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Bitcoin Dip May Continue as Retail Buys Under $70K, Santiment Says

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Crypto Breaking News

Bitcoin has shown renewed volatility as buyers and sellers clash at key levels. Retail participants have been loading up after the price dipped below $70,000, while larger holders have been trimming positions. Over a period spanning Feb. 23 to Mar. 3, Bitcoin traded roughly between $62,900 and $69,600, underscoring the tug-of-war between accumulation by smaller wallets and profit-taking by whales. The latest moves come as the market tries to discern whether the correction is over or if another leg lower lies ahead, particularly after a brief rally that pushed the price toward $74,000 before retreating.

Key takeaways

  • Retail demand increased as Bitcoin failed to sustain a break above $70,000, while large holders began to reduce their exposure after a sharp rally past $74,000.
  • Whales, defined as wallets holding 10–10,000 BTC, reportedly accumulated heavily in late February into early March when the price moved in the $62,900–$69,600 range.
  • From the Wednesday peak, these whales offloaded roughly 66% of their recent purchases, even as smaller holders continued to add to positions below 0.01 BTC.
  • The Crypto Fear & Greed Index sank to 12, placing the market in “Extreme Fear” as the pullback intensified.
  • Spot Bitcoin ETFs posted the largest outflow day in three weeks, with about $348.9 million sliding out of 11 products, signaling a shift in near-term demand dynamics.

Tickers mentioned: $BTC

Sentiment: Bearish

Price impact: Negative. Bitcoin traded around the mid-$60k range after peaking near $74k earlier in the week.

Trading idea (Not Financial Advice): Hold — watch for a clearer bid near key support zones before committing further risk).

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Market context: The move comes amid a broader sell-off in risk assets and shifting ETF flows, with on-chain behavior showing growing retail interest while wholesale players trim exposure. The combination of real-time price action and fund outflows suggests sentiment remains cautious, even as some participants see value in recent pullbacks.

Why it matters

The paradox in today’s Bitcoin dynamics rests on diverging activity between retail and whale cohorts. Santiment highlighted that, after Bitcoin breached the $74,000 mark, “key stakeholders began taking profit,” a pattern that can precede further near-term weakness if demand does not re-emerge. The dataset shows that while smaller holders were accumulating, larger holders were actively realizing gains, a combination that can slow the pace of a sustained rally even when retail buyers persist.

From a price-structure perspective, the volatility has shifted the narrative from a straight-line ascent to a more cautious outlook. The market technicals are complicated by macro considerations, including risk-off sentiment and liquidity conditions that influence whether a deeper correction can be avoided. The latest price action—moving down from $74k and hovering in the low to mid-$60k zone—echoes a broader market that is trying to price in both the potential for a rebound and the risk that the lows might retest if demand falters. This is reinforced by the fear gauge in crypto markets, which dropped into Extreme Fear and reflects a broader uncertainty among participants about near-term direction.

On the ETF side, the data point of $348.9 million in net outflows across eleven spot Bitcoin ETF products marks the largest single-day drain in three weeks. The outflows could reflect profit-taking amid the pullback, but they also underscore that ETF-driven demand has not yet returned to the pace seen during prior uplegs. In a broader sense, the ETF flows are part of a larger mosaic—retail demand, institutional positioning, and on-chain behavior—that determines whether a low-risk entry point emerges or if the market faces another test of support around the $60k–$68k corridor.

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Analysts have stressed that the pattern of rising retail accumulation while whales exit could signal that the correction isn’t fully complete. If demand from smaller investors remains resilient while large holders refrain from aggressive buying, Bitcoin could spend more time consolidating before the next leg higher. As Mn Trading Capital founder Michael van de Poppe noted in a subsequent post, a lack of support in the $67k–$68k region could lead to a renewed test of liquidity lows before buyers step in again. That view dovetails with the chart-level work some observers conduct to determine whether the market is forming a basin or merely pausing amid a broader downtrend.

The history of Bitcoin’s volatility also provides a frame for current conditions. After an all-time high near $126,000 in October, the price dipped to around $60,000 in February—a level some analysts consider a potential floor, though that assessment remains contested as new data flows in. The mix of lower price levels and risk-off currents creates an environment where both the narrative of value and the mechanics of supply-and-demand play critical roles in the next few weeks. The current data points—retail accumulation, whale distribution, ETF outflows, and the fear index—should be weighed together when evaluating potential trajectories for Bitcoin in the near term.

For market participants, the takeaway is that the market continues to reflect a balance of risk appetite and caution. The conditional nature of the moves—where strong on-chain demand from smaller buyers exists alongside prudence from larger holders—means that a decisive breakout or breakdown will likely require a fresh catalyst, whether it be macro news, regulatory signals, or a notable shift in ETF flows. Until then, traders will be watching price interaction around the $67k–$68k zone and the evolving sentiment indicators that accompany daily price changes.

What to watch next

  • Monitor Bitcoin’s price behavior around the $67k–$68k support region; a break below could imply deeper liquidity testing.
  • Track the ongoing flow of spot Bitcoin ETFs in upcoming reporting periods to gauge institutional demand resilience or fatigue.
  • Observe the divergence between retail accumulation and whale distribution to assess whether the imbalance signals a longer bottom-building phase.
  • Watch the Crypto Fear & Greed Index and related sentiment metrics for any reversal that might precede a price bounce.

Sources & verification

  • Santiment: analysis noting wholesale profit-taking at $74k and heavy accumulation by whales between Feb. 23 and Mar. 3.
  • CoinMarketCap price data referenced for current price context.
  • Crypto Fear & Greed Index data source used to frame sentiment movement.
  • Michael van de Poppe’s public commentary on price support in the $67k–$68k zone.
  • Farside ETF flow data, outlining the $348.9 million net outflows across 11 spot Bitcoin ETF products.

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) market dynamics and potential path forward

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) has once again proven that market direction hinges on a combination of on-chain activity, macro risk sentiment, and fund flows. The latest sequence—retail accumulation even as whales take profits, followed by a price retreat from a $74k high—underscores the complexity of pricing in a market where multiple participant types pursue different time horizons. The data from Santiment points to a tactical pattern that, if repeated, could foretell continued volatility in the near term. On the other hand, ETF outflows remind market watchers that demand from traditional vehicles remains a critical swing factor that can either accelerate a rebound or extend the correction depending on how flows align with price action. The next few weeks will likely hinge on whether the $67k–$68k band provides a durable foundation or if liquidity tests push the price toward the next set of support levels, potentially revisiting the sub-$60k region if demand falters.

Bitcoin’s current trajectory remains a reading of market mood as much as a function of technical levels. Traders will want to align price action with the evolving narratives around risk appetite, regulatory signals, and the appetite of institutional players for exposure to a volatile asset class. The ongoing tension between retail demand and wholesale posture will continue to shape the path of least resistance for Bitcoin in the near term, even as the longer-term thesis remains intact for those who view the asset as a hedge against inflation and a flexible store of value in a volatile macro landscape.

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Sources and verification: Santiment report on this week’s market dynamics; CoinMarketCap price data; Crypto Fear & Greed Index page; Michael van de Poppe’s X post; Farside ETF flow data.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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How Will BTC’s Price React?

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BTCUSD Mar 7. Source: TradingView


Iran also rejected Trump’s demand for unconditional surrender but apologized to its neighbors.

The war that started last Saturday between Iran on one side and the US and Israel on the other doesn’t seem to be stopping anytime soon, despite Trump’s demands for unconditional surrender.

The POTUS has made a new set of threats after Iran’s president called Trump’s request for the country’s unconditional surrender a “dream.” Nevertheless, Iran’s authorities issued a rare apology to its neighbors for its strikes against numerous sites.

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The US President continued the intense topic by warning that Iran will be hit very hard today. He also threatened that areas and groups of people that were not targeted before might be “under serious consideration for complete destruction and certain death.”

Recall that once the first strikes hit their targets last week, BTC’s price tumbled immediately from $67,000 to $63,000. However, it rebounded to $68,000 during the same day, especially after reports emerged that Iran’s Supreme Leader had been killed during the attacks.

It kept climbing mid-week as the tension grew and hit a monthly high at $74,000 on Wednesday. Nevertheless, it was rejected there, and the weak US jobs report from Friday, as well as Trump’s latest remarks on Iran and Cuba, sent it south to $68,000.

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Today’s developments have left BTC unfazed as it continues to trade at around $68,000. However, more volatility might ensue if Trump’s threats become reality, especially since the crypto market is the only financial industry available for trading during the weekends.

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BTCUSD Mar 7. Source: TradingView
BTCUSD Mar 7. Source: TradingView
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OmniPact Raises $50 Million to Power the Future of Decentralized Trust Infrastructure

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Nexo Partners with Bakkt for US Crypto Exchange and Yield Programs

TLDR:

  • OmniPact raised $50M from anonymous institutional investors and family offices to advance its trust protocol.
  • The funding will cover mainnet development, security audits, and a Q1 2026 testnet launch on schedule.
  • Smart contracts serve as on-chain guarantors, removing all intermediaries from peer-to-peer transactions.
  • OmniPact’s roadmap includes RWA integration and AI agent transaction capabilities across multiple chains. 

OmniPact has secured $50 million in a private funding round to advance its decentralized trust infrastructure. The New York-based protocol is building a trust layer for peer-to-peer transactions involving both physical and digital assets.

A consortium of institutional investors and family offices backed the round, requesting anonymity. The capital will speed up mainnet development, cross-chain integration, and the launch of a decentralized arbitration module, bringing the project closer to full global deployment.

Funds to Drive Mainnet Development and Technical Expansion

A large share of the proceeds will fund the final development of OmniPact’s core contracts. Security audits of the multi-chain infrastructure are also scheduled as part of this phase.

Both steps must be completed before the protocol can advance into public deployment. This work is set to run alongside active engineering efforts on the mainnet.

OmniPact also confirmed that its testnet launch remains on schedule for Q1 2026. This milestone gives the protocol a clear timeline as it moves toward full market entry. Reaching this target would place OmniPact ahead of many competitors in the decentralized commerce sector.

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Part of the capital will also go toward expanding OmniPact’s engineering team. More developers are expected to speed up real-world asset (RWA) integration across the platform. AI agent transaction capabilities are also being developed as part of this funding cycle.

Co-founder and CEO Alex Johnson commented on the raise, stating: “The funding validates our thesis that the future of commerce requires a neutral, transparent, and trustless foundation.”

Johnson added that the infrastructure “eliminates intermediaries entirely, returning power to users.” He further noted that investor confidence would allow the team to bring secure, decentralized custody to a global audience.

Smart Contracts and Decentralized Arbitration as the Trust Layer

OmniPact’s protocol is built to solve the trust problem that persists in peer-to-peer transactions. The platform deploys smart contracts as on-chain guarantors, removing reliance on any centralized platform. Two parties can therefore transact directly, with no third-party intermediary required.

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Furthermore, the protocol pairs algorithmic custody with a built-in decentralized arbitration module. A reputation system operates alongside both tools, reinforcing accountability across all user activity.

Together, these mechanisms support secure and verifiable peer-to-peer asset exchange. The model also removes single points of failure common in traditional escrow services.

Cross-chain integration forms another technical pillar of OmniPact’s core architecture. The protocol is engineered to function across multiple blockchain networks at the same time. This gives the platform access to users operating across different digital asset ecosystems.

Institutional backers expressed confidence in OmniPact’s roadmap at the time of the announcement. They cited the protocol’s capacity to set new standards across both Web4 and traditional commerce.

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Johnson concluded that the round gives the team the resources to “execute our roadmap” and deliver a live, fully operational protocol to a global audience.

 

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European Energy Crisis: How Russia and Qatar Shocks Are Threatening EU Industrial Power

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Nexo Partners with Bakkt for US Crypto Exchange and Yield Programs

TLDR:

  • Europe still imported 2 billion cubic feet per day of Russian LNG last year, half of Russia’s total exports.
  • Qatar supplies 20% of global LNG and declared force majeure, with production halted for at least one month.
  • The U.S. now controls over 50% of Europe’s LNG supply, giving Washington direct leverage over EU energy costs.
  • Gas prices have already surged over 50% as simultaneous supply shocks strain Europe’s limited energy alternatives.

European energy crisis pressures are mounting as Russia redirects LNG exports while Qatar declares force majeure on gas. Europe replaced cheap Russian pipeline gas with costly LNG after the Ukraine war began.

Now two simultaneous supply shocks are hitting the continent at once. Gas prices have already surged over 50% in recent days.

The EU faces limited alternatives and growing concerns about a 2022-style energy crunch that could once again disrupt factories across the region.

Russia Redirects Exports as Qatar Shuts Down Production

Before the Ukraine war, Europe relied on 15 billion cubic feet per day of Russian gas. That supply kept European manufacturing costs competitive for years.

After the conflict began, Europe sourced costlier LNG from the U.S., Qatar, and other producers. The transition raised energy costs for European industry considerably.

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The EU still imported 2 billion cubic feet per day of Russian LNG last year. That volume is roughly half of Russia’s total LNG exports globally. Russia has now announced it will redirect those flows to China and India.

Bull Theory stated on X: “Russia announced it will redirect part of its LNG exports away from Europe to friendly countries like China and India immediately.”

Russia’s move comes before the EU’s 2027 legal ban on Russian gas takes effect. Moscow has clear incentive to act on supply leverage before that deadline.

European policymakers now face a difficult position with limited response time. New supply chains cannot be established quickly enough to fill the gap.

Qatar’s Ras Laffan facility shutdown has added another blow to Europe’s energy position. Qatar supplies 20% of all global LNG and declared force majeure after the closure.

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Normal production is not expected to resume for at least one month. Europe had relied on Qatari LNG as a central part of its post-Russia supply plan.

U.S. Leverage Grows While European Industry Faces Closures

The United States now supplies over 50% of Europe’s LNG. This gives Washington leverage over European energy costs and industrial policy.

European manufacturers must either absorb higher costs or relocate operations to North America. Bull Theory noted: “This effectively allows the U.S. to weaponize energy costs, forcing European factories to either pay a massive premium or relocate.”

Unlike China and India, Europe has not built diverse energy supply chains. Both nations secured alternatives that shielded them from current disruptions.

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Europe, by contrast, faces simultaneous shocks with very few substitutes. Brussels is caught between U.S. bargaining pressure and a supply gap that diplomacy cannot quickly fill.

If the Hormuz blockade continues for weeks, a second wave of factory closures becomes likely. A similar pattern to 2022 could emerge, with permanent industrial losses for the European energy crisis.

The EU’s manufacturing standing faces direct structural pressure as a result. The outcome depends on events largely outside Europe’s control.

Russia still earns billions from the EU despite current tensions. The coming 2027 ban removes Moscow’s incentive to keep flows stable.

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Europe has few tools to address a supply failure of this scale. The energy challenge now extends well beyond what Brussels can manage alone.

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Kalshi, Polymarket Eye $20B Valuations in Potential Fundraising: WSJ

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Kalshi, Polymarket Eye $20B Valuations in Potential Fundraising: WSJ

Prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket are reportedly exploring new fundraising rounds that could value the companies at around $20 billion each, roughly double their most recent valuations.

Both platforms have held preliminary discussions with potential investors about raising fresh capital at the elevated valuation, the Wall Street Journal reported on Friday, citing people familiar with the matter. The report noted that the negotiations remain at an early stage and may not result in deals or secure the targeted valuation.

Kalshi currently operates in the United States and offers markets allowing users to wager on outcomes tied to sports, politics, the economy and cultural events. The company was last valued at about $11 billion in December when it raised $1 billion from investors including Paradigm and Sequoia Capital.

Founded in 2018 by Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara, Kalshi received approval from the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission in 2020 to operate as a regulated exchange for event-based markets. The platform has since expanded rapidly and recently surpassed a $1 billion revenue run rate, with some estimates placing the figure closer to $1.5 billion.

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Related: Kalshi, Polymarket face trading halt in Nevada after court rulings

Polymarket plans US launch later this year

Polymarket, launched in 2020 by Shayne Coplan, remains inaccessible to US users without a virtual private network but plans to introduce a regulated domestic version of its platform later this year. The company was valued at roughly $9 billion in October after Intercontinental Exchange, the owner of the New York Stock Exchange, agreed to invest up to $2 billion.

Both platforms have drawn attention from lawmakers and regulators. As Cointelegraph reported, US Democratic lawmakers are drafting legislation to regulate prediction markets after suspiciously timed bets on the timing of US and Israeli strikes on Iran raised insider-trading concerns.