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Crypto World

Bitcoin investor says he stopped paying taxes to stack more BTC

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Bitcoin investor says he stopped paying taxes to stack more BTC

A Florida man earned more than 700,000 views on X for explaining how he’s intentionally paying his taxes late to buy more bitcoin (BTC).

He seems to think that the 7.55% APR penalty interest that the US Internal Revenue Service (IRS) charges for his tax “payment plan” makes buying BTC instead of paying his taxes on time a smart trade, because he believes BTC will rally more than that.

Describing his conduct, he said he “stopped paying taxes from my paycheck and bought BTC instead.” He then applied for a tax payment plan and is paying off his balance over three years, including penalties that he considers modest.

He claimed his intentionally late tax payments make him “A BTC treasury company, personified.”

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IRS payment plans: ‘If you can’t pay’

Only the US government has the enforcement power over any misdemeanor conduct under 26 U.S. Code § 7203, “Willful failure to pay tax.”

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On the IRS website, payments plans are repeatedly qualified with the condition that both short-term and long-term payment plans are for people who cannot pay on-time.

“If you can’t pay in full immediately, you may qualify for additional time,” reads IRS Topic number 202.

It continues, “If you’re not able to pay your balance in full immediately or within 180 days, you may qualify for a monthly payment plan.”

Protos staff wanted to confirm that this declaration was visible on the website at the point of application. Indeed, at irs.gov/payments — the logged-in version where a taxpayer would apply for a payment plan — directly above the button “Apply for a payment plan,” the following text appears: “If you can’t pay what you owe, you have options. Apply for a payment plan.”

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This condition of ability to pay, not willingness to pay is repeated across the IRS website.

On its FAQ page, the IRS reiterates, “If you can’t pay the full amount due, pay as much as you can and visit IRS.gov/payments to consider our online payment options.”

Using a tax payment plan to finance BTC buys

The Florida man posted that he stopped paying taxes and bought BTC instead. He filed his return in April, paid nothing, and sat back to see what would happen. When the IRS reminded him that his taxes were overdue, he wrote, “I was waiting for this.”

He has a name for his conduct. Asked about the maneuver, Lux called it “Creative accounting.” He retweeted a claim by an interesting tax professional who agreed that “the US treasury is cheaper than a HELOC, credit card.”

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Read more: Does Ross Ulbricht owe back taxes on crypto donations?

Despite the obvious concerns, the man insists that none of this is a problem.

He told one skeptic his personal view of the law, “This has been legal for many years; it just easier now with a very user-friendly IRS web form.”

In the 1943 Supreme Court case Spies v. United States, the Court held that a wilful failure to pay taxes, on its own, is only a misdemeanour. Any felony conviction requires an affirmative act of evasion, i.e. intent to not pay.

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The Court repeated that point in the 1965 case Sansone v. United States, confirming that tax evasion requires an affirmative intention to not pay.

The man in Florida who simply intended to pay taxes over time, rather than not pay at all, is therefore probably not guilty of any felony. The only question is whether the conduct could be a misdemeanor.

Unconcerned, when asked whether he would run the payment plan scheme in future years, he replied “Most probably.” 

Asked whether he had really done it, he confidently answered, “Yes and I’m not the only person to do this either.” 

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Lido Upgrade Targets 33% Cut to Ethereum Validator Numbers

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Crypto Breaking News

Lido, one of the largest liquid staking platforms on Ethereum, has rolled out an upgrade to its staking infrastructure aimed at improving how validators operate while supporting greater decentralization. The change centers on Curated Module v2, a new component within Lido’s validator system.

According to a Lido update published Monday, the upgrade adds support for Ethereum’s 0x02 withdrawal credentials. That support is expected to let validators raise their effective balance from the familiar 32 ETH threshold to sizes of up to 2,048 ETH, depending on how validators are configured.

Key takeaways

  • Curated Module v2 is designed to improve validator efficiency by enabling validator effective balances to scale up to 2,048 ETH via Ethereum’s 0x02 withdrawal credentials.
  • Lido projects the migration could reduce validator count from about 880,000 to roughly 628,000—a drop of around one-third.
  • The upgrade is expected to impact Ethereum’s consensus layer (validator set size and related messages) rather than execution-layer activity like transaction fees.
  • Lido is adding bonding and penalty accountability mechanisms for node operators as part of the upgrade.
  • Lido says no staker action is needed because the migration is handled at the protocol level.

What Curated Module v2 changes

At the core of the upgrade is the introduction of 0x02 withdrawal credentials support. Lido says this enables validators to increase their effective balance, moving beyond the 32 ETH effective balance commonly associated with how validators are structured.

Lido’s update frames this as a step toward a leaner, more efficient validator footprint. By allowing validators to operate with larger effective balances, Lido expects fewer validators are needed to secure and attest on the network at comparable levels of staked participation.

Importantly, Lido emphasizes that the change is not meant to alter the execution layer—the part of Ethereum responsible for ordering transactions and determining gas costs and fee levels. Instead, Lido says the upgrade should primarily affect how the consensus layer is maintained, including the number of validator messages required to keep the network running.

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Projected validator count reduction—based on Lido estimates

Lido said the migration has not started yet and that the figures it shared are projections from its modeling. Under those assumptions, Lido expects the validator count could fall from around 880,000 to about 628,000, representing an approximate 33% decrease.

The practical implication for investors and network participants is that a smaller validator set can change the operational dynamics of staking at scale. Even if overall security assumptions remain grounded in Ethereum’s consensus rules, the structure of who participates and how often messages are produced can differ when fewer validators are responsible for the same underlying economic weight.

Still, because these are Lido’s projections and the migration has not begun, the direction and magnitude of real-world change may depend on how validators and the wider ecosystem adopt and configure the new credentials over time.

Accountability upgrades for node operators

Beyond changing validator sizing, Lido’s update introduces new accountability measures for its node operators. Lido specifically mentioned bonding and penalty mechanisms, indicating that operator security and performance expectations may be enforced more directly through economic incentives and disincentives.

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The update also suggests future stake distribution could weigh additional factors. Lido said more emphasis could be placed on operator performance, fees, and contributions to Ethereum’s broader ecosystem—signals intended to reward not just participation, but sustained operational quality and active involvement.

For users who rely on Lido’s liquid staking token—rather than operating validators themselves—the significance is indirect but meaningful. Upgrades that adjust operator incentives and monitoring can influence reliability and service continuity, which in turn can affect user confidence in the system’s robustness.

However, Lido’s message does not specify exact parameter thresholds or the detailed mechanics of how the bonding and penalties will be applied over time. Readers should watch for subsequent technical documentation or governance updates that clarify those operational details as the migration approaches.

Protocol-level migration: no staker action required

Lido said Curated Module v2 represents the “next major step” in its evolution toward operator incentives, bond-based security, and governance improvements. In its update, Lido also stated that no action is required from stakers, because the upgrade will be handled at the protocol level.

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That matters for the practical day-to-day of stETH holders. If the change is fully protocol-managed, users should not need to redeploy wallets, move assets, or change validator relationships during the transition—reducing the operational risk that often accompanies large staking infrastructure shifts.

At the same time, the migration timing is a key unknown in the near term. Lido has not indicated that the upgrade is already underway, and it noted the validator count changes are based on projections. Once execution begins, the market will likely look for evidence that real validator set changes align with the expectations Lido has laid out.

For now, the most important things to monitor are whether the consensus-layer effects match Lido’s estimated validator reduction, and how the new operator accountability mechanisms perform once validators begin migrating to the configuration enabled by 0x02 withdrawal credentials.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Lido unveils Ethereum staking overhaul with validator consolidation plan

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Stani Kulechov dismisses claims of cut-price AAVE sale to Kraken

Lido has introduced a major upgrade to its Ethereum staking infrastructure that supports higher validator balances and projects a one-third reduction in validator count through its new Curated Module v2.

Summary

  • Lido has launched Curated Module v2, allowing Ethereum validators to increase their effective balance from 32 ETH to as much as 2,048 ETH.
  • The protocol estimates the upgrade could reduce Ethereum’s validator count by about one third while improving consensus layer efficiency.
  • New bonding and penalty mechanisms have been introduced to strengthen accountability for Lido’s node operators.

According to a Monday update from Lido, the latest version of its Curated Module adds support for Ethereum’s 0x02 withdrawal credentials, allowing validators to raise their effective balance from 32 ETH to as much as 2,048 ETH. 

The protocol said the change is designed to improve validator operations while continuing its push toward a more decentralized staking network.

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Lido projects fewer Ethereum validators

Under the proposed migration, Lido estimates Ethereum’s validator count could decline from roughly 880,000 to about 628,000. The protocol said the migration has not yet started and stressed that the figures are projections based on its current modeling rather than live network data.

Lido said reducing the number of validators would lower the volume of validator messages processed on Ethereum’s consensus layer, making validator management more efficient. 

According to the protocol, the change does not alter activity on Ethereum’s execution layer, meaning transaction processing, gas fees, and user-facing network costs are not expected to change as a result of the upgrade.

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No action is required from stETH holders because the migration will be handled at the protocol level, Lido said.

Curated Module v2 adds new rules for node operators

Alongside the infrastructure update, Lido has introduced new accountability measures for node operators participating in its curated staking module.

According to the protocol, Curated Module v2 includes bond requirements and penalty mechanisms intended to strengthen operator responsibility. Future stake allocation may also consider factors including operator performance, fee structures, and contributions to Ethereum’s ecosystem rather than relying solely on existing allocation methods.

Describing the release as the next stage in the protocol’s development, Lido said the upgrade combines new operator incentives with bond-backed security mechanisms and governance improvements that are intended to improve the operation of its validator set over time.

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While validator balances can now grow well beyond Ethereum’s original 32 ETH limit through the updated withdrawal credentials, the protocol said the changes remain focused on validator management and do not modify Ethereum’s core staking rules.

Institutional use of Lido has continued to expand

The infrastructure upgrade follows several initiatives by Lido this year to strengthen its position across both retail and institutional staking markets.

Earlier this month, Anchorage Digital integrated Lido into its institutional platform, allowing clients to mint and burn wrapped staked Ether (wstETH) without moving assets outside the firm’s regulated custody environment. 

According to Anchorage Digital, the integration allows institutions to gain Ethereum staking exposure while continuing to use the custody, reporting, governance, and settlement systems already available on its platform.

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At the time, Anchorage Digital co-founder and chief executive Nathan McCauley said liquid staking had become an important part of institutional participation in Ethereum because it reduces operational complexity while keeping assets within regulated custody.

Separately, Kean Gilbert, head of institutional relations at the Lido Ecosystem Foundation, said institutional demand for custody-based staking has increased as staking infrastructure and regulatory frameworks have matured. Gilbert also said Lido has spent more than $4 million on smart contract audits, received an A+ security rating from independent firms including Credora, and has operated without a smart contract exploit since launching in 2020.

According to Gilbert, Lido distributes staked Ether across more than 900 node operators, with no single operator responsible for more than 1% of the network, reducing reliance on individual participants.

Governance changes have accompanied protocol development

The latest infrastructure release follows governance initiatives introduced by the protocol earlier this year.

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In March, Lido DAO proposed using up to 10,000 stETH from its treasury to conduct a one-time buyback of LDO tokens after describing the governance token as trading well below what it viewed as the protocol’s underlying fundamentals. The proposal called for purchases to be executed in 1,000 stETH batches, with token holders voting on each tranche before additional buybacks could proceed.

At the time, the DAO said Lido remained the largest liquid staking protocol on Ethereum with approximately 23% market share despite a decline in LDO’s market price. Financial figures released alongside the proposal showed protocol revenue fell 23% to $40.5 million during 2025, while operating costs improved 13% year over year and the protocol’s take rate increased from 5% to 6.11%.

The Curated Module v2 rollout adds another protocol-level update as Lido continues adjusting its staking infrastructure, governance framework, and institutional offerings while preparing for the migration to Ethereum’s updated validator credential system.

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Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC Slides in Asian Hours, Moving in Tandem with Korean KOSPI

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Bitcoin price is trading near $63,480 as selling accelerated during the Asian session, sending BTC prediction slipped into a bearish area. The move reflects rising caution across risk assets rather than a crypto-specific event.

South Korea’s KOSPI fell sharply, pressuring major chipmakers including Samsung and SK Hynix. That sparked another round of risk-off trading across global markets. Bitfinex analysts noted Bitcoin often tracks equities during macro-driven selloffs but can decouple during company-specific events.

Even so, today’s market has kept the correlation intact. Meanwhile, the U.S. Senate has delayed action on the CLARITY Act while prioritizing a Russia sanctions bill, removing a near-term regulatory catalyst for crypto.

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Attention now shifts to Wednesday’s Federal Reserve rate decision. Traders will also watch Thursday’s Core PCE inflation report and second-quarter GDP data. Together, those releases are expected to shape expectations for interest rates and likely determine Bitcoin’s next major move.

Discover: The Best Crypto to Diversify Your Portfolio

Bitcoin Price Prediction: Recover to $70,000 Before the Fed Decision Wednesday?

Bitcoin is trading near $63,400, holding just above the key $63,000 support level. The past 24 hours saw a range between $63,038 and $65,598. Sellers continue defending the upper end, while buyers have kept $63,000 intact. A confirmed break below that level could expose $60,000, with stronger support waiting between $54,000 and $57,000.

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Technically, BTC remains locked inside a consolidation range between $61,000 and $66,000. Some analysts still see a bear flag that could resolve lower if selling pressure persists. However, a weekly RSI bullish divergence near the 200-week SMA continues to support the longer-term recovery case. Similar setups have previously appeared near major cycle lows.

Bitcoin (BTC)
24h7d30d1yAll time

A bullish outcome would require Bitcoin to reclaim and hold above the $65,600 resistance zone after the Federal Reserve decision. That could open the door to a move toward the low $70,000s, with $79,000 remaining a possible upside target if momentum strengthens.

The base case remains range-bound trading between $61,000 and $66,000 until key macro data arrives. Thursday’s Core PCE inflation report could provide the next directional catalyst. On the downside, a confirmed close below $63,000, combined with continued weakness in Asian equities, would increase the odds of a retest of $60,000.

The CLARITY Act delay remains a meaningful headwind. Some institutional participants had viewed the legislation as a supportive near-term catalyst. With that timeline pushed back, traders are focusing instead on macro events and whether risk appetite returns after this week’s data releases.

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Trade Bitcoin on Bybit and Get a Chance to Win Our $1,000 USDT Airdrop

Bitcoin Hyper Targets Early-Mover Upside as Bitcoin Tests Key Levels

When spot BTC is rangebound and regulatory catalysts are delayed, capital looking for asymmetric exposure tends to scan earlier in the risk curve. That’s the context worth understanding here, not as a replacement thesis, but a parallel one.

The macro-driven rotation dynamic is well-established: pressure at the large-cap level historically accelerates attention toward infrastructure plays with structural differentiation.

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Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is positioned precisely at that intersection. It is the first Bitcoin Layer 2 with Solana Virtual Machine (SVM) integration, bringing sub-second finality, low-cost smart contract execution, and a decentralized canonical bridge for BTC transfers, all while inheriting Bitcoin’s base-layer security.

The project has raised close to $33 million at a current presale price of $0.0136838, with staking available for presale participants. The USP is genuine infrastructure differentiation: not another EVM fork, but SVM performance on a Bitcoin security layer, faster execution than Solana, while anchored to BTC’s trust model.

Research Bitcoin Hyper and review the presale details here.

The post Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC Slides in Asian Hours, Moving in Tandem with Korean KOSPI appeared first on Cryptonews.

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Hyperliquid probes 17.9% SK Hynix perp plunge

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can HYPE hit $100 in 2026?

Hyperliquid’s SK Hynix perpetual contract briefly fell about 17.9% on July 28 after an unusually low pre-market trade in South Korea fed into the contract’s oracle pricing.

Summary

  • 17.9% intraday decline followed one anomalous NXT trade involving only a single SK Hynix share.
  • Trade.xyz operates the SKHX market and is investigating the oracle-driven move, Hyperliquid representatives said publicly.
  • HIP-3 deployers control oracle inputs, leverage settings and settlements for markets they independently create themselves.

The market, officially listed as xyz:SKHX, tracks the U.S. dollar value of one common SK Hynix share traded in South Korea. Hyperliquid’s interface displays the contract as SKHYNIX-USDC and permits leverage of up to 10 times. 

A Hyperliquid representative said the market was deployed and operated by Trade.xyz under the HIP-3 framework. Trade.xyz is investigating and plans to publish an update after reaching a conclusion, according to a statement reported by ChainThink. 

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One SK Hynix share triggered the initial price anomaly

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The disruption began shortly after South Korea’s alternative exchange, NextTrade, opened its pre-market session. One SK Hynix share changed hands at 1.272 million won, 29.96% below the previous close of 1.816 million won. 

The trade briefly placed the stock at its daily lower price limit. Korean reports attributed the print to a possible order error combined with limited liquidity during the early session. The underlying price later moved back above that isolated trade.

On-chain tracker HyperInsight said SKHX dropped from about $1,128.20 to $927 as the external price change moved through the oracle and mark-price system. The contract later recovered above $1,100.

The event occurred during a broader decline in South Korean semiconductor shares. SK Hynix closed the regular Seoul session at 1.55 million won, down 14.65%, although that closing move was less severe than the initial one-share print.Trade.xyz documentation states that the SKHX oracle tracks one SK Hynix common share and converts its Korean won price into U.S. dollars using the prevailing exchange rate. 

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That design allowed the unusual NXT transaction to affect the on-chain contract even though it involved only one share. Leveraged positions linked to the mark price could then face liquidations or automatic deleveraging as the contract moved lower.

DefiLlama’s later snapshot showed SKHX at approximately $1,067, down 13.7% over 24 hours. Open interest stood near $406 million after falling about 20%, while daily volume exceeded $1 billion. These figures can continue changing as positions are opened and closed. 

There is no verified evidence that Hyperliquid’s blockchain or smart contracts were compromised. The available information points to an external market print passing through Trade.xyz’s pricing methodology.

HIP-3 makes Trade.xyz responsible for market operation

HIP-3 allows independent teams to launch perpetual markets on Hyperliquid while using the network’s order books, margin system and liquidation engine. The deployer defines the contract, selects its oracle and controls leverage limits and settlement.

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Hyperliquid’s API documentation says deployers supply oracle prices, external perpetual prices and as many as two additional mark-price inputs. The protocol combines those values with a local price based on the best bid, best offer and latest trade. Deployers are expected to consider unusual market conditions when designing price feeds. They must stake 500,000 HYPE and can face slashing for misconduct involving their markets.

As previously reported, Hyperliquid’s HIP-3 framework places oracle selection and market controls with outside deployers. That structure expands the number of tradable assets but makes each deployer’s price methodology central to risk management.

Trade.xyz has not published its conclusion

Trade.xyz had not issued a final incident report when checked. Key unanswered questions include which NXT price inputs entered the oracle, whether filters operated as designed and whether any safeguards will change.

The market remained active after the disruption. Hyperliquid’s documentation allows deployers to halt trading, adjust open-interest limits or settle a contract, but no permanent SKHX suspension had been announced.

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Notably, other decentralised exchanges have also introduced perpetual contracts for Korean stocks, increasing the links between thin local trading sessions and continuously operating crypto derivatives.

The next verified update is expected from Trade.xyz. Any final assessment should clarify whether the contract behaved according to its published rules or whether its oracle methodology requires changes.

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IMF warns Brazil’s stablecoin activity outpaces traditional capital flows

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IMF warns Brazil’s stablecoin activity outpaces traditional capital flows

IMF warns Brazil’s stablecoin activity outpaces traditional capital flows

The IMF said Brazil’s stablecoin market has expanded rapidly since 2017, with cross-border crypto flows growing faster than traditional capital flows.

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SK Hynix perps suffer flash crash to $900 on Hyperliquid

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SK Hynix perps suffer flash crash to $900 on Hyperliquid

Perpetual futures tied to SK Hynix, a South Korean chipmaker whose American depositary receipts debuted on Nasdaq earlier this month, suffered a flash crash on Hyperliquid shortly before the underlying share price came under pressure in its home market.

Between 23:00 UTC and 23:01 UTC, the price of perpetuals tracking the Seoul-traded stock crashed 20% to $900, according to data from Hyperliquid. The price rebounded to over $1,000 the very next minute and was recently priced at $1,092. The contract is traded and denominated in dollar-pegged stablecoin USDC.

An hour later, the Korean stock market opened on a negative note, led by chipmakers. By the end of the day, SK Hynix shares had dropped by 15% to 1,550,000 won ($1,762). Other losers included Samsung Electronics and carmaker Hyundai Motor. The benchmark Kospi index fell 11%.

SK Hynix ADRs, 10 of which equal one share, fell 4.5% in pre-market trading to $136.51.

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Hyperliquid, the leading perpetuals-focused decentralized exchange, has emerged as a hot favorite of traders looking to express their view on traditional assets, especially since the onset of the Iran war in late February. The exchange had not responded to a request for comment by publication time.

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Crypto exchanges face a survival crisis as day traders disappear

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Crypto exchanges face a survival crisis as day traders disappear

BitMEX is now facing legal action alleging it withheld trader collateral and engaged in insider trading. The new lawsuit accuses Hayes and fellow co-founders, Ben Delo and Samuel Reed, of designing a system to retain customers’ collateral and transfer the remaining bitcoin to the platform’s insurance fund.

“One lawsuit won’t move the market, but allegations involving 622 BTC (worth over $40.5 million) of withheld collateral reinforce the oldest doubt in crypto: your funds are safe until the day they aren’t,” said Samuel Videau, chief technology officer at Genius. “What’s ending is opacity,the model where you wire assets to a black box and take the operator’s word for it.”

The overall crypto derivatives market has barely flinched. The perpetual swap product BitMEX built now generates the bulk of trading activity on larger exchanges like Binance and OKX, alongside traditional platforms like the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME).

“The derivatives market is now much larger and more diversified,” said Edwin Cheung, executive director at crypto trading platform Gate. “Most displaced volume is likely to be absorbed by other established platforms.”

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The shift suggests exchanges now need scale, regulatory compliance and broader services to survive, rather than relying on retail trading alone.

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Pi Network Price Nears Record Low: What ‘Washed Out’ Sentiment Means for PI Holders

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Although most of the cryptocurrency market has turned red today, some altcoins are taking the storm worse than others. This is typically true for Pi Network’s native token, and today is no exception.

The asset has plummeted by 9% in the past 24 hours and has come painfully close to breaking below $0.07, which would mean a fresh all-time low.

PI Crashes Again

Looking at PI’s price performance, you can easily quote one of the most recognizable songs of all time, which was immortalized from the TV show Friends. It just hasn’t been PI’s day, week, month, or even a year. Aside from a few impressive but very brief pumps, such as the one in March that sent the asset to $0.30 within days, the bears have been in total control, pushing it to a new low after a new low.

The last example came precisely two weeks ago. At the time, PI had broken below the crucial $0.10 support and went into price discovery territory (but on the wrong side). It kept plunging until it finally found some support at $0.07, but only after it had charted a new all-time low.

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Although the bulls reemerged at this point and helped it recover some ground to $0.10 in the following 10 days or so, the overall bearish sentiment remained high, and the inevitable transpired. PI was rejected once again, plummeted to $0.08, and after a few days trading above that line, it broke below it in the past 24 hours.

Hours ago, the asset tanked below $0.074, coming about 5% away from its ATL. Although it has rebounded slightly to over $0.075 now, it remains deep in the red daily (-9%) and weekly (-19%).

Pi Network (PI) Price on CoinGecko
Pi Network (PI) Price on CoinGecko

Washed Out Sentiment

Even before PI’s nosedive to $0.074, popular analyst Ben (co-founder of BSCNew) commented that the sentiment around the asset remains “as washed out as I have seen it.” And all of that comes despite the continuous updates, redesigned apps, and protocol upgrades delivered by the Core Team.

As such, Ben commented that his position is still unchanged as he cares about “shipping cadence more than the weekly candle.” And, he concluded that “the cadence is accelerating.”

Other accounts dedicated to covering Pi Network news, such as Pi Town, are also supportive of what the team is doing, and seemingly remain unfazed by the overall price calamity of the native token.

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Hyperliquid and Multicoin Push CFTC Toward One Prediction Market Rulebook

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The Hyperliquid Policy Center and Multicoin Capital submitted a joint comment to the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on July 27th.

They expressed support for the agency’s proposed prediction market framework but also pressed for two changes that could affect how on-chain event contracts are designed and approved.

The filing is a direct response to the CFTC’s “Prediction Markets; Public Interest Determinations” proposal published earlier in June. It aims to amend Regulation 40.11 and seeks to establish a 90-day process for reviewing event contracts that may involve gaming, war, terrorism, assassination, or other activities listed in the Commodity Exchange Act, among other things.

HPC and Multicoin called the plan a “clear and well-reasoned framework.” They argued that prediction markets belong under the CFTC’s exclusive federal jurisdiction.

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The letter also states that regulating prediction markets on a state level, creating “fifty separate state regimes,” would fragment national derivatives markets.

Settlement: Key Regulatory Test

The first concern that the group outlines is related to the use of one word in the Commodity Exchange Act: “involve.” Under the statute’s rule, the CFTC can review contracts that involve certain listed activities and prohibit them when they are contrary to the public interest.

The letter supports an interpretation focused on settlement. Instead of treating trading itself as gaming, regulators would have to examine the event that determines the payout. A contract would fall within the special rule when settlement directly turns on illegal activity, not merely because buying it resembles placing a wager.

In addition, the group asked for more examples. Edge cases may include certain contracts with several potential paths to settlement or products that reference a sensitive activity only indirectly. Clear illustrations would help exchanges and developers assess regulatory exposure before having to commit resources to a launch.

Transparency Could Become a Competitive Requirement

The second recommendation concerns what happens after a review under Regulation 40.11. Under the current proposal, the CFTC would publish written findings when it blocks a contract and explain how that particular decision fits with earlier findings.

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HPC and Multicoin argue that this could create an information gap: an approval, including by inaction, can reveal as much about the regulatory boundaries as a prohibition. Without any public reasoning, other platforms may repeat the same legal work, seek guidance, or avoid products that could have been permissible.

In any case, it’s interesting to follow developments surrounding the letter and whether the CFTC would adopt the two requested changes. This could be a signal that regulators are actively listening to industry experts and attempt to legislate in a way that’s both fair to anyone involved.

The post Hyperliquid and Multicoin Push CFTC Toward One Prediction Market Rulebook appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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Court Sides With Kalshi and Polymarket Over Minnesota’s August 1 Ban

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Court Sides With Kalshi and Polymarket Over Minnesota’s August 1 Ban

A federal judge blocked Minnesota’s prediction market ban on Monday, handing Kalshi, Polymarket US, and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) a preliminary injunction days before the law’s August 1 effective date.

US District Judge Katherine Menendez found the Commodity Exchange Act (CEA) likely preempts the statute. Her order bars enforcement against CFTC-registered designated contract markets (DCMs) until a final merits decision.

Why the Court Found Federal Law Likely Preempts Minnesota’s Statute

Menendez issued the order in 3 related cases against Minnesota, Attorney General Keith Ellison, Governor Tim Walz, and other state officials. Kalshi, Polymarket US, and the federal government each won their injunction motions.

Minnesota’s law, Minn. Stat. § 609.7615, makes operating or creating a prediction market a felony. It covers sports, elections, legal actions, pop culture, and statements by specific people. Advertising and providing data services also carry criminal penalties.

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The CFTC filed its lawsuit in May, after Walz signed the legislation. Chairman Michael Selig argued the ban would criminalize weather contracts that Minnesota farmers use for hedging.

Menendez ruled that the CEA gives the CFTC exclusive jurisdiction over swaps traded on DCMs. She found many contracts on both platforms, including election and geopolitical markets, that likely qualify as swaps. Consequently, Minnesota likely cannot regulate them.

“Kalshi and Polymarket US are designated contract markets, so the CFTC has exclusive jurisdiction to regulate transactions involving those swaps,” the order read.

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Judge Signals Final Relief Could Be Narrower

However, Menendez stressed that not every event contract fits the swap definition. She pointed to Kalshi markets on Love Island USA winners and World Cup announcer mentions as likely failing the test.

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Both sides briefed the case as all-or-nothing, she noted. That left the court little guidance for crafting a narrower remedy, so she froze the entire statute for now.

Irreparable harm weighed heavily in the decision. Kalshi reported over 90,000 verified Minnesota users as of May 26, with millions of dollars in open positions. Sovereign immunity would bar any recovery of damages if enforcement proceeded.

The court did not address the First Amendment claims raised by both exchanges. Those questions, along with the implied preemption issue, now await a full merits ruling.

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The post Court Sides With Kalshi and Polymarket Over Minnesota’s August 1 Ban appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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