Connect with us

Crypto World

Arthur Hayes Explains How Bitcoin Has Outperformed Gold, Nasdaq 100 Since War Started

Published

on

Arthur Hayes Explains How Bitcoin Has Outperformed Gold, Nasdaq 100 Since War Started


Bitcoin has risen 7% since the U.S.-Iran conflict began, beating gold and the Nasdaq 100, according to Arthur Hayes.

Bitcoin has gained 7% since the U.S.-Iran war started on February 28, outpacing gold, which fell 2%, and the Nasdaq 100, which slipped by 0.5%.

This is according to data shared on X on March 12 by BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes.

Advertisement

Bitcoin Holds Ground While Traditional Assets Slip

Hayes posted a normalized performance chart comparing Bitcoin, gold, and the Nasdaq 100 from February 28 to the present. All three assets started at the same baseline on that date, which allowed for a clean comparison of relative performance across nearly two weeks.

On the chart, Bitcoin stood out against the traditional safe haven asset and the broad tech index, gaining 7% as energy prices spiked in the background over concerns about supply disruptions.

Nevertheless, BTC’s price action in that period wasn’t exactly calm. When news of the United States’ and Israel’s strike on Iran first emerged, the asset dropped from around $66,000 to just above $63,000 before reversing to $67,000 following the death of Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

Market watchers at the London Crypto Club agreed with Hayes, saying they had noted a similar dynamic playing out when the Israel-Palestine conflict escalated, and argued that BTC covers both the far left and far right tails of the risk distribution, meaning it can react to extreme scenarios in both directions while spending most of its time trading somewhere in the middle alongside equities.

Advertisement

As of today, the number one cryptocurrency is trading near $70,000, with a 24-hour range between $69,000 and $71,000, gaining less than 2% on the day, per data from CoinGecko. However, the picture goes red over seven days, with BTC down 3.5%, although its current price is a 2% bump on the 30-day reading.

You may also like:

Looking at the wider context, on-chain data analysts Arab Chain wrote that the Binance BTC Scarcity Index, which measures how much Bitcoin is immediately available for sale on the platform, recently hit its highest reading since October 2025, at 5.10.

According to them, the reading suggests that supply on the exchange has thinned out, and this condition historically appeared during bullish price phases when holders moved their BTC into cold storage rather than leaving them on exchanges.

Hayes is Watching the Fed

Despite the relative outperformance, Hayes has insisted that he’s still not buying Bitcoin. In a recent interview, the former BitMEX CEO said that he would not put any money into BTC right now, flagging the risk that if the United States’ war with Iran dragged on too long, it could trigger a broad equity sell-off that drags Bitcoin toward $60,000.

Advertisement

Bloomberg Intelligence strategist Mike McGlone offered a different framing, suggesting that oil could go near $120, Bitcoin to $90,000, Copper at $6 per pound, and silver near $100 per ounce, which would represent a collective peak for risk assets in the first quarter of 2026, with rising volatility possibly spilling into equity markets.

SPECIAL OFFER (Exclusive)

Binance Free $600 (CryptoPotato Exclusive): Use this link to register a new account and receive $600 exclusive welcome offer on Binance (full details).

LIMITED OFFER for CryptoPotato readers at Bybit: Use this link to register and open a $500 FREE position on any coin!

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Crypto World

Puffer Teams Up With Anchorage to Bring Ethereum Restaking to Institutions

Published

on

Puffer TVL chart

With the restaking sector in a slump, the protocol is betting that institutional distribution can reignite growth.

Ethereum restaking protocol Puffer Finance has partnered with Anchorage Digital to provide institutional clients with access to pufETH, Puffer’s liquid restaking token, via Anchorage’s regulated custody platform.

The integration allows institutions to gain exposure to Ethereum staking and restaking yields while operating within compliant custody and security frameworks. For institutional players that have historically been cautious about engaging directly with DeFi protocols, the partnership offers a more familiar on-ramp into Ethereum-native yield products.

Puffer differentiates its restaking model by distributing validation across a decentralized set of operators rather than relying on a handful of large validator providers, which the protocol says reduces concentration risk. The protocol also touts slashing penalty protection and a buffer designed to absorb losses before they reach pufETH holders, a feature aimed at satisfying institutional risk models that demand clearly defined downside scenarios.

Advertisement

The collaboration comes at a difficult time for liquid restaking protocols. Apart from etherfi and Kelp, most liquid restaking protocols have struggled to retain users. As points-based incentive programs ended, capital rotated out and consolidated into the most established venues.

Puffer launched in February 2024, attracting nearly $200 million in total value locked (TVL) on its first day as the liquid restaking sector boomed on EigenLayer hype. By October 2024, Puffer’s TVL had grown to over 500,000 ETH, worth more than $1.3 billion at the time.

Puffer TVL chart
Puffer TVL

Today, Puffer’s core protocol TVL sits at just $62 million, according to DeFiLlama. The drawdown mirrors a broader trend across the liquid restaking sector following the initial airdrop-fueled frenzy.

The PUFFER token tells a similar story. The token hit an all-time high near $1.00 in December 2024 but has since cratered, hitting an all-time low of $0.025 just last week, according to Coingecko.

PUFFER chart
PUFFER chart

The Anchorage deal signals that Puffer is increasingly focused on the institutional market as a path to sustainable growth, a pivot away from the retail-driven points campaigns that initially powered its TVL.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

UK banking bug gives customers the blockchain experience

Published

on

UK banking bug gives customers the blockchain experience

Customers of a number of well-known UK banks were unexpectedly given the blockchain experience today after a banking app glitch meant their transactions and accounts became public.

The technical issue allowed customers from Lloyds, Halifax, and the Bank of Scotland to view the banking activity of other users. 

Some could see charge notifications from other people’s accounts, while some reported that they could view other people’s National Insurance numbers.

The BBC reports that for 20 minutes, some could see other users’ accounts, while one person was able to view benefit payments from the Department of Work and Pensions.

Advertisement
The outage caught the attention of UK financial reporter Martin Lewis.

Read more: UK gov’t committee calls for halt to crypto donations amid foreign interference fears

One user claimed, “I can see another person’s bank account, he got paid £6,000 yesterday. Others, I can see their benefits payments, their National Insurance numbers, I can see where they work, almost their whole identity.”

Advertisement

The issue has reportedly been fixed, and an investigation has been launched, but it’s unclear just how many people the glitch affected.

Lloyds apologized for the incident, while the Bank of Scotland said it may have been caused by a “technical glitch.”

Last year, the UK suffered a major banking outage that left thousands unable to access their accounts. A report from the Treasury Committee later found that the country had suffered a month’s worth of outages in two years.

Glitch is the closest UK banks have got to the blockchain

The hiccup briefly brought a taste of the blockchain to a UK banking industry that’s been famously slow to adopt the technology.

Advertisement

Indeed, many still categorize crypto as a risky, volatile asset that requires enhanced checks. 

Digital crypto-friendly bank Revolut just secured a UK banking license after a four-year wait for a permit.

However, its crypto services will reportedly not be covered under this banking license and will still have to be offered through its Revolut X platform. 

Last September, the UK and the US partnered to launch a regulatory body that would help align each country’s approach to crypto, and help firms access capital markets from each country with greater ease. 

Advertisement

However, Reuters reports that both the US and UK are still split on crypto regulation, with the UK taking a more reserved approach.

The US was reportedly not impressed with the UK’s “sandbox” approach, where tokenised securities are tested in a controlled environment.

Got a tip? Send us an email securely via Protos Leaks. For more informed news and investigations, follow us on XBluesky, and Google News, or subscribe to our YouTube channel.

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

STRC could be funding more Strategy bitcoin buys than ever

Published

on

STRC could be funding more Strategy bitcoin buys than ever

A community-built dashboard that tracks Strategy’s STRC sales in real time suggests that today could produce the largest single-day STRC-funded bitcoin (BTC) purchase in history.

By 11am New York time, the unofficial tracking system estimated that 2.7 million shares of STRC had traded, all at or above its $100 par, also known as its “stated amount” or “quasi-peg.”

This morning’s trading range was $100-100.07.

Because Strategy has previously provided guidance that the company might sell STRC when the stock price is above its stated amount, it’s possible to estimate the number of STRC that Strategy is adding to the circulating supply.

Advertisement

By default, the dashboard speculates that 40% of that volume might involve Strategy itself as the seller. Overall STRC volume figures include both corporate as well as secondary sales and the site allows users to adjust that percentage via a user-configurable slider.

At its default 40%, the site’s model estimated that Strategy had sold over 1 million shares of STRC, funding the purchase of up to 1,500 BTC.

That was, of course, barely 90 minutes into the regular session.

Over 700,000 shares had already traded in pre-market, accumulating an estimated 394 BTC before the opening bell. By 1pm, total volume over $100 per share exceeded 4.6 million shares.

Advertisement

STRC pays a lavish, 11.5% annualized dividend and tries to hold a $100 quasi-peg. It competes with high yield junk bonds and other risky yield products with retail-focused advertisements focusing on its monthly dividends and disclaiming its many risks in fine print.

One user on X noted 1.2 million shares had traded within eight minutes of the open. Another marveled as it made 60% of the previous day’s record-breaking volume in just 90 minutes.

Probably another all-time record week for STRC

Today’s figure already dwarfs the best confirmed daily average from Strategy’s own SEC filing last week.

Specifically, Strategy’s March 9 SEC Form 8-K disclosed 17,994 BTC purchased between March 2 and 8, 2026. It was the company’s largest STRC at-the-market (ATM) sale in history.

Advertisement

The company funded those purchases through $377.1 million in STRC sales and $899.5 million in MSTR common stock sales.

Mathematically, STRC accounted for 29.5% of those combined proceeds, implying about 5,314 BTC funded by STRC across five trading days.

That works out to roughly 1,063 BTC per day. No further, daily granularity is available. 

Therefore, by the best data available, a 40% volume capture estimate forecasts 1,500 BTC in STRC-funded purchases today, with five trading hours left.

Advertisement

It’s certainly possible that today is the largest ATM in STRC history.

Read more: Strategy is paying credit card rates to keep STRC at $100

The 40% capture estimate

Again, the dashboard assumes 40% of volume above $100 represents ATM issuance. It deducts a 2.5% broker commission and divides by the current BTC price. Strategy’s actual capture rate could differ on any given day.

The percentage could actually be as low as 0%, or in fact be the vast majority. The company usually discloses realized ATM figures weekly, which is the only formal, post-trading verification method.

Advertisement

Still, the 40% model has tracked reasonably close to confirmed data. Last week, the dashboard estimated 4,295 BTC for March 2-8. The actual filing was for 5,314 BTC.

That particular gap might have narrowed even more had it adjusted for Strategy’s recently-introduced, extended hours trading.

Indeed, the site now tracks pre-9:30am and post-4pm New York trades.

Strategy amended its STRC ATM agreement on March 9, assigning a second agent with the right to sell STRC before 9:30am and after 4:00pm.

Advertisement

The STRC-for-BTC machine

This week’s pace has been extraordinary. The dashboard estimates 1,863 BTC on Monday, 2,500 on Tuesday, 2,568 on Wednesday, and over 2,500 on Thursday by 1pm New York time.

The four-day running estimate sits above 9,500 BTC from STRC raises this week alone.

For context, Strategy sold zero STRC through its ATM from July through October last year. The entire $4.2 billion program sat untouched for months.

Now, over $1 billion has probably been issued through it. “The second century begins,” Michael Saylor posted on X after last week’s purchase.

Advertisement

There is, of course, a cost of tapping the ATM. Strategy has guided to pay monthly dividends on every share of STRC outstanding at a variable rate that is currently 11.5%.

Strategy has hiked that rate seven times since its 9% launch to encourage its share price to stay near the $100 par.

Tomorrow is the shareholder snapshot date for STRC’s monthly dividend, so its tight parity at $100 is unsurprising given the near-term ex-dividend date.

Got a tip? Send us an email securely via Protos Leaks. For more informed news, follow us on X, Bluesky, and Google News, or subscribe to our YouTube channel.

Advertisement

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

VeryAI Raises $10M to Build Palm-Scan Identity System on Solana

Published

on

VeryAI Raises $10M to Build Palm-Scan Identity System on Solana

Startup VeryAI has raised $10 million in a seed funding round led by Polychain Capital to launch a palm-scan identity verification system designed to distinguish real users from AI-generated accounts.

The platform records identity attestations on Solana and aims to help crypto exchanges, fintech companies and online platforms address growing risks from bots, deepfakes and synthetic identities. The company said zero-knowledge proofs allow users to verify their status across platforms without revealing personal information.

The system captures palm images using a smartphone camera and converts them into encrypted biometric signatures used to confirm that a user is human without storing identifiable data.

According to the company, palm biometrics are highly distinctive and less publicly exposed than facial features commonly used in identity checks. The scans are converted into irreversible feature representations rather than stored images, preventing the original biometric data from being reconstructed.

Advertisement

“We’re entering a period where the internet can no longer assume that every account, message, or video is created by a real person,” Zach Meltzer, founder and CEO of VeryAI, told Cointelegraph. “AI is powerful, but it also breaks many of the trust assumptions that the internet was built on.”

He said crypto platforms are vulnerable to these risks, citing examples such as sybil attacks during onboarding, fake accounts farming token incentives and impersonation scams targeting users and project communities.

The goal isn’t just to prove that a human exists somewhere — it’s to help platforms verify that a real person is present and acting authentically.

The company is already working with organizations including MEXC, Colosseum, Clique and Talus, with other centralized exchanges and wallets preparing to integrate the palm verification system, Meltzer said.

Advertisement

Investors in the round included the Berggruen Institute and Anagram. Anatoly Yakovenko, co-founder of the Solana blockchain, also joined as an angel investor.

Related: Crypto ATM losses surge 33% in 2025 as AI superpowers scams: CertiK

AI-generated identities push demand for proof-of-human systems

As artificial intelligence continues to blur the line between human and automated activity on the internet, some developers say blockchain-based identity systems could help restore trust in digital interactions.

Chris Dixon, a general partner at Andreessen Horowitz and founder of the venture capital firm’s a16z crypto investment arm, last year warned that an “ocean of AI-powered deepfakes and bots” could erode trust across the internet and suggested blockchain systems could help address the problem through cryptographic verification of identity and digital content.

Advertisement

One company trying to address the problem is World, co-founded by Sam Altman, which uses biometric iris scans to generate a digital identity that allows users to prove they are human without revealing personal data. The system records proof of a user’s uniqueness on a blockchain network while the Orb device scans a person’s face and iris to verify identity, though the biometric approach has drawn criticism from privacy advocates.

Source: Edward Snowden

As AI advances, interest in these systems appears to be growing. In January, the token linked to World (WLD) jumped about 40% after reports that OpenAI was exploring a bot-free social media platform that would require users to verify they are human before participating.

Some developers argue that identity verification must balance authentication with privacy protections. Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin has advocated for models that allow users to prove specific attributes, such as uniqueness or eligibility, without revealing their full identity using technologies like zero-knowledge proofs.

Magazine: Fly’s mind ‘uploaded,’ human brain cell wetware plays Doom: AI Eye