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Bitcoin falls 50%, but BlackRock keeps long term view

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Source: BlackRock

BlackRock said in an August 2026 research report that Bitcoin’s decline of more than 50% from its October 2025 record did not change the asset manager’s long term investment case.

Summary

  • Bitcoin fell more than 50% from October 2025’s record before reaching June lows below $60,000.
  • Futures open interest exceeded $90 billion, with offshore perpetual contracts representing approximately 80% at peak.
  • Spot Bitcoin ETPs lost roughly $5 billion after attracting $60 billion through October 2025 previously.
  • Strategy sold 1,690 BTC in August, using $108.6 million to repurchase preferred shares during weakness.
  • BlackRock’s historical analysis found 1% to 2% allocations improved hypothetical portfolio risk adjusted returns historically.

The firm attributed the correction to excessive leverage, weaker institutional flows and slower purchasing by digital asset treasury companies. Its paper described the decline as a positioning and liquidity event rather than evidence that Bitcoin’s monetary or diversification properties had structurally changed.

BlackRock’s view is an investment assessment, not a prediction that prices will recover. The firm also manages the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF and warned that Bitcoin remains volatile, speculative and capable of causing a total loss.

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Bitcoin’s $90 billion leverage buildup amplified losses

Bitcoin climbed from $15,765 in late 2022 to a record $124,606 in October 2025, according to BlackRock’s Bloomberg and Coin Metrics data. Futures open interest exceeded $90 billion near the peak.

Approximately 80% of that exposure came from perpetual futures outside CME. Some platforms offered leverage of between 50 and 125 times, leaving traders vulnerable to automatic liquidation following relatively small adverse price moves.

The first major unwind followed U.S. tariff announcements involving China on Oct. 10, 2025. Bitcoin fell 6%, while open interest declined by $20 billion in one day. BlackRock described this as the largest daily open interest reduction in the data reviewed.

Further liquidation waves followed in February and June 2026, eventually pushing Bitcoin below $60,000. The sequence supported BlackRock’s argument that leverage accelerated the decline, although it does not prove that positioning was the only cause.

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The U.S. derivatives market has also changed since the selloff. The CFTC approved KalshiEX’s onshore Bitcoin perpetual contract in May, finding that its structure complied with federal derivatives rules. The order brought a product long associated with offshore exchanges into a regulated U.S. market.

ETP outflows and AI funds competed for capital

Spot Bitcoin ETPs attracted approximately $60 billion between their January 2024 U.S. launch and October 2025, BlackRock found. The products then recorded roughly $5 billion in aggregate outflows through July 2026.

Over the later period, AI themed funds attracted more than $46 billion. BlackRock said the rotation “likely competed for capital” and became a drag on Bitcoin allocations. The wording reflects the firm’s interpretation because fund flow data alone cannot establish why every investor moved money.

The rotation was also visible in retail and institutional attention. As previously reported, both Bitcoin fund withdrawals and declining crypto search interest coincided with stronger interest in AI equities.

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Recent U.S. fund data has been more constructive but remains uneven. Farside data showed $297.5 million of net inflows on Aug. 17 and $189.3 million on Aug. 18. The combined $486.8 million followed approximately $385.2 million of withdrawals during the previous week.

Treasury sales added supply during the correction

BlackRock also identified sales by miners, large holders and digital asset treasury companies as sources of pressure. MARA sold 15,133 BTC for approximately $1.1 billion during March, according to its regulatory filing.

Strategy later adopted a Bitcoin monetization program allowing sales to fund reserves, dividends, interest payments and security repurchases. The program does not require the company to sell and has no fixed expiration date.

An Aug. 10 SEC filing confirmed that Strategy sold 1,690 BTC for $108.6 million between Aug. 3 and Aug. 9. It used the proceeds to repurchase STRC preferred shares.

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The transaction provided a verified update to BlackRock’s discussion of treasury related selling. In related coverage, crypto.news examined how corporate treasury selling pressure has increasingly interacted with U.S. spot fund demand.

BlackRock retains its small allocation argument

BlackRock’s ten year historical test found that adding a 1% or 2% Bitcoin allocation to a traditional U.S. 60/40 portfolio improved hypothetical risk adjusted returns. A 1% allocation produced a Sharpe ratio of 0.90, compared with 0.81 for the benchmark. A 2% allocation produced a ratio of 0.96.

Maximum drawdowns were similar across the tests. The traditional portfolio recorded a 20.3% decline, compared with 20.6% for the 1% allocation and 20.9% for the 2% allocation.

Source: BlackRock
Source: BlackRock

These results were hypothetical and benefited from hindsight. They did not include an actual BlackRock client portfolio and cannot establish how the allocations will perform in the future. Diversification also cannot prevent market losses.

BlackRock nevertheless said Bitcoin’s investment case “remains unchanged,” citing its capped supply, ten year correlation of 0.18 with the S&P 500 and possible use as a hedge against declining fiat purchasing power.

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Bitcoin traded near $64,300 on Aug. 19 after reclaiming $64,000. As crypto.news reported, the latest price recovery coincided with renewed ETP inflows, although increasing leverage left the move exposed to another reversal.

The next evidence will come from ETP flows, futures positioning and corporate disclosures. Sustained inflows and lower speculative leverage would support BlackRock’s cyclical correction argument. Renewed liquidations or continued treasury sales would keep pressure on that assessment.

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

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Interstice Digital launches Canton cross-chain swap engine with FalconX

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Interstice Digital launches Canton cross-chain swap engine with FalconX

Interstice Digital has launched a non-custodial cross-chain swap engine with FalconX that connects the Canton Network with Ethereum, Solana, and Robinhood Chain while using FalconX to supply liquidity.

Summary

  • Interstice Digital has launched a non-custodial swap engine connecting Canton with Ethereum, Solana and Robinhood Chain.
  • FalconX is providing liquidity for cross-chain swaps without Interstice taking custody of user assets.
  • The engine gives users a route between tokenized assets on Canton and liquidity across major public blockchains.
  • Canton is already being used for tokenized Treasuries, stablecoin settlement and institutional collateral transactions.

Interstice Digital said in an Aug. 18 announcement that the engine lets users swap assets across the four networks without the company taking custody of funds or executing transactions on their behalf. The company also said the product has been named a Featured App on Canton.

The system is designed to give users a route between tokenized assets issued or traded through Canton and liquidity available on public blockchain networks. FalconX, which provides digital asset prime brokerage services to institutional investors, is supplying liquidity for the engine.

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Interstice Digital links Canton with three public-chain markets

Under the new setup, Interstice is connecting Canton’s institution-focused infrastructure with Ethereum, Solana and Robinhood Chain, three networks that provide access to different parts of the digital asset market.

Interstice described Canton as a public, permissionless blockchain built for capital markets, with privacy and permissioning controls intended for regulated transactions. The network is used by financial institutions working with tokenized securities, collateral, and blockchain-based settlement.

For the public-chain side of the connection, Interstice cited the scale of the networks involved. The company said Robinhood has 28 million funded accounts and $369 billion in total platform assets, while Robinhood Chain reached 100 million transactions faster than any other EVM network.

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Solana recorded 167 million monthly active addresses in April 2026 and handled $650 billion of stablecoin transaction volume in February, according to figures cited by Interstice. The company described Ethereum as the industry’s deepest developer ecosystem and noted that Robinhood Chain uses Ethereum technology as its base.

“We built the cross-chain swap engine to help connect Solana, Ethereum, and Robinhood Chain to the growing Canton ecosystem where over $9T in tokenized RWA flow monthly,” Interstice Digital CEO Janine Yorio said.

Interstice did not disclose which assets are supported at launch or provide transaction-volume figures for the engine. The company is a wholly owned subsidiary of Everyrealm and is backed by investors including a16z Crypto, Coinbase Ventures, Galaxy and Brevan Howard.

FalconX supplies liquidity without Interstice holding user assets

FalconX’s role centers on liquidity for swaps routed through the engine. Interstice said its non-custodial structure means it does not hold customer assets or act as the party executing transactions for users.

FalconX Head of Trading Strategy Hassan Bassiri said institutional demand for digital assets is increasing and argued that firms will need infrastructure capable of moving capital between different ecosystems.

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“The cross-chain swap engine we’ve developed with Interstice Digital is exactly the kind of infrastructure this market needs,” Bassiri said, after describing cross-ecosystem capital movement as an important requirement for institutional firms.

Canton is also being used for live and trial transactions involving government securities, stablecoins and institutional collateral.

Earlier in August, four Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group companies launched a proof of concept to test Japanese government bond repo transactions on Canton, as crypto.news reported on Aug. 13. MUFG, Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities, Mitsubishi UFJ Trust and Banking and MUFG Bank are working with Digital Asset and Progmat on the project.

The participants plan to test automated processing and real-time settlement available around the clock. The trial forms part of Japan’s Financial Services Agency-backed Payment Innovation Project and includes work on whether blockchain infrastructure can improve funding and capital use in repo markets.

An earlier Japanese trial involving Japan Securities Clearing Corporation, Mizuho Financial Group, Nomura Holdings and Digital Asset tested whether rights linked to Japanese government bonds and updates to book-entry records could be handled through Canton while remaining within Japan’s existing legal framework.

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Canton has expanded tokenized settlement activity

Canton has also been used in transactions involving tokenized U.S. government securities. In July, Tradeweb said it executed an onchain U.S. Treasury trade in which Franklin Templeton transferred a tokenized Treasury security to Virtu Financial in exchange for tokenized cash.

Tradeweb provided execution and price discovery, while Canton synchronized settlement between the two assets in real time, according to the companies involved. Tradeweb described the transaction as the first real-time purchase and sale of a tokenized U.S. Treasury settled against USDCx, a USDC-backed stablecoin issued on Canton.

Societe Generale, Digital Asset and Blockdaemon also participated in the transaction. Societe Generale has separately deployed euro- and dollar-denominated stablecoins on Canton for uses including tokenized collateral, repo financing and institutional settlement.

Payment companies are testing the network as well. Visa tested private stablecoin settlement using Brale’s SBC token on Canton in June and has since included Canton among the blockchains supported by its stablecoin settlement program. A July report on Visa’s program said the settlement pilot supported nine blockchains and had reached a $7 billion annualized run rate by March.

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Visa joined Canton as a Super Validator in March before adding the network to its stablecoin settlement work. The company received approval for its validator application that month and later added Canton to its stablecoin settlement pilot.

Digital Asset has raised capital for Canton expansion

Institutional funding has accompanied the increase in activity around the network. Digital Asset, the company behind Canton, raised $355 million in June in a round led by Andreessen Horowitz’s a16z crypto fund.

A16z crypto contributed $100 million to the round, while other participants included Citadel Securities, Apollo, BNP Paribas, CME Ventures, Coinbase Ventures, HSBC, Optiver and the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority. Digital Asset said the capital would support partnerships, acquisitions and expansion of the Canton ecosystem.

The funding followed a $135 million strategic round involving Goldman Sachs, Citadel Securities, DTCC, BNP Paribas and Tradeweb Markets. Digital Asset has positioned Canton for financial applications that require transaction privacy while allowing different institutions and applications to coordinate settlement.

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Canton’s use in government-bond markets has continued in Asia. The MUFG repo proof of concept is examining Japanese government bonds in short-term financing transactions, while a separate Progmat working group has been studying tokenized JGBs, stablecoin settlement, T+0 processing and 24-hour access.

S&P Dow Jones Indices and Kaiko have also placed the iBoxx U.S. Treasuries index on Canton through smart-contract infrastructure, according to the Aug. 13 MUFG report. The index project sits alongside other Canton-based work involving tokenized Treasury products and institutional collateral.

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CLARITY Act faces 10% pre midterm odds, Solana policy CEO says

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CLARITY Act's real obstacle: Trump's crypto business

Solana Policy Institute CEO Miller Whitehouse-Levine said on Aug. 18 that the CLARITY Act has only a 10% chance of becoming law before the November midterm elections.

Summary

  • Solana Policy Institute CEO Miller Whitehouse-Levine assigns the Clarity Act 10% odds before November’s midterms.
  • Senate leaders scheduled a cloture vote on proceeding to the bill for September 15 afternoon.
  • Polymarket currently prices 2026 passage near 20%, with trading volume exceeding $7.2 million in total.
  • The procedural vote would begin Senate consideration and would not constitute final passage of legislation.
  • SEC proposed separate crypto offering rules while Congress continues debating broader digital asset market structure.

Speaking at the Wyoming Blockchain Symposium, Whitehouse-Levine described the digital asset market structure bill as being in “August recess purgatory.” He said the narrowing congressional calendar and unresolved industry disputes had made passage increasingly difficult.

His percentage is a personal assessment, not an official forecast. The Senate has taken one procedural step that preserves a September path, but several votes and further negotiations would still be required.

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CLARITY Act faces a Sept. 15 procedural test

Senate Majority Leader John Thune filed cloture on the motion to proceed to H.R. 3633 before senators left Washington. The chamber resumes normal business on Sept. 14.

The official Senate schedule says the cloture motion will ripen at 2:15 p.m. on Sept. 15. Approval would allow the Senate to begin considering the legislation.

The vote is not final passage. Senators would still need to debate the measure, consider amendments and approve the resulting text. Any Senate changes could also require further House action before the bill reaches the president.

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As crypto.news previously explained, the September procedural vote will test whether supporters have enough bipartisan backing to overcome the Senate’s 60 vote cloture threshold.

Prediction markets remain more optimistic

Polymarket’s live market placed the chance of the CLARITY Act becoming law in 2026 at approximately 20% on Aug. 19. Trading volume had passed $7.2 million.

Kalshi traders placed the probability near 23% on Aug. 18, down from roughly 50% less than a month earlier. Prediction market prices can move quickly and do not guarantee legislative outcomes.

The comparison with Whitehouse-Levine’s 10% estimate requires caution. His prediction covered passage before the November midterms, while the Polymarket contract allows the bill to become law through Dec. 31.

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The market therefore includes a possible post election session. That wider deadline partly explains why traders may assign higher odds than Whitehouse-Levine did.

Stablecoin and ethics disputes narrow the path

Whitehouse-Levine said participation by banks, securities companies and derivatives firms had added competing demands to negotiations. Banks remain concerned about provisions involving stablecoin rewards, while other financial firms are focused on sections affecting their existing businesses.

Democratic lawmakers have also sought ethics restrictions covering government officials’ digital asset interests. Those disputes add to negotiations over SEC and CFTC jurisdiction, decentralized finance and customer protection.

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Whitehouse-Levine called himself “hopeful, but realistic about its odds.” He also warned that failure would discard more than a year of work by congressional lawmakers and staff.

In earlier coverage, crypto.news mapped how the limited Senate calendar leaves little time for debate and amendments before election politics consume the floor.

SEC moves while Congress remains stalled

The SEC proposed Regulation Crypto Assets on Aug. 18, creating a separate regulatory track while Congress debates the broader market structure bill.

The agency’s proposal includes two exemptions for certain investment contracts involving crypto assets. One would cover offerings of up to $5 million during four years. Another would cover up to $75 million during each 12 month period.

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The rules remain proposals and cannot replace every provision in the CLARITY Act. Agency rules also carry less permanence than federal legislation and remain subject to statutory limits and court review.

Whitehouse-Levine said regulators should move because the industry “can’t afford to keep waiting for Congress.” His organization plans to focus on token fundraising pathways and rules allowing more securities and derivatives activity to occur onchain.

The next confirmed event is the Sept. 15 cloture vote. Failure to proceed would sharply reduce the bill’s remaining 2026 path. Success would keep it alive but leave amendments, final passage and possible House coordination unresolved.

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Maya Protocol suffers $1.7 million exploit, halts network

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DxSale exploit drains $7.3M in BNB through hidden contract backdoor

Maya Protocol has halted its cross-chain network after an attacker exploited six linked software flaws to steal an estimated $1.7 million in Bitcoin and other crypto assets.

Summary

  • Maya Protocol halted its network after an attacker stole an estimated $1.7 million in crypto.
  • The exploit chained six software flaws and used a single transaction containing 23 messages.
  • About $1.36 million was moved to external blockchains, while another $291,000 remained in attacker controlled positions.
  • CACAO plunged 88.7% during the incident as Maya Protocol began working on fixes to restore swaps.

Maya Protocol pseudonymous co-founder Aalux said on Wednesday that the attacker took about 20 Bitcoin, worth roughly $1.4 million, alongside another $300,000 in assets before the protocol activated a global halt to stop further losses.

The team has since started working on fixes needed to restore swaps, while a preliminary technical analysis shared by Aalux traced the attack to a chain of bugs involving trade accounts, outbound transaction processing, and liquidity pool calculations.

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Maya Protocol exploit used six chained bugs

According to the preliminary analysis, the attacker combined six separate flaws instead of relying on a single vulnerability, allowing several parts of MAYAChain’s transaction and accounting system to be manipulated within the same attack.

A single transaction containing 23 messages was used to execute the sequence. The analysis said the attacker first triggered the protocol’s theft-detection mechanism incorrectly before manipulating a pool with limited liquidity.

By inflating the value of the low-liquidity pool, the attacker was able to withdraw 48.87 million CACAO tokens from Maya’s Asgard module, according to the technical findings.

Asgard modules hold assets used by the protocol to process cross-chain swaps. Maya Protocol allows users to exchange native assets across different blockchains without relying on a traditional centralised exchange, making the network’s vault and liquidity accounting systems central to settling transactions.

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The preliminary accounting estimated that approximately $1.36 million in assets ultimately moved to external blockchains. Another $291,000 remained under the attacker’s control through CACAO holdings and trade-account positions on MAYAChain.

Aalux said the global halt contained the incident and prevented additional damage while developers investigated the affected components and prepared a fix.

The response resembles emergency measures used by other cross-chain protocols when vulnerabilities threaten assets held across several networks. In June, Axelar disabled bridge routes connected to Secret Network after approximately $4.7 million in bridged assets were taken through an exploit linked to a Secret-side ICS-20 smart contract.

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Axelar’s emergency committee shut the affected connections while the investigation continued. The interoperability protocol said at the time that its core infrastructure had not been compromised and that the problem appeared isolated to the smart contract supporting the connection with Secret Network.

CACAO price collapsed during the attack

Independent blockchain security researcher Vini Barbosa, summarising the preliminary findings, said CACAO dropped 88.7% during the incident, falling from about $0.115 to $0.013.

The decline in CACAO also complicated estimates of the total economic damage because the attack affected both assets directly extracted from the protocol and the market value of liquidity remaining in its pools.

According to the technical analysis, the total decline in pool value reached approximately $10.9 million. However, the report did not classify the entire amount as stolen funds because the calculation also included arbitrage activity and the sharp devaluation of CACAO during the incident.

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The estimated amount directly moved out of the system was considerably lower, with about $1.36 million transferred to other blockchains and roughly $291,000 remaining in positions controlled by the attacker.

Cross-chain systems have faced several attacks this year in which the value initially affected by a vulnerability differed from the amount ultimately extracted. Echo Protocol, for example, paused cross-chain transactions in May after an attacker minted about $76.7 million worth of unauthorised eBTC on Monad. Security researchers later estimated that roughly $816,000 in actual value had been stolen despite the much larger unauthorised mint.

Echo’s incident was linked by security researchers to a compromised administrative private key. Monad co-founder Keone Hon said at the time that the underlying Monad network continued operating normally, while Curvance paused the affected Echo eBTC market as a precaution.

Cross-chain DEX exploits have forced similar network halts

Maya Protocol’s decision to stop network activity also follows a series of security incidents involving cross-chain trading infrastructure in 2026.

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In May, crypto.news reported a THORChain exploit that forced the cross-chain DEX to pause trading and activate a global emergency halt after blockchain investigator ZachXBT estimated losses of at least $10 million across several networks.

THORChain later determined that approximately $10.7 million had been drained from one of its five vaults. The protocol said a newly churned node operator exploited a vulnerability in its GG20 Threshold Signature Scheme and reconstructed a private key, while automatic solvency checks stopped cross-chain signing and trading within minutes.

Node operators subsequently approved the ADR028 recovery plan, which used protocol-owned liquidity to absorb losses without minting new RUNE, selling RUNE or diluting existing holders. Developers also prepared version 3.19.0 with additional security measures, including a mechanism designed to quarantine compromised vaults.

After more than a month offline, THORChain resumed network trading on June 23. Swaps, signing, churning, secured assets, trade assets and liquidity provider functions were restored after the protocol said vaults and keyshares had been checked as part of the restart process.

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Another cross-chain protocol, Transit Finance, lost about $1.88 million in May after an exploit flagged by blockchain security firm PeckShield. At the time of the initial report, Transit Finance had not released a detailed technical post-mortem or recovery plan.

Maya Protocol works on restoring swaps

For Maya Protocol, the immediate work is focused on fixing the vulnerabilities identified in the preliminary review before cross-chain swaps can resume.

The technical findings indicate that the attack depended on several components interacting in sequence, including trade-account behaviour, outbound transaction processing and liquidity calculations. The 23-message transaction allowed the attacker to combine those weaknesses, trigger an incorrect theft response and manipulate the low-liquidity pool before extracting CACAO from Asgard.

Maya’s incident comes as security concerns around cross-chain infrastructure remain focused on the number of components required to move assets between otherwise separate blockchain networks. A July crypto.news review of cross-chain bridges noted that such systems can use lock-and-mint, burn-and-mint or liquidity-based designs, while transaction verification can depend on validators, multisignature arrangements or cryptographic mechanisms.

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Maya Protocol has not provided a timetable for fully restoring swaps in the information available so far. Aalux said the global halt had contained further damage and that the protocol was working on the fixes required to bring network operations back online.

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Maya Protocol exploit drains bitcoin and other assets as pool value drops $11 million

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Kelp DAO hit for $292 million exploit with wrapped ether stranded across 20 chains


A chain of six flaws caused the cross-chain trading network to credit a pool with nearly 50 million tokens that were never properly funded, letting an attacker drain real assets.

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Exchange Stablecoin Reserves Drop 20% as Bear Market Drains Liquidity

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Binance Share of Stablecoin Exchange Reserves

Stablecoin reserves parked on centralized exchanges have shrunk to roughly $64 billion, down about $16 billion from a late-2025 peak near $80 billion, CryptoQuant data shows.

The drain leaves less idle capital sitting ready to buy. What remains has pooled into fewer venues, with Binance alone accounting for 68.5% of exchange stablecoin liquidity.

Binance Absorbs a Shrinking Liquidity Pool

CQ Research said that Binance has “proven considerably more resilient” compared to other major exchanges. Balances at Coinbase, Bybit, OKX, and smaller venues contracted more sharply.

That divergence lifted Binance’s share from the low-60% range in late 2025 to 68.5% today. The exchange is winning a larger slice of a smaller pie.

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“The divergence has allowed Binance to gain market share even while its own absolute liquidity declines, illustrating that the current downturn is simultaneously reducing aggregate liquidity and concentrating what remains,” the report read.

Binance Share of Stablecoin Exchange Reserves
Binance Share of Stablecoin Exchange Reserves. Source: CQ Research 

CryptoQuant flagged the same trend in February. Binance then held 65% of tracked reserves, worth $47.5 billion in stablecoins.

Concentration follows order books. Binance captured 38.7% of centralized exchange spot volume in the second quarter, according to CoinGecko. Bybit placed second near 10%.

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Fear Language Spreads Even as Sentiment Lifts Off Its Low

The liquidity drain coincides with deteriorating retail sentiment. Blockchain analytics firm Santiment reported last week that bearish vocabulary is spreading across social platforms.

“Crypto ‘dead’ chatter is rising again… This is fear language. It usually appears when retail patience is breaking, prices feel stuck, and traders start treating temporary weakness like permanent failure,” the firm said.

Santiment noted that crypto markets often make their sharpest moves when investors become overly convinced that further gains are unlikely.

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“When ‘crypto is dead’ talk rises while Bitcoin holds key levels, stronger hands keep accumulating, and forced sellers fade, the setup often becomes more attractive for patient buyers,” it added.

The Crypto Fear and Greed Index tells a more mixed story. The gauge read 46 on Wednesday, still inside fear territory but well off last week’s low. Alternative.me put the index at 27 a week ago and 29 a month ago. It closed Tuesday at 41.

What a Shrinking Supply Means For Markets

Stablecoins serve as the primary quote currency across crypto trading pairs. Their aggregate supply is the market’s most readily available source of on-chain buying power. When they fall, fewer dollars sit ready to absorb selling pressure or fund the next leg higher.

Total supply has fallen to $300.89 billion from a high of nearly $316 billion in May, according to DefiLlama data. USDT sits at $182.95 billion and USDC at $71.97 billion.

That 4.8% market-wide decline is far shallower than the 20% drain from exchanges. The gap suggests that much of the liquidity leaving exchanges may be moving elsewhere on-chain rather than exiting the crypto market altogether.

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Moreover, historical extremes have not been reached. Stablecoin supply fell 34% between April 2022 and August 2023 in a prolonged, grinding contraction, while Bitcoin’s (BTC) price dropped 43% over the same period. 

The current decline is considerably milder. If the decline continues and approaches those historical extremes, it could signal a more significant deterioration in crypto’s available buying power and add pressure on Bitcoin and the broader market.

For now, however, the relatively modest contraction suggests the market has not yet entered a liquidity drain comparable to the 2022–2023 period. The key indicator to watch is whether stablecoin supply stabilizes or resumes its deeper decline, particularly if exchange balances continue to fall.

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Kraken’s Krak Launches US Debit Card as Payward Expands Payments

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Crypto Breaking News

Kraken’s consumer app Krak has rolled out a multi-asset debit card in the United States, giving customers a way to pay with crypto and fiat while earning cashback denominated in either US dollars or Bitcoin (BTC). The launch adds to a broader push by crypto exchanges to move beyond trading and into everyday financial services.

According to Krak’s announcement, the card supports more than 600 currencies and assets. At the point of sale, users’ holdings are converted into US dollars, and a single purchase can draw from multiple balances depending on the spending order the customer sets.

Key takeaways

  • Krak’s US debit card lets users spend from a wallet containing both crypto and fiat, with point-of-sale conversion into USD for purchases.
  • Cashback can be earned in dollars or Bitcoin, with rates tied to average assets held across Krak, Kraken, and Kraken Pro.
  • The card is issued by Lead Bank on Visa’s network and uses Stripe Issuing for program infrastructure, with physical and virtual options available to eligible customers.
  • Krak positions the card as a rewards alternative to credit cards, aiming to appeal to customers wary of carrying monthly balances.
  • Kraken and its parent Payward continue expanding into financial services beyond crypto trading, including payments and broader market products.

A multi-asset card designed for everyday spending

The Krak debit card is built around a simple promise: users can spend using a range of crypto and fiat holdings without having to manually select which asset to use for each transaction. Instead, the app allows cardholders to configure an asset-spend order, and the card will then pull from multiple balances as needed for a purchase.

Cashback is described as a key part of the value proposition. Krak said customers can receive up to 2% cashback, with the payout available in either US dollars or BTC. The company also noted that the specific cashback rate is dependent on the average assets held across Krak, Kraken, and Kraken Pro—meaning rewards are designed to scale with longer-term engagement rather than a one-off balance.

For US cardholders, the program includes both physical and virtual cards, with issuance routed through Visa’s network via Lead Bank. Krak said the rollout is powered by Stripe Issuing, an arrangement that signals how payment infrastructure is being leveraged to bring crypto-linked benefits into mainstream checkout flows.

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Why Krak is leaning on “no-debt” rewards

Krak is framing the card as a counterweight to credit-card rewards programs. To support that positioning, the company commissioned a Morning Consult survey of 2,001 US adults.

The survey found that 42% of credit card holders worry about paying off their monthly balance. It also reported that 60% of respondents said they would switch to a debit card offering rewards without taking on debt.

In practical terms, that message targets a common friction point for rewards programs: the possibility that benefits come with a cost if consumers carry balances. By centering the product around debit spending—rather than credit limits—Krak is attempting to fit crypto rewards into behavior patterns that resemble traditional consumer debit programs, while still offering exposure to digital assets through BTC-denominated cashback.

From payments to broader financial services

Kraken’s consumer card launch lands within a wider strategy for Payward, the company behind Kraken and its apps. Co-CEO Arjun Sethi discussed broader expansion during remarks Tuesday at the Wyoming Blockchain Symposium, according to coverage of his comments.

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Sethi said that expanding into multiple asset classes can reduce exposure to any single market. He also described tokenization as “a large part” of Payward’s effort to widen its financial offerings, and he argued the company must build products and services that are “not too different to a JP Morgan or a financial institution.”

The framing highlights the direction many major exchanges have taken in recent years: using regulated infrastructure and institutional know-how to develop more than trading platforms. When exchanges move into banking-related services and asset tokenization themes, the emphasis often shifts from pure price speculation to product distribution—placing crypto-linked capabilities closer to how consumers already spend, invest, or move money.

Kraken’s card rollout also aligns with a broader industry pattern. Coinbase and other large platforms have been expanding into additional product categories beyond spot trading, including areas such as equities, derivatives, prediction markets, tokenized assets, and pre-IPO products.

Kraken’s US expansion doesn’t stop at payments

In parallel with the debit card announcement, Kraken said it launched stock trading for customers in the European Economic Area (EEA) for more than 7,000 US-listed stocks. The company’s decision to widen trading access to traditional markets underscores that its consumer growth strategy is not limited to payments.

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Taken together, the card and the stock expansion show how crypto platforms are working to broaden their customer base and deepen engagement. A debit card can drive day-to-day usage, while expanded market offerings can capture users looking to trade across asset classes within a single ecosystem.

For investors and users, the key question is how these product lines will reinforce each other over time. Cashback incentives tied to average holdings across apps could encourage users to maintain balances within the Kraken ecosystem, potentially improving retention. At the same time, regulators and payment networks will remain central to whether these offerings can scale smoothly and sustainably.

Looking ahead, readers should watch how Krak’s cashback terms perform in practice—especially how average-holding calculations are applied—and whether Kraken continues to add card-linked features or expand into more mainstream financial services categories beyond crypto payments.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Robot maker Unitree’s IPO surges 600%, outpacing crypto traders’ premarket bets

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crypto derivatives traders on Hyperliquid price 4x upside on debut


A Hyperliquid perp priced Unitree far above its IPO valuation before Shanghai trading began, but the robot maker’s first public trade still opened roughly 75% above crypto traders’ implied price.

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Unitree Stock Opens 629% Higher After Crypto Traders Underpriced Its Debut

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Billionaire Investor Just Revealed the AI Bet That Could Pay Off Big in 5 Years

Unitree Robotics stock opened 629% above its IPO price in Shanghai on Wednesday, overshooting the valuation crypto derivatives traders had priced into pre-IPO perpetual futures.

The Hangzhou company raised about 6.1 billion yuan, or $905 million. Its stock opened at 1,100 yuan against an offer price of 150.8 yuan, then pared gains to 968.1 yuan.

Pre-IPO Perps Called the Unitree Stock Pop and Still Undershot It

Perpetual futures tracking Unitree changed hands near $100 on Hyperliquid on Tuesday. That level implied a valuation of $40.5 billion, according to Bloomberg.

The offering itself valued the robot maker at nearly $9 billion. Perp pricing, therefore, signaled a first-day gain of roughly 347%. The open delivered 629%.

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Perpetual futures for CXMT, the Chinese memory-chip maker, also pointed to a sharp rally before its debut last month.

IPO-linked perps have attracted growing attention this year, particularly for highly anticipated listings. Contracts tracking SpaceX, for example, drew significant trading interest ahead of its June IPO.

Most equity-linked perpetuals give traders exposure to US companies. CXMT and Unitree mark a notable expansion of that market, offering exposure to companies listed on the mainland China market.

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DeepSeek Money Meets a 50,000 Robot Forecast

Unitree’s IPO drew strong demand from both retail and institutional investors. Last week, the Chinese robotics maker said its offering was more than 8,000 times oversubscribed among retail investors.

The company’s existing backers include Chinese technology giant Tencent. DeepSeek, the Chinese artificial intelligence (AI) company, has also invested about 140.8 million yuan ($19.6 million) in Unitree.

The firm also unveiled its latest humanoid robot, Superman, on Monday ahead of the IPO. The company says the robot can perform a standing jump of more than 2 meters and reach a top running speed of 12.66 meters per second.

The strong investor interest comes as expectations for China’s humanoid robotics industry continue to rise. In June, Morgan Stanley nearly doubled its 2026 forecast for Chinese humanoid shipments to 50,000 units, up from 28,000. The bank expects the market to grow from $2 billion this year to $15 billion by 2030.

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The post Unitree Stock Opens 629% Higher After Crypto Traders Underpriced Its Debut appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Bitcoin Back Above $100K? Scaramucci Says the 2028 Halving Holds the Key

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SkyBridge Capital founder and managing partner Anthony Scaramucci told CNBC’s Squawk Box on Tuesday that Bitcoin (BTC) will climb back over $100,000 as the halving cycle tightens prices, a level the asset has not closed above since November 13, 2025.

Bitcoin briefly hit $65,000 on Tuesday, according to CoinGecko. The next halving falls at block 1,050,000, which countdown trackers place around April 2028, and the network stood at block 963,063 on Tuesday.

Halvings arrive every 210,000 blocks, and the block subsidy will drop to 1.5625 BTC from 3.125 BTC.

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Prior Call Targeted $170,000

Coin Metrics puts Bitcoin at $64,908 on April 20, 2024, the day of the last halving. The cycle that followed peaked at over $126,000 on October 6, 2025. The asset last closed at or above six figures on November 13, 2025, at $100,035, then fell to $86,505 by December 1, $76,911 on February 1, and $65,734 on March 1. Its 2026 low was at under $58,000 on July 1.

Scaramucci made a similar argument before the last halving in early 2024, expecting Bitcoin to reach $170,000 after the April halving, based on a pattern he described as multiplying the halving-day price by four roughly 18 months later. BTC traded near $43,000 when he made that call.

The four-year pattern is itself disputed now, as even analysts, including Scott Melker and Arthur Hayes, are questioning whether the cycle still holds, with Melker noting Bitcoin ran 1,080 days from its last major low against a historical peak window of 1,060 to 1,070 days, and PlanB placing a possible top anywhere between 2026 and 2028.

Clarity Act Vote Set for September

Some of the catalysts for the price surge, at least in the short term, could be the impact of the Clarity Act and the state of crypto among the topics covered across the eight-minute interview.

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The Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, filed as H.R. 3633, is scheduled for a Senate cloture vote on September 15 at 2:15 PM ET.

CryptoPotato reported that Senate Majority Leader John Thune filed cloture shortly before the August recess after Democrats declined to back a procedural vote, and that the bill’s odds of becoming law this year have fallen, according to experts and prediction platforms.

The motion needs 60 votes, and senators will not be voting on the legislation itself that day.

The post Bitcoin Back Above $100K? Scaramucci Says the 2028 Halving Holds the Key appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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Kalshi seeks CFTC approval for US500, copper perps

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Kalshi valuation hits $22bn after $1bn Series F

Kalshi filed two product submissions with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission on Aug. 18, seeking permission to launch perpetual futures tied to a broad U.S. stock index and copper.

Summary

  • Kalshi submitted two perpetual futures contracts for voluntary CFTC review and approval on August 18.
  • US500 would track MerQube’s index of 500 companies listed and domiciled across the United States.
  • COPPERPERP would reference Pyth’s XCU/USD feed and represent one thousand pounds for each full contract.
  • Neither product is approved, and Kalshi says listing would occur only after Commission authorization arrives.
  • CME’s pending lawsuit argues perpetual contracts are swaps rather than futures under federal derivatives law.

The exchange submitted both products through the voluntary approval process under CFTC Regulation 40.3. Kalshi said it plans to list the contracts shortly after approval, meaning neither product can begin trading based on the filings alone.

The applications extend Kalshi’s perpetual futures expansion beyond digital assets. They also arrive while CME Group challenges the CFTC’s authority to classify no expiry contracts as futures rather than swaps.

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Kalshi’s US500 contract would track large companies

The proposed US500 contract would follow the MerQube US Large Cap Index. The index covers 500 of the largest companies listed and domiciled in the United States, weighted by their publicly available market capitalization.

Kalshi’s filing describes the contract as cash settled with no fixed expiration or delivery date. A periodic funding payment between long and short positions would seek to keep its price aligned with the reference index.

One full contract would have a notional value equal to the index level multiplied by $1. A one point index change would therefore change the value of a full contract by $1.

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Kalshi proposed a $25 million position accountability level based on mark to market value. It also said it could impose price bands, order limits and position controls to manage erroneous trades, concentration and market disruption.

Kalshi argues that the product falls under the CFTC’s exclusive jurisdiction because it references a broad securities index. Single stock and narrow index futures generally involve joint SEC and CFTC oversight.

Copper perpetual would use a Pyth price feed

The proposed COPPERPERP contract would track copper’s spot price in U.S. dollars per pound through Pyth Network’s XCU/USD price feed.

Each full contract would represent 1,000 pounds of copper. The minimum trade would be one thousandth of a contract, while a $0.0005 movement per pound would equal a $0.50 change in a full contract’s value.

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Kalshi’s second submission proposes continuous trading from 6 p.m. ET on Sunday through 5 p.m. ET on Friday. The contract would remain open during weekday maintenance periods but close over weekends.

The proposal sets a $5 million position accountability level and a maximum position of 25,000 contracts. Kalshi linked the limit to federal rules covering the COMEX copper contract.

If Pyth marks the underlying market as closed or its feed becomes stale, the index would use the last eligible published price. Kalshi said price bands and other risk controls could apply when the reference market is unavailable.

CFTC review does not guarantee approval

The CFTC approved Kalshi’s Bitcoin perpetual futures contract in May. Its accompanying policy said products referencing other asset classes should receive case by case review because their market structures can differ.

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The copper and index products raise questions that were less central to the Bitcoin decision. Copper has established physical and futures markets with fixed trading schedules, while the equity index depends on underlying securities that do not trade continuously.

The regulator could approve the contracts, request changes or reject them if it finds they violate the Commodity Exchange Act or CFTC regulations. The public filings do not provide a launch date or a deadline for the Commission’s decision.

Kalshi has already expanded its regulated digital asset offering. As crypto.news reported, its XRP perpetual rollout followed earlier Bitcoin and Ether contracts.

CME lawsuit could shape Kalshi’s expansion

CME sued the CFTC in June, arguing that perpetual contracts meet the legal definition of swaps under the Dodd Frank Act. The exchange wants a federal court to void the regulator’s May approval of Kalshi’s Bitcoin product and the wider perpetuals policy.

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The CFTC disputes that position and has called the lawsuit “frivolous.” The case remains unresolved, and no court ruling has invalidated the existing approval route.

Crypto.news examined the central issue in its coverage of the legal fight over perpetual classification. A ruling that perpetuals are swaps could require different trading, clearing, margin and reporting arrangements.

CME replaced its original law firm in July because of what the departing firm described as positional conflicts with other clients, Reuters reported. The change did not end the case.

The CFTC’s decisions on US500 and COPPERPERP will show whether the agency is prepared to extend its perpetual futures framework from crypto into traditional equity and commodity markets while that legal challenge continues.

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