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Bitcoin Enters Early Stage of New Bull Cycle, Says CryptoQuant

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Bitcoin (BTC) may be entering a new bull-market phase, as several valuation, demand, and liquidity indicators have turned higher, according to CryptoQuant. The analytics firm outlined the shift in a research note published August 25, but said Bitcoin still needs further confirmation.

The assessment comes as BTC has also shown renewed price strength. The cryptocurrency climbed about 24% from August 17 and reached $80,000, its highest level since mid-May.

Bitcoin Rally Gains Broader Support

The rally came amid plans by the US Treasury to raise long-term bond buybacks to at least $4 billion per operation from September 9. It also followed comments from President Donald Trump about possible federal Bitcoin purchases.

These developments coincided with a sharp improvement in CryptoQuant’s market indicators. The firm’s Bull Score rose from 30 to 80 during the week, its strongest reading since October 6, 2025, when Bitcoin traded close to $124,000. Eight of its ten underlying indicators are now in bullish territory.

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Demand conditions further supported the shift, with apparent spot demand expanding at its fastest monthly pace since late December. Spot and futures demand rose together for the first time since early October 2025, pointing to broader market participation.

Confirmation Depends on Key Level

CryptoQuant described these developments as the early stage of a new bull cycle. However, it said Bitcoin needs a daily close above its 365-day moving average for confirmation. That average currently stands near $83,000, leaving Bitcoin below an important technical threshold despite the recent move.

Despite the bullish signals, the report also identified factors that could create short-term pressure on Bitcoin’s price. Trader unrealized profit margins reached 20.5%, their highest level since June 2025. At the same time, large holders realized a record $614 million in profits on August 20.

Signs of potential selling were also visible in exchange flows. CryptoQuant observed higher Bitcoin, Ether, and XRP deposits on exchanges, which can signal that some holders are preparing to sell. The data does not guarantee a market decline, but it suggests profit-taking could become more significant if prices struggle above key resistance levels.

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Australia’s Best Employers of 2026

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Australia's Best Employers of 2026

TIME and Statista have launched the 2026 list of Best Employers, based on independent employee surveys conducted in countries around the world. In Australia, Statista gathered 200,000 evaluations from employees across a wide range of sectors. These surveys asked open-ended questions about employees’ willingness to recommend their own employer and their willingness to recommend other employers in the same industry. The top 300 employers, ranked based on these results, were named Australia’s Best Employers 2026.

Although U.S.-based Apple leads the list, the majority of Australia’s top-ranked employers are locally based. These include New Zealand-founded fintech Xero (no. 2), homegrown software giant Atlassian (no.4), newer unicorn Canva (no.9), and more esoteric tech companies like casino slot machine manufacturer Ainsworth Game Technology (no. 10) and digital-first contractor Built Construction (no.8). The prevalence of tech firms as hotspots for talent signals a wider boom amid Australia’s startup scene, which in recent years has been attracting attention and investments from venture capitalists. According to a 2026 report from Side Stage Ventures, startups in Australia are using venture funding more efficiently than any other country, producing 1.22 unicorns for every $1 billion invested. 

See the full list of Australia’s Best Employers of 2026 below:

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What to Know About the Apparent Iranian Threat Against Barron Trump

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What to Know About the Apparent Iranian Threat Against Barron Trump

The clip on Barron Trump follows a similar video released by the IRGC-affiliated Tasnim News Agency in July, which focused on First Lady Melania Trump, Barron’s mother. The July video also outlined alleged vulnerabilities in her security to carry out an assassination attempt, and ended with a threat: “Barron Trump, wait for us!” ​ 

Trump has been the subject of such threats from Iran since his first term. Iranian leaders have long targeted Trump since he ordered the airstrike that killed Iranian General Qasem Soleimani in early 2020. 

Trump further enraged Iran when the U.S. launched a war with it in late February, with its revered Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei killed in the early strikes. His son and successor, Mojtaba Khamenei, has since vowed to avenge the death.

Portrayals of the deaths of Trump and his family have since been central imagery to Iran’s revenge narrative. Last month, a mural depicting portraits of the U.S. First Family on top of coffins draped in the American stars and stripes appeared in Palestine Square in central Tehran. The same month, in Enqelab Square, the site of pro-Khamenei demonstrations, especially following his passing, a billboard showed what appears to be Trump’s body peeking out of a coffin.

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Charles Hoskinson Says Cardano Will Win, But With Ethereum’s Help

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Charles Hoskinson Says Cardano Will Win, But With Ethereum’s Help

Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson says the network will “win this fight,” as ADA rebounds 26% and criticism of the ecosystem grows louder. He also revealed that cooperation with Ethereum developers could produce a working integration within months.

The comments offer Hoskinson’s clearest answer yet to claims that Cardano is losing relevance.

Hoskinson Pushes Back Against Cardano Critics

During a recent interview on The Breakdown with David Gokhshtein, Hoskinson addressed mounting criticism of Cardano’s ecosystem directly.

That criticism has intensified following ADA’s sharp decline from previous market highs, alongside ongoing governance disputes and struggles affecting some ecosystem projects. Some observers have questioned whether Cardano can maintain its position among leading crypto networks.

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“It’s 2026, and we’re still talking about Cardano. We’re still inviting Charles to conferences, treating Cardano as newsworthy, accepting its sponsorship money, and giving it airtime on podcasts. Then we wonder why this industry struggles for credibility. We deserve the reputation we have. No serious industry keeps rewarding irrelevance like this,” ARK Invest’s Lorenzo Valente previously noted on X.

Hoskinson rejected that narrative, continuing to encourage the community to focus on the network’s long-term potential rather than short-term price action. He has previously stated his ambition for ADA to eventually become the largest crypto by market cap.

“Don’t bet against me, we’re gonna win this fight,” Hoskinson said, responding to questions about the network’s ability to recover and compete going forward.

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ADA price performance offered some support for his optimism. The altcoin gained roughly 26% over the last week, according to BeInCrypto data.

Beyond price action, Hoskinson pointed to concrete development work underway.

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Ouroboros Leios aims to significantly increase Cardano’s transaction-processing capacity, while Hydra remains a key Layer-2 initiative designed to support faster, more efficient transactions as the network competes with Ethereum and Solana on scalability and adoption.

ADA Price Chart. Source: BeInCrypto

Cardano Founder Backs Collaboration With Ethereum

After years of rivalry, Hoskinson said Cardano and Ethereum developers should work together. He wants Ethereum to explore Cardano’s UTXO-based technology, which changes how transactions and smart contracts are processed.

He said the collaboration would require no funding or apologies over past disputes and could produce a working integration within months.

“… it’s not like we would just be like no we don’t want to work with you. We’d be actually that’s great for both ecosystems. This is a natural easy academic and engineering collaboration which requires no transfer of money, no apologies, just an acknowledgement and just an desire to work together,” Cardano founder noted.

For Cardano, such cooperation could give its technology a much larger stage. It would also help Cardano connect more closely with Ethereum and show that ideas developed within its ecosystem can have value beyond ADA’s price.

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3 Things to Know About Revolut’s New Euro Stablecoin

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3 Things to Know About Revolut’s New Euro Stablecoin

Revolut began rolling out EURR, its first euro-denominated stablecoin, on August 26. The launch starts with selected customers in Portugal, Poland and Denmark, with wider EEA availability planned later this year.

But for European users, the obvious question is why use EURR when Revolut already offers USDC — or when users can simply keep euros in their account?

Three Things We Know About Revolut’s New Stablecoin

Revolut does not actually issue EURR. Bridge Building S.A., a Luxembourg-regulated company owned by Stripe’s Bridge, issues the token. Holders can redeem EURR with Bridge at €1 per token.

Also, its clearest difference from USDC is currency exposure. USDC tracks the US dollar, so its value in euros moves with EUR/USD. EURR tracks the euro, letting users move euro-denominated value onto Ethereum or Polygon without first taking dollar exposure.

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However, this is still a tiny rollout. Bridge’s reserve page showed just 374 EURR in circulation at launch, backed by €374 in cash deposits. That makes EURR closer to a controlled pilot than an established rival to USDC.

Note: Stablecoins have become the most in-demand product for banking platforms. In fact, 39 US banking groups are currently developing their own stablecoin network.

What Revolut Still Hasn’t Explained

The biggest unanswered question is why the average Revolut customer should use EURR at all.

Revolut says EURR will connect fiat, crypto, external wallets and blockchains. But it has not announced a clear pricing advantage over USDC. 

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Its current fee schedule already allows supported fiat-to-stablecoin conversions without transaction fees within certain plan limits.

It is also unclear whether EURR withdrawals will be cheaper than USDC, where outside liquidity will come from, or whether Revolut will add payment or rewards features.

For now, EURR solves one clear problem. It lets Europeans take euros on-chain without converting them into digital dollars.

The post 3 Things to Know About Revolut’s New Euro Stablecoin appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Ethereum developers propose first step to protect ETH staking from quantum attacks

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Why cautious TradFi firms love staked ether


A draft proposal would allow validators to deposit with quantum-resistant keys, then permanently stop accepting the format the network runs on today.

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Dealer Hedging Puts Bitcoin $80,000 Zone in Focus

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Bitcoin’s $6.44 billion Deribit options expiry could pin BTC near $80,000 or amplify a breakout as dealer hedging intensifies into Friday.

Bitcoin traders face a $6.44 billion options expiry on Deribit at 08:00 UTC this Friday, covering 81,700 BTC contracts as spot hovers near $79,000 after a rapid climb from $62,000. The size and positioning of that expiry, concentrated at the $75,000 and $80,000 strikes, puts dealer hedging flows squarely in control of short-term price action heading into settlement.

Bitcoin’s $6.44 billion Deribit options expiry could pin BTC near $80,000 or amplify a breakout as dealer hedging intensifies into Friday.

The expiry consists of 44,639 call contracts against 37,061 puts, producing a put-to-call ratio of 0.83, according to Deribit data. That skew shows calls outnumber puts by a wide margin, though the ratio alone doesn’t confirm directional conviction as some of those calls sit inside spreads or covered positions rather than outright bullish bets.

The $75,000 strike carries the largest call concentration at $236 million in notional value, with $80,000 close behind at about $157 million. Bitcoin’s rally pushed both strikes in the money, meaning holders can exercise profitably before accounting for premiums and fees.

Discover: The Best Token Presales

Gamma Hedging and the Pinning Risk at $80,000

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Market makers hedge options exposure by trading spot or futures against their book, and that hedge ratio shifts fastest when the price sits near a heavily populated strike, or a dynamic known as gamma hedging. Deribit Chief Risk Officer Shaun Fernando said more than $500 million in notional value is positioned within 5% of Bitcoin’s current market price.

Fernando said that, adding that the concentration “may result in unusual pinning around key strikes or accelerate moves through them.” Which outcome dominates depends on dealers’ net positioning as information that the aggregate open-interest tape doesn’t fully reveal, so neither a pin near $80,000 nor a clean breakout above it can be treated as confirmed ahead of time.

A pinned market would see BTC hover close to $80,000 as dealers offset nearby moves; a decisive break in either direction could instead force dealers to trade with the move. That tension echoes the broader question of whether Bitcoin can clear resistance and extend toward levels discussed in recent technical coverage targeting $89,000.

Trade Bitcoin on Bybit and Get a Chance to Win Our $1,000 USDT Airdrop

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Bitcoin Max Pain Near $68,000 Isn’t a Target

The expiry’s max-pain level, or the settlement price at which the largest volume of options expires worthless, sits near $68,000. It’s a $11,000 below spot. Max pain doesn’t account for hedging flows, entry prices, positions held off-exchange, or spot demand, and it has a poor track record of predicting actual settlement prices on expiries this size.

Reaching $68,000 by Friday would require a far larger reversal than a simple retreat to the $75,000 strike cluster, and nothing in current positioning suggests that move is underway. The figure is worth tracking as a reference point, not treating it as a forecast.

Bitcoin (BTC)
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If Bitcoin holds within a tight band around $80,000 into the 08:00 UTC deadline, expect dealer hedging to reinforce that range rather than break it, consistent with a pinning scenario. If BTC instead pushes decisively through $80,000 or slips back under $75,000, gamma hedging could accelerate the move in whichever direction it breaks, given how much exposure is stacked at both strikes.

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BTC volatility is also likely to compress once Friday’s contracts settle and near-term hedging demand rolls off, a pattern typical after large Deribit expiries.

The size of this settlement raises the odds of sharper intraday swings into Friday, but it doesn’t by itself dictate which way Bitcoin ultimately goes.

Discover: The Best Crypto to Diversify Your Portfolio

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Holders can earn daily income through cloud mining

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XRP price momentum slows as traders face resistance: Holders can earn daily income through cloud mining - 3

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

XRP’s price momentum has slowed, traders are facing resistance, while UE Crypto is attracting attention as investors seek cloud mining and yield mechanisms.

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Summary

  • XRP’s price momentum has slowed, and its price action has raised concerns about short-term market sentiment.
  • Amid continued market volatility, XRP holders seeking cloud mining and yield mechanisms have shown increasing interest in UE Crypto.
  • Potential liquidation concentrations around $1.55 and between $1.42 and $1.45 could influence the next market move.

At the time of writing, the current price of XRP (XRP) is $1.44, compared with an opening price of $1.0014 on August 19. The token briefly reached approximately $1.69 before sellers took profits, bringing its price down by around 12% from the weekly high, while still leaving it approximately 48% above the opening price.

XRP price momentum slows as traders face resistance: Holders can earn daily income through cloud mining - 3

After President Trump met at the White House with industry representatives, including Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse, optimism surrounding U.S. cryptocurrency regulation returned to the market, supporting the latest rally. Trump called on Congress to advance the CLARITY Act, which aims to allocate digital-asset regulatory authority between the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Improved liquidity conditions also supported the broader cryptocurrency market.

XRP, the cryptocurrency created by Ripple co-founder, eliminated some of its most bearish signals last week and surged, gaining 46% over seven days, with its market capitalization exceeding $91 billion.

However, as the saying goes, excessive gains can eventually lead to a reversal. XRP’s latest upward momentum is cooling, with the token falling as much as 2% earlier today.

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When an overheated rally continues for too long, problems can emerge. The latest rally surged toward $1.55 before beginning to retreat. The most recent daily close was $1.4554, compared with an opening price of $1.4818, marking the second consecutive trading day of decline. This appears more like a rally stalling near resistance rather than a full trend reversal.

Recently, XRP has underperformed other digital assets among the top ten by market capitalization. Its price has repeatedly retested previous support levels, while its upward momentum has clearly slowed. Meanwhile, the latest data from SoSoValue shows that XRP’s momentum is cooling, raising concerns about changes in short-term market capital sentiment.

Driven by the market’s tendency to buy on dips and take profits at higher levels, XRP experienced periods of increased volatility, causing its market capitalization to decline and temporarily losing its position as the world’s fourth-largest digital asset. The increase in short-term volatility has prompted some investors to reassess their future XRP investment strategies.

It is against this backdrop that UE Crypto’s cloud-mining digital-asset platform has attracted growing attention from investors seeking to use cloud mining and yield aggregation mechanisms to diversify their exposure to market volatility and potentially enhance returns.

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In recent years, as the global regulatory environment has matured, Ripple has continued to build its global payments network and expand into real-world asset (RWA) tokenization, cross-border payments, and digital financial infrastructure, providing new growth drivers for the XRP ecosystem.

Although secondary-market trading activity has recently declined and retail investors remain cautious, institutional demand for long-term digital-asset allocation continues to exist, while the underlying foundation for overall market growth remains largely intact.

As XRP price volatility increases, UE Crypto cloud mining has become another option being considered by investors.

Given the recent increase in XRP price volatility, more XRP holders are beginning to pay attention to UE Crypto and explore more diversified, stable, and sustainable potential income models through cloud mining and yield aggregation mechanisms while maintaining their long-term digital-asset allocations.

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Unlike highly volatile leveraged trading or investment strategies that rely solely on asset-price appreciation, UE Crypto’s cloud-mining platform provides a more convenient way to participate in digital assets. Users do not need to purchase expensive mining equipment or take on hardware deployment, maintenance, and operational costs. Instead, they can select an appropriate computing-power contract according to their individual needs and participate in related mining services. 

While focusing on the long-term value and market performance of XRP, users can also further expand the application scenarios and potential sources of returns associated with their digital assets.

About UE Crypto

UE Crypto is headquartered in the United Kingdom and operates within European regulatory frameworks such as MiCA and MiFID II, continuously improving its transparency, operating standards, and user-protection mechanisms.

The platform employs a multi-layer security architecture, including:

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  • Annual financial and security compliance audits conducted by PwC
  • Digital-asset custody insurance provided by Lloyd’s
  • Enterprise-level network protection from Cloudflare and McAfee® security systems
  • Bank-grade data encryption and professional security infrastructure to provide multiple layers of protection for users’ assets and accounts

Currently, UE Crypto supports a range of major digital assets, including XRP, BTC, ETH, USDT, USDC, DOGE, LTC, and SOL, providing users with a more flexible and convenient digital-asset service experience.

How to join UE Crypto and earn passive income in three steps

Step 1: Quickly register an account

Visit the UE Crypto official website and register using an email address to receive a $20 trial reward.

Step 2: Choose a mining package

Select a suitable cloud-mining contract according to personal budget and needs, and start mining with one click.

Step 3: Start earning

Once the contract is activated, the system will automatically allocate computing power, and earnings will be settled every 24 hours. Users can withdraw their earnings at any time or continue participating according to their needs, potentially supporting long-term compound growth of their assets.

Popular UE Crypto contracts

BTC (Beginner Experience Contract)Investment: $100, Term: 2 days
Daily return: $4, Total at maturity: $100 + $8

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Dogecoin (DOGE, Digital Intelligence System Contract) Investment: $500,
Term: 5 days, Daily return: $6.25, Total at maturity: $500 + $31.50

BTC (Super Computing System Contract) Investment: $1,000, Term: 10 days,
Daily return: $13.10, Total at maturity: $1,000 + $131

LTC (Algorithm-Driven System Contract)Investment: $5,000, Term: 25 days,
Daily return: $72, Total at maturity: $5,000 + $1,800

BTC (Quantitative Intelligence System Contract)Investment: $10,000,
Term: 35 days, Daily return: $158, Total at maturity: $10,000 + $5,530

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For more details about the contract plans, please visit the UE Crypto official website.

Conclusion

XRP’s upward momentum has slowed, while market volatility remains elevated. As a new market cycle gradually unfolds, investors are shifting their focus from simply tracking price movements toward greater emphasis on risk management, asset allocation, and long-term returns.

This trend reflects the continued evolution of digital-asset investment strategies toward greater maturity and diversification. At the same time, UE Crypto’s cloud-mining digital-asset platform has become an area of interest for some investors exploring diversified digital-asset allocation and potential income models.

Looking to earn up to $2,000 in passive income per day, or want to learn more about UE Crypto? Visit the official website.

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Disclosure: This content is provided by a third party. Neither crypto.news nor the author of this article endorses any product mentioned on this page. Users should conduct their own research before taking any action related to the company.

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India’s Best Employers of 2026

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India's Best Employers of 2026

TIME and Statista have launched the 2026 list of Best Employers, based on independent employee surveys conducted in countries around the world. In India, Statista gathered 760,000 evaluations from employees across a wide range of sectors. These surveys asked open-ended questions about employees’ willingness to recommend their own employer and their willingness to recommend other employers in the same industry. The top 500 employers, ranked based on these results, were named India’s Best Employers 2026.

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Warsh Jackson Hole keynote puts financial innovation first

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Warsh Jackson Hole keynote puts financial innovation first

The symposium theme is “Financial Innovation: Implications for Payments and Policy.” Warsh divested a dozen blockchain positions before taking office. He appointed Marc Andreessen to co lead the Fed’s AI task force. Friday’s speech could move crypto markets on policy content alone.

Summary

  • The 2026 Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium runs August 27 to 29 with the theme “Financial Innovation: Implications for Payments and Policy,” the first time digital payments and financial technology have been the organizing center of the event.
  • Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s personal portfolio disclosed in his April 2026 ethics filing included stakes across more than a dozen blockchain protocols and DeFi ventures, all divested upon confirmation.
  • Warsh appointed Marc Andreessen to co lead the Productivity and Jobs task force alongside Stanford economist Charles I. Jones and Microsoft Xbox CEO Asha Sharma, drawing attention from crypto investors despite the panel’s AI focus.
  • Bitcoin broke $80,000 on August 25 as the crypto market rallied more than 20 percent for the week, with traders positioning ahead of Friday’s keynote.
  • The stablecoin market has grown past $230 billion in outstanding tokens, JPMorgan is running dollar pegged deposit tokens on a public blockchain, and the GENIUS Act provides the first federal framework for payment stablecoin issuance.

Every Fed chair gets one first Jackson Hole speech. It sets the tone for their tenure, signals their priorities, and reveals how they think about the economy’s most pressing structural questions. Kevin Warsh’s first keynote arrives at a moment when the stablecoin market exceeds $230 billion, when tokenized deposits are settling real transactions on public blockchains, and when the United States is building its first comprehensive stablecoin regulatory framework under the GENIUS Act. The theme he chose tells you what he considers the structural question: “Financial Innovation: Implications for Payments and Policy.”

This is not the typical Jackson Hole speech about inflation forecasts and interest rate guidance. It is a speech about whether programmable money changes how monetary policy works. For crypto markets, the distinction matters more than the content.

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Why the theme matters

Jackson Hole themes are chosen years in advance by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City in consultation with the Fed chair. The 2026 theme, “Financial Innovation: Implications for Payments and Policy,” is the first in the event’s history to place digital payments and financial technology at its organizing center. Previous themes have addressed inflation, labor markets, monetary policy frameworks, and global trade. None has centered on the mechanics of how money moves. The theme reflects a genuine central banking problem. Stablecoins, tokenized deposits, and faster payment rails have become practical tools in global finance fast enough to outrun regulatory frameworks. Central banks are still determining whether and how programmable money alters the transmission of interest rate policy. When the Fed raises rates, the traditional mechanism works through bank deposits and money market funds. If a growing share of dollar denominated value sits in stablecoins that do not pay interest, the relationship between the federal funds rate and broader financial conditions changes in ways that monetary economists are only beginning to model. The symposium is expected to draw participation from central banks working through CBDC frameworks and regulators overseeing stablecoin and tokenized asset markets globally. The academic papers presented alongside the keynote will address payment system architecture, the macroeconomic effects of instant settlement, and the regulatory challenges of cross border digital payments. For the first time, these are not fringe topics at Jackson Hole. They are the organizing principle.

Who Kevin Warsh is

Warsh took office as Fed chair on May 22, 2026, after Senate confirmation on a 58 to 42 vote. He previously served as a Federal Reserve governor from 2006 to 2011, where he was the youngest governor in the Fed’s history and gained a reputation for skepticism toward quantitative easing. After leaving the Fed, he became a fellow at the Hoover Institution and served on the boards of several technology companies. His April 2026 ethics filing revealed personal investments across more than a dozen blockchain protocols and DeFi ventures, all of which he pledged to divest upon confirmation. The filing drew immediate attention because no previous Fed chair had disclosed crypto holdings of any kind. Warsh did not discuss the positions publicly, but the disclosure confirmed that he entered office with direct experience as a crypto investor, not just as a policymaker observing the space from a distance. The experience matters because Jackson Hole speeches are not scripted by staff. The chair personally shapes the framing, the priorities, and the analytical lens. A chair who held DeFi positions understands yield farming, liquidity pools, and protocol governance in a way that a chair whose exposure was limited to policy briefings does not. Whether that understanding leads to supportive or skeptical language on Friday is the open question.

The Andreessen appointment

On July 9, Warsh announced five independent task forces to examine Fed communications, balance sheet policy, inflation frameworks, economic data, and the impact of artificial intelligence on productivity and employment. Marc Andreessen, co founder of Andreessen Horowitz (a16z), was appointed to co lead the Productivity and Jobs task force. Andreessen Horowitz is one of the largest investors in both AI companies and crypto startups. The firm’s crypto portfolio includes investments in Coinbase, Uniswap, Compound, and dozens of other protocols and infrastructure companies. None of the task force announcements mention crypto, digital assets, or stablecoins directly. The mandate is to study how AI and emerging technologies reshape economic growth and labor markets. But the appointment is being read by crypto markets as a directional signal. The reasoning: Warsh could have chosen any technology leader for the AI task force. He chose one whose firm has deployed billions into crypto infrastructure. Even if the task force never addresses digital assets, the selection reveals Warsh’s comfort level with the technology ecosystem that includes crypto as a core component. The task force will present preliminary findings to the Board of Governors in early 2027. If those findings reference digital payment infrastructure, tokenized assets, or blockchain based settlement, the crypto policy signal strengthens. If they remain narrowly focused on AI productivity effects, the appointment was about AI, not crypto, and the market read was premature. The broader composition of Warsh’s task forces also matters. Alongside Andreessen, Warsh appointed Doug McMillon, CEO of Walmart, to co lead a separate task force on communications. The combination of Silicon Valley venture capital and corporate retail in the Fed’s advisory structure signals a chair who views the economy through the lens of technology adoption and consumer facing innovation, not just banking system mechanics. This philosophical orientation may shape how Warsh frames financial innovation at Jackson Hole: as a consumer benefit driven by competition, rather than as a systemic risk requiring containment. Five task forces examining five aspects of Fed operations, none explicitly addressing digital assets, but all touching infrastructure that digital assets intersect with: communications (how the Fed signals to increasingly automated markets), balance sheet policy (how Treasury purchases interact with stablecoin reserve demand), inflation frameworks (whether digital payment efficiency is disinflationary), data (whether blockchain data should supplement traditional economic indicators), and AI productivity (whether tokenized labor markets alter employment dynamics). The crypto market is reading the subtext, and at Jackson Hole, subtext becomes text.

What Warsh might say about payments

The symposium theme constrains the keynote to financial innovation and payments. Within that frame, several topics carry crypto market implications.

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Stablecoin oversight. The GENIUS Act creates a federal framework for payment stablecoins. Warsh could endorse the framework, signal that the Fed wants additional supervisory authority over stablecoin issuers, or express concern about systemic risk from a $230 billion market that operates outside the traditional banking system. Each of these positions moves markets differently.

Tokenized deposits. JPMorgan’s Kinexys platform and the Clearing House tokenized deposit network represent bank driven innovation that operates within existing regulatory perimeters. Warsh praising tokenized deposits while being cautious about stablecoins would signal a preference for bank mediated innovation over crypto native alternatives. The reverse would signal openness to non bank competition in payments.

CBDC position. Previous Fed leadership under Jerome Powell adopted a cautious “study but do not commit” approach to a digital dollar. Warsh has not publicly stated his CBDC position since taking office. A Jackson Hole speech is the natural venue to define it. Any language that explicitly deprioritizes a Fed CBDC in favor of private stablecoin innovation would be the most bullish possible signal for the crypto market.

Interest rate transmission. The most technically consequential topic is whether stablecoins alter monetary policy transmission. If a growing share of dollar value sits in non interest bearing stablecoins, rate changes have less impact on financial conditions. Warsh acknowledging this dynamic publicly would validate a thesis that crypto economists have advanced for years but that the Fed has not previously engaged with at the chair level.

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How Jackson Hole has moved crypto before

Jackson Hole speeches do not typically address crypto directly. But they move crypto markets indirectly through their effect on dollar liquidity expectations, interest rate outlooks, and risk appetite. In 2024, Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole speech signaled that rate cuts were approaching, triggering a broad risk asset rally that lifted bitcoin roughly 6 percent in the 48 hours following the speech. The mechanism was straightforward: lower rates increase the relative attractiveness of non yielding assets like bitcoin by reducing the opportunity cost of holding them. In 2022, Powell’s hawkish Jackson Hole speech crashed risk assets, with bitcoin falling approximately 10 percent as markets repriced the likelihood of aggressive rate hikes. The speech contained no mention of crypto, but the macro signal was sufficient to trigger a sell off. Warsh’s 2026 keynote has the potential to move crypto on both macro and policy channels simultaneously. If the speech signals rate flexibility (macro bullish) while endorsing stablecoin innovation (policy bullish), the combined effect would be more powerful than either signal alone. If the speech signals rate rigidity while expressing concern about stablecoin systemic risk, the reverse applies. The key difference from previous Jackson Hole speeches is that the theme itself is about financial innovation. Warsh does not need to mention crypto or stablecoins in passing; the topic is central to the entire symposium. Any language about digital payments, programmable money, or non bank payment innovation will be parsed for crypto market implications in real time.

The XRP and institutional backdrop

The timing of Warsh’s keynote coincides with a period of record institutional activity in crypto markets that directly relates to the payments innovation theme. XRP ETF trading volume hit an all time high of $125 million on August 20, the same week Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse appeared at the Wyoming Blockchain Symposium alongside SEC Chairman Paul Atkins. JPMorgan’s Kinexys platform completed a live cross border tokenized Treasury redemption on the XRP Ledger in under five seconds. These are not speculative experiments. They are live transactions settling real financial instruments on public blockchains, the exact category of financial innovation that the Jackson Hole theme addresses. If Warsh references tokenized settlement, cross border payments, or institutional adoption of blockchain rails in his keynote, the connection to this week’s market activity becomes explicit. Bitcoin spot ETFs absorbed $2.2 billion in six consecutive days of inflows, with total assets approaching $100 billion. Solana staking ETFs crossed $1 billion in cumulative inflows. The institutional infrastructure for crypto has reached a scale that central bankers can no longer characterize as experimental or marginal. Warsh’s speech arrives at a moment when the data supports either endorsement or caution, and the direction he chooses will define how the Fed engages with digital asset markets for the remainder of his tenure.

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The rate question underneath the innovation theme

Jackson Hole speeches nominally focus on their stated theme, but markets always listen for rate signals embedded in the broader narrative. The federal funds rate sits at 4.75 to 5.00 percent. Core PCE inflation, the Fed’s preferred measure, has been declining but remains above the 2 percent target. GDP growth has been resilient. The labor market shows signs of cooling but has not deteriorated sharply. Warsh inherits a policy stance that many market participants consider too tight given the progress on inflation. He has not yet chaired an FOMC meeting that cut rates. A Jackson Hole speech that frames financial innovation as a source of productivity growth and disinflationary pressure would implicitly support the case for rate cuts by suggesting that technology driven efficiencies are helping bring inflation down without requiring further monetary restriction. The opposite framing is also possible. Warsh could argue that financial innovation creates new risks, that stablecoin growth introduces unmonitored leverage, and that the Fed needs to maintain its current stance until the regulatory framework catches up with market developments. This framing would be hawkish on both rates and crypto policy simultaneously. The correlation between rate expectations and crypto prices has been persistently positive in 2026. Lower rates push capital toward risk assets, increase the relative appeal of non yielding assets like bitcoin, and loosen financial conditions in ways that benefit leveraged trading. A speech that is dovish on rates and supportive of financial innovation would be a dual catalyst. A speech that is hawkish on rates and cautious on innovation would be a dual headwind.

The global central banking audience

Warsh’s keynote is not delivered in isolation. Jackson Hole brings together central bankers from dozens of countries, many of whom are further along in their digital currency strategies than the United States. The European Central Bank has advanced its digital euro to the preparation phase. The Bank of England is consulting on a digital pound. The Bank of Japan has completed technical experiments with a digital yen. China’s digital yuan has been in live circulation since 2020. For these central bankers, the question is not whether digital money exists but how it interacts with monetary policy. Warsh’s speech will be received differently by an ECB official who has committed to a CBDC than by a Singaporean regulator who has embraced private stablecoins. The diversity of the audience means that Warsh cannot simply endorse or reject digital innovation. He must articulate a position that engages with the full spectrum of approaches, from central bank issued digital currencies to purely private stablecoin networks. This global context shapes what Warsh can say about the United States approach. If he endorses private stablecoins as the preferred model for dollar denominated digital payments, he is implicitly arguing that the United States does not need a CBDC because private sector innovation has already solved the payment efficiency problem. If he signals interest in a Fed digital dollar, he is implicitly positioning the United States alongside the ECB and the Bank of England in the CBDC camp, which crypto markets would read as competitive pressure on private stablecoins.

What the market is pricing

Bitcoin broke $80,000 on August 25 after rallying more than 20 percent for the week. The crypto market added approximately $400 billion in market capitalization in seven days. Bitcoin spot ETF inflows hit $2.2 billion in six consecutive days, the strongest streak since October 2025. The rally preceded the Jackson Hole speech, not followed it. This suggests the market is positioning for a broadly favorable outcome, whether that means a dovish rate signal, a supportive payments innovation statement, or both. If Warsh delivers a speech that matches or exceeds these expectations, the rally extends. If the speech is narrowly technical without clear policy signals, the positioning may unwind as a “sell the news” event. Options markets show elevated implied volatility for bitcoin through August 29, with the at the money implied volatility for weekly options approximately 15 percent higher than the 30 day average. The skew favors calls, indicating that options traders are paying more for upside protection than downside, consistent with bullish positioning ahead of a catalyst.

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What would prove this thesis wrong

Two conditions would undermine the “Jackson Hole matters for crypto” thesis. First, if Warsh delivers a purely academic speech about payment system architecture without any language that can be interpreted as policy direction, the crypto market may conclude that the Fed views financial innovation as a technical topic rather than a policy priority. Second, if the speech includes language cautioning against the systemic risks of stablecoins or explicitly endorsing a Fed CBDC, the market would reprice the Warsh era as less crypto friendly than his personal portfolio history suggested. The most likely outcome falls between the extremes. Warsh will probably acknowledge that private stablecoin innovation has outpaced regulatory frameworks, signal that the Fed prefers a supervisory role over direct issuance, and avoid specific rate guidance. This middle ground is mildly bullish for crypto but not a catalyst for a breakout move beyond what the market has already priced. The risk for traders is not a hostile speech. It is a forgettable one. If Warsh delivers technically competent remarks about payment system architecture without any language that reveals his personal views on digital assets, the market loses the information it was pricing in. A speech that signals nothing is more damaging to the current rally than a speech that signals mild caution, because it removes the catalyst without replacing it with an alternative narrative.

What to watch

Friday morning keynote timing. Warsh speaks Friday, August 28. Markets typically react within minutes of key phrases being reported by wire services. The crypto market trades 24 hours, meaning the reaction begins immediately and does not wait for equity market open.

Stablecoin language. Any mention of stablecoins, payment tokens, or private digital money in the keynote text will be the most closely parsed language. Endorsement of the GENIUS Act framework would be explicitly bullish. Calls for additional Fed oversight would be moderately bearish.

CBDC positioning. If Warsh deprioritizes a Fed digital dollar in favor of private sector innovation, stablecoin tokens and crypto broadly rally. If he revives the digital dollar discussion, the market may interpret it as competitive pressure on private stablecoins.

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Rate guidance. Any signal about the September FOMC meeting embedded in the speech moves all risk assets, crypto included. The federal funds rate currently sits at 4.75 to 5.00 percent. Markets are pricing approximately 40 percent probability of a cut in September.

Post speech Q and A. Jackson Hole includes a discussion period. Unscripted comments in response to questions from other central bankers and economists often contain more directionally useful information than the prepared text.

When is Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech?

Kevin Warsh delivers his keynote address on Friday morning, August 28, 2026, at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium hosted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. The symposium runs from August 27 to 29.

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What is the 2026 Jackson Hole theme?

The theme is “Financial Innovation: Implications for Payments and Policy.” It is the first Jackson Hole theme to place digital payments and financial technology at its organizing center.

Did Kevin Warsh own crypto before becoming Fed chair?

His April 2026 ethics filing disclosed stakes across more than a dozen blockchain protocols and DeFi ventures. He pledged to divest all positions upon confirmation and took office on May 22, 2026.

Why did Warsh appoint Marc Andreessen to a Fed task force?

Warsh appointed Andreessen to co lead the Productivity and Jobs task force studying how AI and emerging technologies reshape economic growth. While the mandate does not mention crypto, Andreessen Horowitz is one of the largest investors in both AI and crypto infrastructure.

How does Jackson Hole affect crypto prices?

Jackson Hole speeches move crypto markets primarily through their effect on dollar liquidity expectations and interest rate outlooks. In 2024, Jerome Powell’s dovish signal lifted bitcoin approximately 6 percent. The 2026 speech has additional potential to move markets on payments policy content due to the financial innovation theme.

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What might Warsh say about stablecoins?

The keynote could endorse the GENIUS Act framework for private stablecoin oversight, signal that the Fed wants additional supervisory authority, or express concern about systemic risk from a $230 billion stablecoin market. Each position carries different market implications.

Will Warsh talk about a digital dollar?

His CBDC position has not been publicly stated since taking office. Jackson Hole is a natural venue to define it. Any language deprioritizing a Fed CBDC in favor of private stablecoin innovation would be the most bullish possible signal for crypto markets.

Should crypto traders watch Jackson Hole this year?

The financial innovation theme makes this the most crypto relevant Jackson Hole in history. Unlike previous years where crypto implications were indirect (through rate signals), the 2026 theme places payments, stablecoins, and digital innovation at the center. The keynote text, discussion period, and academic papers will all carry potential market signals. This is educational analysis, not investment advice.

Disclaimer. This article was written on August 26, 2026. All figures reflect data available on that date and may have changed. This is educational analysis and does not constitute investment advice. Monetary policy decisions and financial innovation frameworks are subject to change.

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The evidence doesn't support the banks' case against stablecoin rewards

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The evidence doesn't support the banks' case against stablecoin rewards


The evidence doesn't support the banks' case against stablecoin rewards

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