U.S. Navy is stopping exports of Iranian crude.

This mix of easing headlines and ongoing constraints helps explain the muted reaction in oil. Traders appear cautious, weighing the chance of a deal against the reality on the ground.

For bitcoin, the focus remains on whether it can finally clear $80,000, which is by many seen as a key breakout level. A push above that level could draw in more buyers who have been waiting on the sidelines.

“I think $80,000 is quite a resistance… we need a confident push through that level,” said 21shares chief market strategist Adrian Fritz. “Once we’re above that, it could spark some momentum… people are back in profit, especially the ones that invested more recently.”

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Fritz said if bitcoin reaches a level above $85,000, the market could start to see the first signs of a reversal.

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Bitcoin posts strongest monthly gain in a year as S&P 500 hits new high

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Crypto Breaking News

Bitcoin moved toward the $77,500 zone on Friday as U.S. equities extended fresh records on strong tech earnings, signaling a renewed risk-on mood across markets. The broader rally lent support to risk assets, even as bitcoin’s advance lagged the surge in equities, underscoring a cautious but constructive tone for crypto traders.

The S&P 500 touched near 7,220 intraday before finishing the session slightly below that level, buoyed by better-than-expected results from Google and Apple. The session underscored how a resilient tech sector continued to drive a wide-band rally, with observers noting the scale of market breadth widening just weeks after a broad pullback.

Market commentary on social feeds highlighted the magnitude of the rebound. The Kobeissi Letter pointed out that the S&P 500 had added more than $8 trillion in market capitalization since late March, illustrating how quickly risk appetite has rebounded from recent troughs. Veteran investors also offered a long-term framing, noting how far the market has progressed relative to prior cycles.

Against this backdrop, bitcoin’s April performance was notable for its durability. TradingView data showed roughly 12% price appreciation in April, while CoinGlass recorded an 11.9% gain for the month—the strongest monthly advance in about a year. Yet the price action also reflected a degree of technical restraint: BTC failed to reclaim several key resistance levels that often accompany a confident breakout.

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Analysts noted that the price action remained tethered to broader macro signals and that the chart continued to contend with important moving averages. In particular, the 21-week exponential moving average (EMA) has been a frequent reference point; traders cautioned that only a weekly close above this level would help validate a sustained breakout. As noted by market technician Rekt Capital, a move above the EMA would be needed to convincingly shift momentum, with a springboard retest of the mid-$60,000s often preceding such a breakout.

Key takeaways

  • Equities rally on strong tech earnings push the S&P 500 toward new highs, with a close near 7,220.
  • Bitcoin posts a double-digit April gain (roughly 12%), but remains challenged to reclaim key technical levels.
  • March PCE inflation rises to 3.5%, the highest in nearly three years, renewing focus on the inflation path and policy implications.
  • Analysts flag the 21-week EMA as a critical hurdle; a weekly close above it would bolster a breakout narrative for BTC.

Macro backdrop and crypto implications

The inflation landscape remains a central driver for both equity and crypto markets. The Personal Consumption Expenditures price index for March came in at 3.5%, according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, marking the highest reading since August 2023. The PCE, widely regarded as the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, had previously aligned with market expectations, but the fresh uptick injects a sense of caution into policy timing and trajectory. While equities rallied on robust corporate earnings, the inflation backdrop continues to color expectations for future rate guidance and liquidity conditions.

Observers note that the strength in equities, particularly driven by technology megacaps, has helped lift sentiment broadly, including crypto markets that often track investor appetite for risk. The S&P 500’s enduring ascent—alongside comments from observers about how far the market has progressed since its March lows—helps explain the backdrop against which BTC prices have navigated since the start of the year.

From a trader’s perspective, the near-term setup remains nuanced. While the April rally points to improving risk tolerance, the absence of a decisive breakout above the 21-week EMA keeps a degree of caution in place. The ongoing tension between inflation readings and policy expectations means muted but persistent volatility could characterize the coming weeks as traders weigh new macro data against price structure in both traditional and crypto markets.

What to watch next

Market participants will be attuned to upcoming inflation prints and how they influence expectations for the pace of tightening or easing. Any deviation from the current trajectory could shift risk sentiment and, in turn, BTC’s path. For bitcoin specifically, a confirmed close above the 21-week EMA would be a meaningful signal for momentum traders, potentially opening the door to retesting the mid- to upper-$60,000s region and beyond. Until then, BTC’s fate may hinge on a delicate balance between macro data surprises and investor appetite for risk assets.

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Readers should monitor how April and May data shape expectations for Federal Reserve policy and liquidity, as these factors often set the tone for both stock indices and crypto markets in the near term.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Ethereum Price Prediction: Another Exploit, Can ETH Survive This?

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Ethereum just breached the $2,300 price level again, but a coordinated wallet drain sent fresh shockwaves through an already fragile market.

Ethereum just breached the $2,300 price level again, but a coordinated wallet drain sent fresh shockwaves through an already fragile market. The full scope of the damage is still emerging, and what’s confirmed so far is enough to rattle even long-term holders.

BSCN flagged on May 1 that assets from hundreds of wallets on the Ethereum mainnet, including some dormant for over seven years, were simultaneously moved to a single address. The transaction pattern points to a single attacker exploiting what may be a previously unknown vulnerability.

Security researchers are actively tracking the address and fund flows, with activity reportedly still ongoing.

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Is this an isolated incident, or the opening move of something larger?

Discover: The best pre-launch token sales

Can Ethereum Price Hold $2,300 Next Week?

ETH’s current setup offers little comfort. At $2,300, the asset sits just below its SMA 5 of $2,308, SMA 10 at $2,320, and its SMA 21 at $2,312. Critically, its 200-day moving average, $2,755, is also flashing sell signals. The only technical bright spots are the SMA 50 and SMA 100, which are currently providing marginal support from below.

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Arguably, Ethereum and the whole crypto market have been flatlining sideways for months now, signaling potential seller exhaustion. But exhaustion alone doesn’t produce a reversal. But then again, the Moving Averages indicator shows buy.

Ethereum just breached the $2,300 price level again, but a coordinated wallet drain sent fresh shockwaves through an already fragile market.
Buy Sell Indicators, Tradingview

Derivatives compound the concern with long positions dominating futures, but negative funding rates indicate waning conviction behind those longs.

The current play will depends if ETH can hold its $2,200 support. If it is, the Ethereum price would likely stabilize above $2,300 and retest $2,400. A consolidation above $2,400 opens a longer path toward $2,700 recovery targets.

Ethereum just breached the $2,300 price level again, but a coordinated wallet drain sent fresh shockwaves through an already fragile market.
ETH USD, TradingView

However, if the root cause of the vulnerability isn’t identified quickly, security premiums will narrow and asset rotation will accelerate.

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Bitcoin Hyper Targets Bitcoin Level Security

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When Ethereum’s security narrative fractures, capital doesn’t vanish; it rotates. And right now, some of that rotation is flowing toward infrastructure plays built on stronger technical foundations.

Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is positioned directly in that window. The project is the first Bitcoin Layer 2 to integrate the Solana Virtual Machine, delivering sub-second finality and low-cost smart contract execution while preserving Bitcoin’s underlying security model.

Hyper is addressing Bitcoin’s core limitations of slow transactions, high fees, and absent programmability in a single architecture.

The presale has already raised $32.5 million at a current price of $0.0136, with staking available for early participants.

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Bitcoin Hyper presale details are available here.

The post Ethereum Price Prediction: Another Exploit, Can ETH Survive This? appeared first on Cryptonews.

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Dogecoin set for 20% rally as whales return

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Crypto Breaking News

Dogecoin (DOGE) has outpaced the broader crypto market over the past month, gaining roughly 18% versus a 10% rise for the sector, as whale accumulation and a constructive technical setup raise the possibility of a new bullish phase for the meme coin.

Key takeaways

  • Wallet accumulation accelerates: DOGE holdings controlled by wallets with at least 100 million DOGE climbed to a record 108.52 billion DOGE, worth about $11.6 billion, as of late April, up from roughly 107.95 billion DOGE in mid-April.
  • Price rebound supports the crowding bid: DOGE’s price rally of about 23.5% in April coincides with sustained large-holder accumulation, suggesting the move may be more than a fleeting bounce.
  • On-chain activity spikes: On April 28, Santiment counted 739 DOGE transfers each exceeding $100,000—the highest daily total in six months—a signal that large players were actively moving capital.
  • Catalyst backdrop: The rally unfolded alongside the launch of 1Shares’ physically backed Dogecoin exchange-traded product on Germany’s Xetra market, a development that can broaden accessibility for institutional and retail participants.
  • Technical setup points to upside, with caveats: DOGE appears to be completing the breakout phase of a descending triangle, with a potential target near $0.131 (roughly 20% above current levels) and an important invalidation area around $0.088. The move would also push DOGE above key cost-basis levels for large holders and the broader cost base around $0.132.

Whales drive late-April rally

Data from Santiment show a notable accumulation by large DOGE holders amid a recent price rebound. Wallets holding at least 100 million DOGE collectively controlled 108.52 billion DOGE by late April—roughly $11.6 billion at prevailing prices—an uptick from mid-April’s 107.95 billion DOGE. The import of these holdings is that a relatively small cadre of large addresses continues to accumulate even as the broader market tests support levels.

The concurrent price action—DOGE climbing about 23.5% during April—appears to reflect this on-chain support. In the same period, on April 28, Santiment recorded 739 DOGE transfers worth more than $100,000 in a single day, the highest daily count in six months. The surge in on-chain activity came as attention intensified around the launch of 1Shares’ physically backed Dogecoin ETP on Germany’s Xetra exchange, a development noted by market observers as a potential driver of renewed participation from institutions and sophisticated traders.

Technical setup hints at an upside path

From a chart perspective, DOGE has entered what appears to be the breakout phase of a descending triangle pattern. Classical analysis often treats descending triangles as bearish formations, yet they can resolve with upside breakouts when accumulation broadens and demand steps in.

If the breakout plays out, the target sits near $0.131, roughly a 20% upside from current levels and aligned with the 200-week simple moving average. This convergence with a long-term trend indicator adds a layer of technical plausibility to the case for higher prices, particularly as large holders push the price through key thresholds.

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For price-to-cost context, pushing above the $0.131 level would place DOGE above the average cost basis of wallets over 10,000 DOGE (around $0.115) and clear the aggregate cost basis near $0.132. Historically, reclaiming these cost-basis zones has preceded more durable rallies as profit-taking pressure subsides and a broader base of holders moves back into the green.

In the event of a rejection near the current level—roughly at a resistance around the 20-week EMA—the bullish case would face a renewed test. A downturn back toward support near $0.088 could reintroduce risk of revisiting earlier lows if the market loses momentum or external catalysts falter.

Those dynamics sit alongside the broader market context and evolving adoption narrative. The on-chain signals from wallets and the cost-basis framework provide a structural backdrop for a potential swing higher, while the immediate path will likely hinge on whether the price can sustain above resistance levels and maintain the on-chain accumulation signal.

For readers seeking more granular data, Santiment and Glassnode provide ongoing insights into wallet behavior and realized price by wallet size. Glassnode’s observations on wallet-specific cost bases help map where long-term holders are positioned relative to current prices, offering a useful lens on potential support zones as new participants consider entry points.

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The DOGE narrative also intersects with broader market developments. The Germany-listed 1Shares Dogecoin ETP on Xetra has added another on-ramp for institutional and professional traders, potentially increasing liquidity and price discovery in coming weeks. Market observers will watch how this product influences flow, especially if it brings new demand from venues that previously avoided meme-coin exposure.

This article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph’s Editorial Policy and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice or recommendations. All investments and trades carry risk; readers are encouraged to conduct independent research.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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