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Bitcoin Breakout Attempt Fails as Rejection at Resistance Opens Door to $63K Revisit

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR:

  • Bitcoin failed to hold above key resistance after a retest, signaling a classic rejection pattern for BTC.
  • Analyst Dami-Defi warns that rallies below the yellow line are relief bounces with the $63K zone as next target.
  • Coinbase continues selling into every bounce while spot inflows from institutions remain notably absent.
  • A weekly close below $68K could confirm deeper downside, with analysts eyeing the $55K to $60K range.

Bitcoin’s price action is drawing serious attention after a failed retest at a key resistance level. The rejection has shifted market sentiment toward the downside.

Analysts are now pointing to the $63,000 demand zone as the next probable target. With no confirmed breakout and weak institutional inflows, the path of least resistance appears to trend lower in the near term.

Failed Retest at Key Resistance Puts $63K in Focus

Bitcoin broke above a critical resistance level but could not sustain the move. The price returned to retest that level and was firmly rejected.

Analyst Dami-Defi flagged this as a textbook breakout attempt followed by retest and rejection. That sequence historically points toward a return into the previous trading range.

Dami-Defi described the behavior as anything but confirmed breakout price action. A legitimate breakout holds above the broken level after the retest occurs.

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The failure to do so hands control back to the bears. He maintained a straightforward stance: bearish until the chart proves otherwise on closes.

With BTC trading below the yellow resistance line, rallies carry little conviction. Dami-Defi characterized any upward moves as relief bounces rather than trend reversals.

The $63,000 base, marked as a gray demand zone, now serves as the next key magnet. That area represents where buyers previously stepped in with enough force to matter.

Should that $63,000 zone fail to hold on real closes, the analyst warned of further downside. A clean break below it would shift the chart toward a deeper correction scenario.

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Traders are encouraged to focus on closing prices rather than short-term wicks. The rejection at resistance remains the clearest signal guiding this outlook.

Institutional Selling and Macro Weakness Reinforce Downside Risks

Higher timeframe analysis from analyst Junar adds another layer to the bearish case. He pointed out that Bitcoin lost the critical 72,500 level on the higher timeframe chart.

That loss carries weight because it reflects a structural shift in bullish momentum. A reclaim above that level would be needed to revive any serious push toward $79,000.

Until then, Junar noted that Coinbase continues selling into every bounce. Spot inflows from institutional players remain absent at current price levels.

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That dynamic limits buying pressure and keeps the market vulnerable to further slippage. Choppy price action is expected to persist over the coming weeks as a result.

A weekly close below $68,000 would serve as the next major warning for traders. Junar identified that level as separating a consolidation phase from a genuine breakdown.

Losing it on closes puts $60,000 squarely in view as the following target. He advised traders to consider building positions gradually in the $55,000 to $60,000 range.

Junar also urged market participants to tune out overly optimistic narratives currently circulating online. Swing trades carry elevated risk under these conditions, making scalping the more practical approach. Until a clear directional shift emerges, patience remains the most disciplined strategy available.

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Crypto World

Stablecoins Do Not Threaten Banking Just Yet: Analyst

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Stablecoins Do Not Threaten Banking Just Yet: Analyst

The impact of stablecoins on the banking sector appears “limited” at the current phase of the adoption cycle, but banks could face increasing competition and an erosion of market share as the stablecoin sector and tokenized real-world assets (RWAs) grow in market capitalization. 

“So far, the use of stablecoins remains limited, but their market capitalization exceeded $300 billion at the end of last year,” Abhi Srivastava, associate vice president of Moody’s Investors Service Digital Economy Group, told Cointelegraph.

The stablecoin market cap has surged past $300 billion. Source: RWA.xyz

The role of stablecoins in payments, cross-border commerce and onchain finance is “expanding,” despite their currently limited role, Srivastava said, adding that existing payment systems in the US are already “fast, low-cost and trusted.” He said:

“For the banking sector, at this stage, disruption risk appears limited. In the near term, US rules that prohibit stablecoins from paying yield mean they are unlikely to replace traditional deposits at scale domestically.”

However, over time, growing adoption of stablecoins and tokenized RWAs, traditional or physical financial assets represented on a blockchain by a token, could place “pressure” on the banking sector, leading to deposit outflows and reduced lending capacity, he said.

Stablecoin regulatory policy has become a hot-button issue among crypto industry executives and those in the banking sector, with fears that yield-bearing stablecoins could erode banking market share proving to be a stumbling block for the CLARITY crypto market structure bill in Congress. 

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Related: Stablecoins behave like FX markets as liquidity splits: Eco CEO

CLARITY Act stalled, as banks fight yield-bearing stablecoins

The Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025, also known as the CLARITY Act, is a comprehensive crypto market regulatory framework that establishes an asset taxonomy, regulatory jurisdiction and oversight over the crypto markets.

The CLARITY crypto market structure bill. Source: US Congress

It is now stalled in Congress after a group of crypto industry companies, led by cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase, publicly stated opposition to earlier drafts of the bill.

A lack of legal protections for open-source software developers and a prohibition on yield-bearing stablecoins were among some of the most contentious issues cited by crypto industry opponents of the legislation.

Several attempts have been made by US lawmakers and the White House to negotiate a bill acceptable to both the crypto industry and the bank lobby.

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Earlier this month, North Carolina Senator Thom Tillis said he plans to release an updated draft bill proposal that would be acceptable to both sides; however, the bill has reportedly received pushback, according to Politico, and has yet to be publicly released. 

However, other crypto industry executives and market analysts have warned that if the CLARITY Act fails to pass, it could open the crypto industry up to future regulatory crackdowns by hostile lawmakers and officials.

Magazine: Stablecoins will see explosive growth in 2025 as world embraces asset class