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Bitcoin Drops to $76K as Fresh US-Iran Tensions Resurface

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Bitcoin Drops to $76K as Fresh US-Iran Tensions Resurface

Bitcoin (BTC) dropped to $76,000 during the early Asian trading hours on Monday as US-Iran tensions resurfaced. 

Key takeaways

  • Bitcoin falls to $76,500 as bearish momentum becomes increasingly tied to geopolitical developments.
  • Over $607 million in long positions have been liquidated in the last 24 hours.
  • Bitcoin traders say support at $76,000 should hold to avoid a BTC price drop to $65,000.

Bitcoin hits three-week lows with 7% drop

Data from TradingView showed BTC price dropped as much as 7% over the last three days to three-week lows of $76,500, erasing all the gains made since May 1. 

BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The losses come just days after BTC/USD reached 13-week highs around $83,000, boosted by strong inflows into spot exchange-traded funds and optimism surrounding the US CLARITY Act.

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Related: BTC price ‘bull trap’ at $76.5K? Five things to know in Bitcoin this week

On Sunday, however, US President Donald Trump issued fresh threats against Iran regarding delays in the peace agreement, warning that the “clock is ticking.”

Source: TruthSocial/Donald J. Trump

“Trump confirms the clock is ticking for Iran. The US is allegedly preparing for a potential new military operation against Iran,” analyst CryptoRover said in a Monday post on X, adding:

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“This is extremely dangerous for $BTC.”

The move in Bitcoin was accompanied by $607 million in long liquidations over the last 24 hours, with BTC long liquidations accounting for $190 million.

This brought the total liquidations across the crypto market over the last 24 hours to $677 million.

Total crypto liquidation across all exchanges. Source: CoinGlass

Oil also saw volatility, with WTI rising over 3% in a matter of hours to $104 per barrel before correcting to $101.

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CFDs on WTI crude oil one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

“WTI surged above $103 as Trump publicly lost patience with stalled peace talks and a waiver for Russian crude sales expired, adding to supply fears around the still-disrupted Strait of Hormuz,” trading resource Capital.com said in a Monday X post, adding:

“Higher oil means hotter future inflation, reinforcing higher-for-longer Fed expectations and lifting both the dollar and yields — a tough combination.”

Bitcoin traders say bears “back in the driver’s seat”

Bitcoin traders, meanwhile, looked at the technical setup for clues as to where the price might head next.

Analyst CryptoJelleNL said that a bearish divergence from the relative index as BTC/USD ran into resistance at $82,000 was responsible for the “pullback we’re in right now,” adding:

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“Bears getting back in the driver’s seat?”

BTC/USD daily chart. Source: X/CryptoJelleNL

MN Capital founder Michael van de Poppe said immediate support at $76,000 should hold to “prevent a market-wide crash.”

An accompanying chart showed other support levels to watch if this area is lost, including the $71,000-$73,000 demand zone and the local low at $65,000.

BTC/USD chart. Source: X/Michael van de Poppe

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The local low at $65,000 coincides with the target of an inverted V-shaped pattern, as shown on the daily chart below. This represents a 16% drop from the current price.

BTC/USD daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Note that the BTC/USD pair experienced a similar sharp correction of the same magnitude after being rejected by the 200-day moving averages in April 2025.

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Warsh Hawkish Shock: 9 Fed Officials Signal 2026 Rate Hike

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Anthropic Admits AI Is Learning to Build Better AI Faster Than Expected

Fed Chair Kevin Warsh held rates steady in his debut FOMC meeting but delivered a sharply hawkish surprise, with nine of 18 participants projecting a 2026 rate hike and the statement stripping out its easing bias.

The Federal Reserve left the federal funds rate unchanged at 3.50%-3.75% on June 17, 2026 — the fourth consecutive hold, fully priced by markets.

Statement Shifts to Neutral

The FOMC removed previous references to “additional rate adjustments,” adopting a purely data-dependent neutral stance.

This marks a clear policy pivot amid persistent inflation hovering around 4.2% YoY.

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Nine of 18 FOMC participants now pencil in at least one rate hike for 2026, a dramatic shift from prior projections that leaned toward cuts or extended holds.

This validates warnings from Citadel Securities about rising September hike risks fueled by strong wages, resilient demand, supply strains, and AI-driven investment.

Warsh’s Debut Under Scrutiny

In his first press conference, Warsh leaned into his preference for a “quieter” Fed with reduced forward guidance.

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Fidelity managers had warned of potential bond market volatility from tone uncertainty, early reactions showed higher Treasury yields and USD gains.

The outcome challenges dovish expectations tied to Warsh’s appointment and highlights a vigilant committee focused on inflation control.

Market Impact: Stocks and Bonds Sell Off

Wall Street turned lower after the decision as investors digested the more hawkish tone.

The S&P 500 fell 0.6%, the Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.7%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 160 points (0.3%) by mid-afternoon.

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Treasury yields climbed on the news. The 2-year yield rose nearly 11 basis points to 4.153%, while the 10-year yield increased 4 basis points to 4.469%.

The outcome highlights ongoing division risks at the Fed amid the Iran-related energy shock, which is driving both higher inflation and growth uncertainty.

The post Warsh Hawkish Shock: 9 Fed Officials Signal 2026 Rate Hike appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Citadel Signals Fed Rate Hike Risk Rising In 2026

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CME FedWatch chart showing a 99.6% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged at its June 17, 2026 meeting.

Citadel Securities has warned that the Federal Reserve may need to resume monetary tightening later this year as inflation pressures remain elevated across the U.S. economy. The firm’s latest outlook suggests that Fed rate hikes could begin as early as September 2026 if inflation continues to exceed policymakers’ targets.

The forecast comes ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee meeting on June 17. Market participants widely expect officials to leave interest rates unchanged. However, Citadel believes investors should focus on future policy signals rather than the immediate decision.

CME FedWatch chart showing a 99.6% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged at its June 17, 2026 meeting.

Source: FedWatch

Persistent Inflation Raises Policy Concerns

Citadel’s Head of Macro Strategy, Frank Flight, stated that inflation risks continue to build despite lower energy prices. According to the firm’s analysis, inflation has spread into broader sectors of the economy rather than remaining concentrated in commodities.

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Flight wrote that the economy faces the risk of entering a “hysteretic equilibrium,” where temporary shocks create lasting inflationary effects. Citadel identified strong labor markets, accommodative financial conditions, and supply-chain disruptions as major factors supporting price growth.

Recent economic indicators support those concerns. Headline Consumer Price Index inflation reached 4.2% in May, while Producer Price Index inflation climbed to 6.5%. Citadel also noted that a larger share of core CPI components now records annual increases above 3%, suggesting inflation remains widespread.

AI Investment Boom Adds New Demand Pressure

Citadel also highlighted the growing impact of artificial intelligence spending on the economy. The firm estimates AI-related capital expenditures could reach approximately $750 billion in 2026 before rising to $1.25 trillion in 2027.

Large investments by companies such as OpenAI, Anthropic, and SpaceX continue to increase demand for infrastructure, computing resources, and skilled labor. As a result, AI development may contribute additional inflationary pressure during the coming years.

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Against this backdrop, Citadel expects Federal Reserve officials to maintain a hawkish stance. Flight stated, “We think the risks skew to a rate hike at the September meeting.” The firm also expects policymakers to remove any remaining easing bias from future projections.

Markets Increase Bets On Fed Rate Hikes

Citadel’s forecast aligns with shifting market expectations. Kalshi prediction market data currently assigns a 60% probability that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates before July 2027. Expectations for tightening have increased steadily in recent months.

Kalshi prediction market chart showing rising odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike, with traders assigning a 60% chance of a hike before July 2027 and a 79% chance before 2028.

Source: Kalshi

Meanwhile, a recent Bank of America fund manager survey found that nearly 40% of respondents expect at least one rate increase within the next year. That figure stood at just 16% one month earlier.

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BNP Paribas has also revised its outlook. The bank now expects three Fed rate hikes beginning in December, citing persistent inflation and continued labor market strength.

Citadel projects potential rate increases in September and December 2026, followed by another move in March 2027. The firm warned that higher borrowing costs and tighter liquidity conditions could create challenges for risk assets, including Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market, if investors increasingly price in future Fed rate hikes.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Congress Strikes Housing-Bill Deal That Bans Fed CBDC Through 2030

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Congress Strikes Housing-Bill Deal That Bans Fed CBDC Through 2030


Congressional negotiators have folded a statutory ban on a Federal Reserve central bank digital currency into a bipartisan housing package, blocking any Fed-issued retail digital dollar until December 31, 2030. The text is the most durable legislative CBDC prohibition yet assembled in Washington…. Read the full story at The Defiant

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Can Hyperliquid (HYPE) Flip Ripple (XRP) in 2026? 3 AIs Weigh in

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HYPE – the native token of the decentralized crypto exchange Hyperliquid – has been on a tear lately, hitting a new all-time high even as most digital assets continue to struggle in the prolonged bear market.

It recently surpassed Dogecoin (DOGE) to become the 10th-biggest cryptocurrency, so we decided to ask three of the most popular AI-powered chatbots whether flipping Ripple’s XRP is also plausible sometime this year. Here are their answers.

Low Probability

Earlier this week, HYPE’s price soared to a historic peak of around $77, while its market cap pumped to approximately $16 billion. Despite the substantial increase, it remains far below XRP, whose capitalization currently stands at around $74 billion.

Given the huge gap, ChatGPT described the scenario in which HYPE surpasses its rival as a low probability. At the same time, OpenAI’s platform outlined several catalysts that could help the asset explode to such levels. Some of those include the rising popularity of Hyperliquid and its future expansion to the point where it becomes a Binance competitor, and backing from prominent industry figures.

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Recall that Arthur Hayes (co-founder of BitMEX) was heavily invested in the token, yet he recently sold all his positions. Shortly after, the blockchain-tracking platform Lookonchain suggested he might have spent over $2 million to buy back nearly 34,000 HYPE. However, Hayes rejected the claim.

According to ChatGPT, another factor that may have a positive influence is the institutional interest in the coin. Data show that inflows into spot HYPE ETFs have exceeded outflows recently, with cumulative net inflows of approximately $180 million. Still, this figure is far below the $1.44 billion that exchange-traded funds with XRP as the underlying token have attracted since their launch in late 2025.

Perplexity shared a similar theory, saying that such a rise by HYPE is only possible in “a narrow sense.” It noted that, in addition to its market-cap lead, XRP has a vast and devoted community, which could make a potential flip even harder.

“In 2026, HYPE can plausibly flip XRP on price momentum, narrative strength, or even short-term market cap at times, but XRP has a much larger base to overtake, so a full sustained flip is less likely without a major rotation in capital,” it added.

‘A Massive Uphill Battle’

Google’s Gemini was even less optimistic, claiming that the biggest hurdle for HYPE isn’t its utility but pure math. It praised XRP for being “a highly liquid, large-cap legacy asset,” whose market cap hovers in the tens of billions of dollars even during market corrections, “sustained by deep institutional plumbing and international remittance use cases.”

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“For HYPE to flip XRP, it would need to see an astronomical influx of capital, multi-billion-dollar daily trading volumes, and massive speculative retail FOMO – all while XRP would have to severely stagnate or decline,” it concluded.

The post Can Hyperliquid (HYPE) Flip Ripple (XRP) in 2026? 3 AIs Weigh in appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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Trump G7 Summit Press Pumps Bitcoin as Oil Crashes

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Bitcoin Price Trump G7 summit

The Bitcoin price moved past the $66,000 threshold on Wednesday as US President Trump explained the Iran deal in his press address at G7 Summit.

Meanwhile, the oil price slid lower as Trump’s remarks shed more light on the US-Iran deal ahead of the formal signing in Switzerland.

Bitcoin Price Trump G7 summit
Oil, Bitcoin, and DJI Performances. Source: TradingView

Trump Addresses Iran Deal In G7 Summit Press

President Trump delivered a high-stakes update on the U.S.-Iran Memorandum of Understanding during the G7 summit press conference on June 17, 2026, driving immediate market moves across risk assets.

Trump confirmed the framework includes a ceasefire, full reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, limited sanctions relief, and Iran’s pledge against nuclear weapons.

A formal signing is expected soon in Switzerland.

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“If Iran doesn’t honor the agreement, back to bombing them,” Trump stated bluntly. He added that some understandings remain unwritten and praised the impact of recent U.S. strikes: “Amazing what bombs can do.”

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President Trump also highlighted market surges tied to Iran peace signals during the G7 summit press conference.

“Every time we talked about possibility of peace, market shot up like a rocket ship,” Trump declared. “Never really went down. The stock market is more brilliant than anybody.”

He linked these rallies to the U.S.-Iran MOU, which includes a ceasefire, Strait of Hormuz reopening, and limited sanctions relief, while warning of renewed strikes if Iran fails to comply.

The “peace through strength” narrative, backed by explicit military leverage, has reduced short-term volatility premiums.

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US lawmakers Warn Against Presidential Pardon for Sam Bankman-Fried

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US lawmakers Warn Against Presidential Pardon for Sam Bankman-Fried

Two US lawmakers on opposite sides of the political aisle are backing a resolution that “under no circumstances should Samuel [SBF] Bankman-Fried receive executive clemency, including a pardon or commutation.”

In a resolution to be introduced Wednesday, Republican Senator Cynthia Lummis and Democratic Senator Rubén Gallego warned that should US President Donald Trump grant SBF’s request for a pardon, it would “erase [his] conviction […] weaken deterrence, and send a deeply damaging message that perpetrators of large-scale financial fraud can escape permanent accountability.” The resolution would be non-binding, as a US president’s pardon power is enshrined in the Constitution.

“[The US Senate] affirms that the 25-year sentence imposed upon Bankman-Fried reflects the extraordinary scale and deliberateness of his crimes, his lack of remorse, and the catastrophic harm inflicted upon millions of victims, and that such a sentence serves the interests of justice,” read the resolution.

Source: Senator Rubén Gallego

The resolution came after Bankman-Fried formally applied for a pardon from Trump of his conviction on seven felony counts related to the misuse of FTX user funds. Last week, a federal appeals court upheld that conviction and sentence, leaving his only legal path forward a presidential pardon or an appeal to the US Supreme Court.

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Bankman-Fried was convicted in November 2023 following the collapse of cryptocurrency exchange FTX a year earlier, which resulted in investor losses totaling billions of dollars. He was later sentenced to 25 years in prison. 

Related: Onchain, in court: What happened in crypto legal news this week

Following his sentencing in March 2024, the former CEO posted several messages to social media aligning with Trump’s political agenda, including US military actions in Venezuela and Iran. However, in a January interview with the New York Times, the president said he had no plans to pardon Bankman-Fried.

Source: Sam Bankman-Fried

Cointelegraph sought comment from Gallego’s office but did not receive an immediate response. A spokesperson for Lummis said that the senator “wants him to know that her and her colleagues think Mr. Fried is right where he belongs” by introducing the resolution.

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Other FTX figures still serving time

Although some of the former executives of the defunct cryptocurrency exchange were sentenced to time served in exchange for their cooperation and testimony at SBF’s trial, one is still in federal prison, and another was released earlier this year. 

Caroline Ellison, the former CEO of Alameda Research, received a two-year sentence in 2024 and was given an early release in January after 14 months. FTX former engineering director Nishad Singh and co-founder Gary Wang were both sentenced to time served. All testified against SBF at trial.

Ryan Salame, the co-CEO of FTX Digital Markets, was sentenced to 90 months in prison related to unlawful political contributions and conspiracy to operate an unlicensed money-transmitting business. His wife, Michelle Bond — though not an FTX employee — was recently indicted on charges related to her 2022 run for Congress allegedly financed with illegal campaign contributions from the crypto exchange.

Magazine: The end of anon? AI could unmask crypto’s hidden identities

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Coinbase Stakes Out Brokerage Territory With SEC-Registered AI Advisor and Stock Options Push

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Coinbase Stakes Out Brokerage Territory With SEC-Registered AI Advisor and Stock Options Push


Coinbase used its latest "System Update" on Tuesday to push deep into territory long held by retail brokerages, rolling out an SEC-registered AI investment advisor, stock and ETF trading on its professional platform, and options markets for both equities and crypto. The bundle moves the exchange's… Read the full story at The Defiant

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Kalshi Eyes Broader Asset Classes for Perpetual Futures After $5.5B Crypto Launch

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Kalshi Eyes Broader Asset Classes for Perpetual Futures After $5.5B Crypto Launch


After generating $5.5 billion in trading volume in two weeks, Kalshi is pushing to extend its CFTC-regulated perpetual futures beyond crypto into a wider range of asset classes. Kalshi's perpetual futures business crossed $5.5 billion in trading volume in its first two weeks, according to… Read the full story at The Defiant

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Grayscale Names 5 DeFi Altcoins With Real Utility

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Projects like UNI and HYPE distribute almost 100% of earnings back to token holders

Grayscale Research has named five decentralized finance tokens it believes offer real value as crypto markets reward revenue and cash flow over speculation.

The asset manager flagged Hyperliquid (HYPE), Aave (AAVE), Uniswap (UNI), Sky (SKY), and Maple (MAPLE) in a research report published June 16. Each shows strong relative value based on fundamentals.

Why Grayscale Sees Value in DeFi

Crypto markets have fallen since January. Grayscale argues in its report that investors can now value many tokens like financial assets rather than commodities.

The firm sorts tokens on a spectrum. Bitcoin trades like a commodity, while protocols with recurring revenue resemble cash flow businesses.

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Since 2023, DeFi protocols have generated nearly $25 billion in cumulative fees from real users. That activity has driven rising on-chain fee revenue across exchanges, lending, staking, and derivatives.

Price multiples across DeFi lending have also compressed. Grayscale reads that as maturing business models now trading at attractive valuations.

Revenue Now Drives Token Value

Protocol revenue alone does not set token value. Grayscale says burns, buybacks, rebates, and staking decide how much reaches holders.

By that test, Uniswap and Hyperliquid stand out. The report says both return almost all earnings to holders through transparent DeFi payout models.

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Projects like UNI and HYPE distribute almost 100% of earnings back to token holders
Projects like UNI and HYPE distribute almost 100% of earnings back to token holders. Source: Grayscale

Hyperliquid routes trading fees straight into buying and burning HYPE. That model helped lift it into the top 10 by market cap this year.

Aave sits alongside them as the largest DeFi lender, after Grayscale called the AAVE token undervalued near $75.

How the Tokens Stack Up

HYPE trades near $72, ranking as the 10th-largest crypto and well ahead of its peers over the past year.

UNI sits around $3.30 after a 9% daily gain, with its value tied to fee distributions back to holders.

SKY trades near $0.06, where Grayscale says its onchain collateral-backed stablecoin keeps finding product-market fit.

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Maple rounds out the list through institutional lending, which the firm says has delivered strong risk-adjusted returns.

“…crypto is repricing from narrative → fundamentals Protocols with real revenue, disciplined capital allocation, and transparent token economics are outperforming Grayscale flags HYPE, AAVE, UNI, SKY, and MAPLE as showing strong relative value on this basis,” Grayscale stated.

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The throughline is a market repricing from narrative to fundamentals.

Grayscale says protocols that turn real revenue into token value are pulling ahead.

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Ethereum's Glamsterdam Upgrade Enters Final Devnet Phase With 200M Gas-Limit Target

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Ethereum's Glamsterdam Upgrade Enters Final Devnet Phase With 200M Gas-Limit Target


Ethereum's Glamsterdam hard fork reached its final devnet stage Tuesday, locking in the EIP bundle that core developers expect to carry the network through public testnets and on to mainnet activation in the second half of 2026. The release is being framed as the largest protocol change since the… Read the full story at The Defiant

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