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Bitcoin BIP editor seeks Luke Dashjr’s removal

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Bitcoin BIP Editor Mark “Murch” Erhardt called for Luke Dashjr’s removal from the editorial team on Aug. 9, escalating a dispute over Dashjr’s handling of BIP110 and the proposal’s recent chain split. 

Summary

  • Murch proposed removing Luke Dashjr as BIP Editor, alleging procedural favoritism involving the contentious BIP110.
  • Dashjr rejected the allegations, calling them false and arguing he consistently followed established BIP procedures.
  • Several Bitcoin contributors backed removal, while others urged clearer procedures before changing Dashjr’s editorial access.
  • BIP110’s enforcing branch stalled after two blocks while Bitcoin’s dominant chain continued advancing without support.
  • BIP3 still lists Dashjr among six editors and provides no explicit procedure for removing one.

Murch posted the motion to the Bitcoin Development Mailing List and then opened GitHub pull request 2248 as a proposed implementation.

Dashjr rejected the allegations less than an hour after Murch’s mailing list post. As of Aug. 10, the removal PR remained open, while the current BIP3 document continued to list Dashjr alongside five other BIP Editors. No removal has taken place.

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Murch ties the removal motion to BIP110’s editorial process

Murch alleged that Dashjr exercised his editorial authority inconsistently while being closely involved with BIP110. He cited an attempt to assign the proposal a BIP number publicly before mailing list discussion and a later merge completed within minutes of a related pull request opening. Murch also claimed Dashjr produced fewer than 1% of BIP Editor comments after additional editors began serving in April 2024.

The current BIP3 process says authors should present an idea and draft to the Bitcoin Development Mailing List before formal submission. Editors then check that the proposal received prior discussion, assign a BIP number in the pull request and merge it when ready. The document describes the position as administrative and editorial and says editors do not decide whether a proposal is likely to gain adoption.

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Murch also alleged that communication between Dashjr and the other editors had broken down. He framed the matter as a conflict between Dashjr’s editorial responsibilities and his involvement in advancing BIP110. Those are Murch’s allegations, rather than findings from a formal Bitcoin governing body.

Dashjr denies claims as contributors debate removal

Dashjr disputed Murch’s account. “These are false accusations,” he wrote, adding that he had consistently followed the BIP process. Dashjr also challenged Murch’s account of their communication breakdown and argued that Murch should instead lose his editor position.

Other contributors backed the removal request. Bitcoin developer Matt Corallo supported removing Dashjr, while fellow BIP Editor Olaoluwa Osuntokun formally seconded Murch’s motion. Osuntokun said his support centered on what he viewed as bypassing editorial procedures rather than punishing a developer for advocating a controversial proposal.

However, the discussion also exposed a procedural gap. Jameson Lopp said there was no formal governance structure covering management of BIP Editors. Antoine Riard supported Dashjr stepping aside, potentially temporarily, but argued that contributors should allow time for a public response and establish clearer procedures before resolving the dispute.

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BIP110 chain split adds pressure to the editor dispute

The dispute follows BIP110 entering mandatory signaling at block 961,632 on Aug. 8. Only 51 of the previous 2,016 blocks, or 2.53%, had signaled support. As crypto.news reported in coverage of the mandatory signaling split, enforcing nodes created a minority branch that produced two blocks before stalling.

A later snapshot covered in the branch’s widening gap showed the dominant Bitcoin chain 111 blocks ahead, with no BIP110 signals among its first 113 blocks of the new difficulty period. BIP110 itself is a temporary consensus proposal intended to restrict certain forms of arbitrary transaction data.

Murch said the project “appears to evolve into a hard fork,” but that description should not be treated as a confirmed next step. Experimental proof of work change code exists, but its maintainer Chris Guida has described it as contingency code and said no activation date has been set. Earlier coverage of Dashjr’s backing also documented his support for the proposal amid opposition from other Bitcoin participants.

What happens next for Dashjr and BIP110

The immediate issue is pull request 2248. It remains open and currently proposes removing Dashjr from BIP3’s list of editors. BIP3 still names six editors, including Dashjr, and describes the BIPs repository as a publication and archive rather than a governing body that decides Bitcoin development or adoption.

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A second open proposal is addressing BIP110 itself. Pull request 2245 seeks to change its status from Complete through Deployed to Closed following the stalled activation attempt. The discussion remains unresolved, and the live BIP110 specification still labels the proposal Complete.

The two open requests now leave Bitcoin contributors with separate questions: whether BIP110 should be formally closed and whether Dashjr should retain editorial access. There is currently no published deadline for resolving the removal motion, and the mailing list discussion has not produced a formal decision.

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Trump Media holds 14,139 BTC as Q2 loss hits $238M

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Trump Media & Technology Group reported a $238.1 million net loss for the second quarter on Aug. 10 as falling digital asset and securities valuations continued to weigh on its balance sheet. 

Summary

  • Trump Media posted a $238.1 million Q2 loss, with $190.4 million from unrealized asset losses.
  • Bitcoin holdings rose to 14,139 BTC by July 31 after Trump Media bought additional coins.
  • The company pledged 2,077.34 BTC for options and 4,260.73 BTC against convertible notes in June.
  • Trump Media terminated its planned CRO treasury venture days before announcing a revamped treasury framework.
  • Q2 revenue rose 89% to $1.67 million, while quarterly operating cash use reached $13.7 million.

The Truth Social operator simultaneously announced plans for a “more disciplined digital asset treasury management framework” aimed at retaining long term crypto exposure while reducing volatility and making its assets more productive.

The U.S. listed company remains closely linked to Donald Trump through its ownership structure. Its latest annual report said the Donald J. Trump Revocable Trust, of which Trump is sole beneficiary, held about 41.1% of TMTG’s voting power as of Feb. 25. Donald Trump Jr. serves as sole trustee.

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Trump Media Q2 loss reflects crypto markdowns

Trump Media’s Aug. 10 filing put quarterly revenue at $1.67 million, up 89% from $883,300 a year earlier. The increase came from advertising services under a barter agreement, subscriptions to the Truth+ Patriot Package and management fees from Truth.Fi funds. Lower advertising revenue at Truth Social partly offset those gains.

The much larger change came from the investment portfolio. Trump Media recorded $116.7 million in realized and unrealized losses on digital assets and pledged digital assets during Q2, alongside investment losses tied to securities. Its release placed combined unrealized losses across digital assets, pledged assets and equity securities at $190.4 million. It also reported $25.6 million in legal expenses and $13.7 million of cash used by operating activities.

Management said legacy legal matters have been substantially resolved and “expects” those costs to decline materially. The expected reduction remains a forward looking company assessment rather than a reported saving. General and administrative expenses actually rose to $35.9 million during Q2 from $28.6 million one year earlier.

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The result follows the $405.9 million first quarter loss covered in earlier earnings coverage, when falling Bitcoin and Cronos valuations produced another large noncash hit to Trump Media’s accounts.

Bitcoin holdings jumped to 14,139 BTC in July

Trump Media held 9,477.16 BTC at June 30, carrying a fair value of about $557.1 million against a cost basis of roughly $1.01 billion. It also held about 756.1 million CRO valued at $40.6 million. The Bitcoin balance was slightly below the 9,542.16 BTC reported at the end of 2025.

The picture changed sharply after quarter end. Trump Media sold $159.6 million of equity securities invested in Bitcoin related products during July and used the proceeds to purchase Bitcoin directly. By July 31, the company reported approximately 14,139 BTC, including pledged coins, worth about $890.5 million at the $62,982 reference price used in its accounts.

That official figure provides a firmer baseline than wallet movements alone. In earlier Bitcoin transfer coverage, onchain analysts flagged large transfers to Crypto.com but the report cautioned that exchange deposits did not prove completed sales. The new filing confirms the July 31 balance, although it does not determine whether a separate Aug. 2 transfer of 2,628 BTC was later sold, pledged or moved for another purpose.

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Trump Media is using Bitcoin for options and yield

The treasury is also more complex than a passive Bitcoin holding. Trump Media reported that 4,260.73 BTC, worth about $250.5 million at June 30, backed convertible notes. Those coins face withdrawal restrictions tied to the debt agreement through no later than May 29, 2028. Another 2,077.34 BTC was pledged to support the company’s Bitcoin options strategy.

The company also disclosed for the first time that it has placed some Bitcoin with third parties through lending, placement and other yield arrangements. Its SEC filing warns that these activities create counterparty credit, insolvency, liquidation and custody risks. Some counterparties may rehypothecate the Bitcoin, while deployed assets do not receive government insurance protections similar to qualifying bank deposits.

Trump Media has not disclosed new numerical limits for those strategies in its Q2 announcement. Its promised “more disciplined” framework therefore remains a broad policy direction for now. Future filings will show whether the company reduces pledged Bitcoin, changes its use of options, lowers third party exposure or simply adjusts how those positions are managed.

CRO exit window and TAE merger are next

The strategy change arrives days after Trump Media abandoned another major crypto expansion. On Aug. 7, the company terminated the proposed Trump Media Group CRO Strategy business combination and associated agreements. The development followed plans for a multibillion dollar Cronos treasury vehicle involving Crypto.com and Yorkville, as detailed in recent CRO treasury coverage.

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Trump Media’s existing CRO balance remains separate from the canceled venture. Under the purchase terms disclosed in its filing, the company becomes eligible on Aug. 26 to sell up to 68,442,704 CRO during the following six months. That creates the next concrete date to watch as management reshapes its crypto exposure.

Attention is also shifting toward the proposed merger with fusion company TAE Technologies. Trump Media says it is targeting the fourth quarter of 2026 for completion, but the timetable is “subject to customary regulatory and closing conditions.” An Aug. 7 SEC report continued to state that the company intends to file a Form S-4 covering the transaction. Shareholder approvals and other closing conditions also remain outstanding steps.

Meanwhile, Trump Media is seeking more revenue outside its investment portfolio. Truth API launched Aug. 1 and the company says it has signed more than 10 customer agreements and is “already generating revenue.” Since the service launched after June 30, none of that revenue formed part of the Q2 figure. The product and related U.S. regulatory questions were examined in previous Truth API coverage.

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Bitdeer Stock Craters 20% Following Wider Second-Quarter Net Loss

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Bitdeer stock chart showing Monday's decline to $8.70

Bitdeer (BTDR) stock fell to its lowest level since March 31, after the crypto miner reported a wider second-quarter loss and revenue that missed Wall Street forecasts.

The Nasdaq-listed miner lost $0.37 per share, wider than the $0.32 expected by analysts. Revenue of $228.8 million also trailed the $231.16 million consensus.

Earnings Miss Overshadows Revenue Growth

Bitdeer’s net loss widened to $92.3 million from $62.9 million a year earlier. The company also swung to a gross loss of $8.5 million from a $12.0 million gross profit, according to its reported results.

The shortfall extended a difficult stretch that followed a $159.5 million deficit in the first quarter. Revenue still climbed 47% to $228.8 million from $155.6 million. 

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However, the cost of revenue outpaced that gain, rising to $237.3 million on electricity and depreciation charges. 

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Mining Output and AI Push Continue

Operationally, the quarter told a stronger story. Self-mining revenue nearly tripled, from $59.3 million to $168.4 million. The gain came as Bitcoin (BTC) mined jumped to 2,694 from 565 a year earlier. 

Adjusted EBITDA improved sharply to $31.1 million from $4.6 million over the same period. Bitdeer is also pushing deeper into artificial intelligence infrastructure. 

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AI Cloud revenue reached $14 million, up from $1.3 million. The CFO framed the period as measured progress.

“Our AI Cloud revenue continues to scale, alongside our mining business as our SEALMINER fleet comes online. Together, these results show the advantage of owning the fully integrated vertical stack, from power, to hardware, and infrastructure,” Michael G. Potter said.

Bitdeer Stock Erases Its Q2 Rally

Meanwhile, the results weighed heavily on the stock. BTDR fell 20.08% on Monday, closing at $8.70, a four-month low.

Bitdeer stock chart showing Monday's decline to $8.70
Bitdeer Stock Chart Showing Monday’s Decline to $8.70. Source: Google Finance

The slide capped a sharp reversal. BTDR gained roughly 83% in the second quarter, outpacing the broader Bitcoin market. 

Since July, however, the stock has dropped 43.7%, and Monday’s decline erased what remained of those gains. Bitdeer’s next earnings update is due in November.

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Luke Dashjr removed as Bitcoin Improvement Proposal editor

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Luke Dashjr removed as Bitcoin Improvement Proposal editor

Luke Dashjr removed as Bitcoin Improvement Proposal editor

Luke Dashjr lost his BIP editor privileges after developers raised concerns over his role in BIP 110 and its stalled minority fork.

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Trump Media to Rework Crypto Treasury Strategy After $238M Q2 Loss

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Crypto Breaking News

Trump Media said it is overhauling how it manages its digital-asset portfolio after unrealized losses on cryptocurrencies and securities pushed the company to a $238 million net loss in the second quarter. In its Q2 update released Monday, the business behind Truth Social and financial services brand Truth.Fi said it plans a “revamp” of its treasury approach aimed at keeping long-term crypto exposure while better controlling balance-sheet volatility.

The company attributed $190.4 million in unrealized losses across digital assets, pledged digital assets and equity securities. It also framed the changes as a way to improve the “productivity” of its balance sheet—an emphasis that suggests it intends to continue earning yield and structuring risk around Bitcoin, rather than simply holding spot exposure indefinitely.

Key takeaways

  • Trump Media reported $190.4 million in unrealized losses tied to its digital assets, pledged holdings and equity securities during Q2.
  • The company plans a new treasury framework to preserve long-term digital-asset exposure while managing volatility and improving balance-sheet efficiency.
  • Trump Media’s Q2 filing indicates it already used options to manage Bitcoin volatility and to generate premium income, alongside deploying some BTC into yield arrangements.
  • In July, Trump Media increased its Bitcoin exposure after selling Bitcoin-related securities worth $159.6 million and buying BTC with the proceeds.
  • Trump Media warned that its Bitcoin yield/carry strategies introduce counterparty credit risk, including potential inability to recover Bitcoin if a counterparty becomes insolvent.

A larger rethink after a heavy Q2 loss

Trump Media said the portfolio losses were a key driver of its Q2 results, which ended in a $238 million net loss. Alongside the headline loss, the company disclosed a specific figure for unrealized drawdowns: $190.4 million spanning digital assets, pledged digital assets and equity securities.

Management’s stated intent for the “revamp” is not to eliminate crypto exposure, but to keep it while refining how the company absorbs and mitigates volatility. That framing matters for investors because it signals an ongoing commitment to crypto-linked strategies—particularly ones that may involve derivatives or lending structures—rather than a full shift toward holding only unencumbered assets.

Trump Media’s broader business context also provides a clue about the internal priorities behind the treasury shift. The company said it plans to direct more resources toward Truth Social, Truth+, and other media segments as part of a capital-allocation change.

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Where the Bitcoin stood: little movement in Q2, a jump in July

According to the company’s Q2 reporting, its Bitcoin exposure was relatively stable throughout the second quarter. As of June 30, Trump Media held 9,477.16 BTC, down slightly from 9,542.16 BTC at the end of the prior quarter.

What complicates the picture is that the company also uses Bitcoin in collateral and structured strategies. In addition to its direct holdings, it pledged 2,077.34 BTC as collateral for its options approach. The filing also indicated that 4,260.73 BTC of reported holdings were posted as collateral for convertible notes.

The direction changed in July. Trump Media said it sold Bitcoin-related securities worth $159.6 million and used the proceeds to purchase Bitcoin. By July 31, the company reported holding approximately 14,139 BTC, including pledged Bitcoin, valued at about $890.5 million at the time.

For readers tracking crypto treasury behavior, the sequence is important: Q2 shows modest net spot movement, while July reflects a more decisive increase in aggregate BTC exposure—likely a response to how the company wanted to position itself after the earlier quarter’s unrealized losses.

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Options and yield: how Trump Media says it manages volatility

In its Q2 filing, Trump Media described an approach that blends active derivatives management with yield-oriented deployment. The company said it is already using options to help manage Bitcoin volatility and to generate premium income. It also stated that it deploys some BTC through lending and other yield-generating arrangements.

This matters because options and yield structures can change the risk profile of a “Bitcoin holdings” headline. While spot exposure can be a straightforward mark-to-market asset, options premia and collateralized arrangements can introduce additional sensitivities—such as counterparty performance, liquidity, and constraints on how quickly the company can move or liquidate its BTC.

Trump Media also highlighted that the yield/carry strategies are relatively new. That qualifier suggests the company may still be learning how these structures behave under stress conditions, which lines up with its later risk disclosures about counterparties and recoverability.

Risk disclosure: counterparty credit exposure and operational limits

Trump Media warned that its Bitcoin yield strategy creates counterparty credit risk and the possibility of losing assets. The company said it has deployed part of its Bitcoin holdings to third parties via lending, placement and other arrangements designed to earn additional income.

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According to the filing, some of these counterparties may not be rated by major credit rating agencies. In that scenario, the company said the counterparties could default during market downturns, liquidity crises or other periods of financial distress.

Trump Media also cautioned that if an arrangement is unsecured, it may be unable to recover its Bitcoin if a counterparty becomes insolvent. Beyond credit risk, it noted operational constraints: when BTC is deployed, the company may have limited ability to sell or pledge it, and counterparties may be able to use the assets at their discretion.

These are the kinds of details that can significantly affect investor expectations. Even if a treasury strategy is designed to reduce volatility or generate income, counterparty failure risk can turn income strategies into loss drivers—especially if recovery terms are weak or assets are not fully secured.

What to watch next

As Trump Media moves to implement its revamped digital-asset treasury framework, investors should focus on how the company structures options, how much BTC remains unencumbered versus pledged, and whether its new approach reduces reliance on unsecured or hard-to-recover yield arrangements during stress periods. The next quarterly filing will likely be the clearest window into whether the framework stabilizes results without increasing counterparty risk.

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Ripple-linked token leads drop as traders eye $70,000 bitcoin

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Ripple-linked token leads drop as traders eye $70,000 bitcoin

That makes $70,000 the next area to watch, another round number with the 200-day moving average sitting nearby. Clearing it would put bitcoin above the range where buyers and sellers fought through March and April, a move Kuptsikevich said would shift sentiment meaningfully.

Traders are not there yet. The crypto sentiment index sits at 30, in what is known as the fear zone, and has stayed there since mid-July with occasional dips toward extreme fear.

Bonds and oil set the tone in broader markets. U.S. 10-year Treasury yields rose six basis points on Monday to 4.71%, dragging Australian and New Zealand government bonds down with them, with no cash Treasury trading during Asian hours because of a public holiday in Japan.

Brent crude held at $87.73 a barrel after jumping 5% on Monday, when President Donald Trump made fresh demands on Iran and dimmed hopes of a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Gold rose for a third session above $4,400 an ounce.

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Higher oil feeds into the inflation figures due Wednesday at 8:30 a.m. ET, which is why the rally is weighing on assets that do better when rate rises look less likely.

Fund flows had been running the other way until this week. U.S. spot bitcoin funds took in $865 million across five sessions through Aug. 7, before a provisional outflow of $91 million on Monday.

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Keel exits U.S. Bitcoin mining after $65M loss, shifts to AI

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Keel Infrastructure has shut down all of its U.S. Bitcoin mining operations as the former Bitfarms business redirects its American power portfolio toward artificial intelligence and high performance computing data centers. 

Summary

  • Keel ended all U.S. Bitcoin mining operations on June 29 to prepare sites for HPC.
  • Q2 revenue fell 50% yearly to $30 million as mining activity and Bitcoin prices weakened.
  • Keel sold 1,085 BTC for $75 million, leaving 1,861 BTC on its balance August 7.
  • $819 million in liquidity includes $698 million cash and $121 million in unencumbered Bitcoin reserves.
  • U.S. sites in Washington and Pennsylvania have not yet generated any HPC data center revenue.

The company disclosed the transition on Aug. 10 alongside second quarter results showing revenue fell 50% from a year earlier to $30.4 million. Net loss reached about $65 million.

The move brings an end to Bitcoin mining at Keel’s sites in Washington and Pennsylvania, but it does not represent a complete exit from mining worldwide. The Delaware based company continues to operate legacy Bitcoin mining assets in Canada while pursuing approvals to convert more Canadian capacity toward HPC and AI workloads.

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Keel Infrastructure ends U.S. Bitcoin mining

Keel’s SEC filing shows that the U.S. withdrawal happened in stages. Bitcoin mining at its Washington State site ended on April 28 as the company began converting the location into an 18 MW HPC data center. Mining then ceased at Panther Creek, Scrubgrass and Sharon in Pennsylvania on June 29.

The change is particularly relevant to Keel’s U.S. operations because the company is now trying to reuse power infrastructure originally built around cryptocurrency mining. Panther Creek and Scrubgrass continued selling electricity after their miners were switched off. They had about 60 MW and 63 MW of energized capacity, respectively, that had not been contracted under an electric supply agreement as of Aug. 7. Sharon is being prepared for a planned 110 MW HPC data center.

Keel has also changed its corporate center of gravity. The former Bitfarms completed its redomiciliation from Canada to the United States on April 1. Keel became a Delaware corporation, a U.S. domestic issuer and the ultimate parent of the Bitfarms business. Its common stock trades on Nasdaq under the KEEL ticker.

Bitcoin sales give Keel more cash for the AI shift

Keel’s latest release also shows its Bitcoin treasury continuing to shrink. Between April 1 and Aug. 7, the company sold 1,085 BTC for roughly $75 million. Its remaining balance stood at 1,861 BTC, valued by the company at approximately $121 million for liquidity purposes.

Management made clear that further disposals are planned. During its earnings presentation, Keel said its “intent is to liquidate our Bitcoin position in 2026.” That remains a management plan rather than a completed transaction, meaning the timing and proceeds from the remaining BTC are still dependent on future sales.

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Total liquidity reached approximately $819 million as of Aug. 7, comprising $698 million of unrestricted cash and $121 million of unencumbered Bitcoin. That compares with about $533 million of liquidity reported in May, as previously reported in earlier earnings coverage.

Keel also raised $458 million through 1.25% convertible senior notes due in 2032 during the second quarter. Management said the capital is intended in part to support additional power capacity at its Pennsylvania properties, including Panther Creek and Scrubgrass.

Q2 losses show the cost of leaving Bitcoin mining

The transition is already visible in Keel’s financial results. Revenue from continuing operations fell to $30.4 million from $60.9 million a year earlier. Bitcoin mining revenue alone declined by $29.6 million as the company dealt with lower average Bitcoin prices, higher network difficulty and reduced U.S. mining activity.

The U.S. portion of the decline was substantial. U.S. operations generated 37% of second quarter revenue, down from 51% a year earlier. Revenue from U.S. operations fell by $19.9 million compared with Q2 2025, with Keel citing the Bitcoin market, higher network difficulty and the April shutdown in Washington.

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Keel recorded a $141 million operating loss, compared with operating income of about $11 million one year earlier. Net loss was $65 million, while the loss from continuing operations was $64 million. The quarter also included large noncash depreciation charges tied partly to the retirement of mining infrastructure at Panther Creek and Scrubgrass.

General and administrative expenses increased to $31.3 million from $19.4 million. Keel attributed the rise partly to stock compensation, professional costs connected with its U.S. redomiciliation and hiring staff for its expansion into data center development.

The strategy follows a broader move by listed miners to reuse power intensive Bitcoin infrastructure for AI computing. In related broader industry coverage, several miners have redirected capital and electrical capacity toward AI hosting as mining economics weakened during 2026.

What happens next for Keel’s U.S. data centers

The next test is whether Keel can convert retired mining sites into contracted AI infrastructure. As of Aug. 7, the company had not begun HPC operations or recognized HPC data center revenue at the Washington site or its Pennsylvania properties. That makes the current transition primarily a development story rather than an established new revenue stream.

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Keel says commercial talks are advancing. Chief executive Ben Gagnon said there were “multiple prospective tenants negotiating for each one” of the company’s three priority sites. However, Keel has not publicly named those prospective tenants or announced a signed customer lease for the sites in its latest results. The customer negotiations therefore remain a company reported commercial process rather than booked revenue.

Permitting is also unfinished. Panther Creek and Sharon have received zoning and land development approvals, while environmental permits remain in progress. Panther Creek has 350 MW of secured utility capacity, and management said its earliest expected ready for service date remains in 2027.

Keel has not abandoned Bitcoin mining everywhere. Its Canadian mining assets remain operational while it pursues further HPC conversions, including a proposed 96 MW data center campus in Sherbrooke, Quebec. Local approval has been obtained for the power transfer, although the change to HPC and AI use remains subject to provincial review.

For Keel, the U.S. pivot has therefore moved beyond planning: the miners are now off, mining equipment has been designated for sale and capital has been raised. The remaining milestones are more difficult to measure in advance. Permits must be completed, tenants must sign contracts, construction must proceed and the former mining sites must begin producing HPC revenue before the new model can be judged on operating performance.

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Cramer’s Analyst Says Eli Lilly’s GLP-1 Stock Rally Has Years Left to Run

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Eli Lilly is up 88% in the last 12 months.

Eli Lilly (LLY) posted a blowout quarter, and Mad Money says the GLP-1 drugmaker’s stock story is far from over.

Jim Cramer and CNBC analyst Jeff Marks called Eli Lilly and Nvidia top momentum stocks.

Why Eli Lilly’s GLP-1 Stock Still Has Room to Run

The comment came during a viewer question about how price targets get set. Cramer raised Eli Lilly and Nvidia’s runs specifically when asking about the process.

Marks, the CNBC Investing Club’s portfolio analyst, said stocks like these need a longer time horizon than most.

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“Stocks like that you also have to look out years out in advance, too. Especially in the case of Eli Lilly, where it’s more of towards the end of the decade is where it’s GLP-1 sales.”

— Jeff Marks, CNBC Investing Club portfolio analyst, on Mad Money

Eli Lilly’s second-quarter results back that framing. Revenue hit $23 billion, up 48% year over year. A 60% jump in sales volume offset a 13% drop in realized prices.

Management raised full-year revenue guidance to a range of $85 billion to $87 billion. Mounjaro sales rose 91% to $9.9 billion worldwide. Zepbound’s U.S. revenue grew 44% to $4.9 billion.

Cramer’s other 2026 stock picks lean on similarly durable, multi-year themes rather than short-term trades.

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Global GLP-1 Demand Is Still Early

Eli Lilly’s international business is growing even faster than its U.S. business. Revenue outside the U.S. jumped 80% to $8.6 billion in the quarter, while volume surged 113%.

Eli Lilly is up 88% in the last 12 months.
Eli Lilly is up 88% in the last 12 months. Image Source: Trading View

That growth came even as prices outside the U.S. fell 36%. The decline followed Mounjaro’s addition to China’s National Reimbursement Drug List (NRDL), a program covering drug costs under public insurance.

Lower prices widen access for millions of new patients, even as they compress near-term margins. Morgan Stanley expects the global obesity and diabetes drug market to nearly double by 2035.

The firm projects $190 billion in sales, up from $79 billion in 2025. Oral GLP-1 pills and expanding insurance coverage are the main drivers behind that forecast.

For Marks and Cramer, runway and scale are why Eli Lilly’s momentum looks built for years, not quarters.

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White House Vows to Get CLARITY Across ‘Finish Line’ in September

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White House Vows to Get CLARITY Across ‘Finish Line’ in September

Cointelegraph is committed to providing independent, high-quality journalism across the crypto, blockchain, AI, and fintech industries.

All news, reviews, and analyses are produced with full journalistic independence and integrity. For more details on our standards and processes, please read our Editorial Policy.

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U.S. SEC sets meeting to propose Reg Crypto to support certain digital assets offerings

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Crypto markets – and the American people – deserve clarity

“We view this as the first of several rulemakings the SEC will undertake to provide regulatory certainty for crypto assets after the Senate failed before the August recess to advance the Clarity Act on crypto market structure,” TD Cowen analyst Jaret Seiberg wrote in a client note sent after the SEC’s notice.

The proposal is expected to give a path to crypto firms enabling them to raise capital for projects without triggering SEC registration requirements, and the businesses are also expected to be provided an exit path for getting clear of the agency’s jurisdiction when they’re not engaged in hands-on management of the projects anymore.

Before this, Atkins and the agency had rolled through a lengthy series of crypto policy statements meant to clarify its regulatory position on digital assets, but the staff statements have little long-term durability. A formal rulemaking would be more difficult to reverse in the future.

But the rule will likely take further months to develop and finalize. This first stage will come with a comment period — typically two or three months — and be followed by a potentially lengthy rewrite.

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Reg Crypto would join some of the other significant steps the agency has taken or is still working on to foster the U.S. crypto industry. One of the major moves was a joint stance with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission on a “taxonomy” to define how they view various crypto assets and which jurisdictions they belong in. The agency is also still working on its tokenized securities approach, which Atkins routinely mentions as one of the SEC’s marquee crypto maneuvers.

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Arthur Hayes Says Fed’s Japan Yen Plan Will Pump Bitcoin

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Bitcoin's price has been remarkably stable for the past month.

Arthur Hayes says a Fed plan to help Japan defend the yen will print new dollar liquidity, and he argues that liquidity will pump Bitcoin (BTC).

Hayes co-founded BitMEX and now runs the Maelstrom family office. He has built a reputation for macro calls that tie Fed and Treasury policy moves directly to crypto prices.

How A Yen Rescue Becomes Dollar Liquidity

The mechanism he describes is real, though its scale is not yet confirmed. It runs through the Foreign and International Monetary Authorities (FIMA) Repo Facility, a Fed program that lets foreign governments post US Treasuries as collateral for short-term dollar loans, instead of selling those Treasuries outright.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has said Japan holds $1.143 trillion in US Treasuries. Under Hayes’ scenario, Tokyo repos part of that stockpile for dollars, sells the dollars for yen, and reinvests the yen into domestic bonds and stocks.

The Fed’s balance sheet grows to fund each loan, which is functionally similar to printing money, though the Fed frames it as a lending facility rather than quantitative easing (QE).

Hayes’ bet is that these dollars do not stay contained. BTC, in his view, is one of the most liquidity-sensitive assets in the market.

Bitcoin's price has been remarkably stable for the past month.
Bitcoin’s price has been remarkably stable for the past month. Image Source: BeinCrypto

Why The Fed Balance Sheet Matters For Bitcoin

During the pandemic, the Fed’s balance sheet grew from roughly $4.2 trillion to nearly $8.9 trillion by early 2022, an increase of more than $4.6 trillion in asset purchases, according to Federal Reserve research.

Over that stretch, the Bitcoin price ran from under $10,000 to an all-time high near $69,000 in November 2021. Hayes treats that stretch as the template.

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There is a second layer. The yen is the world’s cheapest major funding currency, meaning traders borrow yen cheaply to buy other assets. A sudden yen spike forces those trades to unwind fast, which dragged down stocks and crypto together in August 2024.

Hayes argues that routing the rescue through FIMA lets the unwind happen gradually. A sharp Bank of Japan (BOJ) rate hike, by contrast, risks a repeat of that 2024 shock, which he says makes FIMA the friendlier path for BTC.

The Administration Side Checks Out, So Far

Bessent asked the Fed to expand FIMA’s $60 billion lending cap. This was days after the US and Japan jointly intervened to support the yen. He called the facility an important backstop and said he wants its cap raised in the months ahead.

Not everyone agrees FIMA is the right tool. Brad Setser, a former Treasury official, has argued the facility was built to backstop lending in moments of market stress, not to fund currency intervention.

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Any cap increase also needs sign-off from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh has not committed to a schedule. Hayes treats the expansion as close to certain. The Fed has not.

Hayes’ own newsletter discloses that Maelstrom is already long Bitcoin, Ether (ETH), and Ethena (ENA). These are the same assets he says this liquidity will lift.

The post Arthur Hayes Says Fed’s Japan Yen Plan Will Pump Bitcoin appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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