Crypto World
Bitcoin ETFs Now Own 6.29% of Every Bitcoin. What Happens When They Hit 10%?
Quick Read
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Four Bitcoin ETFs experienced losses in the week ending September 18, with the ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF leading at $141.9 million. This demonstrates that funds can release coins as easily as they accumulate them.
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The funds have accumulated $55.161 billion in net inflows over 32 months, averaging roughly $1.71 billion per month. At this rate, achieving an additional $60.5 billion will take about three years, targeting around mid-2029.
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Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs together hold $68.4 billion in committed capital across two product lines that did not exist three years ago.
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As of September 18, 2026, spot Bitcoin ETFs in the US managed $102.532 billion in assets, equating to 6.29% of the total market capitalization of Bitcoin (CRYPTO:BTC).
To reach 10%, these ETFs would need to increase their holdings by $60.5 billion, bringing the total to $163.0 billion. So how long will that take, and what would it mean for Bitcoin?
What 6.29% of Bitcoin Actually Looks Like
With $102.532 billion representing 6.29% of Bitcoin, Bitcoin’s implied market capitalization stands at about $1.630 trillion. This means roughly one Bitcoin in every sixteen is currently held within a US spot ETF. These coins are stored in cold storage with custodians, meaning they cannot be spent, staked, or otherwise used, except as backing for shares traded on exchanges.
Since their launch, Bitcoin ETFs have attracted $55.161 billion in net inflows, while Ethereum ETFs have garnered an additional $13.250 billion, totaling $68.4 billion across two new product lines.
Reaching 10% Takes $60.5 Billion and Three More Years
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If Bitcoin’s market capitalization remains around $1.630 trillion, the ETFs will need an additional $60.5 billion in assets to reach $163.0 billion, or 1.59 times their current holdings. If Bitcoin’s price rises, the target will rise proportionally, meaning the funds may need to acquire even more.
Crypto World
New Highs, Ahoy! These Shipping Stocks Are In Buy Zones
The shipping industry group continues to show why it’s one of the best in the current stock market, with boatloads of stocks making new highs. Among them, Scorpio Tankers (STNG) and Matson (MATX) remain in buy zones. Shares of Monaco-based Scorpio climbed above the 87.39 buy point from an 18-week pattern. The buy zone goes to 91.76. It had already…
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Crypto World
Diesel Prices Are Gnarlier Than Ever, And Winter Is Coming
Diesel prices keep getting gnarlier. As geopolitical violence chokes Russian refineries, the Strait of Hormuz and the Red Sea, the upshot is soaring fuel costs that “hit everyone” — not just drivers of supersized pickups, says Gulf Oil’s Tom Kloza. Diesel prices on Friday averaged $6.45 a gallon across the U.S., according to AAA, and $8.39 in California — the…
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Crypto World
Is CenterPoint Energy Underperforming the Nasdaq?
With a market cap. of $25.4 billion, Houston, Texas-based CenterPoint Energy, Inc. (CNP) is an energy delivery company providing electric and natural gas services across Indiana, Minnesota, Ohio, and Texas. The company serves more than 7 million metered customers through its electric transmission and distribution, power generation, and natural gas distribution operations.
Companies valued between $10 billion and $200 billion are generally classified as “large-cap stocks,” and CenterPoint Energy comfortably fits this category. As of June 30, 2026, CenterPoint Energy owned approximately $48.3 billion in assets and employed around 8,800 people, with a history spanning more than 150 years.
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CNP stock has slipped 15.3% from its 52-week high of $45.26, reached on Jul. 28. Over the past three months, CNP shares have dipped 10.5%, underperforming the Nasdaq Composite ( $NASX), which has declined marginally over the same period.
CNP stock is down marginally on a YTD basis, lagging behind NASX’s 13.6% gain. Moreover, shares of the company have risen marginally over the past 52 weeks, compared to NASX’s 17.5% return over the same time frame.
The stock has been trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages since August.
CenterPoint Energy has underperformed due to its substantial capital requirements and reliance on external financing, which may increase dilution risk. The company also faces pressure from its relatively low dividend yield, elevated valuation, and the need to convert expected data-center and large-load electricity demand into contracted, rate-base-producing assets.
In comparison, rival Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) has declined 2.6% over the past 52 weeks, lagging behind CNP stock over the same period.
Despite the stock’s underperformance relative to the NASX, analysts remain moderately optimistic on CNP. The stock has a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” from 19 analysts in coverage, and the mean price target of $45.29 implies 17.5% upside from its current price.
On the date of publication, Sohini Mondal did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. This article was originally published on Barchart.com
Crypto World
SailPoint’s (SAIL) Falcon Next-Gen SIEM Arrangement Fits Its Broader Identity Security Push
SailPoint Inc. (NASDAQ:SAIL), a leading player within the enterprise identity security space, recently expanded its strategic alliance with CrowdStrike. As part of the revised arrangement, the company’s SailPoint SecOps Identity Intelligence will be integrated with CrowdStrike Falcon Next-Gen SIEM. This will help in expediting threat detection procedures, and will also incorporate access data and identity governance into the overall investigation process. The expanded partnership will facilitate security teams in lining up the identity insights with Falcon’s existing security telemetry.
Copyright: franckito / 123RF Stock Photo
Strategic Alignment
The announcement aligns strongly with SailPoint’s broader strategic narrative revealed in its Q2 FY27 print. It builds upon several recent initiatives undertaken by the management, such as introduction of the SailPoint Identity Security solution. This is aimed toward integrating SailPoint Agentic Fabric with SailPoint Human Fabric for real-time discovery and security of complex digital ecosystems. The company also launched its Cursor Enterprise connector, which helps organizations to leverage a highly-integrated control plane to manage human developers and autonomous AI agents.
The recently released financials also back this narrative as the company delivered a 25% year-over-year growth in its annual recurring revenue, which stood at $1.231 billion. SailPoint generated $45 million in operating cash flow during the second quarter, along with $37 million in free cash flow.
By weaving SailPoint’s identity intelligence into Falcon Next-Gen SIEM, customers gain extra context inside workflows they already rely on, making it easier to probe identity-related risks. The integration augments SailPoint’s position at a time when identity threats are on a rise. This leads to an opportunity for SailPoint to cement itself as a leading provider of advanced security solutions.
Adoption Will Be A Real Test
A certain degree of caution is still warranted despite the promising prospects related to this expanded partnership. There is a view that such vendor partnerships tend to overstate short-term impact, and the actual outcomes are more dependent on adoption trends and the follow-through.
For the announced integration to succeed, the targeted customers will need to utilize both platforms at scale. However, several organizations operate mixed security stacks where rival SIEM or identity tools can limit the underlying potential of new partnerships.
Crypto World
Iran Ran Hormuz Tanker Tolls via Bitcoin Exchange
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The US Treasury has sanctioned BitBank, a Tehran-based bitcoin exchange it says Iran used to move hundreds of millions of dollars in cryptocurrency to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and to pass on tanker tolls charged at the Strait of Hormuz.
The Office of Foreign Assets Control, the Treasury arm that administers US sanctions, designated BitBank and Pishtaz Simorgh Electronic Trade Company, the software firm that built the exchange, in an action under Operation Economic Outcast confirmed in the announcement. OFAC says the exchange was set up in 2024. The designation freezes its property in US jurisdiction and bars Americans from dealing with it.
The allegations reach further. Iran has spent this year charging tankers between $1 million and $2 million to cross the Strait of Hormuz, and the Treasury said that since June, part of that money has moved through the exchange. The Hormuz Safe Marine Services Authority, the outfit Tehran uses to sell ships “safe passage” insurance, was itself sanctioned on July 29 and, per OFAC, began using BitBank in June to pass what it collected on to regime entities.
Every designation also carries a secondary sanctions tag. That means a foreign firm still processing BitBank’s flows is exposed to US penalties, a direct compliance risk for exchanges and banks outside the United States.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent framed the action as a warning to anyone financing the Iranian government with digital assets. “Today’s designations of Iranian digital asset infrastructure make perfectly clear that efforts to finance the Iranian regime using cryptocurrencies are not beyond OFAC’s reach,” he said in the release.
One break from precedent stands out: the action listed no wallet addresses. OFAC’s January designation of the Zedcex exchange, by contrast, published seven tron wallets that compliance teams could screen against. Without addresses, on-chain screening software has nothing to load for BitBank, and no independent check of the alleged flows is possible from the announcement alone.
Iran has not commented on the designations, and no vessel operator has confirmed paying through the exchange.
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Crypto World
I Think IBM Stock Will Be Higher in 5 Years. I Still Wouldn’t Buy It Today.
Shareholders of International Business Machines (NYSE:IBM) have had a difficult 2026. The stock is down about 22% year to date as of this writing, trading near $230 — roughly 30% below the record close of $329.23 it set on June 2.
Most of that damage arrived in a single session. Shares fell about 25% on July 14, when IBM reported preliminary second-quarter results that fell short of the company’s own expectations. The lowered full-year outlook came on July 22, with the final report.
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A sell-off like this invites a longer view, though. Where could IBM stock be five years from now?
Image source: The Motley Fool.
Growth slowed, and guidance followed
What made July especially painful was how strong the year had looked. IBM increased revenue 8% in 2025, to $67.5 billion. Free cash flow of $14.7 billion was up $2 billion from the previous year.
The momentum carried into 2026. First-quarter revenue rose 9% year over year, and software revenue jumped 11%.
Then the second quarter broke the pattern. Revenue of $17.2 billion was up just 1% year over year. Software revenue growth slowed to 5%, under half the first quarter’s pace. Consulting revenue was flat. And infrastructure revenue fell 7%, with IBM Z, the mainframe business, down 42% as the z17 launch cycle wound down.
Management now expects revenue to increase 4% to 5% this year in constant currency, down from the more than 5% it still expected in April.
In a July 14 letter to investors, CEO Arvind Krishna pointed to clients moving spending toward servers, storage, and memory ahead of expected price increases, and to large deals that did not close on time.
“These conditions require our teams to execute perfectly, and this quarter we faltered,” he said.
However you assess those explanations, the slowdown that concerns me is software’s. It’s the segment that underpins IBM’s growth case. Mainframe cycles come and go. But a software slowdown is more difficult to dismiss.
Cash flow and the dividend
For all the top-line problems, IBM’s cash generation has held up. Management still expects free cash flow to grow by about $1 billion in 2026, which would put the full-year total near $15.7 billion.
That cash supports one of the longest dividend growth records in technology. April’s increase, to $1.69 per share quarterly, was IBM’s 31st in a row, and the company has paid quarterly dividends since 1916. At the current share price, the stock yields just under 3%.
Crypto World
A 63-Year-Old Inherited $118,000 of Savings Bonds From Her Father and Owes Tax on 30 Years of Interest He Never Reported
Quick Read
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Inherited savings bonds are classified as income in respect of a decedent, meaning all 30 years of deferred interest, which can amount to somewhere between $70,000 and $90,000, is taxable as ordinary income to the heir.
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Executors have a one-time election to report all accrued bond interest on the decedent’s final return, potentially saving tens of thousands if the deceased was in a lower tax bracket.
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Cashing all bonds in one year can push heirs into the 32% bracket, trigger Medicare surtaxes, and raise IRMAA premiums two years later at age 65.
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Two retirees, same $1 million, same 4% rule, buy one finished with $1.4 million, the other hit $0 in 12 years. Our free reader guide explains the flaw that separated them, and the income-first method built to avoid it.
Inheriting a shoebox of paper savings bonds sounds like a windfall until the IRS shows up. A 63-year-old daughter receives $118,000 of bonds her father bought over three decades, discovers he never paid tax on any of the interest, and learns the entire accrued balance is now her problem. This scenario plays out in thousands of estates every year because Series E, EE, and I bonds allow interest to compound tax-deferred.
The Bogleheads and Reddit r/personalfinance forums are full of near-identical stories: a parent dies, an executor finds bonds in a safe deposit box, and the family realizes the interest has been quietly accruing since the Clinton administration. The tax bill is almost always larger than the heir expects.
Why This Inheritance Triggers a Six-Figure Tax Bill
Savings bond interest is classified as income in respect of a decedent (IRD). Unlike a brokerage account or a house, IRD assets keep the decedent’s original cost basis, so every dollar of deferred interest inside those bonds remains fully taxable as ordinary income to whoever ends up cashing them.
The 4% Rule is Broken, Built On A World That No Longer Exists
Every retiree knows about the 4% rule, but it frames retirement as a slow liquidation and still causes retirees with seven-figure accounts to agonize over a dinner out.
There’s a different way to run the math that makes more sense today. Build an income floor — dividends, interest, and Social Security that cover your essential bills every month — and you never have to sell shares into a down market just to pay them.
Our free reader guide, The 4% Rule Is Broken, walks through it in about 15 minutes. Access the report here.
On a $118,000 face-and-accrual position built over 30 years, the taxable interest portion could easily run $70,000 to $90,000 depending on issue dates and rates. Series E and EE bonds hit final maturity at 30 years and stop earning. Once a bond reaches final maturity, the IRS treats the interest as taxable in that year whether the bond is redeemed or not. Many heirs discover the tax is already technically due on bonds that matured years before the parent died.
Crypto World
IRS has hidden fix for retirees who missed Sept. 15 deadline
The Sept. 15, 2026, estimated tax deadline has come and gone, and retirees who pulled a large sum from a traditional Individual Retirement Account (IRA) this summer without directing enough to federal withholding now face a penalty that accumulates week by week.
The standard 10% default withholding rate on IRA distributions rarely covers the full tax bill on a five-figure withdrawal, and the estimated payment that should have closed the gap never arrived, IRS Publication 505 confirms.
The IRS adjusts the underpayment penalty rate each quarter, pegging it to the federal short-term rate plus three percentage points. The rate has stood at 7% annualized for the first, third, and fourth quarters of 2026 and dipped to 6% for the second quarter.
Section 6654(g)(1) of the Internal Revenue Code draws a hard line between how the IRS credits estimated payments and how it credits withholding from retirement distributions, creating a narrow window for retirees to act before year-end.
How federal withholding reaches back to cover earlier quarters
Estimated tax payments are credited on the exact date the IRS receives them, and each payment only satisfies the installment period in which it arrives, IRS Publication 505 confirms.
This rule means no future payment can erase penalties that have already started accruing from earlier quarters.
Federal income tax withheld from pensions, Social Security, and retirement distributions follows a completely different provision.
The IRS treats that withholding as paid evenly across all four installment periods regardless of when the money was collected, IRS Publication 505 confirms.
More Taxes:
A retiree who contacts the IRA custodian, requests a new distribution before Dec. 31, and directs a large portion to federal withholding can retroactively apply that payment against the underpaid first-, second-, and third-quarter installments in one transaction, 24/7 Wall St reported.
The distribution itself is taxable, so the withholding amount must cover both the original shortfall and the new tax the withdrawal generates.
Only traditional IRA, 401(k), and pension balances qualify, because Roth IRA distributions produce no taxable income and generate no withholding, IRS Publication 505 confirms.
Ed Slott: why withholding outperforms estimated payments late in the year
IRS Publication 505 confirms that the penalty disappears when withholding and timely estimated payments reach at least 90% of the current year’s tax liability or 100% of the prior year’s.
Crypto World
Bank of America does the math on Apple’s $1,200 iPhone offer
The sticker price on a phone stopped being the price anyone actually pays a long time ago.
What you pay is a blend of a trade-in credit, a monthly installment, a plan tier you may not have chosen on your own, and a commitment that outlasts most car leases.
That structure is why two people can buy the identical phone in the same week and pay very different amounts for it. One trades in a three-year-old handset on a premium unlimited plan and pays almost nothing each month. The other buys outright and pays full retail on the spot.
Apple (AAPL) raised the price of its Pro iPhones by $100 this year. The Pro starts at $1,199 and the Pro Max at $1,299, and for a lot of households that jump is the difference between upgrading now and waiting another year.
Then the three major U.S. carriers made their counteroffer, and Bank of America (BAC) spent this week working out what it is really worth to you.
How carrier trade-in credits actually reach your bill
Carrier promotions work as credits rather than discounts, and that distinction decides how much cash leaves your account on day one.
When a carrier advertises $1,200 off, the full retail price of the phone goes onto a 36-month installment plan, and the credit comes back to your bill in monthly slices across those same 36 months.
Related: Bank of America flags surprising iPhone 18 pre-order trend
Leave early and the remaining credits stop. That structure is the point, because it keeps you on the account and on a plan tier that bills more each month than an entry-level one.
Apple sells the same phones outright with no strings. The trade-off is that you pay for all of it at once.
What the $1,200 iPhone 18 trade-in credit actually covers
Maximum trade-in credits for the iPhone 18 Pro Max have climbed to $1,200 at Verizon (VZ), AT&T (T) and T-Mobile (TMUS), Bank of America analyst Wamsi Mohan wrote in a Sept. 17 research note.
More Apple News:
That is $100 more than the top credit on the iPhone 17 Pro Max last year and $200 more than the iPhone 16 Pro Max the year before. The richer promotions largely cancel out Apple’s price increase, according to Mohan.
Here is the part that matters at the register. Even at the maximum credit, you are not walking out for nothing.
Carriers charge an activation or upgrade fee of $35 to $40, and sales tax is calculated on the full retail price of the phone rather than the discounted amount. On BofA’s figures, using New York City sales tax, that lands at $142 to $147 for the Pro and $250 to $255 for the Pro Max.
Crypto World
If a Stock Market Crash Is Coming, I’m Buying This 1 Vanguard ETF Without Hesitation
Nobody knows when the next stock market crash will happen. It could be next week. It could be years from now. But I know what I’d want to buy if it happened.
The Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF (NYSEMKT: VIG) is a portfolio of high-quality companies that generate big cash flow and demonstrate a history of paying and growing dividends over time.
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But that’s not the biggest selling point in a down market. It provides the combination of growth and income that helps cushion against downside risk when weaker companies are getting hit hard, yet maintains a more growth-oriented profile that should capitalize on an eventual recovery.
In a sense, it potentially allows you to take advantage of both the crash and the rebound.
In this case, VIG isn’t really a dividend story
The Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF tracks an index that requires companies to have grown their annual dividend for at least 10 consecutive years. It eliminates the highest-yielding stocks right off the bat, helping to avoid companies that could be signaling financial trouble.
That last piece effectively serves as a quality screen for the fund, which is incredibly important during crashes. In volatile markets, investors often turn to safer, more durable stocks that can withstand tough environments. The dividend growth requirement and high yield elimination essentially help create a portfolio of those very stocks.
The fund’s portfolio is a bit unique for a dividend ETF. Technology accounts for around 25% of the portfolio, which is one of the highest allocations in this category. While that could increase volatility, I’d point out that half of that allocation goes to Broadcom, Microsoft, and Apple. Those are three heavyweight tech companies with huge revenue streams that should be able to hold up. These aren’t speculative growth names.
The additional sector weightings to financials (22%) and healthcare (18%) provide an attractive combination for an eventual recovery, quality companies with meaningful exposure to economically sensitive areas of the market.
The Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF will almost certainly fall in the next market crash. Investing in this fund isn’t meant to be a way to avoid it altogether. But it’s got durability, balance sheet strength, cash flows, and an improving income stream. These are the kinds of companies that are built for down markets.
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