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Bitcoin as Geopolitical Hedge Amid Hormuz Strait Tensions

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Crypto Breaking News

Bitcoin is surfacing as a potential mechanism for toll payments in one of the world’s most strategic chokepoints, as Iran maintains tight control over the Strait of Hormuz amid a fragile ceasefire with the United States. The region’s security dynamic has long intertwined with oil markets, and the latest development would push crypto onto a stage where sanctions and transit fees intersect with global energy supply.

Iran reportedly plans to manage transit through Hormuz alongside Oman, effectively acting as a toll gate for vessels navigating the strait. The plan would involve collecting fees from ships seeking safe passage, a move that, if implemented, could leverage digital currencies to bypass traditional financial channels in a tense geopolitical environment. Hamid Hosseini, a spokesperson for Iran’s Oil, Gas and Petrochemical Products Exporters’ Union, told the Financial Times that certain ships could be required to pay in Bitcoin for their oil cargo transit, a claim that underscores how crypto could become part of state-level logistics and sanctions calculus.

According to Hosseini, once Iran completes its assessment, vessels would be given only seconds to complete a BTC payment, with the aim of making tracing or confiscation difficult under sanctions regimes. If verified, the move would mark a notable shift for Iran, which has previously signaled a willingness to accept the Chinese yuan as toll payment for Hormuz, signaling a broader exploration of non-traditional payment rails in critical commerce corridors.

These reports arrive amid ongoing conflict and a fragile ceasefire, with Hormuz policymakers using their leverage over a route that channels roughly one-fifth of global oil flows. The potential adoption of cryptocurrency payments would highlight how digital assets could be deployed to navigate geopolitical frictions and possibly sidestep conventional financial controls in high-stakes trade corridors. For context, coverage of the topic has circulated in multiple outlets, including a Bloomberg report that framed the Hormuz toll discussion in the context of yuan and crypto payments for safe passage.

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Key takeaways

  • Iran’s reported plan to charge Hormuz tolls in cryptocurrency could position Bitcoin as a trans-border payment tool in a geopolitically sensitive shipping lane, with enforcement reportedly led by the Revolutionary Guard Corps.
  • Earlier signals suggested Iran might also accept the Chinese yuan for Hormuz tolls; the crypto option would represent a broader experiment with non-traditional currencies in state logistics.
  • In parallel, JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon warned that blockchain-enabled infrastructure and artificial intelligence are reshaping banking, signaling incumbents must adapt to new competitive dynamics and evolving payment rails.
  • Analysts at Bernstein view Figure Technologies’ tokenized lending as a sign that blockchain-enabled finance could unlock meaningful value, arguing the stock could re-rate as tokenization scales.
  • Policy discussions around stablecoins persist. The White House Council of Economic Advisers estimated that banning stablecoin yield-bearing products would have a negligible impact on bank lending—roughly 0.02%—though the broader regulatory trade-offs continue to be debated.
  • The stablecoin market continues to expand, with a first-quarter size around $315 billion, underscoring the growing footprint of yield-bearing digital assets in mainstream finance.

The Hormuz development: crypto tortoises or speedboats for sanctions evasion?

Iran’s reported use of cryptocurrency for Hormuz tolls would place a bold experiment at the intersection of geopolitics and digital finance. The Financial Times account, corroborated by subsequent reporting, depicts a system where ships—especially oil tankers—could face multi-million-dollar fees paid in BTC or other cryptographic forms. The Revolutionary Guard Corps is described as enforcing governance over who passes and how payments are settled, a role that would elevate crypto from a speculative instrument to a policy tool in a critical energy artery.

What makes this development consequential for markets is not just the potential for crypto to facilitate faster, less trackable payments, but the signal it sends about how governments may experiment with alternative settlement rails under sanctions pressure. If a state actor can leverage quasi-anonymous transactions to extract tolls without conventional banking channels, it could alter how traders price and approach risk in energy markets, as well as how counterparties assess sanctions exposure and regulatory risk.

While initial reports are centered on Iran’s tolling scheme, observers will be watching whether any pilot becomes formal policy and how actors in other corridors respond. The cryptocurrency angle also tests the resilience of existing sanction enforcement frameworks and prompts questions about routing, compliance, and traceability in maritime payments.

Dimon’s warning: banks must adapt to blockchain and AI disruption

In another strand of the week’s crypto-business narrative, Jamie Dimon warned that a new wave of technology-driven competition is reshaping financial services. In discussions around his latest shareholder letter and public remarks, Dimon pointed to fintechs and nonbank players deploying blockchain and other emerging technologies to build faster, lower-cost systems. He also hinted that stablecoins could be part of this broader shift in how payments and liquidity are managed.

JPMorgan has already built out its own blockchain toolkit, including the Kinexys platform, as the bank positions itself to compete in fast-moving areas such as cross-border payments and asset tokenization. The emphasis on in-house infrastructure signals that the era of simply holding a dominant balance sheet is over; the real differentiator may be how quickly incumbents can deploy technology-driven, interoperable networks that rival nimble fintechs and crypto-native entrants.

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Tokenization, lending, and the case for a higher multiple

Analysts at Bernstein have spotlighted Figure Technologies as a bellwether for how tokenization could transform traditional lending. Figure, which runs its lending platform on the Provenance blockchain, has reported rapid originations—surpassing $1 billion in monthly loan activity in recent periods, according to Bernstein’s note. The analysts argued that the efficiency gains from on-chain data and smart contract-enabled processes could bolster margins for lenders as volumes grow, potentially supporting a higher equity multiple for Figure’s stock. Bernstein assigned an “Outperform” rating with a target around $67, roughly double its then-current level.

Figure’s model—where loan origination, underwriting, and securitization leverage a dedicated blockchain—illustrates a broader thesis: tokenization could compress costs and speed, unlocking a path to scale in consumer and enterprise lending that has historically been cost-constrained by legacy systems. Investors watching blockchain-enabled lending will want to monitor not just originations, but capital efficiency, default performance, and regulatory clarity around tokenized debt markets.

Stablecoins and the policy balance: little impact on banks, significant debate ahead

A separate thread in the policy debate concerns the yield on stablecoins and how its regulation could ripple through the broader banking system. Economists at the White House argued that prohibiting yield-bearing stablecoins would have only a marginal effect on bank lending, estimating an increase of about 0.02%. The assessment, part of ongoing market-structure discussions, underscores the tension between consumer benefits from higher-yield crypto products and the perceived stability and safety of the traditional banking system.

The analysis also highlighted potential trade-offs: tightly constraining yields could limit consumer access to higher returns and reduce the perceived advantages of stablecoins for everyday payments, while leaving depositors exposed to new forms of risk if yields rot within a non-regulated space. The debate continues as policymakers weigh consumer protection, financial stability, and innovation incentives in a rapidly evolving ecosystem.

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In parallel, the broader market for stablecoins remains expansive. A recent industry snapshot noted stablecoins reached about $315 billion in market size in the first quarter, illustrating the growing role of these tokens in payments, liquidity provisioning, and on-chain finance. The data point, drawn from the industry research cited by Cointelegraph and linked sources, frames why regulators and financial institutions are paying close attention to yield dynamics and reserve standards as the sector expands.

Crypto Biz is your weekly briefing on the business of blockchain and crypto, highlighting developments that matter for traders, investors, and builders. Watch for further updates as these narratives unfold and policy responses take shape.

For readers seeking more context, coverage on Hormuz tolls and crypto payments has been explored in related reporting from Cointelegraph, including a piece detailing Iran’s approach to crypto-enabled transit arrangements, and Bloomberg’s analysis of yuan and crypto tolls as a separate dimension of Hormuz policy.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Coinbase CEO backs CLARITY Act after months of delays in Senate

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Coinbase is ‘misunderstood’ amid wall street’s crypto divide

Coinbase Chief Executive Brian Armstrong has renewed support for the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, backing a recent call from US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent for Congress to move the bill forward. 

Summary

  • Brian Armstrong backed the CLARITY Act after Coinbase opposed the bill’s earlier version in January.
  • Senate Banking Committee action remains pending as lawmakers continue talks on crypto market structure rules.
  • Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent urged Congress to pass the bill as negotiations moved forward.

The public statement marks a shift from Coinbase’s position in January, when Armstrong said the company could not support the measure in its earlier form before a key Senate committee vote.

Armstrong said in a post on X that Coinbase now supports the latest version of the bill after months of talks between lawmakers and industry groups. He also backed Bessent’s recent Wall Street Journal opinion piece, which called on Congress to act on crypto market structure legislation.

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Armstrong wrote, ”It’s time to pass the Clarity Act.” His new statement came about three months after he said the exchange could not support the bill ”as written,” a position that contributed to a delay in Senate Banking Committee action.

The CLARITY Act still faces several steps before reaching a full Senate vote. The Senate Agriculture Committee approved its part of the bill in January, but the Senate Banking Committee must still address provisions tied to securities and commodities oversight.

As of Friday, no markup had been scheduled in the Banking Committee. The bill has remained stalled for months as lawmakers debated issues tied to ethics, tokenized equities, stablecoin yield, and other digital asset matters.

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In addition, Coinbase Chief Legal Officer Paul Grewal said last week that lawmakers were ”very close to a deal” on the bill. That comment added to signs that negotiations had continued behind the scenes even as the measure remained off the committee calendar.

The latest support from Armstrong suggests Coinbase believes the bill has improved since January. His earlier comments had pointed to concerns over the wording of the draft, while the current version now appears to have the exchange’s backing.

Crypto policy ties stay in focus

The bill’s progress has drawn attention to the crypto industry’s role in Washington. Coinbase and Ripple executives have both taken part in talks with administration officials on crypto policy, while Armstrong reportedly met President Donald Trump before Trump publicly called for action on market structure legislation.

Coinbase’s renewed support for the bill also comes shortly after the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency approved the company’s application for a national bank trust charter. The approval followed similar decisions for Paxos, Ripple Labs, BitGo, Circle, and Fidelity Digital Assets in December.

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NASA Moon mission fuels Kalshi bets on post-splashdown remarks

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NASA Moon mission fuels Kalshi bets on post-splashdown remarks

Prediction market users turned to Kalshi and Polymarket as NASA’s Artemis II mission returned to Earth, placing trades not only on future Moon landing timelines but also on words that might appear in the agency’s post-splashdown briefing. 

Summary

  • Kalshi users traded contracts on NASA briefing words after Artemis II completed its Moon flyby.
  • Prediction markets expanded beyond mission outcomes to bets on language used during NASA’s news conference.
  • Artemis II returned safely after launch on April 1, renewing attention on NASA’s lunar plans.

The activity added a new space-related category to the broader event-contract market that has recently drawn more attention from lawmakers and regulators.

Artemis II launched from NASA’s Kennedy Space Center in Florida on April 1, 2026, and completed a crewed lunar flyby before splashing down in the Pacific Ocean off San Diego at 8:07 p.m. EDT on April 10. NASA described the mission as the first crewed Artemis flight and the first human mission around the Moon in more than 50 years.

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As the mission neared its end, traders used prediction platforms to take positions on Artemis-related outcomes. Polymarket hosted Moon landing markets and Artemis-linked event pages, while Kalshi continued to offer event contracts tied to real-world outcomes on its regulated exchange.

Some of the trading centered on what NASA officials might say after splashdown rather than only on mission milestones. Traders tracked possible references tied to government officials, radiation, and damage during the post-mission news cycle, showing how event contracts can extend beyond launch and landing results into conference language and public statements.

Other contracts focused on longer-term Moon exploration timelines. Polymarket pages showed active interest in human Moon landing markets, while broader Moon landing prediction pages listed live trading across related science and space questions.

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Debate over event contracts continues

Prediction markets have faced scrutiny as users place trades on sensitive geopolitical and public-interest events. That debate has widened as platforms expand into more areas, including science, government activity, and major public announcements.

The Artemis II trading activity arrived as prediction markets remained under close watch in Washington. The attention reflects ongoing questions about how far event-contract offerings should extend and what kinds of real-world events should be available for trading.

Furthermore, interest in space-linked markets has also overlapped with crypto and infrastructure stories. In March, Starcloud said it planned orbital data centers that could support Bitcoin mining from space using solar power and ASIC miners, adding another speculative commercial angle to the space sector.

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CoreWeave signs multi-year Anthropic deal as AI demand lifts cloud business

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Source: Yahoo Finance

CoreWeave has signed a multi-year agreement with Anthropic to support workloads for the Claude family of AI models. 

Summary

  • CoreWeave signed a multi-year Anthropic agreement to support Claude AI workloads across its data centers.
  • The company said it now serves nine major developers of large language models.
  • AI demand is drawing miners away as lower margins pressure traditional Bitcoin mining operations worldwide.

The deal adds another major customer to CoreWeave’s cloud business as the company expands its role in artificial intelligence infrastructure.

CoreWeave said Anthropic will use its cloud data centers to run AI workloads tied to Claude models. The company added that the agreement will roll out in phases and may grow over time as demand increases.

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The announcement gave investors a fresh look at CoreWeave’s position in the AI sector. The company said the new agreement means it now serves nine of the 10 major developers of large language models.

CoreWeave shares rose more than 10% on Friday after the company announced the deal. The stock traded at around $102 at press time, showing a strong reaction from investors to the latest customer win.

Source: Yahoo Finance
Source: Yahoo Finance

The agreement came shortly after CoreWeave completed an $8.5 billion capital raise led by Meta Platforms. The financing was tied to deployed computing capacity and expected cash flows rather than graphics processing unit hardware, marking a different structure from older crypto mining funding models.

Moreover, CoreWeave shifted away from crypto mining and rebranded as an AI infrastructure company in 2019. The change came after mining economics weakened following the 2018 crypto market downturn.

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That transition has become more relevant as more mining firms look at AI workloads for new revenue. Rising energy costs, lower block rewards, and weaker crypto prices have continued to pressure Bitcoin miners.

AI demand draws attention from miners

CoinShares said up to 20% of Bitcoin miners are now unprofitable in the current market. The report shows how tighter margins have made traditional mining harder to sustain for many operators.

Some firms are now looking to AI computing as a stronger use of power and hardware. Market analyst Ran Neuner noted

”Both industries compete for the same thing: electricity, and right now, AI is willing to pay much more for it.” 

His comment reflects a wider shift as miners weigh whether AI can offer steadier returns than crypto mining.

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Arizona Judge Blocks Gambling Enforcement Against Kalshi Contracts

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Arizona Judge Blocks Gambling Enforcement Against Kalshi Contracts

A federal judge in Arizona has temporarily barred state officials from enforcing gambling laws against Kalshi, siding with the CFTC.

A federal judge in Arizona has temporarily barred state officials from enforcing gambling laws against Kalshi, siding with US regulators in a growing dispute over how event-based trading products should be classified.

In an order issued on Friday, Judge Michael Liburdi of the US District Court for the District of Arizona granted a request from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the federal government to halt any state-level action targeting contracts listed on CFTC-regulated markets .

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The ruling centers on whether Kalshi’s “event contracts” fall under federal derivatives law or state gambling statutes. Last month, Arizona authorities sought to pursue enforcement against Kalshi under local gambling rules, but the CFTC asked a court order on Wednesday to stop the action.

The court said that the CFTC is likely to succeed in arguing that such contracts qualify as “swaps” under the Commodity Exchange Act, placing them within federal jurisdiction. The law grants the agency exclusive authority over swaps traded on designated contract markets.

Related: Prediction market users await Artemis II mission splashdown

Court halts Arizona enforcement against Kalshi

As part of the decision, Arizona officials are temporarily prohibited from initiating or continuing civil or criminal enforcement tied to Kalshi’s event contracts on regulated exchanges .

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The restraining order will remain in effect until April 24, while the court considers whether to issue a longer-term preliminary injunction.

Kalshi notional volume. Source: Kalshidata

The case adds to a broader debate over prediction markets in the United States, particularly as regulators and states clash over whether such products resemble financial instruments or online betting. Last month, Utah lawmakers also passed a bill targeting Kalshi and Polymarket that classifies proposition-style bets on in-game events as gambling, aiming to block such offerings in the state.

Related: US appeals court upholds preventing New Jersey enforcement against Kalshi

Nevada judge extends ban on Kalshi

Last week, a Nevada judge extended a ban preventing Kalshi from offering event-based contracts in the state, siding with regulators who argue the products amount to unlicensed gambling.

The court found that the platform’s offerings closely resemble traditional sports betting. The judge said there is no meaningful distinction between placing a wager through a sportsbook and buying a contract tied to an event outcome, concluding that such activity falls under Nevada’s gaming laws.

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